标普500创下历史新高,投资者无视伊朗战争恐慌


2026年4月15日 / 美国东部时间下午3:30 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

标普500指数周三飙升至历史新高,投资者无视近两年来最高的通胀水平,以及对伊朗战争对经济影响的持续担忧。

此次反弹与3月下旬形成鲜明反差:当时道琼斯工业平均指数在连续五周下跌后跌入回调区间——较近期高点至少下跌10%,这凸显出投资者情绪的转变速度之快。

尽管这场战争已对美国经济造成冲击,推高了汽油价格并加剧通胀,但股市展现出韧性,得益于投资者认为中东冲突最终将平息的乐观情绪。

不要提及这场战争

尽管美国本周宣布对伊朗港口实施封锁,但Vital Knowledge负责人、股票分析师亚当·克里萨富利告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻,华尔街的普遍看法是冲突可能降级。

“我感觉人们越来越普遍认为这场冲突会得到解决,届时其当前造成的影响和经济余波都将是短暂的,”他说道。

在周三接受福克斯新闻采访时,特朗普总统表示伊朗局势“很快就会结束”。

富国银行投资研究所高级全球市场策略师斯科特·伦预计,中东冲突将持续数周而非数月。他补充道,投资者押注全球石油和其他大宗商品的关键咽喉要道霍尔木兹海峡将很快重新开放。

自3月大幅下跌以来,美国主要股指已反弹,标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数目前即将收于历史高点。在尾盘交易中,标普500指数上涨55点,涨幅0.8%,报7022点,高于1月27日创下的6979点的历史收盘纪录。

据伦透露,富国银行预计这一广泛覆盖的股指到年底将达到7400至7600点。

纳斯达克指数周三上涨1.4%,也有望超过2025年10月创下的23958点的历史收盘纪录。全国保险公司首席市场策略师马克·哈克特在一封电子邮件中表示,该指数已连续10个交易日上涨,为2021年以来最长连涨纪录。

道琼斯工业平均指数下跌52点,跌幅0.1%。

强劲的企业收益推高市场情绪

强劲的企业盈利也助力提振了投资者情绪。

“市场已经消化了油价飙升和持续的地缘政治紧张局势,并未破坏盈利预期,”金融机构德维尔集团首席执行官奈杰尔·格林在一封电子邮件中说道。

美国银行周三公布第一季度利润为86亿美元,较去年同期增长17%。摩根士丹利周三也公布了好于预期的季度业绩。

“听到美国银行、富国银行、摩根大通都表示,实体经济、消费者和企业层面的经济活动都相当有韧性,这无疑令人鼓舞,”克里萨富利说道。

包括字母表公司、亚马逊、苹果和微软在内的科技巨头将于下周公布财报,这可能为股市带来另一波利好。

除了强劲的企业盈利外,伦还指出,企业在人工智能领域的大量投资、更大额的退税以及低失业率都是对投资者有利的积极信号。

“目前存在一些非常扎实的基本面支撑,”他说道。

阿兰·谢特编辑
美联社为本报道供稿

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/latest-on-iran-as-trump-insists-war-will-end-soon/

S&P 500 hits record high as investors shrug off Iran war fears

April 15, 2026 / 3:30 PM EDT / CBS News

The S&P 500 surged to a new all-time high on Wednesday, as investors shrug off the hottest inflation in nearly two years and ongoing concerns about the economic impact of the Iran war.

The rally marks a sharp reversal from late March, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell into correction territory — a drop of at least 10% from its recent high — after five straight weeks of losses, underscoring how quickly investor sentiment has shifted.

Although the war has taken a toll on the U.S. economy, driving up gasoline prices and boosting inflation, the stock market has shown resilience, fueled by investor optimism that the conflict in the Middle East will eventually blow over.

Don’t mention the war

Despite the U.S. this week imposing a blockade of Iranian ports, the prevailing view on Wall Street is that the conflict is likely to de-escalate, equity analyst Adam Crisafulli, head of Vital Knowledge, told CBS News.

“I feel like it’s becoming the consensus view that this will be resolved, in which case the current impact from it, the economic fallout, will be brief,” he said.

In a Fox News interview on Wednesday, President Trump said the fighting in Iran is “very close to over.”

Scott Wren, senior global market strategist for Wells Fargo Investment Institute, expects the Middle East conflict to continue for weeks, not months. Investors are betting that the Strait of Hormuz, the vital chokepoint for global oil and other commodities, will reopen soon, he added.

Since sinking sharply in March, major U.S. indices have rebounded with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite now on the cusp of closing at record highs. In late-day trading, the S&P 500 was up 55 points, or 0.8%, to 7,022, above its record close of 6,979 on January 27.

Wells Fargo projects the broad-based stock index will reach 7,400 to 7,600 points by year-end, according to Wren.

The Nasdaq, which was up 1.4% in Wednesday trading, was also on track to eclipse its record close of 23,958 in October 2025. The index has seen 10 consecutive days of gains, the longest streak since 2021, Mark Hackett, chief market strategist for Nationwide, said in an email.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 52 points, or 0.1%.

Strong earnings boost sentiment

Strong corporate earnings have also helped buoy investor sentiment.

“Markets have absorbed a surge in oil prices and ongoing geopolitical strain without derailing earnings expectations,” Nigel Green, the CEO of the financial firm the deVere Group, said in an email.

Bank of America on Wednesday reported first-quarter profits of $8.6 billion, up 17% from the year-ago period. Morgan Stanley also delivered better-than-expected quarterly results on Wednesday.

“It’s definitely been encouraging to hear Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, all of them saying that the underlying economy, the economic activity on the consumer and on the corporate front, has been pretty resilient,” Crisafulli said.

Tech heavy hitters, including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft, are scheduled to report their earnings next week, which could prove to be another tailwind for stocks.

In addition to strong corporate earnings, Wren pointed to strong corporate investment in artificial intelligence, larger tax refunds and low unemployment as positive signals for investors.

“You’ve got some really good underlying fundamentals going on,” he said.

Edited by Alain Sherter

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/latest-on-iran-as-trump-insists-war-will-end-soon/

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