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  • 特朗普政府招募史上最大规模新任移民法官团队 以加速驱逐案件进程


    2026-05-21T08:18:00-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻(CBS News)

    作者:卡米洛·蒙托亚-加尔韦斯 移民事务通讯员
    卡米洛·蒙托亚-加尔韦斯是哥伦比亚广播公司新闻的移民事务通讯员,其报道在多个节目和平台播出,包括全国广播节目、CBS News 24/7、CBSNews.com以及该机构的社交媒体账号。

    阅读完整简历

    更新时间:2026年5月21日 / 美国东部时间上午9:41 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    在谷歌上添加哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    美国司法部官员周四表示,特朗普政府本周招募了80多名新的联邦移民法官,这是其加速驱逐案件、在全国范围内加大打击非法移民力度的最新举措。

    负责监管美国移民法院系统的司法部当天宣誓就职77名常任移民法官和5名临时移民法官。官员们称,这是该部门历史上规模最大的一届移民法官团队。

    此次扩招是在特朗普政府过去一年在全国范围内解雇数十名移民法官之后进行的。特朗普总统就职时,司法部拥有700多名移民法官。到今年早些时候,这一数字已降至600人以下。司法部官员表示,新一届法官团队将使移民法官队伍人数回升至接近700人。

    移民法官负责裁定政府试图驱逐的非公民是否应被驱逐出境,还是允许其留在美国。尽管拥有法官头衔,但移民法官并非独立司法部门的一员,而是司法部的雇员。司法部在美国各地运营着数十个移民法院,以及一个上诉移民法院。

    尽管隶属于行政部门,但移民法官应保持中立,不得偏袒非公民或寻求驱逐他们的移民海关执法局(ICE)律师。不过,特朗普政府在官方招聘广告中将这些职位称为“驱逐法官”,在一则招聘广告中呼吁潜在申请者为“刑事性非法外籍人士”“伸张正义”。

    作为其大规模驱逐行动的一部分,特朗普政府一直在寻求改革美国的移民法院体系,因为在许多情况下,移民必须先收到驱逐令才能被驱逐。

    此次改革包括解雇100多名移民法官,其中包括许多在拜登政府时期任命的法官。一些被特朗普政府解雇的法官表示,他们认为自己被解雇是因为没有足够有力地推动驱逐程序,或是因为曾有帮助或倡导移民的背景。

    在过去一年中,司法部还发布了多项指令和具有先例效力的命令,严格限制移民法官在何时可以为面临驱逐的申请人提供庇护或其他救济形式,以及何时可以批准被ICE拘留的人员保释。

    司法部官员表示,新一届移民法官于周三在华盛顿特区宣誓就职。

    根据司法部提供的个人简历,本周加入司法部团队的大多数移民法官此前曾担任ICE律师、检察官或在军队中担任军官、军法顾问等职务。其中一些人曾担任州或地方法官,或是私人执业律师。

    司法部官员表示,特朗普政府在2026财年(始于2025年10月)已雇佣了153名常任移民法官。

    代理司法部长托德·布兰奇在周四的一份声明中表示,特朗普政府“致力于重建一支致力于恢复美国移民体系中法律统治的移民法官队伍”。

    布兰奇说:“这一切都要归功于特朗普总统的果断领导和对边界安全的承诺。”

    美国移民律师协会政府关系高级主任格雷格·陈指责特朗普政府试图“迫使”移民法官“成为执法工具,而非公正的裁决者”。

    陈表示,“驱逐法官”的招聘广告表明,移民法院“并非我们所期望的那样公平或独立,而是完全被一位剥夺了其权力、并利用它们来推行其大规模驱逐行动的总统所控制”。

    近年来,由于非法穿越南部边境的 asylum 申请人激增,移民法院案件数量激增。数百万起案件的积压严重影响了政府及时审理许多案件的能力,导致决策等待时间长达数年。

    司法部官员周四表示,自2025年1月以来,他们已将未决移民法院案件的积压量从400万起减少至约350万起。

    Trump administration onboards largest-ever class of new immigration judges in bid to speed up deportation cases

    2026-05-21T08:18:00-0400 / CBS News

    By Camilo Montoya-Galvez Immigration Correspondent
    Camilo Montoya-Galvez is the Immigration Correspondent at CBS News, where his reporting is featured across multiple programs and platforms, including national broadcast shows, CBS News 24/7, CBSNews.com and the organization’s social media accounts.

    Read Full Bio

    Updated on: May 21, 2026 / 9:41 AM EDT / CBS News

    Add CBS News on Google

    The Trump administration this week onboarded more than 80 new federal immigration judges, in its latest push to expedite deportation cases and further its government-wide crackdown on illegal immigration, Justice Department officials said Thursday.

    The Justice Department, which oversees the U.S. immigration court system, swore in 77 permanent immigration judges and 5 temporary immigration judges, a group that officials described as the largest class of immigration judges in the department’s history.

    The additions come after the ouster of dozens of immigration judges across the country by the Trump administration over the past year. When President Trump took office, the Justice Department had more than 700 immigration judges. By earlier this year, that number had dipped below 600. Justice Department officials said the new class would bring the immigration judge corps back closer to 700 members.

    Immigration judges decide whether noncitizens the government is seeking to deport should be removed from the U.S. or allowed to stay. Despite their title, immigration judges are not part of the independent judicial branch and are instead employees of the Justice Department, which runs dozens of immigration courts across the U.S., as well as an appellate immigration court.

    While they’re part of the executive branch, immigration judges are expected to be neutral, and not show bias towards noncitizens or the Immigration and Customs Enforcement lawyers seeking their deportation. Still, the Trump administration has publicly referred to them as “deportation judges” in official job listings, calling on potential applicants in one ad to “deliver justice” to “criminal illegal aliens.”

    As part of its mass deportation campaign, Mr. Trump’s administration has sought to overhaul the country’s immigration courts, since, in many cases, immigrants have to be issued removal orders before being deported.

    That overhaul has included a purge of more than 100 immigration judges, including many appointed under the Biden administration. Some of the judges ousted under the Trump administration have said they believe they were fired over not sufficiently pushing deportations or having backgrounds helping or advocating for immigrants.

    Over the past year, the Justice Department has also issued directives and precedent-setting orders sharply restricting when immigration judges can grant asylum or other forms of relief to those facing deportation, and when they can release those in ICE detention on bond.

    The new class of immigration judges was sworn in on Wednesday in Washington, D.C., Justice Department officials said.

    Most of the immigration judges joining the Justice Department’s ranks this week had previously worked as ICE lawyers, prosecutors or in the military, as officers, judge advocates or other roles, according to bios provided by the department. Some worked as state or local judges, or as lawyers in private practice.

    Justice Department officials said the administration has hired 153 permanent immigration judges in fiscal year 2026, which began in October 2025.

    In a statement Thursday, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche said the Trump administration is “committed to reestablishing an immigration judge corps that is dedicated to restoring the rule to the law in our nation’s immigration system.”

    “This could only happen thanks to President Trump’s decisive leadership and commitment to securing our borders,” Blanche said.

    Greg Chen, senior director for government relations at the American Immigration Lawyers Association, accused the Trump administration of seeking to “compel” immigration judges to “act as tools of enforcement, not impartial adjudicators.”

    Chen said the “deportation judge” job listings show immigration courts “are not fair or independent in the way we expect them to be but are completely controlled by a President who has stripped them of power and is using them to execute his mass deportation campaign.”

    Over the past years, the number of immigration court cases has ballooned, fueled by a surge in asylum requests by those crossing the southern border illegally. The backlog of millions of cases has crippled the government’s ability to decide many cases in a timely manner, leading to years-long waits for decisions.

    On Thursday, Justice Department officials said they had reduced the backlog of pending immigration court cases from 4 million to around 3.5 million since January 2025.

  • 阅读民主党2024年竞选复盘报告


    2026-05-21T14:43:08.046Z / 《华盛顿邮报》

    这份报告的发布是在一些民主党人数月施压之后,他们对民主党原本不打算公开这份报告感到不满。
    2026年5月21日 美国东部夏令时上午10:43 今日美国东部夏令时上午10:43

    2024年选举日当天在夏洛特的民主党总统候选人哈里斯。(德米特里厄斯·弗里曼/《华盛顿邮报》)

    本报记者报道

    美国民主党全国委员会于周四发布了外界期待已久的该党2024年总统竞选失利复盘报告。此举是在一些民主党人数月施压之后做出的,他们此前对民主党不打算公开这份报告一事感到不满。

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/05/21/read-democrats-2024-campaign-autopsy/

    Read the Democrats’ 2024 campaign autopsy

    2026-05-21T14:43:08.046Z / The Washington Post

    The report’s release followed months of pressure from some Democrats, who were frustrated that the party did not plan to release it publicly.

    May 21, 2026 at 10:43 a.m. EDT Today at 10:43 a.m. EDT

    Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris in Charlotte on Election Day in 2024. (Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post)

    By Washington Post staff

    The Democratic National Committee released a long-awaited autopsy Thursday of the party’s failed 2024 presidential campaign. The move came after months of pressure from some Democrats, who were frustrated that the party did not plan to release it publicly.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/05/21/read-democrats-2024-campaign-autopsy/

  • 分裂的最高法院裁决禁止阿拉巴马州处决一名可能存在智力障碍的囚犯


    2026-05-21T14:27:52.839Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/21/politics/hamm-v-smith-supreme-court-decision

    最高法院周四维持了上诉法院的裁决,禁止阿拉巴马州处决一名下级法院认定可能存在智力障碍的男子。

    最高法院在一份未署名的判决书中采取了不同寻常的举措,在听取了案件辩论后驳回了阿拉巴马州提起的上诉。禁止处决约瑟夫·克利夫顿·史密斯的下级法院裁决将维持原判,最高法院将把上诉中提出的有关智力障碍的问题留待日后解决。

    四名大法官对该裁决提出异议:首席大法官约翰·罗伯茨以及克拉伦斯·托马斯、塞缪尔·阿利托和尼尔·戈萨奇大法官。

    史密斯因1997年在莫比尔县残忍谋杀德克·范·达姆被判死刑。但史密斯的律师辩称,根据2002年最高法院的一项先例,对智力障碍囚犯执行死刑违反了第八修正案关于禁止残忍和不寻常惩罚的规定,因此他不应被判处死刑。

    一系列测试显示史密斯的智商略高于70,这一数值是2002年最高法院裁决中提及的临界值。但美国第十一巡回上诉法院指出,该数值并非严格的分界线,测试中的误差偏差可能意味着史密斯的实际智商略低于70。最高法院面临的问题是,当下存在多份智商测试结果的边缘案件中,下级法院应如何认定一名囚犯是否存在智力障碍。

    最高法院以“轻率受理”为由驳回此案,实际上等于表示当前并非解答这一问题的适当时机。

    最高法院资深自由派大法官索尼娅·索托马约尔在协同意见中写道,下级法院根据此前的最高法院先例正确认定史密斯存在智力障碍,因此不得对其执行死刑。但她同时写道,最高法院“不具备”基于史密斯案提供“任何有意义指导”的能力。

    “这是因为评估多份智商分数所使用的方法差异引发了复杂问题,即便专家也可能意见不一,”她写道。

    索托马约尔与自由派大法官凯坦吉·布朗·杰克逊一致认为,未来最高法院可能需要就下级法院应如何分析涉及多份智商分数的死刑案件提供“更具体的指导”,此类案件中囚犯的智商处于所在州对智力障碍定义的临界值。

    不就此案作出裁决的决定遭到了最高法院保守派多名成员的严厉抨击。

    “为了逃避处决,史密斯试图说服法院自己不够聪明,不应被处决,”托马斯写道。“如今,最高法院 rewarded 了史密斯的这种企图。”

    “史密斯的智力并不足以导致无法被处决,”托马斯写道,并补充称他认为最高法院应当推翻2002年禁止处决智力障碍者的先例,他称该先例“只带来了混乱和荒谬”。

    鉴于四名大法官公开提出异议,显然保守派大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺和艾米·科尼·巴雷特以及最高法院的自由派大法官都同意驳回此案。

    被驳回的案件“有点令人意外,因为有六名大法官撰写或加入了就案件实体问题阐述观点的长篇意见”,CNN最高法院分析师、乔治敦大学法学院教授史蒂夫·弗拉德克说道。“看起来卡瓦诺和巴雷特大法官愿意站在这名死囚一边,但更倾向于通过这种简易的程序性裁决来表态,而非加入索托马约尔大法官的协同意见。通常,在没有双方各63页意见的情况下做出这种回避裁决并不罕见;但在有这类长篇意见的情况下,就相当不寻常了。”

    最高法院的这项裁决将影响其他州划定死刑资格界限的方式。推动重启联邦死刑执行的特朗普政府当时站在了阿拉巴马州一边。

    根据法庭记录,史密斯承认谋杀了范·达姆,但对犯罪经过的说法前后矛盾。州政府向最高法院表示,史密斯“用锤子和锯子残忍殴打”范·达姆,目的是“抢走140美元、受害者的靴子和一些工具”。

    除智商测试外,下级法院还审查了多项因素,最终认定史密斯存在智力障碍。第十一巡回法院发现,史密斯早在一年级时就学业困难,老师因此将他标记为“后进生”。四年级时,史密斯被安排进入学习障碍班级。

    根据法庭记录,史密斯后来七年级和八年级考试不及格,最终辍学,随后的15年里大部分时间因入室盗窃和收受赃物在监狱中度过。

    史密斯的案件曾于2023年首次提交至最高法院,当时阿拉巴马州请求最高法院推翻第十一巡回法院作出的有利于史密斯的裁决。在审议该案数月后,最高法院简易驳回了第十一巡回法院的裁决,并命令该法院重新审查此案。

    上诉法院在进一步审查后得出了相同的结论,阿拉巴马州于去年再次向最高法院提起上诉。

    本文已更新补充更多细节。

    Divided Supreme Court decision bars Alabama from executing an inmate who may be intellectually disabled

    2026-05-21T14:27:52.839Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/21/politics/hamm-v-smith-supreme-court-decision

    The Supreme Court on Thursday let stand an appeals court decision that barred Alabama from executing a man that lower courts found is likely intellectually disabled.

    The Supreme Court, in an unsigned opinion, took the unusual step of dismissing an appeal, filed by Alabama, after it heard arguments in the case. A lower court decision barring the execution of Joseph Clifton Smith will stand, and the Supreme Court will save for another day the questions about intellectual disability that the appeal raised.

    Four justices dissented from the decision: Chief Justice John Roberts as well as Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch.

    Smith was convicted and sentenced to death for the brutal murder in 1997 of Durk Van Dam in Mobile County. But Smith’s attorneys argued he was ineligible for the death penalty under a 2002 Supreme Court precedent that determined the execution of intellectually disabled inmates violates the 8th Amendment’s prohibition on cruel and unusual punishment.

    A series of tests put Smith’s IQ at just over 70, a threshold referenced in the Supreme Court’s 2002 decision. But the 11th US Circuit Court of Appeals noted that the number isn’t a strict cutoff and that the error deviation in the testing could potentially put Smith’s actual IQ slightly below 70. The question for the Supreme Court was how lower courts are supposed to determine if an inmate is intellectually disabled in edge cases when there are multiple IQ tests.

    By dismissing the case as “improvidently granted,” the court effectively said that now is not the right time to answer that question.

    Justice Sonia Sotomayor, the court’s senior liberal, wrote in a concurring opinion that lower courts correctly decided that Smith was intellectually disabled and barred from execution under previous Supreme Court precedent. But, she wrote, the court was “not equipped” to provide “any meaningful guidance” based on the Smith case.

    “That is because the differences between methods used to assess multiple IQ scores raise complicated questions on which even experts may disagree,” she wrote.

    Sotomayor, who was joined by liberal Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, acknowledged that in the future, the high court may need to weigh in “with more specific guidance” about how lower courts should analyze death row cases involving multiple IQ scores that suggest a prisoner is on the cusp of a state’s definition of intellectually disabled.

    The decision to not decide drew a sharp rebuke from several members of the court’s conservative wing.

    “To avoid execution, Smith tried to convince courts that he is not intelligent enough to be executed,” Thomas wrote. “Today, the Court rewards Smith’s efforts.”

    “Smith is not insufficiently intelligent to be executed,” Thomas wrote, adding that he believed the court should overturn a 2002 precedent barring the execution of people who intellectually disabled, which he said has “bred only confusion and absurdity.”

    Given that four justices publicly dissented, it was clear that conservative Justices Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett as well as the court’s liberals, had agreed to dismiss the case.

    The dismissed case “is a bit surprising given that six of the justices wrote or joined lengthy opinions setting forth their views on the merits,” said Steve Vladeck, CNN Supreme Court analyst and professor at Georgetown University Law Center. “It certainly appears that Justices Kavanaugh and Barrett were willing to side with the death-row prisoner here, but preferred to do so by issuing this summary, procedural disposition, rather than joining Justice Sotomayor’s concurrence. It’s not unusual to see such punts without 63 pages of opinions on both sides; it’s more than a little unusual with it.”

    The court’s decision will influence where other states draw the eligibility line for death sentences. The Trump administration, which is pushing to restart federal executions, sided with Alabama.

    Smith confessed to murdering Van Dam, but offered conflicting versions of the crime, according to court records. The state told the Supreme Court that Smith “brutally beat” Van Dam with a hammer and saw “in order to steal $140, the man’s boots, and some tools.”

    Lower courts reviewed several factors, in addition to the IQ tests, and concluded that Smith is intellectually disabled. Smith had struggled in school since as early as the first grade, the 11th Circuit found, which led to his teacher labeling him as an “underachiever.” When he was in fourth grade, Smith was placed in a learning-disability class.

    Smith then failed the seventh and eighth grades before dropping out of school, according to court records, and spent “much of the next fifteen years in prison” for burglary and receiving stolen property.

    Smith’s case previously reached the Supreme Court in 2023 when Alabama asked the justices to overturn the 11th Circuit’s decision in his favor. After considering the case for months, the justices summarily tossed out the 11th Circuit decision and ordered that court to review the case again.

    The appeals court came to the same conclusion after further review and Alabama appealed to the Supreme Court again last year.

    This story has been updated with additional details.

  • 新闻


    日本博物馆美术馆或采取“双标收费” 外国游客门票较贵

    2026年5月21日 23:10 / 联合早报

    位于兵库县姬路市的世界文化遗产“姬路城”前不久启动门票双标制,日本居民门票为1000日元(约8新元),游客2500日元,多了一倍半。 (档案照片)

    日本国库吃紧,政府因此削减拨给国立博物馆和美术馆的经费。为了弥补财源不足,日本当局计划采用类似于巴黎卢浮宫的双标收费制度,向国内外游客收取不同的入门费。

    长久以来,日本的博物馆和美术馆的运营资金主要来自国家拨款。但据日本媒体报道,日本政府制定的新财年计划目标是要在五年内,让这些场馆的门票等自营收入在企划展等展览业务费中的占比提升至65%,并于十年内达到100%,以摆脱政府全额补贴的财务结构。

    无法达到自主经营目标的场馆则将面临重组。

    财政部一名官员接受日本媒体访问时说:“日本国债已达到创纪录水平,鉴于国家财政状况如此艰难,博物馆及其藏品依赖政府拨款是不可持续的。当局有必要建立一个能够保障场馆有自己收入的体系。”

    日本本月初公布的数据显示,截至2026年3月底,日本国债、借款及政府短期证券等政府债务总额已达1343.84万亿日元(约10.81万亿新元),较上财年末增加20.13万亿日元,连续十年创新高。

    法政大学教授金山喜昭也指出,日本至今由政府支持博物馆和美术馆是基于社会责任,让人们不分贵贱都可以走入展厅。但是,在财政压力下,让各场馆追求盈利是大势所趋。

    络绎不绝的外国游客成了重要的资金来源。2025年全年,访日国际游客再写新高,达4268万人次。日本当局因此提出扩大旅游业收益,并建议向外国游客征收较高的票价。

    日本很多地方已在考虑实施双标收费。例如,京都与大阪是旅游“黄金路线”,两大城市的公共交通因旅客涌入而变得更拥挤。为获取更多资金以扩增交通路线,京都市交通局考虑在2027年实施车票双标制。到时,外国游客须付的车票价可能比当地人多一倍。

    被列为世界文化遗产的“姬路城”(Himeji)前不久也启动门票双标制,日本居民付1000日元,游客2500日元,多了一倍半。

    姬路市长清元秀泰说:“这个票价差能给这个城市带来额外约2.7亿日元的收入,使这个景点的收入比去年增加一倍。”

    对于双标收费,日本网民普遍表示支持。面对日元疲软、物价上涨的压力,他们认为对外国游客实行双标收费制是适当的。

    日本博物馆美术馆或采取“双标收费” 外国游客门票较贵

    2026年5月21日 23:10 / 联合早报

    位于兵库县姬路市的世界文化遗产“姬路城”前不久启动门票双标制,日本居民门票为1000日元(约8新元),游客2500日元,多了一倍半。 (档案照片)

    日本国库吃紧,政府因此削减拨给国立博物馆和美术馆的经费。为了弥补财源不足,日本当局计划采用类似于巴黎卢浮宫的双标收费制度,向国内外游客收取不同的入门费。

    长久以来,日本的博物馆和美术馆的运营资金主要来自国家拨款。但据日本媒体报道,日本政府制定的新财年计划目标是要在五年内,让这些场馆的门票等自营收入在企划展等展览业务费中的占比提升至65%,并于十年内达到100%,以摆脱政府全额补贴的财务结构。

    无法达到自主经营目标的场馆则将面临重组。

    财政部一名官员接受日本媒体访问时说:“日本国债已达到创纪录水平,鉴于国家财政状况如此艰难,博物馆及其藏品依赖政府拨款是不可持续的。当局有必要建立一个能够保障场馆有自己收入的体系。”

    日本本月初公布的数据显示,截至2026年3月底,日本国债、借款及政府短期证券等政府债务总额已达1343.84万亿日元(约10.81万亿新元),较上财年末增加20.13万亿日元,连续十年创新高。

    法政大学教授金山喜昭也指出,日本至今由政府支持博物馆和美术馆是基于社会责任,让人们不分贵贱都可以走入展厅。但是,在财政压力下,让各场馆追求盈利是大势所趋。

    络绎不绝的外国游客成了重要的资金来源。2025年全年,访日国际游客再写新高,达4268万人次。日本当局因此提出扩大旅游业收益,并建议向外国游客征收较高的票价。

    日本很多地方已在考虑实施双标收费。例如,京都与大阪是旅游“黄金路线”,两大城市的公共交通因旅客涌入而变得更拥挤。为获取更多资金以扩增交通路线,京都市交通局考虑在2027年实施车票双标制。到时,外国游客须付的车票价可能比当地人多一倍。

    被列为世界文化遗产的“姬路城”(Himeji)前不久也启动门票双标制,日本居民付1000日元,游客2500日元,多了一倍半。

    姬路市长清元秀泰说:“这个票价差能给这个城市带来额外约2.7亿日元的收入,使这个景点的收入比去年增加一倍。”

    对于双标收费,日本网民普遍表示支持。面对日元疲软、物价上涨的压力,他们认为对外国游客实行双标收费制是适当的。

  • 受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓


    2026年5月21日 23:24 / 联合早报

    受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓

    欧洲联盟今年经济增长预料将放缓,图为法国首都巴黎一条购物街。 (法新社)

    经济展望报告显示,受中东冲突引发的能源冲击影响,欧洲联盟今年经济增长将放缓,通胀将上升。

    根据星期四(5月21日)发布的2026年春季经济展望报告,欧盟实际国内生产总值(GDP)增速将放缓至1.1%,较去年秋季预测下调0.3个百分点,2027年将回升至1.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年经济增长预计分别为0.9%和1.2%。

    新华社引述报告说,尽管能源驱动的通货膨胀预计在2027年有所缓解,但能源大宗商品价格预计仍将比此次中东冲突前水平高约20%。欧盟2026年通胀率预计将达3.1%,较此前秋季预测高出一个百分点,2027年将回落至2.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年通胀率预计分别为3.0%和2.3%。

    此外,受经济活动疲软、利息支出上升、能源补贴措施以及防务支出增加等因素影响,欧盟财政赤字率预计将从2025年的3.1%升至2027年的3.6%。

    报告还显示,德国2026年经济增长预期由此前的1.2%大幅下调至0.6%,预计2027年德国经济增长仅为0.9%。美国关税政策、能源价格高企以及地缘政治风险将持续拖累德国经济复苏。

    欧洲联盟今年经济增长预料将放缓,图为法国首都巴黎一条购物街。 (法新社)

    经济展望报告显示,受中东冲突引发的能源冲击影响,欧洲联盟今年经济增长将放缓,通胀将上升。

    根据星期四(5月21日)发布的2026年春季经济展望报告,欧盟实际国内生产总值(GDP)增速将放缓至1.1%,较去年秋季预测下调0.3个百分点,2027年将回升至1.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年经济增长预计分别为0.9%和1.2%。

    新华社引述报告说,尽管能源驱动的通货膨胀预计在2027年有所缓解,但能源大宗商品价格预计仍将比此次中东冲突前水平高约20%。欧盟2026年通胀率预计将达3.1%,较此前秋季预测高出一个百分点,2027年将回落至2.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年通胀率预计分别为3.0%和2.3%。

    此外,受经济活动疲软、利息支出上升、能源补贴措施以及防务支出增加等因素影响,欧盟财政赤字率预计将从2025年的3.1%升至2027年的3.6%。

    报告还显示,德国2026年经济增长预期由此前的1.2%大幅下调至0.6%,预计2027年德国经济增长仅为0.9%。美国关税政策、能源价格高企以及地缘政治风险将持续拖累德国经济复苏。

  • 受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓


    2026年5月21日 23:24 / 联合早报

    受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓

    image

    欧洲联盟今年经济增长预料将放缓,图为法国首都巴黎一条购物街。 (法新社)

    经济展望报告显示,受中东冲突引发的能源冲击影响,欧洲联盟今年经济增长将放缓,通胀将上升。

    根据星期四(5月21日)发布的2026年春季经济展望报告,欧盟实际国内生产总值(GDP)增速将放缓至1.1%,较去年秋季预测下调0.3个百分点,2027年将回升至1.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年经济增长预计分别为0.9%和1.2%。

    新华社引述报告说,尽管能源驱动的通货膨胀预计在2027年有所缓解,但能源大宗商品价格预计仍将比此次中东冲突前水平高约20%。欧盟2026年通胀率预计将达3.1%,较此前秋季预测高出一个百分点,2027年将回落至2.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年通胀率预计分别为3.0%和2.3%。

    此外,受经济活动疲软、利息支出上升、能源补贴措施以及防务支出增加等因素影响,欧盟财政赤字率预计将从2025年的3.1%升至2027年的3.6%。

    报告还显示,德国2026年经济增长预期由此前的1.2%大幅下调至0.6%,预计2027年德国经济增长仅为0.9%。美国关税政策、能源价格高企以及地缘政治风险将持续拖累德国经济复苏。

    受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓

    2026年5月21日 23:24 / 联合早报

    受中东冲突拖累 欧盟预计今年经济增长将放缓

    欧洲联盟今年经济增长预料将放缓,图为法国首都巴黎一条购物街。 (法新社)

    经济展望报告显示,受中东冲突引发的能源冲击影响,欧洲联盟今年经济增长将放缓,通胀将上升。

    根据星期四(5月21日)发布的2026年春季经济展望报告,欧盟实际国内生产总值(GDP)增速将放缓至1.1%,较去年秋季预测下调0.3个百分点,2027年将回升至1.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年经济增长预计分别为0.9%和1.2%。

    新华社引述报告说,尽管能源驱动的通货膨胀预计在2027年有所缓解,但能源大宗商品价格预计仍将比此次中东冲突前水平高约20%。欧盟2026年通胀率预计将达3.1%,较此前秋季预测高出一个百分点,2027年将回落至2.4%。欧元区2026年和2027年通胀率预计分别为3.0%和2.3%。

    此外,受经济活动疲软、利息支出上升、能源补贴措施以及防务支出增加等因素影响,欧盟财政赤字率预计将从2025年的3.1%升至2027年的3.6%。

    报告还显示,德国2026年经济增长预期由此前的1.2%大幅下调至0.6%,预计2027年德国经济增长仅为0.9%。美国关税政策、能源价格高企以及地缘政治风险将持续拖累德国经济复苏。

  • 大选复盘变危机:民主党全国委员会2024年复盘报告风波始末


    2026-05-21T14:00:08.417Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/21/politics/dnc-autopsy-inside-story

    最初,美国民主党全国委员会(DNC)的2024年大选复盘报告原定于去年春季发布。随后,民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁在去年8月于其家乡明尼苏达州举行的民主党夏季会议上向成员承诺,“三周内”完成。之后又推迟到10月,再推迟到11月大选之后。

    随后,马丁未给出任何解释,只称他突然不想再回顾过去,并宣布完全不会发布这份报告。

    每一次延期都催生了一堆自私自利的阴谋论:马丁试图在哈里斯考虑再次参选总统时保护她;奥巴马竞选团队的校友互相袒护;高价顾问试图掩盖数百万美元的咨询费;民主党试图隐瞒选民对加沙危机的反应。

    其中流传最广的一种说法是:或许这份复盘报告根本就不存在。

    但它确实存在。至少有一个版本是存在的。CNN将全文发布该报告,并首次披露原本旨在剖析民主党大选失利原因的复盘报告,如何演变成一连串新的失误,在哈里斯失利一年半后仍笼罩着民主党,并成为马丁和民主党全国委员会的一场危机。

    编者按: 点击此处阅读完整复盘报告。点击此处查看CNN对该报告的要点总结。

    马丁将这项首要任务托付给了一位好友——民主党顾问保罗·里维拉。里维拉自愿兼职参与这项工作,并且等了数月才联系拜登和哈里斯竞选团队的关键官员。该竞选团队的众多高层决策者最终都未接受采访,而哈里斯本人也曾私下表达不满,称围绕这份文件的质疑持续不断。

    与此同时,随着公众要求公布复盘报告的呼声日益高涨,马丁做客《Pod Save America》节目为自己不公布报告的决定辩护,这段采访随即 viral 传播。

    更让民主党总部内外的工作人员对他失去信任的是:这次采访之所以能成行,是因为他在白宫记者晚宴前一晚的一个由Grindr赞助的派对上与主持人对峙后才同意的,此前主持人因复盘报告的事对他发难过于严厉。

    多位民主党全国委员会的前捐赠者告诉马丁,他们不会再捐款——民主党全国委员会目前相比资金充裕的共和党对手已负债累累——而马丁对复盘报告的处理方式让他们愤怒不已。另有一些捐赠者撤回了此前承诺的捐款。与此同时,马丁在私下谈话中仍将资金困境归咎于哈里斯竞选团队留下的债务,尽管哈里斯此后为民主党全国委员会筹集的资金远超这一数额。

    直到几天前,民主党全国委员会内部也只有少数工作人员看过部分复盘报告。知情人士透露,马丁曾多次在以为其他人拿到报告时陷入恐慌。但在CNN获取到报告内容的大量细节,包括部分由AI模型生成的捐赠者闭门会议演示幻灯片后,民主党全国委员会官员将他们手中的全部材料交给了CNN,经独立核实,周四发布的这份报告与另一版本的文件一致。

    据民主党全国委员会称,CNN发布的版本缺少包括结论在内的关键章节,因为这些章节并未提交。报告中还存在事实错误,比如拼写错前新泽西州州长乔恩·科尔津和前肯塔基州州长马特·贝文的名字,还错误列出了2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举的得票优势。

    民主党全国委员会在报告中加入了自己对里维拉论点的反驳,并附带一份免责声明,称“本报告仅反映作者个人观点,不代表民主党全国委员会立场。民主党全国委员会未收到本报告中许多主张的原始素材、采访记录或支持数据,因此无法独立核实其中提出的主张。”

    马丁向CNN发表声明,为自己处理复盘报告的方式道歉。

    “当选民主党全国委员会主席时,我委托开展了2024年大选的事后复盘,希望这份报告诚实透明,能为民主党未来提供切实可行的具体经验教训,”马丁说道。“去年年底我收到这份报告时,它还远未达到公开出版的标准,而且由于没有提供原始素材,我不得不重新开始。我不能出于诚意在这份报告上加盖民主党全国委员会的批准印章。

    “在去年11月民主党取得大胜后,我不想制造分心事件,但我没有公布报告,反而造成了更大的分心。对此,我深表歉意。为充分透明起见,我将原样发布我们收到的这份完整报告,未作任何编辑和删减。它不符合我的标准,也不会符合你们的标准,但我之所以这么做,是因为人们需要信任民主党,信任我们的承诺。”

    里维拉拒绝置评。

    “没有哪一份文件能直接指出唯一可以做出不同选择的地方,能直接指出哪一个人可以通过不同的行为来弥补选举中的失误。这不是单一因素的问题,而是诸多因素共同作用的结果。而我们都知道这些因素是什么,”2024年大选期间担任密歇根民主党主席的拉沃拉·巴恩斯说道,她曾接受复盘报告的采访。

    “整件事之所以闹大,是因为对普通人来说它听起来很神秘,”巴恩斯补充道。“当然,这件事看起来比实际更严重,因为人们会觉得有人在隐瞒什么。”

    复盘报告内容一览——以及未被纳入的部分

    这份复盘报告指责拜登政府早在2024年6月总统辩论表现迫使拜登退选之前,就未能为哈里斯提供更多支持,尤其是在移民问题上——当时特朗普竞选团队将该问题与作为政府所谓“边境沙皇”的哈里斯绑定。

    报告分析了哈里斯在其失利的州以及北卡罗来纳州表现不如民主党参议院候选人的原因,同时承认北卡罗来纳州州长乔希·斯坦的对手是共和党副州长马克·罗宾逊,后者因CNN的KFILE栏目揭露其在色情网站上发布大量煽动性和种族主义言论而落选。

    例如,报告援引与民主党州长协会和民主党检察长协会的对话,就哈里斯表现落后于斯坦的原因得出了若干明确结论,最终提出:“候选人素质和知名度对所有下议院选举都很重要,但某些选举动态不会在整个选票中均匀转移。竞选团队需要构建自己的对比和定位。”

    但报告回避了许多自2024年以来导致民主党内部分裂的话题:拜登决定再次参选、哈里斯未经提名程序就成为候选人,以及该竞选团队关于加沙战争的立场如何影响了密歇根等关键州的民主党选民。

    去年10月,在弗吉尼亚州米德尔堡一家酒店举行的民主党全国委员会全国财务委员会顶级捐赠者闭门会议上,里维拉进行了长达一小时的演示,幻灯片部分直接来自报告,部分则是将他的研究结果输入AI引擎生成的。

    其中一张向CNN展示的幻灯片包含柱状图,比较了哈里斯、蒂姆·瓦尔兹、唐纳德·特朗普和JD·万斯的演讲、新闻发布会、活动、采访和播客数量,指出特朗普和万斯的露面次数多于哈里斯和瓦尔兹。

    另一张幻灯片则按“内容/主题”追踪候选人的“关注领域”,声称特朗普和万斯对移民问题的关注次数是哈里斯的数倍。里维拉使用了一种不明确的分类方法,为特朗普、哈里斯及其竞选搭档的10类内容或主题分配百分比。每个候选人的百分比总和都远高于100%。

    看过部分复盘报告或演示的人士反应不一,有人大开眼界,也有人不屑一顾。

    “这是一份非常严谨的文件,应该公之于众,”一位看过捐赠者演示的人士说道。

    “逻辑混乱,”另一位人士说道。

    对流程和时机的不满

    马丁是在前马里兰州州长马丁·奥马利在自己竞选民主党全国委员会主席的冷门竞选中将复盘报告作为议题提出后,才提出开展这项工作的。马丁上任后,甚至私下批评前主席汤姆·佩雷斯隐瞒希拉里·克林顿2016年失利复盘报告的决定。

    他邀请目前定居德克萨斯州的资深但低调的民主党人士里维拉负责这项工作。两人关系密切,这一点是优势,但马丁也看中里维拉未曾参与民主党全国委员会或哈里斯竞选团队,因此可以保持独立。

    当时和现在的其他参与人士都指出,问题在于里维拉自2004年约翰·克里竞选团队的糟糕经历后,就再也没有参与过总统竞选活动。许多了解里维拉的人形容他的观点精明却 unconventional,但也表示他在对话中往往带着预设立场。

    尽管马丁将复盘报告列为优先事项,但他让里维拉以兼职志愿者的身份负责这项工作,同时还要兼顾其他客户。里维拉有时会说,他只能在上午9点前、晚上7点后或周末接受采访。马丁对里维拉的工作限制极严,以至于最高级别的工作人员只能偶尔提出一些建议,告知他应该考虑联系哪些人。

    到了原计划完成报告的春季末,里维拉才联系了摇摆州的民主党州主席。多位州主席认为,他们只是被用来验证马丁和里维拉早已得出的结论。

    “我感觉自己属于这样一类人:作为民主党全国委员会的利益相关者,可能有一些挫败感想要倾诉,比如党的忠实支持者没有被倾听,”一位州主席告诉CNN。

    “很明显,这更像是肯对民主党未来的看法,基于2024年大选的视角,而不是‘复盘报告’,”另一位参与此事的人士说道。

    直到去年9月,也就是他开展工作数月后,里维拉才试图联系哈里斯竞选团队的关键助手。他后来告诉人们,他原本就打算将哈里斯团队作为最后一站,因为他想先收集其他信息。但拖延这么久让竞选团队助手心生疑虑。

    据知情人士透露,里维拉最终多次错过去年的截止日期。直到感恩节后,马丁才拿到一份文件,多位人士称这份文件充其量只是半成品。

    里维拉联系了谁、又没联系谁,部分揭示了他所撰写内容的问题所在。尽管民主党全国委员会称里维拉和其他人对“来自全美50个州的消息人士”进行了“数百次采访”,但据多位参与人士透露,他直到去年9月才开始与拜登和哈里斯竞选团队的负责人交谈。

    未接受采访的人士包括:拜登、哈里斯或瓦尔兹。高层战略家,包括拜登助手迈克·多尼隆、安妮塔·邓恩、史蒂夫·里切蒂和布鲁斯·里德,以及哈里斯的核心决策人士如珍·奥马利·狄龙、斯蒂芬妮·卡特和大卫·普洛夫,也都未接受采访。哈里斯的亲密助手希拉·尼克斯、柯尔斯滕·艾伦、艾琳·威尔逊、布莱恩·法伦和贾莉莎·华盛顿-普莱斯,以及瓦尔兹的随行幕僚长萨姆·科纳尔——他也曾担任民主党全国委员会执行主任,同样未接受采访。

    大多数人从未被邀请,参与的人更是少之又少,不过竞选团队副经理罗布·弗莱厄蒂参加了Zoom通话,提出了关于打造有机品牌而非付费品牌的想法,以及哈里斯参选的理由为何不明确。弗莱厄蒂后来在《The Bulwark》上发表了自己向里维拉讲述的内容。

    负责竞选团队民调与分析的丽贝卡·西格尔与其他几位民调专家和筹款人一起接受了里维拉的采访。里维拉没有向西格尔索要竞选团队的付费媒体计划、追踪民调结果和广告测试结果,这些数据能更深入地反映哪些策略有效、哪些无效。

    在2024年大选中接替马丁担任民主党全国委员会主席的杰米·哈里森,直到去年9月底才与里维拉交谈,此时项目早已逾期,而且还是哈里森主动联系里维拉才得以成行。

    支持巴勒斯坦的中东研究所负责人声称,里维拉曾同意拜登对以色列的政策是“净负面因素”,并随后传阅了一份CNN获取的信件,称民主党全国委员会“压制这份报告的动机,至少部分是因为他们发现对以色列的支持对民主党来说是选举负担”。但据知情人士透露,里维拉并没有相关数据,复盘报告中也未包含此类结论。

    关于哈里斯应该就加沙问题发表何种言论的辩论双方核心领袖都未接到关于复盘报告的采访邀请。他们包括支持哈里斯的佐治亚州众议员、巴勒斯坦裔美国人鲁瓦·罗曼,以及领导“未承诺”运动的其他领袖——该运动推动了初选抗议投票,并争取在民主党全国代表大会上安排支持巴勒斯坦的发言人。犹太民主党委员会首席执行官哈利·索伊弗也未接到采访邀请,民主党多数为以色列游说团体的官员同样未被联系。

    “这种缺乏好奇心的态度实在令人费解,”罗曼告诉CNN。

    少数为复盘报告辩护的人士认为,民主党全国委员会需要的是系统性分析,而非被某一场选举的特定情况束缚,他们承认马丁收到的文件未完成,但表示仍值得在此基础上推进——不过他们拒绝了CNN要求将他们的论点署名发表的请求。

    一些人称,包括采访笔记和转录内容在内的基础研究已从民主党全国委员会服务器上删除。但一位熟悉流程的民主党全国委员会消息人士告诉CNN,里维拉甚至没有提供他采访过的人员名单、笔记或录音。该消息人士还称,他也没有提供高级竞选领导层交给他的部分数据。

    围绕复盘报告的争执早已超越了一份文件本身。随着民主党人为即将到来的漫长而激烈的总统初选以及随后同样漫长而激烈的大选做准备,多位资深幕僚和参与民主党全国委员会工作的人士认为,马丁对复盘报告的处理方式证明他不适合领导民主党。

    马丁的任期为四年,至2029年结束,只有他辞职才能被罢免。最近几周,他一直在走访潜在的党代会主办城市,并告诉许多人,他计划选定的不仅是2028年,还有2032年的主办地。

    与此同时,里维拉仍偶尔出现在国会山几个街区外的民主党全国委员会总部,因为他仍在管理与马丁共同构思的另一个项目——战略与创新办公室。多位助手表示,看到里维拉出现在民主党全国委员会总部会让士气大跌,因为这让他们想起他给团队带来的麻烦,以及马丁由此造成的更大混乱。

    为中期选举做准备的工作仍在加紧推进,但对话往往会回到复盘报告这件事上。里维拉常说“不能称之为复盘报告,因为民主党还没完蛋”,这句话现在被当作苦涩的笑话引用。

    “任何认为这一切都是恶意或蓄意的想法……”一位前民主党全国委员会官员叹了口气说道。“其实更像是《活宝三人组》式的乌龙闹剧。”

    尽管这场风波备受关注,但为民主党竞选2026年席位的幕僚们表示,他们早在几个月前就对这份报告能产生任何有用成果不抱希望了。

    一位参与此事的人士总结了接受CNN采访的许多人的感受:“从一开始就是个糟糕的主意。”

    Autopsy of the autopsy: How the DNC’s 2024 post-mortem turned into a crisis

    2026-05-21T14:00:08.417Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/21/politics/dnc-autopsy-inside-story

    First, the Democratic National Committee’s autopsy of the 2024 election was slated to come out last spring. Then, DNC chair Ken Martin promised members at their summer meeting last August in his home state of Minnesota, “Three weeks.” Then October. Then after the November elections.

    Then, with Martin offering no explanation other than he suddenly didn’t want to look backward, he announced he wouldn’t be releasing it at all.

    Each delay fed a rat’s nest of self-serving conspiracy theories: Martin was trying to protect Kamala Harris as she considers another presidential run, Obama campaign alumni were protecting each other, high-priced consultants were trying to keep millions in fees from being revealed, or the party was trying to hide how voters reacted to the Gaza crisis.

    Or one of the most widespread: Maybe the autopsy didn’t even exist at all.

    It does. At least, a version does. CNN is publishing it in full, along with never-before-reported details of how what was meant to be a look at what went wrong for the Democratic Party instead turned into a fresh collection of blunders that continues to hang over the party a year and a half after Harris lost and has become a crisis for Martin and the DNC.

    EDITOR’S NOTE: Read the full autopsy here. CNN’s takeaways from the autopsy are available here.

    Martin entrusted a top priority to a friend, Democratic consultant Paul Rivera, who volunteered to work on it part-time and waited several months to contact key officials with Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ campaigns. Many top decision-makers in the campaigns were ultimately never interviewed, and Harris herself has expressed frustration privately that questions about the document have gone on.

    Meanwhile, with public demands to see the autopsy growing, Martin booked himself onto “Pod Save America” to defend his decision not to release it, in an interview that immediately went viral.

    Sapping faith in him even further among Democratic operatives inside and outside party headquarters: The interview only happened because he agreed to it after confronting the hosts at a Grindr-sponsored party the night before the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, annoyed they were giving him too hard of a time over the autopsy.

    Multiple past donors to the DNC, which is already in debt compared with its cash-flush Republican counterpart, have told Martin they will not write checks because of how he handled the autopsy. Others have clawed back promised donations in their fury over his decision to hold the report. Martin, meanwhile, has continued in private conversations to blame the money troubles on debt left over from Harris’ campaign, though she has since raised more money than that for the DNC.

    Until just days ago, only a few staff at the DNC had seen even part of the autopsy. People familiar with the matter say Martin seemed to panic at several points when he thought others had gotten hold of it. But after CNN obtained extensive details about its contents, including slides from a presentation at a donor retreat that were in part generated using an AI model, DNC officials turned what they say is the entirety of what they have over to CNN, which independently verified the report published Thursday matches another version of the document.

    The version CNN is publishing is missing key sections, including a conclusion, because those sections weren’t submitted, according to the DNC. There are factual errors, from misspellings of the names of former New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine and former Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin to incorrectly listing the margin of victory in the 2024 race for North Carolina governor.

    The DNC included in the document its own rebuttals of arguments Rivera makes and a disclaimer that the report “reflects the views of the author, not the DNC. The DNC was not provided with the underlying sourcing, interviews, or supporting data for many of the assertions contained herein and therefore cannot independently verify the claims presented.”

    Martin issued a statement to CNN apologizing for how he handled the autopsy.

    “When I was elected DNC chair, I commissioned an after action review of the 2024 election that I wanted to be honest and transparent, and with actionable and specific takeaways for the future of the Democratic Party,” Martin said. “When I received the report late last year, it wasn’t ready for primetime — not even close — and because no source material was provided, it would have meant starting over. I could not in good faith put the DNC’s stamp of approval on the report that was produced.

    “After last November’s massive Democratic wins, I didn’t want to create a distraction, but by not putting the report out, I ended up creating an even bigger distraction. For that, I sincerely apologize. For full transparency, I am releasing the report as we received it, in its entirety, unedited and unabridged. It does not meet my standards, and it won’t meet your standards, but I am doing this because people need to be able to trust the Democratic Party and trust our word.”

    Rivera declined to comment.

    “There’s no document that’s going to point directly to the one thing that could have been done differently, the one person who could have behaved differently to fix what happen in the election. It’s not on this one thing. It’s many, many things. And we all know what those many things were,” said Lavora Barnes, the Michigan Democratic Party chair during the 2024 election, who was interviewed for the autopsy.

    “It’s become this whole thing because it sounds mysterious to people,” Barnes added. “Of course it seems like a bigger deal than it was because it seems like something is being hidden.”

    What’s in the autopsy – and what’s not

    The autopsy accuses the Biden administration of not doing more to boost Harris long before the president’s June 2024 debate performance forced him to withdraw, particularly on immigration given the Trump campaign tying the issue to her as the administration’s so-called “border czar.”

    It analyzes why Harris underperformed Democratic Senate candidates in states she lost as well as North Carolina Gov. Josh Stein, while acknowledging Stein ran against Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, who lost after his extensive history of posting inflammatory and racist comments on a pornography website was revealed by CNN’s KFILE.

    Citing conversations with the Democratic Governors Association and Democratic Attorneys General Association, for example, the document has several firm conclusions about why Harris ran behind Stein, building to the assertion: “Candidate quality and name recognition matter for all down ballot races, but some dynamics don’t transfer uniformly across the ballot. Campaigns need to build their own contrast and definition.”

    But it avoids many of the topics that have divided the party since 2024: Biden’s decision to run again, Harris taking over as the nominee without a nominating process or how the ticket’s positions on the war in Gaza affected Democrats in key states like Michigan.

    At the DNC National Finance Committee’s retreat for top donors at a hotel in Middleburg, Virginia, last October, Rivera gave an hourlong presentation with slides in part drawn directly from the report, in part via running his findings through an AI engine.

    One slide shared with CNN had a bar graph that compared the number of speeches, press conferences, events, interviews and podcasts for Harris, Tim Walz, Donald Trump and JD Vance. It pointed to Trump and Vance making more appearances than Harris and Walz.

    Another tracked the candidates’ “areas of focus” by “content/theme” to argue that Trump and Vance focused many times more on immigration than Harris did. Rivera used an unclear methodology for the breakdown, assigning percentages to 10 categories of content or theme for Trump, Harris and their running mates. The percentages in every column, one for each candidate, added up to well over 100%.

    The reactions of those who have seen parts of the autopsy or the presentation have been a mix of eyes being opened and eyes being rolled.

    “This is a very high-integrity document that needs to see the light of day,” said one of the people who saw the donor presentation.

    “Not cogent,” said another.

    Complaints about process and timing

    Martin called for an autopsy only after former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley made an issue of it in his own long-shot race for DNC chair. Once he did, Martin locked in, even ripping in private conversations former chair Tom Perez’s decision to withhold an autopsy of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 loss.

    He asked Rivera, a longtime but low-profile Democratic hand based now in Texas, to be in charge. They were close, which helped, but Martin also liked that Rivera hadn’t been involved with the DNC or the Harris campaign, so he could be independent.

    The problem, others involved argued then and now, is that Rivera hadn’t worked on any presidential bid since an inglorious turn on John Kerry’s campaign in 2004. Many who know Rivera describe him as having a savvy yet unconventional point of view, but say he also comes into conversations with a preset viewpoint.

    Though he’d set the autopsy as a priority, Martin decided to have Rivera in charge as a part-time volunteer while juggling other clients. Rivera would sometimes say he was available to conduct interviews only before 9 a.m., after 7 p.m. or on weekends. Martin kept him so siloed that the most senior staff could do was occasionally chip in with suggestions of people he should consider contacting.

    By late spring, after the original timeframe to have the report finished, Rivera reached out to the state party chairs in the battleground states. Several believed they were simply being used to validate conclusions Martin and Rivera had already made.

    “I felt like I was in the category of people who are DNC stakeholders who might have some frustration they want to vent about how the party faithful weren’t listened to,” one state party chair told CNN.

    “It was very clear that it felt like Ken’s theory of the case for the future of the party through the lens of 2024, as opposed to ‘autopsy,’” said another who spoke for it.

    Not until September, several months into his review, did Rivera try to reach out to key Harris campaign aides. He has told people since that he always meant for the Harris team to be his last stop since he wanted to gather other information first. But holding out that long made campaign aides suspicious.

    Rivera ultimately blew past several deadlines last year in finishing the autopsy, according to people familiar with the matter. It wasn’t until after Thanksgiving that Martin got a document that multiple people say was at best unfinished.

    Who Rivera reached out to, and who he didn’t, tells part of the story of what he was producing. While the DNC has said Rivera and others conducted “hundreds of interviews” with “sources from all 50 states,” he didn’t start to talk to the people who ran the Biden and Harris campaigns until September, according to multiple people involved.

    Among those not included in interviews: Biden, Harris or Walz. Top strategists, including Biden aides Mike Donilon, Anita Dunn, Steve Ricchetti and Bruce Reed, and top Harris decision-makers like Jen O’Malley Dillon, Stephanie Cutter and David Plouffe, weren’t interviewed either. Neither were close Harris aides Sheila Nix, Kirsten Allen, Erin Wilson, Brian Fallon and Jalisa Washington-Price, or Sam Cornale, the Walz traveling chief of staff who had also been executive director of the DNC.

    Most were never asked and even fewer participated, though deputy campaign manager Rob Flaherty came to Zoom calls with ideas about building an organic brand versus a paid brand and how unclear Harris’ reasons for running came across. Flaherty has since published his own account of what he told Rivera in The Bulwark.

    Becca Siegel, who oversaw polling and analytics for the campaign, spoke to Rivera as did several other pollsters and fundraisers. Rivera did not ask Siegel for the campaign’s paid media plans, tracking polls and ad testing results, which go much deeper into what worked and what didn’t.

    Jaime Harrison, who preceded Martin as chair through the 2024 election, didn’t speak to Rivera until late September, months after the project was supposed to be complete and only after he reached out to offer.

    Leaders of the pro-Palestinian Institute for Middle East Understanding claimed that Rivera agreed that Biden’s policy toward Israel was a “net-negative” and later circulated a letter obtained by CNN claiming the DNC’s “suppression of this report is motivated, at least in part, by their finding that support for Israel is an electoral liability for the party.” But Rivera did not have that data, according to people familiar with the process, and the autopsy does not include any such findings.

    Key leaders on both sides of the debate over what Harris should have said about Gaza didn’t get a call about the autopsy. They included Ruwa Romman, a Georgia state representative and a Palestinian American who endorsed the vice president, and other leaders of the Uncommitted movement, which led the primary protest vote effort and push to get a pro-Palestinian speaker at the convention. Halie Soifer, the CEO of the Jewish Democratic Council of America, didn’t get a call either, nor did any officials at the Democratic Majority for Israel.

    “The lack of curiosity is honestly baffling to me,” Romman told CNN.

    The few defenders of the autopsy, who contend that the DNC needed a systemic analysis not caught up in the particular circumstances of one election, acknowledge the document Martin received wasn’t finished but say it was still worth building on — though they declined CNN’s requests to attach their names to these arguments.

    Some say underlying research, including notes and transcripts of interviews, was deleted from DNC servers. But a DNC source familiar with the process told CNN that Rivera didn’t provide even a list of names of people he spoke to, notes or recordings. Nor, the source said, did he provide some of the data that he was given to him by senior campaign leadership.

    The fight over the autopsy has become about much more than a document. As Democrats think ahead about the next long, bitter presidential primary battle leading into a long, bitter general election, multiple senior operatives and others involved with the DNC argue Martin’s handling of the autopsy proves he’s not ready to lead the party.

    Martin has a four-year term through 2029, and he can be removed only if he resigns. He’s spent the last few weeks making site visits to potential convention host cities and has told many he plans to pick the locations for not just 2028, but 2032.

    Rivera, meanwhile, has kept showing up occasionally at the DNC headquarters a few blocks from Capitol Hill, since he is still managing another project jointly conceived with Martin called the Office of Strategy and Innovation. Multiple aides say that seeing Rivera around the DNC makes morale nosedive, as they’re reminded of the mess he put them in, and the bigger mess Martin made out of it.

    Efforts continue to ramp up for the midterms, but conversations often come back to the autopsy. Rivera’s repeated line that they shouldn’t call it an autopsy because the DNC isn’t dead now gets quoted as a rueful joke.

    “The notion that any of this was nefarious or by design…” sighed one former DNC official. “It’s much more Keystone Kops than that.”

    For all the attention to the drama, operatives working to win 2026 races for Democrats say they months ago gave up on anything useful being produced.

    One person involved summarized the feelings of many interviewed by CNN: “This was a bad idea in the first place.”

  • 法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪


    2026年5月21日 23:49 / 联合早报

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪


    巴西海军于2009年6月8日发布的照片​​显示,潜水员正在打捞法航A330客机的部分尾翼残骸。这架客机于2009年6月1日从里约热内卢飞往巴黎途中在大西洋上空坠毁。 (法新社)


    法国巴黎上诉法院裁定,法国航空公司和空中客车两家企业在2009年法航AF447航班空难中“过失杀人”罪名成立。

    法院星期四(5月21日)宣布,这两家公司对空难负全部责任。作为法人,两家公司分别被判处22万5000欧元(约33万3900新元)的顶格罚金。法媒分析说,这对法航和空客来说虽是“象征性”的,但被判有罪将影响它们的企业形象。

    新华社报道,法院认定,空客作为失事飞机的制造商,低估了引发空难的皮托管(Pitot tube)严重隐患,且未能向运营商提供相关信息。法航作为飞机运营商,未能就皮托管故障对机组人员进行充分培训和提供相关信息。

    法航和空客在一审和上诉环节都否认上述指控,并作了无罪辩护,称空难过错在飞行员。2023年,法国法院一审曾判决两家公司没有刑事责任。遇难者家属获得赔偿。

    2009年5月31日,法航AF447航班一架空客A330客机从巴西里约热内卢起飞前往巴黎,6月1日凌晨在靠近巴西的大西洋海域上空失事坠毁,机上216名乘客和12名机组人员全部遇难。调查显示,失事客机遭遇了恶劣天气,导致皮托管结冰,飞行员和自动驾驶设备无法获得正确的高度和速度信息。

    皮托管又称空速管或航速测量仪,一般安装在机头正前方或垂尾等位置,通过仪器末端的感应器测量飞行中气流所产生压力,以此判断航速,并将数据传输给飞行员和自动驾驶设备。

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪

    2026年5月21日 23:49 / 联合早报

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪

    巴西海军于2009年6月8日发布的照片​​显示,潜水员正在打捞法航A330客机的部分尾翼残骸。这架客机于2009年6月1日从里约热内卢飞往巴黎途中在大西洋上空坠毁。 (法新社)

    法国巴黎上诉法院裁定,法国航空公司和空中客车两家企业在2009年法航AF447航班空难中“过失杀人”罪名成立。

    法院星期四(5月21日)宣布,这两家公司对空难负全部责任。作为法人,两家公司分别被判处22万5000欧元(约33万3900新元)的顶格罚金。法媒分析说,这对法航和空客来说虽是“象征性”的,但被判有罪将影响它们的企业形象。

    新华社报道,法院认定,空客作为失事飞机的制造商,低估了引发空难的皮托管(Pitot tube)严重隐患,且未能向运营商提供相关信息。法航作为飞机运营商,未能就皮托管故障对机组人员进行充分培训和提供相关信息。

    法航和空客在一审和上诉环节都否认上述指控,并作了无罪辩护,称空难过错在飞行员。2023年,法国法院一审曾判决两家公司没有刑事责任。遇难者家属获得赔偿。

    2009年5月31日,法航AF447航班一架空客A330客机从巴西里约热内卢起飞前往巴黎,6月1日凌晨在靠近巴西的大西洋海域上空失事坠毁,机上216名乘客和12名机组人员全部遇难。调查显示,失事客机遭遇了恶劣天气,导致皮托管结冰,飞行员和自动驾驶设备无法获得正确的高度和速度信息。

    皮托管又称空速管或航速测量仪,一般安装在机头正前方或垂尾等位置,通过仪器末端的感应器测量飞行中气流所产生压力,以此判断航速,并将数据传输给飞行员和自动驾驶设备。

  • 民主党全国委员会发布期待已久的2024年大选复盘报告


    2026年5月21日 / 美国东部时间上午11:07 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    华盛顿——美国民主党全国委员会周四发布了一份期待已久的2024年大选复盘报告。该报告被党主席肯·马丁封存了数月,最终在多方压力下公开,这份文件此前已令众多民主党人感到不安。

    “我们所有人都在问,民主党怎么会再次输给唐纳德·特朗普?我们是如何挥霍掉数十亿美元的?以及我们接下来该何去何从?”马丁在发布报告的声明中说道。“当我委托对2024年大选开展全面复盘时,我启动了一项旨在解答这些问题的流程,同时审视我们党在系统性和历史性层面存在的不足。”

    但马丁表示,他对最终成品“并不满意”,因为它“未达到我的标准”。他称自己之所以选择发布这份报告,是因为“透明度至关重要”。

    这份最终报告长达192页,每页都附带一则免责声明:“本文件仅反映作者个人观点,不代表民主党全国委员会立场。民主党全国委员会未收到本文中诸多论断所依据的原始素材、采访记录或佐证数据,因此无法独立验证文中提出的各项主张。”

    “去年年底我收到这份报告时,它还远未达到可以公开的水准。而且由于未提供任何原始素材,修改它意味着要从头再来——每一次谈话、每一场采访、每一组数据,都要重新来过。”马丁说道。

    这位党主席解释了自己最初扣留报告的决定,称他不想在去年民主党选举获胜后、以及今年中期选举来临之际“制造干扰”。

    “具有讽刺意味的是,我这么做反而引发了更大的争议。对此我深表歉意。”他说道。

    民主党人正面临党内分歧,此前许多人预计今年将是民主党人的“浪潮选举年”。例如,在全国民主党倾向最明显的宾夕法尼亚州第三国会选区,进步派候选人克里斯·拉布赢得了本周二的初选,将接替即将退休的众议员德怀特·埃文斯,击败了包括宾夕法尼亚州民主党前主席在内的其他三名候选人。

    政治战略家解读初选结果

    共和党、民主党战略家就特朗普盟友失利后的初选结果发表反应
    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/republican-democratic-strategists-react-to-primaries-results-after-trump-foe-loses/

    (06:09)

    DNC releases long-awaited autopsy on 2024 election

    May 21, 2026 / 11:07 AM EDT / CBS News

    Washington— The Democratic National Committee on Thursday released a long-awaited autopsy on the 2024 election that party chair Ken Martin has kept under wraps for months, bowing to pressure to unveil a document that has become a source of consternation for many Democrats.

    “How, we all asked, could Democrats have lost to Donald Trump again? How did we blow through billions of dollars? And where do we go from here?” Martin said in a statement announcing the release. “When I commissioned a comprehensive review of the 2024 election, I started a process to answer those questions while interrogating where our party has systemically and historically fallen short.”

    But Martin said he is “not proud” of the final product because it “does not meet my standards.” He said he was releasing it because “transparency is paramount.”

    The final document is 192 pages long, and includes this disclaimer on every page: “This document reflects the views of the author, not the DNC. The DNC was not provided with the underlying sourcing, interviews, or supporting data for many of the assertions contained herein and therefore cannot independently verify the claims presented.”

    “When I received the report late last year, it wasn’t ready for primetime. Not even close. And because no source material was provided, fixing it would have meant starting over, from the beginning — every conversation, every interview, every data set,” Martin said.

    The chairman explained his decision to initially withhold the report by saying he did not want to “create a distraction” following Democratic victories in last year’s elections and heading into this year’s midterms.

    “Ironically, in doing so, I ended up creating an even bigger distraction. And for that, I sincerely apologize,” he said.

    Democrats are grappling with intra-party divisions ahead of what many expect could be a “wave year” for them. For example, in Pennsylvania’s 3rd District — the most Democratic-leaning district in the country — progressive candidate Chris Rabb won Tuesday’s primary for retiring Rep. Dwight Evans’ seat, defeating three others, including the former chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.

    Political strategists on primaries results

    Republican, Democratic strategists react to primaries results after Trump foee loseshttps://www.cbsnews.com/video/republican-democratic-strategists-react-to-primaries-results-after-trump-foe-loses/

    (06:09)

  • 法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪


    2026年5月21日 23:49 / 联合早报

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪

    image)

    法国巴黎上诉法院裁定,法国航空公司和空中客车两家企业在2009年法航AF447航班空难中“过失杀人”罪名成立。

    法院星期四(5月21日)宣布,这两家公司对空难负全部责任。作为法人,两家公司分别被判处22万5000欧元(约33万3900新元)的顶格罚金。法媒分析说,这对法航和空客来说虽是“象征性”的,但被判有罪将影响它们的企业形象。

    新华社报道,法院认定,空客作为失事飞机的制造商,低估了引发空难的皮托管(Pitot tube)严重隐患,且未能向运营商提供相关信息。法航作为飞机运营商,未能就皮托管故障对机组人员进行充分培训和提供相关信息。

    法航和空客在一审和上诉环节都否认上述指控,并作了无罪辩护,称空难过错在飞行员。2023年,法国法院一审曾判决两家公司没有刑事责任。遇难者家属获得赔偿。

    2009年5月31日,法航AF447航班一架空客A330客机从巴西里约热内卢起飞前往巴黎,6月1日凌晨在靠近巴西的大西洋海域上空失事坠毁,机上216名乘客和12名机组人员全部遇难。调查显示,失事客机遭遇了恶劣天气,导致皮托管结冰,飞行员和自动驾驶设备无法获得正确的高度和速度信息。

    皮托管又称空速管或航速测量仪,一般安装在机头正前方或垂尾等位置,通过仪器末端的感应器测量飞行中气流所产生压力,以此判断航速,并将数据传输给飞行员和自动驾驶设备。

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪

    2026年5月21日 23:49 / 联合早报

    法国法院:法航空客在2009年空难中犯“过失杀人”罪

    巴西海军于2009年6月8日发布的照片​​显示,潜水员正在打捞法航A330客机的部分尾翼残骸。这架客机于2009年6月1日从里约热内卢飞往巴黎途中在大西洋上空坠毁。 (法新社)

    法国巴黎上诉法院裁定,法国航空公司和空中客车两家企业在2009年法航AF447航班空难中“过失杀人”罪名成立。

    法院星期四(5月21日)宣布,这两家公司对空难负全部责任。作为法人,两家公司分别被判处22万5000欧元(约33万3900新元)的顶格罚金。法媒分析说,这对法航和空客来说虽是“象征性”的,但被判有罪将影响它们的企业形象。

    新华社报道,法院认定,空客作为失事飞机的制造商,低估了引发空难的皮托管(Pitot tube)严重隐患,且未能向运营商提供相关信息。法航作为飞机运营商,未能就皮托管故障对机组人员进行充分培训和提供相关信息。

    法航和空客在一审和上诉环节都否认上述指控,并作了无罪辩护,称空难过错在飞行员。2023年,法国法院一审曾判决两家公司没有刑事责任。遇难者家属获得赔偿。

    2009年5月31日,法航AF447航班一架空客A330客机从巴西里约热内卢起飞前往巴黎,6月1日凌晨在靠近巴西的大西洋海域上空失事坠毁,机上216名乘客和12名机组人员全部遇难。调查显示,失事客机遭遇了恶劣天气,导致皮托管结冰,飞行员和自动驾驶设备无法获得正确的高度和速度信息。

    皮托管又称空速管或航速测量仪,一般安装在机头正前方或垂尾等位置,通过仪器末端的感应器测量飞行中气流所产生压力,以此判断航速,并将数据传输给飞行员和自动驾驶设备。