2026年3月22日 / 美国东部时间上午9:00 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
在评估一场战争时，美国人至少会考虑两件重要事情：海外目标是什么，以及它对国内的影响。
目前，美国人希望伊朗发生诸多变化：大多数人认为阻止其核计划、确保伊朗人民获得自由至关重要，而且既然冲突已经开始，战争结束时让伊朗政权继续掌权是不可接受的。
但他们表示，经济压力日益增大，因此尽快结束冲突也同样重要。
汽油价格上涨正加剧人们对美国整体经济的悲观情绪，人们担心其至少在短期内（如果不是长期的话）会产生负面影响。
这种不确定性背后，是越来越多的人认为特朗普政府未能解释清楚情况。大多数人称这是一场“选择之战”，而非“必要之战”。
总体而言，大多数美国人认为目前的冲突进展不顺利，尽管总统的大部分共和党支持者仍在继续支持他，部分原因是他们对他个人抱有很大信心。
对汽油价格和经济的影响
人们认为这场战争无论是短期还是长期都在推高汽油价格。
尽管政府呼吁民众保持耐心，但人们并不认为这场战争会改善美国经济。事实上，至少在短期内，大多数人认为这会削弱经济。
认为美国将陷入衰退的情绪正在回升，而对当前经济的看法则有所下降。
与此同时，注意到物价上涨的人群比例急剧上升。
在是否愿意为冲突期间的汽油价格上涨付出更多这一点上，人们并不认为美国人应该这样做。
对战争的评估
大多数美国人认为到目前为止与伊朗的冲突进展不佳。持这种看法的主要是那些一开始就不支持这场冲突的人。
那些认为进展不顺利的人普遍感到不确定：他们觉得自己没有从特朗普政府那里得到解释。许多人不确定战争会持续多久。他们看不到任何回报，无论是让美国更安全，还是让经济更强劲。
那么现在情况如何：人们对未来的看法可能是怎样的？
在列出的美国潜在目标中，对美国人来说最重要的目标仅仅是尽快结束战争。
但对大多数美国人来说，还有其他同样重要的目标，包括确保伊朗人民获得自由和阻止伊朗的核计划。
而让政权继续掌权的战争结局对大多数人来说是不可接受的。
如果目标与尽快结束战争之间的愿望似乎相互矛盾，这与持续要求政府提供更多解释的呼声相呼应。
如今，认为政府清楚解释了美国目标的人比战争开始时还要少。
略低于一半的人认为美国将有必要派遣地面部队。无论人们是否认为美国进展顺利，对此的看法大致存在分歧。
然而，从国家安全角度来看，并没有更广泛的感知收益。略多于三分之一的人认为这场冲突即使在长期也会让美国更安全。
关于冲突将持续多久也存在很大不确定性。大多数人认为冲突将持续数月，甚至数年。近三分之一的人不确定。
自战争开始以来，对美国在伊朗军事行动的反对声有所增加，而且人们认为冲突持续的时间越长，反对声就越高。
支撑这一点的是：美国人认为这是一场“选择之战”，而非“必要之战”。
来自总统支持者的支持——但在其他群体中支持度较低
“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）运动的支持者仍然支持特朗普和这场战争。即使他们认为战争可能会持续很长时间，他们仍然对他有信心，并且压倒性地支持他处理这一局势的方式。
从背景来看，MAGA支持者的这种支持模式与我们多年来在其他问题（包括军事问题）上看到的情况一致。
对特朗普的看法仍然是所有这些的核心。对大多数美国人来说，对战争的支持以及认为战争进展顺利与否，与他们是否对特朗普有信心密切相关。
MAGA共和党人还表示，特朗普正在兑现他在2024年竞选活动中对伊朗做出的承诺。
总统特朗普的总体支持率与冲突开始前几乎没有变化。几个月来，他的支持率一直维持在40%或略低于40%的水平。他继续获得共和党人的强烈支持。
但在具体措施方面，包括处理经济和通货膨胀，他的得分相对低于总体支持率。而且在这些问题上，他在共和党人中的支持率不如在移民问题上的支持率高。
总之，支持对伊朗采取行动的人主要是共和党人，他们对特朗普有信心，认为这场冲突正在增强美国在世界上的地位，并能提升美国的安全。他们认为这是一场“必要之战”，而非“选择之战”。
反对采取行动的人往往是大量民主党人和没有党派倾向的独立人士，他们认为这会使美国（无论长期还是短期）变得不那么安全，并且认为冲突将持续数月、数年，或者对其持续时间不确定。
*
本次哥伦比亚广播公司新闻/优阁（YouGov）民调是对3335名美国成年人进行的全国代表性抽样调查，调查时间为2026年3月17日至20日。样本根据性别、年龄、种族、教育程度以及2024年总统选举情况进行加权处理，以符合美国人口普查局美国社区调查和当前人口调查的数据。误差范围为±2.1个百分点。
Iran war, rising gas prices fuel economic concerns; most say conflict not going well, don’t want regime left in power, CBS News poll finds
March 22, 2026 / 9:00 AM EDT / CBS News
When gauging a war, Americans consider at least two important things: what the goals are overseas and its impact back home.
Right now, Americans want a lot of things to happen in Iran: Most feel it’s important to stop its nuclear program, ensure the Iranian people are free, and, now that the conflict is underway, that it would be unacceptable to leave the Iranian regime in power at the end of it.
But it’s also important to end the conflict as fast as possible, they say, with growing economic pressure back home.
Rising gas prices are fueling some pessimism about the U.S. economy more broadly, with concerns about negative impacts on it in at least the near-term, if not the long term.
That uncertainty is underpinned by a rising number of people who feel the Trump administration hasn’t explained things. Most call it a war of choice, not of necessity.
In all, most Americans feel the conflict isn’t going well right now, though it gets continued support from most of the president’s Republican base, in part because they express a lot of confidence in him personally.
Impact on gas prices and the economy
People see the war as impacting rising gas prices, both in the short and long term.
Despite calls by the administration for patience, people don’t think the war will improve the U.S. economy. In fact, most see it weakening it in the short term, at least.
Feelings that the U.S. will head into a recession are trending back up, while current views of the economy have ticked back down.
This comes alongside a sharp upsurge in the percentage of people who’ve noticed rising prices.
In terms of possible patience or making sacrifice, they don’t think Americans ought to be willing to pay more for gas during the conflict.
Evaluating the war
Most Americans don’t think the conflict with Iran is going well so far. It’s predominantly those who don’t approve of the conflict in the first place who hold this view. .
The people who don’t think it’s going well express a collective uncertainty: they don’t feel they’ve gotten an explanation from the Trump administration. Many aren’t sure how long it will last. They don’t see payoffs, not in making the U.S. safer, nor in making the economy stronger.
So what now: How might people evaluate things going forward?
From a list of potential U.S. goals, most important to Americans is simply to see the war end as quickly as possible.
But there are other goals important to most Americans, too, including making sure Iran’s people are free and stopping Iran’s nuclear programs.
And it would be unacceptable to most to end with the regime still in power.
If those desires between goals and a fast end seem contradictory, it connects to the continued call for more explanation from the administration.
Even fewer today than when the war started say the administration has clearly explained the U.S.’ goals.
Just under half think U.S. ground troops will be necessary. Views are roughly split on this, whether one believes things are going well for the U.S. or not.
There isn’t a wider perceived payoff, though, in terms of the nation’s safety. Just over a third think the conflict will make the U.S. safer even in the long term.
There’s also plenty of uncertainty about how long this will last. Most think this will go on for months, if not years. Almost a third aren’t sure.
Disapproval of the U.S. military action in Iran has grown since the start of the war, and the longer people think the conflict will last, the more disapproval there is.
Underpinning that: Americans see this as a war of choice, not a war of necessity.
Backing from the president’s base — but less so beyond it
MAGA remains behind Trump and the war. They have confidence in him, even when they think it might last a long time, and they overwhelmingly approve of how he’s handling the situation.
Contextually, this pattern of support from MAGA is in keeping with what we’ve seen on other matters — across all subjects, including military ones — over the years.
Views of Trump remain central to all this. For most Americans, approval of the war and how it’s going is closely tied to whether they have confidence in him or not.
MAGA Republicans also say Trump is doing what he promised in the 2024 campaign regarding Iran.
President Trump’s overall approval rating is virtually unchanged from before the start of the conflict. It has been at 40% or in the low 40s for many months. He continues to draw strong backing from Republicans.
But on specific measures, including on handling the economy and inflation, he gets relatively lower marks than overall. And he doesn’t do as well with Republicans on those as he does on immigration.
In sum, those approving of the action against Iran are largely Republicans, who have confidence in him, who think the conflict is making the U.S. position in the world stronger, and that it bolsters U.S. safety. They see it as a war of necessity, not choice.
People disapproving of the action tend to be a lot of Democrats and independents without the partisan attachment to the president, who believe it will make the U.S. less safe (in both the long and short-term), and who think it will last months, if not years, or are uncertain about its duration.
*
This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of 3,335 U.S. adults interviewed between March 17-20, 2026. The sample was weighted to be representative of adults nationwide according to gender, age, race, and education, based on the U.S. Census American Community Survey and Current Population Survey, as well as 2024 presidential vote. The margin of error is ±2.1 points.