谈判双方在铀浓缩权利及据估算足以制造多枚核武器的库存问题上仍存在分歧
2026年6月9日 美国东部时间上午10:56 / 福克斯新闻
作者：摩根·菲利普斯
伊以袭击后和谈陷入停滞
福克斯新闻记者马克斯·戈登与卢卡斯·汤姆林森报道了唐纳德·特朗普总统呼吁立即实现伊以停火的表态。美国退役海军陆战队上校迈克·杰尼根在《美国报道》节目中讨论了此次袭击及当前的谈判进程。
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尽管外交进程进展缓慢、铀浓缩问题悬而未决，且上周末停火协议险些破裂，唐纳德·特朗普总统仍持续表现出信心，认为与伊朗达成最终核协议仍指日可待。
“我们正处于一项非常、非常棒的协议的最后阶段，”特朗普在麦迪逊广场花园观看NBA总决赛第三场后对记者表示，并补充称协议将在“两三天内”达成。
过去两个月里，特朗普数十次暗示协议即将达成，但几乎没有公开迹象显示双方已弥合令谈判复杂化的核心分歧。据美国有线电视新闻网统计，自“史诗暴怒行动”启动以来，特朗普至少38次表示协议近在咫尺。
尽管多次预测协议即将达成，但谈判仍因铀浓缩、制裁解除以及伊朗不断增加的浓缩铀库存问题陷入公开僵局。不过，政府官员和外部分析人士表示，对伊朗施加的经济压力、脆弱但仍存续的停火协议，以及重启冲突的高昂代价，或许可以解释特朗普为何仍相信协议能够达成。
特朗普与内塔尼亚胡将在白宫举行事关伊朗与加沙计划的高风险会谈
仅在5月，特朗普就曾称协议“基本谈妥”，随后又表示他正在做出“最终决定”，如今则称协议可能在数日内达成。
前国家安全委员会官员迈克尔·辛格表示，特朗普的信心或许既反映了总统的谈判风格，也反映了一个现实：尽管近期发生军事交锋，但华盛顿和伊朗似乎都不愿放弃外交努力。
“展现乐观是特朗普总统的一贯作风，”辛格告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，并补充称尽管近期发生军事交锋，“我们并未看到任何一方坚定地寻求其他替代方案。”
2025年6月13日周五，伊朗德黑兰发生爆炸后升起浓烟。以色列于周五早些时候袭击了伊朗首都，德黑兰多地传出爆炸声。（盖蒂图片社）
特朗普在4月7日宣布停火时曾表示，谈判“进展非常顺利”，但协议需要两周时间“最终敲定并完成签署”。
“以色列和伊朗双方都希望立即实现停火！‘和平’的最终谈判正在推进，除非出现无知或愚蠢的干扰。封锁将持续存在并全面生效，直至达成‘最终协议’。相关事宜应会迅速推进，”特朗普周一在Truth Social上发帖称。
这种乐观情绪的背景是，谈判代表仍在伊朗核计划的核心内容上存在分歧，且近期的军事交锋一度险些破坏以色列与伊朗之间脆弱的休战状态。
“伊朗迫切希望达成协议，因为‘史诗暴怒行动’、‘经济暴怒行动’以及封锁行动取得了历史性成功。旨在阻止伊朗获得核武器的协议谈判正在快速推进，进展十分顺利，”一名白宫官员告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
“正如总统所言，他只会为美国人民达成一份好协议。他不会仓促达成一份糟糕的协议。得益于‘史诗暴怒行动’、‘经济暴怒行动’以及封锁行动的成功，特朗普总统掌握着主动权，并有充足时间为美国和世界达成最佳协议。”
特朗普展现信心之际，正是以色列与伊朗自停火协议生效以来首次交火之时，同时特朗普告诉《金融时报》，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将“别无选择”，只能接受美国斡旋下的伊美协议。
2025年6月13日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在麦迪逊广场花园观看NBA总决赛第三场后对记者发表讲话。（亚历克斯·布兰登/美联社照片）
上周末，以色列与伊朗之间爆发新的交火，令停火协议本身显得岌岌可危，促使特朗普公开敦促双方保持克制，并警告进一步升级可能危及正在进行的谈判。
不过到周一，双方均释放出避免更大规模对抗的信号。内塔尼亚胡表示，在与特朗普磋商后，以色列将“停火”，而伊朗则表示其最新一轮攻击已告一段落，除非遭遇进一步挑衅。
辛格称，双方似乎都在试图向对方施压以达成协议，而非准备谈判破裂。
为何特朗普与伊朗在可能结束战争的协议上看似天差地别
“这看起来确实已到了敲定细节的阶段，”辛格说，“但当然，细节问题可能相当棘手。”
2026年6月7日发布的视频显示，伊朗向以色列未知地点发射导弹。（泳池/WANA/路透社）
尽管进行了数月谈判，各方仍在伊朗核计划问题上存在根本性分歧。但看好协议达成前景的分析人士常常指出，伊朗正面临越来越大的压力。
前财政部制裁官员、防务民主基金会高级研究员米亚德·马莱基认为，伊朗面临的经济和外交压力与日俱增，最终可能迫使该政权重新考虑其迄今拒绝放弃的立场。
“封锁持续一天，伊朗距离全面经济崩溃就更近一步，”马莱基告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，并指出该国国内的通货膨胀、燃油短缺以及日益加剧的经济紧张局势。
马莱基认为，在停火期间，伊朗的立场已经恶化，他援引持续的经济压力、新增制裁以及冲突期间高级政权官员的损失作为例证。
“该政权在经济和外交上都承受着巨大压力，”他说。
这种压力或许可以解释，为何尽管进展缓慢，政府官员仍认为外交是可行的途径。
特朗普政府坚持认为，不能允许伊朗继续进行铀浓缩活动，辩称即使是民用浓缩能力也可能为伊朗提供通往核武器的途径。与此同时，伊朗官员坚称，他们有权为和平能源目的进行铀浓缩，并抵制要求永久停止伊朗境内浓缩活动的提议。
谈判代表还在伊朗铀库存的命运问题上争执不下。
在国际原子能机构失去对关键设施的核查权限之前，该机构估算伊朗拥有约440公斤纯度为60%的浓缩铀——仅略低于武器级纯度，如果进一步浓缩，足以制造多枚核武器。
这些未解决的分歧加剧了外界对突破性进展是否真的即将到来的质疑。但伊朗并非唯一面临避免重启冲突压力的一方。
这场冲突已推高能源价格，扰乱全球航运航线，分析人士警告称，即使海上交通立即恢复，经济余波可能仍将持续数月。
在最近一次福克斯新闻数字频道的采访中，Kpler石油分析师马特·史密斯表示，由于受困油轮、库存积压以及基础设施受损等物流瓶颈问题，全球能源流动可能要到今年第四季度才能恢复正常。
美国军方一直在霍尔木兹海峡实施海上封锁，即便在停火期间也是如此。（美国中央司令部）
穆迪分析公司估算，过去三个月来，这场冲突通过推高燃油、运输及相关成本，已使美国家庭损失约1000亿美元。
特朗普的信心与他和内塔尼亚胡在如何处理伊朗问题上日益公开的分歧不期而遇。
总统近日表示，内塔尼亚胡将“别无选择”，只能接受与德黑兰的协议，此番言论加剧了外界对华盛顿与耶路撒冷之间分歧日益加大的猜测。
以色列国防部前研究员埃胡德·艾拉姆表示，以色列与美国的目标都是阻止伊朗获得核武器，但往往从不同的战略视角应对这一挑战。
“与伊朗对美国构成的威胁相比，伊朗对以色列的威胁要大得多，”艾拉姆告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
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艾拉姆还认为，华盛顿通过军事援助和武器转让，对以色列的决策拥有重大影响力。
“美国如今及未来向以色列交付武器和弹药，让特朗普政府拥有了重要筹码，足以说服以色列接受与伊朗的协议，”他说。
Trump keeps forecasting an Iran deal — why the White House still thinks it can happen
Negotiators remain divided over enrichment rights and a stockpile estimated at enough material for multiple nuclear weapons
June 9, 2026 10:56am EDT / Fox News
By Morgan Phillips
Peace talks in limbo after Iran and Israel strikes
Fox News correspondents Max Gorden and Lucas Tomlinson report on President Donald Trump’s call for an immediate Iran-Israel ceasefire. Retired U.S. Marine Col. Mike Jernigan discusses the strikes and ongoing negotiations on ‘America Reports.’
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President Donald Trump is continuing to project confidence that a final nuclear agreement with Iran remains within reach despite months of slow-moving diplomacy, unresolved disputes over uranium enrichment and a ceasefire that appeared at risk of unraveling over the weekend.
“We’re in the final throes of what will be a very, very good deal,” Trump told reporters after attending the third game of the NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden, adding that it would come in “two or three days.”
Trump has suggested dozens of times over the past two months that a deal is just around the corner, yet little public evidence has emerged that the sides have bridged the core disputes that have complicated negotiations. Since the start of Operation Epic Fury, the president has said a deal was close at least 38 times, according to a CNN count.
Despite months of predictions that a deal was imminent, negotiations remain publicly deadlocked over uranium enrichment, sanctions relief and Iran’s growing stockpile of enriched uranium. Yet administration officials and outside analysts say a combination of economic pressure on Iran, a fragile but surviving ceasefire and the high costs of renewed conflict may explain why Trump continues to believe an agreement is achievable.
TRUMP, NETANYAHU TO MEET AT WHITE HOUSE IN HIGH-STAKES TALKS ON IRAN, GAZA PLAN
In May alone, Trump said a deal as “largely negotiated,” later suggested he was making a “final determination” and now says an agreement could arrive within days.
Former National Security Council official Michael Singh said Trump’s confidence likely reflects both the president’s negotiating style and the reality that neither Washington nor Iran appears eager to abandon diplomacy despite recent military exchanges.
“Projecting optimism is part of President Trump’s MO,” Singh told Fox News Digital, adding that despite recent military exchanges, “we don’t see either side really pursuing any alternative with any kind of determination.
Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13, 2025. Israel attacked Iran’s capital early Friday, with explosions booming across Tehran.(Getty)
In announcing the ceasefire April 7, Trump said talks were “very far along” but it would take two weeks for “the Agreement to be finalized and consummated.”
“Both sides, Israel and Iran, are looking to do an immediate CEASEFIRE! Final negotiations on ‘Peace’ are proceeding, subject to ignorance or stupidity getting in its way. The Blockade will remain in place, and in full force and effect, until a ‘Final Deal’ is reached. Things should move quickly,” Trump posted on Truth Social Monday.
The optimism comes as negotiators remain divided over core elements of Iran’s nuclear program and after fresh military exchanges briefly threatened to derail the fragile truce between Israel and Iran.
“Iran is desperate to make a deal because of the historic successes of Operation Epic Fury, Operation Economic Fury, and the blockade. Talks on a deal that will prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon are continuing at a rapid pace and are going very well,” a White House official told Fox News Digital.
“As the President stated, he will only make a good deal for the American people. He is not going to be rushed into making a bad deal. Due to the successes of Operation Epic Fury, Economic Fury, and the blockade, President Trump holds the cards and has all the time he needs to make the best deal for the United States and the world.”
Trump’s confidence comes as Israel and Iran traded fire for the first time since a ceasefire took hold and after the president told the Financial Times Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would have “no choice” but to accept a U.S.-brokered agreement with Iran.
President Donald Trump is continuing to project confidence that a final nuclear agreement with Iran remains within reach despite months of slow-moving diplomacy, unresolved disputes over uranium enrichment and a ceasefire that appeared at risk of unraveling over the weekend.(Alex Brandon/AP Photo)
The ceasefire itself appeared shaky over the weekend following fresh exchanges between Israel and Iran, prompting Trump to publicly urge both sides to stand down and warning that further escalation could jeopardize ongoing negotiations.
By Monday, however, both sides signaled a desire to avoid a broader confrontation. Netanyahu said Israel would “hold fire” following discussions with Trump, while Iran indicated its latest round of attacks had concluded absent further provocation.
Singh said both sides appear to be trying to pressure one another into an agreement rather than preparing for a collapse in talks.
WHY TRUMP, IRAN SEEM LIGHT-YEARS APART ON ANY POSSIBLE DEAL TO END THE WAR
“It really does seem as though it’s sort of down to the details,” Singh said. “But of course the details can be quite hard.”
Iran launches missiles towards Israel in an unknown location, as shown in a video released on June 7, 2026.(Pool/WANA/Reuters)
Negotiators continue to face fundamental disagreements over Iran’s nuclear program despite months of talks. But analysts who see a path to a deal often point to the growing pressure facing Iran.
Miad Maleki, a former Treasury Department sanctions official and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, argued that Iran is facing mounting economic and diplomatic pressure that could eventually force the regime to reconsider positions it has so far refused to abandon.
“Every day that the blockade remains in place, Iran is getting closer to a complete economic collapse,” Maleki told Fox News Digital, pointing to inflation, fuel shortages and growing economic strain inside the country.
Maleki argued that Iran’s position has deteriorated during the ceasefire, citing continued economic pressure, additional sanctions and the loss of senior regime figures during the conflict.
“The regime is under severe pressure economically and diplomatically,” he said.
That pressure may help explain why administration officials continue to view diplomacy as a viable path despite the slow pace of progress.
The Trump administration has maintained that Iran cannot be permitted to continue enriching uranium, arguing that even civilian enrichment capabilities could provide Iran with a pathway to a nuclear weapon. Iranian officials, meanwhile, insist they retain the right to enrich uranium for peaceful energy purposes and have resisted proposals requiring a permanent halt to enrichment activities on Iranian soil.
Negotiators also have sparred over the fate of Iran’s uranium stockpile.
Before inspectors lost visibility into key facilities, the International Atomic Energy Agency estimated Iran possessed roughly 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60% purity — just below weapons-grade levels and enough, if further enriched, for multiple nuclear weapons.
Those unresolved disputes have fueled skepticism about whether a breakthrough is truly imminent. But Iran is not the only actor facing pressure to avoid renewed conflict.
The conflict already has pushed energy prices higher and disrupted global shipping routes, with analysts warning that the economic fallout could persist for months even if maritime traffic resumes immediately.
In a recent Fox News Digital interview, Kpler oil analyst Matt Smith said it could take until the fourth quarter of the year for global energy flows to normalize because of logistical bottlenecks involving trapped tankers, swollen inventories and damaged infrastructure.
The U.S. military has been enforcing a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, even during the ceasefire.(U.S. Central Command)
Moody’s Analytics has estimated the conflict has cost American households roughly $100 billion over the past three months through higher fuel, transportation and related costs.
Trump’s confidence has also coincided with increasingly public disagreements with Netanyahu about how to handle Iran.
The president recently said Netanyahu would have “no choice” but to accept a deal with Tehran, comments that fueled speculation about growing differences between Washington and Jerusalem.
Ehud Eilam, a former researcher for Israel’s Ministry of Defense, said Israel and the United States share the goal of preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon but often approach the challenge from different strategic perspectives.
“Iran poses a much bigger threat to Israel compared with the danger Iran presents to the United States,” Eilam told Fox News Digital.
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Eilam also argued that Washington retains significant leverage over Israeli decision-making through military aid and weapons transfers.
“The delivery of U.S. weapons and ammunition to Israel, now and later, gives the Trump administration major leverage to convince Israel to accept a deal with Iran,” he said.