更新于:2026年3月2日 / 美国东部时间下午2:04 / CBS新闻
由于美国与以色列对伊朗发动袭击,美国驾车者可能很快在加油站面临更高的费用,专家预测本周汽油价格可能大幅上涨。
FactSet数据显示,美国主要生产的西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格周一飙升6.2%,达到每桶71.19美元。国际基准布伦特原油价格周一暴涨近9%,达到每桶79.31美元,为一年多以来的最高水平。
GasBuddy石油分析师帕特里克·德汉恩(Patrick De Haan)表示,美国汽油价格可能最早于周一开始上涨,他预测到本周末,一些加油站每加仑汽油价格可能上涨高达30美分。
做好迎接”逐步上涨”的准备
今年以来,由于美国与伊朗之间紧张局势加剧,燃油成本已经逐步攀升。AAA的数据显示,周一美国全国汽油平均价格约为每加仑3美元,比1月初高出约20美分。
德汉恩在一份报告中表示:”大多数司机应该为本周的逐步涨价做好准备。低价加油站可能会率先且更明显地调价。”
他在社交媒体帖子中指出,包括伊利诺伊州、印第安纳州、密歇根州、俄亥俄州和得克萨斯州在内的多个州,周一汽油价格已出现上涨。
在许多消费者正因食品、医疗和住房成本上升而感到经济压力的情况下,汽油价格上涨将进一步压缩家庭预算。
加油站价格仍有”亮点”
尽管今年燃油成本略有上升,但最新通胀数据显示,目前油价仍比一年前低7%以上。
来自委内瑞拉的缓解?
一个变数是委内瑞拉新增石油进口可能产生的影响。能源部长克里斯·赖特(Chris Wright)周五告诉CBS新闻记者埃德·奥基夫(Ed O’Keefe),满载委内瑞拉石油的油轮现已抵达美国。
在美国军队1月份抓获前委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗后,特朗普总统表示,美国计划与美国能源公司合作出口3000万至5000万桶委内瑞拉石油。
赖特解释道:”石油现在才刚开始到港,因为炼油厂通常会提前一个月左右购买原油,所以到了3月,你会看到大量委内瑞拉原油在所谓的’3月航行’中抵达。”
他补充说:”绝对有助于压低汽油价格。更多委内瑞拉原油进入美国并流出委内瑞拉,有助于保持汽油和柴油价格稳定。”
对整体通胀的影响
经济学家表示,随着美国通胀率逐渐降温,油价上涨可能重新点燃通胀压力。1月份消费者价格指数(CPI)降至九个月以来的最低水平。专家指出,由于油价是从运输到制造成本的基础,原油价格飙升的影响可能远超加油站。
投资咨询公司De Vere Group首席执行官奈杰尔·格林(Nigel Green)在电子邮件中指出:”即使核心指标排除食品和燃料,持续的油价上涨往往会渗入运输、物流、制造业投入成本,并最终影响消费者价格。”
他补充道:”石油的影响不会孤立存在。运费上涨、航空公司燃油账单增加、分销费用上升。企业利润率压缩或价格上涨,往往两者并存。”
Janus Henderson全球多资产负责人亚当·赫茨(Adam Hetts)表示,美国通胀率上升可能导致美联储推迟降息。
尽管美联储预计将在3月18日的下次会议上维持基准利率不变,但经济学家预测,央行可能在年中6月会议上启动新一轮降息。
编辑:阿兰·舍特
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/iran-strikes-potential-impact-oil-gas-prices/
Gas prices are set to rise amid U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. Here’s what you could pay at the pump.
Updated on: March 2, 2026 / 2:04 PM EST / CBS News
American motorists could soon pay more at the pump amid spiking oil prices due to the U.S.-Israel attacks on Iran, with experts predicting gasoline prices could rise sharply this week.
The price of West Texas Intermediate crude, a type of oil primarily produced in the U.S., jumped 6.2% on Monday to $71.19 per barrel, according to data from FactSet. Brent crude, the international benchmark, surged nearly 9% to $79.31 per barrel on Monday, its highest point in more than a year.
Gas prices in the U.S. could start moving higher as soon as Monday, according to GasBuddy petroleum analyst Patrick De Haan, who predicted that some gas stations could be charging as much as 30 cents more per gallon by the end of the week.
Brace for “gradual increases”
The projected increase would come after fuel costs had already edged higher this year on concerns about flaring tensions between the U.S. and Iran. On Monday, gas prices averaged about $3 per gallon across the U.S., about 20 cents higher than at the start of January, according to data from AAA.
“Most drivers should prepare for gradual increases this week,” De Haan said in a report. “Low-priced stations will likely move first and more visibly.”
Gas prices were already seeing price increases on Monday in states including Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Texas, he noted in a post on social media.
Higher gas prices would crimp household budgets at a time when many consumers are already feeling pinched by an affordability crunch, with Americans expressing concerns about the rising cost of food, health care and housing.
Gas prices have proved to be one of the bright spots for consumers. Although fuel costs have inched higher this year, prices at the pump are still more than 7% lower than a year ago, according to the latest inflation data.
Relief from Venezuela?
One wild card is the potential impact of fresh oil imports from Venezuela, with Energy Secretary Chris Wright telling CBS News’ Ed O’Keefe on Friday that tankers filled with Venezuelan oil are now arriving in the U.S.
Following U.S. forces’ January capture of former Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, President Trump said the U.S. planned to export 30 million to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil in partnership with U.S. energy companies.
“Oil is just starting to come now because these refiners buy their oil a month or so ahead, so as it gets into March, you’ll see a lot of Venezuelan crude arriving from what’s called the March runs,” Wright said.
He added, “Absolutely, it helps push gas prices down. More Venezuelan crude coming into the United States and flowing out of Venezuela helps keep gasoline and diesel prices down.”
Broader inflation impact
Economists said higher oil prices could reignite inflation as it has been cooling in the U.S., with the Consumer Price Index in January falling to its lowest level in nine months. Because oil prices underpin everything from transportation to manufacturing costs, surging crude prices could reach beyond the gas pump, experts noted.
“Even if core measures exclude food and fuel, sustained oil increases tend to bleed into transportation, logistics, manufacturing input costs and, ultimately, consumer prices,” noted Nigel Green, CEO of investment advisory firm De Vere Group, in an email.
He added, “Oil does not operate in isolation. Higher freight costs, higher airline fuel bills, higher distribution expenses. Corporate margins tighten or prices rise. Often both.”
An uptick in the U.S. inflation rate could lead the Federal Reserve to hold off in acting to lower interest rates, Adam Hetts, global head of multi-asset at Janus Henderson, said in an email.
While the Fed is expected to keep its benchmark rate steady at its next meeting, set for March 18, economists are predicting the central bank could usher in a fresh cut by mid-year, at its June meeting, according to FactSet.
Edited by Alain Sherter
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/iran-strikes-potential-impact-oil-gas-prices/
