分析：俄军4月向乌克兰发射创记录远程无人机

2026年5月1日 17:03 / 联合早报

分析：俄军4月向乌克兰发射创记录远程无人机

4月26日，在乌克兰顿涅茨克州前线附近，一名乌克兰武装部队士兵正在准备发射一架拦截无人机。 （路透社）

分析显示，俄罗斯在4月份对乌克兰发射了创记录数量的远程攻击无人机。

法新社对乌克兰空军公布的数据进行分析发现，俄罗斯4月共发射了6583架远程无人机，比3月当时的最高记录增加了2%。

数据显示，乌克兰成功拦截88%来袭的无人机和导弹。

这些空袭正值美方斡旋的俄乌停火谈判陷入僵局之际，莫斯科显著增加了在白天发射远程无人机的数量。基辅谴责这种策略旨在造成更多平民伤亡。

俄罗斯此前几乎只在夜间对乌克兰发射远程无人机，但最近几周，白天袭击变得更加频繁。

延伸阅读

泽连斯基：乌军扩大对俄打击射程 已超过1500公里 称乌拥庞大且现代化军队 芬兰总统：欧洲或更需要乌克兰

美国战争研究所早前说：“俄罗斯将大规模夜间袭击与同等规模的白天袭击相结合的新战术，可能会造成更多平民伤亡。”

欧洲联盟二十年来首次对并购政策进行重大调整。图为4月29日，在位于比利时布鲁塞尔的欧洲委员会总部大楼（贝莱蒙大楼）外飘扬的欧盟旗帜。 （路透社）

欧洲联盟宣布并购规则改革计划，放宽部分限制，以打造可与中美巨头竞争的大型本土企业。

这是欧盟二十年来首次对并购政策进行重大调整。欧盟执行机构说，“全球地缘政治和贸易环境已经发生变化”，“产业规模和全球竞争力正变得愈发重要”。

欧盟提出的新思路凸显思维的转变，因为乌克兰和伊朗局势引发对欧盟战略自主，以及其为日益增长的国防和福利开支提供支撑的财富创造能力的严峻拷问。布鲁塞尔过去曾阻止欧洲大型企业之间的交易，例如德国西门子与法国阿尔斯通的铁路业务合并，有观点认为这削弱了欧洲企业与海外竞争对手抗衡的能力。

彭博社报道，欧盟星期四（4月30日）的声明呼应欧洲央行前行长德拉吉2024年的一份报告，该报告制定了改革蓝图，其中包括修改并购规则。长期以来，批评意见认为，这些规则阻碍电信等行业培育强大的本土企业。

欧洲委员会主席冯德莱恩在声明中说：“这是对竞争政策的一项雄心勃勃的做法，使我们能够应对竞争激烈的全球经济现实，提升我们的竞争力。”

然而，欧盟反垄断事务负责人特蕾莎·里贝拉强调，星期四发布的指导方针并不意味着并购将全面放开，新做法的目标仍然是“在防止权力滥用的前提下，保护强大且具竞争力的市场”。

根据新的指导方针，作为欧盟主要并购监管机构，委员会将允许企业以涵盖创新、可持续性和韧性的效率提升，来证明交易的合理性。这将使企业能够在调查前阐述交易的优势，此类调查在最具争议的案例中可长达数月。

尽管并非全面放开，如果能够证明效率提升带来的长期收益至少抵消对竞争的不利影响，并购仍可能获批。

尽管新规并未明确歧视欧盟以外企业收购欧洲公司，但未来的并购审查将评估交易是否有助于增强欧盟内部市场的韧性，这表明，外国企业收购欧洲公司可能面临更严格的监管流程。

欧洲联盟二十年来首次对并购政策进行重大调整。图为4月29日，在位于比利时布鲁塞尔的欧洲委员会总部大楼（贝莱蒙大楼）外飘扬的欧盟旗帜。 （路透社）

欧洲联盟宣布并购规则改革计划，放宽部分限制，以打造可与中美巨头竞争的大型本土企业。

这是欧盟二十年来首次对并购政策进行重大调整。欧盟执行机构说，“全球地缘政治和贸易环境已经发生变化”，“产业规模和全球竞争力正变得愈发重要”。

欧盟提出的新思路凸显思维的转变，因为乌克兰和伊朗局势引发对欧盟战略自主，以及其为日益增长的国防和福利开支提供支撑的财富创造能力的严峻拷问。布鲁塞尔过去曾阻止欧洲大型企业之间的交易，例如德国西门子（Siemens）与法国阿尔斯通（Alstom）的铁路业务合并，有观点认为这削弱了欧洲企业与海外竞争对手抗衡的能力。

彭博社报道，欧盟星期四（4月30日）的声明呼应欧洲央行前行长德拉吉2024年的一份报告，该报告制定了改革蓝图，其中包括修改并购规则。长期以来，批评意见认为，这些规则阻碍电信等行业培育强大的本土企业。

欧洲委员会主席冯德莱恩在声明中说：“这是对竞争政策的一项雄心勃勃的做法，使我们能够应对竞争激烈的全球经济现实，提升我们的竞争力。”

然而，欧盟反垄断事务负责人特蕾莎·里贝拉（Teresa Ribera）强调，星期四发布的指导方针并不意味着并购将全面放开，新做法的目标仍然是“在防止权力滥用的前提下，保护强大且具竞争力的市场”。

根据新的指导方针，作为欧盟主要并购监管机构，委员会将允许企业以涵盖创新、可持续性和韧性的效率提升，来证明交易的合理性。这将使企业能够在调查前阐述交易的优势，此类调查在最具争议的案例中可长达数月。

尽管并非全面放开，但如果能够证明效率提升带来的长期收益至少抵消对竞争的不利影响，并购仍可能获批。

尽管新规并未明确歧视欧盟以外企业收购欧洲公司，但未来的并购审查将评估交易是否有助于增强欧盟内部市场的韧性，这表明，外国企业收购欧洲公司可能面临更严格的监管流程。

Americans really don’t like Trump’s attempts at ornamentation

2026-05-01T10:00:51.221Z / CNN

Analysis by

Aaron Blake

PUBLISHED May 1, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Donald Trump

US President Donald Trump shows an image of his planned ballroom in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on October 22, 2025.

Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

When the story of Donald Trump’s presidency is written, it’s quite likely that the h-word will figure prominently: hubris.

Look no further than how he’s tried to apply his name — and aesthetic — across America and the government.

During a time of significant ongoing economic stress, he decided to suddenly bulldoze the East Wing of the White House to build a big, fancy ballroom to hold parties with powerful people.

And even as his popularity is sinking to lows rarely seen in recent American history, he’s plowed forward with his highly unorthodox efforts to affix his moniker and likeness to all manner of government buildings and products — ranging from the Kennedy Center, the US Institute of Peace, to National Park passes, savings accounts, a prescription drugs website, a new class of battleships, fighter jets, a visa for rich people, gold coins, dollars bills and, now, to passports.

Up until now, we’ve had little polling by which to gauge how these initiatives landed with the American people. But as it turns out, Americans seem to regard these things as about as ghastly as they might seem.

Initial polling about the ballroom showed it overwhelmingly unpopular.

But even at the time, you could have been forgiven for thinking that was temporary. Maybe it was just jarring for Americans to see the demolition of a large portion of the White House. Maybe they’d see the value of a larger events space — that Trump says is privately funded — for a White House complex that needs it.

Or maybe not.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll found Americans hate it just as much today as they did back in October.

While they opposed the East Wing demolition and new ballroom project 56%-28% back then, they oppose it today 56%-28%.

Construction crews continue to remove the East Wing of the White House and prepare for the new ballroom construction as seen from the newly reopened Washington Monument on November 14, 2025, in Washington, DC.

Andrew Leyden/Getty Images

Republicans seemed to sense an opportunity on this over the weekend. They jumped headlong into a pro-ballroom campaign after the shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner at the Washington Hilton hotel.

The idea — at least as it was initially pitched — was that the ballroom would be a more secure venue for such events (never mind that it wouldn’t actually work for this dinner, for a host of reasons). They even decided to float spending $400 million in taxpayer money on it, not the private donations Trump has long said would fund it.

The Post-ABC poll was conducted both before and after the shooting. But although it found a modest rise in GOP support for the ballroom afterward, a statistical analysis showed that, overall, there was “no significant change in opinion associated with the shooting.”

Americans still opposed the ballroom 2-to-1. And those who felt strongly about it still opposed it 3-to-1 – just like before the shooting.

The verdict in the poll was even worse for two other Trump attempts at ornamentation.

Trump’s plan to build a 250-foot triumphal arch between the Lincoln Memorial and Arlington National Cemetery?

Americans oppose it 52%-21%.

Only a bare majority of Republicans (51%) support it, and independents oppose it by nearly a 5-to-1 margin (57%-12%).

(The proposed arch, like the ballroom, has also received overwhelmingly negative public feedback to the relevant regulatory commission.)

And the US Treasury’s move to put Trump’s signature on paper money – the first time that’s ever happened with a sitting president?

US President Donald Trump stands near models for a proposed “Independence Arch” as he speaks during a dinner with ballroom donors in the East Room of the White House on October 15, 2025.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images

Americans oppose that even more, 68%-12%.

Even Republicans lean against that one by double-digits, 42%-28%. And there’s almost no support outside of MAGA Republicans. (Non-MAGA Republicans oppose it 64%-10%.)

Apart from these surveys, there’s not much other data on Trump’s efforts to plaster his name on everything.

And a CNN poll back in January, after the Kennedy Center board voted to put Trump’s name on the building, would seem to confirm Americans don’t like his overall “changes to cultural institutions” like the Kennedy Center and Smithsonian.

Fully 62% of Americans — including 30% of Republicans — said he had “gone too far” with those changes.

Out of eight different Trump initiatives tested, that was the largest “gone too far” number.

In the world of political analysis, it can sometimes seem like nothing Trump does hurts him. After all, his approval rating had proven resilient, if low, for a long time.

But sometimes, the actions that seem kind of crazy to the naked eye do come off that way to the American people.

And now that the president is bleeding support more than ever over the Iran war and high gas prices, it’s clear that gilding DC and adorning the US government with more Trump isn’t helping.

Could the FCC yank ABC’s TV licenses amid Trump spat with Kimmel?

2026-05-01 05:00:13 EDT / CBS News

The Federal Communications Commission would face major obstacles in stripping Disney of broadcast licenses for its ABC television stations, according to legal experts.

The FCC on Tuesday ordered an early review of the ABC licenses, saying it is investigating the network as part of its ongoing probe into Disney’s diversity, equity and inclusion practices. ABC owns eight TV stations, including WABC-TV in New York and KABC-TV in Los Angeles.

The timing of the expedited review is drawing scrutiny, as it occurred the day after President Trump called for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing. This followed a joke Kimmel made on his late-night ABC talk show that angered Mr. Trump and his wife, Melania Trump.

“This is a way to put pressure on Disney and ABC to achieve different programming and to get them to fire Jimmy Kimmel,” Katie Fallow, deputy litigation director of Columbia University’s Knight First Amendment Institute, told CBS News, adding that the timing of the FCC’s action is “highly suspect.”

Blair Levin, a policy analyst with investment adviser New Street Research who previously worked at the FCC, said in a report that the “timing of the order is strong evidence that the motive for the early renewal process relates to the president’s call to fire Kimmel, not an ABC employment action.”

FCC allegations against Disney

Launched in March 2025, the FCC’s probe into Disney centers on whether the company’s DEI policies violated federal anti-discrimination rules. In a letter to then-Disney CEO Robert Iger last year, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr claimed that ABC’s mandatory “inclusion standards” may have caused racial and identity quotas at every level of production.

The agency also accuses ABC of using race-based hiring practices and of restricting corporate fellowships to selected demographic groups. The Disney investigation occurred during a broader effort by the Trump administration — already underway at the time — to roll back DEI initiatives across employers, federal agencies, universities and other organizations.

Disney did not respond to a request for comment. In a statement shared with CBS News earlier this week, a spokesperson for the entertainment company said it has a “long record” of operating in full compliance with FCC rules.

“We are confident that the record demonstrates our continued qualifications as licensees under the Communications Act and the First Amendment and are prepared to show that through the appropriate legal channels,” the spokesperson said.

The FCC also declined to comment, referring CBS News to Carr’s remarks at a press conference on Thursday. Asked by a reporter if the FCC’s move to ask Disney to file early license renewal applications for its ABC stations was connected to Kimmel’s joke, Carr instead focused on the agency’s allegations of discrimination.

“You can go all the way back to more than a year ago, in March of last year, where I wrote a letter to Disney saying that there was evidence… or allegations indicating that Disney, through this sort of invidious form of DEI discrimination, was creating, as I specified in a letter to them, racially segregated spaces inside the company,” he said.

Carr also noted that the FCC earlier this week ordered another broadcaster, Bridge News, to file early license renewal applications for its TV stations.

“We’ve been very clear that we’re holding broadcasters accountable to their obligations — not just public interest standards, but [equal employment opportunity] obligations,” Carr said, without commenting on Kimmel.

Rarely used sanction

The FCC has only rarely denied broadcast license renewals. In 1975, however, the agency denied renewal of five radio station licenses after finding that the parent company’s owner instructed stations to provide favorable coverage of two men running for Senate, according to a research paper from Chad Raphael, a communications professor at Santa Clara University.

The National Association of Broadcasters said in a statement on Wednesday that the license renewal process must be grounded in “predictability, fairness, and transparency.”

The FCC’s “nearly unprecedented request for one company to quickly reapply for all of its licenses — rather than utilize its traditional enforcement process — runs contrary to these principles and creates significant uncertainty for all broadcasters,” the trade group said.

High legal bar

The FCC can challenge broadcasters’ licensing in two ways. First, the agency can decline to renew a license, which involves a lengthy legal process during which the broadcaster can continue operating. Second, the FCC can revoke a license, a more severe sanction that effectively forces a broadcaster off the air.

The agency did not state in its order to Disney on Tuesday that it would take either measure. Yet while the FCC has the authority to revoke broadcast licenses, both actions face a high legal bar, Andrew Jay Schwartzman, a public interest lawyer specializing in media, told CBS News.

“There’s no way they would try to revoke the license. The legal standard is insurmountable,” he said. “Revocation places the entire burden on the FCC to demonstrate that the broadcaster is engaged in the most gross forms of abuse of rules and misconduct.”

Due to these guardrails, the FCC has almost never exercised its power to revoke a TV station’s license; Schwartzman notes that the last such case was several decades ago.

The FCC could also deny renewal of ABC’s broadcast licenses, which are granted for eight-year terms, legal experts said. Yet that also could require a nettlesome legal process that could drag on for years.

The agency would have to document how Disney’s diversity policies are discriminatory and present its case before an administrative law judge, said Robert Corn-Revere, chief counsel at the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, a nonprofit organization focused on protecting free speech. The judge would then have to issue a decision on each ABC station license, which could all be appealed.

Robert Corn-Revere, chief counsel at the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, a nonprofit organization focused on protecting free speech, said the FCC’s allegations of discrimination against Disney seem too flimsy to challenge ABC’s licenses.

“If they’re really just noticing issues on DEI, then they would not be able to get into the programming issues,” Corn-Revere said. “And if they do list programming issues, they buy themselves a whole lot of trouble under the First Amendment.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fH6f42sSCQA

土耳其五一示威 警方射催泪弹逮捕数十人

2026年5月1日 17:53 / 联合早报

土耳其五一示威 警方射催泪弹逮捕数十人

在土耳其伊斯坦布尔，示威者星期五与警方发生肢体冲突，多人被当场逮捕。 （法新社）

土耳其警方星期五在伊斯坦布尔举行的劳动节示威活动中，对示威群众发射催泪弹，并逮捕数十人。

法新社报道，在伊斯坦布尔欧洲一侧，两组示威队伍因表明有意游行至塔克西姆广场而被警方特别盯上，警方于前一夜封锁了这个广场。

据土耳其媒体统计，至少有57人被捕。

大批身穿防爆装备的警察和金属路障，星期五（5月1日）封锁了通往伊斯坦布尔市中心街区的通道。

每年的五一劳动节，土耳其都会部署大量警力，市中心塔克西姆广场周边大片区域会被封锁。

在梅西迪耶科伊区，法新社记者目睹警方对人群使用催泪弹。人群中包括马克思主义政党“土耳其人民解放党”的成员，他们试图冲破封锁，并高喊“美国是凶手，（土耳其执政党）正义与发展党是帮凶”。

工会和民间社会组织曾以“面包、和平、自由”为口号，号召于5月1日举行示威活动。

本周早些时候，土耳其当局对62人签发了逮捕令和搜查令，其中46人，包括记者、工会成员和反对派人士，被当局认定“可能实施袭击”。

土耳其五一示威 警方射催泪弹逮捕数十人

2026年5月1日 17:53 / 联合早报

土耳其五一示威 警方射催泪弹逮捕数十人

在土耳其伊斯坦布尔，示威者星期五与警方发生肢体冲突，多人被当场逮捕。 （法新社）

土耳其警方星期五在伊斯坦布尔举行的劳动节示威活动中，对示威群众发射催泪弹，并逮捕数十人。

法新社报道，在伊斯坦布尔欧洲一侧，两组示威队伍因表明有意游行至塔克西姆广场而被警方特别盯上，警方于前一夜封锁了这个广场。

据土耳其媒体统计，至少有57人被捕。

大批身穿防爆装备的警察和金属路障，星期五（5月1日）封锁了通往伊斯坦布尔市中心街区的通道。

每年的五一劳动节，土耳其都会部署大量警力，市中心塔克西姆广场周边大片区域会被封锁。

在梅西迪耶科伊区，法新社记者目睹警方对人群使用催泪弹。人群中包括马克思主义政党“土耳其人民解放党”的成员，他们试图冲破封锁，并高喊“美国是凶手，（土耳其执政党）正义与发展党是帮凶”。

工会和民间社会组织曾以“面包、和平、自由”为口号，号召于5月1日举行示威活动。

本周早些时候，土耳其当局对62人签发了逮捕令和搜查令，其中46人，包括记者、工会成员和反对派人士，被当局认定“可能实施袭击”。

US Navy turns to AI firm Domino for options to counter Iranian mines

2026-05-01 10:02:42 UTC / Reuters

By Mike Stone

May 1, 2026 10:02 AM UTC Updated 54 mins ago

节点运行失败

Aerial view of the United States military headquarters, the Pentagon, September 28, 2008. REUTERS/Jason Reed/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

• Summary
• Companies

• Domino Data Lab awarded $100 million contract to boost Navy AI mine detection
• AI software enables faster adaptation to new mine types, reducing update time from months to days
• Domino COO Thomas Robinson says technology ​allows rapid deployment in contested waters

WASHINGTON, May 1 (Reuters) – The U.S. Navy is ramping ‌up its AI capabilities to hunt for Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes, a recently awarded contract shows.

President Donald Trump has said the U.S. Navy is clearing Iranian mines from the ​strait, a vital sea route for oil shipments, whose disruption is increasingly threatening the global ​economy. Sweeping for underwater explosives could take months despite a tenuous ceasefire between the ⁠U.S. and Iran in their weeks-long war.

The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here.

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The up to $100 million contract for the San Francisco artificial intelligence company ​Domino Data Lab could quicken this process with software that can teach underwater drones to identify new ​types of mines in a matter of days.

“Mine-hunting used to be a job for ships,” Thomas Robinson, Domino’s chief operating officer, said in an interview with Reuters. “It’s becoming a job for AI. The Navy is paying for the platform ​that lets it train, govern, and field that AI at a speed required for contested waters ​that block global trade and imperil sailors.”

Last week, the U.S. Navy awarded the up to $99.7 million contract to expand ‌Domino’s role ⁠as the AI backbone of the Navy’s Project AMMO – Accelerated Machine Learning for Maritime Operations – a program to make underwater mine detection faster, more accurate, and less dependent on human sailors.

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The software integrates data from multiple sensor types, including side-scan sonar and visual imaging systems, and allows the Navy to monitor ​how well various AI ​detection models are performing ⁠in the field, identify failures, and push corrections to improve performance.

The core of Domino’s pitch – and the Navy’s wager – is speed. Before the company’s involvement, ​updating the AI models that power the Navy’s unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) to recognize ​new or ⁠previously unseen mines could take up to six months. Domino says it has cut that cycle to days.

Robinson illustrated the relevance to the Middle East crisis: “If there were UUVs in the Baltic Sea trained on Russian ⁠mines, ​and then they needed to be deployed to the Strait ​of Hormuz to detect Iranian mines, with Domino’s technology, the Navy could be ready in a week rather than a year.”

A Navy ​spokesman was not immediately able to provide comment.

Reporting by Mike Stone in Washington; Editing by Tom Hogue

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What’s changed about the 2028 Democratic presidential field? Kamala Harris

2026-05-01T08:00:51.238Z / CNN

Analysis by

Zachary Wolf

PUBLISHED May 1, 2026, 4:00 AM ET

The White House in Washington, DC, on February 10, 2026.

Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg/Getty Images

US elections Primary elections Donald Trump

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A version of this story appeared in CNN’s What Matters newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here.

It’s too early to start really handicapping the 2028 presidential race, but some would-be candidates are already making serious moves.

I talk periodically to CNN’s Edward-Isaac Dovere about how the race is changing among Democrats and what to expect. Our latest chat, transcribed and edited for style and flow, is below.

What’s changed? Kamala Harris

WOLF: We last spoke at the end of last year. What’s changed?

DOVERE:The thing that maybe has changed the atmosphere of preliminary thinking the most is that Kamala Harris has made a couple of comments that suggest that she is more serious about running again than most people thought she would be.

If she runs, she would be a factor in the race. I don’t think she would run away with the nomination. But for anybody who is thinking about running, it’s a different kind of race if Harris is in it versus if she’s not, for a couple of reasons.

Obviously she was the nominee and is the former vice president, so inevitably the race would orient around her in a way that it did in the 2024 Republican primaries around Donald Trump and in the 2020 Democratic primaries around Joe Biden.

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to the press outside the White House in Washington, DC, on November 8, 2023.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images

It doesn’t always work out. In 2008 the Democratic race oriented around Hillary Clinton early on, and obviously she wasn’t nominated. But it would be a different dynamic from a race that was more completely up for grabs.

Part of why it would orient around her she would be able to draw on strong support from Black voters, especially millennial through boomer Black women. Those are pretty reliable and engaged voters in Democratic primaries. Now we don’t know if she’s going to run, and it’s all speculation at this point.

Could she actually overcome a devastating loss?

WOLF:But she lost in ‘24. Do smart people in the Democratic Party think there is a compelling argument that she could excite people and get them out and overcome the bad taste in Democrats’ mouth from losing to Trump — which they said would be apocalyptic?

DOVERE:She would have to make that argument. And so far, she has not quite made the argument. One of the things she said all the time on the trail in 2024 was, “We’re not going back.” And that may be to her detriment this time around if she gets serious about running. She would have to make a forward-minded, proactive argument. She’s spent about six, seven months now on the extended version of her book tour and meeting with a lot of people, talking with a lot of people — we’re not sure what that will result in from her.

Supporters of Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris listen as she delivers remarks conceding the presidential election to then-President-elect Donald Trump at Howard University in Washington, DC, on November 6, 2024.

Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

Supporters listen as former Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris delivered remarks conceding the 2024 US presidential election to then-President-elect Donald Trump, at Howard University in Washington, DC, on November 6, 2024.

Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

Who is winning the book primary?

WOLF: A couple of potential candidates have books out. It’s almost a prerequisite to run. Who’s winning the book election?

DOVERE: (California Gov.) Gavin Newsom sold a lot of books, but what we also found out from some New York Times reporting is that many of those books were bought by Gavin Newsom’s political entities and were then given out to supporters who were donors.

Kamala Harris also sold a lot of books, although I don’t think we have the exact numbers. They weren’t bought by a PAC for her, but a lot of them were tied to sales of tickets to the book tour events. Those have been the really strong ones.

Josh Shapiro’s book (governor of Pennsylvania) got a little bit of coverage when it came out, but didn’t sell in a massive way. Cory Booker’s book landed right as the Iran war started, which was unfortunate timing for him and for his book tour plans.

There is a Chris Murphy (senator from Connecticut) book coming soon. Tim Walz (governor of Minnesota) has announced a book, though I don’t think Walz is likely to run for president.

Where is Gavin Newsom?

WOLF: Newsom seemed ubiquitous for a while, finding ways into the news and trolling Trump. Has he lost steam? Are people tired of him? Where is he?

DOVERE: Newsom has not had a big showdown moment with Trump for a couple months, which is probably what you’re picking up on. That does not mean necessarily that he has lost steam. To the extent that any poll taken two years before the primaries matters at all, his name recognition is consistently shown to be high. A lot of people who are thinking about the race, even if they won’t admit it out loud, will say that he’s the front-runner. I don’t know what being the front-runner means at this point.

California Governor Gavin Newsom speaks with Harry Sisson to promote his book, “Young Man in a Hurry” at the Streicker Cultural Center, in New York, on February 24.

Timothy A. Clary/AFP/Getty Images

Could the messy race to succeed Newsom as governor be a problem?

WOLF: The race to replace Newsom as California governor is objectively a mess, at the moment, for Democrats. Will that hurt him?

DOVERE:Newsom’s people believe that they are in fine shape as long as a Democrat makes it into the top two on June 2, in which case they believe that a very Democratic-leaning state will rally behind whoever that candidate is, even though so far, Californians and Newsom himself, as I’ve reported, have felt a little blasé about their choices.

If two Republicans advance, and therefore a Republican would be the next governor of California — which could happen, given that where Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco are showing up in the polls — that would likely be a problem for Newsom in a lot of ways, both in the appearance of it, and in the investigations that could get launched into him after the fact.

Newsom and his folks certainly see that as a potential problem, and what they have told me is that he’s reluctant to intervene in the race unless he really sees that it is likely headed to what’s been called a Democratic lockout for the top two positions, and he believes that he could substantially change that.

What’s the next tier of candidates?

WOLF: If Harris is the former nominee and Newsom is the person that a lot of people view as the front-runner, what’s the next tier?

DOVERE: I don’t think that it is helpful to think in terms of tiers. It’s just very, very early. But there are a couple people who’ve been trying to keep themselves busy in different ways:

Pete Buttigieg has been keeping around, doing a bunch of town halls in places that are clearly about keeping Democratic energy up and also keeping himself in the conversation. He’s had a couple high-profile interview moments that have gotten him popular on Twitter, as he can often tend to be among Democrats.

I was in Chicago about a month ago for the US Senate primary in Illinois, which had become a sort of proxy test for (Illinois Gov.) JB Pritzker and what his spending would look like, and whether his operation was strong. Things certainly went his way.

Former US Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg speaks during the National Action Network (NAN) National Convention in New York City, on April 10..

Jeenah Moon/Reuters

Illinois Governor JB Pritzker speaks during the NAN National Convention in New York City, on April 9.

Brendan McDermid/Reuters

We’ll see over the course of the year what the tiers actually start to look like, but they’re different. People are doing things in different ways. Shapiro has continued to keep a relatively low profile as he focuses on the reelection run that he’s got and getting a bunch of, he hopes, Democrats elected to Congress.

Rahm Emanuel (former White House chief of staff and Chicago mayor), much like Buttigieg, does not have any actual role in government or politics these days, but Emanuel is putting out idea after idea to try to both shape the conversation and get people talking about him. For now, he continues to be written off by a lot of the political people as interesting but not going to actually happen.

We are living in a world where the president of the United States, for only the second time in history, is serving a nonconsecutive term. He was a reality TV star who had been impeached twice and convicted of crimes and then got himself reelected to the presidency. So who counts as a serious or credible candidate, I think, is a different conversation going into 2028.

Both as a reporter and as a citizen trying to absorb this, I’m trying not to say, “This person is in better shape than that person.” To steal a line that is often circulated on Twitter, around this time for the 2004 presidential race, Joe Lieberman was leading all the polls.

(Note: The polling was actually more complicated than that, but Lieberman was performing well. It’s also true that at this point in the 2016 presidential election cycle, polling generally didn’t even include Trump.)

‘Left’ and ‘right’ are getting scrambled

WOLF: What seemed to make Lieberman viable early in the primary was that he had been Al Gore’s running mate in 2000. He also, ultimately, effectively left the Democratic Party after the fact. He was a centrist. Is there anybody moving to the middle of the party, or is everybody moving to the left?

DOVERE: Another thing that we are seeing in the larger political conversation is that terms like “the left” or “the right” or “progressive” are getting scrambled. What defines a progressive is somewhat in the eye of the beholder these days.

In the 2020 Democratic primary race, basically it was, if you support Medicare for All, you’re a progressive, and if you don’t, you’re a moderate. It’s not clear if there will be one overriding issue in a 2028 Democratic primary race.

One thing that we are seeing already is that support for Israel is being turned into a progressive/moderate issue, which is a major change in American politics, and is a major change in Democratic Party politics. It has never before been the arbiter of what is progressive versus what is moderate.

When will the presidential race really start to happen?

WOLF: How far are we from people actually announcing campaigns?

DOVERE: Elizabeth Warren announced her campaign on December 31, 2018; Joe Biden didn’t announce until April of 2019. So we have some time. But it’s less about what day you announce than what you’re doing — especially if we end up with a dozen, even up to two dozen candidates.

The money aspect of campaigning could change in the attention economy

US Senator Elizabeth Warren speaks to the media on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on April 16.

Kylie Cooper/Reuters

WOLF: How the money flows and where it is going is changing. How is that going to affect Democrats? Will the real spending be outside the traditional campaign structure?

DOVERE:A number of operatives and potential candidates have talked to me explicitly about this from things like what happened with Zohran Mamdani’s mayoral campaign in New York. Take away whatever you think about his politics or the specifics of the race. He did not spend a lot of money on his campaign. He did it through breakthrough social media videos and other things he was doing — events, scavenger hunts, those sorts of things — that galvanized attention and created a level of press that made it so that he could run things on the cheap.

There’s a very prominent Republican in New York City who, the night before the mayoral election in November, called me up and said, “We’re going to have to find out where all the money is that’s propping up this campaign.” And I said to him, “No, there’s not secret money. It’s just through the social media stuff.”

So it’s going to be a combination of how much they raise; all this outside money that’s going to flow from all sorts of places, including AI companies and other groups that are spending a lot; and then what they can do to maximize their place in the attention economy.

The generational change is here

WOLF:It could be the first election without a boomer or a pre-boomer like Trump or Biden.

DOVERE: No one being talked about as running is over 70, which does take away most of the boomers. So yes, there will be some level of generational change, at least in party leadership. And some of these people could be much younger, right? Buttigieg, 44, is the youngest of the people being talked about in any kind of serious way.

Except for (New York US Rep.) Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who would just be past the 35-year-old eligibility point. She obviously embodies a lot of excitement. And her politics, people agree with it — but she also has a clear youthfulness that is a contrast with people who have been leading the party in the last bunch of years.

US Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaks during the Munich Security Conference in Munich, Germany, February 13, 2026.

Liesa Johannssen/Reuters

AOC has serious name recognition

WOLF:She’s maybe the most divisive of the Democrats. Republicans have been demonizing her for years.

DOVERE: But also extremely popular for a lot of people among the Democratic Party base. She is someone who you could put on the list with Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom. Any Democrat who was thinking about running for president would be desperate to have the kind of support numbers that she has in the polls. But she is also somewhat locked in with people and their impressions of her, whether they like her or they don’t. But if we’re in a field where, by the time we get to the primaries, there are five or six serious candidates, as there were in 2020, and she’s pulling 30-ish plus percent of the vote, that’s going to put her in a strong position.

But Ocasio-Cortez could be running for one of three offices — either reelection to the House, or to the Senate seat that’s currently held by Chuck Schumer in New York, or for president.

Is there a surprise out there?

WOLF: Is there anybody that’s done anything to surprise you recently?

DOVERE: I was in New Orleans for a (Democratic National Committee) event, and (former Mayor) Mitch Landrieu got up and gave a speech that I watched, and then made some other speeches that other people saw that were all of a sudden clear to people that he was starting to think seriously about running for president. I think we are in this quiet moment, for the most part, of people starting to get serious about their own internal deliberations. Without revealing private conversations too much, several of the prospective candidates have started to ask me, like, if you really think this person’s running and that person — they’re thinking about it. They’re trying to game their spots out of this, and we’ll see what that leads to.

One other thing — (Maryland Gov.) Wes Moore spoke to me about a couple months ago about how much he was going to put into trying to get the redistricting bill through the Maryland legislature. The session ended in Maryland and the bill never got picked up, and he kind of let it fade away. That was seen by a lot of people as one of many tests that Moore would have in front of him. The other thing that’s sort of blocking out the political sun for a bunch of people is the war. Next time we have this conversation, I think we’re gonna see some clearer signs for people about where they’re starting to lay down markers.

Maryland Gov. Wes Moore is photographed at the Democratic National Committee office in Washington, DC, on January 22.

Maansi Srivastava/CNN

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美国地质调查局：内华达州发生4.9级地震

2026年5月1日 17:54 / 联合早报

美国内华达州发生4.9级地震，震源深度约12公里（7英里），震中位于银泉市（Silver Springs）东南约19公里处。

美国地质调查局（USGS）星期五（5月1日）报告称，地震发生在凌晨1时17分（新加坡时间下午4时17分）左右。

法新社引述地质调查局称，此次地震可能造成轻微至中度震动。地震不太可能造成人员伤亡或重大经济损失。

银泉市人口约5000人。