作者: root

  • 克里斯蒂·诺姆(Kristi Noem)在参议院司法委员会听证会上的强硬回应要点


    作者:Holmes Lybrand、Priscilla Alvarez、Michael Williams
    更新时间:2026年3月3日,美国东部时间下午4:28
    发布时间:2026年3月3日,美国东部时间下午3:09

    国土安全部部长克里斯蒂·诺姆(Kristi Noem)周二在参议院司法委员会听证会上,面临民主党人和部分共和党人的尖锐提问。

    参议员们就以下问题对诺姆进行了质询:

    • 她对两名美国公民在明尼阿波利斯被联邦官员杀害的早期描述;
    • 其机构使用行政令搜查住宅和私人财产的行为;
    • 其使用公务机的情况;
    • 移民官员是否会在11月中期选举前部署到投票站。

    诺姆和几位共和党参议员批评民主党在安全局势紧张之际持续关闭国土安全部(DHS)部分部门。尽管诺姆表示,在周末美国对伊朗发动袭击后,该部门已开始重新审查一些移民,但她未具体说明可能面临的威胁。

    以下是此次数小时听证会的要点:

    诺姆为自己对亚历克斯·普雷蒂(Alex Pretti)和蕾妮·古德(Renee Good)的早期描述辩护


    诺姆在听证会上试图狡辩,声称她从未称今年早些时候在明尼苏达州被国土安全部官员枪杀的亚历克斯·普雷蒂为“国内恐怖分子”,而是称其行为“似乎构成国内恐怖主义”。

    明尼苏达州民主党参议员艾米·克洛布查尔(Amy Klobuchar)问诺姆:“在称他们的儿子为国内恐怖分子后,你对普雷蒂的父母有何回应?”

    “我无法想象他们失去儿子后经历了什么,”诺姆表示,在周二第二次被问及是否向普雷蒂家人道歉时,她再次拒绝。

    诺姆随后为自己的言论辩护:“我没有称他为国内恐怖分子。我只是说这‘似乎是’国内恐怖主义的一个案例。”

    “我认为他的父母清楚发生了什么,”克洛布查尔回应道。

    在普雷蒂被杀害的最初回应中,诺姆在新闻发布会上被问及是否同意白宫官员称普雷蒂为“国内恐怖分子”,以及有何证据支持这一说法时,她表示:“当一个人因意识形态原因实施暴力行为,以抵抗和持续实施暴力,这就是国内恐怖主义的定义。”

    普雷蒂被杀害后不久,诺姆还声称普雷蒂在被枪杀时“挥舞”了他携带的枪支。但随后的枪击视频与此说法矛盾——显示直到官员将手放在他身上时,枪支才可见。普雷蒂在被枪击前几秒钟才被搜出枪支。

    听证会上,诺姆拒绝收回她对普雷蒂和蕾妮·古德的早期描述。古德几周前也在明尼阿波利斯被国土安全部官员杀害。

    民主党参议员迪克·杜宾(Dick Durbin)与诺姆交换意见时,诺姆称两种情况都是“悲剧性的”,并解释她对普雷蒂和古德的描述基于现场报告。

    “你是否收回将这些人描述为国内恐怖分子的说法?”杜宾问道。

    “当这类事件发生时,我们总是向这些家庭表示哀悼。这是悲剧性情况,”诺姆表示,“我们始终努力向美国人民提供尽可能多的信息。我们依赖现场报告和现场特工的反馈。”

    国土安全部因在明尼阿波利斯的行动以及高级官员对普雷蒂和古德死亡事件的相互矛盾的说法而受到严厉批评。

    “承认自己错了就这么难吗?”杜宾质问。

    “我绝对致力于提供事实信息,”诺姆回答。

    共和党人追问广告采购问题


    与诺姆最激烈的交锋来自共和党参议员蒂利斯(Tillis)和路易斯安那州参议员约翰·肯尼迪(John Kennedy)。

    肯尼迪就其机构的广告宣传活动质问诺姆——正如他指出的,该活动中诺姆的形象经常被突出展示。据ProPublica去年报道,该广告项目的主要分包商是Ben Yoho,其妻子是前国土安全部发言人特里西亚·麦克劳克林(Tricia McLaughlin)。

    诺姆辩称广告竞标流程“完全合规”,但肯尼迪表示他的研究“表明你并没有参与竞标”,甚至在一次选择了一家“在你选定它之前11天才成立的公司”。

    “听着,我们都有认识的合格朋友,我并不怀疑这一点,”肯尼迪说。

    肯尼迪补充道,2.2亿美元的广告预算“让我担忧”,尤其是在国会“为每一分钱都在挣扎”的情况下。

    “我只是无法认同这种支出,”肯尼迪表示。

    诺姆称她“与选择这些承包商无关”,并表示总统“指派我向全国传达信息”,重点是该部门的驱逐行动。

    Yoho的公司“策略集团”(Strategy Group)在听证会后的社交媒体上声称,它并未直接与国土安全部签订合同,而是通过“安全美国”(Safe America)获得分包合同。该公司表示,其公司总共为5次电影拍摄、45个制作的视频广告和6个制作的广播广告获得了“226,137.17美元”的收入。

    共和党参议员批评克莉(Cricket)事件并要求诺姆辞职


    蒂利斯在听证会上抨击诺姆和政府的驱逐行动,指责其办公室未提供北卡罗来纳州移民行动的相关信息,并拖延了联邦紧急事务管理局(FEMA)的援助。

    蒂利斯不寻求连任。

    他聚焦于诺姆加入特朗普内阁前的言论,包括她在回忆录中描述的杀害14个月大的狗“克莉”(Cricket)和家里山羊的事件。诺姆在书中写道,这只狗“难以训练”,山羊“脾气恶劣且刻薄”。

    “14个月大的狗在狗的年龄中相当于青少年,”蒂利斯表示。

    “你因为没有投入足够时间和训练就决定杀死那只狗,却还有脸在书中将其称为‘艰难抉择’的领导力课程,”蒂利斯说,“你杀了山羊,只因为你说它行为恶劣。你是个农民,你不该等到山羊行为恶劣才去处理它。你本应该在这之前就采取行动。”

    蒂利斯指责国土安全部逮捕无辜美国公民,并强调了多名在国土安全部特工手下死亡的案例。

    “我们正在让美国人民认为驱逐移民是错误的,”蒂利斯称诺姆的领导“灾难性”,“但事实恰恰相反。你驱逐移民的方式是错误的。”

    蒂利斯还批评诺姆未能“承认在古德和普雷蒂枪击事件中的错误”。

    “执法部门需要明白,”他说,“不尊重事实,就无法真正保护人民。”

    诺姆称“无计划”向投票站派遣移民执法人员,但…


    诺姆表示,她的部门“没有计划”在今年中期选举前向投票站派遣移民执法人员。

    但在特拉华州参议员克里斯·库恩斯(Chris Coons)反复追问下,诺姆仍未完全排除这一可能性。

    库恩斯问诺姆如何看待前特朗普政府顾问史蒂夫·班农(Stephen Bannon)称“移民代理应部署到投票站”的言论。

    “你是否排除11月将移民和海关执法局(ICE)或边境保护局(CBP)部署到投票站?”库恩斯问。

    诺姆回应:“目前没有计划在投票站部署ICE官员。”

    库恩斯要求诺姆明确排除这一可能。

    诺姆反问:“你认为非法移民会在我们的选举中投票吗?”随后她再次强调,11月不会在投票站部署移民官员。

    关于公务机使用的质询


    民主党参议员谢尔登·怀特豪斯(Sheldon Whitehouse)展示了一张NBC新闻报道的照片(首次报道),照片显示公务机内有一间卧室,质问诺姆为何“遣返人员需要乘坐配备卧室和豪华设施的公务机?”

    诺姆回应称,这张照片并不准确,公务机正在翻新以拆除卧室,仅用于驱逐行动和行政旅行。

    她说自己曾乘坐过这架飞机一次。

    “国土安全部发现,通过采购飞机,我们将为纳税人节省数亿美元,”她表示。

    在听证会室外,肯尼迪尖锐批评了诺姆的回应:

    “我希望她能成功,但我不会坐视不管,看着这位内阁秘书花费2.2亿美元的‘广告盛宴’,在电视上吹嘘自己的形象,而不指出问题。这些广告仍在播放。”

    CNN记者摩根·里默(Morgan Rimmer)对此报道亦有贡献。

    Takeaways from Kristi Noem’s combative Senate Judiciary Committee hearing

    By Holmes Lybrand, Priscilla Alvarez, Michael Williams
    Updated Mar 3, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
    PUBLISHED Mar 3, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

    Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem faced tough questions from Democrats and some Republicans during a hearing in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee on Tuesday.

    Senators grilled Noem about her early descriptions of two US citizens who were killed by federal officers in Minneapolis, her agency’s use of administrative warrants to search homes and private property, her use of executive jets and whether immigration officers will be deployed to polling places ahead of November’s midterm elections.

    Noem and several GOP senators criticized Democrats for the ongoing partial shutdown of DHS in a time of heightened security, but while the secretary said the department has started to re-vet some migrants in the wake of the US attacks on Iran over the weekend, she offered no specifics about possible threats as a result.

    Here are the takeaways from the hours-long hearing:

    Noem defends her early descriptions of Alex Pretti and Renee Good


    Noem tried to split hairs during the hearing by claiming she never called Alex Pretti, the man shot and killed by DHS officers in Minnesota earlier this year, a domestic terrorist, but rather said his actions were an act of domestic terrorism.

    Minnesota Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar asked Noem if she had anything to say to Pretti’s parents after calling their son a domestic terrorist.

    “I can’t even imagine what they have gone through in the loss of their son,” Noem said, declining for the second time Tuesday when asked to apologize to Pretti’s family.

    Noem then defended her comments, saying, “I did not call him a domestic terrorist. I said it appeared to be an instance of” domestic terrorism.

    “I think the parents saw what it was,” Klobuchar responded.

    In the initial aftermath of the killing of Pretti, Noem was asked at a press conference whether she agreed with White House officials calling Pretti a domestic terrorist and, if so, what evidence she had to support such a claim.

    “When you perpetuate violence against a government because of ideological reasons and for reasons to resist and perpetuate violence, that is the definition of domestic terrorism,” Noem said at the time.

    Shortly after Pretti was killed, Noem also claimed that Pretti had “brandished” a firearm he was carrying when he had been shot. But video of the killing later contradicted that claim, showing his handgun was not visible until officers had already put their hands on him. The gun was taken off Pretti seconds before he was shot.

    Earlier during the hearing, she declined to retract her initial descriptions of both Pretti and Renee Good, who was also killed in Minneapolis by DHS officers weeks before Pretti.

    In an exchange with Democratic Sen. Dick Durbin, Noem called both situations “tragic” and explained that her description of Pretti and Good were based on reports on the ground.

    “Do you retract these statements identifying these individuals as domestic terrorists?” Durbin asked.

    “When we have these situations happen, we always offer our condolences to these families. These are tragic situations,” Noem said, adding: “We always work to provide the American people with as much information as possible. We’re relying on reports on the ground and agents who are there.”

    The Department of Homeland Security came under intense scrutiny over actions in Minneapolis and conflicting accounts provided by senior officials over the deaths of Pretti and Good.

    “Is it so hard to say you were wrong?” Durbin asked.

    “I absolutely strive to provide factual information,” she said.

    Republican presses Noem on ad buy


    Some of the fiercest exchanges with Noem came from Republican Sens. Tillis and John Kennedy of Louisiana.

    Kennedy confronted Noem about her agency’s advertising campaign, which, as the senator pointed out, often prominently showcase Noem. ProPublica reported last year the recipient of a lucrative subcontract was Ben Yoho, the husband of a former DHS spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin.

    While Noem argued that bids for the advertisements were properly submitted, Kennedy said his research “shows that you did not bid them out” and, in one instance, chose a company that was formed “11 days before you picked them.”

    “Look, we all have friends who are qualified. I’m not quibbling with that,” Kennedy said.

    The Republican senator added that the $220 million price tag “troubles me” especially when, Kennedy said, Congress “is scratching for every penny.”

    “I just can’t agree,” Kennedy said of the spending.

    Noem said she had nothing “to do with picking those contractors” and said the president had “tasked me with getting the message out to the country” on the department’s deportation efforts.

    Yoho’s company, the Strategy Group, claimed on social media after the hearing it did not have a contract with DHS directly but instead obtained a sub-contract with Safe America. In total, Yoho’s company made “$226,137.17 total for 5 film shoots, 45 produced video advertisements and 6 produced radio advertisements,” according to the company.

    GOP senator brings up Cricket and asks Noem to resign


    Tillis railed against Noem and the administration’s deportation efforts during the hearing, accusing her office of not providing information on immigration efforts in North Carolina and stalling FEMA aid.

    Tillis is not seeking re-election.

    He honed in on statements Noem made before she was part of Trump’s cabinet, including accounts she wrote about in her memoir of her killing her 14-month-old dog, Cricket, and a family goat. Noem wrote in her book that the dog was “untrainable” and that the goat was “nasty and mean.”

    “A 14-month old dog is basically a teenager in dog years,” Tillis said.

    “You decided to kill that dog because you had not invested the appropriate time and training, and then you have the audacity to go into a book and say it’s a leadership lesson about tough choices,” Tillis said. “And you killed a goat because you said it was behaving badly. You are a farmer. You don’t castrate a goat, they behave badly. You should have probably done that before.”

    Tillis accused DHS of arresting innocent American citizens and highlighted the death of several individuals at the hands of DHS agents.

    “We’re beginning to get the American people to think that deporting people is wrong,” Tillis said of what he called Noem’s disastrous leadership. “It’s the exact opposite. The way you’re going about deporting them is wrong.”

    Tillis also criticized Noem for failing “admit to a mistake” in the shootings of Good and Pretti.

    “Law enforcement needs to learn,” he said, “that you don’t protect them by not looking at the facts.”

    ‘No plans’ to send ICE officers to polling locations. But…


    Noem said her department had “no plans” to send immigration enforcement officers to polling locations ahead of this year’s midterm elections.

    But pressed repeatedly by Delaware Sen. Chris Coons, Noem declined to rule out the possibility entirely.

    Coons asked Noem about comments from Stephen Bannon, a former White House adviser during the first Trump administration, indicating he believed immigration agents should be deployed to polling places.

    “Will you rule out the deployment of ICE or CBP to polling places this November?” Coons asked.

    Noem responded: “There are no plans to have ICE officers at our polling locations.”

    Coons pressed Noem to explicitly rule it out.

    Noem responded: “Do you plan on illegal aliens voting in our elections?” She then again repeated that there were “no plans” to deploy immigration officers at polling places in November.

    Confronted over plane use


    Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse confronted Noem over the use of an executive jet — displaying a picture, which was first reported by NBC News, of a bedroom inside the jet. NBC reported that the jet cost $70 million.

    “What kind of deportee justifies being flown out of the country in a luxury jet with a bedroom and accommodations?” Whitehouse asked.

    Noem responded that the picture was not accurate, and that the jet was being refurbished to get rid of the bedroom and would be used for deportation flights along with executive travel.

    She said she had been on the plane once.

    “The department has found that in purchasing our aircraft that we will save the taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars,” she said.

    Outside the hearing room, Kennedy sharply criticized Noem’s responses.

    “I want to see her succeed, but I’m not going to sit here and watch this kind of spending porn of a cabinet secretary putting herself on TV to the tune of $220-plus million dollars without saying something, and the advertisements are still running,” Kennedy said.

    CNN’s Morgan Rimmer contributed to this report.

  • CBS新闻对关键群体西班牙裔的民调分析:初选季拉开帷幕


    2026年3月3日 / 美国东部时间下午6:10 / CBS新闻

    作者:Jennifer De Pinto、Fred Backus

    唐纳德·特朗普在2024年全国范围内的西班牙裔选民中取得了进展,尤其在得克萨斯州等关键战场州。他在该州的西班牙裔选民中领先卡玛拉·哈里斯,帮助扩大了其在该州的整体获胜优势。这标志着与最近几次选举的反转——拉丁裔选民在2020年支持乔·拜登,2016年支持希拉里·克林顿。

    随着初选季的开始,周二在得克萨斯州举行的初选将备受关注(该州2024年选民中约四分之一是西班牙裔)。(在周二举行初选的北卡罗来纳州,西班牙裔选民也占近十分之一。)

    部分助力特朗普总统获得这些进展的因素是经济。在2024年,经济是全国西班牙裔选民最关注的问题,选择该问题的选民绝大多数支持特朗普而非哈里斯。此外,认为通货膨胀是“严重困难”的西班牙裔(约四分之一)也大规模支持他。

    经济预期未达预期?


    特朗普第二任期开始一年多后,大多数西班牙裔总体上仍认为美国经济状况糟糕,不觉得收入能跟上通货膨胀,且大多数人不认为他的政策改善了他们的财务状况。

    特朗普的总体支持率在西班牙裔群体中过去一年有所下降(与其他群体一样)。与公众整体情况类似,大多数西班牙裔认为他的政府在降低物价方面关注不足,且大多数人不赞成他处理经济和通货膨胀的方式。

    (这是基于美国对伊朗采取军事行动前进行的民调。)

    驱逐政策与边境问题


    拜登执政期间,大多数西班牙裔认为他应该对试图越境者采取更严厉措施。大多数人承认在特朗普的政策下越境人数有所下降,但他们对政府整体驱逐计划和美国移民海关执法局(ICE)的运作方式的看法并不那么积极。

    在本届总统任期开始时,约一半的西班牙裔支持特朗普政府的驱逐计划,但目前支持该计划的比例已降至约三分之一。

    支持率下降的原因是,大多数西班牙裔认为政府没有优先驱逐罪犯,且大多数人认为ICE在拘留人员的行动中过于严厉。

    他们还认为,与其他种族和背景的人相比,西班牙裔受到ICE的搜查更多,并且认为这不公平。

    美国与伊朗冲突对选举的影响尚早


    目前还不清楚美国与伊朗的冲突将如何影响今年的选举。在美国对伊朗采取军事行动之前,西班牙裔和大多数美国人一样,认为政府没有明确解释其对潜在行动的立场,因此在冲突爆发后,他们可能希望获得更多明确信息。

    对特朗普政府的不满是否有助于民主党?


    西班牙裔对政府部分政策的不满尚未转化为对民主党特别积极的看法。

    虽然西班牙裔对共和党整体印象比民主党更负面,但他们对民主党的整体看法仍负面多于正面。

    但在经济和移民政策方面,西班牙裔更倾向于民主党的做法而非特朗普总统和共和党的做法,这表明民主党在两个关键问题上的优先事项可能更符合他们自身的需求。

    本分析基于CBS新闻出口民调以及CBS新闻/舆观(YouGov)民调。

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/how-latino-voters-are-impacting-the-texas-primaries/

    CBS News poll analysis on Hispanics, a key group, as primary season kicks off

    March 3, 2026 / 6:10 PM EST / CBS News

    By Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus

    Donald Trump made gains with Hispanics nationally in 2024 in some key battlegrounds, and particularly in Texas. He led Kamala Harris with Hispanics in the state, helping boost his overall winning margin in the state. It marked a reversal from recent elections when Latinos backed Joe Biden in 2020 and Hillary Clinton in 2016.

    As the primary season gets underway, Tuesday’s primaries in Texas, a state where roughly a quarter of 2024 voters were Hispanic, will be closely watched. (Hispanics also make up nearly one in 10 voters in North Carolina, another state holding primaries Tuesday.)

    Part of what helped President Trump make those gains was the economy. It was the top issue for Hispanic voters nationally in 2024, and those who picked it overwhelmingly backed Mr. Trump over Harris. And the portion of Hispanics who said inflation had been a “severe hardship” (about a quarter of them) also backed him in big numbers.

    Economic expectations unmet so far?


    More than a year into Mr. Trump’s second term, most Hispanics overall continue to rate the nation’s economy badly, don’t feel their incomes are keeping up with inflation, and most don’t feel his policies have made their finances better.

    Mr. Trump’s overall approval rating has declined among Hispanics over the course of this past year (as it has among other groups). Like the broader public, most Hispanics feel his administration has not focused enough on lowering prices, and most disapprove of how he is handling the economy and inflation.

    (This is based on polling conducted before the start of U.S. military action against Iran.)

    Deportation and the border


    During Biden’s presidency, most Hispanics thought he should have been tougher on those trying to cross the border. Most have acknowledged that border crossings have gone down under Mr. Trump’s policies, but their views on the administration’s overall deportation program and the way ICE conducts its operations are not as positive.

    About half of Hispanics approved of the Trump administration’s deportation program at the start of this presidential term, but that has dropped to about a third who approve of it now.

    This decline comes as most Hispanics don’t think the administration has been prioritizing criminals for deportation, and most think ICE has been too tough in its operations that detain people.

    They also think Hispanics are being subject to more searches from ICE, compared to people of other races and backgrounds, and they believe that isn’t fair.

    It’s too early to know how the U.S. conflict with Iran will impact elections this year. Before the U.S. took military action in Iran, Hispanics, like most Americans, felt the administration had not clearly explained its position regarding potential action, so they may be looking for more clarity now that a conflict is underway.

    Does discontent with the Trump administration help with the Democrats?


    This dissatisfaction among Hispanics with some of the administration’s policies has not translated into especially positive views of the Democratic Party.

    While Hispanics’ overall impression of the Republican Party is more negative than the Democratic Party, their overall views of the Democratic Party are more unfavorable than favorable.

    But on both economic and immigration policy, Hispanics do prefer the Democrats’ approach to that of President Trump and the Republicans, indicating the Democratic Party’s priorities on two key issues may be more in line with their own.

    This analysis is based on CBS News exit polls and CBS News/YouGov polls.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/how-latino-voters-are-impacting-the-texas-primaries/

  • 西班牙政府称有能力应对美国贸易威胁 | 联合早报


    发布/2026年3月4日 07:42

    针对美国总统特朗普威胁切断与西班牙贸易关系的言论,西班牙政府回应称,西班牙拥有必要资源来应对可能产生的影响,并将支持受冲击行业,推动供应链多元化。

    新华社报道,西班牙第二副首相兼劳工与社会经济部长迪亚斯星期二(3月3日)批评特朗普的相关言论“不可接受”,强调西班牙不会接受外部施压。

    当天早些时候,特朗普在白宫会见到访的德国总理默茨时说,西班牙不同意将军费增至国内生产总值(GDP)5%的北约目标,而且在此次美国打击伊朗的军事行动中,西班牙拒绝美国使用其军事基地。

    特朗普说,“西班牙的表现非常糟糕”,他已指示财政部长贝森特“切断与西班牙的一切贸易往来”。

    他还说:“西班牙根本没有我们需要的东西。我有权中止所有与西班牙有关的商业活动。禁运——我想怎么做就怎么做——我们可能对西班牙这么做。”

    延伸阅读

    • 西班牙拒绝美军使用基地 特朗普恫言实施贸易禁运
    • 西班牙拒为美以攻伊提供基地 美军机离境

    西班牙国防部长罗夫莱斯和外交部长阿尔瓦雷斯2日在接受西班牙国家电视台采访时说,位于西班牙南部的莫龙-德拉弗龙特拉和罗塔的两处军事基地未向美国提供任何形式的帮助,也不会被授权用于针对伊朗的军事打击行动。

    西班牙政府称有能力应对美国贸易威胁 | 联合早报

    发布/2026年3月4日 07:42

    针对美国总统特朗普威胁切断与西班牙贸易关系的言论,西班牙政府回应称,西班牙拥有必要资源来应对可能产生的影响,并将支持受冲击行业,推动供应链多元化。

    新华社报道,西班牙第二副首相兼劳工与社会经济部长迪亚斯星期二(3月3日)批评特朗普的相关言论“不可接受”,强调西班牙不会接受外部施压。

    当天早些时候,特朗普在白宫会见到访的德国总理默茨时说,西班牙不同意将军费增至国内生产总值(GDP)5%的北约目标,而且在此次美国打击伊朗的军事行动中,西班牙拒绝美国使用其军事基地。

    特朗普说,“西班牙的表现非常糟糕”,他已指示财政部长贝森特“切断与西班牙的一切贸易往来”。

    他还说:“西班牙根本没有我们需要的东西。我有权中止所有与西班牙有关的商业活动。禁运——我想怎么做就怎么做——我们可能对西班牙这么做。”

    延伸阅读

    西班牙拒绝美军使用基地 特朗普恫言实施贸易禁运

    西班牙拒为美以攻伊提供基地 美军机离境

    西班牙国防部长罗夫莱斯和外交部长阿尔瓦雷斯2日在接受西班牙国家电视台采访时说,位于西班牙南部的莫龙-德拉弗龙特拉和罗塔的两处军事基地未向美国提供任何形式的帮助,也不会被授权用于针对伊朗的军事打击行动。

  • 新闻


    独家报道: 美国众议院多数党领袖、路易斯安那州共和党人史蒂夫·斯卡利斯警告民主党人不要拿国土安全部(DHS)的资金问题作政治博弈,尤其在该国因美国对伊朗采取军事行动而面临潜在后果的高度戒备状态下。

    “把美国人民的安全和福祉放在首位,停止以政治游戏讨好极左翼选民的行为,尤其是在当下这种局势下,”斯卡利斯在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示。

    目前围绕国土安全部的部分政府停摆已进入第18天,而特朗普总统对伊朗采取军事行动后,这一僵局的意义更显重大。

    两党已达成协议,为截至9月30日财年末的97%联邦政府项目提供资金,但民主党与共和党在特朗普的移民打击政策上存在分歧,导致国土安全部的资金问题无法达成折中方案。

    众议院共和党领袖周末宣布,众议院将于本周四就一项两党国土安全部资金法案进行投票,该法案于今年1月通过,此举旨在施压民主党结束停摆。

    然而,该法案多次在参议院未能推进,民主党要求设置新的移民执法限制条款,而共和党认为这些条款不可行。

    “我们正处于更高的戒备状态,现在不是民主党人拿国土安全部资金玩政治游戏、导致部门停摆的时候,因为该部门的核心职责就是保障国内美国人的安全,”斯卡利斯表示,“所以我们再次提出这项法案,希望能让他们清醒过来,重新开放国土安全部。”

    该法案于1月底以220票对207票通过,当时仅有7名民主党人跨党派投下支持票。除肯塔基州共和党众议员托马斯·马西外,所有共和党众议员均投了赞成票。

    但斯卡利斯称,“任何负责任的国会议员”都应该在此次投票中支持该法案。

    “全国都在关注,也期望国会议员将美国人民的安全放在心上。我希望这次能获得更多的支持票,”他说道。

    国土安全部是“9·11”事件后成立的大型部门,负责范围广泛。

    尽管其近期因移民与海关执法局(ICE)和海关与边境保护局(CBP)的行动备受关注,但该部门还负责网络安全与基础设施安全局(CISA)、美国特勤局等多个国家安全相关机构。

    斯卡利斯强调,在国内举办的全球活动期间,该部门对保障美国安全至关重要。

    “上周我们就世界杯安全问题举行了听证会,负责世界杯安保的人员表示可能不得不取消部分赛事,”他透露,“而这还是在伊朗局势发生之前的情况。”

    伊丽莎白·埃尔金德是福克斯新闻数字频道的政治记者,主要报道众议院动态。此前曾为《每日邮报》和哥伦比亚广播公司新闻等媒体撰写报道。

    关注她的推特账号:@liz_elkind,或发送线索至elizabeth.elkind@fox.com

    EXCLUSIVE:House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., is warning Democrats not to play politics with the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) funding, particularly as the country is on high alert for any fallout from the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

    “Put the safety and security of the American people first and stop playing political games to appease the far-left base, especially at a time like this,” Scalise said in an interview with Fox News Digital.

    The ongoing partial government shutdown centered on DHS, now in its 18th day, has taken on new significance in the wake of President Donald Trump’s military action in Iran.

    Bipartisan deals have funded 97% of the federal government through the end of the fiscal year on Sept. 30, but divisions between Democrats and Republicans over Trump’s immigration crackdown have prevented any such compromise on DHS.

    House GOP leaders announced over the weekend that the chamber would vote this Thursday on a bipartisan DHS funding bill that passed in January in a bid to pressure Democrats to end the shutdown.

    That bill failed to advance in the Senate multiple times, with Democrats demanding new guardrails on immigration enforcement that Republicans have deemed nonstarters.

    “We are on a higher level of alert, and this is not the time for Democrats to be playing games and shutting down the department that is focused on keeping Americans safe here at home,” Scalise said. “So we’re bringing this bill back up again to try to get them to come to their senses and open the Department of Homeland Security.”

    The bill passed in a 220-207 vote in late January, with just seven Democrats crossing the aisle in support. All but one House Republican, Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., voted in favor.

    However, Scalise said “any responsible member of Congress” should vote for the legislation this time.

    “The country is watching and expects members of Congress to take the safety of the American people at heart. And so I hope we get a much larger vote this time,” he said.

    DHS is a wide-ranging department that was created in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks.

    While it’s most recently grabbed headlines for actions by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), DHS is also responsible for a variety of national security-focused offices like the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) and the U.S. Secret Service.

    Scalise pointed out that it’s also critical to keeping the U.S. safe during global events being hosted within its borders.

    “We had a hearing last week on the World Cup, the people in charge of security for the World Cup were saying that they may have to start canceling some events,” he said. “And that was before Iran.”

    Elizabeth Elkind is a politics reporter for Fox News Digital leading coverage of the House of Representatives. Previous digital bylines seen at Daily Mail and CBS News.

    Follow on Twitter at @liz_elkind and send tips to elizabeth.elkind@fox.com

  • 特朗普称伊朗打击行动已清除大部分领导层继任候选人 | 福克斯新闻


    白宫称军事行动初始阶段已消灭49名伊朗高级领导人

    摩根·菲利普斯、埃弗拉特·拉赫特报道
    福克斯新闻
    2026年3月3日 美国东部时间下午1:20发布

    福克斯新闻首席国家安全记者詹妮弗·格里芬在《美国新闻室》节目中报道了”史诗狂怒行动”的最新进展、任务后续计划及更多细节。

    新功能:现在您可以收听福克斯新闻文章!

    收听本文

    8分钟

    美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,美国对伊朗的军事打击已基本摧毁伊朗政权预期的领导层继任梯队,这引发了新的疑问:在最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊去世后,谁将领导这个伊斯兰共和国?

    “我们原本属意的大多数人都已死亡,”特朗普周二告诉记者,”所以,你知道,我们心中的一些人已经死了。现在我们有了另一群人,根据报道,他们也可能已经死亡。所以,我想会有第三波(打击)。很快我们就可能不认识任何人了。”

    总统称最坏的情况是有人接任”和前领导人一样糟糕”。

    “这可能发生,”特朗普说,”我们不希望这种情况发生。这可能是你经历的最糟糕的情况,然后在五年后,你意识到你选了一个并不更好的人。我们希望看到有人能为人民带来改变,我们会看看这些人的情况。你知道,他们有机会。”

    这番言论发表之际,以色列对伊朗圣城库姆与该国专家会议相关的建筑发动了打击。以色列国防军发言人埃菲·德夫林向福克斯新闻数字版证实,这是对恐怖主义相关目标的打击。

    “我们打击了几个与恐怖主义有关的目标,”德夫林说。

    伊朗媒体声称,袭击发生时该建筑是空的。德夫林表示,以色列尚未对损坏情况进行评估。

    白宫称,在行动的初始阶段,49名伊朗高级领导人被清除,特朗普称该行动”提前完成”。

    然而,国防官员强调,此次行动并非旨在迫使政权更迭。

    “这不是所谓的政权更迭战争,”战争部长彼得·赫格塞斯说,”但政权确实发生了变化,世界今天因此变得更好。”

    这一区别现在成为了一个关键的地缘政治问题:如果美国无意推翻伊朗的统治体系,却已清除了其大部分高层领导人和继任链条,接下来会发生什么?

    特朗普称美国的打击行动已消除了伊朗大部分继任候选人,这意味着在最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊去世后,谁将领导伊朗尚不确定。(伊朗领袖新闻办公室/阿纳多卢/盖蒂图片社)

    伊朗的继任流程本应如何运作

    根据伊朗宪法,当最高领袖职位出现空缺时,专家会议将选举新的最高领袖。在此期间,由总统、司法机构负责人和高级神职人员组成的三人委员会将履行领袖职责,直至选出永久继任者。

    哈梅内伊去世后,伊朗当局已启动这一宪法机制。总统马苏德·佩泽什基安、司法负责人戈拉姆-侯赛因·穆赫森尼-埃贾伊和高级神职人员阿里雷扎·阿拉菲正在监督过渡阶段。

    这一结构旨在防止那种可能破坏威权体系的权力真空。但特朗普声称多名潜在继任者被杀害,这加剧了人们对德黑兰神职人员是否仍有清晰可行的前进道路的疑虑。

    虽然以色列官员暗示最近的袭击针对了高级官员,但伊朗尚未公开确认神职人员或继任层级的伤亡名单。专家会议本身受到直接破坏的程度尚不清楚。

    潜在继任者及报告的损失

    司法负责人穆赫森尼-埃贾伊长期以来被视为继任框架内的高级内部人士,仍是过渡领导委员会成员。

    《纽约时报》此前报道称,哈梅内伊在去年伊朗与以色列为期12天的战争期间已悄然开始为权力过渡做准备。

    据报道,潜在继任者包括他的幕僚长阿里·阿斯加尔·赫贾齐、穆赫森尼-埃贾伊和伊斯兰共和国创始人鲁霍拉·霍梅尼的孙子哈桑·霍梅尼。

    阿里雷扎·阿拉菲阿亚图拉被一些分析师视为哈梅内伊最高领袖职位的潜在继任者。(伊朗国际新闻提供)

    以色列官员声称赫贾齐在最近的袭击中丧生,但伊朗当局尚未公开证实他的死亡。

    阿里雷扎·阿拉菲阿亚图拉也被一些分析师视为神职人员阶层中的潜在竞争者。

    特朗普称”第二或第三顺位者已死亡”,这表明美国情报部门评估领导层的多个层级受到影响。然而,尚未公布关于继任排名人物死亡情况的全面公开说明。

    “史诗狂怒行动:美国空军如何摧毁伊朗恐怖政权”

    权力转移的风险

    一些分析师警告称,清除多层级领导层可能导致权力真空,这与其他国家在推翻根深蒂固的统治者后出现的情况类似。

    2011年卡扎菲政权倒台后,利比亚陷入了民兵割据和政府分裂的局面。美国入侵伊拉克也导致了长期的叛乱和地区动荡。

    伊朗的情况有所不同,该国保留了正式的继承规则、中央集权机构和运作中的国家官僚体系。

    但如果神职人员领导人难以就继任者达成一致,可能会出现相互竞争的权力中心。

    控制着庞大军事、情报和经济资产的伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC),在文职宗教领导层出现动摇时可能会试图巩固影响力。

    “当神职人员无法达成一致时,权力不会消失,而是会转移,”民主与国防基金会的分析师在最近的评估中警告称,”持续的不稳定最有可能使伊斯兰革命卫队受益。”

    国内动荡与反对派人物

    伊朗领导层已面临严重的国内动荡。

    2025年12月底,全国范围内爆发抗议活动,起因是经济困难和政治不满,引发了政府的大规模镇压。特朗普声称,在政权镇压期间有32,000人死亡,这一数字远高于伊朗官方声明和独立估计。

    为了压制通讯并阻碍示威者之间的协调,伊朗当局在动荡期间以及美国打击开始后再次实施了近乎全面的互联网封锁。

    在政权之外,反对派人物已准备在更广泛的政治重组中充当过渡性声音。

    伊朗前国王的流亡儿子雷扎·巴列维将自己定位为反对派的象征,以及如果神职人员秩序崩溃后可能引导伊朗走向民主制度的过渡人物。

    但巴列维现居美国,特朗普周二表示,伊朗国内可能有更”合适”的人选。

    “有些人喜欢他,我们并没有过多考虑这一点,”特朗普说,”在我看来,或许内部的人更合适。我说过他看起来是个非常不错的人,但在我看来,如果有这样的人,现在在伊朗国内受欢迎的人会更合适。”

    玛丽安·拉贾维是伊朗全国抵抗委员会(由人民圣战者组织领导的流亡反对派团体联盟)的当选总统,她主张推翻神职人员政权并建立民主共和国。

    这两人都有国际支持者,但他们在伊朗国内的实际影响力仍不确定且存在争议。

    德黑兰,伊朗,2026年3月2日,空袭后升起的烟雾。(莫森·甘吉/美联社)

    不是政权更迭——但这是什么?

    美国对中东干预的批评者经常指出,过去的政权更迭努力带来的是不稳定而非稳定。

    特朗普转而将委内瑞拉作为更相关的例子。

    今年1月,美国军队逮捕了总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗,副总统德尔西·罗德里格斯根据委内瑞拉宪法程序接管权力。在华盛顿通过经济压力、石油资产法律诉讼和外交接触(而非直接统治)施加影响的同时,该国的治理机构继续运作。

    特朗普在接受福克斯新闻的布雷特·拜尔采访时表示,委内瑞拉行动是”接管”并可与美国合作的领导模式,这表明政府认为,在压力下巩固的体系可以调整,而非彻底崩溃。

    伊朗将遵循这种模式——尽管领导层遭受毁灭性打击但维持机构连续性——还是神职人员内部出现更深裂痕,仍是中东地区最具影响力的未解问题之一。

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    特朗普称伊朗希望谈判,但哈梅内伊之后谁来领导?

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    Trump says Iran strikes eliminated most leadership succession candidates | Fox News

    White House says 49 top Iranian leaders were eliminated in opening phase of military campaign

    By Morgan Phillips, Efrat Lachter
    Fox News
    Published March 3, 2026 1:20pm EST

    Fox News chief national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin reports the latest on Operation Epic Fury, what’s next in the mission and more during ‘America’s Newsroom.’

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    8 min

    President Donald Trump said U.S. military strikes on Iran have eliminated much of the regime’s anticipated leadership succession bench, raising new questions about who will emerge to lead the Islamic Republic after the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

    “Most of the people we had in mind are dead,” Trump told reporters Tuesday. “So, you know, we had some in mind from that group that is, is dead. And now we have another group. They may be dead also based on reports. So, I guess you have a third wave coming in. Pretty soon we’re not going to know anybody.”

    The president said the worst-case scenario would be someone taking over “who’s as bad as the previous person.”

    “That could happen,” Trump said. “We don’t want that to happen. It would probably be the worse you go through this, and then, in five years, you realize you put somebody in who was no better. We’d like to see somebody in there that’s going to bring it back for the people, and we’ll see what happens with the people. You know, they have their chance.”

    The remarks come as Israeli strikes hit the building in the holy city of Qom, Iran, associated with the country’s Assembly of Experts, the 88-member clerical body constitutionally responsible for selecting the next supreme leader, Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson Effie Defrin confirmed to Fox News Digital.

    “We struck a few targets involved in terrorism,” Defrin said.

    Iranian media has claimed the building was empty at the time of the strikes. Israel does not yet have a battle damage assessment, Defrin said.

    The White House has said 49 top Iranian leaders were taken out in the opening phase of the campaign, which Trump said put the operation “ahead of schedule.”

    Defense officials, however, have stressed the operation was not designed to force regime change.

    “This is not a so-called regime change war,” War Secretary Pete Hegseth said. “But the regime sure did change, and the world is better off for it today.”

    That distinction now sits at the center of a critical geopolitical question: If the U.S. did not intend to overthrow Iran’s ruling system but has eliminated much of its top leadership and succession chain, what happens next?

    Trump said U.S. strikes eliminated much of Iran’s succession bench, meaning it’s unclear who will lead after the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.(Iranian Leader Press Office/Anadolu/Getty Images)

    How Iran’s succession process is supposed to work

    Under Iran’s constitution, the Assembly of Experts selects a new supreme leader when the position becomes vacant. In the interim, a three-person council — composed of the president, the head of the judiciary and a senior cleric — carries out the leader’s duties until a permanent successor is chosen.

    After Khamenei’s death, Iranian authorities moved to activate that constitutional mechanism. President Masoud Pezeshkian, judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei and senior cleric Alireza Arafi are overseeing the interim phase.

    The structure is designed to prevent exactly the kind of vacuum that can destabilize authoritarian systems. But Trump’s assertion that multiple potential successors were killed has intensified uncertainty about whether Tehran’s clerical establishment still has a clear and viable path forward.

    While Israeli officials have indicated that senior figures were targeted in recent strikes, Iran has not publicly confirmed a full list of clerical or succession-level casualties. The extent to which the Assembly of Experts itself was directly disrupted remains unclear.

    Potential successors and reported losses

    Judiciary chief Mohseni-Ejei has long been viewed as a senior insider within the succession framework and remains part of the interim leadership council.

    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had quietly begun preparing for a potential transition during last year’s 12-day war between Iran and Israel, according to prior reporting by The New York Times.

    Possible successors reportedly included his chief of staff Ali Asghar Hejazi, Mohseni-Ejei and Hassan Khomeini, the grandson of Islamic Republic founder Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

    Ayatollah Alireza Arafi is seen as a potential successor to Khamanei as supreme leader.(Courtesy Iran International)

    Israeli officials have claimed Hejazi was killed in recent strikes, though Iranian authorities have not publicly confirmed his death.

    Ayatollah Alireza Arafi has also been viewed by some analysts as a potential contender within the clerical hierarchy.

    Trump’s claim that “second or third place is dead” suggests U.S. intelligence assessed that multiple tiers of leadership were affected. However, no comprehensive public accounting of succession-ranking figures killed has been released.

    OPERATION EPIC FURY: HOW AMERICA’S AIR POWER IS CRUSHING IRAN’S TERROR REGIME

    Risk of power shifts

    Some analysts warn that wiping out multiple tiers of leadership risks creating the kind of power vacuum that has destabilized other countries after the removal of entrenched rulers.

    After Moammar Gadhafi was removed in Libya in 2011, rival militias and competing governments fractured the country. The U.S. invasion of Iraq similarly led to prolonged insurgency and regional upheaval.

    Iran’s situation is not identical. The country retains formal succession rules, centralized institutions and a functioning state bureaucracy.

    But if clerical leaders struggle to agree on a successor, competing power centers could emerge.

    The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which controls vast military, intelligence and economic assets, could move to consolidate influence if civilian religious leadership falters.

    “When clerics cannot agree, power does not disappear. It shifts,” analysts at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies wrote in a recent assessment, warning that sustained instability could empower the IRGC. “The most likely beneficiary of sustained instability is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.”

    Domestic unrest and opposition figures

    Iran’s leadership already has faced intense domestic unrest.

    Nationwide protests erupted in late December 2025 concerning economic hardship and political grievances, prompting a sweeping government crackdown. Trump has claimed 32,000 people were killed during the regime’s response, a figure significantly higher than official Iranian statements and independent estimates.

    To stifle communication and hinder coordination among demonstrators, Iranian authorities imposed a near-total internet blackout during the unrest and again after the start of U.S. strikes.

    Outside the regime, opposition figures have positioned themselves as potential transitional voices in the event of broader political realignment.

    Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran’s last shah, has cast himself as a symbol of the opposition and a potential transitional figure who could steer Iran toward a democratic system if the clerical order collapses.

    But Pahlavi lives in the U.S., and Trump said Tuesday someone within Iran might be more “appropriate.”

    “Some people like him, and we haven’t been thinking too much about that,” Trump said. ‘It would seem to me that somebody from within maybe would be more appropriate. I’ve said that he looks like a very nice person, but it would seem to me that somebody that’s there that’s currently popular if there is such a person.”

    Maryam Rajavi, president-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran — a coalition of exiled opposition groups led by the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (MEK) — advocates for the overthrow of the clerical regime and establishment of a democratic republic.

    Both figures have international supporters, but their actual influence inside Iran remains uncertain and contested.

    A plume of smoke rises after a strike in Tehran, Iran, Monday, March 2, 2026.(Mohsen Ganji/AP)

    Not regime change — but what is it?

    Critics of U.S. intervention in the Middle East often point to past regime-change efforts that produced instability rather than stability.

    Trump has instead pointed to Venezuela as a more relevant comparison.

    In January, U.S. forces captured President Nicolás Maduro, and Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed power under Venezuela’s constitutional process. The country’s governing institutions continued functioning while Washington exerted influence through economic pressure, legal action over oil assets and diplomatic engagement rather than direct rule.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier that the Venezuela operation was a template for leadership that “takes over” and one the United States can work with, suggesting the administration sees a pathway where entrenched systems adjust under pressure rather than collapse outright.

    Whether Iran follows that model — maintaining institutional continuity despite devastating leadership losses — or whether deeper fractures emerge inside the clerical establishment remains one of the most consequential unanswered questions in the Middle East.

    Related Article

    Trump says Iran wants to talk but who will lead after Khamenei?

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  • 五角大楼官员指出”冷战心态”重现,特朗普政府重塑北约联盟


    埃尔布里奇·科尔比(Elbridge Colby) 为战略转变辩护,参议员质疑此举是否会让欧洲独自应对俄罗斯

    作者:雷切尔·沃尔夫(Rachel Wolf)
    福克斯新闻

    发布时间:2026年3月3日 美国东部时间下午1:13

    负责政策事务的陆军部副部长埃尔布里奇·科尔比在国会山参议院武装部队委员会接受质询时,为《2026年国防战略》进行了辩护。

    您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章!

    3分钟

    负责政策事务的陆军部副部长埃尔布里奇·科尔比告诉议员,本届政府最新的国防战略提案并未将美国的欧洲盟友边缘化,而是旨在回归到…

    Pentagon official flags return of ‘Cold War mentality,’ as Trump admin reshapes NATO alliance

    Elbridge Colby defends strategy shift as senators question whether it leaves Europe to handle Russia

    By Rachel Wolf
    Fox News

    Published March 3, 2026 1:13pm EST

    Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby defended the 2026 National Defense Strategy as he was grilled on Capitol Hill before the Senate Armed Services Committee.

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    3 min

    Undersecretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby told lawmakers that the administration’s latest defense strategy proposal does not sideline the U.S.’ European allies, but rather it aims to go back to a

  • 牛顿第三定律与政治反应:伊朗战争如何影响2026年中期选举


    艾萨克·牛顿爵士提出,对于每一个作用力,总有一个大小相等、方向相反的反作用力。这就是牛顿第三运动定律,也是所有科学中最重要的法则之一。

    而牛顿物理学也能为我们揭示政治领域中的“反应”规律。

    我们尚不清楚伊朗战争的规模或影响。但随着中期选举临近,将出现具有重大意义的政治反应。目前要理解战争的走向、可能出现的意外转折,以及其后果如何在中期选举中产生回响,还为时过早。

    (图为:2026年2月28日,佛罗里达州棕榈滩,前总统唐纳德·特朗普在其Truth Social账号发布的视频截图中就伊朗作战行动发表声明。)(特朗普总统通过Truth Social/阿纳多卢通讯社/盖蒂图片社)

    事态如何发展尚不明朗。但如此重大的事件总会带来一定的政治影响,而这场战争可能会为中期选举的走向定下基调。

    让我们从特朗普总统的竞选承诺说起:他曾宣称“美国优先”,并承诺避免美国卷入外国冲突。然而,这一承诺如今已被打破。而且,这已经引发了“ MAGA 运动”支持者群体的一些不满。如果他们认为总统违背了关键竞选承诺,可能会选择背离共和党。

    但到目前为止,大多数国会共和党人都支持总统。少数国会共和党人,包括肯塔基州共和党众议员托马斯·马西和俄亥俄州共和党众议员沃伦·戴维森,与民主党人立场一致,坚称特朗普在向伊朗派遣军队之前必须获得国会授权。

    这并非小题大做,而是一个近乎“技术性”的争论。当然,关于宪法、战争权力以及谁有权“宣战”等问题确实存在重要争议。但这场战争权力的辩论可能不会引起众多选民的共鸣。然而,当总统违背了“不发动战争”的承诺而决定开战,这可能会给总统和国会共和党人在今年秋季的选举中带来潜在问题。那些感觉被总统背叛的选民可能会选择弃权。尤其是考虑到这似乎与总统竞选时承诺避免战争的立场背道而驰。

    还有一个关键因素:“战争伤亡”的影响。

    特朗普总统已明确表示,战争可能会造成人员伤亡,而且确实已经出现了伤亡情况。他似乎并不忌惮持久战,甚至不排除派遣地面部队的可能性。

    让我们回顾1991年海湾战争的情况:当时美国及其盟友在伊拉克入侵科威特后对其发动进攻。时任总统老布什在该地区进行了数月的军事集结,并积极争取其他国家支持,还获得了国会的授权。这并非意味着获得了全面支持,但布什及其国会盟友向选民解释了行动的必要性。诚然,布什在1992年的总统选举中失利,但在几个月前,公众还是支持这场战争的。当时有爱国旗帜飘扬、爱国游行举行,还有惠特尼·休斯顿在超级碗比赛中演唱国歌的传奇时刻。

    战争初期,老布什的支持率飙升至惊人的89%。但17个月后,由于经济问题,支持率暴跌至约30%。

    所以,假设这场战争进展顺利且伤亡有限,国会共和党人或许能搭乘特朗普的顺风车。如果全国范围内掀起爱国浪潮,共和党甚至可能将几个原本支持民主党的选区纳入囊中。

    但如果战争持续时间过长且伤亡惨重,或者美国民众不理解为何要介入伊朗,情况就会变得危险。到目前为止,特朗普列举了一系列美国袭击伊朗的理由,但国会民主党人对这些解释并不认同。

    “政权更迭”如果成功推翻独裁者固然是好事,但对于威斯康星州一位挣扎在温饱线上的日工来说,这一目标意义不大。

    此外,还要关注油价走势。霍尔木兹海峡是波斯湾通往公海的唯一航运通道,也是臭名昭著的“石油咽喉”。通过该海峡的石油运输量正迅速下降,而液化天然气(LNG)也是通过此海峡运输的大宗商品之一。不久前,民主党人和选民还坚信2026年中期选举的焦点将是“物价可负担性”。如果燃油价格上涨导致通货膨胀,进而使商品和服务成本增加(因为运输成本上升),选民将会强烈反对。

    战争可能成为中东地区局势的“引爆点”,导致该地区陷入混乱。同样,中东的动荡对于缅因州北部的摇摆选民来说可能影响不大,但这种规模的不稳定可能会冲击市场、推高物价,并影响商店货架上商品的供应。如果中国或俄罗斯以某种方式介入,风险将呈几何级数增长。

    最大的“变量”是:恐怖主义。

    有可能发生的严重恐怖袭击——尤其是针对美国本土的袭击——可能会促使选民“团结在国旗之下”,反而支持共和党。看看小布什总统在“9·11”事件后如何获得支持,以及2002年中期选举中共和党如何打破常规,在通常情况下总统所在政党会在中期选举中平均失去27个众议院席位,但2002年却是现代中期选举中总统所在政党罕见地获得席位的三次之一。

    不过,也有一些选民可能会认为,为了反恐而轰炸伊朗所带来的后果和人员伤亡是不值得的。这可能会反过来对总统和国会共和党人造成负面影响。

    然而,民主党在反恐问题上也面临挑战。近三周以来,民主党拒绝为国土安全部(DHS)拨款,除非对方修改移民和海关执法局(ICE)的政策。反对ICE符合民主党的基本盘。但如果发生重大恐怖袭击,民主党可能会陷入困境。这就是为什么众议院共和党人本周将迫使民主党就一项拨款法案进行投票,以记录其立场。

    是的,共和党认为国土安全部必须全面运作,尤其是在当前局势下。但共和党希望选民明白,在世界舞台动荡不安、伊朗战争升级之际,是谁阻碍了国土安全部的资金支持。如果不幸在资金停发期间发生重大恐怖袭击,继续反对国土安全部拨款可能会让民主党自食其果。中期选举的广告几乎会自动生成:“民主党阻挠国土安全部拨款以支持恐怖主义?”

    正如牛顿第三定律所言:“每一个作用力都有一个大小相等、方向相反的反作用力。”我们现在还无法计算伊朗战争在今年秋季中期选举中可能引发的同等规模的“反作用力”,但肯定会有某种形式的反应。

    不过,牛顿第一运动定律或许能更广泛地解释中期选举的影响。牛顿曾写道:“静止的物体保持静止,运动的物体保持运动。”

    在特朗普发动战争之前,伊朗问题一直处于“静止”状态。而现在,伊朗问题已经“运动起来”,要想让其停下来将变得更加困难。

    Sir Isaac Newton postulated that for every action, there is always an equal and opposite reaction. It’s Newton’s Third Law of Motion and one of the most important rules in all of science.

    And Newtonian physics can tell you a great deal about reactions in politics.

    We don’t yet know the dimension or the impact of the war in Iran. But there will be a political reaction of great importance as we head toward the midterms. It’s just too early to understand how the war will go, what unexpected twists it may take and how its consequences might reverberate through the midterms.

    A screengrab from a video released on President Donald Trump’s Truth Social account shows him making statements regarding combat operations on Iran on Feb. 28, 2026, in Palm Beach, Fla.(President Trump via Truth Social/Anadolu via Getty Images)

    How things unfold is unclear. But an event of this breadth and proportion always poses some political impact. And the war may chart the course for the midterms.

    Let’s start with President Donald Trump’s campaign promises that he was “America First” and would keep the U.S. out of foreign conflicts. Well, that’s out the window. And there’s already some friction with the MAGA base. They may bolt if they believe the president reneged on one of his key campaign promises.

    But so far, most congressional Republicans are standing beside the president. A handful of congressional Republicans — including Reps. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., and Warren Davidson, R-Ohio — agree with Democrats and assert that Trump must come to Congress before sending troops into harm’s way.

    Not to downplay this, but it’s almost a “technical” argument. Yes, there are important questions about the Constitution, war powers and who has the right to “declare war.” But the war powers debate probably doesn’t resonate with a lot of voters. However, the decision to go to war when the president promised otherwise could pose potential problems for the president and congressional Republicans this fall. Voters who feel betrayed by the president could just stay home. Especially since it appears to fly in the face of the president’s campaign promise against starting wars.

    Then there’s the body bag factor.

    President Donald Trump confirmed the launch of U.S. strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, 2026.(Contributor/Getty Images)

    Trump has been forthright, suggesting that there are possibilities of casualties. And there have already been some. He also doesn’t feel inhibited about a protracted war or even putting boots on the ground.

    Remember what happened during the first Gulf War as the U.S. and allies went after Iraq after it invaded Kuwait in 1991. Then-President George H.W. Bush studiously courted other nations during a multi-month buildup in the region and secured the blessing from Congress. That’s not to say there was support across the board. But Bush and those aligned with him on Capitol Hill made the case to voters. Granted, Bush lost re-election in 1992. But some months earlier, the public embraced the campaign. There was flag waving. There were patriotic marches. There was the legendary performance of the national anthem by Whitney Houston at the Super Bowl.

    The president’s approval rating spiked to a staggering 89% in the early days of the war. But it cratered to around 30% 17 months later because of the economy.

    So let’s say the war goes well and casualties are limited. Congressional Republicans could ride the coattails of Trump. Republicans may even be able to put a few districts into their camp if a wave of patriotism sweeps over the country.

    But watch out if this is a drawn-out campaign and casualties are high. Or, if Americans don’t understand why the U.S. is involved. So far, Trump has given a litany of reasons why the U.S. attacked Iran. Congressional Democrats don’t like the answers they are hearing.

    Regime change is certainly good if you toss out dictators. But that means little to a day laborer who voted in Wisconsin and is struggling to make ends meet.

    A driver refuels a vehicle at a Wawa gas station in Media, Pa., on March 2, 2026.(Matthew Hatcher/Bloomberg/Getty Images)

    Also, watch the price of gasoline. The Strait of Hormuz is the only shipping lane from the Persian Gulf to the open sea and a notorious choke point. The transport of oil through the strait is already declining rapidly. Another commodity moved through the strait is liquefied natural gas (LNG). It wasn’t that long ago that Democrats and voters were convinced that the 2026 midterms were going to be about affordability. Voters will balk if inflation sets in with fuel — to say nothing of the cost of goods and services because it’s more expensive to transport things.

    There’s a risk that the war is a tipping point for the region and the Middle East devolves into chaos. Again, mayhem in the Middle East won’t matter much to a swing voter in northern Maine. But instability of that magnitude has the potential to shock markets, drive up prices and impact the availability of products on store shelves. And the risks are geometrically more complicated if China or Russia somehow get involved.

    Then there is the biggest wild card: terrorism.

    It’s possible that a heinous terrorist attack — especially on U.S. soil — could spur voters to rally ‘round the flag and actually help the GOP. Look at how President George W. Bush gained support after 9/11. And consider the fact that Republicans went against the historic norm and actually gained seats in the 2002 midterms. The party of the president usually loses an average of 27 House seats in the first midterm. But 2002 was one of only three instances that the president’s party picked up seats in a modern midterm election.

    That said, some voters may argue that the consequences and carnage of a terrorist attack weren’t worth bombing Iran. So that has the potential to backfire on the president and congressional Republicans.

    However, Democrats have some exposure to the terrorism issue. Democrats have refused to fund the Department of Homeland Security (DHS)for nearly three weeks as they demand changes to ICE. Fighting against ICE resonates with the Democratic base. But Democrats could be in trouble if there’s a major terrorist attack. That’s why House Republicans are forcing a vote this week to get Democrats on the record on a bill to fund DHS.

    Yes, Republicans believe DHS should be fully operational. Especially now. But Republicans want voters to understand who blocked funding DHS as the U.S. enters a tumultuous period on the world stage and the war in Iran deepens. Continuing to oppose money for DHS could come back to haunt Democrats if, God forbid, there’s a major terrorist attack during the funding lapse. The ads for the midterms practically write themselves.

    For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, said Newton in his Third Law of Motion. We can’t yet calculate the equal pushback that’s likely coming as a consequence of the war in Iran in the fall midterms. But there will be something.

    But perhaps Newton’s First Law of Motion has even broader application to understanding the impact in the midterms. Newton wrote that an object at rest stays at rest. And an object in motion stays in motion.

    Things were “at rest” with Iran until Trump started the war. And now the Iran issue is “in motion.” That makes it more challenging to stop it.

  • 伊朗战争威胁中国石油供应,北京严阵以待经济冲击:”一场人为制造的危机”


    2026-03-03T13:29:00-0500 / CBS新闻

    北京—— 随着能源供应严重中断,中国正准备应对美国和以色列与伊朗战争带来的全面经济影响。中国是全球最大的能源进口国,而冲突导致的石油进口中断可能成为北京的潜在致命弱点——就在特朗普总统备受期待的访华前夕。

    根据全球独立担保与风险管理机构挪威船级社(Det Norske Veritas)的分析,中国整体石油和天然气进口的70%来自波斯湾,且大部分能源供应都依赖该地区。

    中国与全球化智库主席王亨利(Henry Wang)周二告诉CBS新闻,中国的供应链将受到他称之为”人为制造的危机”的严重影响。

    “我认为这肯定会伤害中国,但不仅限于中国,我认为全世界都会受到伤害。霍尔木兹海峡被封锁,这不仅会影响中国,还会影响亚洲、欧洲、拉丁美洲,甚至美国,”王说道。

    周日,中国最高外交官王毅谴责这场战争,指责美国暗杀主权国家领导人,违反国际法,并将该地区”推向危险的深渊边缘”。

    中国与伊朗的外交关系可追溯至半个多世纪前。2018年特朗普政府退出伊朗核协议后,美国对德黑兰重新实施制裁,根据分析公司Kpler 2025年的数据,伊朗已将高达80%的石油出售给中国。

    行人走过上海一处展示原油期货行情的屏幕(2026年3月2日)。贾德·高(Jade GAO)/法新社/盖蒂图片社

    一些专家认为,北京通过购买伊朗石油支持了伊朗政权。Kpler的数据显示,去年中国日均购买138万桶伊朗石油。

    但王告诉CBS新闻,这对北京而言仅仅是一笔普通交易,外界对中国与伊朗关系的这种描述并不公平。

    “我认为这只是正常贸易,”王表示,”就像我们看到俄罗斯与乌克兰的战争中,金砖国家如印度也在从俄罗斯购买能源。不能因为一个国家不喜欢伊朗,就要求世界其他国家也不能购买其石油。”

    尽管中国政府称其为全球增长最快的绿色经济,正在快速推广可再生能源和核能,但中国对石油的需求仍在持续上升。

    “我认为,尽管中国现在拥有大量绿色能源,且替代能源能力大幅提升,但中国50%的能源仍然依赖石油,以及其他天然气和其他来源,”王告诉CBS新闻。

    去年,在马来西亚沿海的廖内群岛,CBS新闻记者目睹了一支”影子船队”运输伊朗石油,并与中国油轮进行船对船转运——如果战争持续,这条供应路线将突然中断。王称,中国的石油储备足以应对持续冲突四至五个月。

    许多分析师认为,美国领导的对伊朗打击是白宫通过打击能源供应来遏制中国的战略的一部分。王表示,虽然不能否认这会影响中国的供应,但也可能摧毁美国及其盟友。

    “我认为特朗普总统正在自残。这伤害了欧洲国家,伤害了七国集团(G7)国家,也伤害了美国。不仅仅是中国,整个全球经济都将受到影响。我们并非生活在孤立的环境中,一切都相互交织,”他说。

    特朗普将在本月底前往中国与习近平主席举行峰会。两位领导人于2月通话,讨论了台湾问题和美国对台军售等议题。

    去年,中美两国在陷入脆弱缓和之前,也曾陷入不断升级的关税战。而伊朗战争和中东局势将为世界两个超级大国之间的关系增添另一层紧张。

    Beijing braces for economic impact as Iran war threatens Chinese oil: “A manmade crisis”

    2026-03-03T13:29:00-0500 / CBS News

    Beijing — China is bracing for the full economic impact of the U.S. and Israeli war with Iran as its energy supplies are severely disrupted. China is the largest importer of energy in the world, and the disruption to oil imports caused by the conflict could be a potential Achilles’ heel for Beijing, just weeks before President Trump’s highly anticipated state visit to China.

    China imports 70% of its oil and gas overall and a majority of its energy comes from the Persian Gulf, according to analysis from Det Norske Veritas, an independent global assurance and risk management provider.

    Henry Wang, president of the Centre for China & Globalization, told CBS News Tuesday that China’s supply line will be seriously impacted by what he calls a “manmade crisis.”

    “I think this will certainly hurt China, but not just limited to China, I think the whole world will be hurt. The Strait of Hormuz has been blocked and it’s going to impact not only China, but also Asia, Europe, Latin America, even the U.S.,” Wang said.

    On Sunday, China’s top diplomat Wang Yi condemned the war, accusing the U.S. of assassinating a sovereign leader, violating international laws, and pushing the region “to the brink of a dangerous abyss.”

    China and Iran’s diplomatic relationship dates back more than five decades. After U.S. sanctions were reimposed on Tehran over its nuclear weapons program following the first Trump administration’s withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement in 2018, Iran has sold up to 80% of its oil to China, according to 2025 data from analytics firm Kpler.

    Pedestrians walk next to a screen showing the commodity futures for crude oil in Shanghai on March 2, 2026. Jade GAO /AFP via Getty Images

    Some experts believe Beijing has propped up the regime with its purchase of Iranian oil. Last year, China bought 1.38 million barrels per day of Iranian oil, data from Kpler shows.

    But Wang told CBS News that it’s merely transactional for Beijing and an unfair representation of how China sees the relationship.

    “I just think that is a normal trade,” Wang said. “Just like we see the Russian war with Ukraine and we see all the BRICS countries like India buying from Russia. So just because one country doesn’t like Iran, you cannot really ask the rest of the world that you cannot buy its oil.”

    While Beijing is rolling out renewables and nuclear energy at a pace its government has called the fastest growing green economy in the world, the Chinese demand for oil continues to rise.

    “I think even though China does have a lot of green power now and has greatly enhanced its capability in alternative energy sources, 50% of China’s energy still depends on petroleum and many other natural gas and other sources,” Wang told CBS News.

    Last year, off the coast of Malaysia in the Riau Archipelago, CBS News witnessed a shadow fleet transporting Iranian oil and conducting ship-to-ship transfers with Chinese tankers — a supply route that will abruptly halt if the war drags on. Wang says China has petroleum reserves of up to four to five months in the event of prolonged conflict.

    Many analysts believe the U.S.-led strikes on Iran are part of a White House strategy to contain China by targeting its energy supplies. Wang said that while there is no denying the effect this will have on China’s supplies, it could also cripple the U.S and its allies.

    “I think President Trump is doing self-harm. It hurts European countries, it hurts G7 countries, and it hurts the U.S. as well. Not just China. The whole global economy. We’re not living in an isolated environment. It’s all intertwined,” he said.

    Mr. Trump will travel to China for a summit with President Xi Jinping at the end of the month. The two leaders last spoke on the phone in February when the issue of Taiwan and U.S. arms sales to the island were raised in the conversation.

    Last year, the U.S. and China were also engaged in an escalating tariff war before they reached a fragile détente. But the war in Iran and events in the Middle East will only add another level of tension to the relationship between the world’s two superpowers.

  • 特朗普政府重新为律所高管的行政命令辩护


    By Mike Scarcella 和 David Thomas
    2026年3月3日 美国东部时间下午5:42 更新于1小时前

    节点运行失败
    Item 1 of 2 美国华盛顿特区的詹纳&博克律师事务所(Jenner & Block LLP)外的标识,2020年8月30日。路透社/Andrew Kelly

    [1/2] 美国华盛顿特区的詹纳&博克律师事务所(Jenner & Block LLP)外的标识,2020年8月30日。路透社/Andrew Kelly 购买许可权,在新标签页打开

    3月3日(路透社)——美国司法部周二表示,将继续推动为唐纳德·特朗普总统针对四家知名律所的行政命令辩护,这与该部门一天前寻求撤回相关案件上诉的立场突然形成反转。

    特朗普政府去年在联邦法官以律所的法律工作、多元化项目和政治关联为由,裁定针对 Perkins Coie、WilmerHale、Jenner & Block 和 Susman Godfrey 四家律所的行政命令违宪后提起了上诉。

    路透社伊朗简报新闻通讯将为您提供伊朗战争最新动态和分析。点击此处注册。

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    该政府周一曾请求美国哥伦比亚特区巡回上诉法院驳回其上诉。而周二司法部又请求法院撤回该请求。

    政府在提交的文件中称,其…

    Trump administration relaunches defense of law firm executive orders

    By Mike Scarcella and David Thomas
    March 3, 2026 5:42 PM UTC Updated 1 hour ago

    节点运行失败
    Item 1 of 2 Signage is seen outside of the law firm Jenner & Block LLP in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 30, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

    [1/2]Signage is seen outside of the law firm Jenner & Block LLP in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 30, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

    March 3 (Reuters) – The U.S. Justice Department on Tuesday said it would pursue its bid to ​revive President Donald Trump’s executive orders punishing four prominent law firms, ‌abruptly reversing course just a day after seeking to withdraw its appeals in the cases.

    The Trump administration had appealed last year after federal judges struck down executive orders targeting Perkins Coie, WilmerHale, Jenner & Block ​and Susman Godfrey over their legal work, diversity programs and political affiliations.

    The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here.

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    The ​administration on Monday asked the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District ⁠of Columbia Circuit to dismiss its appeals. On Tuesday the Justice Department asked ​the court to withdraw its request.

    The government in its filing said it is the

  • 新闻


    周二,一名官员向福克斯新闻表示,在以色列与伊朗的战争期间,美国国务院迄今已协助超过130名美国人撤离以色列。

    “自冲突开始以来,已有数百名美国公民离开以色列。过去几天,美国国务院协助了超过130名美国公民撤离以色列,预计今天还将有100名美国公民启程,”该国务院官员表示。

    该官员补充道:”目前,国务院正直接与近500名滞留在以色列的美国公民取得联系,并协助他们安排离境行程。”

    美国驻以色列大使迈克·哈克比昨晚表示:”我们收到了大量来自目前在以色列的美国公民或有亲属在以色列的美国公民的撤离请求,”并表示”可选择的撤离方式非常有限”。

    哈克比在X平台上说:”目前最好的办法是利用以色列旅游部的班车前往埃及塔巴,然后从那里乘坐航班,或者前往开罗转机返回美国。不确定特拉维夫本古里安机场何时能重新开放。希望很快就能开放,但即便开放后,航班也会非常有限,优先保障已购买以色列航空公司机票的乘客。短期内其他航空公司可能不会执飞进出以色列的航班。”

    美国国务院还警告中东十多个国家的美国公民立即撤离,称冲突带来的风险迫在眉睫。

    官员们警告称,该地区局势持续动荡,随着与伊朗冲突相关的战斗持续,安全形势可能迅速恶化。

    这些警告发布在美发动”史诗般的愤怒”行动之后,该行动打击了指挥控制中心、伊朗防空能力以及导弹和无人机发射场。

    以色列则以”咆哮的狮子”行动对伊朗展开打击。

    福克斯新闻数字频道的阿什利·卡纳汉对此报道有贡献。

    The State Department has so far helped more than 130 Americans evacuate Israel during the war with Iran, an official told Fox News on Tuesday.

    “Hundreds of American citizens have left Israel since the start of the conflict. Over the last few days, the State Department has assisted over 130 American citizens [in departing] Israel, with an additional 100 American citizens expected to depart today,” the State Department official said.

    “The Department is in direct contact and aiding nearly 500 American citizens [with arranging] travel out of Israel currently,” the official added.

    U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee said overnight, “We are getting a lot of requests regarding evacuating from Israel from American citizens who are currently in Israel or who have family here,” and that there are “very limited” options available.

    “As of now, the best is utilizing Israel’s Ministry of Tourism shuttle bus to Taba, Egypt and getting flights from there or going on to Cairo for flights back to the U.S.,” Huckabee said on X. “Not sure when Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv will reopen. Hopefully soon, but even when it does, there will be VERY limited flights with priorities to those who already were ticketed by El Al. Doubtful that other airlines will fly in/out for a while.”

    The State Department also has warned Americans in more than a dozen countries across the Middle East to depart immediately due to risks tied to the conflict with Iran.

    Officials have warned that conditions in the region remain volatile and that security situations can change quickly as fighting tied to the Iran conflict continues.

    The warnings come days after the United States launched Operation Epic Fury, striking command-and-control centers, Iranian air defense capabilities, missile and drone launch sites.

    Israel has been striking Iran as part of its Operation Roaring Lion.

    Fox News Digital’s Ashley Carnahan contributed to this report.