2026年4月23日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
选民在美国对以色列的支持问题上存在分歧
作者：维多利亚·巴拉拉 福克斯新闻
特朗普打击在霍尔木兹海峡布设水雷的伊朗船只
福克斯新闻全国记者布莱恩·耶纳斯与退休海军陆战队将军阿诺德·普纳罗就对伊朗的军事压力和经济影响展开讨论，据报道伊朗每日损失达5亿美元。
NEW 您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章！
收听本文
8 分钟
随着伊朗战事临近两个月节点，一项新的福克斯新闻民调显示，民众对冲突的支持率小幅上升，但选民在冲突的关键方面仍存在分歧——尤其是在长期后果和美国安全问题上。
周四发布的民调显示，当前对伊朗军事行动的支持率为45%，高于上月的42%。55%的多数受访者表示反对。
福克斯新闻民调：56%的人质疑白宫管理政府的能力
由Flourish制作•创建图表
不过，微弱多数受访者认为伊朗局势进展顺利（51%认为顺利，49%认为不顺利），这与3月民调结果相反，当时选民认为行动进展不顺利（47%认为不顺利，52%认为顺利）。
福克斯新闻民调：经济阴霾与特朗普民调预示共和党中期选举之路艰难
由Flourish制作•创建图表
战事支持率的上升主要归因于非“让美国再次伟大”共和党选民（支持率上升11个百分点）、西班牙裔选民（上升10个百分点）、45岁以上男性（上升8个百分点）以及无党派选民（上升5个百分点）。
在对安全的潜在影响方面，选民仍以微弱优势认为该行动将让美国变得更不安全（36%认为更安全，39%认为更不安全，25%认为没有区别）。不过这一差距自3月以来已有所缩小（当时分别为33%、44%、23%）。
选民也不认为战争的代价是值得的。57%的多数受访者认为，该行动不会在提升美国安全方面取得足够成果，以抵消其带来的问题，而43%的受访者认为，短期问题最终将从长期来看是值得的。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
尽管全体选民都持怀疑态度，但党派分歧十分显著。约30%的共和党人、70%的无党派人士和80%的民主党人认为，安全状况的改善不足以抵消相关挑战。
对选民而言，最重要的目标是避免长期冲突和保持霍尔木兹海峡畅通（80%的受访者认为这两项都极其或非常重要）。多数受访者还认为，终止伊朗的核武器计划（72%）、支持伊朗民众（65%）以及推动伊朗政府变革（55%）都是极其或非常重要的目标。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
民主党人和无党派人士的首要目标是避免长期冲突，而共和党人的首要目标是终止伊朗的核武器计划。
60%的受访者将美军在冲突中的表现评为优秀（32%）或良好（27%），这一比例与上月基本持平（58%的受访者评为优秀/良好）。
超过50%的无党派选民（53%）和80%的共和党选民（81%）对军方评价积极，而仅有40%的民主党选民表示赞同。
“证明该国严重极化的一个显著统计数据是，当被问及美军在伊朗的表现时，民主党人以20个百分点的差距给出负面评价，除了那些不喜欢特朗普总统的人不愿对他支持的任何事情给出正面评价之外，很难找到其他解释，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻的民调工作。
在服过兵役的受访者中，对当前伊朗军事行动的支持率略有下降（自3月以来下降4个百分点），但多数人仍表示支持（57%），认为局势进展顺利（65%），对军方评价积极（78%评为优秀/良好），并有一半人认为军事行动将让美国变得更安全（50%）。
特朗普周二表示，美国将延长与伊朗的停火协议，停火协议原定于次日到期，此时正值美国对伊朗港口实施封锁之际。与此同时，由副总统JD·万斯参与的巴基斯坦和谈因伊朗尚未承诺参与而推迟。本次民调于4月17日至20日进行。
当被问及特朗普对伊朗的强硬程度时，更多选民认为他过于强硬（40%），而非不够强硬（28%）或处理得当（30%）。
认为特朗普过于强硬的40%这一比例较2019年5月（上次提出该问题时）的18%有所上升——这主要是由于民主党人和无党派人士现在认为他过于强硬。
然而，在总统对华政策方面，结果却相反：21%的人认为他过于强硬，40%的人认为不够强硬，38%的人认为处理得当。
更广泛地说，特朗普在外交政策上的工作支持率落后20个百分点（40%的人认可，60%的人不认可）。他在对华问题上的表现稍好（42%认可，57%不认可），但在伊朗问题上表现更差（37%认可，63%不认可）。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
他的总体工作支持率为42%认可，58%不认可，与上月基本持平（41%认可，59%不认可）。
一些内阁官员的工作表现也面临阻力。万斯的净支持率为-11个百分点（44%认可，55%不认可），较去年12月的-8有所下降。
国务卿卢比奥的净支持率为-12，较之前的-5有所下降，是内阁中降幅最大的（44%认可，56%不认可）。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
战争部长赫格塞特的支持率小幅上升2个百分点至-17，但仍是三人中支持率最低的（41%认可，58%不认可）。
伊朗并非选民存在分歧的唯一外交政策问题。他们在美国对以色列的支持问题上存在分歧，40%的人认为美国支持过度，另有40%的人认为处理得当，19%的人认为支持不足。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
认为美国支持过度的40%这一比例是2023年以来的最高值，较2025年9月上次提出该问题时的35%有所上升。
45岁以下的民主党人（自2025年以来认为支持过度的比例上升9个百分点）和45岁以下的共和党人（上升7个百分点）越来越倾向于认为美国对以色列的支持过度。45岁以上的共和党人中，最高比例的人认为支持处理得当（70%），而45岁以上的民主党人则认为支持过度（57%）。
最大比例的新教徒（45%）、天主教徒（44%）和白人天主教徒（48%）认为美国对以色列的支持处理得当。
在乌克兰问题上，39%的选民认为美国应该为对抗俄罗斯提供更多支持，26%的人认为应该减少支持，34%的人认为美国当前的做法恰到好处。这一比例自去年夏天以来基本保持稳定。
还有一件事……
特朗普是社交媒体的常客，多数选民认为他的这些帖子是对当前事件的即时反应（65%），而非为实现目标而采取的战略行动（34%）。
不过，认为这些帖子具有战略意义的人数自2018年以来上升了15个百分点，当时仅有19%的人认为他的推文具有更广泛的目的。当时，28%的共和党人认为他的推文具有战略意义，而如今这一比例为52%，认为他的社交媒体帖子具有战略意义。无党派人士（上升13个百分点）和民主党人（上升4个百分点）的增幅相对较小。
点击此处查看交叉表和原始数据
本次福克斯新闻民调于2026年4月17日至20日由Beacon Research（民主党）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党）主导进行，样本为从全国选民档案中随机抽取的1001名登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（116人）、手机（635人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（250人）。基于全样本的抽样误差为±3个百分点。 subgroups结果的抽样误差更大。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保人口统计数据符合登记选民的代表性。权重目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。
Fox News Poll: Modest boost in support for Iran conflict, but concerns persist
April 23, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
Voters are split on US support of Israel
By Victoria Balara, Fox News
Trump cracks down on Iranian ships placing mines in the Strait of Hormuz
Fox News national correspondent Bryan Llenas and Retired Marine Corps General Arnold Punaro discuss military pressure and economic impact on Iran, which is reportedly losing $500 million daily.
NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!
Listen to this article
8 min
As the war in Iran nears the two-month mark, a new Fox News Poll shows a modest uptick in support, though voters remain divided on key aspects of the conflict – especially over its long-term consequences and U.S. safety.
The survey, released Thursday, shows support for the current military action in Iran at 45%, up from 42% support last month. A majority of 55% oppose it.
FOX NEWS POLL: 56% DOUBT WHITE HOUSE’S COMPETENCE AT MANAGING GOVERNMENT
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Still, a slim majority thinks things are going well in Iran (51% well vs. 49% not well), a flip from March when voters said the action was not going well (47% vs. 52%).
FOX NEWS POLL: ECONOMIC GLOOM, TRUMP RATINGS SIGNAL TOUGH GOP MIDTERM PATH
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
The bump in support for the war can be mostly attributed to non-MAGA Republicans (+11 points in support), Hispanic voters (+10), men over age 45 (+8), and independents (+5).
Looking at the likely effect on security, voters still narrowly say the action will make the U.S. less safe (36% safer, 39% less safe, 25% no difference). However, this gap has narrowed since March (33%, 44%, 23% respectively).
Voters are also not convinced the costs of the war are worth it. A 57% majority believes the action will not improve U.S. safety enough to justify the problems it has created, while 43% say the short-term problems will be worth it in the long run.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Although voters across the board express skepticism, partisan differences are stark. Roughly 3 in 10 Republicans, 7 in 10 independents, and 8 in 10 Democrats, think improved safety does not justify the challenges.
The most important objectives for voters are avoiding a prolonged conflict and keeping the Strait of Hormuz open (80% say it is extremely or very important for each).Majorities also think it’s extremely or very important to end Iran’s nuclear weapons program (72%), support the people of Iran (65%) and bring about changes to Iran’s government (55%).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
The top objective for Democrats and independents is avoiding a prolonged conflict, while for Republicans it’s ending Iran’s nuclear program.
Six in 10 (59%) rate the performance of the U.S. military in the conflict as excellent (32%) or good (27%), about where sentiment was last month (58% excellent/good).
More than 5 in 10 independents (53%) and 8 in 10 Republicans (81%) rate the military positively, while just 4 in 10 Democrats agree (40%).
“One of the more remarkable statistics attesting to the country’s intense polarization is that when asked about the U.S. military’s performance in Iran, by 20 percentage points Democrats rate it negatively, and it’s difficult to proffer an explanation other than those who dislike President Trump are unwilling to say anything positive about anything he touches,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who works on Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson.
Among those who have served in the military, support for the current action in Iran has dipped slightly (down 4 points since March), but a majority still supports it (57%), thinks things are going well (65%), rates the military positively (78% excellent/good) and half think the military action will make the U.S. safer (50%).
Trump said Tuesday the U.S. will extend its ceasefire with Iran, a day before it was set to end and amid a U.S. blockade on Iranian ports. This comes as peace talks in Pakistan involving Vice President JD Vance were delayed as Iran has not committed to participating yet.The survey was conducted April 17-20.
When asked to rate how tough Trump has been on Iran, more voters say he’s been too tough (40%), rather than not tough enough (28%) or about right (30%).
The 40% saying Trump is too tough is up from 18% in May 2019 (the last time the question was asked) – mainly driven by Democrats and independents thinking he’s too tough now.
When it comes to the president’s approach to China, however, results are reversed: 21% say he’s too tough, 40% not tough enough, and 38% about right.
More broadly, Trump’s job performance on foreign policy is underwater by 20 points (40% approve, 60% disapprove). He does slightly better on his handling of China (42%, 57%) but worse on Iran (37%, 63%).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
His overall job rating sits at 42% approve and 58% disapprove, about where it was last month (41%-59%).
Some Cabinet officials are also facing headwinds in their job performance. Vance’s net approval rating is -11 points (44% approve – 55% disapprove) and down from -8 in December.
Sec. of State Rubio’s net approval rating is -12, down from -5, which is the steepest decline in the Cabinet (44% approve, 56% disapprove).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Sec. of War Hegseth’s rating ticked up 2 points to -17, but he remains the lowest rated of the three (41% approve, 58% disapprove).
Iran is not the only foreign policy issue where voters are divided.They are split on U.S. support of Israel, as 40% say it’s too supportive, another 40% about right, and 19% say not supportive enough.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
At 40%, the share saying the U.S. is too supportive is the highest since 2023, up from 35% the last time the question was asked in September 2025.
Democrats under age 45 (+9 points saying too supportive since 2025) and Republicans under age 45 (+7), are increasingly more likely to feel the U.S. is too supportive of Israel. Republicans ages 45+ have the highest share of those who think support is about right (70%) while Democrats ages 45+ say too supportive (57%).
The largest share of Protestants (45%), Catholics (44%), and White Catholics (48%) say support is about right.
On Ukraine, 39% of voters say the U.S. should be doing more to support them against Russia, 26% say less and 34% feel the U.S. is doing the right amount.This is close to where sentiment has been since last summer.
One more thing…
Trump is a frequent poster on social media, and a majority of voters see these posts as instant reactions to current events (65%) rather than strategic efforts to accomplish goals (34%).
Still, the number viewing them as strategic is up 15 points since 2018, when only 19% said his tweeting had a broader purpose. At that time, 28% of Republicans felt his tweeting was strategic compared to the 52% who feel that way about his social media posts today.That compares with smaller increases among independents (+13 points) and Democrats (+4).
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE
Conducted April 17-20, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,001 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (116) and cellphones (635) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (250). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
发表回复