2026年6月17日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
绝大多数受访者仍支持美国援助乌克兰，但认为该冲突与美国民众生活息息相关的人数有所减少
作者：达娜·布兰顿 福克斯新闻
NEW 你现在可以收听福克斯新闻的文章了！
最新福克斯新闻民调显示，选民认为和平协议无法阻止伊朗研发核武器。
64%的选民认为，美国与伊朗达成的和平协议不太可能阻止伊朗追求核武器，其中包括超过半数的共和党人（53%）、无党派人士（69%）和民主党人（73%）。如今的观点与2015年奥巴马政府与伊朗达成协议时如出一辙，当时63%的选民认为协议不太可能阻止伊朗建造核项目。
福克斯新闻民调：美国建国250周年之际，民众情绪凸显“持久不满”
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
本次民调的大部分数据收集于特朗普政府于周一宣布美国已与伊朗签署谅解备忘录之前，该备忘录包括重新开放霍尔木兹海峡和为期60天的停火协议。
与此同时，58%的选民认为美国在2月对伊朗采取军事行动是错误的决定，而41%的人认为这一决定是正确的。84%的民主党人认为这是错误决定，而75%的共和党人认为这是正确决定。
认为美国对伊朗采取军事行动是正确决定的选民，认为和平协议能够阻止伊朗研发核武器的可能性是持相反观点选民的两倍（50%对25%）。
76%的选民认为终止伊朗的核项目很重要，而更高比例的87%的人认为避免长期冲突至关重要。在这两项指标上，民众的重视程度较今年早些时候上升了7个百分点。近九成的民主党人、共和党人和无党派人士都认为避免长期冲突很重要。
福克斯新闻民调：选民认为人工智能监管迫在眉睫，将安全保障置于创新之前
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
民众普遍担心伊朗紧张局势升级为美国长期军事承诺，70%的受访者表示极度或非常担忧，其中包括大量民主党人（82%）、无党派人士（74%）以及超过半数的共和党人（56%）。
64%的选民不认可唐纳德·特朗普总统处理伊朗问题的方式，这一比例自3月以来保持稳定。共和党人总体上表示认可（70%），而大多数无党派人士（78%）和绝大多数民主党人（92%）表示不认可。
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
“我们从过往数据和研究中了解到，选民对外交政策的态度会受到党派精英言论的影响，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党同僚克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻民调。“但我们也知道，随着人力和财力的消耗，任何外交接触的支持率都会随时间下降。总统面临着在共和党团结瓦解之前解决伊朗问题的压力。”
除伊朗问题外，选民仍支持美国继续为乌克兰对抗俄罗斯提供经济援助，尽管认为这场战争与美国民众生活息息相关的人数有所减少。
总体而言，59%的人支持美国继续向乌克兰提供资金援助，这一比例在过去两年中基本保持不变。67%的人认为俄乌冲突的发展与美国国内的情况息息相关，低于2022年战争爆发初期85%的峰值。
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
13个百分点的差距显示，更多民主党人（75%）比共和党人（62%）认为乌克兰局势对美国至关重要；22个百分点的差距则显示，更多民主党人（72%）比共和党人（50%）支持美国继续援助乌克兰对抗俄罗斯。
总体而言，选民对当前谁在战争中占据优势存在分歧：48%的人认为乌克兰占优，48%的人认为俄罗斯占优。56%的民主党人认为乌克兰获胜，而53%的共和党人和55%的无党派人士认为俄罗斯获胜。
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
在中东问题上，仍有小幅多数民众更支持以色列（54%），而非巴勒斯坦人（42%）。支持以色列的比例自2025年以来基本保持不变，但较2023年底68%的峰值有所下降。目前，77%的共和党人支持以色列，而62%的民主党人支持巴勒斯坦人，无党派人士态度分化（48%支持以色列，45%支持巴勒斯坦人）。
使用 Flourish 制作图表·创建图表
大多数选民仍认为中东局势与美国民众生活息息相关。77%的受访者表示该地区的事件很重要，低于一年前的81%。
点击此处查看交叉制表和原始数据
民调还显示，选民对使用军事力量打击疑似贩毒船只的态度存在分歧（52%支持，48%反对），而大多数人反对使用美国军事力量在古巴实现政权更迭（35%支持，64%反对）。
本次民调于2026年6月12日至15日进行，由Beacon Research（民主党）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党）负责指导，调查样本为从全国选民档案中随机抽取的1002名登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（101人）、手机（644人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（257人）。基于全样本的调查误差幅度为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保人口结构能够代表登记选民群体。权重目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报道撰稿。
作为民调部门负责人，达娜·布兰顿负责运营福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
Fox News Poll: Voters doubt new agreement will stop Iran from developing nukes
June 17, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
Majority still favors US helping Ukraine, though fewer think that conflict matters to life in US
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!
Voters doubt a peace deal will keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons, according to the latest Fox News poll.
Sixty-four percent say it’s unlikely a peace agreement with the U.S. will stop Iran from pursuing nukes, including more than half of Republicans (53%), independents (69%), and Democrats (73%).Today’s views match those in 2015, when the Obama administration made a deal with Iran, as 63% of voters at that time also said it was unlikely an agreement would stop Iran from building a nuclear program.
FOX NEWS POLL: ‘RESILIENT DISCONTENT’ DEFINES THE US MOOD AT 250TH ANNIVERSARY
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Most of the survey was completed before the Trump administration announced Monday the U.S. had signed a memorandum of understanding with Iran which included a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a 60-day ceasefire.
Meanwhile, 58% think the U.S. made the wrong decision in taking military action against Iran in February, while 41% believe it was the right call.More Democrats say it was the wrong decision (84%) than Republicans believe it was the right one (75%).
Voters who think the U.S. made the right decision in taking military action are twice as likely as those who say it was wrong to think a peace deal will stop Iran (50% vs. 25%).
Seventy-six percent of voters think it is important to end Iran’s nuclear program, while a larger 87% says it’s important to avoid a long-term conflict.On both measures, importance is up 7 percentage points since earlier this year. Nearly 9 in 10 Democrats, Republicans, and independents say it is important to avoid a prolonged conflict.
FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS SEE AI REGULATION AS URGENT, RANK SAFEGUARDS AHEAD OF INNOVATION
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Concern about tensions with Iran turning into a long-term U.S. military commitment is also widespread, with 70% saying they are extremely or very worried, including large numbers of Democrats (82%) and independents (74%), as well as more than half of Republicans (56%).
Sixty-four percent of voters disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing handling Iran, steady since March. Republicans largely approve (70%), while most independents (78%) and an overwhelming majority of Democrats disapprove (92%).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
“We know from past data and research that voters’ attitudes on foreign policy matters are shaped by what their partisan elites tell them,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democratic counterpart Chris Anderson. “But we also know support for any engagement declines over time, as treasure and blood are expended. There’s pressure on the president to finish in Iran before GOP solidarity breaks down.”
Beyond Iran, voters favor the United States continuing to provide financial aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia, even as fewer believe the war matters to life in the U.S.
Overall, 59% support the U.S. continuing to help Ukraine with funding, mostly unchanged for the past two years.And 67% think what happens in the Russia-Ukraine conflict makes a difference to things here at home, down from a high of 85% back in early 2022 when the war first started.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
By a 13-point margin, more Democrats (75%) than Republicans (62%) think Ukraine matters to the U.S., and by a 22-point spread, more Democrats (72%) than Republicans (50%) favor U.S. continuing aid for the Ukrainian fight against Russia.
Voters overall are divided on who is currently winning the war: 48% say Ukraine and 48% Russia.More Democrats (56%) think Ukraine is winning, while more Republicans (53%) and independents (55%) say Russia.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
In the Middle East, a small majority continues to side more with the Israelis (54%) than the Palestinians (42%). The number supporting the Israelis remains largely unchanged since 2025, but down from a high of 68% in late 2023.Currently, 77% of Republicans side with the Israelis, while 62% of Democrats side with the Palestinians and independents split (48% Israelis, 45% Palestinians).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Most voters continue to view developments in the Middle East as relevant to life in the U.S. Three quarters, 77%, say events in the region matter, down from 81% a year ago.
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE
The survey also finds voters have mixed views on the use of military force against suspected drug trafficking boats (52% favor, 48% oppose), while a majority opposes using the U.S. military to bring about regime change in Cuba (35% favor, 64% oppose).
Conducted June 12-15, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (101) and cellphones (644) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (257). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
发表回复