2026年6月17日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
福克斯新闻民调：多数人对经济评价负面，包括半数共和党选民
选民对联邦政府的信任度创历史新低
作者：达纳·布兰顿 福克斯新闻
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距离中期选举只剩不到五个月，选民对自己的钱包状况十分不满。
仅有12%的选民表示自己在财务上能够有所结余，大多数人认为美国经济形势糟糕，超过一半的人认为唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策有利于有钱人，而他们对经济的整体展望偏负面。
这是一项最新福克斯新闻民调的结果，该民调显示总统的支持率自去年以来有所下滑。
约59%的选民对经济感到悲观，较去年6月的55%上升了4个百分点。这与特朗普第一任期内的乐观情绪形成鲜明对比，2019年6月时有57%的选民感到乐观。
FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS SEE AI REGULATION AS URGENT, RANK SAFEGUARDS AHEAD OF INNOVATION
（福克斯新闻民调：选民认为人工智能监管刻不容缓，将安全保障置于创新之前）
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44%的选民表示自己的财务状况正在恶化，这一比例较去年上升了8个百分点（去年为36%），较2024年6月上升了3个百分点（2024年为41%）。
四分之一的选民，即26%，对经济状况给出正面评价，这一数字较上月上升了3个百分点，与今年以来的整体看法基本相符，但仍低于去年6月31%的正面评价比例。约四分之三的选民一贯对经济评价负面（73%）。
FOX NEWS POLL: ‘RESILIENT DISCONTENT’ DEFINES THE US MOOD AT 250TH ANNIVERSARY
（福克斯新闻民调：“持续的不满”定义了美国建国250周年之际的国民情绪）
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总体而言，37%的选民对国家的发展方向感到满意。这一比例自3月以来基本未变，但较去年7月的44%有所下降。尽管自去年夏天以来满意度下降了7个百分点，但如今的满意度仍高于前总统乔·拜登任期内的多数时段。
这些满意度评分与特朗普的工作表现支持率高度吻合，目前他的支持率为39%。这一数字较上月没有变化，但较去年6月的46%下降了7个百分点。他在两届任期内的最低支持率是2017年10月的38%。
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20%的人认为特朗普的经济政策对所有人都有利，而54%的多数选民认为这些政策有利于比自己更有钱的人，15%的人认为这些政策“对任何人都没有帮助”。认为总统的政策对所有人都有利的比例较2019年（特朗普任期）的31%、2023年（拜登任期）的27%以及2015年（奥巴马任期）的23%均有所下降。
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对经济的看法在很大程度上取决于党派立场。在共和党选民中，最多的人认为特朗普的政策对所有人都有利（42%），一半的人表示自己的财务状况保持稳定（49%），一半的人对经济状况给出正面评价（50%），三分之二的人感到乐观（66%）。
民主党选民的看法则恰恰相反：81%的人对经济感到悲观，91%的人对经济评价负面，超过一半的人表示自己的财务状况正在恶化（55%），71%的人认为总统的政策有利于有钱人。
总统在其核心选民群体中的支持率接近历史低点：在男性选民中的支持率为43%，仅比其历史最低值高1个百分点；白人选民为44%；白人福音派基督徒为61%；共和党选民为81%。他在没有大学学历的白人男性中的支持率为50%，仅比其最低值高2个百分点。
仅有23%的选民认可特朗普在油价问题上的处理方式，这是罕见的全民不满时刻——各党派选民都对总统不满：民主党（95%）、无党派人士（88%）和共和党（53%）中的多数人都表示不认可。
整体而言，31%的选民认可特朗普在经济问题上的表现，较5月创下的历史低点29%有所上升。一年前，这一比例为40%。尽管大多数共和党选民表示认可，但大多数民主党和无党派选民并不认可。
在移民问题上，43%的选民表示认可，这是特朗普第二任期内的最低评分，但仍是他表现最好的议题。
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这些评分至少部分源于51%的选民认为他的移民执法措施过于激进。
此外，民众对地方政府移民执法角色的看法发生了逆转。目前，53%的人认为地方政府应该管控本社区的移民执法工作，而46%的人认为应该要求地方与美国移民及海关执法局（ICE）合作。去年的情况恰恰相反：51%的人支持要求与ICE合作，45%的人支持地方政府自主管控。
民调杂谈
对联邦政府的信任度仅为25%，创下新低。这一比例较2025年和2024年的32%有所下降，此前的最低值是2023年的31%。2002年的信任度曾达到54%的高点，但自2012年以来就再也没有超过40%。
在拜登政府的最后一年，44%的民主党人不信任联邦政府（2024年），这一比例在2025年上升至73%，今年更是达到了83%。
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在共和党选民中，超过六成（63%）的人不信任联邦政府，较去年夏天的48%上升了15个百分点，但低于两年前的85%。目前，57%的“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）共和党选民和73%的非MAGA共和党选民对联邦政府缺乏信心。
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无党派人士的不信任比例近期基本保持稳定：今年为80%，2025年为80%，2024年为72%。
六成选民认为政府在打击联邦项目欺诈方面投入的时间太少，另有66%的人表示政府近期的打击行动效果不佳。
尽管民主党（55%）和共和党（63%）都认为政府在制止欺诈方面做得不够，但他们在近期的行动效果上存在分歧：大多数共和党人（56%）认为预防欺诈的行动有效，而大多数民主党人则持相反看法（83%认为行动无效）。无党派人士的看法最为关键，他们认为政府做得不够（67%），且已采取的行动效果不佳（78%）。
本次民调于2026年6月12日至15日进行，由Beacon Research（民主党顾问机构）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党顾问机构）负责指导。本次福克斯新闻调查采访了从全国选民档案中随机抽取的1002名登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（101人）、手机（644人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（257人）。基于全样本的调查结果抽样误差为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权处理，以确保人口统计数据能够代表登记选民群体。权重目标的制定参考了最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报道贡献了内容。
*作为民调部门负责人，达纳·布兰顿负责管理福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
Voter trust in the federal government is at an all-time low
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
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It’s less than five months until the midterm elections and voters are not happy with what’s in their wallets.
Only 12% say they are getting ahead financially, most think the economy is in bad shape, more than half think President Donald Trump’s policies benefit people who have money, and their outlook on the economy is negative.
That’s according to a new Fox News poll that finds the president’s numbers have declined since last year.
Some 59% of voters feel pessimistic about the economy, worse by 4 points compared to last June (55%).That’s a stark contrast from the bullish views during Trump’s first term, when 57% felt optimistic (June 2019).
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Forty-four percent say they’re falling behind financially.That’s more than felt that way last year by 8 points (36% falling behind) and by 3 points compared to June 2024 (41%).
One in four, 26%, rates the economy positively, better by 3 points since last month and generally in line with views this year — but still below last June’s 31% positive marks.Around three-quarters consistently rate the economy negatively (73%).
FOX NEWS POLL: ‘RESILIENT DISCONTENT’ DEFINES THE US MOOD AT 250TH ANNIVERSARY
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Big picture, 37% are satisfied with the direction of the country.That’s mostly unchanged since March, but down from 44% last July.Even with the 7-point decline since last summer, satisfaction is higher today than what it was for most of former President Joe Biden’s term.
Those satisfaction ratings closely match Trump’s job performance, as his approval stands at 39%.That’s unchanged since last month, but down 7 points compared to 46% approval last June.His lowest approval for either term is 38% in October 2017.
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Twenty percent think Trump’s economic policies benefit everyone, while a 54% majority says they help people with more money than they have, and 15% say they help “no one.”The share saying the president’s policies help everyone is down from 31% in 2019 (Trump), 27% in 2023 (Biden), and 23% in 2015 (Obama).
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Opinions on the economy are largely based on party identification.Among Republicans, the biggest share says Trump’s policies help everyone (42%), half say they’re holding steady financially (49%), half rate economic conditions positively (50%), and two-thirds feel optimistic (66%).
It’s the opposite among Democrats: 81% feel pessimistic about the economy, 91% rate it negatively, more than half say they’re falling behind (55%), and 71% think the president’s policies help people with more money.
Approval of the president is near record lows among some of his key constituencies, sitting a single point above his all-time floor among men (43%), White voters (44%), White evangelical Christians (61%), and Republicans (81%).His support among White men without a college degree stands at 50%, only 2 points ahead of his low-water mark.
The 23% approving of Trump’s handling of gas prices marks a rare moment of consensus — voters across the board are unhappy with the president — as majorities of Democrats (95%), independents (88%), and Republicans (53%) disapprove.
On the economy overall, 31% approve of the job Trump is doing, up from a record low 29% in May.A year ago, 40% approved.While a majority of Republicans approve, most Democrats and independents disapprove.
On immigration, 43% approve, the lowest of Trump’s second term, but still his best issue.
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These ratings are driven, at least in part, by 51% thinking his immigration enforcement has gone too far.
In addition, views on the immigration role of local governments have flipped. Currently, 53% say local governments should control immigration enforcement in their communities, while 46% believe cooperation with ICE should be required. Last year, it was the reverse: 51% favored requiring ICE cooperation and 45% preferred local control.
Poll-pourri
Trust in the federal government stands at a low of 25%.That’s down from 32% in both 2025 and 2024.The previous low was 31% in 2023.Trust stood at a high of 54% in 2002, but hasn’t hit 40% since 2012.
During the last year of the Biden administration, 44% of Democrats distrusted the government (2024), and that increased to 73% in 2025 and 83% this year.
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Among Republicans, more than 6 in 10 (63%) don’t trust the government, up 15 points compared to last summer (48%), but down from 85% two years ago.Currently, 57% of MAGA Republicans and 73% of non-MAGA Republicans lack faith in Uncle Sam.
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Distrust has held fairly steady among independents recently: 80% today vs. 80% in 2025 and 72% in 2024.
Six in 10 voters believe the government spends too little time combating fraud in federal programs, and another 66% say recent efforts have been ineffective.
While Democrats (55%) and Republicans (63%) agree the government isn’t doing enough to stop fraud, they disagree on recent performance: a majority of Republicans (56%) say efforts to prevent fraud have been effective, while most Democrats say the reverse (83% ineffective).Views among independents are the most critical, as they think the government isn’t doing enough (67%) and what it has done has been ineffective (78%).
Conducted June 12-15, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (101) and cellphones (644) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (257). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
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