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  • 特朗普称可能让美国退出北约,尽管法律规定未经国会批准他无权这么做


    2026年4月1日 / 美国东部时间下午3:21 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    华盛顿讯——总统特朗普表示,他正在考虑让美国退出北约,此前他多年来一直抱怨该联盟成员国没有为自身国防支付足够费用。自从他发动对伊朗战争以来,这位总统一直在猛烈抨击北约盟友缺乏支持。

    2023年国会通过的一项法律——部分由现任国务卿马可·卢比奥牵头推动——禁止总统在未经立法部门批准的情况下退出该联盟。这项法律的存在可能无法阻止特朗普试图让美国退出这个已有77年历史的联盟。

    以下是关于美国北约成员国身份需要了解的信息:

    什么是北约?

    北大西洋公约组织是一个防御性联盟,旨在二战后保障美国、加拿大和欧洲的安全。

    该联盟成立于1949年,最初有12个成员国,如今已扩大到32个。最新加入北约的国家是2023年的芬兰和2024年的瑞典。

    北约的宗旨是“通过政治和军事手段保障成员国的自由与安全”。其核心是第五条条款,规定对北约任何一个成员国的攻击将被视为对所有成员国的攻击。

    特朗普为何暗示要退出北约?

    多年来,特朗普一直对北约成员国的国防开支和出资问题持批评态度,他经常称盟友为不可靠的伙伴,指责该联盟是一条单行道。

    2024年竞选连任期间,特朗普向北约成员国施加了巨大压力,要求它们增加国防开支。当时他承诺,如果其他国家支付其应缴份额,美国就不会退出该联盟。最终,这些压力促使成员国同意大幅增加国防开支。

    但对伊战争再次加剧了紧张局势,因为北约盟友不愿协助美国,近期许多国家拒绝美国使用其领空或空军基地。随着成员国抵制他派遣军舰重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的呼吁,总统对该联盟的不满似乎有所增加。

    周三,英国《每日电讯报》记者问及伊朗战争后他是否会重新考虑美国的北约成员国身份时,特朗普称这“无需重新考虑”,同时称这个由美国帮助建立的防务联盟是“纸老虎”。特朗普还告诉路透社,他“绝对”正在考虑退出该联盟。但这些言论是否是总统为向北约盟友施加影响力的策略,还有待观察。

    特朗普总统于2026年1月21日在世界经济论坛间隙与北约秘书长马克·吕特举行双边会晤。奇普·索莫德维拉 / 盖蒂图片社

    国务卿马可·卢比奥与总统持相同立场,他周二告诉福克斯新闻:“不幸的是,我们将不得不重新审视这个曾在一段时间内为美国带来益处的联盟,是否仍在发挥作用,或者它现在是否已变成一条单行道。”

    卢比奥承认,作为参议员时他是北约的坚定支持者。但他辩称,如果美国在对伊战争中无法使用欧洲的军事基地,那么美国的北约成员国身份就必须重新考量。

    “这场冲突结束后,我们将不得不重新审视这种关系,”卢比奥说,“我们将不得不重新评估北约及其联盟对我国的价值。最终这是总统要做的决定,他必须做出这个决定。”

    近几周来,特朗普总统暗示他认为自己可以自行让美国退出北约,他上月告诉记者:“我不需要国会批准这个决定”,“我可以自己做出这个决定。”

    总统能否让美国退出北约?

    北约第十三条规定,任何成员国可在向美国政府提交“退出通知”一年后退出。但国会在2023年批准了一项立法,旨在阻止总统单方面退出北约。当时议员们表达了担忧,称特朗普若重新掌权,可能会试图让美国退出该联盟。

    弗吉尼亚州民主党参议员蒂姆·凯恩和卢比奥是该条款的主要发起人,该条款被纳入2024财年《国防授权法案》,并由总统乔·拜登签署生效。

    该法律规定,总统“不得暂停、终止、宣布退出或让美国退出1949年4月4日在华盛顿签署的《北大西洋公约》,除非获得参议院的建议和同意,且出席议员中有三分之二投赞成票,或依据国会法案行事”。

    参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默周三在X平台上发帖称,参议院“不会因为特朗普不满盟友不配合他鲁莽的选择性战争就投票退出北约、抛弃我们的盟友”。参议院民主党团有47名议员,他们几乎肯定会反对这一举措,还有许多参议院共和党人也会反对。

    但一些专家认为,总统可能会援引行政权力绕过该法律,这一举措几乎肯定会引发法律诉讼。

    与此同时,其他人表示,即使没有正式退出,总统对该联盟日益敌对的立场也可能削弱北约。随着政府向欧洲国家施压,要求它们增加国防开支,美国在军事演习中的角色已经有所缩小。一些人指出,人们担心美国可能不会履行其第五条义务,或继续向成员国延伸核威慑。

    欧亚集团总裁兼创始人伊恩·布雷默在X平台上的一篇帖子中指出,未经参议院同意,特朗普总统在法律上无法退出北约。但他表示,如果北约成员国“无法相信”美国会履行第五条义务,“那么这个联盟已经在最关键的方面破裂了”。

    塔克·里斯和黑利·奥特为本报道做出了贡献。

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/trump-us-not-leaving-strait-hormuz-criticizes-nato-allies/

    Trump says he might withdraw the U.S. from NATO, even though the law says he can’t without Congress’ approval

    April 1, 2026 / 3:21 PM EDT / CBS News

    Washington — President Trump says he’s considering withdrawing the U.S. from NATO, after years of complaining the alliance’s member countries aren’t paying enough for their own defense. And since he began the war with Iran, the president has been lashing out about the lack of support from NATO allies.

    A law passed by Congress in 2023 — and spearheaded in part by Marco Rubio, now the secretary of state — bars the president from doing so without approval from the legislative branch. The existence of that law may not stop Mr. Trump from trying to pull the U.S. out of the 77-year-old alliance.

    Here’s what to know about the U.S.’ membership in NATO:

    What is NATO?

    The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is a defensive alliance designed to keep the U.S., Canada and Europe safe in the wake of World War II.

    Formed in 1949, the alliance initially included 12 countries, but has swelled to 32 members. The latest countries to join NATO include Finland in 2023 and Sweden in 2024.

    NATO’s aim is to “guarantee the freedom and security of its members through political and military means.” At its core is Article 5, which states that an attack on one NATO ally will be considered an attack on all.

    Why has Trump suggested leaving NATO?

    For years, Mr. Trump has taken issue with defense spending and contributions by NATO’s member countries, and he’s often referred to allies as unreliable partners, criticizing the alliance as a one-way street.

    While running for his second term in 2024, Mr. Trump put intense pressure on NATO members to increase their defense spending. At the time, he pledged not to withdraw the U.S. from the alliance if other countries paid their fair share. Ultimately, the pressure led member countries to agree to a dramatic increase in their defense spending.

    But the war with Iran has exacerbated tensions once more, as NATO allies have been reluctant to assist the U.S., with many denying the U.S. permission to use their air space or airfields in recent days. And the president’s frustration with the alliance has appeared to increase as member countries have resisted his calls to send ships to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    Asked by Britain’s Telegraph newspaper Wednesday whether he’d reconsider U.S. membership in NATO after the Iran war, Mr. Trump said it’s “beyond reconsideration,” while calling the defense alliance that the U.S. helped forge a “paper tiger.” The president also told Reuters that he is “absolutely” considering an attempt to exit the alliance. But whether those comments are part of an effort by the president to exert leverage over NATO allies remains to be seen.

    President Trump attends a bilateral meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum on Jan. 21, 2026. Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio shared the president’s sentiment, telling Fox News on Tuesday that “unfortunately, we are going to have to reexamine whether or not this alliance, that has served this country well for a while, is still serving that purpose, or is it now become a one-way street.”

    Rubio acknowledged that as a senator, he was a staunch supporter of NATO. But he argued that if the U.S. is unable to use military bases in Europe during its war with Iran, then U.S. membership is going to have to be reconsidered.

    “After this conflict is concluded, we are going to have to reexamine that relationship,” Rubio said. “We’re going to have to reexamine the value of NATO and that alliance for our country. Ultimately, that’s a decision for the president to make, and he’ll have to make it.”

    The president has indicated in recent weeks he believes he can pull the U.S. out of NATO on his own, telling reporters last month that “I don’t need Congress for that decision,” and “I can make that decision myself.”

    Can the president pull the U.S. out of NATO?

    NATO’s Article 13 states that any member country may withdraw one year after providing a “notice of denunciation” to the U.S. government. But Congress approved legislation in 2023 aimed at preventing a president from unilaterally moving to leave NATO. At the time, lawmakers expressed concern that Mr. Trump could attempt to withdraw the U.S. from the alliance if he returned to office.

    Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia and Rubio were the lead sponsors of the provision, which was included in the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2024 and signed by President Joe Biden.

    The law states that the president “shall not suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, done at Washington, DC, April 4, 1949, except by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, provided that two-thirds of the Senators present concur, or pursuant to an Act of Congress.”

    Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said in a post on X on Wednesday that the Senate “will not vote to leave NATO and abandon our allies just because Trump is upset they wouldn’t go along with his reckless war of choice.” The Senate Democratic caucus is made up of 47 members, who would all but certainly oppose the move, along with many Senate Republicans.

    But some experts argue that the president could cite executive authority to sidestep the law, in a move that would almost certainly prompt legal challenges.

    Meanwhile, even without an official exit, others say the president’s increasingly hostile stance toward the alliance may leave it weakened. Already, the U.S. has taken on a smaller role in military exercises as the administration has put pressure on European nations to step up their defense spending. And some have pointed to concerns that the U.S. may not honor its Article 5 obligations or continue to extend its nuclear deterrence to member countries.

    Ian Bremmer, president and founder of the Eurasia Group, noted in a post on X that the president can’t legally withdraw from NATO without the Senate’s consent. But if NATO members “can’t trust” that the U.S. will honor Article 5, he said, “the alliance is already broken in the way that matters most.”

    Tucker Reals and Haley Ott contributed to this report.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/trump-us-not-leaving-strait-hormuz-criticizes-nato-allies/

  • 特朗普称德黑兰请求停火后伊朗断然否认反击:“虚假且毫无根据”


    2026年4月1日 美国东部时间下午2:55 / 福克斯新闻网

    特朗普称伊斯兰共和国请求停火后伊朗外交部发言人予以否认
    作者:斯蒂芬·索雷斯 福克斯新闻网

    唐纳德·特朗普总统周二表示,他认为美国将在两到三周内结束对伊朗的军事打击。(图片来源:白宫 via YouTube)

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    伊朗方面驳斥了唐纳德·特朗普总统称伊朗请求停火的说法,一名官员在公开直言否认中称该声明“虚假且毫无根据”。

    据伊朗国家电视台报道,伊朗外交部发言人伊斯梅尔·巴盖伊周三就特朗普的说法作出了上述拒绝表态。

    特朗普周三上午在Truth Social的一篇帖子中声称伊朗请求停火。但这位总统表示,只有在霍尔木兹海峡对船只开放后,美国才会考虑这一可能性。

    “伊朗的新政权总统,远比他的前任更不激进、更聪明,刚刚向美利坚合众国请求停火!我们将在霍尔木兹海峡开放、自由且畅通无阻时予以考虑。在此之前,我们会将伊朗炸回石器时代,或者用他们的话说,炸回史前时代!”特朗普在帖子中如此断言。

    卡罗琳·利维特回击NBC新闻记者 质问特朗普对伊朗的威胁是否构成“战争罪”

    2026年3月31日周二,华盛顿白宫椭圆形办公室,唐纳德·特朗普总统在签署行政命令后回答记者提问。(美联社照片/亚历克斯·布兰登)

    不过伊朗准军事组织革命卫队发表了自己的声明,称霍尔木兹海峡“牢牢且坚定地处于”其部队的控制之下。

    “这条海峡绝不会通过美国总统的荒谬闹剧向这个国家的敌人开放,”声明说道。

    2025年11月30日,伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉克奇在德黑兰与土耳其外交部长哈坎·菲丹(未出镜)举行的联合新闻发布会上发言。(马吉德·阿斯加里普尔/瓦纳通讯社 路透社)

    伊朗实际上已经封锁了这个全球约五分之一石油运输途经的关键石油咽喉要道,导致油价飙升。

    特朗普下令国防部推迟对伊朗能源设施的打击 称谈判“富有成效” 有望结束战争

    美国汽油价格周二首次突破每加仑4美元的平均价格,为2022年以来首次。分析师表示,随着企业的运输和包装成本不断上升,高燃油成本将波及食品杂货领域。

    2026年3月31日的底特律汽油价格。(美联社照片/保罗·桑西亚)

    特朗普还在周三晚间电视讲话前接受路透社电话采访时表示,美国很快将结束对伊朗的战争,但他没有给出具体时间表。

    “我无法确切告诉你……我们很快就会撤军,”他说。

    但他表示,一旦美国撤军,“如有需要,我们将回来实施定点打击”。

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    福克斯新闻数字频道的亚历克斯·尼茨伯格和美联社为本报道作出了贡献。

    Iran fires back with flat denial after Trump claims Tehran requested ceasefire: ‘False and baseless’

    April 1, 2026 2:55pm EDT / Fox News

    Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson issues denial after Trump said Islamic republic asked for ceasefire

    By Stephen Sorace, Fox News

    President Donald Trump indicated Tuesday that he thinks the U.S. will finish its attacks on Iran in two to three weeks. (Credit: The White House via YouTube)

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    Iran is pushing back on President Donald Trump’s claim that it requested a ceasefire, with an official calling the statement “false and baseless in a blunt public denial.

    Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, made the remarks rejecting Trump’s claim on Wednesday, according to a report on Iranian state television.

    Trump made the claim about Iran requesting a ceasefire in a Truth Social post Wednesday morning. But the president indicated that the U.S. will only entertain the prospect once the Strait of Hormuz is open for ships.

    “Iran’s New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the United States of America for a CEASEFIRE! We will consider when Hormuz Strait is open, free, and clear. Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!!” Trump asserted in the post.

    KAROLINE LEAVITT FIRES BACK AT NBC NEWS REPORTER WHO ASKED IF TRUMP’S IRAN THREAT AMOUNTS TO A ‘WAR CRIME’

    President Donald Trump answers questions from reporters after signing an executive order in the Oval Office of the White House Tuesday, March 31, 2026, in Washington.(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

    Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, however, issued its own statement saying the Strait of Hormuz “is firmly and decisively under the control” of its forces.

    “This strait will not be opened to the enemies of this nation through the ridiculous spectacle by the president of the United States,” it said.

    Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi speaks during a joint news conference with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (not pictured) in Tehran, Iran, Nov. 30, 2025.(Majid Asgaripour/WANA via Reuters)

    Iran has effectively shut the critical oil choke point, through which about one-fifth of the world’s oil passes, sending oil prices soaring.

    TRUMP ORDERS WAR DEPT TO POSTPONE STRIKES ON IRANIAN ENERGY SITES, CITING ‘PRODUCTIVE’ TALKS TO END WAR

    U.S. gas prices jumped past an average of$4 a gallon for the first time since 2022 on Tuesday. Analysts say that high fuel costs will trickle into groceries as businesses’ transportation and packaging costs pile up.

    Gas prices March 31, 2026, in Detroit.(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

    Trump also told Reuters in a telephone interview ahead of his televised address Wednesday night that the U.S. would be finishing its war in Iran soon, but he wouldn’t give a timeline.

    “I can’t tell you exactly. … We’re going to be out pretty quickly,” he said.

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    But once the U.S. leaves, he said, “We’ll come back to do spot hits” on targets, as needed.

    Fox News Digital’s Alex Nitzberg and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

  • 特朗普与共和党领导人公布计划:通过参议院法案和解预算程序结束国土安全部停摆


    2026年4月1日 / 美国东部时间下午3:46 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻

    华盛顿——国会共和党领袖与特朗普总统周三公布一项计划,旨在结束部分政府停摆状态,全额拨款给美国国土安全部。该计划呼应了参议院上周推进的框架,但该框架很快遭到众议院共和党人否决。

    众议院共和党领导层上周五全天批评参议院将移民执法资金与国土安全部其他预算拆分的法案,但如今似乎已转变立场。

    特朗普在Truth Social的发帖中要求国会通过预算和解程序为移民海关执法局(ICE)和边境巡逻队提供资金,这一方式能让共和党无需参议院民主党支持即可通过法案。他要求议员们在6月1日前将该法案提交至他的办公桌。

    “我们将尽最快速度、全力以赴为边境与移民海关执法局探员补充资金,激进左翼民主党人无法阻止我们,”特朗普说道。

    该计划将通过拨款法案为国土安全部大部分机构提供资金至10月,同时通过预算和解程序为移民海关执法局和边境巡逻队拨款。众议院议长迈克·约翰逊与参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩随即表示将推动落实这一计划。

    “未来几天,参众两院共和党人将遵循总统指示,通过两条并行渠道全额拨款给整个国土安全部:一是拨款程序,二是预算和解程序,”约翰逊与图恩在联合声明中说道。

    参众两院目前正在华盛顿休会。但参议院最快可能于周四进行投票,届时参议院将举行形式上的议事会议。众议院也定于周四晚些时候举行形式上的议事会议。

    来自南达科他州的共和党人图恩与来自路易斯安那州的共和党人约翰逊指出,参议院预算委员会正努力启动预算和解程序。该程序允许执政党无需跨党派支持即可通过具有直接预算影响的立法。共和党计划为移民执法拨款三年。

    数月来,明尼阿波利斯发生两起联邦特工致命枪击事件后,民主党人一直拒绝为移民海关执法局拨款。近几周来,他们一直在与共和党及白宫就改革要求进行谈判,其中包括配备随身摄像头、要求移民海关执法局探员不戴面罩,以及规定进入民宅需获得司法搜查令。

    随着机场因运输安全管理局(TSA)人员短缺陷入困境,谈判似乎取得进展。但当谈判陷入停滞时,参议院共和党人提出拨款给国土安全部所有机构,唯独移民执法部门除外。总统指示通过另一个资金来源为运输安全管理局拨款。

    上周五清晨,参议院一致通过一项协议,将为除移民海关执法局和海关与边境保护局部分部门外的所有国土安全部机构提供资金。该法案未包含民主党要求的大部分联邦移民执法改革内容。

    但众议院保守派拒绝支持参议院的这项法案,反对拆分移民执法资金。共和党领袖随后提出一项为期60天的持续拨款决议,为整个国土安全部提供资金。

    民主党领袖表示,如果该参议院法案上周五付诸表决,本可获得足够的众议院民主党议员支持以通过。但众议院最终以几乎全党派投票结果通过了短期拨款方案,该方案几乎没有在参议院通过的可能。

    图恩与约翰逊周三表示,“如今显而易见的是,民主党人将效忠激进左翼基层置于一切之上。”

    “我们不能再让民主党人通过他们的开放边境政策危及美国民众的安全,因此我们将不再容忍这种情况,”他们写道。

    参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默在回应这一宣布的声明中批评共和党内讧,称“共和党分裂破坏了两党协议,让美国家庭为他们的 dysfunction 付出了代价”。

    “在这场斗争中,参议院民主党人从未动摇过,”来自纽约州的民主党人舒默说道。“我们从一开始就明确表态:为关键安保工作提供资金、保护美国民众,绝不为鲁莽的移民海关执法局和边境巡逻执法开空白支票。我们团结一致、坚守立场,拒绝让共和党式混乱得逞。”

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/congress-on-recess-as-partial-shutdown-continues/

    Trump, GOP leaders unveil plan to end DHS shutdown through Senate bill and reconciliation

    April 1, 2026 / 3:46 PM EDT / CBS News

    Washington — Republican leaders in Congress and President Trump unveiled a plan Wednesday to end the partial government shutdown and fully fund the Department of Homeland Security, mirroring a framework that the Senate pursued last week before it was quickly batted down by House Republicans.

    House GOP leadership spent all day last Friday criticizing Senate legislation that split off immigration enforcement funding from the rest of DHS, but they now appear to have reversed course.

    In a post on Truth Social, Mr. Trump demanded that Congress fund ICE and Border Patrol through reconciliation, which would allow Republicans to pass a bill without Senate Democrats. He told lawmakers to get the legislation to his desk by June 1.

    “We are going to work as fast, and as focused, as possible to replenish funding for our Border and ICE Agents, and the Radical Left Democrats won’t be able to stop us,” Mr. Trump said.

    The plan would fund most of DHS until October through an appropriations bill while funding Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol through reconciliation. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune soon said they would work to make it happen.

    “In the coming days, Republicans in the Senate and House will be following through on the President’s directive by fully funding the entire Department of Homeland Security on two parallel tracks: through the appropriations process and through the reconciliation process,” Johnson and Thune said in a joint statement.

    The House and Senate are currently away from Washington on recess. But a vote in the Senate could come as soon as Thursday, when the chamber will hold a pro forma session. The House is also set to meet later Thursday for a pro forma session.

    Thune, a South Dakota Republican, and Johnson, a Louisiana Republican, pointed to the Senate Budget Committee’s efforts to kickstart the budget reconciliation process, which allows the party in power to approve legislation with direct budgetary consequences without support from across the aisle. Republicans are aiming to approve funding for immigration enforcement for three years.

    Democrats have refused for months to fund ICE following two deadly shootings by federal agents in Minneapolis. They were negotiating with Republicans and the White House in recent weeks over their demands for reforms, which included body cameras, requiring that ICE agents not wear masks and mandating judicial warrants for entering homes.

    The negotiations appeared to gain steam as the situation at airports became dire amid TSA staffing shortages. But when talks stalled, Senate Republicans offered to fund all of DHS except for its immigration enforcement. The president directed that TSA be paid through an alternate funding source.

    Early in the morning last Friday, the Senate unanimously approved a deal that would have funded all of DHS except ICE and parts of CBP. The legislation did not include most of the reforms to federal immigration enforcement that Democrats demanded.

    But House conservatives refused to support the Senate legislation, opposing the separation of funding for immigration enforcement. GOP leaders instead offered a 60-day continuing resolution that would have funded the whole department.

    The Senate plan could have garnered enough support from House Democrats for passage if it had been put on the floor Friday, according to Democratic leaders. Instead, the House passed the short-term funding patch in a vote nearly along party lines that had no chance of clearing the Senate.

    Thune and Johnson said Wednesday that “it is now abundantly clear that Democrats place allegiance to their radical left-wing base above all else.”

    “We cannot allow Democrats to any longer put the safety of the American public at risk through their open border policies, so we are taking that off the table,” they wrote.

    Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer criticized GOP disunity in a statement responding to the announcement, saying “Republican divisions derailed a bipartisan agreement, making American families pay the price for their dysfunction.”

    “Throughout this fight, Senate Democrats never wavered,” said Schumer, a New York Democrat. “We were clear from the start: fund critical security, protect Americans, and no blank check for reckless ICE and Border Patrol enforcement. We were united, held the line, and refused to let Republican chaos win.”

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/congress-on-recess-as-partial-shutdown-continues/

  • 最高法院大法官对特朗普政府终止自动出生公民权的举措表示质疑


    2026年4月1日T18:04:07.790Z / CNN 政治频道

    最高法院大法官对特朗普政府终止自动出生公民权的举措表示质疑

    作者:马努·拉朱,CNN
    发布于美国东部时间2026年4月1日周三下午2:04

    最高法院大法官对特朗普政府终止自动出生公民权的举措表示质疑

    政坛内幕

    CNN 法律分析师埃利奥特·威廉姆斯加入《政坛内幕》节目组,就特朗普政府此次看似难以奏效的诉讼提供见解。司法部副部长约翰·佐尔面对意识形态立场各异的大法官,即便其基础论点也似乎遭到了相当程度的质疑。威廉姆斯表示:“这场庭审的场面一边倒,是我们不常看到的情形。”

    6分47秒 • 来源:CNN

    By Manu Raju, CNN

    Published 2:04 PM EDT, Wed April 1, 2026

    Supreme Court justices sound skeptical of Trump Administration’s effort to end automatic birthright citizenship

    Inside Politics

    CNN Legal Analyst Elliot Williams joins the Inside Politics panel to provide insight into what appeared to be a tough sell for the Trump Administration. Solicitor General John Sauer faced justices across the ideological spectrum who seemed quite skeptical of even his basic arguments. “This was a blowout of the sort that we don’t see very often,” Williams said.

    6:47 • Source: CNN

  • 民调立场:特朗普在全美黄金时间发表讲话之际的支持率情况


    2026-04-01T14:10:10-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道

    在最新福克斯新闻全国民调中,特朗普的支持率为41%,反对率为59%

    作者:保罗·施坦豪泽 福克斯新闻
    发布于2026年4月1日 美国东部时间下午2:10

    美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周二表示,他认为美国将在两到三周内结束对伊朗的军事打击。(图片来源:白宫 via YouTube)

    NEW 现在您可以收听福克斯新闻文章!
    收听本文
    5分钟

    美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将于周三晚间在黄金时间向全国发表讲话,白宫称此次讲话是关于对伊战争的“重要最新进展”。

    此次讲话之际,美伊之间已爆发为期一个月的袭击,民调显示该行动不受众多美国人欢迎,而战事直接推高的汽油价格进一步导致特朗普在民意调查中的支持率下滑。

    其政治影响显而易见:对伊朗的军事打击以及总统支持率的下滑,对于共和党而言是危险信号——眼下共和党正全力捍卫今年秋季中期选举中微弱的众议院和参议院多数席位。

    在3月20日至23日开展的最新福克斯新闻全国民调中,特朗普的支持率为41%,反对率为59%。这位总统的负18个百分点的支持率差距,相较于2月28日至3月2日、即对伊打击开始时的前一次福克斯新闻民调的14个百分点有所扩大。

    福克斯新闻 美伊战争实时更新
    制作方:Flourish•创建图表

    在路透社/益普索、美联社/NORC以及昆尼皮亚克大学的最新全国民调中,特朗普的支持率处于30%后半段,反对率处于50%后半段至60%初段。3月26日至30日开展、周三发布的CNN民调显示,特朗普的支持率为35%,反对率为64%。

    综合最新全国民调来看,特朗普的支持率略高于40%,反对率处于50%后半段。

    福克斯新闻最新民调关于对伊战争的结果

    尽管特朗普的基本盘仍极度支持总统及其对伊战争,但其支持率下滑主要来自共和党内部,具体而言是被视为非“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)的共和党选民。

    “我在最近几次民调中看到支持率小幅下滑……接近两位数的变动,”协助开展福克斯新闻民调的资深共和党民调专家达伦·肖与民主党人克里斯·安德森说道,他指出非MAGA共和党选民对特朗普的支持率正在下降。

    2026年2月28日,在佛罗里达州棕榈滩,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在其Truth Social账号发布的视频截图中,就伊朗军事行动发表声明。(图片来源:特朗普总统 via Truth Social/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

    导致特朗普支持率下滑的因素似乎是汽油价格飙升。

    根据美国汽车协会(AAA)和GasBuddy的全国平均数据,美国汽油均价周二突破每加仑4美元,为四年来首次。

    福克斯财经:汽油价格突破每加仑4美元

    美以两国的军事打击导致伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊及其他高级官员身亡,并摧毁了该国的军事力量。

    作为回应,伊朗向多个波斯湾国家的能源设施发射导弹和无人机进行打击。该国还使霍尔木兹海峡几乎无法通行商业船只,导致全球约20%的石油供应停滞,全球燃油价格大幅上涨。

    2026年3月30日周一,克利夫兰的一家加油站张贴普通汽油售价为每加仑3.999美元的标识。(图片来源:苏·奥格罗基/美联社照片)

    在公众对高物价和生活成本不满的背景下,这一情况进一步加剧了特朗普在经济表现方面的民调困境。

    聚焦通胀助力特朗普和共和党在2024年选举中取得压倒性胜利,当时他们夺回白宫和参议院席位,并成功捍卫了众议院的微弱多数席位。

    民主党针对飙升的汽油价格攻击特朗普与共和党

    但在持续通胀背景下,民主党对经济负担问题的精准聚焦,在特朗普重返白宫后的14个多月里,帮助民主党在2025年的非大选年选举和特别选举中取得了一系列胜利和超出预期的表现。

    根据福克斯新闻民调,80%的受访者表示担心汽油价格,86%的受访者担心通胀和高物价。而CNN民调显示,特朗普的经济表现支持率跌至31%,为该民调有史以来的最低水平。

    视频

    白宫方面称油价上涨是暂时的。

    白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特周二在一份声明中表示:“‘史诗般的愤怒行动’结束后,汽油价格将暴跌至美国民众在这些短期 disruption 之前享受的多年低位。”

    莱维特强调,“特朗普总统仍致力于全面释放美国能源主导地位,降低成本,将更多资金放回辛勤工作的美国家庭的口袋中。”

    伊朗冲突爆发后油价上涨,但汽油价格或仍有上涨空间

    汽油价格上涨为民主党攻击共和党提供了更多政治弹药。

    民主党全国委员会周二上午的邮件头条写道:“突发:全国汽油价格飙升至每加仑4美元。”

    众议院民主党竞选委员会上周推出了数字广告,展示加油站油价上涨的画面,并配文“华盛顿共和党人造成的!”消息人士称,未来几周还将推出新一轮针对汽油价格的广告。

    但民主党自身也存在民调问题,在过去一年的多份民调中,该党的品牌形象跌至历史新低。

    肖提到所谓的“双重厌恶者”——即既不支持特朗普也不支持民主党选民,他表示,临近中期选举,这一群体“并未真正大幅转向民主党”。

    得克萨斯州共和党参议员特德·克鲁兹在最近接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时强调,在他看来,特朗普“发起此次军事行动的决定是其总统任期内最具影响力的决策”。

    视频

    这些看法只会增加特朗普在黄金时间向全国发表讲话时的利害关系。

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP

    “美国民众希望听到战争的退出方案以及战争何时结束,”石油钻探公司首席执行官、知名共和党捐助者丹·埃伯哈特告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。

    支持总统的埃伯哈特表示:“特朗普的基本盘支持他,但许多普通美国人认为这场战争毫无必要。今晚是特朗普解释这场战争对普通美国人为何重要的机会。”

    保罗·施坦豪泽是驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州的政治记者,他全程报道全国竞选活动。

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6392255435112
    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6391767620112

    Poll position: Where Trump stands among Americans as he faces the nation in primetime

    2026-04-01T14:10:10-04:00 / Fox News

    Trump stands at 41% approval and 59% disapproval in the most recent Fox News national poll

    By Paul Steinhauser Fox News

    Published April 1, 2026 2:10pm EDT

    President Donald Trump indicated on Tuesday that he thinks the U.S. will finish its attacks on Iran in two to three weeks. (Credit: The White House via YouTube)

    NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

    Listen to this article

    5 min

    President Donald Trump goes before the nation in prime time on Wednesday evening to deliver what the White House says is “an important update” on the war with Iran.

    The president’s address comes amid the month-long attacks by the U.S. and Israel on Iran, which polls indicate are unpopular with many Americans, and a surge in gas prices as a direct result of the fighting have triggered a further slide in Trump’s standing in public opinion surveys.

    The political implications are clear: The strikes on Iran and the erosion of the president’s approval ratings are warning signs for the GOP as Republicans ramp up to defend their slim House and Senate majorities in this autumn’s midterm elections.

    Trump stood at 41% approval and 59% disapproval in the latest Fox News national poll, which was conducted March 20–23. The president’s negative 18-point margin was up from 14 points in the previous Fox News poll, which was conducted Feb. 28–March 2, as the strikes against Iran began.

    FOX NEWS LIVE UPDATES ON THE U.S. WAR WITH IRAN

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    The president’s approval ratings stood in the upper 30s, with his disapproval in the upper 50s to low 60s, in the most recent national surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, AP/NORC, and Quinnipiac University. A CNN poll conducted March 26–30 and released Wednesday indicated Trump had a 35%-64% approval/disapproval rating.

    An average of the most recent national surveys gauging the president’s standing puts Trump just above 40%, with his disapproval in the upper 50s.

    WHAT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POLL SHOWS ON THE WAR WITH IRAN

    While Trump’s base remains extremely supportive of the president and the war, much of the slippage is coming from within the GOP, specifically those who are considered non-MAGA Republicans.

    “I do see in the last couple of surveys an edging down…close to a double-digit movement,” veteran Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps run the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson, said, pointing to declining support for Trump among non-MAGA Republicans.

    A screen grab from a video released on U.S. President Donald Trump’s Truth Social account shows Donald Trump making statements regarding combat operations on Iran on Feb. 28, 2026, in Palm Beach, Florida.(US President Trump via Truth Social/Anadolu via Getty Images)

    Fueling Trump’s decline appears to be the surge in gas prices.

    The average price of gasoline in the U.S. topped $4 per gallon on Tuesday, according to national averages from AAA and GasBuddy, for the first time in four years.

    FOX BUSINESS: GAS PRICES TOP $4 PER GALLON

    The military attacks by the U.S. and Israel have resulted in the deaths of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other top officials, and the decimation of the country’s military.

    In response, Iran has targeted energy facilities with missile and drone attacks in a number of Persian Gulf nations. It has also made the Strait of Hormuz nearly impassable to commercial shipping, bringing roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply to a halt and sending global fuel prices sharply higher.

    A gas station displays a sign for $3.999 for regular gasoline, in Cleveland, Monday, March 30, 2026.(Sue Ogrocki/AP Photo)

    That has only exacerbated Trump’s polling woes when it comes to his performance on the economy, amid public dissatisfaction with high prices and the cost of living.

    A spotlight on inflation helped fuel sweeping victories by Trump and Republicans in the 2024 elections, when they won back the White House and Senate and successfully defended their slim House majority.

    DEMOCRATS TARGET TRUMP, GOP, OVER SURING GAS PRICES

    But a laser focus on affordability by Democrats, amid persistent inflation, has fueled a slew of victories and overperformances in 2025’s off-year elections and in special elections in the more than 14 months since Trump returned to the White House.

    According to the Fox News poll, 80% of respondents said they were concerned about gas prices, and 86% concerned about inflation and high prices. And the CNN survey spotlighted that the president’s approval rating for handling the economy sank to 31%, Trump’s lowest level ever in their polling.

    Video

    The White House says the surge in prices is temporary.

    “When Operation Epic Fury is complete, gas prices will plummet back to the multiyear lows American drivers enjoyed before these short-term disruptions,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement on Tuesday.

    Leavitt emphasized that “President Trump remains committed to fully unleashing American energy dominance, lowering costs, and putting more money back in the pockets of hardworking American families.”

    OIL HAS SURGED SINCE THE IRAN CONFLICT BEGAN, BUT GAS PRICES MAY NOT BE DONE RISING

    The gas price surge is giving Democrats more political ammunition to target the GOP.

    “BREAKING: National Gas Prices Skyrocket to $4 Per Gallon,” read the headline from an email Tuesday morning from the Democratic National Committee.

    The House Democrats’ campaign committee last week launched digital ads showing prices at the pump rising and an image saying “D.C. Republicans Did That!” Sources say to expect another round of ads on gas prices in the coming weeks.

    But Democrats have their own polling problems, as the party’s brand image has cratered to historic lows in a slew of polls over the past year.

    Shaw, pointing to the so-called double-haters, voters who disapprove of both Trump and the Democrats, said that group hasn’t “really swung dramatically to the Democrats” as the midterms approach.

    Republican Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas emphasized in a recent Fox News Digital interview that, in his opinion, Trump’s “decision to launch this military action is the most consequential decision” of his presidency.

    Video

    Such perceptions only increase what’s at stake when Trump addresses the nation in prime time.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    “The American people want to hear what the off-ramp for the war is and when it will end,” Dan Eberhart, an oil drilling chief executive officer and prominent Republican donor told Fox News Digital.

    Eberhart, who is supportive of the president, said: “Trump’s base is with him, but many ordinary Americans feel the war is unnecessary. Tonight is Trump’s opportunity to explain why this war matters to everyday Americans.”

    Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6392255435112
    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6391767620112

  • 最高法院关于特朗普终止自动出生公民权举措的辩论要点


    2026-04-01T19:14:09.274Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

    作者:约翰·弗里茨、蒂尔尼·斯尼德、德文·科尔
    更新于8分钟前
    2026年4月1日,美国东部时间下午3:28更新
    发布于2026年4月1日,美国东部时间下午3:14


    这张法庭速写描绘了2026年4月1日周三,在美国华盛顿特区最高法院,美国副检察长D.约翰·索尔与唐纳德·特朗普总统就特朗普试图终止出生公民权的行政命令进行口头辩论的场景。

    达娜·弗科特伦 绘

    唐纳德·特朗普总统推动终止自动出生公民权的举措,在周三遭到了最高法院法官的质疑,自由派和保守派大法官均对重新定义美国一个多世纪以来的公民权认知提出了尖锐问题。

    在超过两小时的辩论中,特朗普本人到场约75分钟,大法官们逐一驳斥了政府律师——副检察长D.约翰·索尔的论点,即第十四修正案的制定者是否有意将大量非法移民和合法移民的子女排除在“在美国境内出生即可获得公民权”的保障之外。

    如果特朗普希望通过到场影响大法官,这一做法似乎并未奏效。

    相关直播报道:最高法院对特朗普的出生公民权行政命令持怀疑态度

    如果判决结果符合本次辩论的论点,这将是特朗普政府第二项被由三名其任命的大法官组成的保守派占优的最高法院推翻的重大政策。最高法院今年还驳回了特朗普全面的全球紧急关税政策。

    以下是本次最高法院历史性辩论的要点:

    大法官们对特朗普的历史解读持怀疑态度

    首席大法官约翰·罗伯茨为这场对特朗普不利的激烈辩论定下了基调,他向索尔发问,众人公认的少数几类被排除在出生公民权之外的“特殊”“特例”人群,如何能像特朗普现在主张的那样,适用于数量庞大的在美国境内出生的群体。

    特朗普和索尔称该行政命令旨在打击“生育旅游”,但罗伯茨质疑,既然“生育旅游”这一概念在第十四修正案制定时并不存在,制定者又怎能预见其措辞会被如此使用。
    “我们如今身处一个全新的世界,”索尔说道。他补充道,全球80亿人口“只需乘坐一次飞机,就能生下一名美国公民”。
    “没错,世界变了,”罗伯茨反驳道,“但宪法没变。”

    自由派大法官埃琳娜·卡根指责政府依赖“相当晦涩的资料”来支撑其论点。特朗普任命的大法官尼尔·戈萨奇则向索尔追问,特朗普对“居所”的解读——以及其在判定谁符合出生公民权资格时的所谓应用——在修正案制定的19世纪是否合理,尤其是当时并不存在当前的移民限制措施。

    另一位特朗普任命的大法官艾米·科尼·巴雷特则质疑,政府提出的以父母效忠为依据的理论,将如何适用于刚获得解放的奴隶的子女。她表示,这些奴隶的父母很多是刚从非洲被贩卖而来,可能仍对其被贩运的故土抱有效忠之心。她向索尔问道,如果特朗普提出的以父母效忠为依据的例外情况真的存在,第十四修正案又怎能适用于所有奴隶及其子女?
    索尔表示,在当时,奴隶普遍被认为是在美国拥有居所的。
    “如果你查阅19世纪的资料,会发现尽管他们的入境可能违法,但19世纪内战前的法律从未将他们的存在视为非法,”索尔说道。

    收听罗伯茨大法官在出生公民权辩论中的关键发言片段

    3:28 • 来源:CNN


    戈萨奇、卡瓦诺暗示特朗普或遭遇窄幅败诉

    包括戈萨奇和特朗普任命的另一名大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺在内的多名保守派大法官暗示,此案甚至无需涉及特朗普政府提出的广泛宪法论点即可作出判决。原因在于,在第十四修正案批准数十年后,国会通过了与重建时期修正案措辞一致的法律。

    相关论点如下:到20世纪中期,国会认为第十四修正案的公民权条款的解释范围几乎涵盖了所有在美国境内出生的人。如果当时议员们希望采用不同的解释,那么他们在法律中使用与修正案完全相同的措辞就说不通了。
    “如果你在1940年和1952年任职于国会,并且希望……消除歧义,那你为什么要重复使用相同的措辞,而不是选择其他表述?”卡瓦诺在辩论中一段尤为引人关注的对话中问道。

    索尔回应称,国会只是将“判定谁有权获得出生公民权的基准”写入法律,并未涉及所有潜在的例外情况。

    相关报道:最高法院将审议出生公民权的未来。以下是他们的家族如何来到美国 11分钟阅读

    但双方在这一点上的来回交锋颇具意义,因为卡瓦诺的问题呼应了美国公民自由联盟提出的核心论点。美国公民自由联盟律师塞西莉亚·王曾辩称,如果国会无意涵盖移民群体,它本应明确说明。

    戈萨奇一度似乎表示赞同。
    “修正案与法律之间已经相隔了漫长的岁月,”他说道。

    戈萨奇巧妙地暗示索尔可以在法律层面而非宪法层面败诉。这样的判决结果仍将推翻特朗普的行政命令,但会给政府留出通过修改法律推动变革的机会。而如果判决认定第十四修正案禁止特朗普的行政命令,其影响将更为深远持久。

    索尔似乎拒绝了这一窄幅败诉的提议,否认法院可以在成文法和宪法之间作出区分。
    “你希望本法院作出直截了当的宪法判决——无论胜诉败诉?”戈萨奇问道。
    “我们认为成文法和宪法的含义是一致的,”索尔说道,“如果法院持不同意见,显然我们更倾向于在成文法而非宪法层面作出不利判决。”

    原告方在“居所”问题上遭遇棘手提问

    作为代表质疑特朗普行政命令的移民群体出庭的律师,王在开始回应九位大法官的提问时,不难发现其为美国长期以来的出生公民权传统辩护的论点并未面临过于严苛的质疑。
    “随便问一个美国人我们的公民权规则是什么,他们都会告诉你,每一个出生在这里的人都是公民,”王在开场陈述中说道。

    尽管如此,王仍遭到了意识形态两端大法官的尖锐质询。他们向她指出,她认为应作为本案判决依据的19世纪标志性判例,给她的立场带来了一些问题。

    美国公民自由联盟律师塞西莉亚·王在口头辩论结束后在最高法院外发言。
    曼德尔·恩根/法新社/盖蒂图片社

    政府的核心论点之一是,19世纪授予华裔男子金康(音译)公民权的“美国诉王金安案”,反复强调了一个观点:要获得出生公民权,个人必须有意永久居住在美国——换言之,必须拥有居所。

    特朗普政府和美国公民自由联盟就居所要求是否适用、谁符合资格的问题展开了激烈争执。
    “你对‘居所’一词的使用轻描淡写,”罗伯茨对王说道,“该词在判决中出现了20次之多。”
    “这难道不值得至少引起重视吗?”他说道。

    随后,戈萨奇询问,在“王金安案”判决后,美国法律界对“居所”在公民权语境下的含义存在严重分歧,法院该如何处理这一情况。戈萨奇将这种分歧描述为“一团乱麻”。
    “我知道你这边也有很多有力论据。但面对众多权威法律人士都认为这仍是一个悬而未决的问题,我们该怎么办?”他问道。

    就连法院的自由派成员埃琳娜·卡根大法官也在某一时刻针对1898年的这项判决发问:“那20处提及居所的文字究竟有何作用?”

    王坚持认为,这些文字并非该案判决的核心,因此今日的法院无需为此担忧。

    特朗普到场旁听创下历史纪录

    就在几周前,特朗普还曾抨击多名法院大法官,称那些投票反对其全球关税政策的大法官“是家族的耻辱”,而如今他却亲临现场,直面掌握其出生公民权政策命运的大法官,创下了历史纪录。

    据最高法院历史学会称,尽管历届总统有时会出席最高法院的仪式活动,但此前从未有现任总统到场旁听口头辩论。

    特朗普曾多次暗示可能出席过往的辩论,但均在临近时刻取消。最高法院的规则和传统——包括禁止摄像和现代技术设备——给总统到访带来了后勤障碍。

    最高法院大法官对特朗普政府终止自动出生公民权的举措持怀疑态度

    6:47 • 来源:CNN


    但特朗普在辩论前一天对记者表示,他认为这一问题足够重要,值得亲自到场。本周早些时候,他在社交媒体上抱怨“愚蠢的”司法系统,并在椭圆形办公室向记者预览了索尔的辩论论点。

    总统坐在公众席的前排,这片区域通常仅供国会议员和其他特邀嘉宾使用。索尔向法院陈述完毕后,他于美国东部时间上午11:20离场。
    “我们是世界上唯一一个愚蠢到允许‘生育权’公民身份的国家!”特朗普离开最高法院后在社交媒体上发帖称。

    特朗普行政命令的实际影响未受重视

    大部分辩论都围绕历史和第十四修正案的含义展开,而对于特朗普行政命令生效后的实际影响关注甚少。

    根据移民政策研究所的估算,在未来50年里,平均每年约有25.5万名在美国境内出生的儿童,会因其父母的身份而无法从出生起就获得美国公民身份。该行政命令不仅会影响非法入境的移民,还会波及“童年入境暂缓遣返计划”(DACA)受益者或其他人道主义项目受益者等合法居留人群。

    就连美国公民也必须额外付出诸多手续,才能为新生儿证明公民身份。

    大法官们似乎并未特别关注这些后果,至少未就此展开深入讨论。唯有法院自由派成员凯坦吉·布朗·杰克逊大法官就这些实际问题向索尔发问,询问孕妇是否需要通过作证来证明其有意永久留在美国。
    “你是不是暗示,当婴儿出生时,人们必须出示文件?这会发生在产房里吗?根据你的规则,我们该如何判定新生儿是否为美国公民?”杰克逊说道。

    示威者在最高法院外集会,等待大法官周三就相关案件进行口头辩论。
    J.斯科特·阿普尔怀特/美联社

    当其他大法官提及判定出生公民权资格的程序时,他们通常是在探讨这些程序在19世纪会如何运作,试图揣摩第十四修正案制定者的初衷。

    巴雷特表示,根据特朗普的行政命令解决谁有权获得公民权的纠纷,“在某些应用场景中可能会一团糟”。

    她特别询问了“弃婴”——即父母身份不明或被父母遗弃的儿童——的情况。索尔援引联邦法律称,这类儿童将被涵盖在内。
    “是、是、是,”巴雷特反驳道,“但宪法层面呢?”
    “你该如何裁决这些案件?”巴雷特继续问道,“对某些人来说,包括美国公民在内,在出生时你无法知晓他们是否有留居的意图。”

    索尔称,实际上这不会成为问题,因为特朗普的行政命令取决于“可客观核实的事项,即移民身份”。

    此前所有审理过特朗普行政命令合法性的法院均驳回了该命令。在本案中,新罕布什尔州的一家美国地区法院在一项集体诉讼中,禁止对任何受该政策影响的婴儿执行特朗普的行政命令。在上诉法院有机会审查此案之前,特朗普已向最高法院提起上诉。

    最高法院预计将在6月底前对本案作出判决。

    美国有线电视新闻网的奥斯汀·卡尔佩珀对本文亦有贡献。

    Takeaways from the Supreme Court arguments on Trump’s effort to end automatic birthright citizenship

    2026-04-01T19:14:09.274Z / CNN

    By John Fritze, Tierney Sneed, Devan Cole

    Updated 8 min ago
    Updated Apr 1, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
    PUBLISHED Apr 1, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

    This courtroom sketch shows US Solicitor General D. John Sauer and President Donald Trump during oral arguments over Trump’s executive order that attempts to end automatic birthright citizenship at the US Supreme Court in Washington, DC, on Wednesday, April 1, 2026.

    Dana Verkouteren

    President Donald Trump’s push to end automatic birthright citizenship was met by a suspicious Supreme Court on Wednesday, with liberal and conservative justices raising tough questions about reimagining the way citizenship has been understood in the United States for more than a century.

    Over the course of more than two hours, with Trump himself in attendance for roughly 75 minutes, the justices picked away at the arguments raised by the administration’s attorney – Solicitor General D. John Sauer – about whether the framers of the 14th Amendment intended to exclude children born to a wide swath of illegal and legal immigrants from the promise of citizenship by virtue of being born on US soil.

    If Trump hoped his presence might influence the justices, it didn’t seem to work.

    Related live story Supreme Court skeptical of Trump’s birthright citizenship order

    Should the decision reflect the arguments, it will mark the second major Trump administration policy to fall at the hands of a conservative Supreme Court on which three of nine justices were appointed by the president himself. The court also struck down Trump’s sweeping emergency global tariffs this year.

    Here are takeaways from the court’s historic arguments:

    Justices were dubious of Trump’s take on history

    Chief Justice John Roberts set the tone for the rough arguments for Trump when he asked Sauer how the “quirky” and “idiosyncratic” examples of who everyone agrees was excluded from birthright citizenship could be applied to a much larger class of individuals born on US soil as Trump is arguing now.

    Trump and Sauer said the order is intended to end “birth tourism,” but Roberts questioned how the framers of the 14th Amendment could possibly have foreseen their words being used that way given that no such concept existed at the time.

    “We’re in a new world now,” Sauer said. Eight billion people, he added, “are one plane ride away from having a child who’s a US citizen.”

    “Well, it’s a new world,” Roberts fired back. “It’s the same Constitution.”

    Liberal Justice Elena Kagan accused the administration of relying on “pretty obscure sources” to make its arguments. Justice Neil Gorsuch, whom Trump nominated to the court, pressed Sauer on whether Trump’s interpretation of “domicile” – and its supposed application in deciding who qualifies for birthright citizenship – would have made sense in the 19th century when the amendment was framed, especially since the current restrictions on immigration didn’t exist at the time.

    Demonstrators rally outside the Supreme Court before justices hear oral arguments.

    Tom Brenner/AP

    Justice Amy Coney Barrett, another Trump appointee, meanwhile, questioned how the administration’s embrace of a theory of a parent’s allegiance would have applied to children of newly freed slaves. Some of those children would have had slave parents who were only recently brought from Africa and thus might still have felt allegiance to the lands from which they were trafficked, she said. How can it be, she asked Sauer, that the amendment applied to all slaves and their children, if the Trump-proposed exceptions around a theory of parents’ allegiance existed?

    Sauer suggested that, at the time, slaves were widely understood to have domicile in the United States.

    “If you look at the 19th-century sources, what you see is that even though their entry may have been unlawful, 19th-century antebellum law never treated their presence as unlawful,” Sauer said.

    Hear key exchange from Justice Roberts during birthright citizenship arguments
    3:28 • Source: CNN

    Hear key exchange from Justice Roberts during birthright citizenship arguments
    3:28

    Gorsuch, Kavanaugh suggest narrow loss for Trump

    Several of the court’s conservatives, including Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh, another Trump nominee, suggested the case could be decided without even reaching the broad constitutional arguments the Trump administration is raising. That is because Congress, decades after the 14th Amendment was ratified, passed laws mirroring the Reconstruction-era amendment’s language.

    The argument goes like this: By the mid-20th century, Congress understoodthat the 14th Amendment’s citizenship clause was being interpreted to sweep in virtually everyone born in the country. If lawmakers wanted a different interpretation then it wouldn’t make sense for lawmakers to include identical language to the amendment in the law.

    “If you’re in Congress in 1940 and 1952 and you want … to eliminate ambiguity, why do you repeat the same language rather than choosing something different,” Kavanaugh asked in a particularly notable exchange during the arguments.

    Sauer responded by arguing that Congress was only putting into law a “baseline” for who would be entitled to birthright citizenship, not addressing all of the potential exceptions.

    Related article Supreme Court justices will consider the future of birthright citizenship. Here’s how their families came to America 11 min read

    But the back-and-forth on the point was notable because Kavanaugh’s question mirrored a key argument the American Civil Liberties Union was making. If Congress didn’t intend to cover immigrants, the ACLU attorney Cecillia Wang has argued, it would have said so.

    Gorsuch, at one point, seemed to agree.

    “There was a lot of water over the dam” between the amendment and the law, he said.

    Gorsuch seemed, subtly, to offer Sauer to lose the case on the law rather than the Constitution. Such an outcome would still strike down Trump’s order, but it would give the administration an opportunity to try to push through a change in the law. A ruling that says the 14th Amendment barred Trump’s order would have far more permanence.

    Sauer seemed to decline the offer for a narrow loss by denying that the court could read a difference between the statute and the Constitution.

    “This is a straight-up constitutional ruling you want from this court — win, lose or draw?” Gorsuch asked.

    “We think that the statute and the Constitution mean the same thing,” Sauer said. “If the court disagrees, obviously, we’d prefer an adverse ruling – if the court’s going to do that – on a statutory basis (rather) than a constitutional basis.”

    Plaintiffs face tough question on ‘domicile’

    As Wang, who was arguing for a group of immigrants challenging Trump’s order, began fielding questions from the nine, it became clear that her arguments in defense of the US’ long-held tradition of birthright citizenship faced a less skeptical bench.

    “Ask any American what our citizenship rule is and they’ll tell you, everyone born here is a citizen alike,” Wang said during her opening statement.

    Still, Wang was nonetheless hit with some difficult inquiries from justices on both ends of the ideological spectrum. They pressed her on the fact that the landmark 19th-century precedent she believes should decide the current case in her favor raises some problems for her position.

    American Civil Liberties Union lawyer Cecilia Wang speaks outside the US Supreme Court, after oral arugments had concluded.

    Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

    One of the government’s leading arguments is that US v. Wong Kim Ark, which granted citizenship to a man of Chinese descent in the 19th century, repeatedly stressed the idea that in order to be entitled to birthright citizenship, a person must intend to permanently live in the country — in other words, to be domiciled.

    The Trump administration and the ACLU fought bitterly over whether a domicile requirement applied and who would qualify.

    “You dismiss the use of the word of ‘domicile,’” Roberts told Wang. “It appears in the opinion 20 different times.”

    “Isn’t it at least something to be concerned about?” he said.

    Later, Gorsuch asked what the court should do with the fact that after Wong Kim Ark was decided, the legal community in the country was sharply divided on what being domiciled meant in the context of citizenship. Gorsuch described that disagreement as a “mess.”

    “I know you’ve got a lot of good stuff on your side too. But what do we do with the fact that many, many sound legal authorities thought it remained an open question?” he asked.

    Even Justice Elena Kagan, a member the court’s liberal wing, asked at one point of the 1898 decision: “What are those 20 domicile words doing there?”

    Wang stuck with her contention that those words were not central to the holding in that case and therefore not an issue for today’s court to worry about.

    Trump makes history by showing up to arguments

    Just weeks after he derided several members of the court – calling those who voted against his global tariffs an “embarrassment to their families” – Trump made history by showing up in person to stare down the justices who hold the fate of his birthright citizenship policy in their hands.

    Though presidents have sometimes appeared at the Supreme Court for ceremonies, no sitting president has previously attended an argument, according to the Supreme Court Historical Society.

    Trump repeatedly floated that he might attend past arguments, only to back out when the time came. The rules and traditions of the Supreme Court – including that neither cameras nor modern technology are permitted – present logistical hurdles to a presidential visit.

    Supreme Court justices sound skeptical of Trump Administration’s effort to end automatic birthright citizenship
    6:47 • Source: CNN

    Supreme Court justices sound skeptical of Trump Administration’s effort to end automatic birthright …
    6:47

    But Trump indicated to reporters on the eve of the arguments that he felt the issue was important enough to come in person. The president complained about the “STUPID” judiciary in a social media post earlier in the week, and he offered a preview of Sauer’s arguments with reporters in the Oval Office.

    The president sat in the front row of the public section, an area usually reserved for members of Congress and other special guests. He left at 11:20 a.m. ET, after Sauer’s presentation to the court was over.

    “We are the only Country in the World STUPID enough to allow ‘Birthright’ Citizenship!” Trump posted on social media after leaving the Supreme Court.

    Real-world impacts of Trump’s order receive little attention

    Most of the debate dealt with history and the meaning of the 14th Amendment. Far less attention was paid to the practical impacts of allowing Trump’s order to take effect.

    Over the next 50 years, an average of roughly 255,000 children born in the US every year would start life without US citizenship based on their parents’ status, according to an estimate from the Migration Policy Institute. The order would affect not only immigrants in the country illegally but also people like DACA recipients or those who benefit from other humanitarian programs and who are lawfully present.

    Even US citizens would have to jump through additional hoops to verify the citizenship of their newborns.

    The justices did not seem particularly concerned about any of those consequences, or at least did not discuss them at length. Only Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, a member of the court’s liberal wing, grilled Sauer about those practical issues, asking him if pregnant women would need to sit for depositions to attest to their desire to stay in the US permanently.

    “Are you suggesting that when a baby is born, people have to have documents, present documents? Is this happening in the delivery room? How are we determining when or whether a newborn child is citizen of the United States under your rule?” Jackson said.

    Demonstrators rally outside the US Supreme Court, before justices hear oral arguments on Wednesday.

    J. Scott Applewhite/AP

    When other justices brought up the mechanics of determining one’s qualification for birthright citizenship, they usually were doing so in the context of teasing out how those mechanics would have played out in the 19th century, as the justices tried to decipher what the framers of the 14th Amendment had in mind.

    Barrett said resolving disputes over who would be entitled to citizenship under Trump’s order could be “messy in some applications.”

    She specifically asked about “foundlings,” children of unknown parentage or who were abandoned by their parents. Sauer pointed to federal law to suggest they would be covered.

    “Yeah, yeah, yeah,” Barrett shot back. “But what about the Constitution?”

    “How would you adjudicate these cases?” Barrett continued. “You’re not going to know at the time of birth for some people whether they have the intent to stay or not, including US citizens, by the way.”

    Sauer said that practically it wouldn’t be an issue because Trump’s order turns on an “objectively verifiable thing, which is immigration status.”

    Every court to consider the legality of Trump’s order has rejected it. In the case at hand, a US District Court in New Hampshire barred enforcement of Trump’s order against any babies who would be impacted by the policy in a class-action lawsuit. Trump appealed the ruling to the Supreme Court before an appeals court had a chance to review the matter.

    The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in the case by the end of June.

    CNN’s Austin Culpepper contributed to this report.

  • 特朗普今晚就伊朗战争发表讲话,将公布冲突结束时间表


    2026年4月1日 美国东部时间下午3:46 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    华盛顿讯——总统特朗普将于周三晚间发表黄金时段讲话,向全国通报伊朗战争最新进展。他此前预测军事行动还将持续数周,并威胁要让美国退出北约。

    “史诗之怒行动”已开展33天,目前美军进度远超美以联合行动原定的4至6周时间表。特朗普总统周二称美军将在“两到三周内”撤离伊朗,这意味着军事冲突时长将超出此前预估的6周上限,尽管特朗普坚称战事正按计划推进。特朗普还表示,如果双方达成协议,战争可能提前结束。

    一名白宫官员向哥伦比亚广播公司新闻透露,总统将“强调美军在行动前设定的所有既定目标均已达成”——包括摧毁伊朗大量海军力量、确保伊朗地区代理武装无法再扰乱地区稳定,以及确保伊朗永远无法获得核武器。该官员表示,截至目前,行动已达成甚至超出了所有基准目标。

    本周早些时候有消息人士向哥伦比亚广播公司新闻透露,目前已有数百名美国特种部队士兵以及数千名海军陆战队和陆军伞兵部署在中东地区,为特朗普在必要时扩大伊朗战事提供了更多军事选择。如有需要,这些部队可参与重启霍尔木兹海峡、袭击伊朗哈尔克岛石油终端或夺取伊朗浓缩铀库存的行动。

    尽管特朗普坚称确保伊朗永远无法获得核武器是核心目标之一,但他在接受路透社采访时表示,他并不关心伊朗储存在地下隧道中的高浓缩铀。这种材料若进一步浓缩可用于制造核武器,但夺取这类材料很可能需要美军开展高风险地面行动。美国情报机构去年评估认为,伊朗并未积极研发核弹。

    “那东西藏得太深了,我才不在乎,”总统在谈及伊朗的浓缩铀时说道,据信其中大部分被埋在去年夏天美军一轮空袭产生的废墟之下。“我们会一直通过卫星监视它。”

    特朗普表示,他还将在周三晚间的讲话中提及北约盟友,特别是他对盟友未能协助美国打通霍尔木兹海峡感到不满。霍尔木兹海峡通常承担着全球五分之一的石油运输量。伊朗实际上封锁海峡的行为扰乱了石油供应,导致油价大幅上涨。

    特朗普称,针对盟友拒绝协助美国打通海峡一事,他“绝对”正在考虑让美国退出这个二战后成立的军事同盟。

    他周二在接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻资深白宫记者江维佳采访时表示,他还没“完全准备好”放弃迫使伊朗开放海峡、允许所有船只通行的努力。特朗普说,其他依赖中东石油的国家“必须介入并承担责任”。

    “伊朗已经遭受重创,但它们必须自己解决问题,”他说道。

    在战事初期,特朗普曾暗示,如果伊朗不允许船只自由通过霍尔木兹海峡,他可能会加大对伊朗的打击力度,并将目标对准该国能源基础设施。

    与此同时,境外战事正在影响国内物价。当前美国民众认为经济处境艰难,担心战争会让情况进一步恶化。本周美国全国平均汽油价格升至每加仑4美元以上,为近四年来首次。柴油价格也大幅上涨,消费品价格可能随之攀升。

    上月发布的一项哥伦比亚广播公司新闻民调显示,大多数美国人并不支持伊朗战争:60%的受访者不赞成美国对伊朗采取军事行动,67%的受访者表示不愿在冲突期间为汽油支付更高价格,不过绝大多数共和党人支持这场战争。

    当被问及油价飙升一事时,特朗普周二表示:“我只要撤离伊朗,油价就会立刻暴跌,我们很快就会撤离,到时候油价就会应声下跌。”

    詹妮弗·雅各布斯为本报道撰稿。

    特朗普伊朗战争讲话前瞻须知

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/what-to-know-ahead-of-trumps-address-on-iran-war/

    Trump’s address on Iran war tonight will lay out timeframe for ending conflict

    April 1, 2026 3:46 PM EDT / CBS News

    Washington— President Trump is delivering a prime-time address to update the nation on the war in Iran Wednesday night, as he predicts the operation will continue for a few more weeks and threatens to withdraw the U.S. from NATO.

    Thirty-three days into Operation Epic Fury, the U.S. is already well within the four-to-six-week timeline that the president and his administration had laid out for the joint U.S.-Israeli operation. The president’s remarks Tuesday that the U.S. will leave Iran in “two or three weeks” would put the military conflict beyond the high-end estimate of six weeks, despite the president’s insistence that the war is ahead of schedule. Mr. Trump has said the war could end sooner if the two sides reach a deal.

    A White House official told CBS News the president will “highlight the United States military’s success in achieving all of its stated goals prior to the operation” — including destroying much Iran’s navy, ensuring their regional proxy groups can no longer destabilize the region and guaranteeing that Iran can never obtain a nuclear weapon. The official said the operation is meeting or exceeding all of its benchmarks so far.

    Still, hundreds of U.S. Special Operations Forces and thousands of Marines and Army paratroopers are now in the Middle East, giving Mr. Trump additional military options in Iran if he chooses to expand the war, sources told CBS News earlier this week. If needed, those forces could participate in operations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, target Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal or seize Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium.

    Even as Mr. Trump insists a main goal is ensuring Iran never attains a nuclear weapon, he told Reuters he doesn’t care about the highly enriched uranium Iran has stored in underground tunnels. If further enriched, the material could be used for nuclear weapons, but seizing such material would likely require a risky U.S. ground operation. The U.S. intelligence community assessed last year that Iran was not actively trying to build a nuclear bomb.

    “That’s so far underground, I don’t care about that,” the president said of Iran’s enriched uranium, much of which is believed to be buried underneath rubble from a previous round of U.S. strikes last summer. “We’ll always be watching it by satellite.”

    Mr. Trump said he will also mention NATO allies in his speech Wednesday night, particularly his frustration over what he views as their failure to help the U.S. open the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. Iran’s effective closure of the strait has disrupted the supply of oil and sent prices sharply higher.

    The president said he is “absolutely” considering withdrawing the U.S. from the treaty organization formed in the wake of World War II, in response to allies’ decision not to help the U.S. with the strait.

    He told CBS News senior White House correspondent Weijia Jiang on Tuesday that he’s not ready “quite yet” to abandon his attempts to force Iran to open the strait to all shipping traffic. The president said other countries that are reliant on Middle Eastern oil “have to come in and take care of it.”

    “Iran has been decimated, but they’re going to have to come in and do their own work,” he said.

    Earlier in the war, Mr. Trump has suggested he may ramp up attacks on Iran and target the country’s energy infrastructure if it doesn’t allow ships to sail freely through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Meanwhile, the war abroad is affecting prices at home in a time when Americans view the economy as struggling and fear the war will make that worse. The average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. topped $4 this week for the first time in nearly four years. Diesel prices have also soared, and consumer good prices are likely to increase with them.

    A CBS News poll from last month shows most Americans aren’t sold on the Iran war, with 60% disapproving of the U.S. taking military action in Iran and 67% saying they are unwilling to pay more for gas during the conflict, though an overwhelming majority of Republicans support the war.

    Asked about spiking gas prices, Mr. Trump said Tuesday: “All I have to do is leave Iran, and we’ll be doing that very soon, and they’ll come tumbling down.”

    Jennifer Jacobs contributed to this report.

    What to know ahead of Trump Iran war address

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/what-to-know-ahead-of-trumps-address-on-iran-war/

  • 推动青少年乒乓球发展 冯天薇本地开办同名学院


    你提供的内容是中文新闻稿件,并非英文原文。请你提供需要翻译的英文新闻文章,我会按照要求为你完成精准翻译。

    我国乒乓球前国手、奥运奖牌得主冯天薇,将在盛港西开办同名乒乓球学院,助力本地青少年乒乓球发展。 (档案照片)

    曾在奥运会上勇夺一银两铜的新加坡乒乓球名宿冯天薇,将在4月15日于盛港西的芬维尔体育与休闲空间(Fernvale Sports and Recreation Space)开办同名乒乓球学院。

    现年39岁的冯天薇在黑龙江哈尔滨出生,2008年转为新加坡公民,同年代表我国在北京奥运会上夺得女团银牌。在2010年的世界乒乓球锦标赛团体赛上,她在决赛中连克中国好手丁宁和刘诗雯,帮助新加坡队以3比1夺得历史性冠军。

    两年后,冯天薇在伦敦奥运会上再夺下女单和女团铜牌。她在出战过的四届共和联邦运动会中共夺得九面金牌,并在2022年的上一届共运会获得了最高荣誉的大卫·迪克森奖后,逐渐淡出乒坛。

    冯天薇在2022年伯明翰共运会收获女单、女双、女团三面金牌。这也是她职业生涯的最后一届运动会。(档案照片)

    退役后,冯天薇在国内继续推动青少年乒乓球发展,并在近期创办冯天薇国际乒乓球学院。

    据悉,学院最初会配备20张乒乓球桌,并有来自中国和新加坡的八名教练提供指导,未来还可能邀请国际俱乐部和国家队到此训练。

    谈到创办学院的契机,冯天薇指出,新加坡目前的乒乓球环境很好,希望能将教育和乒乓球结合起来,让本地年轻球员能够兼顾学习和运动。

    她对《联合早报》说:“我希望提供更合适的训练时间和教练员给他们(学员),让他们在兼顾学习的同时,也可以根据自己的实际需求去训练,并且可以为他们量身定做一些训练计划,更具实战性。”

    从运动员转型管理者有难度 希望不断完善提升

    她补充说:“新加坡喜欢打乒乓球的小孩子不在少数,而且很多家长也都非常支持,也要感谢新加坡体育部门引进了WTT这个赛事,让本地孩子看到希望,有一天能代表国家参赛,起到很好的激励作用。这也是选拔优秀人才的一个重要途径,需要更多人参与到选拔池中。”

    这位世界排名最高曾到达第二(2010年)的前国手还透露,从运动员转变为管理者,是她目前面临的最大困难,还须对运营细节进一步打磨。

    “我不再是一个运动员,也不止是教练,而是一个经营者和管理者。我需要用自己之前运动员的经验,结合管理的角度,提供一套更适合他们(学员)的训练体系,这些是我需要思考的。刚开始肯定不是那么完美,需要不断去摸索和总结,希望大家会有些耐心给我们,也给予(耐心)孩子们!”

  • 独家:美联储巴尔金:家庭和企业仍以“短期视角”看待石油冲击


    2026-04-01 12:00:52 UTC / 路透社

    作者:霍华德·施奈德

    2026年4月1日 12:00 UTC 更新于3小时前

    2025年4月9日,美国华盛顿特区,里奇蒙德联邦储备银行行长托马斯·巴尔金出席华盛顿特区经济俱乐部的对话活动。路透社/凯文·莫哈特/资料图

    • 内容摘要
    • 巴尔金认为目前消费者支出或通胀预期尚未出现重大转变
    • 美联储官员仍持谨慎态度,在政策调整前等待油价冲击的明确影响
    • 零售商在定价上面临消费者抵制,而服务企业则保留更多定价权

    华盛顿4月1日(路透社)——里奇蒙德联邦储备银行行长汤姆·巴尔金表示,企业仍将高油价视为仅会造成短期 disruption,目前几乎没有证据表明消费者已开始缩减开支,或以令人担忧的方式改变了公众的通胀预期。

    “我的直觉是,人们仍以短期视角看待此事,”巴尔金周二对路透社表示,他的结论基于每周信用卡支出数据,以及他与企业高管定期就定价、投资等议题展开的对话。

    路透社《能源动态》简报为您提供全球能源行业的所有关键资讯。[点击此处订阅]。

    广告 · 继续向下滚动

    “显然,汽油支出大幅增加,但其余领域的消费看起来仍相当健康,”巴尔金说,他今年不具备利率政策投票权。“如果你认为这只是两到三周、最多四周的短期问题,额外多花10到15美元固然不好,但不会从根本上改变你的生活水平。但如果你认为这种情况会持续很久,那我认为你更有可能会缩减开支。”

    自美国对伊朗发动空袭、全球油价随之飙升以来,美联储官员和全球各国央行官员既担忧又保持耐心——担忧持续高企的能源价格可能推高他们正努力遏制的通胀,同时也保持耐心,在明确冲突可能持续多久、以及对物价的影响之前,不急于做出反应。

    广告 · 继续向下滚动

    美联储在最近一次会议上维持现行3.50%至3.75%的政策利率区间不变,政策制定者仍预计今年将进行一次25个基点的降息。

    但局势难以预测。本周市场就显现出快速变化的可能性:基准布伦特原油价格曾短暂突破每桶119美元,较美国开始空袭前上涨逾70%,随后在唐纳德·特朗普总统表示美国的军事行动可能接近尾声后,暴跌至每桶102美元左右。特朗普将于周三晚向全国发表讲话。

    与此同时,美国汽车协会(AAA)数据显示,周三全国汽油均价再度上涨至每加仑4.06美元,为2022年夏季以来的最高水平。当时疫情期间的供应冲击叠加强劲的消费者需求,引发了40年来最严重的通胀飙升。

    美联储官员竭力避免重蹈覆辙,此次油价上涨曾让投资者短暂预期美联储今年将开始加息,而非恢复此前预计的降息进程。

    巴尔金表示,目前存在多种可能推动美联储采取任何方向行动的情景,但在他看来,加息的理由可能围绕通胀预期上升——这种情况将迫使政策制定者证明他们致力于将物价涨幅维持在2%的目标范围内。

    “加息的理由将是通胀预期终于开始上行,”他说。“目前我还没有看到它们出现显著突破。”

    相比之下,降息的理由则包括:通胀从目前高出目标约1个百分点的水平开始快速回落至美联储2%的目标,或是就业市场疲软需要通过降息来提供支撑。

    商品领域定价权弱于服务领域

    周五将公布的3月就业报告将受到密切关注,以判断2月公布的失业数据是异常现象,还是就业市场疲软加剧的信号。

    但除此之外,美联储可能只能维持现行政策不变。考虑到特朗普政府时期接连出现的价格冲击——从关税措施到此次石油危机,预计今年通胀向央行目标回落的进程将步履维艰。

    巴尔金表示,在与企业高管的对话中,他看到商品领域和服务领域之间出现了分化:零售商认为消费者的抵制限制了它们的定价权,而服务企业——尤其是面向高收入家庭的服务企业——则觉得更有自由上调价格。

    在与一家专注于中低收入客户的零售商交谈后,“我强烈感觉到消费者已经对价格上涨感到疲惫不堪,”他说。“他们正在抵制。我得出的结论是,1%至2%的(价格)涨幅……差不多就是他们所能承受的上限了。”

    “更脆弱的领域是服务行业,尤其是面向高端客户的服务,”他说。

    “经历过多次关税转嫁和石油冲击成本转嫁的商品供应商,已经感觉自己没有多少剩余定价空间了,”巴尔金说。“但服务业的情况则不同。”

    巴尔金表示,这可能导致通胀向美联储目标回落的进程更加缓慢,目前市场预期已计入这一前景:加息不再被考虑,但美联储将在较长时间内维持现行政策,直到2027年晚些时候才会降息。

    “我认为这是一条渐进的路径,而非快速路径。这是我的直觉。”

    霍华德·施奈德报道;丹·伯恩斯和千叶野山编辑

    我们的报道准则:汤森路透信托原则

    Exclusive: Fed’s Barkin: Households, firms still see oil shock through a “short-term lens”

    2026-04-01 12:00:52 UTC / Reuters

    By Howard Schneider

    April 1, 2026 12:00 PM UTC Updated 3 hours ago

    Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin attends a conversation with the Economic Club of Washington DC in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 9, 2025. REUTERS/Kevin Mohatt/File Photo

    • Summary
    • Barkin sees no major shift yet in consumer spending or inflation expectations
    • Fed officials remain cautious, awaiting clarity on oil price impact before policy changes
    • Retailers face consumer pushback on prices, while service firms retain more pricing power

    WASHINGTON, April 1 (Reuters) – Businesses continue to act as if high oil prices will prove only a short-term disruption, with little evidence yet it has caused consumers to pull back on spending ​or shifted public inflation expectations in a worrisome way, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Tom Barkin said.

    “My instinct is you’ve still got a short-term lens on this,” Barkin told ​Reuters on Tuesday, basing his conclusion on things like weekly credit card spending data and his regular conversations with business executives about pricing, investment and other issues.

    The Reuters Power Up newsletter provides everything you need to know about the global energy industry. Sign up here.

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    “Gas spending is up a lot, obviously, but the rest of spending still looks pretty healthy,” said Barkin, who is not a voter on interest rate policy this year. “If you think this is a two- or three- or four-week thing, an extra $10 to $15 isn’t great but it doesn’t fundamentally change your standard of living. If you ​think this is going to last for a long time that’s when I think you’re more likely to see pullback.”

    Since the start of U.S. airstrikes in Iran and the ensuing surge ​in global oil prices, Fed officials and central bankers globally have reacted with equal parts concern and patience – concern that sustained high energy prices could raise ⁠inflation they are fighting to contain, and patience against overreacting until it is clear how long the conflict might last and what the impact on prices might be.

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    The Fed at its most recent meeting held the ​policy interest rate steady in the current 3.50% to 3.75% range, with policymakers still projecting a single quarter-point rate cut by the end of the year.

    But the situation is unpredictable. The potential for quick change ​in either direction was apparent this week when benchmark Brent crude oil briefly topped $119 a barrel, more than 70% higher than before the U.S. commenced bombing, then plunged to around $102 after President Donald Trump indicated the U.S. campaign may be nearing its end. He is to address the nation Wednesday night.

    Gas prices, meanwhile, jumped again on Wednesday to a national average of $4.06, according to AAA, the highest since the summer of 2022, when a combination of pandemic-era supply shocks and strong ​consumer demand led to the worst surge of inflation in 40 years.

    Fed officials are intent on avoiding a repeat, and the oil surge prompted investors to – briefly – anticipate the Fed would begin hiking interest ​rates this year rather than at some point resuming the rate reductions that had been expected.

    Barkin said there are scenarios that could push the Fed in any direction at this point, but the case for a hike would in ‌his view ⁠likely revolve around a rise in inflation expectations – the sort of development that would compel policymakers to prove they are committed to keeping price increases in line with their 2% target.

    “The hike case would be around inflation expectations starting to finally move,” he said. “I don’t have a sense that they’ve broken out at this point.”

    The case for cuts, by contrast, would involve either inflation starting to move quickly back towards the Fed’s 2% target from about a percentage point above that now, or a weakening in the job market that required support in the form of rate cuts.

    PRICING POWER WEAKER IN GOODS THAN IN SERVICES

    The employment report for March ​due Friday will be watched closely to see ​if the job losses posted in February prove ⁠an anomaly or were a sign of developing weakness.

    Absent that, however, the Fed may be left on hold, with inflation expected to make only halting progress towards the central bank’s target this year, given successive price shocks under Trump that began with tariffs and continued with oil.

    Barkin said in his conversations with executives ​he sees a split developing between the goods sector, where retailers feel their pricing power has been limited by pushback from consumers, and the ​service sector, where firms that cater ⁠to better-off households in particular feel more free to raise prices.

    After talking with one retailer focused on low to moderate-income customers, “I had the strong sense that consumers are exhausted by price increases,” he said. “They’re pushing back. I walked out with the lens that 1% to 2% (of price increases) … that would be about as much as they could handle.”

    “Where there’s more vulnerability is on the services side, particularly selling to high-end customers,” he said.

    “Goods suppliers ⁠who’ve been through ​the drill multiple times with trying to pass on tariffs and trying to pass on oil shock costs, they just don’t ​feel they’ve got much left,” Barkin said. “I don’t have the same feeling on services.”

    The likely result, Barkin said, is slower progress back to the Fed’s inflation target, an outlook now embedded in market expectations that see rate hikes as off the table, but ​also with the Fed on an extended pause well into 2027 before rate cuts are expected.

    “I see a gradual path, not a quick path. That’s my instinct.”

    Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Chizu Nomiyama

    Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

  • 新闻


    【体坛周爆】大卫挑战歌利亚 世界杯赛场上的“小国大梦”

    2026年4月1日 23:25 / 联合早报

    人口加起来不到80万的库拉索和佛得角首闯世界杯,这些“小国”借助归化和海外资源逆袭绿茵场,不仅打响国家名号,也为世界杯增添“黑马”看点与无限悬念。

    人口不到60万的西非火山群岛佛得角历史性首闯世界杯。图为球队在去年晋级世界杯后,手持“世界杯正赛门票”合影。 (取自互联网)

    随着2026年美加墨世界杯48个正赛名额尘埃落定,这场四年一届的足球盛会已正式进入倒计时。球迷们最关心的,无疑是夺冠热门阿根廷、法国、西班牙等豪强的表现,但在这些星光熠熠的强队之外,本届世界杯也有一股不可忽视的力量,那就是来自足球版图边缘的“小国”。

    从人口仅15.6万的加勒比海岛国库拉索,到不足60万人的西非火山群岛佛得角,这些鲜为人知的名字,正通过首次闯入世界杯正赛,在国际上打响名号。

    以世界第82位的库拉索为例,他们在去年11月锁定正赛门票,取代2018年俄罗斯世界杯创下纪录的冰岛(当时人口约35万),成为世界杯历史上人口最少、国土面积最小的参赛队伍。

    事实上,小国能够创造奇迹绝非偶然。从大环境看,本届世界杯从32队扩军至48队后,中北美及加勒比海地区的正赛名额增多,为库拉索等非传统劲旅提供更多机会。不过机会只是前提,能否成功,还须自身硬实力的支持,而这些小国自有一套灵活的生存法则。

    依附大国足球资源是小国的突围秘诀?

    佛得角(世界第69位)就是典型案例。这个面积不到六个新加坡大小的国家,上世纪长期作为葡萄牙的殖民地,1975年独立,并在1986年才加入国际足联(FIFA)。

    佛得角足球的成功,源于本土球员培养与归化政策的双重推进。2000年起,受益于《科托努协定》(Cotonou Agreement,志在推动欧盟与非洲、加勒比和太平地区国家间的全面合作),佛得角球员前往欧盟联赛(如西甲等)踢球时,不占用非欧盟名额,让本土球员在世界顶级联赛获得更好历练。

    同时,双重国籍球员归化为球队注入更强实力。由于佛得角资源匮乏,不少岛民迁往葡萄牙、荷兰等国,他们的后代就出生在欧洲,其中有不少人成长为职业足球员,并选择接受归化,为佛得角队效力。数据显示,在去年9月击败小组头名喀麦隆的外围赛中,佛得角27人大名单中有多达17名归化球员。

    例如,在葡超效力的利夫拉门托(Livramento)出生于荷兰,在鹿特丹精英青训体系下成长,到2024年首次为佛得角出场。本届世界杯外围赛他攻入四球,包括在1比0战胜劲敌喀麦隆的关键进球,成为国家英雄。

    佛得角国脚利夫拉门托成长于荷兰青训体系,是球队晋级世界杯正赛的一大功臣。(取自利夫拉门托Instagram)

    库拉索则是荷兰王国的自治国,面积仅有新加坡一半多。他们的优势在于,国民拥有荷兰护照,允许球队合法征召水平出色但未能入选荷兰国家队的球员,借荷兰足球的丰厚资源打造一支“荷兰二队”,本届世界杯亦是如此。

    绿茵场逆袭打响国家名号 助推旅游业繁荣发展

    首次晋级世界杯可说是为这些小国带来了宝贵的曝光。晋级消息传出后,不少球迷感叹“第一次听说这些国家”。这也打破了传统认知,足球实力不完全取决于人口或国土规模,地理上的小国同样能怀抱足球大梦。

    这种“被看见”的效应,常转化为国家软实力与经济利益。例如,佛得角去年3比0击败斯威士兰闯入世界杯正赛,正值国家独立50周年。总统内维斯(Neves)将这一时刻比作“一次新的独立”,全国上下为之沸腾。

    在世界杯外围赛最后一轮面对斯威士兰的关键战,佛得角全国放假,方便国民观看比赛。最终球队不负众望以3比0胜出,首次挺进世界杯正赛,让不少到场球迷激动得泪流满面。(取自佛得角足总Instagram)

    类似案例还有同为非洲国家的摩洛哥(世界第八)。在2022年卡塔尔世界杯,这个北非国家以“黑马”姿态连克西班牙、葡萄牙等强队,成为首支闯入四强的非洲球队。

    据《美联社》报道,在摩洛哥创造历史后,当年12月摩洛哥西部古城马拉喀什的入境旅客人数较2019年激增12%,而当地酒店自世界杯后一直到次年2月,都处于基本满房的状态。对同样旅游资源丰富的佛得角而言,世界杯也可能成为推动旅游业发展、提升国家形象的窗口。

    小国逆袭成世界杯看点 大卫无惧歌利亚

    如果说世界杯为小国提供了全球舞台,那么从比赛本身来看,他们同样为赛事增添了独特魅力。

    当大多数目光聚焦在梅西(Messi)是否参赛并率阿根廷卫冕时,一群即将挑战“歌利亚”的“大卫们”,同样值得关注。佛得角将在H组首赛面对世界第二的“斗牛士”西班牙;E组的库拉索将挑战世界第10的“日耳曼战车”德国。

    阿根廷巨星梅西尚未确定是否参加本届世界杯,如果他最终参加,将是他第六次亮相世界杯赛场。(法新社)

    从纸面实力来看,佛得角和库拉索难以取胜,但足球的魅力就在于不确定性。回顾2018年俄罗斯世界杯,当时的世界杯最小参赛国冰岛就在正赛首轮以1比1逼平梅西领衔的阿根廷,虽然最终没能从小组赛突围,但首场世界杯就逼平世界劲旅,成为队史的高光时刻。

    诚然,佛得角和库拉索要复制冰岛的壮举难度不小,但正因为有这些“弱旅”的存在,世界杯才变得更加精彩。大卫未必每次都能击败歌利亚,但只要站上同一片绿茵,就已经创造了值得铭记的瞬间,留给球迷们无限的遐想。

    正如佛得角队长门德斯(Mendes)所言:“我们不是去踢三场(小组赛)比赛然后回家……我们想书写属于自己的故事,希望能比外围赛踢得更加精彩。”

    【体坛周爆】大卫挑战歌利亚 世界杯赛场上的“小国大梦”

    2026年4月1日 23:25 / 联合早报

    人口加起来不到80万的库拉索和佛得角首闯世界杯,这些“小国”借助归化和海外资源逆袭绿茵场,不仅打响国家名号,也为世界杯增添“黑马”看点与无限悬念。

    人口不到60万的西非火山群岛佛得角历史性首闯世界杯。图为球队在去年晋级世界杯后,手持“世界杯正赛门票”合影。 (取自互联网)

    随着2026年美加墨世界杯48个正赛名额尘埃落定,这场四年一届的足球盛会已正式进入倒计时。球迷们最关心的,无疑是夺冠热门阿根廷、法国、西班牙等豪强的表现,但在这些星光熠熠的强队之外,本届世界杯也有一股不可忽视的力量,那就是来自足球版图边缘的“小国”。

    从人口仅15.6万的加勒比海岛国库拉索,到不足60万人的西非火山群岛佛得角,这些鲜为人知的名字,正通过首次闯入世界杯正赛,在国际上打响名号。

    以世界第82位的库拉索为例,他们在去年11月锁定正赛门票,取代2018年俄罗斯世界杯创下纪录的冰岛(当时人口约35万),成为世界杯历史上人口最少、国土面积最小的参赛队伍。

    事实上,小国能够创造奇迹绝非偶然。从大环境看,本届世界杯从32队扩军至48队后,中北美及加勒比海地区的正赛名额增多,为库拉索等非传统劲旅提供更多机会。不过机会只是前提,能否成功,还须自身硬实力的支持,而这些小国自有一套灵活的生存法则。

    依附大国足球资源是小国的突围秘诀?

    佛得角(世界第69位)就是典型案例。这个面积不到六个新加坡大小的国家,上世纪长期作为葡萄牙的殖民地,1975年独立,并在1986年才加入国际足联(FIFA)。

    佛得角足球的成功,源于本土球员培养与归化政策的双重推进。2000年起,受益于《科托努协定》(Cotonou Agreement,志在推动欧盟与非洲、加勒比和太平地区国家间的全面合作),佛得角球员前往欧盟联赛(如西甲等)踢球时,不占用非欧盟名额,让本土球员在世界顶级联赛获得更好历练。

    同时,双重国籍球员归化为球队注入更强实力。由于佛得角资源匮乏,不少岛民迁往葡萄牙、荷兰等国,他们的后代就出生在欧洲,其中有不少人成长为职业足球员,并选择接受归化,为佛得角队效力。数据显示,在去年9月击败小组头名喀麦隆的外围赛中,佛得角27人大名单中有多达17名归化球员。

    例如,在葡超效力的利夫拉门托(Livramento)出生于荷兰,在鹿特丹精英青训体系下成长,到2024年首次为佛得角出场。本届世界杯外围赛他攻入四球,包括在1比0战胜劲敌喀麦隆的关键进球,成为国家英雄。

    佛得角国脚利夫拉门托成长于荷兰青训体系,是球队晋级世界杯正赛的一大功臣。(取自利夫拉门托Instagram)

    库拉索则是荷兰王国的自治国,面积仅有新加坡一半多。他们的优势在于,国民拥有荷兰护照,允许球队合法征召水平出色但未能入选荷兰国家队的球员,借荷兰足球的丰厚资源打造一支“荷兰二队”,本届世界杯亦是如此。

    绿茵场逆袭打响国家名号 助推旅游业繁荣发展

    首次晋级世界杯可说是为这些小国带来了宝贵的曝光。晋级消息传出后,不少球迷感叹“第一次听说这些国家”。这也打破了传统认知,足球实力不完全取决于人口或国土规模,地理上的小国同样能怀抱足球大梦。

    这种“被看见”的效应,常转化为国家软实力与经济利益。例如,佛得角去年3比0击败斯威士兰闯入世界杯正赛,正值国家独立50周年。总统内维斯(Neves)将这一时刻比作“一次新的独立”,全国上下为之沸腾。

    在世界杯外围赛最后一轮面对斯威士兰的关键战,佛得角全国放假,方便国民观看比赛。最终球队不负众望以3比0胜出,首次挺进世界杯正赛,让不少到场球迷激动得泪流满面。(取自佛得角足总Instagram)

    类似案例还有同为非洲国家的摩洛哥(世界第八)。在2022年卡塔尔世界杯,这个北非国家以“黑马”姿态连克西班牙、葡萄牙等强队,成为首支闯入四强的非洲球队。

    据《美联社》报道,在摩洛哥创造历史后,当年12月摩洛哥西部古城马拉喀什的入境旅客人数较2019年激增12%,而当地酒店自世界杯后一直到次年2月,都处于基本满房的状态。对同样旅游资源丰富的佛得角而言,世界杯也可能成为推动旅游业发展、提升国家形象的窗口。

    小国逆袭成世界杯看点 大卫无惧歌利亚

    如果说世界杯为小国提供了全球舞台,那么从比赛本身来看,他们同样为赛事增添了独特魅力。

    当大多数目光聚焦在梅西(Messi)是否参赛并率阿根廷卫冕时,一群即将挑战“歌利亚”的“大卫们”,同样值得关注。佛得角将在H组首赛面对世界第二的“斗牛士”西班牙;E组的库拉索将挑战世界第10的“日耳曼战车”德国。

    阿根廷巨星梅西尚未确定是否参加本届世界杯,如果他最终参加,将是他第六次亮相世界杯赛场。(法新社)

    从纸面实力来看,佛得角和库拉索难以取胜,但足球的魅力就在于不确定性。回顾2018年俄罗斯世界杯,当时的世界杯最小参赛国冰岛就在正赛首轮以1比1逼平梅西领衔的阿根廷,虽然最终没能从小组赛突围,但首场世界杯就逼平世界劲旅,成为队史的高光时刻。

    诚然,佛得角和库拉索要复制冰岛的壮举难度不小,但正因为有这些“弱旅”的存在,世界杯才变得更加精彩。大卫未必每次都能击败歌利亚,但只要站上同一片绿茵,就已经创造了值得铭记的瞬间,留给球迷们无限的遐想。

    正如佛得角队长门德斯(Mendes)所言:“我们不是去踢三场(小组赛)比赛然后回家……我们想书写属于自己的故事,希望能比外围赛踢得更加精彩。”