2026年3月23日 美国东部时间下午5:24 / 福克斯新闻
巴基斯坦正走在钢丝上，随着伊朗战争升级，其平衡感在每一天都变得更加岌岌可危。
到目前为止，伊斯兰堡一直奉行谨慎的外交政策，谴责对伊朗的打击，同时敦促双方缓和局势。但分析人士警告称，巴基斯坦无法免受相互竞争压力的影响。
“巴基斯坦正将自己定位为美国和伊朗之间的调解人，但说服力不足，”美国民主与外交政策基金会高级研究员埃德蒙·菲顿-布朗在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示。“其避免卷入军事纠缠的记录并不令人印象深刻。”
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最前沿的紧张局势是与沙特阿拉伯的新国防协议，该协议规定，对一方的侵略将被视为对双方的威胁。这被广泛视为巴基斯坦最重要的国防协议之一，使该国与利雅得结盟，同时冒着与伊朗对抗的风险。
巴基斯坦作为唯一拥有核武器的穆斯林国家，已在沙特阿拉伯驻军进行训练和防御支持，并表示“毫无疑问”会援助沙特王国。
“记住，巴基斯坦在地理上既属于南亚和中亚，也属于更广泛的海湾/中东地区。巴基斯坦一直奉行和平、对话与秩序的政策，因为我们知道战争对我们地区意味着什么，”巴基斯坦总理外事媒体发言人莫沙拉夫·扎伊迪告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
战争爆发后的几天内，巴基斯坦陆军参谋长阿西姆·穆尼尔将军对沙特阿拉伯进行了“紧急”访问，高级官员讨论了对伊朗打击的联合应对措施。这是该协议的首次真正考验。
两国关系密切，利雅得仍是伊斯兰堡的关键经济生命线。由于战争导致的燃料中断冲击了依赖进口的巴基斯坦，沙特阿拉伯已在安排支持能源供应。
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然而，巴基斯坦与伊朗的关系同样至关重要。
两国共享565英里的边境，有着深厚的贸易联系和重要的宗教纽带。
巴基斯坦拥有世界第二大什叶派社区，仅次于伊朗。在最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊遇刺后，支持伊朗政权的抗议活动演变成致命冲突，迫使军方介入并实施宵禁。
与德黑兰保持关系对于控制国内紧张局势和避免少数族裔俾路支社区的叛乱至关重要。
伊朗也是面临严重经济危机的巴基斯坦的重要经济伙伴。两国进行大量贸易，目标是到2028年达到100亿美元。
巴基斯坦外交部长在冲突期间与伊朗外交部长进行了“持续对话”。上周，一艘巴基斯坦油轮通过了基本被封锁的霍尔木兹海峡。分析人士指出，这是紧张局势升级以来第一艘非伊朗籍货船通过，表明可能已就安全通行进行了谈判。官员补充说，未来几天可能会有更多开往巴基斯坦的油轮穿越该海峡。
[霍尔木兹海峡船舶交通终端截图显示船只]
巴基斯坦大部分原油和液化天然气进口都经过霍尔木兹海峡。但随着战争持续，分析人士警告称巴基斯坦保持中立的空间正在缩小。
巴基斯坦最近违背伊朗立场，支持海湾国家在联合国提出的谴责地区侵略的决议。俄罗斯和中国投了弃权票。
与此同时，伊朗外交部长刚刚与巴基斯坦、土耳其和埃及进行了单独通话，呼吁地区协调。
[什叶派穆斯林在伊斯兰堡举行反美以抗议活动]
与此同时，伊斯兰堡还必须处理与华盛顿这一另一个关键伙伴的关系。
在唐纳德·特朗普总统的第二个任期内，巴基斯坦寻求与美国更紧密的关系，甚至为特朗普提名诺贝尔和平奖。
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华盛顿也出现了疑问。在白宫新闻发布会上，新闻秘书卡罗琳·利维特表示，政府正在与五角大楼协调，评估巴基斯坦是否在支持伊朗，同时称印度为“良好参与者”。
印度的立场加剧了压力，印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪最近访问了以色列。
[印度总理莫迪与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡会晤]
“绝对致力于和平、对话和秩序并不矛盾。巴基斯坦与美国、沙特阿拉伯、伊朗和中国的牢固关系证明了巴基斯坦的承诺，”巴基斯坦总理发言人扎伊迪表示。
到目前为止，巴基斯坦已有效将自己定位为调解努力的前沿，利用其与这三个强国的关系来结束持续的冲突。
有报道称，美国和伊朗之间的高层会谈最早可能于本周末在伊斯兰堡举行。
“巴基斯坦希望对美国有重要意义，并成为比印度更好的伙伴。由于阿富汗塔利班自2021年以来疏远了伊斯兰堡，美巴之间几乎没有剩余的摩擦点，后者能够以反恐盟友的身份出现，”菲顿-布朗说。“而且大多数地区政党希望危机尽快结束，而不是拖延。但没有人希望看到伊朗伊斯兰共和国势力增强。”
这场螺旋式升级的战争恰逢巴基斯坦本已紧张的军队处于关键时期。与印度的紧张局势仍然高企，而边境冲突、空袭、无人机袭击和平民伤亡增加已成为与曾经友好的邻国阿富汗关系中的常态。
就在伊朗冲突爆发前几天，两国陷入“全面战争”，而最近巴基斯坦的空袭击中阿富汗首都喀布尔后，暴力局势没有缓解迹象。
[巴基斯坦与阿富汗边境的塔利班战士巡逻]
“正是这种地理和地区历史使得巴基斯坦坚决反对印度谋求地区霸权的努力，正是出于这个原因，巴基斯坦正在寻求终止阿富汗塔利班政权对恐怖组织的支持，”扎伊迪表示。“我们寻求彻底停止从目前由阿富汗塔利班控制的领土上发动的恐怖主义。”
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巴基斯坦已经在管理与印度东部边境和阿富汗西部边境的紧张局势，一个不稳定的伊朗可能会进一步加剧这种压力。
“如果伊斯兰堡不稳定，将对地区和全球造成极其严重的坏消息，”埃德蒙·菲顿-布朗告诉福克斯新闻。“一个处于圣战组织统治下的核大国，这一想法不堪设想。”
凯拉·科拉（Kyra Colah）是福克斯新闻的作家兼副制片人。
Iran conflict tests Pakistan amid own border clashes as Islamabad touted as venue for US-Tehran talks
March 23, 2026 5:24pm EDT / Fox News
Pakistan is walking a tightrope as the Iran war intensifies, with that balance growing more precarious with each passing day.
Islamabad has so far pursued cautious diplomacy, condemning the strikes on Iran, while simultaneously urging de-escalation. But analysts warn it cannot remain insulated from competing pressures.
“Pakistan is putting itself forward as a mediator between the U.S. and Iran, but unconvincingly,” Edmund Fitton-Brown, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies told Fox News Digital. “Its own record of staying out of military entanglements is unimpressive.”
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At the forefront of the tensions is a new defense agreement with Saudi Arabia, which states that aggression against one will be treated as a threat to both. Widely seen as one of Pakistan’s most consequential defense agreements, it commits the country to Riyadh, while risking confrontation with Iran.
Shia Muslims holding portraits of Iran’s slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei take part in an anti US-Israel protest in Islamabad on March 6, 2026.(Aamir Qureshi/ AFP via Getty Images)
Pakistan, the only nuclear-armed Muslim state, already has troops stationed in Saudi Arabia for training and defense support and has said there is “no question” of coming to the kingdom’s aid.
“Remember, Pakistan is geographically part of both South Asia and Central Asia, as well as the wider Gulf/MENA region too. Pakistan has always pursued peace, dialogue and order because we know what war does to our region,” Mosharraf Zaidi, spokesperson for foreign media to the Pakistani prime minister, told Fox News Digital.
Within days of the war’s outbreak, the country’s army chief, General Asim Munir, made an “emergency” visit to Saudi Arabia, where top officials discussed joint responses to Iranian strikes. It was the first true test of the pact.
Relations are strong between the two nations, and Riyadh remains a key economic lifeline for Islamabad. Saudi Arabia has already been making arrangements to support energy supplies, as war-driven fuel disruptions hit import-dependent Pakistan.
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Yet Pakistan’s relationship with Iran is equally critical.
The two share a 565-mile border along with deep trade ties and significant religious connections.
Pakistan is home to the world’s second-largest Shiite community after Iran. Pro-Iran regime protests in the wake of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination turned deadly, forcing military intervention and curfews.
Maintaining ties with Tehran is crucial for containing domestic tensions and staving off an insurgency from the minority Baloch community there.
Iran is also an important economic partner to Pakistan, which has been facing a severe economic crisis. The two conduct significant trade, with a new goal of $10 billion by 2028.
Pakistan’s foreign minister has held “constant conversations” with his Iranian counterpart throughout the conflict. And last week, a Pakistani oil tanker transited the essentially blockaded Strait of Hormuz. Analysts noted it was the first non-Iranian cargo ship to do so since tensions escalated, suggesting that safe passage may have been negotiated. Officials add that more Pakistan-bound oil tankers are likely to cross the strait in the coming days.
A screenshot of a marine traffic terminal showing vessels in the Strait of Hormuz on March 4, 2026.(Kpler/Marine Traffic)
Most of Pakistan’s crude and LNG imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. But as the war grinds on, analysts warn Pakistan’s room for neutrality is shrinking.
Pakistan recently went against Iran, backing a Gulf-led resolution at the United Nations condemning regional aggression. Russia and China abstained.
Meanwhile, Iran’s foreign minister just called for regional coordination in separate calls with Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt.
Shia Muslims holding portraits of Iran’s slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei take part in an anti US-Israel protest in Islamabad on March 6, 2026.(Aamir Qureshi/ AFP via Getty Images)
At the same time, Islamabad must also navigate relations with Washington, yet another key partner.
Under President Donald Trump’s second term, Pakistan has sought closer relations with the U.S., even floating his name for the Nobel Peace Prize.
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Questions are also emerging in Washington. During a White House briefing, Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the administration was coordinating with the Pentagon to assess whether Pakistan is supporting Iran, while describing India as a “good actor.”
India’s positioning has added further pressure, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent visit to Israel.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets with Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu in New Delhi, India on Feb. 25, 2026.(Photo by Press Information Bureau (PIB)/Anadolu via Getty Images)
“There is no contradiction in being absolutely committed to peace, dialogue and order. The strong relationships Pakistan has with the United States, with Saudi Arabia, with Iran and with China are a testament to Pakistan’s commitment,” the Pakistani prime minister’s spokesperson, Zaidi said.
So far, Pakistan has effectively positioned itself at the forefront of mediation efforts to end the ongoing conflict, leveraging its ties with all three powerhouses.
Reports indicate that high-level talks between the U.S. and Iran are set for Islamabad as early as this weekend.
“Pakistan wants to matter to the U.S. and to be a better partner than India. Because the Afghan Taliban have alienated Islamabad since 2021, there are few remaining sore points between the U.S. and Pakistan, with the latter able to present as an ally against terrorism,” Fitton-Brown said. “And most regional parties want to see the crisis end sooner rather than later. But nobody wants to see the Islamic Republic strengthened in Iran.”
The spiraling war comes at a critical time for Pakistan’s already stretched military. Tensions with India remain elevated, while border clashes, airstrikes, drone attacks and rising civilian casualties have become the norm with once friendly neighbor Afghanistan.
The nations nosedived into an “all-out war,” just days before the Iran conflict broke out, and the violence shows no signs of easing after fresh Pakistani strikes recently hit the Afghan capital city of Kabul.
Afghan Taliban fighters patrol near the Afghanistan-Pakistan border in Spin Boldak, Kandahar Province, following exchanges of fire between Pakistani and Afghan forces.(REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo)
“This geography and the region’s history is why Pakistan steadfastly rejects India’s efforts at regional hegemony, it is why Pakistan is pursuing a termination of the Afghan Taliban regime’s support for terrorist groups,” Zaidi said. “We seek a complete cessation of terrorism emanating from territory currently controlled by the Afghan Taliban.”
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With Pakistan already managing tensions on both its eastern border with India and its western frontier with Afghanistan, a destabilized Iran could push that strain further.
“If Islamabad is destabilized, it will be extremely bad news regionally and globally,” Edmund Fitton-Brown told Fox. “The idea of a nuclear power under jihadi rule doesn’t bear thinking about.”
Kyra Colah works as a Writer and Associate Producer for Fox News.
作者：查德·佩格拉姆（Chad Pergram）
