发布时间：2026年3月25日，美国东部时间凌晨12:00 | 来源：CNN
自美国首次打击伊朗以来近一个月的时间里，总统唐纳德·特朗普的态度从要求伊朗“无条件投降”反复转向暗示可能缓和局势，这种摇摆不定已成为这场战争的鲜明特征。
特朗普曾在数月前宣称美国已“彻底摧毁”伊朗的核能力，如今却又可疑地声称伊朗对美国构成“迫在眉睫”的威胁。他为发动战争给出了诸多理由，多次宣称已经“取得胜利”，但随后又对这些说法加以限定。
他先是要求伊朗无条件投降，并暗示自己已经赢得了战争。然而上周末，他却宣布与伊朗进行了“富有成效”的会谈。尽管伊朗外交部最初否认了特朗普的说法，但后来伊朗方面承认美国发起了对话。现在，在特朗普多次拒绝表态是否需要地面部队后，第82空降师的1000名美国士兵正准备部署到中东。
我们全面梳理了特朗普在过去三周关于“史诗般狂怒行动”的公开言论，他似乎正试图事后为这场不断扩大的战争向美国民众正名。
白宫未回应置评请求，以澄清特朗普的立场。
一场战争你能赢多少次？
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：胜利的定义是什么？
0:21 • 来源：CNN
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：胜利的定义是什么？
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“我们不需要在已经赢得战争后才介入！”3月7日，特朗普在Truth Social平台上表示（距离战争开始约一周），他对英国可能派遣航空母舰前往该地区的消息表示不屑一顾。
两天后，他称仍有更多工作要做。
“我们正在朝着完成军事目标取得重大进展。有些人可能会说这些目标已经基本达成。”3月9日的新闻发布会上，他说道。
两天后，他再次宣称获胜。
“我们已经赢了。我告诉你们，我们赢了。你知道，我从不喜欢过早宣布胜利，但我们确实赢了。我们赢了——在最初的一个小时内就结束了。我们赢了。”3月11日，他在肯塔基州希伯伦的集会上表示。
这只是特朗普就战争是否“已获胜”反复表态的冰山一角。
在三周的时间里，总统时而声称美国已经取得胜利，时而宣称“在军事上已获胜”、“基本上已获胜”或“在多个方面已获胜”。
但他也表示战争仍在继续，称“我们还没有赢得足够多”，美国仍需“完成这项工作”。
周二，特朗普再次表示战争已经结束。
“你知道，我不太想说这个——我们已经赢了，因为这场战争已经结束了，唯一希望继续打下去的是假新闻。”特朗普在椭圆形办公室说道。
“无条件投降”还是达成协议？
3月6日，特朗普在社交媒体上要求伊朗“无条件投降”。当时伊朗政权是否能在首轮打击中幸存还不明朗，特朗普正谈论与伊朗未来领导人的理论性协议，而美国将在其中拥有话语权。
第二天接受哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）采访时，特朗普称“投降”已经发生。
“他已经向所有中东国家投降了，因为他试图接管整个中东地区。”特朗普这样评价伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽什基安（Masoud Pezeshkian）。
佩泽什基安实际上已就其国家在邻国境内发动袭击向邻国道歉。特朗普在空军一号上向记者解释称，这种道歉就是一种投降。
“这就是投降。我今晚就称之为投降……这实际上是向那些国家和我们投降。”
唐纳德·特朗普3月6日在Truth Social上发布的要求伊朗无条件投降的帖子
唐纳德·特朗普/Truth Social
然而，自那以后，战争升级。伊朗政权并未垮台。特朗普现在不再要求伊朗投降，而是表示希望在谈判中达成协议。
“他们非常希望达成协议，我们也一样。”周一，特朗普对记者表示。
“我们将进行为期五天的会谈。看看进展如何，如果顺利，我们最终会解决这个问题。否则，我们将继续全力打击。”他承诺道。
“提前完成”的不确定时间表
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：时间表
0:12 • 来源：CNN
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：时间表
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特朗普和国防部长彼得·黑格斯泰特（Pete Hegseth）经常表示，美国和以色列在这场战争中“提前完成”任务。但他们对战争持续时间的描述却截然不同。
战争初期几天，特朗普预测行动将持续约一个月。
“我不希望战争持续太久。我一直认为这将是四周，而我们目前比计划提前了一些。”3月2日，他在接受CNN的杰克·塔珀采访时表示。
当天在白宫，他重申了类似的时间框架。
“我们预计需要四到五周，但我们有能力比这更长时间地进行。我们会完成任务。无论今天有人说什么——他们说‘哦，总统想尽快结束战争，之后他就会感到无聊’。我不会感到无聊，这场战争一点也不无聊。”他说道。
按照这个时间表，美军行动应在4月初左右结束。但随着战争在中东扩大，特朗普对时间线的表述越来越模糊。
例如，3月16日，当被PBS新闻问及战争何时结束时，特朗普表示：“我认为不会太久。”并拒绝给出具体时间线。“我不想说，我从不想说，因为如果我晚了两天，你们就会批评我。”
从始至终，特朗普坚持认为行动“提前完成”——自2月28日打击开始以来，他至少12次提出这一说法。
黑格斯泰特最初表示战争可能持续三到八周，但最近他称特朗普将决定“最终目标”。
“我们的意志是无穷的。”3月10日，他在五角大楼对记者表示。
“我想让美国民众明白，这不是永无止境的。这不是长期拖延，我们不允许任务扩大化。”黑格斯泰特说道。
谁来领导伊朗：最佳与最坏情况
尽管以色列数周以来一直在刺杀伊朗领导人，包括战争初期数小时内刺杀最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊（Ayatollah Ali Khamenei），特朗普最初仍希望与伊朗政权合作。
“我们在委内瑞拉所做的，我认为是完美的，是完美的情景。”3月1日，他告诉《纽约时报》。在委内瑞拉，美国抓获了该国领导人，将其带到美国受审，并与基本上完好无损的政权合作，以控制该国的石油。
“我们在委内瑞拉的石油和总统当选人与我们的关系方面做得非常好。也许我们在伊朗也能找到类似的人。”他单独说道。特朗普似乎指的是委内瑞拉代总统德尔西·罗德里格斯（Delcy Rodríguez），尽管她并非严格意义上的“当选总统”，因为她尚未赢得选举。
但很快，这一策略在伊朗行不通了，部分原因正如特朗普所言，以色列一直在暗杀潜在领导人。这导致特朗普在被问及最坏情况时描述道：
“我想最坏的情况是，我们做了这件事后，有人接管政权，而这个人跟前任一样糟糕。”3月3日，战争开始几天后，他说道。
然而在同一场合，他表示美国将避免伊拉克式的政府更替灾难，而是依靠现有的权力结构，这仍是他希望达成的目标。
特朗普此前也曾表示，他希望对伊朗的领导人有发言权。
“我们希望选出一位不会带领国家卷入战争的总统。”3月7日，伊朗政府任命前最高领袖的儿子为新领导人的前一天，他说道。
特朗普的“最坏情况”正在上演
被暗杀的哈梅内伊的儿子穆塔巴·哈梅内伊（Mojtaba Khamenei）已被伊朗高级神职人员选为该国的下一任领导人。一些分析人士认为，他可能比其父更为强硬，尽管哈梅内伊在战争开始后仍未公开露面。特朗普已宣称他不可接受。
3月11日，特朗普被问及如果哈梅内伊成为伊朗领导人，他是否会宣称胜利。
“我不想对此发表评论。”特朗普说道。
周一，特朗普表示，他甚至不确定穆塔巴·哈梅内伊是否还活着，也不愿透露美国正在与该国哪些人进行对话。
“因为我不想让他被杀害，好吧？我不想让他被杀害。”
美国会部署地面部队吗？答案不是“否”
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：地面部队？
0:15 • 来源：CNN
特朗普谈及伊朗战争：地面部队？
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特朗普及其高级助手一直承诺伊朗冲突不会成为“持久战”——这是他们经常用来批评美国在伊拉克和阿富汗行动的说法。相反，他们对是否需要地面部队保持战略模糊。美国有线电视新闻网周二报道称，第82空降师的1000名美国士兵正准备部署到中东，以应对伊朗的行动。
当被问及地面部队的可能性时，特朗普经常辱骂提问者，例如福克斯新闻主持人布莱恩·基尔梅德（Brian Kilmeade）询问美国是否可以夺取伊朗石油开发所在地的霍尔木兹岛时，特朗普这样回应：
“谁会问这样的问题？又有哪个傻瓜会回答它，好吧？”他对基尔梅德说道，“这有点愚蠢的问题。你问出这样的问题，有点令人惊讶，因为你是个聪明人。”
3月23日，一名记者提及加州海军陆战队员正前往中东的报道，并询问是否会使用部队驻守霍尔木兹海峡。
“如果你处在我的位置，我问你这个问题，你——你真的认为我会给你答案吗？这是个疯狂的问题。”他说道。
Epic flurry: How Trump’s words on Iran have yo-yoed over three weeks of war
PUBLISHED Mar 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET | CNN
Over the course of nearly a month since the first US strikes on Iran, President Donald Trump has yo-yoed from demanding “unconditional surrender” to teasing a possible detente.
Confusion has become a mark of this war.
Trump has dubiously claimed Iran posed an “imminent” threat to the US, months after declaring the US had “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capabilities. He’s given a multitude of reasons for launching a war in the first place. He has declared victory scores of times, only to qualify those claims later on.
He has demanded Iran’s unconditional surrender and suggested he already won the war. Then he announced over the weekend that he held “productive” talks with Iran. Though the country’s foreign ministry at first denied Trump’s claim, the Iranians later acknowledged that the US initiated conversations. Now, 1,000 US soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division are preparing to deploy to the Middle East after Trump repeatedly refused to say if ground troops would be necessary.
We took a comprehensive look at what Trump has said publicly over the past three weeks about “Operation Epic Fury” as he appears to be trying to justify an expanding war to Americans in hindsight.
The White House did not respond to a request for comment asking for clarity on Trump’s positions.
How many times can you win a war?
Trump speaking about the Iran war: what is victory?
0:21 • Source: CNN
Trump speaking about the Iran war: what is victory?
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“We don’t need people that join Wars after we’ve already won!” Trump said on Truth Social on March 7 — about a week after the start of the war — expressing a thanks-but-no-thanks attitude to news the United Kingdom could dispatch aircraft carriers to the region.
Two days later, he said there’s more to do.
“We’re achieving major strides toward completing our military objective. And some people could say they’re pretty well complete,” he said at a March 9 press conference.
Two days after that, he declared victory again.
“And we’ve won. Let me tell you, we’ve won. You know, you never like to say too early you won. We won. We won the — in the first hour, it was over. We won,” he said at a rally in Hebron, Kentucky, on March 11.
That’s just a flavor of Trump’s back-and-forth assessments on whether the war has been “won” — or not.
Over the course of three weeks, the president has variously claimed the US has achieved victory, “militarily WON” or “basically ” won or “won in many ways.”
But he has also said that the war continues, that we “haven’t won enough” and that the US will still need to “finish the job.”
On Tuesday, Trump was back to saying the war was already won.
“You know, I don’t like to say this — we’ve won this, because this war has been won, the only one that likes to keep it going is the fake news,” Trump said in the Oval Office.
‘Unconditional surrender’ or a deal?
Trump demanded Iran’s “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER” in a March 6 social media post. That demand came at a time when it was unclear whether the Iranian regime would survive the initial attack, and Trump was talking about a theoretical deal with future Iranian leaders that the US would have a say in selecting.
In an interview with CBS News the next day, Trump said surrender had already occurred.
“He’s already surrendered to all of the Middle Eastern countries because he was trying to take over the entire Middle East,” Trump said of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.
Pezeshkian had effectively apologized to neighboring countries for striking within their borders. Trump viewed that apology as a surrender, as he explained to reporters on Air Force One.
“That’s a surrender right there. I called it a surrender tonight… that’s really a surrender to those states and to us.”
A Truth Social post from President Donald Trump on March 6, demanding unconditional surrender from Iran.
Donald Trump/Truth Social
A Truth Social post from President Donald Trump on March 23, in which he says he postponed strikes against Iranian power plants due to productive talks.
Donald Trump/Truth Social
In the time since, however, the war has intensified. The regime did not collapse. And rather than accepting surrender, Trump is now talking about getting a deal in talks with Iran.
“They want very much to make a deal. We’d like to make a deal, too,” Trump told reporters Monday.
“We’re doing a five-day period. We’ll see how that goes, and if it goes well, we’re going to end up with settling this. Otherwise, we’ll just keep bombing our little hearts out,” he promised.
‘Ahead of schedule’ on an unclear timeline
Trump speaking about the Iran war: timetable
0:12 • Source: CNN
Trump speaking about the Iran war: timetable
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Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth frequently say the US and Israel are ahead of schedule in the war. But they use very different language to describe how long things will take.
In the first few days of the war, Trump predicted that the operation would take about a month.
“I don’t want to see it go on too long. I always thought it would be four weeks. And we’re a little ahead of schedule,” Trump told CNN’s Jake Tapper on March 2.
He reiterated a similar timeline at the White House the same day.
“We projected four to five weeks, but we have capability to go far longer than that. We’ll do it. Whatever somebody said today — they said, ‘Oh, well, the president wants to do it really quickly. After that, he’ll get bored.’ I don’t get bored. There’s nothing boring about this,” he said.
According to that schedule, US military operations should end around the first week of April. But Trump has gotten less specific about the timeline as the war has expanded in the Middle East.
By March 16, for example, when he was asked by PBS News when the war would be over, Trump said: “I don’t believe it will be long,” and declined to give a timeline. “I don’t want to say. I never want to say that because if I’m two days late, you’ll criticize me,” he said.
What has been consistent all along has been his insistence that the operation is proceeding “ahead of schedule” — an assertion Trump has made at least a dozen times since strikes began on February 28.
Hegseth initially said the war could last three to eight weeks, but he has more recently said Trump will determine the “end state.”
“Our will is endless,” he told reporters at the Pentagon on March 10.
“I want the American people to understand is this is not endless. It’s not protracted. We’re not allowing mission creep,” Hegseth said.
Best case/worst case for who should lead Iran?
While Israel has for weeks been assassinating Iranian leaders, beginning with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the first hours of the war, Trump hoped early on to work with the Iranian regime.
“What we did in Venezuela, I think, is the perfect, the perfect scenario,” he told The New York Times on March 1. There, the US captured the country’s leader, brought him to the US for prosecution, and has since worked with his mostly intact regime to exert control over the country’s oil.
“We are doing so well in Venezuela with oil and with the relationship between the president-elect and us. And maybe we find somebody like that in Iran,” he said separately. Trump seemed to be referring to Venezuela’s acting President Delcy Rodríguez, although she is not technically a president-elect since she has not won an election.
It quickly became clear that would not work in Iran, partially, as Trump noted, because Israel kept killing potential leaders. And that led to what Trump himself described when he was asked for what the worst-case scenario might be.
“I guess the worst case would be we do this and then somebody takes over who’s as bad as the previous person,” he said on March 3, a few days later into the war.
At the same appearance, however, he said the US would avoid an Iraq-style fiasco in trying to replace the entire government but would rather rely on the existing power structure, something he continues to hope for.
Trump has also previously said he wants a say in who will lead Iran.
“We wanna pick a president that’s not gonna be leading their country into a war,” he said March 7, the day before Iran’s government tapped the son of the previous supreme leader.
Trump’s ‘worst case’ is playing out
The assassinated Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has been selected by Iran’s senior clerics as the country’s next leader. Some analysts have suggested he could be more hardline than his father, though the younger Khamenei still has not been seen publicly since the war started. Trump has declared him unacceptable.
Trump was asked on March 11 if he could declare victory if Khamenei was Iran’s leader.
“I don’t want to comment on that,” Trump said.
Talking to reporters Monday, Trump said he’s not even sure if Mojtaba Khamenei is alive and he wouldn’t say who the US is talking to in the country.
“Because I don’t want him to be killed, OK? I don’t want him to be killed.”
Will the US commit ground troops? The answer is not ‘no’
Trump speaking about the Iran war: ground troops?
0:15 • Source: CNN
Trump speaking about the Iran war: ground troops?
0:15
Trump and his top aides have consistently promised the Iran conflict will not be a “forever war” – a criticism they have often applied to the US engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. They have instead maintained strategic ambiguity about whether ground troops will be required. CNN reported Tuesday that 1,000 US soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division are preparing to deploy to the Middle East to be available for Iran operations.
When asked about the potential for ground troops, Trump routinely insults the questioner, such as when a Fox News host asked Trump a sympathetic question about whether the US could seize Kharg Island, which is home to Iranian oil development.
“Who would ask a question like that? And what fool would answer it, OK?” he said to Brian Kilmeade. “It’s sort of a foolish question. A little surprising for you because you’re a smart man,” Trump told the Fox News host.
On March 23, a reporter referenced reports that Marines from California were headed to the Middle East and asked if troops could be used to police the Strait of Hormuz.
“If you were in my position and I asked you that question, do you — do you really believe I’d give you an answer? A crazy question,” he said.
