2026年5月12日 美国东部时间05:00 / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维
朱莉娅·德马雷·尼基森/美联社/资料图
这是唐纳德·特朗普总统任内的经济——而大多数美国人对此并不满意。
一项由SSRS实施的最新CNN民调显示，77%的受访者——包括多数共和党人——认为特朗普的政策推高了其所在社区的生活成本。约三分之二的美国人表示，特朗普的政策让美国全国的经济状况恶化。特朗普在经济议题上的支持率仅为30%，创下其任期新低。
对经济的不满已成为美国政治格局的常态。自新冠疫情暴发以来，民众对美国经济的看法始终处于负面区间，仅在乔·拜登总统任期初期出现过一次短暂的乐观情绪回升。
这种不满情绪曾让共和党在经济事务信任度上拥有长达数年的优势。如今，这种不满却让共和党成为特朗普第二任期政策的主要指责对象。
在本次民调中，民主党在处理核心经济议题上的信任度超过共和党，包括生活成本、帮助中产阶级以及应对通胀。但仍有相当比例的公众表示，在诸多同类议题上，两党都不值得信任。
仅有三分之一的民众认可特朗普在帮助中产阶级方面的表现。对他在通胀问题上的表现支持率仅为26%，在油价问题上更是低至21%，即便在整体支持特朗普执政的群体中，也存在大量不满情绪。
多数共和党人不认可特朗普在油价问题上的施政表现。认为特朗普政策推高生活成本的受访者比例较去年整体上升了17个百分点，在共和党群体中更是上升了25个百分点。
对两党的不信任
民众在“哪个政党能更好地处理经济问题”上意见几乎持平。这与拜登任期内共和党在该议题上的典型优势形成鲜明对比：2022年的一项CNN民调显示，美国人以15个百分点的优势认为共和党经济主张更贴合自身立场。
在生活成本议题上，民主党拥有9个百分点的信任优势。这在一定程度上源于共和党人对本党的质疑：支持民主党的受访者认为本党能更好应对生活成本的比例，比支持共和党的受访者高出15个百分点。
民主党在应对收入不平等、医疗成本以及帮助中产阶级方面同样拥有两位数的信任优势，在应对通胀上的优势则相对较小。共和党则在处理股市问题上领先，在税收议题上两党支持率差距不大。
经济议题上的分歧可以说让民主党在更具民粹主义吸引力的议题上占据了有利位置。绝大多数美国人（85%）认为自己属于工薪阶层、中产阶级或中上层阶级，四分之三的人表示美国的经济体系不公平地偏向强势利益集团。相比之下，仅有略超一半的公众表示持有包括退休基金在内的股市投资。
但民主党也面临一个潜在的预警信号。在本次民调测试的所有议题中，超过30%的美国人——包括一半甚至更多的无党派选民——表示两党都不值得信任。另有8个百分点的优势的民众认为，政府向“不配获得援助”的人群提供过多帮助，比未能向足够多的人提供援助更成问题，这表明民众对更完善的社会安全网的支持存在一定限度。
民调显示，在中期选举来临之际，登记选民的党派偏好几乎持平：45%的受访者表示会支持国会民主党候选人，42%支持共和党候选人，14%表示都不支持。今年以来的国会选举民调（包括此前的CNN民调）大多显示民主党占据优势。
CNN民调发现，对两党经济主张都不认可的选民在泛议会选举中更倾向于支持民主党。
经济议题对中期选举有多重要？
毫无疑问，在今年的选举季到来之际，经济议题是多数美国人最关心的问题。但关心某一议题并不等同于会据此投票。
当被要求从六大议题中选出美国面临的最紧迫问题时，55%的人选择了经济和生活成本，这一比例是其他任何单一议题的两倍多。
但在另一项问题中，57%的人表示，在今年的中期选举中，其他政治议题的重要性至少不亚于经济。
值得注意的是，最关注经济议题的美国人群体中，包含了一些最具政治说服力的选民。60%的“纯粹”无党派人士——即不倾向任何党派的选民——认为经济比其他任何中期选举议题都更重要，52%的表示很少关注政治新闻的选民也持同样看法。而党派选民和更关注政治的人群则更倾向于重视其他议题。
总体而言，美国人对“中期选举结果是否会对自身财务状况产生重大影响”的看法基本持平，这与2024年的情况形成反差。2024年，在特朗普承诺“终结通胀”的竞选活动背景下，多数民众认为总统大选会对个人财务产生重大影响。
本次CNN民调由SSRS于4月30日至5月4日实施，从基于概率抽样的全国面板中随机抽取了1499名美国成年人作为样本。调查通过线上或电话采访形式开展。本图表中的抽样误差范围最高为±2.8个百分点。
Americans’ anger about the economy hits Trump and Republicans’ midterm prospects
2026-05-12 05:00 AM ET / CNN
By Ariel Edwards-Levy
President Donald Trump listens in the Oval Office of the White House on April 18.
Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP/File
It’s President Donald Trump’s economy – and most Americans aren’t happy with it.
A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds that 77% – including a majority of Republicans – say that Trump’s policies have increased the cost of living in their own community. Roughly two-thirds of Americans say that Trump’s policies have worsened economic conditions in the country. And Trump’s approval rating stands at 30% on the economy, a career low.
Economic unhappiness has become a fixture of the political landscape. Views of the US economy have remained underwater since the start of the pandemic, with the only exception a brief spike of optimism at the beginning of Joe Biden’s presidency.
That dissatisfaction gave the Republican Party a yearslong advantage on trust to handle economic issues. Now, it’s left the GOP with the brunt of the blame for Trump’s second-term policies.
In the latest poll, Democrats are more trusted than the GOP to handle central economic issues, including the cost of living, helping the middle class and inflation. Significant shares of the public, however, say they trust neither party on many of those same issues.
One-third of the public approves of the way Trump is handling helping the middle class. Just 26% of Americans approve of his performance on inflation and 21% on gas prices, with significant pockets of dissatisfaction even among those who overall support his presidency.
A majority of Republicans disapprove of his handling of gas prices. The share saying Trump’s policies have made cost of living rise is up 17 points overall since last year, and up 25 points among Republicans.
Distrust of both parties
The public is close to evenly split on which political party would do a better job of dealing with the economy. That contrasts with the GOP’s typical advantage on the issue during the Biden era: In one 2022 CNN survey, Americans said by a 15-point margin that the Republican Party’s economic views were closer to their own.
When it comes to cost of living, Democrats hold a 9-point advantage. That’s due in part to Republicans’ doubts about their own party: Democratic-aligned adults are 15 points likelier than GOP-aligned adults to say their party could better address the cost of living.
Democrats also lead by double digits on trust to handle income inequality, healthcare costs and helping the middle class, with a smaller edge on handling inflation. Republicans are ahead in trust to handle the stock market, with relatively close divides on which party would do a better job of dealing with taxes.
The divide on economic issues arguably leaves Democrats well-positioned on a set of issues with more populist appeal. The vast majority of Americans, 85%, describe themselves as working-class, middle-class or upper-middle class, and three-quarters say that the country’s economic system is unfairly geared toward powerful interests. By contrast, just over half of the public reports holding any investments in the stock market, including retirement funds.
But one possible warning sign for Democrats emerges here. On each of the issues tested, more than 30% of Americans – including half or more of political independents – say they trust neither party. And by an 8-point margin, the public says that there’s a bigger problem with the government giving help to too many people who “don’t deserve it” rather than failing to help enough people, suggesting some limits to the appetite for a more robust social safety net.
The poll finds registered voters closely split in their partisan preference ahead of the midterms, with 45% saying they’d support a Democratic candidate for Congress, 42% a Republican candidate, and 14% neither. Polling on congressional preference this year, including previous CNN surveys, has largely given Democrats the advantage.
Voters who aren’t sold on either party’s economic message tend to prefer the Democrats on the generic ballot, the CNN survey finds.
How important are economic issues to the midterms?
There’s no doubt that economic issues are at the top of many Americans’ minds heading into this year’s election season. But caring about an issue isn’t the same thing as deciding to vote on that basis.
Asked to pick which of six issues is the most important facing the country, 55% choose the economy and the cost of living, more than doubling the share who pick any single other issue.
In a separate question, however, 57% say that there are other political issues that matter at least as much as the economy when it comes to this year’s midterms.
Notably, the bloc of Americans that cares most about the economy appears to include some of the most politically persuadable. Sixty percent of “true” independents – those who don’t lean toward either party – say the economy matters more than any other midterm issues, as do 52% of those who report paying relatively little attention to political news. Partisans, and those who are more attuned to politics, are more likely to place weight on other issues.
Overall, Americans are about evenly split on whether or not they think that the midterm outcome is likely to have a major effect on their own finances – a shift from 2024, when amid Trump’s campaign promises to “end inflation,” most believed the presidential election could have a big impact.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS from April 30-May 4 among a random national sample of 1,499 US adults drawn from a probability-based panel. Surveys were either conducted online or by telephone with a live interviewer. Results shown in this chart have a margin of sampling error of up to ±2.8 percentage points.
