发布时间：2026年2月19日，美国东部时间下午5:06 / 来源：美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：[凯文·利普塔克]、[克里斯汀·福尔摩斯]、[扎卡里·科恩]、[娜塔莎·伯特兰]
1小时55分钟前
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在下令进行22年来中东最大规模军事集结之际，正面临其第二任期内最重大的决策之一。
据知情人士透露，如果他决定对伊朗发动攻击，其选项范围从更具针对性的打击到可能持续数周的持久战，其中一些计划包括除掉德黑兰领导层。知情人士表示，许多计划的规模将远大于去年夏天针对伊朗核设施的数小时轰炸行动。
知情人士称，美军可能最早于本周末准备好对伊朗发动打击，但了解与德黑兰外交谈判的美国官员和地区外交官并不认为打击会来得这么快。据一位熟悉其想法的消息人士透露，中东特使、特朗普的女婿贾里德·库什纳——他曾协助领导美国谈判团队——是特朗普众多希望能与伊朗达成核协议的顾问之一。
据一位熟悉规划的消息人士称，美军尚未收到针对伊朗潜在打击的目标清单，这表明特朗普尚未“扣动扳机”下令任何具体军事行动。白宫官员表示，他仍然倾向于外交解决方案。
唐纳德·特朗普总统于2月2日在椭圆形办公室对媒体讲话。
邦妮·卡什/联合新闻社/彭博社 via盖蒂图片社
然而，许多人现在认为，满足总统所有要求的协议前景正在减弱。
到目前为止，特朗普尚未公开阐述发动新战争希望达成的全部目标，也未认真尝试争取美国公众和国会成员的支持。本周国会成员因特朗普权衡选项而离开华盛顿。专家们仍然怀疑伊朗会做出特朗普公开要求的让步，比如完全放弃铀浓缩。
特朗普向伊斯兰共和国发出模糊警告，要求其同意协议，但协议条款仍不明确。他周四上午在华盛顿表示，“可能在未来10天内”就会知道是否有可能达成协议。之后，在空军一号上，他将时间延长到15天。
“他们不能继续威胁整个地区的稳定，必须达成协议，否则——如果达不成，也许你能理解，但达不成的话，就会发生糟糕的事情，”特朗普在周四其和平委员会首次会议上说道。
当被追问可能发生的“糟糕事情”时，特朗普拒绝详细说明。
“我不会跟你谈论这个，”他表示。
作为候选人时承诺避免卷入外国战争的特朗普，一直对批准缺乏决定性结果且可能使美国人陷入危险的行动持谨慎态度。
他已收到关于潜在选项的多次简报。这些选项规模各异，从打击核或导弹设施，到试图除掉政府领导人并推翻政权。所有选项至少在一定程度上旨在应对伊朗对以色列或美国在该地区军事基地发动军事打击的威胁，以及伊朗代理组织可能获得核武器或脏弹的风险。
特朗普曾暗示希望伊朗政权更迭，但政府内部对于如果德黑兰领导层倒台后会发生什么几乎没有明确认识。国务卿马尔科·卢比奥上月在国会作证时表示，如果最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊被推翻，没有人真正知道谁会取而代之。
由于特朗普尚未决定行动方针，进行一系列行动所需的所有军事资产要么已经就位，要么将在未来几天内到位，消息人士称。这包括世界最先进的航空母舰“杰拉尔德·R·福特”号，预计将于下周初驶向东地中海。
至少部分军事集结是为了在伊朗可能先发制人发动攻击或对美军打击进行报复（通过向美军基地发射无人机或导弹）时，帮助保卫美军。
然而，问题仍然在于，特朗普下令的任何潜在行动将侧重于除掉伊朗领导层、打击其浓缩铀能力，还是摧毁其弹道导弹计划。
“特朗普总统明确表示，伊朗政权要么达成协议，否则‘将对政权造成非常严重的创伤’，”白宫发言人安娜·凯利在一份声明中表示，补充称特朗普通过此前的打击证明了“他言出必行”。
在幕后，即使是特朗普的一些顾问也不清楚如何向公众解释为何美国可能需要对伊朗进行军事干预。一位消息人士称，政府官员在公开场合故意对动机含糊其辞。
虽然特朗普多次声称去年6月的美军打击“彻底摧毁”了伊朗的核浓缩设施，但国际原子能机构负责人拉斐尔·格罗西周四表示，“尽管有美国的轰炸和袭击，伊朗在去年6月之前积累的大部分材料仍然大量存在，位置与打击时相同。”
“其中一些可能更难获取，但材料仍然存在。从防扩散角度看，材料仍然存在，”格罗西补充道。“这就是为什么有如此大的兴趣——我会说紧迫感——要达成一项协议，防止该地区发生新的军事行动。”
周三，白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特回避了为何可能需要打击伊朗的问题。
“可以提出多种理由和论据支持对伊朗发动打击，”莱维特在新闻发布会上告诉记者，但未详细说明这些理由或论据是什么。
她也不愿透露特朗普是否计划在下周的国情咨文演讲中阐述其伊朗行动的目标或理由——这通常是总统年度电视观众最多的场合之一。
两位特朗普顾问将当前局势比作去年打击伊朗的决定和1月份抓获委内瑞拉领导人尼古拉斯·马杜罗的行动，指出在这两个案例中，特朗普在下达命令前不久才最终决定行动方针，尽管数月来一直在规划。
据美国有线电视新闻网报道，特朗普在几周内反复纠结是否真的要使用军事力量。本周，特朗普私下就军事行动的利弊进行了辩论，并就最佳行动方案征求了顾问和盟友的意见。
以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡于2月11日离开白宫，此前与特朗普总统会面。
布伦丹·斯迈洛夫斯基/法新社 via盖蒂图片社
他收到了不同的建议。以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡上周紧急访问白宫，他认为伊朗从未如此虚弱，现在是时候从德黑兰获取让步或试图摧毁其导弹计划了。国务院一位官员周三告诉CNN，卢比奥计划下周晚些时候访问以色列，向 Netanyahu 通报伊朗谈判进展。
其他特朗普核心盟友，包括南卡罗来纳州参议员林赛·格雷厄姆，在公开和私下场合都主张美国干预伊朗。
没有迹象表明特朗普准备要求国会批准任何伊朗行动。两位议员——加利福尼亚州民主党众议员罗·哈纳和肯塔基州共和党众议员托马斯·梅西——周四表示，他们计划下周试图推动一项决议投票，要求在特朗普下令使用军事力量前获得国会授权。
“这不是唐纳德·特朗普的最终决定。宪法非常明确，未经国会授权，他不能让美军卷入敌对行动，”另一位议员、马萨诸塞州民主党众议员杰克·奥辛克洛斯在CNN上说。“国会尚未授予使用军事力量的授权。”
“对伊朗的强制外交是合适的，针对其资助代理恐怖势力、弹道导弹发展，当然还有核计划，”他补充道。“不合适的是，他单方面决定打击伊朗，可能让美国陷入另一场美国公众不想要的持久战。”
凯莉·阿特伍德、卡西·亨特和詹妮弗·汉斯拉为本文报道。
Trump confronts his options on Iran — from targeted attacks to potentially toppling regime
Published Feb 19, 2026, 5:06 PM ET / Source: CNN
By
[Kevin Liptak]
,
[Kristen Holmes]
,
[Zachary Cohen]
,
[Natasha Bertrand]
1 hr 55 min ago
President Donald Trump faces one of the weightiest decisions of his second term as he orders the largest military buildup in the Middle East in 22 years.
If he decides to go ahead with an attack on Iran, his options now range from more targeted strikes to sustained operations that could potentially last for weeks, according to people familiar with the matter. Some include plans to take out Tehran’s leaders. Many would be on a much larger scale than the hourslong bombing run that targeted Iranian nuclear facilities last summer, according to people familiar with the plans.
People familiar with the plans said the US military could be ready as soon as this weekend to strike Iran, but US officials and regional diplomats with knowledge of the diplomatic talks with Tehran do not expect strikes to come that soon. Middle East envoy and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner — who has helped lead the US negotiating team — is among a number of Trump advisers who are hopeful that they can reach a nuclear deal with Iran, according to a source familiar with his thinking,
US troops have not yet received a target list for potential strikes on Iran, a sign Trump has not yet “pulled the trigger” on ordering any specific military operation, according to a source familiar with the planning. White House officials say he continues to prefer a diplomatic solution.
President Donald Trump speaks to the press in the Oval Office on February 2.
Bonnie Cash/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images
However, many now say they see diminishing prospects of an agreement that satisfies all of the president’s demands.
Trump, so far, has not publicly laid out everything he is hoping to achieve by launching a new war. Nor has he made serious attempts to gain the buy-in either from the American public or members of Congress, who have been away from Washington this week as he mulls his options. And experts remain skeptical Iran would make the concessions that Trump has publicly demanded, like giving up uranium enrichment entirely.
Trump has offered vague warnings to the Islamic Republic to agree to a deal, the terms of which remain unclear. He said Thursday morning in Washington that he would know “over the next probably 10 days” whether an agreement was possible. Later, aboard Air Force One, he extended the timeline to 15 days.
“They cannot continue to threaten the stability of the entire region and they must make a deal, or if that doesn’t happen — maybe you can understand if it doesn’t happen, it doesn’t happen, but bad things will happen if it doesn’t,” Trump said at the inaugural meeting of his Board of Peace on Thursday.
Pressed later what “bad things” could occur, Trump refused to elaborate.
“I’m not going to talk to you about that,” he said.
Trump, who promised as a candidate to avoid becoming embroiled in foreign wars, has been vocally wary of approving an operation that lacks a decisive outcome and could put Americans in harm’s way.
He has received numerous briefings on the potential options. They range in scale, from attacks on nuclear or missile sites all the way to attempts to take out government leaders and topple the regime. All the options would address, at least in part, the threat of Iran launching military strikes against Israel or American military bases in the region, as well as Iranian proxy groups potentially obtaining a nuclear or dirty bomb.
Trump has hinted at a desire for regime change in Iran, but there is little clarity inside the administration of what might happen if the leadership in Tehran falls. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said during congressional testimony last month that no one really knows who might replace Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei if he was ousted.
Because Trump has not yet decided on a course of action, all the military assets needed to conduct a range of operations are in place, or will be in the coming days, sources have said. That includes the USS Gerald R. Ford, the world’s most advanced aircraft carrier, which is expected to sail to the Eastern Mediterranean by early next week.
At least part of the military buildup is intended to help defend US troops should Iran either preemptively stage an attack or retaliate for US strikes by firing drones or missiles toward American bases.
The question remains, however, whether any potential operation ordered by Trump would be focused on taking out Iran’s leadership, targeting its enrichment capabilities or taking out its ballistic missile program.
“President Trump has been clear that the Iranian regime should make a deal or else ‘it will be very traumatic’ for the regime,” White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said in a statement, adding that Trump demonstrated that “he means what he says” with previous strikes.
Behind the scenes, even some of Trump’s advisers aren’t clear on how to convey to the public why it might be necessary for the United States to potentially use military intervention in Iran. One source said administration officials were being intentionally vague on motivations in public.
While Trump repeatedly claimed that the US strikes last June “completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency Rafael Grossi said on Thursday that “most of the material that Iran had accumulated up until June of last year, despite the [U.S.] bombings and the attacks, is still there, in large quantities, where it was at the time of the strikes.”
“Some of it may be less accessible, but the material is still there. From a non-proliferation standpoint, the material remains,” Grossi added. “That is why there is so much interest — I would say urgency — in reaching an agreement that would prevent new military action in the region.”
On Wednesday, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt danced around why a strike on Iran might be necessary.
“There’s many reasons and arguments that one could make for a strike against Iran,” Leavitt told reporters during a press briefing, without elaborating on what those reasons or arguments were.
She also wouldn’t say whether Trump planned to lay out his objectives or rationale for an Iran mission during his State of the Union address next week, traditionally one of the largest yearly television audiences for a commander in chief.
Two Trump advisers compared the current moment to both the decision to strike Iran last year and the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January, noting that in each case Trump didn’t firmly decide on a course of action until shortly before giving the order, despite months of planning.
In both cases, CNN reported that Trump had gone back and forth on whether to actually use military force for weeks. This week, Trump has privately argued both for and against military action and polled advisers and allies on the best course of action.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu leaves the White House after a meeting with President Trump on February 11.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images
He has received different pieces of advice. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who paid an urgent visit to the White House last week, has argued Iran has never been weaker, and the time is right to either extract concessions from Tehran or attempt to wipe out its missile program. Rubio is planning to visit Israel late next week to update Netanyahu on Iran talks, a State Department official told CNN Wednesday.
Other top Trump allies, including Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, have been arguing for US intervention in both public and private.
There is no indication Trump is preparing to ask Congress for approval of any Iran operation. Two lawmakers — Rep. Ro Khanna, the California Democrat, and Rep. Thomas Massie, the Kentucky Republican — said Thursday that they plan to try forcing a vote next week on a resolution that would require authorization from Congress before Trump orders military force.
“It’s not Donald Trump’s final decision to make. The Constitution is super clear about this, he cannot engage US forces into hostilities without congressional authorization,” another lawmaker, Massachusetts Democrat Rep. Jake Auchincloss, said on CNN. “That authorization for the use of military force has not been granted by Congress.”
“Coercive diplomacy against Iran is appropriate, against their funding of proxy terror forces, against their ballistic missile development, against, of course, their nuclear program,” he added. “What is not appropriate is for him to make the unilateral decision that he will strike Iran and potentially vest the United States in another forever war that the American public does not want.”
Kylie Atwood, Kasie Hunt and Jennifer Hansler contributed to this report.
（注：图片实际内容为2025年2月7日，华盛顿特区退伍军人事务部总部外的部门徽章）