2026-04-22T09:00:55.104Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
分析文章：
亚伦·布莱克
3小时前发布
发布时间：2026年4月22日，美国东部时间上午5:00
2024年7月13日，宾夕法尼亚州巴特勒市竞选集会上发生枪击事件后，唐纳德·特朗普被紧急带离舞台。
安娜·莫尼梅克/盖蒂图片社/档案照片
或许在现代政坛中，没有哪位政客比唐纳德·特朗普总统更致力于将阴谋论主流化。
特朗普以针对时任总统巴拉克·奥巴马的虚假“出生证明阴谋论”正式开启共和党政治生涯，此后十余年间，他不断抛出各类荒诞言论：声称2020年大选“被窃取”、海地移民偷吃民众宠物等等。他还扶植盟友协助自己传播这些阴谋论，往往成功说服了众多支持者。
但特朗普亲手催生的这个“怪兽”，如今可能正将矛头对准他本人。
尽管围绕伊朗战争等议题公开倒戈的特朗普资深盟友为数不多，但这些反水者大多来自特朗普支持者群体中更热衷于阴谋论的圈层。其中包括玛乔丽·泰勒·格林、塔克·卡尔森以及其他多位网红博主。
近期，他们开始愈发频繁地向受众传播反特朗普的阴谋论。
其中一则最近热度攀升的阴谋论，声称2024年特朗普在宾夕法尼亚州巴特勒市遭遇的暗杀事件存在可疑之处，暗示这可能是一场自导自演的闹剧。其他阴谋论则宣称总统受以色列操控，甚至以某种方式“被策反”；称特朗普及其政府对共和党忠诚度存疑；还有人甚至将特朗普称为“反基督者”。
当然，目前没有任何切实证据表明存在任何幕后黑手。但令特朗普头疼的是，这些阴谋论似乎至少在社交媒体上获得了一定程度的传播。
目前最盛行的当属针对巴特勒枪击事件的阴谋论——尽管这类言论往往以“只是提出疑问”的口吻包装（这也是特朗普本人曾用过的策略）。
最近因伊朗战争辞职的特朗普政府高级反恐官员乔·肯特向卡尔森声称，针对巴特勒枪击事件的调查遭到了可疑的压制。
前佐治亚州共和党众议员格林周日在社交媒体发文称，她并未将巴特勒枪击事件称为“骗局”，但随即补充道：“但仍有诸多问题值得公众给出答案。”
阿尔·德拉戈/彭博社/盖蒂图片社/档案照片
播客主持人乔·罗根也曾偶尔提及这类疑问，而同为播客主的蒂姆·狄龙最近更是直言不讳：“我认为这起事件可能是自导自演的。”
与此同时，卡尔森和坎迪斯·欧文斯将这些疑问与诸多阴谋论中常见的一个角色联系起来：以色列。（值得注意的是，两人在评论中都大量聚焦以色列，频繁被指控反犹。）卡尔森表示，肯特的观点或许站得住脚——针对巴特勒枪击事件未能开展更彻底的调查，正证明了以色列对美国政府的影响力。
涉案的未遂刺客托马斯·马修·克鲁克斯几乎没有留下任何书面踪迹。但特朗普和前任总统乔·拜登任内的联邦调查局官员均已得出结论：克鲁克斯系单独作案。
其他同类阴谋论也照例将以色列牵扯其中，尤其是关于特朗普被以色列策反或受其操控的说法。
本月早些时候，卡尔森在接受纽smax采访时隐晦地将特朗普比作奴隶，他说：“我为他感到难过，就像为所有奴隶一样。他此刻并不自由。”
在本周一档新节目中，另一位曾支持特朗普的播客主持人西奥·冯提出，伊朗战争的一个合乎逻辑的解释是，特朗普正受以色列操控。
“我搞不懂，”冯说，“所以我们的总统就是这么行事的，这太令人费解了。这很恶心，感觉他就是被以色列、被那边那个黑暗政府策反了。我不知道，这太黑暗了，太黑暗了。”
白人至上主义者尼克·富恩特斯详细阐述了一套复杂的阴谋论，称JD·万斯实际上是被任命为副总统，成为科技行业强权势力的工具。
周五，前共和党副总统候选人萨拉·佩林转发了富恩特斯的言论，但佩林坚称自己只是想借此强调外界对她在茶党运动中角色的认可。（尽管佩林近期在多个问题上对特朗普提出批评，但并未公开倒戈。）
回顾2015年末特朗普登上亚历克斯·琼斯充斥阴谋论的节目，这一决定在当时就明确传递了特朗普意图与阴谋论者结盟的信号。但如今琼斯因伊朗问题与特朗普决裂后，正利用这类阴谋论攻击特朗普，包括在周一指控特朗普试图帮助民主党接管他的InfoWars平台（讽刺新闻网站《洋葱报》正计划收购InfoWars，该网站并不受民主党控制）。
还有一则或许被低估但正获得关注的阴谋论——特朗普可能是“反基督者”。在基督教神学中，反基督者是耶稣第二次降临前出现的、欺骗世人的虚假救世主形象。
卡尔森近期在与特朗普彻底决裂时，曾隐晦提及这一理论。《连线》杂志发现，一些拥有大量粉丝的特朗普支持者已经开始就这一说法提出质疑。
凯文·拉马尔克/路透社
目前尚不清楚这些右翼阴谋论会如何发展。一些突然对特朗普持怀疑态度的人或许只是随口一说，这些言论最终会烟消云散。
但不难想象，其中部分阴谋论可能会获得真正的传播力，尤其是因为这些理论涉及了一个熟悉的“反派”（以色列），以及一个经常催生此类阴谋论的典型情境（未遂暗杀）。
过去，琼斯、欧文斯和卡尔森等人在传播这类阴谋论方面成效显著。如今，这些理论也在一众播客主持人中获得了一定市场——比如狄龙和冯这类主播，他们曾是特朗普的坚定支持者，因为他们能与那些政治参与度较低、或许更容易被煽动的受众沟通。
近几个月来，共和党领导层基本坐视不理，任由反以色列和反犹情绪在党内蔓延，尤其是在年轻共和党群体中。他们还大多对不断发酵的关于查理·柯克遇刺的阴谋论置之不理，这类言论正是欧文斯极力推动的。
但如今他们或许会后悔当初没有更有力地加以制止，因为这些情绪如今可能会催生针对特朗普的阴谋论——而一些新近反目的盟友还会为其推波助澜。
The conspiracy-theory monster that Trump fed could be coming for him
2026-04-22T09:00:55.104Z / CNN
Analysis by
Aaron Blake
3 hr ago
PUBLISHED Apr 22, 2026, 5:00 AM ET
Donald Trump is rushed offstage after a gunman opened fire on a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, 2024.
Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images/File
Perhaps no modern politician has done more to mainstream conspiracy theories than President Donald Trump.
After effectively launching his career in Republican politics with false “birther” claims about then-President Barack Obama, Trump has spent a decade lobbing all manner of wild theories about the “stolen” 2020 election, Haitian migrants eating people’s pets and the like. He’s also cultivated allies who helped him push those theories, often convincing many of his supporters.
But the monster Trump helped create could now be coming for him.
While relatively few high-profile Trump allies have turned on him over the Iran war and other issues, those who have flipped tend to disproportionately come from the more conspiratorial ranks of Trump’s following. We’re talking about people like Marjorie Taylor Greene, Tucker Carlson and various other influencers.
Recently, they’ve been increasingly feeding anti-Trump conspiracy theories to their audiences.
One that’s recently gained steam is that there is something suspicious about the 2024 assassination attempt against Trump in Butler, Pennsylvania — implying it could have been staged. Other theories posit the president is beholden to Israel or even “compromised” in some other way; that Trump’s and his administration’s loyalties to Republicans are suspect; and even that he could be the antichrist.
There’s no real evidence of any actual foul play, of course. But troublingly for Trump, some of these theories appear to be gaining at least some traction on social media.
The Butler theories are far and away the most prevalent right now – though they’re often lodged in a just-asking-questions framing (a tactic Trump has personally used before).
Joe Kent, who recently resigned as a top Trump administration counterterrorism official while citing the Iran war, claimed to Carlson that investigations of Butler have suspiciously been stifled.
Greene, the former GOP congresswoman from Georgia, said in a social media post on Sunday that she wasn’t calling Butler a “hoax,” before adding: “But there are a lot of questions that deserve public answers.”
Marjorie Taylor Greene wears a “Trump Was Right About Everything” hat during an address by President Donald Trump to joint session of Congress in the House Chamber of the US Capitol on March 4, 2025.
Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty Images/File
Podcaster Joe Rogan has occasionally gestured at such questions, and fellow podcaster Tim Dillon recently went so far as to state: “I think maybe it was staged.”
Carlson and Candace Owens, meanwhile, have connected the questions to a player in many such conspiracy theories: Israel. (Notably, both have focused extensively on Israel in their commentary and faced frequent accusations of antisemitism.) Carlson suggested Kent could have a point that the lack of a more thorough investigation of Butler demonstrates Israel’s influence over the American government.
The accused would-be assassin, Thomas Matthew Crooks, left little in the way of a paper trail. But FBI officials under both Trump and former President Joe Biden have concluded that Crooks acted alone.
Other such theories also predictably involved Israel, especially the idea that Trump is compromised or beholden to the Jewish state.
Carlson earlier this month subtly likened Trump to a slave in an interview with Newsmax, saying, “I feel sorry for him, as I do for all slaves. He is not free in this moment.”
And in a new show this week, another former Trump-supporting podcaster, Theo Von, suggested one logical explanation for the Iran war was that Trump was in the grip of Israel.
“I don’t understand,” Von said. “So yeah, that’s what our president’s up to, and it’s fking baffling. And it’s sick, and it feels like he’s just been compromised by Israel, by this dark government over there. And I don’t know. It’s fking dark. It’s dark.”
White nationalist Nick Fuentes has detailed an elaborate conspiracy theory in which JD Vance was effectively installed as vice president to be a tool of powerful forces in the tech industry.
And Fuentes’ comments were reposted Friday by former GOP vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin — though Palin insists she only meant to highlight an approving shout-out for her role in the tea party movement. (Palin hasn’t turned against Trump, though she has recently been critical of him on a couple fronts.)
Trump’s decision to appear on Alex Jones’ conspiracy theory-laden show in late 2015 was, in retrospect, a major statement of intent when it came to Trump’s desire to ally with conspiracy theorists. But Jones is now wielding such theories against Trump after breaking with him over Iran, including accusing Trump on Monday of trying to help Democrats take over his platform InfoWars (the Onion, a satirical news site that is working to take over InfoWars, is not controlled by the Democratic Party).
And then there’s perhaps the most undersold theory that’s getting some traction — that Trump could be the antichrist. In Christian theology, the antichrist is a figure that appears before Jesus’ second coming to deceive people and embodies a false savior.
This was a theory that Carlson hinted at recently amid his big break with Trump. And Wired magazine found that some Trump supporters with significant followings are starting to ask questions about it.
Tucker Carlson attends an event at the White House in January.
Kevin Lamarque/Reuters
It remains to be seen what will become of those theories on the right. It could be that some sudden Trump skeptics are just spouting off and it will all subside.
But it’s not difficult to see some of them gaining real purchase, especially given the theories involve a familiar culprit (Israel) and a familiar set of circumstances that often breeds such theories (an attempted assassination).
The people targeting Trump have proven quite successful at spreading such theories in the past, including Jones, Owens and Carlson. And the theories are also getting some traction among a class of podcasters — people like Dillon and Von — who were valuable Trump supporters in part because they spoke to people who are less engaged politically and perhaps more easily influenced.
Republican Party leaders have largely stood by in recent months as anti-Israel and antisemitic sentiments have risen in their ranks, especially among younger Republicans. And they’ve mostly tried to ignore metastasizing conspiracy theories about Charlie Kirk’s assassination, which have been pushed most forcefully by Owens.
But they might wish they’d pushed back more forcefully, given those sensibilities could now feed into conspiracy theories involving Trump — helped along by some recently alienated allies.