作者: root

  • “我不是脾气坏,我只是在优化”:汤姆·蒂利斯不愿听人说他没有足够挑战唐纳德·特朗普


    2026-03-04T11:30:33.676Z / CNN

    在汤姆·蒂利斯(Thom Tillis)看来,曾有一个世界,他可能不会决定从美国参议院退休——至少不会在那个确切的时刻。

    他思考退休已有一段时间,去年6月在决定不支持特朗普的“宏伟法案”后,与总统进行了一次深夜通话。那次通话气氛紧张,通话结束时,他已让工作人员准备好退休声明草稿。

    在做出最终决定前,他想再考虑一晚。

    然后,唐纳德·特朗普总统在社交媒体上对他发起了一连串迅速的攻击。

    “我没有和妻子商量,只是当场做了决定。这就是我的行事方式,”蒂利斯在国会大厦办公室接受CNN采访时表示,“这预示了接下来发生的事情。我只想明确一点,从来没有人能在与我对抗中得到过积极的结果,我不想打破这个记录。”

    此后几个月,蒂利斯成为参议院共和党人中少数几位定期公开批评白宫的议员之一,他指责特朗普的幕僚“缺乏远见”,未能向总统提供合理建议。

    在他准备前往慕尼黑安全会议的几个小时前,CNN记者在他的Dirksen办公室见到了蒂利斯。这位来自北卡罗来纳州的共和党议员显得很放松,他靠在深色皮椅上,双手交叉,思考着剩下不到一年任期的“自由与效率”。

    自宣布退休以来,他的“告别巡演”并未停歇。周三,在与国土安全部部长克里斯蒂·诺姆(Kristi Noem)的听证会上,蒂利斯要求她辞职,谴责她射杀14个月大的狗的决定,并威胁如果她不回应他提出的问题(其中一些问题连其机构的监察长都已提出),就将阻挠特朗普的提名并阻止委员会达到法定人数。

    自宣布退休以来,蒂利斯誓言除非特朗普政府放弃对现任美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的调查,否则他将阻挠特朗普提名的美联储主席候选人。他还称最近针对两名民主党参议员——马克·凯利和埃莉萨·斯洛特金的起诉企图是“威胁总统的遗产”。

    但蒂利斯认为自己与前任“反特朗普”者截然不同。罗姆尼和切尼的批评(蒂利斯称有时“不明智且不公平”)主要源于对特朗普威胁美国民主的担忧;而共和党众议员托马斯·马西和玛乔丽·泰勒·格林则从右翼挑战总统;其他反对政府的声音大多私下进行或匿名发声。

    相反,蒂利斯坚持认为他与总统仍保持工作关系(采访前几天两人还通过短信交流),他对特朗普幕僚的公开嘲讽是为了激励而非疏远总统。他希望特朗普能调整人事,以保护其遗产和共和党在国会的多数地位。

    “我告诉总统,如果未来18个月我能证明什么,我希望证明我比那些给你出坏主意的人更关心你的遗产,”他说。

    然而,在特朗普需要近乎绝对忠诚才能维持支持的环境下,蒂利斯无疑正在挑战当今共和党中“MAGA阵营”的底线,这引发了一个问题:华盛顿的共和党参议员能在党内继续“投石”多久?

    “我会尽可能长时间维持与他的良好关系,但如果关系恶化,责任不在我,”蒂利斯说。

    蒂利斯自2015年进入华盛顿,2020年竞选连任时,曾与民主党候选人卡尔·坎宁安(Cal Cunningham)展开激烈角逐,那是当时美国最昂贵的参议院竞选之一。他表示,预计下一次连任至少需要筹集5000万美元。在决定退休前的几个月,他毫不掩饰自己对连任的顾虑,这让他的政治团队颇为头疼。

    “他曾是州众议院议长,之后从议长职位竞选参议员。很长一段时间他都承受着巨大压力,”蒂利斯的老朋友、北卡罗来纳州前众议员帕特里克·麦克亨利表示,“今年他意识到可以在离开前享受更多乐趣……他不是要树敌,但确实有不少人因此受到影响。”

    蒂利斯否认自己是新类型的“反建制者”,强调自己与特朗普仍有工作关系。他认为,自己现在能更高效地推动立法目标,例如为卢米族部落争取联邦承认权益——通过将《卢米公平法案》纳入国防政策法案。当密西西比州参议员罗杰·维克尔反对时,他以阻挠司法提名作为回应,最终迫使维克尔让步。

    面对“仅因无连任压力才敢发声”的批评,蒂利斯直言:“没错,大侦探,就是这样。”

    “我不是脾气坏,我只是在优化。”当民主党指责共和党人不够公开批评总统时,他反击道,“当初我们敢告诉特朗普总统不会废除阻挠议事规则时,你们却在两年后投票废除了它,现在还来教我怎么做?”

    蒂利斯还表示,不会因特朗普称其“失败者”而生气,反而“很高兴”,因为这证明他有资格担任国土安全部长或总统高级顾问。但他明确表示:“如果有人对我无端指责,我会同样回击。”

    唯一让他烦恼的“夜间问题”是:“咖啡”。至于特朗普对他的评价,他试图轻描淡写,但也暗示:“要么尊重我,要么就别想从我这里得到好脸色。”

    ‘I’m not grouchy, I’m just optimizing’: Thom Tillis doesn’t want to hear he’s not doing enough to challenge Donald Trump

    2026-03-04T11:30:33.676Z / CNN

    To hear Thom Tillis tell it, there was a world where he might not have decided to retire from the US Senate. At least not in that exact moment.

    He had been thinking for a while about retiring and had a late phone call with the president after deciding not to vote for his “big, beautiful bill” last June. The call had been tense. And as it ended, he’d texted his staff to be ready with a draft retirement announcement.

    Before he made the final decision, he wanted to sleep on it.

    Then, came a rapid-fire series of attacks from President Donald Trump on social media.

    “I didn’t talk to my wife. I just made the call right then in the moment. That’s the way I operate,” Tillis told CNN in a recent interview in his office at the US Capitol. “That was a forecast of what came next. And I just wanted to make it very clear, nobody has ever had a positive experience flexing with me, ever. And I didn’t want to break my streak.”

    In the months since, Tillis has emerged as one of the few Republicans in the Senate GOP regularly willing to criticize the White House, haranguing Trump’s staff for “not looking around corners” and not giving sound advice to the president.

    When CNN caught up with Tillis in his Dirksen office, hours before he was scheduled to leave for the Munich security conference, the North Carolina Republican was relaxed, leaning back in a dark leather chair, hands clasped as he mused on the liberation and productivity that comes when looking at the calendar and realizing you have just under a year left in what is supposed to be the world’s most deliberative body.

    He hasn’t slowed down his whirlwind farewell tour in the weeks since. On Wednesday during a hearing with Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Tillis demanded her resignation, blasted her decision to shoot her 14-month-old dog and threatened to hold up Trump’s nominees coming through the Senate and deny his committees a quorum if she didn’t respond to his questions – some of which her agency’s own inspector general has asked.

    Since announcing his retirement, Tillis has vowed to block Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve chair unless his administration drops an investigation into current chair Jerome Powell. And he calls recent efforts like one to indict two fellow senators – Democrats Mark Kelly and Elissa Slotkin – “threatening the president’s legacy.”

    But Tillis views himself as a very different kind of hill antagonist than those who attempted it before him. Criticisms from Mitt Romney and Liz Cheney (which the senator argued were at times “unwise and unfair”) centered on fears that Trump himself was an existential threat to American Democracy. Republican Reps. Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene, meanwhile, challenged the president from the right. Still others who speak out against the administration’s actions largely do so in private or under the veil of anonymity.

    Instead, Tillis maintains he still has a working relationship with the president (they texted just days before the interview) and that his outspoken ridicule of Trump’s staff is meant to motivate, not alienate, the president. Tillis wants Trump to make personnel corrections that protect his legacy and the future of his majority in Congress.

    “I told the president if I prove anything to him or nothing else over the next 18 months … I hope I prove to you I care more about your legacy than a lot of these people that are giving you bad advice,” he said.

    In a world, however, where Trump requires almost-absolute allegiance to stay in his good graces, Tillis is no doubt stretching the outer limits of what it means to be a MAGA-aligned Republican in today’s GOP, forcing the question of how long a Republican senator in Washington can throw stones from inside the party’s tent.

    “I’m going to maintain a great relationship with him for as long as I can. But if the relationship goes bad, it won’t be because of anything I said or did first,” Tillis said.

    Tillis has been in Washington since 2015 and when he ran for reelection in 2020, he squared off against Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham in what was at the time one of the most expensive Senate races in the country. Tillis said he’d estimated the cost of another reelection would mean he’d need to raise at least $50 million. For months leading up to his decision to retire, Tillis wasn’t shy with donors (much to the chagrin of his political team) that he was going to do a lot of thinking before committing to another rigorous cycle.

    “He was speaker of the state house and then went from being speaker to being a Senate candidate. It has been a heavy grind for him for a long time,” said longtime friend, North Carolinian and former Rep. Patrick McHenry. “This year he has realized he can have a lot fun before he heads out the door. … He is not trying to burn people, but he is doing a lot of singeing that is for sure.”

    Tillis rejects the premise he is a different lawmaker now, noting that he got into state politics by challenging a sitting Republican assemblyman John Rhodes in the GOP primary in 2006. Tillis also points out he’s been at the center of some of the biggest deals Congress has cut over the last several years, from gun reform to a bill that gave same-sex and interracial couples protected legal status under the law – both of which required challenging standard party orthodoxy and landed him with a censure back home.

    Yet, he doesn’t deny that dropping the reelection pressure has afforded him more flexibility than he has had in awhile. And no, it doesn’t just apply to hallway quips about top Trump aide Stephen Miller.

    “I made the personal assessment that I could probably be more productive being unmoored by all the overhead and distraction of running and having to, you know, thread the needle on messaging,” Tillis said of his ultimate decision to hang it up after this year.

    Pushed about critics who accuse him of only speaking more freely now that he’s not free from reelection pressures, Tillis has a simple retort: “It’s like no shit, Sherlock.”

    He also has little patience for Democrats who argue that Republicans aren’t doing enough to call out their president publicly.

    “I like these folks, but I tell them the same thing. I said, ‘You guys signed a letter when we had the courage to tell President Trump that we wouldn’t nuke the filibuster, and two f**king years later, you voted to nuke the filibuster, and you’re gonna tell me how I should behave? Come on, guys, I’m not grouchy. I’m just optimizing,’” he said.

    In the last several months, Tillis hasn’t just played rhetorical hardball, he’s deployed exacting tactics to realize some of his legislative goals as well. In pursuit of getting the Lumbee Tribe federally recognized benefits, an effort that has been stuck for decades, the senator leveraged his relationships with the White House and pushed for the Lumbee Fairness Act to be included in the must-pass defense policy bill at the end of last year. When Mississippi senators, including Roger Wicker, the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee governing the NDAA, opposed the move, Tillis held up Mississippi’s judicial nominees in the Senate Judiciary Committee until Wicker relented.

    “Thom Tillis is a good man. Sometimes we do things that aren’t appreciated by all of our colleagues, but I really like Thom Tillis,” Wicker said. “He ruffled some feathers before he announced his retirement and he’s ruffled some since, but he’s a good man.”

    In his role on the Senate Banking Committee, Tillis has threatened to block the nomination of Kevin Warsh -– or any other nominee -– to be the next fed chair until the Trump administration drops its investigation into Powell, a major play that could undermine one of Trump’s biggest goals of significantly lowering interest rates in the country.

    Tillis says he can’t remember talking to the president directly about his position on Warsh but that he and Trump have talked several times since he leveled the threat.

    Tillis isn’t revolutionary in his tactics, he’s deploying tools available to every single senator in a chamber designed to allow any one member – especially those in the majority – to exercise immense influence over nominations, legislation and the speed at which the chamber can conduct routine business. And yet in his final year in office, colleagues have observed Tillis is playing the game better than most in his party.

    “I would say for most of the last year, most of my colleagues have swallowed their concerns about nominees, about policies and about the president’s conduct and statements,” Sen. Chris Coons, a Democrat from Delaware, said. “He’s never had a problem standing up and saying this is wrong when something is wrong.”

    Still, Tillis is cautious about never pointedly going after Trump.

    From the aftermath of a second fatal shooting by federal agents in Minnesota to the administration’s threats to take Greenland to a failed effort to secure a federal grand jury indictment of sitting members of Congress, Tillis maintains the president is getting some “bad advice” from “these 30 and 40 somethings like Stephen Miller.”

    “You honestly think they’re going to be taking care of the presidential library a few years from now? No, they’re going to be riding the next horse or the next thing to get them money, fame, power, whatever they want,” Tillis said during the interview.

    Circling back to frustration over Trump’s staff again later in the interview, Tillis laid it out again.

    “I don’t like sycophants. I don’t like people giving me self-affirming messages. I don’t need them. I’m comfortable with myself. But, you know, maybe the president is getting hammered every day. He needs a few of those people around him [to] kind of keep his energy up, but right now, he’s got too many around him.”

    Tillis has an explanation for why he doesn’t spar with Trump directly.

    “I don’t criticize him, because I expect these people to protect him. I expect them to increase his batting average. I expect them to advance policies that make it more likely that Republicans can win in tough states like North Carolina, Maine, Ohio, Alaska, and I get really angry when I see amateurish policies that are attention getting having no respect whatsoever For the downstream political consequences of people in Congress,” Tillis said.

    Regardless of if Tillis’ most recent Trump administration truth tour is enough or too little to satisfy his colleagues on the other side of the aisle, there’s no doubt the North Carolina senator is unencumbered in a way he could not be a little over a year ago.

    Last January, Tillis was the subject of an intense lobbying effort to get him to “yes” on Trump’s Defense secretary nominee Pete Hegseth. Tillis had reservations and at one point pushed Majority Leader John Thune to delay a vote on his nomination. Thune rebuffed him, arguing that if he had direct concerns, he should take them to the White House. Tillis did. He attempted to contact and corroborate allegations of impropriety against Hegseth, which he denied.

    “To his credit, I put [Hegseth] through some pretty grueling face-to-face discussions, and he maintained his composure well, which gave him a little bit more credit in my mind while I’m also trying to figure out whether or not somebody would really step forward, and they didn’t,” Tillis said of the episode.

    Since his vote, Tillis has expressed frustrations with Hegseth’s management of the Pentagon, from his use of Signal to discuss plans for an attack in Yemen to telling CNN last year the defense secretary had a “mixed report card.”

    But if there is part of Tillis that regrets his choice to back Hegseth or would make another decision now, you’re not going to hear about it.

    The only thing that keeps him up at night? “Coffee,” Tillis quips.

    As for the president’s quips about the senator, Tillis has tried to make light of it all. When Trump called him a “loser,” he said he was “thrilled” because it meant he was qualified to serve as homeland security secretary or the president’s senior adviser.

    But there are limits to how much Tillis may be willing to take.

    “In truth, he hasn’t really been that unkind,” he said of Trump. ”But I am very strait-laced about that, and I just don’t deal with it. I don’t deal with it with anybody.”

    “I don’t care if it’s somebody that I encounter at Reagan National Airport or the president of United States. You either treat me with respect, and if you give me unwarranted angst, you’re likely to get the same in return.”

  • 消息:伊朗执行哈梅内伊遗志 扩大冲突施压美以停手


    发布/2026年3月4日 18:45

    视频截图显示,位于伊朗首都德黑兰以南库姆市的伊朗专家会议办公楼星期二遭以军击毁后,引起骚动。 (路透社)

    (伦敦综合电)伊朗消息人士透露,自去年6月遭美国和以色列袭击后,伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊和他的班底就着手制定一项“详尽”计划,一旦被攻击即将战乱局面扩散到整个中东,让全球市场遭受冲击,以施压美以停手。

    消息人士称:“我们别无选择,只能升级事态,引发轩然大波,让所有人都看清真相。当所有的红线被逾越,所有国际法都被公然践踏时,我们再也无法遵守游戏规则。”

    据悉,尽管哈梅内伊以及至少六名伊朗高级军事和情报官员,包括国防部长和革命卫队司令在美以的大规模空袭中丧命,此计划仍在执行。

    哈梅内伊身亡后,伊朗迅速任命的临时领导委员会成员之一、阿拉菲(Alireza Arafi)在一段视频讲话中称:“这场战争正按照(哈梅内伊的)精心策划展开。”

    《纽约时报》周二(3月3日)也发表分析文章指出,伊朗政权的首要目标是生存下来。要做到这点,就必须推高对美国总统特朗普的战争成本,包括美军伤亡、能源价格上涨和通货膨胀,以此逼迫特朗普宣布战争“胜利”并撤军。

    约翰斯霍普金斯大学伊朗问题专家纳斯尔认为,这场战争已经演变成一场意志和耐力的考验。“伊朗面临军事实力更胜一筹的对手,所以它的战略是通过扩大战场、使战争复杂化以及增加对世界经济的威胁来考验对手的意志。”

    布鲁塞尔智库国际危机组织的伊朗项目主任瓦埃兹分析说:“伊朗想尽可能地扩大痛苦,哪怕代价高昂,哪怕会损害自身利益,甚至加剧与邻国的紧张关系。他们也希望借此激起足够的反对声浪,迫使特朗普知难而退。”

    他补充说:“对伊朗而言,生存本身就是一种胜利,即便这是一场惨胜。”

    报道指,伊朗的作战计划被称为“非对称持久战”,即接受初期损失以保留在以色列、美国和波斯湾防空力量捉襟见肘时升级战事的能力。这个战略背后的逻辑是,面对美国中期选举的压力,以及“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动对特朗普政府决定对伊朗开战持有的怀疑态度,特朗普会选择在美军伤亡和通胀进一步加剧之前结束战争。

    消息:伊朗执行哈梅内伊遗志 扩大冲突施压美以停手

    发布/2026年3月4日 18:45

    视频截图显示,位于伊朗首都德黑兰以南库姆市的伊朗专家会议办公楼星期二遭以军击毁后,引起骚动。 (路透社)

    (伦敦综合电)伊朗消息人士透露,自去年6月遭美国和以色列袭击后,伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊和他的班底就着手制定一项“详尽”计划,一旦被攻击即将战乱局面扩散到整个中东,让全球市场遭受冲击,以施压美以停手。

    消息人士称:“我们别无选择,只能升级事态,引发轩然大波,让所有人都看清真相。当所有的红线被逾越,所有国际法都被公然践踏时,我们再也无法遵守游戏规则。”

    据悉,尽管哈梅内伊以及至少六名伊朗高级军事和情报官员,包括国防部长和革命卫队司令在美以的大规模空袭中丧命,此计划仍在执行。

    哈梅内伊身亡后,伊朗迅速任命的临时领导委员会成员之一、阿拉菲(Alireza Arafi)在一段视频讲话中称:“这场战争正按照(哈梅内伊的)精心策划展开。”

    《纽约时报》周二(3月3日)也发表分析文章指出,伊朗政权的首要目标是生存下来。要做到这点,就必须推高对美国总统特朗普的战争成本,包括美军伤亡、能源价格上涨和通货膨胀,以此逼迫特朗普宣布战争“胜利”并撤军。

    约翰斯霍普金斯大学伊朗问题专家纳斯尔认为,这场战争已经演变成一场意志和耐力的考验。“伊朗面临军事实力更胜一筹的对手,所以它的战略是通过扩大战场、使战争复杂化以及增加对世界经济的威胁来考验对手的意志。”

    布鲁塞尔智库国际危机组织的伊朗项目主任瓦埃兹分析说:“伊朗想尽可能地扩大痛苦,哪怕代价高昂,哪怕会损害自身利益,甚至加剧与邻国的紧张关系。他们也希望借此激起足够的反对声浪,迫使特朗普知难而退。”

    他补充说:“对伊朗而言,生存本身就是一种胜利,即便这是一场惨胜。”

    报道指,伊朗的作战计划被称为“非对称持久战”,即接受初期损失以保留在以色列、美国和波斯湾防空力量捉襟见肘时升级战事的能力。这个战略背后的逻辑是,面对美国中期选举的压力,以及“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动对特朗普政府决定对伊朗开战持有的怀疑态度,特朗普会选择在美军伤亡和通胀进一步加剧之前结束战争。

  • 伊朗危机考验特朗普在2024年胜选青年支持者中的地位


    2026年3月4日 上午11:04 UTC / 路透社

    作者:内森·莱恩(Nathan Layne)和亚历山德拉·米哈尔斯卡(Aleksandra Michalska)

    Image
    (注:此处为原文图片占位符,实际翻译不包含图片内容)

    U.S. President Donald Trump attends a Medal of Honor ceremony at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

    • 摘要
    • 特朗普青年选民支持打击行动,担忧局势升级
    • 支持杀死哈梅内伊的情绪中夹杂焦虑
    • 学生质疑特朗普“美国优先”政策的一致性
    • 对伊朗局势走向不明的担忧加剧
    • 特朗普的青年支持率出现下滑迹象

    新罕布什尔州曼彻斯特,3月4日(路透社) – 当迈克尔·利里得知美国对伊朗发动打击时,他质疑这一行动是否兑现了让他在2024年投票支持特朗普总统的“美国优先”承诺,并担心这可能将美国拖入又一场中东泥潭。

    这位19岁的学生表示,他对伊朗最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊(Ayatollah Ali Khamenei)的死亡感到欢迎,并不急于谴责特朗普的决定,希望与以色列的联合行动能迅速展开并减少美军伤亡。

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    “我支持特朗普的原因之一就是他会奉行‘美国优先’政策,这是他竞选时的口号,”利里说道,他在2024年投出了自己的第一张总统选票。

    “我并不反对战争或打击行动……我们需要进一步了解局势发展,但这似乎与他之前的表态有所背离。”

    在路透社本周于新罕布什尔州圣安塞尔姆学院采访的一个学生小组中,其他五名特朗普支持者也表达了类似的复杂情绪——既支持杀死哈梅内伊,又担忧特朗普推动的“政权更迭”可能将美国卷入长期冲突。

    年轻男性选民是2024年选举中的最大意外之一。在民主党多年主导青年投票后,他们开始转向支持特朗普。但最近的民调显示,由于对持续的通货膨胀和强硬的移民执法政策(部分人认为过于严苛)感到不满,这部分支持率正在下滑。

    路透社/益普索(Reuters/Ipsos)周末的民调显示,只有四分之一的美国人支持美国对伊朗发动打击。

    尽管学生小组样本规模较小,但已初步反映出部分年轻男性对伊朗打击行动的态度,这表明特朗普可能只有有限的窗口来为美国取得明确成果,并稳定已蔓延至黎巴嫩、撼动全球市场、推高油价的冲突。

    迅速结束伊朗战争可能有助于特朗普塑造果断指挥官的形象,但长期冲突则可能疏远那些助力他2024年东山再起的年轻男性。

    20岁的政治学专业学生约翰·菲茨帕特里克表示,他支持“摧毁”伊朗政权,认为其长期威胁美国安全,而伊朗的报复性打击只是“垂死挣扎”。

    “看到政权更迭会很好——但我们不应像在伊拉克那样派驻地面部队或深陷其中,”担任圣安塞尔姆学院共和党主席的菲茨帕特里克说,“总体而言,这是积极的一步。”

    20岁的阿尔忒弥斯·盖林(Artemius Gehring)也表示赞同,认为特朗普的目标是结束自1979年人质危机以来的长期冲突——当时伊朗激进分子占领了美国驻德黑兰大使馆,并扣押数十名美国人长达444天。

    “我认为他正在努力结束这场冲突,”盖林说,“这是正确的举措。”

    局势走向不明引发担忧

    20岁的大二学生泰勒·维茨加(Tyler Witzgall)表示,虽然支持杀死哈梅内伊,但他担心特朗普政府似乎缺乏具体的替换计划,这种权力真空可能加剧伊朗的不稳定甚至内战。

    “他让伊朗人民起来接管政府,但这说起来容易做起来难,”维茨加说,“如果目前没有明确的计划(或我们已知的计划),我们为何要采取这些行动?”

    维茨加认为,伊朗打击行动与1月抓捕委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗(Nicolás Maduro)的行动一样,反映出特朗普政府对外交政策的过度强调。他表示,投票支持特朗普是为了推动经济增长和实现国内优先事项,希望其将更多精力放在这些方面。

    特朗普关于抑制通货膨胀、促进经济增长和加强移民执法的承诺吸引了年轻男性。皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)分析的出口民调显示,在2024年选举中,特朗普赢得了18-29岁男性46%的选票,而民主党候选人、前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)获得51%。这与2020年形成巨大反差,当时特朗普年轻男性选民支持率比拜登低14个百分点(53% vs 39%)。

    然而,最新民调显示这些优势正在消失。路透社/益普索2025年2月民调显示,18-29岁男性对特朗普的支持率从2025年2月的43%降至33%。

    伊朗危机的解决方式将决定特朗普支持率是上升还是下降,这可能影响11月中期选举中共和党的选情。美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)对1004名美国人的民调显示,18-34岁选民对打击行动的反对态度最为强烈,71%表示不支持。

    利里表示,现在判断伊朗打击行动是否正确还为时过早。

    “这可能最终成为正确的举措,或者我们可能在伊朗陷入30多年的战争,耗费大量本可用于国内的资金。”

    报道:内森·莱恩、亚历山德拉·米哈尔斯卡
    编辑:罗斯·科尔文、迈克尔·佩里

    标准声明路透社信托原则

    Iran crisis tests Trump standing with young men who helped power 2024 win

    March 4, 2026 11:04 AM UTC / Reuters

    By Nathan Layne and Aleksandra Michalska

    U.S. President Donald Trump attends a Medal of Honor ceremony at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

    • Summary
    • Young Trump voters back strike, fear escalation
    • Support for killing Khamenei mixed with anxiety
    • Students question Trump’s “America First” consistency
    • Worries grow over unclear Iran end‑game
    • Youth backing for Trump shows signs of slipping

    MANCHESTER, New Hampshire, March 4 (Reuters) – When Michael Leary learned the United States had struck Iran, he questioned whether the move honored the “America First” pledge that earned his vote for President Donald Trump and feared it could pull ​the country into another Middle East quagmire.

    Yet the 19-year-old student said he welcomed news of the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and was not ready to condemn Trump’s decision, ‌expressing hope the joint operation with Israel would be swift and spare American lives.

    The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here.

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    “One of my things with Trump was it was going to be ‘America First.’ That was the rhetoric he was running on,” said Leary, who cast his first presidential ballot for Trump in 2024.

    “It’s not that I disagree with the war or the strikes … We need to learn more and see what’s going to happen. But it felt like a step back from what he was saying.”

    That mix of ​approval and unease — support for killing Khamenei while worrying that Trump’s push for “regime change” could pull the U.S. into a prolonged conflict — was echoed by five other Trump voters on a ​student panel that Reuters interviewed this week at Saint Anselm College in New Hampshire.

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    Young male voters were one of the biggest surprises of the 2024 election, swinging toward ⁠Trump after years of Democrats dominating the youth vote. But recent public opinion polls show that support slipping amid frustration over persistent inflation and hard-line immigration enforcement, tactics that some view as overly harsh.

    Only one in ​four Americans support the U.S. strikes, Reuters/Ipsos polling at the weekend found.

    The student panel, while a small sample, offers an early snapshot of how some young men are processing the Iran strikes, suggesting Trump may have ​a limited window to deliver clear gains for the United States and stabilize a conflict that has spread to Lebanon, rattled global markets and sent oil prices sharply higher.

    A swift end to the Iran war could help Trump project an image as a decisive commander in chief, but a drawn-out conflict risks alienating the young men who helped power his 2024 resurgence.

    John Fitzpatrick, a 20-year-old politics major, said he supported “decapitating” an Iranian regime he viewed as a longstanding threat to Americans and ​dismissed Iran’s retaliatory strikes as “scrambling for one last gasp of air.”

    “It would be nice to see regime change — not that we should have boots on the ground or be as deeply entrenched as we were ​in Iraq,” said Fitzpatrick, who chairs the Saint Anselm College Republicans. “I think it’s overall positive.”

    Artemius Gehring, 20, agreed, saying Trump’s objective was to bring closure to a longstanding conflict stretching back to the 1979 hostage crisis, when Iranian ‌militants seized the ⁠U.S. embassy in Tehran and held dozens of Americans for 444 days.

    “I think what he’s trying to do is just end it,” Gehring said. “It’s the right move.”

    LACK OF AN END-GAME A WORRY

    Tyler Witzgall, a 20-year-old sophomore, said that while he supported the killing of Khamenei he was worried about the apparent lack of a concrete plan by the Trump administration to replace him, a vacuum he feared could fuel instability or even civil war.

    “He’s telling the people of Iran to rise up and take over the government, and that’s easier said than done,” Witzgall said. “Why are we taking these actions when there’s no specific plan right now ​or none that we know of?”

    Witzgall said the ​Iran strikes, along with the capture of Venezuela’s ⁠Nicolás Maduro in January, reflected what he saw as an overemphasis on foreign policy. He said he voted for Trump to boost the economy and deliver on domestic priorities and would like to see him focus more of his attention there.

    Trump’s promises to rein in inflation, boost growth and toughen immigration enforcement ​helped attract young men to his campaign. Exit polling analyzed by the Pew Research Center shows he won 46% of men ages 18 to 29 ​in the 2024 election, compared ⁠with 51% for the Democratic nominee, former Vice President Kamala Harris. That marks a big shift from 2020, when Trump lost young men to President Joe Biden by 14 points, 53% to 39%.

    Yet recent polling shows those gains have evaporated. In February, some 33% of men aged 18-29 approved of Trump’s performance in the White House, down from 43% in the same month of 2025, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling during those periods.

    How the Iran crisis ⁠is resolved could ​determine whether Trump’s approval rating rises or falls, with potential consequences for Republicans in November’s midterms. A CNN poll of ​1,004 Americans found that voters ages 18 to 34 registered the strongest opposition to the strikes, with 71% saying they disapproved.

    Leary said it was too soon to say whether the Iran attacks were the correct course of action.

    “It could absolutely turn into the right ​move, or we could stay in Iran for 30-plus years, spend a ton of money – money that could have been spent at home.”

    Reporting by Nathan Layne and Aleksandra Michalska, editing by Ross Colvin and Michael Perry

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  • 新闻


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    消息:伊朗执行哈梅内伊遗志 扩大冲突施压美以停手

    发布时间:2026年3月4日 18:45 / 来源:联合早报

    视频截图显示,位于伊朗首都德黑兰以南库姆市的伊朗专家会议办公楼星期二遭以军击毁后,引起骚动。 (路透社)

    (伦敦综合电)伊朗消息人士透露,自去年6月遭美国和以色列袭击后,伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊和他的班底就着手制定一项“详尽”计划,一旦被攻击即将战乱局面扩散到整个中东,让全球市场遭受冲击,以施压美以停手。

    消息人士称:“我们别无选择,只能升级事态,引发轩然大波,让所有人都看清真相。当所有的红线被逾越,所有国际法都被公然践踏时,我们再也无法遵守游戏规则。”

    据悉,尽管哈梅内伊以及至少六名伊朗高级军事和情报官员,包括国防部长和革命卫队司令在美以的大规模空袭中丧命,此计划仍在执行。

    哈梅内伊身亡后,伊朗迅速任命的临时领导委员会成员之一、阿拉菲(Alireza Arafi)在一段视频讲话中称:“这场战争正按照(哈梅内伊的)精心策划展开。”

    《纽约时报》周二(3月3日)也发表分析文章指出,伊朗政权的首要目标是生存下来。要做到这点,就必须推高对美国总统特朗普的战争成本,包括美军伤亡、能源价格上涨和通货膨胀,以此逼迫特朗普宣布战争“胜利”并撤军。

    约翰斯霍普金斯大学伊朗问题专家纳斯尔认为,这场战争已经演变成一场意志和耐力的考验。“伊朗面临军事实力更胜一筹的对手,所以它的战略是通过扩大战场、使战争复杂化以及增加对世界经济的威胁来考验对手的意志。”

    布鲁塞尔智库国际危机组织的伊朗项目主任瓦埃兹分析说:“伊朗想尽可能地扩大痛苦,哪怕代价高昂,哪怕会损害自身利益,甚至加剧与邻国的紧张关系。他们也希望借此激起足够的反对声浪,迫使特朗普知难而退。”

    他补充说:“对伊朗而言,生存本身就是一种胜利,即便这是一场惨胜。”

    报道指,伊朗的作战计划被称为“非对称持久战”,即接受初期损失以保留在以色列、美国和波斯湾防空力量捉襟见肘时升级战事的能力。这个战略背后的逻辑是,面对美国中期选举的压力,以及“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动对特朗普政府决定对伊朗开战持有的怀疑态度,特朗普会选择在美军伤亡和通胀进一步加剧之前结束战争。

  • 佐伦·曼达尼为何谴责美以打击伊朗


    发布于 2026年3月4日,美国东部时间上午6:00 / 美国有线电视新闻网

    作者:凯瑟琳·科雷茨基、马克·莫拉莱斯

    7分钟前

    就在唐纳德·特朗普总统宣布美国和以色列对伊朗发动军事打击后不久,纽约市市长佐伦·曼达尼(Zohran Mamdani)发表了评论。

    “这是一场非法侵略战争的灾难性升级,”他在社交平台X上的帖子中表示。

    “轰炸城市。杀害平民。开启新的战争战场,”曼达尼周六在X上发文称。“美国人不想要这个。他们不希望为了政权更迭而发动另一场战争。他们希望缓解经济负担危机。他们渴望和平。”

    曼达尼的反对立场比许多其他纽约民选官员或资深民主党人更为坚决——后者认为特朗普在发动打击前应寻求国会批准。相反,他遭到批评者的谴责,这些人指责他支持伊朗而非美国——这一反应凸显了曼达尼在平衡其选民政治立场与国际城市居民多元观点之间走钢丝的处境。

    “纽约市市长在国际上拥有发声权,这有诸多具体原因,”曼达尼的支持者、前纽约市市长比尔·德布拉西奥(Bill de Blasio)告诉CNN。

    曼达尼凭借年轻选民压倒性的支持而上台,在去年的市长选举中,他以60个百分点的优势击败了前州长安德鲁·科莫(Andrew Cuomo)。

    [相关文章:伊朗德黑兰发生爆炸后烟雾升腾。Majid Asgaripour/Wana新闻社/路透社] [CNN民调:59%的美国人不赞成对伊朗发动打击,多数人认为长期冲突可能发生 4分钟阅读]

    他反对美国对伊朗发动攻击的言论,与美国全国范围内CNN民调显示的年轻美国人观点基本一致。在30岁以下人群中,76%的人不赞成在伊朗采取军事行动,这一比例比年长成年人高出两位数。

    由年轻人主导的组织“明日选民”(Voters of Tomorrow)支持市长的立场。该组织传播主任杰西卡·西莱斯(Jessica Siles)在声明中告诉CNN:“佐伦说得完全正确,美国人不想要这场战争。Z世代与他站在一起,谴责唐纳德·特朗普发动的无端侵略战争。”

    作为该市首位穆斯林市长和历史上最年轻的市长之一,曼达尼提及了美国在伊拉克战争中的记忆——根据布朗大学“战争代价”项目的数据,美军当时基于后来被揭穿的伊拉克政府拥有大规模杀伤性武器的指控,陷入了长达数年的冲突,造成约27.5万至30万人死亡(包括4600名美军士兵)。

    “我之前说过,伊朗政府对本国人民进行系统性镇压,今年早些时候甚至杀害了数千名寻求表达最基本异议的伊朗人,”曼达尼周二在新闻发布会上表示。

    “这是一个残暴的政府,我也说过,虽然我是一位年轻的市长,但我已足够年长,还记得我们国家在这个地区为政权更迭而发动战争带来的毁灭性后果。”

    保守派声音抨击曼达尼。

    前纽约市市长埃里克·亚当斯(Eric Adams)在X上回复新任市长的帖子称:“尖叫抗议的通常是极左和极右的政治狂热分子。”德克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹(Ted Cruz)称曼达尼是“仇恨美国的共产主义者”。

    与此同时,美国民主社会主义者(Democratic Socialists of America)表示,他们“坚定支持”该组织首位出身的市长。

    “美国人需要解决经济负担危机的方案,而非美以联合对伊朗发动侵略战争。我们明确谴责对伊朗的袭击及其对其主权的侵犯,”美国民主社会主义者在声明中说。

    加强安保


    曼达尼在袭击发生后也在社交媒体上发文称,他已与纽约警察局局长杰西卡·蒂施(Jessica Tisch)和其他应急管理官员联系,讨论在他所谓的全市“敏感地点”部署警力的问题。

    据一名市政官员透露,蒂施和其他纽约警察局高级官员周六上午以及周一下午再次向曼达尼通报了情况。

    该官员表示,曼达尼预计会根据需要每两到三天举行一次简报会。目前的重点是执法部门监控潜在的模仿攻击,到目前为止还没有可信的威胁。

    反恐和巡逻部队有一份在高关注度活动期间需要加强保护的地点清单。精英反恐部队主要部署在曼哈顿和布鲁克林的高关注度地点,而巡逻部队负责其余地区的安保。

    一名官员表示,自9/11事件后的几十年里,该地区执法部门多次采取类似措施,历史上很少需要市政厅的直接指示。

    曼达尼与特朗普的关系


    特朗普和曼达尼上周四在椭圆形办公室会面,讨论住房问题,同时也涉及美国移民和海关执法局在纽约开展的行动。

    曼达尼周五在新闻发布会上表示,双方会面“富有成效”,并将继续进行对话,但未具体说明是否计划再次一对一会面。

    今年1月,曼达尼就职几天后就致电特朗普,“表达对抓捕委内瑞拉领导人尼古拉斯·马杜罗及其妻子的反对”。“单方面攻击主权国家是战争行为,违反联邦和国际法,”他在X上写道。

    [相关文章:2025年11月21日,总统唐纳德·特朗普在白宫椭圆形办公室会见纽约市市长当选人佐伦·曼达尼(左)。Andrew Harnik/盖蒂图片社] [曼达尼称已要求特朗普撤回针对这些亲巴勒斯坦活动人士的移民案件 9分钟阅读]

    曼达尼在周二的新闻发布会上表示,他自上周的会面后尚未与特朗普总统交谈。

    “我认为更重要的是,他向特朗普提出了合作解决住房危机的想法,并允许特朗普在纽约市取得重大成就,”德布拉西奥告诉CNN。“对特朗普来说,这比曼达尼反对伊朗行动更重要,而这一点没人会感到意外。”

    Why Zohran Mamdani denounced the US-Israeli strikes on Iran

    Published Mar 4, 2026, 6:00 AM ET / CNN

    By

    Katherine Koretski
    ,

    Mark Morales

    7 min ago

    Shortly after President Donald Trump announced that the US and Israel had carried out military strikes in Iran, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani weighed in.

    “A catastrophic escalation in an illegal war of aggression,” he said in a post on X.

    “Bombing cities. Killing civilians. Opening a new theater of war,” Mamdani wrote in a post on X on Saturday. “Americans do not want this. They do not want another war in pursuit of regime change. They want relief from the affordability crisis. They want peace.”

    Mamdani came out in more emphatic opposition than many other New York elected officials or top Democrats who argued Trump should have sought congressional approval prior to the strikes. In turn, he was denounced by critics who accused him of siding with Iran over the US – a reaction that highlights the delicate line Mamdani walks balancing the politics of his base with the diverse views of the residents of an international city.

    “There’s a lot of specific reasons a mayor of New York City has a voice internationally,” former New York City Mayor Bill De Blasio, a Mamdani supporter, told CNN.

    Mamdani rose to power on the strength of overwhelming support with younger voters, who backed him over former Gov. Andrew Cuomo by 60 points in last year’s mayoral election.

    [Related article Smoke rises following an explosion in Tehran, Iran, on Sunday. Majid Asgaripour/Wana News Agency/Reuters CNN poll: 59% of Americans disapprove of Iran strikes and most think a long-term conflict is likely 4 min read]

    His comments opposing the launch of US attacks against Iran broadly align with the views of younger Americans nationwide in CNN’s polling. Among those younger than 30, 76% disapprove of the decision to take military action there, outpacing disapproval among older adults by double-digits.

    Voters of Tomorrow, a youth-led organization, support the mayor’s position. “Zohran is absolutely correct in saying that Americans do not want this. Gen Z stands with him in condemning Donald Trump’s unjustified war of aggression,” Jessica Siles, communications director for the organization, told CNN in a statement.

    Mamdani, the city’s first Muslim mayor and one of its youngest in history, referenced memories of the US war in Iraq, in which American troops – acting on since-debunked claims that the Iraqi government possessed weapons of mass destruction – were mired in a years-long conflict that resulted in an estimated 275,000 to 300,000 deaths, including 4,600 US troops, according to Brown University’s Costs of War project.

    “I’ve said before that the Iranian government has engaged in systematic repression of its own people, even killing thousands of Iranians who were seeking to express the most basic forms of dissent earlier this year,” Mamdani said at a news conference on Tuesday.

    “It is a brutal government, and I’ve also said that, while I may be a young mayor, I am old enough to remember the devastating consequences of our country pursuing a war with the intent of regime change in that very same region not that many years ago.”

    Conservative voices slammed Mamdani.

    Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams replied to the new mayor’s post on X saying, “The ones screaming in protest are the usual political fanatics on the far left and far right.” Texas Sen. Ted Cruz called Mamdani a “communist who hates America.”

    The Democratic Socialists of America, meanwhile, said it stood “firmly in agreement” with the first mayor to come from its group.

    “Americans want solutions to the affordability crisis, not a joint US-Israeli war of aggression against Iran. We unequivocally condemn the attacks on Iran and the violations of its sovereignty,” DSA said in a statement.

    Increased security


    Mamdani also posted on social media following the attack that he had been in contact with NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch and other emergency management officials regarding deployments to what he called “sensitive locations” around the city.

    Tisch and other top NYPD officials briefed Mamdani Saturday morning and again Monday afternoon, according to a city official.

    Mamdani is expected to hold these briefings every two to three days as needed, the official said. The focus so far has been on law enforcement monitoring for potential copycat attacks, the official said. So far, there have not been any credible threats.

    Counterterrorism and patrol units have a working list of places to add protection to during high profile events, according to a law enforcement official. Elite counterterrorism units are mostly deployed to high-profile locations in Manhattan and Brooklyn while patrol units handle the rest.

    It’s a process that law enforcement in the area has repeated many times in the decades since 9/11, and one that, historically, has needed little direction from City Hall, the official said.

    Mamdani’s relationship with Trump


    Trump and Mamdani met in the Oval Office last Thursday in a meeting focused on housing that also included a discussion about US Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations being carried out in New York.

    Mamdani said in a news conference on Friday that the two had a “productive” meeting and that it would be part of a continuing conversation, though Mamdani didn’t share specifics on if another one-on-one had been planned.

    In January, just days after his inauguration, Mamdani called Trump to “register his opposition” in the capturing of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife. “Unilaterally attacking a sovereign nation is an act of war and a violation of federal and international law,” he wrote on X.

    [Related article President Donald Trump meets with New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani (L) in the Oval Office of the White House on November 21, 2025 in Washington, DC. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images Mamdani says he’s asked Trump to drop immigration cases against these pro-Palestinian activists 9 min read]

    Mamdani said at a press conference on Tuesday that he has not spoken to President Trump since their meeting last week.

    “I think it’s much more important that he offered Trump the idea of collaborating on the affordable housing plan and allowing Trump to do something monumental in New York City,” De Blasio told CNN. “That is much more important to Trump than Mamdani opposing action in Iran in a way that no one will be surprised by.”

  • 中东战火持续:美方称战事超预期 伊朗防空受重创


    发布/2026年3月4日 19:19

    美伊冲突加剧,美方宣称战事进展超出预期,指伊朗防空系统遭受严重损害。图为星期三(3月4日),伊朗导弹划过夜空,射向以色列占领的约旦河西岸。 (法新社)

    (迪拜/特拉维夫/华盛顿综合电)中东战事未见缓和迹象,美以联军继续深入打击伊朗境内目标。美军中央司令部宣称战事进展超出预期,已击沉17艘伊朗舰艇,并摧毁逾2000个伊朗目标;伊朗则持续对波斯湾国家发动袭击报复。

    美军中央司令库珀星期二(3月3日)晚发布的视频简报指出,“史诗狂怒行动”在头24小时内对伊朗的轰炸规模,几乎是2003年伊拉克战争“震慑与敬畏”行动启动首日的一倍。

    库珀指出,伊朗防空系统严重受损,17艘海军舰艇被击沉,关键航道已无可用舰艇。美军还打击逾2000个目标,并部署5万名士兵与更多作战能力。

    以色列军方宣称,午夜过后已在伊朗各地发动“一波大规模打击”,摧毁约60个真主党和哈马斯相关目标。

    伊朗誓言将以沉重代价报复,并警告称,只要敌人试图伤害伊朗主要中心,伊朗便将打击整个地区的所有经济中心。据伊朗公布的数据,截至星期二,已有约787伊朗人死亡。

    星期二早些时候,美国驻迪拜领事馆证实遭无人机攻击,但国务卿鲁比奥称未造成人员伤亡。此前不到24小时,美国驻利雅得大使馆也遭两架无人机袭击。另有消息称,中央情报局驻沙特办公室遭到无人机袭击。

    冲突外溢至欧洲东部 以军续袭黎巴嫩

    冲突外溢效应在黎巴嫩迅速扩大。以色列星期三(4日)继续在邻国打击真主党目标,击中贝鲁特一家酒店及一处住宅建筑,造成至少六人死亡、八人受伤。

    欧洲东部的安全也随之承压。塞浦路斯一处英军空军基地星期天(1日)疑遭从黎巴嫩发射的无人机袭击后,英国、法国与希腊星期二迅速派遣防空力量、战机与军舰前往支援。

    海湾多地则持续遭受伊朗打击;截至星期二,迪拜上空仍可听到战机轰鸣。不过阿联酋外交部称,尽管阿联酋遭受的袭击次数已逾1000次,超过所有其他受攻击国家的总和,但阿方目前仍无计划对伊朗反击。

    战火冲击全球能源航空 特朗普扬言为油轮护航图稳油市

    伊朗阻断全球能源命脉霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输后,油价飙升逾10%。

    美国总统特朗普星期二称,必要时,美军将尽快为油轮护航穿过霍尔木兹海峡,并称美国国际开发金融公司将以“非常合理的价格”向相关业者提供保险。

    特朗普说,美国民众或需在短期内承受更高油价,“但只要这一切结束,我相信价格就会下跌,甚至会比以前更低……无论如何,美国将确保能源向全世界自由流动”。

    这项宣布是特朗普政府迄今为遏制能源价格上涨、安抚油市所采取的最强硬举措之一。汽油价格已升至五个月来的高位,在美国今年11月中期选举前,油价持续走高将为特朗普带来政治风险。

    另据航空数据分析公司Cirium统计,从上周六到周一,至少有1万2903趟航班取消,占原计划航班的40%;受影响旅客人数估计已超过100万人。

    美国国务院宣布,将派遣包机协助受困中东的美国公民撤离。据知,战事爆发以来,已有9000名美公民撤离,约1600人寻求帮助。

    英国、法国、德国、意大利与西班牙等国也在积极筹备包机或增班,设法接回滞留公民。

    中东战火持续:美方称战事超预期 伊朗防空受重创

    发布/2026年3月4日 19:19

    美伊冲突加剧,美方宣称战事进展超出预期,指伊朗防空系统遭受严重损害。图为星期三(3月4日),伊朗导弹划过夜空,射向以色列占领的约旦河西岸。 (法新社)

    (迪拜/特拉维夫/华盛顿综合电)中东战事未见缓和迹象,美以联军继续深入打击伊朗境内目标。美军中央司令部宣称战事进展超出预期,已击沉17艘伊朗舰艇,并摧毁逾2000个伊朗目标;伊朗则持续对波斯湾国家发动袭击报复。

    美军中央司令库珀星期二(3月3日)晚发布的视频简报指出,“史诗狂怒行动”在头24小时内对伊朗的轰炸规模,几乎是2003年伊拉克战争“震慑与敬畏”行动启动首日的一倍。

    库珀指出,伊朗防空系统严重受损,17艘海军舰艇被击沉,关键航道已无可用舰艇。美军还打击逾2000个目标,并部署5万名士兵与更多作战能力。

    以色列军方宣称,午夜过后已在伊朗各地发动“一波大规模打击”,摧毁约60个真主党和哈马斯相关目标。

    伊朗誓言将以沉重代价报复,并警告称,只要敌人试图伤害伊朗主要中心,伊朗便将打击整个地区的所有经济中心。据伊朗公布的数据,截至星期二,已有约787伊朗人死亡。

    星期二早些时候,美国驻迪拜领事馆证实遭无人机攻击,但国务卿鲁比奥称未造成人员伤亡。此前不到24小时,美国驻利雅得大使馆也遭两架无人机袭击。另有消息称,中央情报局驻沙特办公室遭到无人机袭击。

    冲突外溢至欧洲东部 以军续袭黎巴嫩

    冲突外溢效应在黎巴嫩迅速扩大。以色列星期三(4日)继续在邻国打击真主党目标,击中贝鲁特一家酒店及一处住宅建筑,造成至少六人死亡、八人受伤。

    欧洲东部的安全也随之承压。塞浦路斯一处英军空军基地星期天(1日)疑遭从黎巴嫩发射的无人机袭击后,英国、法国与希腊星期二迅速派遣防空力量、战机与军舰前往支援。

    海湾多地则持续遭受伊朗打击;截至星期二,迪拜上空仍可听到战机轰鸣。不过阿联酋外交部称,尽管阿联酋遭受的袭击次数已逾1000次,超过所有其他受攻击国家的总和,但阿方目前仍无计划对伊朗反击。

    战火冲击全球能源航空 特朗普扬言为油轮护航图稳油市

    伊朗阻断全球能源命脉霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输后,油价飙升逾10%。

    美国总统特朗普星期二称,必要时,美军将尽快为油轮护航穿过霍尔木兹海峡,并称美国国际开发金融公司将以“非常合理的价格”向相关业者提供保险。

    特朗普说,美国民众或需在短期内承受更高油价,“但只要这一切结束,我相信价格就会下跌,甚至会比以前更低……无论如何,美国将确保能源向全世界自由流动”。

    这项宣布是特朗普政府迄今为遏制能源价格上涨、安抚油市所采取的最强硬举措之一。汽油价格已升至五个月来的高位,在美国今年11月中期选举前,油价持续走高将为特朗普带来政治风险。

    另据航空数据分析公司Cirium统计,从上周六到周一,至少有1万2903趟航班取消,占原计划航班的40%;受影响旅客人数估计已超过100万人。

    美国国务院宣布,将派遣包机协助受困中东的美国公民撤离。据知,战事爆发以来,已有9000名美公民撤离,约1600人寻求帮助。

    英国、法国、德国、意大利与西班牙等国也在积极筹备包机或增班,设法接回滞留公民。

  • 中东战火持续:美方称战事超预期 伊朗防空受重创 | 联合早报


    发布/2026年3月4日 19:19 | 联合早报

    美伊冲突加剧,美方宣称战事进展超出预期,指伊朗防空系统遭受严重损害。图为星期三(3月4日),伊朗导弹划过夜空,射向以色列占领的约旦河西岸。 (法新社)

    (迪拜/特拉维夫/华盛顿综合电)中东战事未见缓和迹象,美以联军继续深入打击伊朗境内目标。美军中央司令部宣称战事进展超出预期,已击沉17艘伊朗舰艇,并摧毁逾2000个伊朗目标;伊朗则持续对波斯湾国家发动袭击报复。

    美军中央司令库珀星期二(3月3日)晚发布的视频简报指出,“史诗狂怒行动”在头24小时内对伊朗的轰炸规模,几乎是2003年伊拉克战争“震慑与敬畏”行动启动首日的一倍。

    库珀指出,伊朗防空系统严重受损,17艘海军舰艇被击沉,关键航道已无可用舰艇。美军还打击逾2000个目标,并部署5万名士兵与更多作战能力。

    以色列军方宣称,午夜过后已在伊朗各地发动“一波大规模打击”,摧毁约60个真主党和哈马斯相关目标。

    伊朗誓言将以沉重代价报复,并警告称,只要敌人试图伤害伊朗主要中心,伊朗便将打击整个地区的所有经济中心。据伊朗公布的数据,截至星期二,已有约787伊朗人死亡。

    星期二早些时候,美国驻迪拜领事馆证实遭无人机攻击,但国务卿鲁比奥称未造成人员伤亡。此前不到24小时,美国驻利雅得大使馆也遭两架无人机袭击。另有消息称,中央情报局驻沙特办公室遭到无人机袭击。

    冲突外溢至欧洲东部 以军续袭黎巴嫩

    冲突外溢效应在黎巴嫩迅速扩大。以色列星期三(4日)继续在邻国打击真主党目标,击中贝鲁特一家酒店及一处住宅建筑,造成至少六人死亡、八人受伤。

    欧洲东部的安全也随之承压。塞浦路斯一处英军空军基地星期天(1日)疑遭从黎巴嫩发射的无人机袭击后,英国、法国与希腊星期二迅速派遣防空力量、战机与军舰前往支援。

    海湾多地则持续遭受伊朗打击;截至星期二,迪拜上空仍可听到战机轰鸣。不过阿联酋外交部称,尽管阿联酋遭受的袭击次数已逾1000次,超过所有其他受攻击国家的总和,但阿方目前仍无计划对伊朗反击。

    战火冲击全球能源航空 特朗普扬言为油轮护航图稳油市

    伊朗阻断全球能源命脉霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输后,油价飙升逾10%。

    美国总统特朗普星期二称,必要时,美军将尽快为油轮护航穿过霍尔木兹海峡,并称美国国际开发金融公司将以“非常合理的价格”向相关业者提供保险。

    特朗普说,美国民众或需在短期内承受更高油价,“但只要这一切结束,我相信价格就会下跌,甚至会比以前更低……无论如何,美国将确保能源向全世界自由流动”。

    这项宣布是特朗普政府迄今为遏制能源价格上涨、安抚油市所采取的最强硬举措之一。汽油价格已升至五个月来的高位,在美国今年11月中期选举前,油价持续走高将为特朗普带来政治风险。

    另据航空数据分析公司Cirium统计,从上周六到周一,至少有1万2903趟航班取消,占原计划航班的40%;受影响旅客人数估计已超过100万人。

    美国国务院宣布,将派遣包机协助受困中东的美国公民撤离。据知,战事爆发以来,已有9000名美公民撤离,约1600人寻求帮助。

    英国、法国、德国、意大利与西班牙等国也在积极筹备包机或增班,设法接回滞留公民。

    中东战火持续:美方称战事超预期 伊朗防空受重创 | 联合早报

    发布/2026年3月4日 19:19 | 联合早报

    美伊冲突加剧,美方宣称战事进展超出预期,指伊朗防空系统遭受严重损害。图为星期三(3月4日),伊朗导弹划过夜空,射向以色列占领的约旦河西岸。 (法新社)

    (迪拜/特拉维夫/华盛顿综合电)中东战事未见缓和迹象,美以联军继续深入打击伊朗境内目标。美军中央司令部宣称战事进展超出预期,已击沉17艘伊朗舰艇,并摧毁逾2000个伊朗目标;伊朗则持续对波斯湾国家发动袭击报复。

    美军中央司令库珀星期二(3月3日)晚发布的视频简报指出,“史诗狂怒行动”在头24小时内对伊朗的轰炸规模,几乎是2003年伊拉克战争“震慑与敬畏”行动启动首日的一倍。

    库珀指出,伊朗防空系统严重受损,17艘海军舰艇被击沉,关键航道已无可用舰艇。美军还打击逾2000个目标,并部署5万名士兵与更多作战能力。

    以色列军方宣称,午夜过后已在伊朗各地发动“一波大规模打击”,摧毁约60个真主党和哈马斯相关目标。

    伊朗誓言将以沉重代价报复,并警告称,只要敌人试图伤害伊朗主要中心,伊朗便将打击整个地区的所有经济中心。据伊朗公布的数据,截至星期二,已有约787伊朗人死亡。

    星期二早些时候,美国驻迪拜领事馆证实遭无人机攻击,但国务卿鲁比奥称未造成人员伤亡。此前不到24小时,美国驻利雅得大使馆也遭两架无人机袭击。另有消息称,中央情报局驻沙特办公室遭到无人机袭击。

    冲突外溢至欧洲东部 以军续袭黎巴嫩

    冲突外溢效应在黎巴嫩迅速扩大。以色列星期三(4日)继续在邻国打击真主党目标,击中贝鲁特一家酒店及一处住宅建筑,造成至少六人死亡、八人受伤。

    欧洲东部的安全也随之承压。塞浦路斯一处英军空军基地星期天(1日)疑遭从黎巴嫩发射的无人机袭击后,英国、法国与希腊星期二迅速派遣防空力量、战机与军舰前往支援。

    海湾多地则持续遭受伊朗打击;截至星期二,迪拜上空仍可听到战机轰鸣。不过阿联酋外交部称,尽管阿联酋遭受的袭击次数已逾1000次,超过所有其他受攻击国家的总和,但阿方目前仍无计划对伊朗反击。

    战火冲击全球能源航空 特朗普扬言为油轮护航图稳油市

    伊朗阻断全球能源命脉霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输后,油价飙升逾10%。

    美国总统特朗普星期二称,必要时,美军将尽快为油轮护航穿过霍尔木兹海峡,并称美国国际开发金融公司将以“非常合理的价格”向相关业者提供保险。

    特朗普说,美国民众或需在短期内承受更高油价,“但只要这一切结束,我相信价格就会下跌,甚至会比以前更低……无论如何,美国将确保能源向全世界自由流动”。

    这项宣布是特朗普政府迄今为遏制能源价格上涨、安抚油市所采取的最强硬举措之一。汽油价格已升至五个月来的高位,在美国今年11月中期选举前,油价持续走高将为特朗普带来政治风险。

    另据航空数据分析公司Cirium统计,从上周六到周一,至少有1万2903趟航班取消,占原计划航班的40%;受影响旅客人数估计已超过100万人。

    美国国务院宣布,将派遣包机协助受困中东的美国公民撤离。据知,战事爆发以来,已有9000名美公民撤离,约1600人寻求帮助。

    英国、法国、德国、意大利与西班牙等国也在积极筹备包机或增班,设法接回滞留公民。

  • 詹姆斯·塔拉利科将赢得得克萨斯州参议院民主党初选,CNN项目预测


    2026-03-04T06:54:50.762Z / CNN

    作者:[阿莱特·塞恩斯]

    更新于1小时5分钟前

    更新于2026年3月4日,美国东部时间凌晨2:05

    发布于2026年3月4日,美国东部时间凌晨1:54

    主要选举 参议院选举 美国选举 国会新闻

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    image

    (注:此处应为原文图片位置,图片描述为:得克萨斯州奥斯汀,2026年2月17日,州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉利科在投票后向媒体发表讲话。埃里克·盖伊/美联社)

    州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉利科将赢得美国参议院得克萨斯州民主党初选,美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)决策部门预测,这将使这位曾经鲜为人知的州议员成为该党11月大选候选人名单的首选。

    这位36岁的候选人将击败来自达拉斯地区、44岁的民主党众议员贾斯敏·克罗基特。这场竞争激烈的初选变得愈发个人化。他将面临美国参议员约翰·科宁或得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿的挑战,而CNN预测科宁和帕克斯顿将进入5月26日的决选。

    • 关键选情

    参议院:得克萨斯州


    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 詹姆斯·塔拉利科(民主党) | 53.1% | 1,117,846 | 领先158,561票 |
    | 贾斯敏·克罗基特(民主党) | 45.6% | 959,285 |
    | 艾哈迈德·哈桑(民主党) | 1.3% | 27,637 |

    已统计约86%的选票

    更新于刚刚

    预测获胜者

    塔拉利科是一名长老会神学院学员和前教师,来自奥斯汀郊外的朗德罗克。在2025年9月进入参议院竞选之前,他在得克萨斯州并不广为人知。但他因将信仰作为竞选信息的重要焦点而赢得了一批追随者。

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    塔拉利科还因《深夜秀》主持人斯蒂芬·科尔伯特表示,由于哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)可能面临联邦通信委员会(FCC)的相关担忧,他无法对这位民主党州议员进行采访而获得全国关注。这段未能播出的采访在网上获得了数百万次观看。

    共和党方面的激烈初选让一些民主党人希望,这个长期由共和党掌控的参议院席位在11月可能出现变数。但民主党人正处于艰难的政治环境中:30多年来,没有民主党人在全州范围内获胜。

    在整个初选中,两位都拥有庞大网络追随者的民主党人将自己塑造为斗士,但在斗争方式上展现出不同策略。

    克罗基特经常强调她在华盛顿与总统和共和党交锋的经验,而塔拉利科则谈到要“挑战一个破败、腐败的政治体系”。

    民主党初选还重新点燃了党内关于“竞选可行性”的辩论,一些民主党人,包括塔拉利科的盟友,公开质疑克罗基特是否能在11月击败共和党对手。

    作为一名黑人女性,克罗基特反驳了这些批评,上月她告诉记者:“我厌倦了人们询问我是否有当选能力。事实是,这不过是个煽动性的暗示。”

    这位得克萨斯州女议员批评支持塔拉利科的一个超级政治行动委员会(super PAC)播出广告称,如果她在11月成为候选人,民主党可能会失利,指责这些行为是“试图抹黑一名黑人女性”。

    两位在得克萨斯州众议院共事过的民主党人,为在大选中实现民主党胜利提出了不同策略。克罗基特作为一位以与共和党激烈交锋而闻名的民主党激进派,主张重新激发基础选民(包括黑人和年轻选民)的热情,而不是针对中间派。

    塔拉利科则认为,民主党不应仅依赖基础选民,还应争取对总统唐纳德·特朗普感到不满的独立选民。

    克罗基特于2025年12月以高知名度参选,她的参选促使前众议员科林·奥尔雷德放弃参议院竞选,转而争取北得克萨斯州的众议院席位。

    奥尔雷德后来支持克罗基特的竞选,此前一名TikTok活动人士指控塔拉利科称他为“平庸的黑人男子”。塔拉利科的竞选团队辩称,这些言论被断章取义。

    在整个竞选过程中,塔拉利科在筹款和广告投放方面均领先于克罗基特。

    塔拉利科自去年9月启动竞选以来已筹集超过2000万美元,而克罗基特自2025年12月参选以来筹集了370万美元,此外还从她的众议院竞选账户转移了480万美元。

    主要选举 参议院选举 美国选举 国会新闻

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    James Talarico will win Democratic primary in Texas Senate race, CNN projects

    2026-03-04T06:54:50.762Z / CNN

    By

    [Arlette Saenz]

    Updated 1 hr 5 min ago

    Updated Mar 4, 2026, 2:05 AM ET

    PUBLISHED Mar 4, 2026, 1:54 AM ET

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    Texas state Rep. James Talarico speaks to the media after voting in Austin, Texas, on February 17, 2026.

    Eric Gay/AP

    State Rep. James Talarico will win the Democratic primary for US Senate in Texas, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, placing a once little-known state legislator at the top of the party’s ticket for the general election in November.

    The 36-year-old will defeat US Rep. Jasmine Crockett, a fiery 44-year-old Democrat from the Dallas area, in a contentious primary that became increasingly personal. He will face either US Sen. John Cornyn or Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who CNN projects will head to a May 26 runoff.

    • Key Race

    Senate: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | James Talarico Democratic | 53.1% | 1,117,846 158,561 ahead |
    | Jasmine Crockett Democratic | 45.6% | 959,285 |
    | Ahmad Hassan Democratic | 1.3% | 27,637 |

    Est.

    86%
    votes in

    Updated just now

    Projected Winner

    Talarico, a Presbyterian seminarian and former teacher from Round Rock, outside of Austin, was not well known across Texas before entering the Senate race in September. But he gained a following after making his faith a prominent focus of his messaging.

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    Talarico also benefited from national exposure when “Late Show” host Stephen Colbert said he was not allowed to run an interview with the Democratic state legislator due to potential FCC concerns from CBS. The interview consequently got millions of views online.

    An intensely fought primary on the Republican side is giving some in the Democratic Party hope the long-held GOP Senate seat could be in play in November. But Democrats are operating in tough political terrain: No Democrat has won statewide in more than three decades.

    Throughout the primary, the two Democrats, who each have large online followings, portrayed themselves as fighters but showcased different approaches on how to wage those fights.

    Crockett often pointed to her experience tangling with the president and GOP in Washington while Talarico talked about taking on a “broken, corrupt political system.”

    The Democratic primary also reignited the party’s debate over “electability” with some Democrats, including allies of Talarico, openly questioning whether Crockett could win against a Republican in November.

    Crockett, a Black woman, pushed back on those critiques, telling reporters last month, “I am tired of people asking whether or not I am electable. The reality is that that is nothing but a dog whistle.”

    The Texas congresswoman criticized a super PAC supporting Talarico for airing an ad suggesting Democrats would lose in November if she was at the top of the ticket, saying those efforts were aimed at “tearing down a Black woman.”

    The two Democrats, who served together in the Texas state House, promoted different strategies for achieving a Democratic victory in the general election. Crockett, a Democratic firebrand who rose to prominence through her viral showdowns with the GOP, said her party should focus on reenergizing base voters, including Black and young voters, instead of targeting those in the middle.

    Talarico, on the other hand, argued Democrats should not just turn out base voters, but also appeal to independents souring on President Donald Trump.

    Crockett entered the race in December with high name recognition. Her last-minute entry in the race prompted former Rep. Colin Allred to abandon his Senate bid and instead run for a House seat in North Texas.

    Allred later endorsed Crockett’s campaign after an activist on TikTok accused Talarico of referring to him as a “mediocre Black man.” Talarico’s campaign argued his comments were mischaracterized.

    Talarico held a fundraising and advertising advantage over Crockett throughout the contest.

    Talarico raised more than $20 million since launching his candidacy last September while Crockett brought in $3.7 million since her December campaign launch. Crockett also transferred an additional $4.8 million from her House campaign account.

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  • 新闻


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    24名中国全国政协委员过去一年被撤销资格

    发布时间:2026年3月4日 15:46 / 来源:联合早报

    中国全国政协会议星期三(3月4日)下午在北京人民大会堂开幕。 (彭博社)

    过去一年,中国全国政协依照章程,共撤销24名全国政协委员资格。

    中共政治局常委、全国政协主席王沪宁星期三(3月4日)下午在全国政协会议开幕会上作报告,在谈到加强政协党建和推进政协自身建设时,披露这个数据。

    据本报查询,被撤销的全国政协委员不少是军方高级将领和军工企业负责人。

    立即订阅《联合早报》,了解中国时政动态,把握大中华区经济发展脉搏,解锁地区热点评析。

  • 中美或进行新一轮贸易谈判前 李成钢会见美强生公司高层


    2026年3月4日 15:52 / 联合早报

    中美据报将在元首会晤前举行新一轮贸易谈判之际,中国商务部贸易谈判代表兼副部长李成钢会见美国强生公司高层,就中美经贸关系等课题进行交流。

    据中国商务部官网,李成钢星期二(3月3日)会见美国强生公司执行副总裁兼医疗科技全球主席史明德,双方就中美经贸关系、强生公司在华业务发展等进行了交流。

    路透社此前引述白宫官员称,美国总统特朗普将于3月31日至4月2日访问中国,与中国国家主席习近平会晤。中国外交部尚未确认消息。

    美国贸易代表格里尔1月曾表示,美中元首会晤前,两国官员可能进行新一轮贸易谈判。中国商务部2月回应称,中方愿与美方在将于近期举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商中,开展坦诚磋商。

    不过有分析指出,特朗普政府今年来接连推翻亲华领导人,或将为原定的中美元首峰会增添变数。

    中美或进行新一轮贸易谈判前 李成钢会见美强生公司高层

    2026年3月4日 15:52 / 联合早报

    中美据报将在元首会晤前举行新一轮贸易谈判之际,中国商务部贸易谈判代表兼副部长李成钢会见美国强生公司高层,就中美经贸关系等课题进行交流。

    据中国商务部官网,李成钢星期二(3月3日)会见美国强生公司执行副总裁兼医疗科技全球主席史明德,双方就中美经贸关系、强生公司在华业务发展等进行了交流。

    路透社此前引述白宫官员称,美国总统特朗普将于3月31日至4月2日访问中国,与中国国家主席习近平会晤。中国外交部尚未确认消息。

    美国贸易代表格里尔1月曾表示,美中元首会晤前,两国官员可能进行新一轮贸易谈判。中国商务部2月回应称,中方愿与美方在将于近期举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商中,开展坦诚磋商。

    不过有分析指出,特朗普政府今年来接连推翻亲华领导人,或将为原定的中美元首峰会增添变数。