2026年2月28日 15:02 UTC(路透社)
作者:菲尔·斯图尔特(Phil Stewart)和伊德里斯·阿里(Idrees Ali)

[1/2] 2026年2月28日,美国和以色列对伊朗发动打击当天,华盛顿特区司法部大楼外悬挂着一幅描绘美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的横幅。路透社/凯莉·库珀 [获取使用权限,在新标签页打开]
- 摘要
- 特朗普的简报涵盖了中东局势的风险与机遇
- 与伊朗的外交努力未能避免军事对抗
- 伊朗誓言报复,将美国和以色列利益作为目标
华盛顿,2月28日(路透社) – 一位美国官员向路透社透露,在美国对伊朗发动攻击前夕,总统唐纳德·特朗普收到的简报不仅对美军可能面临的重大伤亡风险提出了直言不讳的评估,还强调了中东地区可能出现有利于美国利益的代际转变的前景。
五角大楼称之为”史诗愤怒行动”的打击于周六展开,使中东陷入了一场新的、不可预测的冲突。美国和以色列军方对伊朗境内目标发动了打击,引发伊朗对以色列及附近海湾阿拉伯国家的报复性攻击。
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这位要求匿名的官员表示,简报人员向总统描述此次行动为高风险、高回报的局面。
特朗普本人似乎也呼应了这一观点,他在行动开始时承认了其中的重大风险,称”勇敢的美国英雄们的生命可能会失去”。
“但我们这么做不是为了现在,而是为了未来,这是一项崇高的使命,”特朗普在宣布重大战斗行动开始的视频讲话中说道。
“47年来,伊朗政权一直高呼’死亡到美国’,并发动了一场无休止的血腥和大规模屠杀运动……我们不会再容忍这种情况了。”
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特朗普国家安全团队的简报有助于解释总统为何决定开展自2003年入侵伊拉克以来可能最冒险的美国军事行动。
在打击行动之前,特朗普收到了包括中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫、美国参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩上将、国务卿马尔科·卢比奥和国防部长彼得·黑格斯泰特在内的官员的多次简报。
周四,负责美国中东部队的中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将飞往华盛顿,参加白宫情况室的讨论。
第二位美国官员表示,在打击行动之前,白宫已被通报了针对伊朗行动的多项风险,包括伊朗导弹对该地区多个美军基地的报复性打击可能突破防御系统,以及伊朗代理武装对驻伊拉克和叙利亚美军的攻击。
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该官员表示,尽管美国进行了大规模军事集结,但匆忙部署到该地区的防空系统存在局限性。
专家警告称,冲突可能会出现危险转折,第一位官员表示,五角大楼的计划似乎并未确保冲突结果的可控性。
卡内基国际和平基金会的妮可·格拉夫斯基表示,特朗普呼吁伊朗人推翻政府,但说起来容易做起来难。
“伊朗反对派相当分散。目前还不清楚民众是否愿意起来反抗,”格拉夫斯基说。
由于内部讨论的敏感性,两位美国官员均要求匿名。
白宫未立即回应置评请求。五角大楼拒绝置评。
特朗普的全面目标
在打击行动前的几周里,特朗普下令在中东进行大规模军事集结。路透社此前报道,军事计划准备实施对伊朗的持续行动,具体取决于总统的决定。知情官员透露,计划包括针对个别官员。
一位以色列官员表示,伊朗最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊和总统马苏德·佩泽什基安均为打击目标,但打击结果尚不清楚。
特朗普在周六明确表示,他对伊朗的目标是全面的,将结束德黑兰对美国构成的威胁,并给伊朗人民一个推翻其统治者的机会。为实现这一目标,他概述了摧毁伊朗大部分军事力量以及剥夺其制造核武器能力的计划。伊朗否认寻求制造核武器。
“我们将摧毁他们的导弹,彻底摧毁他们的导弹工业……我们将消灭他们的海军,”他说道。”我们将确保该地区的恐怖主义代理势力不再能够破坏该地区或世界,以及攻击我们的军队。”
特朗普的这一决定显示出他日益增长的风险承受能力,这远远超过了他上月下令美军特种部队进入委内瑞拉发动大胆突袭抓捕该国总统时的风险水平。
针对伊朗的这场正在展开的军事行动,比特朗普下令美军于6月轰炸伊朗核设施时更加危险。
伊朗革命卫队威胁要攻击美国在该地区的所有基地和利益,并表示伊朗的报复将持续到”敌人被彻底击败”为止。
专家警告称,伊朗有多种报复手段,包括导弹打击,也包括无人机和网络战。
美国前中东事务五角大楼高级官员丹尼尔·夏皮罗表示,尽管美国和以色列发动了打击,德黑兰仍有能力造成一定损失。
“伊朗拥有的弹道导弹数量远超美国现有的拦截系统……一些伊朗武器将突破防御,”夏皮罗同时也是美国前驻以色列大使。”(此次打击)是一场重大赌博。”
报道:菲尔·斯图尔特和伊德里斯·阿里;编辑:唐·杜尔菲和丹尼尔·沃利斯
我们的标准:路透社信托原则
Exclusive: Ahead of strikes, Trump was told Iran attack is high risk, high reward
February 28, 2026 3:02 PM UTC / Reuters
By Phil Stewart and Idrees Ali
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Item 1 of 2 A banner depicting U.S. President Donald Trump hangs outside the Department of Justice building on the day the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran, in Washington, D.C., February 28, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper
[1/2]A banner depicting U.S. President Donald Trump hangs outside the Department of Justice building on the day the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran, in Washington, D.C., February 28, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
- Trump briefings included risks, opportunities in Middle East
- Diplomatic efforts with Iran fail to avert military confrontation
- Iran vows retaliation, targets US and Israeli interests
WASHINGTON, Feb 28 (Reuters) – Ahead of the U.S. attack on Iran, President Donald Trump received briefings that not only delivered blunt assessments about the risk of major U.S. casualties but also touted the prospect of a generational shift in the Middle East in favor of U.S. interests, a U.S. official told Reuters.
The launch of what the Pentagon called “Operation Epic Fury” on Saturday plunged the Middle East into a new and unpredictable conflict. The U.S. and Israeli militaries struck sites across Iran, triggering retaliatory Iranian attacks against Israel and nearby Gulf Arab countries.
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The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the briefers described the operation to the president as a high-risk, high-reward scenario.
Trump himself appeared to echo that sentiment when he acknowledged the stakes at the onset of the operation, saying “the lives of courageous American heroes may be lost.”
“But we’re doing this not for now, we’re doing this for the future, and it is a noble mission,” Trump said in a video address announcing the start of major combat operations.
“For 47 years, the Iranian regime has chanted death to America and waged an unending campaign of bloodshed and mass murder … We’re not gonna put up with it any longer.”
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The briefings from Trump’s national security team help explain how the president decided to pursue arguably the riskiest U.S. military operation since the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Ahead of the strikes, Trump received multiple briefings from officials including CIA Director John Ratcliffe, U.S. General Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
On Thursday, Admiral Brad Cooper, who leads U.S. forces in the Middle East as the head of Central Command, flew to Washington to join discussions in the White House Situation Room.
A second U.S. official said that prior to the strikes, the White House had been briefed on a number of risks associated with operations against Iran, including retaliatory strikes on multiple U.S. bases in the region by Iranian missiles that could overwhelm defenses, as well as Iranian proxies attacking U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria.
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The official said that despite the massive military buildup by the United States, there were limits to the air defense systems that had been rushed into the region.
Experts caution that the unfolding conflict could take dangerous turns and the first official said the Pentagon’s planning did not appear to guarantee the outcome of any conflict.
Trump called on Iranians to topple the government but that is easier said than done, said Nicole Grajewski with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
“The Iranian opposition is pretty fragmented. It’s unclear what the population is willing to do in terms of rising up,” Grajewski said.
Both U.S. officials requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the internal discussions.
The White House did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The Pentagon declined to comment.
TRUMP’S SWEEPING GOALS
In the weeks leading up to the attack, Trump ordered a major military buildup in the Middle East. Reuters reported military planning to carry out a sustained campaign against Iran, if that is what the president chose. Plans included targeting individual officials, officials said.
An Israeli official said Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian were both targeted but the result of the strikes was not clear.
Trump made clear on Saturday that his objectives in Iran were sweeping, saying he would end the threat posed by Tehran to the United States and give Iranians a chance to topple their rulers. To accomplish this, he outlined plans to lay waste to much of Iran’s military as well as deny it the ability to build a nuclear weapon. Iran denies seeking a nuclear weapon.
“We are going to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground… We’re going to annihilate their navy,” he said. “We’re going to ensure that the region’s terrorist proxies can no longer destabilize the region or the world and attack our forces.”
Trump’s decision demonstrates an increasing risk appetite, far greater than when he ordered U.S. special operations forces into Venezuela last month to seize that country’s president in an audacious raid.
The unfolding campaign against Iran is also riskier than when Trump ordered U.S. forces to bomb Iran’s nuclear sites in June.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards threatened all U.S. bases and interests in the region and said Iran’s retaliation would continue until “the enemy is decisively defeated.”
Experts warn that Iran has many options for retaliation, including missile strikes but also drones and cyber warfare.
Daniel Shapiro, a former senior Pentagon official for Middle East issues, said that despite the U.S. and Israeli strikes, Tehran would still be capable of causing some pain.
“Iran has many more ballistic missiles that can reach U.S. bases than the U.S. has interceptors … some Iranian weapons will get through,” said Shapiro, also a former U.S. ambassador to Israel. “(The strikes are) a major gamble.”
Reporting by Phil Stewart and Idrees Ali; Editing by Don Durfee and Daniel Wallis
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