作者: root

  • 精准踩在政策转向前 美监管机构调查可疑石油期货交易


    2026年4月16日 16:59 / 联合早报

    精准踩在政策转向前 美监管机构调查可疑石油期货交易

    美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)调查疑似石油期货内幕交易,要求两家交易所提供交易账号身份等信息。 (路透社)

    多家美国媒体报道,美国商品期货交易委员会正在调查一系列“精准踩点”的疑似石油期货内幕交易。这些交易发生在美国总统特朗普发布与伊朗战事相关的重大政策转向之前。

    彭博社星期三(4月15日)引述知情人士说,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)正牵头调查在芝商所和洲际交易所平台上的石油期货交易。目前,调查人员正在审查至少两笔分别发生于3月23日和4月7日的石油期货交易,要求两家交易所提供交易账号身份等信息。由于相关信息尚未公开,知情人士要求匿名。

    知情人士称,CFTC正在调查约两周内至少两次交易量在重大政策宣布前突然激增的情况。监管机构要求交易所提供的数据包括“Tag 50”操作员识别码,即交易背后实体的身份信息。

    CFTC、ICE和CME均拒绝就调查置评。白宫发言人将置评请求转交给CFTC。

    新华社引述报道说,特朗普在3月23日宣布推迟袭击伊朗能源基础设施,以及4月7日宣布停火两周之前,石油期货交易均突然放大,导致油价大幅波动。

    过去几周异常大的交易量,令外界担忧可能存在对重大非公开信息的滥用。冲突爆发之初,中东石油运输的历史性扰动导致油价飙升。随后几周,随着市场猜测霍尔木兹海峡的油轮通行何时才能恢复,油价剧烈波动。

    两名民主党参议员已敦促CFTC调查潜在的违规行为,对这些时机异常精准交易的审查力度加大。白宫上个月发放了一份内部备忘录,警告工作人员不得利用敏感信息在金融市场和押注事件的博彩平台上进行交易。

    美国国会参议院银行委员会民主党籍议员沃伦发布声明说,这些可疑的石油期货交易看起来是内部人士操纵市场的案例,监管机构应在调查特朗普政府官员内幕交易方面做得更多。

    路透社报道,商品期货交易委员会主席塞利格说,任何在市场上从事欺诈、操纵或内幕交易的人,都将面临法律的惩罚。

    美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)调查疑似石油期货内幕交易,要求两家交易所提供交易账号身份等信息。 (路透社)

    多家美国媒体报道,美国商品期货交易委员会正在调查一系列“精准踩点”的疑似石油期货内幕交易。这些交易发生在美国总统特朗普发布与伊朗战事相关的重大政策转向之前。

    彭博社星期三(4月15日)引述知情人士说,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)正牵头调查在芝商所和洲际交易所平台上的石油期货交易。目前,调查人员正在审查至少两笔分别发生于3月23日和4月7日的石油期货交易,要求两家交易所提供交易账号身份等信息。由于相关信息尚未公开,知情人士要求匿名。

    知情人士称,CFTC正在调查约两周内至少两次交易量在重大政策宣布前突然激增的情况。监管机构要求交易所提供的数据包括“Tag 50”操作员识别码,即交易背后实体的身份信息。

    CFTC、ICE和CME均拒绝就调查置评。白宫发言人将置评请求转交给CFTC。

    新华社引述报道说,特朗普在3月23日宣布推迟袭击伊朗能源基础设施,以及4月7日宣布停火两周之前,石油期货交易均突然放大,导致油价大幅波动。

    过去几周异常大的交易量,令外界担忧可能存在对重大非公开信息的滥用。冲突爆发之初,中东石油运输的历史性扰动导致油价飙升。随后几周,随着市场猜测霍尔木兹海峡的油轮通行何时才能恢复,油价剧烈波动。

    两名民主党参议员已敦促CFTC调查潜在的违规行为,对这些时机异常精准交易的审查力度加大。白宫上个月发放了一份内部备忘录,警告工作人员不得利用敏感信息在金融市场和押注事件的博彩平台上进行交易。

    美国国会参议院银行委员会民主党籍议员沃伦发布声明说,这些可疑的石油期货交易看起来是内部人士操纵市场的案例,监管机构应在调查特朗普政府官员内幕交易方面做得更多。

    路透社报道,商品期货交易委员会主席塞利格说,任何在市场上从事欺诈、操纵或内幕交易的人,都将面临法律的惩罚。

  • 美国出生率下滑之际,特朗普政府在计划生育项目中淡化避孕措施


    2026年4月16日 / 美国东部时间早上5:00 / KFF健康新闻

    美国去年的新生儿数量再次下滑。

    根据美国疾病控制与预防中心的最新数据,2025年全美新生儿数量为360万,较2024年下降1%。生育率降至每1000名15至44岁女性生育53.1个婴儿,较2007年下降23%。

    特朗普政府表示希望扭转这一趋势。特朗普总统呼吁“迎来新一轮婴儿潮”,助手们已向外部倡导者和政策团体征集提案,内容涵盖婴儿奖金、扩大生育规划等。政府还提议重塑联邦政府唯一的专职计划生育项目:《第十号标题法案》(Title X)。

    五十多年来,两党支持下的《第十号标题法案》一直致力于为低收入女性提供避孕服务、性传播感染筛查和生殖医疗服务,无论其支付能力如何。该保障项目在鼎盛时期每年服务超过500万名患者。每10名《第十号标题法案》服务对象中就有6人称,该项目是他们某一年唯一的医疗保健来源。

    4月初,美国卫生与公众服务部邀请非营利组织申请2027财年的《第十号标题法案》拨款,该财年将于10月开始。这份长达67页的资助机会公告仅提及一次避孕措施,将其描述为过度开具、存在负面副作用,并属于更广泛的“过度依赖药物和手术治疗”的一部分。

    这份拨款通知将项目从传统的公共卫生干预工作转向聚焦生育、家庭组建以及多囊卵巢综合征、子宫内膜异位症、睾酮水平低和勃起功能障碍等生殖健康病症。

    尽管《第十号标题法案》将继续帮助女性“实现健康妊娠”,但拨款文件并未明确提及预防意外怀孕——这一直是该项目的长期目标。

    曾在拜登政府担任高级官员并监管《第十号标题法案》的杰西卡·马塞拉表示,新的资助通知相当于对计划生育进行了全面重新定义。

    “我们看到的是试图将我们国家的计划生育作为一个特洛伊木马,服务于完全不同的议程,”马塞拉说道,她还指出特朗普总统曾提议彻底取消《第十号标题法案》。

    出生率与生育趋势

    政府在出生率下滑的背景下对《第十号标题法案》进行全面改革。但研究生育趋势的研究人员表示,出生率下滑的驱动因素与避孕服务获取几乎无关,限制避孕服务不太可能增加新生儿数量。

    加州大学洛杉矶分校人口统计学家艾莉森·杰米尔表示,最重要的因素与生育时机相关。“随着成年关键节点普遍延后,包括稳定就业、离开父母家以及结婚,生育年龄也越来越晚,”她说道。

    她说,大多数美国女性最终仍会生育平均两个孩子,这表明家庭规模在缩小,而非越来越多的女性选择不生育。

    “生育变得更具偶然性,也更需要提前规划,”她说道。

    2007年以来的生育率下滑很大程度上反映了女性推迟生育,而非完全放弃生育。

    “女性一生平均生育的婴儿数量并未下降。45岁女性的平均生育数仍超过2.0,”马里兰大学社会学教授菲利普·科恩说道。

    韦尔斯利学院经济学家菲利普·莱文表示,出生率下降是因为女性在工作、休闲和育儿方面的观念发生了转变。“如果能让生育更具吸引力,而非更难避孕,那么扭转这些趋势的努力会更成功,”他说道。

    当被问及避孕措施在降低孕产妇死亡率中的作用,以及新的资助通知如何推进这一目标时,美国卫生与公众服务部新闻秘书艾米丽·希利亚德在一份声明中表示:“2027财年《第十号标题法案》拨款周期的申请人,将被要求符合已发布的资助机会公告中政府明确的优先事项。在肯尼迪部长和特朗普总统的领导下,卫生与公众服务部将继续支持保护生命、家庭福祉、孕产妇健康以及应对慢性病流行的政策。该部门仍专注于改善孕产妇结局,确保项目的实施符合相关法律。”

    马塞拉表示,新的资助通知是两股汇聚力量的产物:一是“让美国再次健康”运动,该运动对传统医学持怀疑态度,强调生活方式和行为干预;二是支持生育的议程,旨在通过将政策导向家庭组建来提高出生率。

    文件中的语言同时体现了这两点:它反复提及“最佳健康状态”和“慢性病”,却将定义了《第十号标题法案》半个世纪的避孕服务边缘化。

    代表专注于计划生育的医疗专业人员的美国家庭计划与生殖健康协会主席兼首席执行官克莱尔·科尔曼表示,将《第十号标题法案》与出生率目标挂钩,会用政府目标取代个人决策。她说,该项目“旨在促进获得计划生育服务,包括实现和预防怀孕的服务”。

    《第十号标题法案》的新重点

    政府的改革得到了右翼人士的欢迎。

    保守派智库传统基金会高级政策分析师艾玛·沃特斯曾倡导她所谓的“修复性生殖医学”,她表示新的资助通知反映了对被忽视的女性健康领域的应有重视。

    “看到提及子宫内膜异位症等病症诊断延误的内容,看到强调女性需要切实了解自身周期和生育能力,以及确保通过《第十号标题法案》推广真正的根本疗法,我尤其感到鼓舞,”沃特斯说道。

    她将这份通知描述为对项目使命的扩展,而非收缩:“我认为这一版《第十号标题法案》实现了其初衷。目标从来不仅仅是‘提供更多避孕措施’,而是全面赋予女性掌控自身生育能力的权力。”

    沃特斯还辩称,未经治疗的生殖健康问题可能会拉低出生率。

    “这场辩论中一个有趣且常被忽视的方面是,痛苦且未得到治疗的生殖健康问题在多大程度上会抑制或让女性对生育孩子产生矛盾心理,”她说道,并以子宫内膜异位症为例。

    据估计,5%至10%的育龄女性患有子宫内膜异位症,其中30%至50%会出现不孕问题。从科学角度来说,两者只是存在关联,而非已证实的因果关系。如果没有症状,女性不会接受子宫内膜异位症筛查,而且该病症的实际患病率可能比已知的更高。研究人员仍未完全明白,为什么有些子宫内膜异位症患者难以受孕,而有些则不会,治疗该疾病也不能可靠地恢复生育能力。

    与此同时,美国的不孕率并未上升。一项针对联邦调查数据的分析发现,1995年至2019年间,不孕率基本保持平稳,尽管全国出生率大幅下降——这一差异表明,未经治疗的生殖疾病并非出生率下滑的原因。

    与此同时,美国妇产科医师学会于2月发布了新的临床指南,允许无需手术即可更早诊断子宫内膜异位症,这是朝着解决沃特斯提到的诊断延误问题迈出的一步。但美国妇产科医师学会推荐的一线治疗方法是激素疗法,这属于资助通知中被斥为“过度依赖药物和手术治疗”的同一类护理。生殖健康专家表示,这造成了一种矛盾:《第十号标题法案》现在优先考虑子宫内膜异位症的诊断,却不重视临床医生用于治疗该疾病的药物。

    已被证实可改善子宫内膜异位症女性生育能力的治疗方法,如腹腔镜手术和体外受精,并不在《第十号标题法案》的覆盖范围内。1970年理查德·尼克松总统签署《第十号标题法案》时,将其描述为扩大计划生育服务获取渠道的一种方式——通过让避孕和相关预防性护理更易于获得,尤其是针对那些负担不起的人群,帮助女性决定生育数量和生育间隔。医疗补助计划而非《第十号标题法案》是为低收入女性提供医疗保健的主要政府医疗保险项目,但和许多商业保险计划一样,它也不覆盖体外受精费用。

    曾帮助撰写该计划生育项目更新指南的美国卫生与公众服务部人口事务办公室前首席临床顾问莉兹·罗默表示,资助通知中优先考虑的许多病症确实值得关注。但这些病症超出了《第十号标题法案》能够实际提供服务的范围。

    “甚至没有足够的资金来支撑避孕服务这一核心前提,”罗默说道。“因此,如果你想扩大《第十号标题法案》的覆盖范围,你可以扩展其范畴,但不能脱离其根基。”

    她说,联邦卫生政策中出现反避孕意识形态令人震惊,因为公众普遍支持获取避孕措施。2024年KFF开展的一项调查显示,每10名育龄女性中就有8人称在过去12个月内使用过某种形式的避孕措施。

    罗格斯大学公共卫生学院性与生殖健康、权利与正义研究中心主任劳拉·林德伯格表示:“如果避孕措施在《第十号标题法案》中被边缘化,这不仅会改变书面文字,还会让患者的选择更少、障碍更多。”她补充道,资金可能会从提供全面避孕护理的提供商,“转向在意识形态上反对避孕、无法提供同等标准医疗服务的组织”。

    风险极高

    美国已经是富裕国家中孕产妇死亡率最高的国家之一——2024年的数据为每10万活产产妇死亡17.9人。根据美国疾病控制与预防中心的数据,美国每10例与妊娠相关的死亡中就有8例可能是可以预防的。医学研究表明,与激素避孕相比,妊娠带来血栓、中风和心血管并发症的风险要高得多。

    自2022年最高法院做出“多布斯诉杰克逊妇女健康组织案”判决,推翻了“罗伊诉韦德案”确立的宪法堕胎权以来,美国大部分地区的堕胎服务获取渠道已大幅缩减。尽管在远程医疗和跨州就医的推动下,全国堕胎数量有所上升,但研究显示,实施堕胎禁令的州出生率有所增加,每年估计新增3.2万名新生儿,其中年轻女性和有色族裔女性占比过高。

    加州大学旧金山分校以人为中心的生殖健康项目主任克里斯汀·德尔endorf博士表示:“没有任何证据表明限制避孕服务会带来任何积极结果。”限制避孕服务反而会增加对堕胎服务的需求,让女性更难预防高风险妊娠。

    自特朗普重新执政以来,已有十多家《第十号标题法案》拨款受助者的拨款被冻结,迫使一些医疗中心停止提供服务、裁员或关闭。在特朗普第一任期内,监管改革导致《第十号标题法案》服务患者数量从400多万人下降到150万人。在拜登政府时期,该项目缓慢增长,服务客户约300万人,随后又出现了当前这一轮 disruption。

    马塞拉表示,特朗普第二届政府对该项目的全面改革“直接破坏了我国计划生育项目的公共卫生初衷,可能会让数百万人无法获得他们依赖了数十年的医疗服务。这是糟糕的政策”。

    KFF健康新闻是一家全国性新闻编辑部,专注于健康问题深度报道,也是KFF的核心运营项目之一——KFF是独立的健康政策研究、民意调查和新闻资讯来源机构。

    As U.S. birth rate falls, Trump officials downplay contraception in family planning program

    April 16, 2026 / 5:00 AM EDT / KFF Health News

    The number of babies born in the United States fell again last year.

    According to new data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, there were 3.6 million births in 2025, a 1% decline from 2024. The fertility rate dropped to 53.1 births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44, down 23% since 2007.

    The Trump administration has said it wants to reverse this trend. President Trump has called for “a new baby boom,” and aides have solicited proposals from outside advocates and policy groups ranging from baby bonuses to expanded fertility planning. The administration is also proposing to reshape the federal government’s only dedicated family planning program: Title X.

    For more than five decades, Title X has been geared — with bipartisan support — toward giving low-income women access to contraception, screening for sexually transmitted infections, and reproductive health care regardless of ability to pay. At its peak, the safety net program served more than 5 million patients a year. Six in 10 Title X clients have reported the program as their sole source of health care in a given year.

    In early April, the Department of Health and Human Services invited nonprofit organizations to apply for Title X grants for fiscal year 2027, which begins in October. The 67-page Notice of Funding Opportunity included only one mention of contraception — describing it as overprescribed, associated with negative side effects, and part of a broader “overreliance on pharmaceutical and surgical treatments.”

    The grant notification reshapes the program from its traditional public health intervention efforts to focus on fertility, family formation, and reproductive health conditions such as polycystic ovary syndrome, endometriosis, low testosterone, and erectile dysfunction.

    While Title X will continue to help women “achieve healthy pregnancies,” the grant document does not explicitly reference preventing unintended pregnancies — a long-standing goal of the program.

    Jessica Marcella, who oversaw the Title X program as a senior official in the Biden administration, said the new funding notice amounts to a wholesale redefinition of family planning.

    “What we’re seeing is trying to use our nation’s family planning as a Trojan horse for an entirely different agenda,” Marcella said, noting that President Trump has proposed eliminating Title X altogether.

    Birth rates and fertility trends

    The administration is overhauling Title X in the context of declining birth rates. But researchers who study fertility trends say the decline is driven by forces that have little to do with contraception access and that restricting it is unlikely to produce more births.

    The most important factors, according to demographer Alison Gemmill of UCLA, are timing-related. “Childbearing is increasingly delayed as part of a broader shift toward later adult milestones, including stable employment, leaving the parental home, and marriage,” she said.

    Most American women, she said, still complete their childbearing years with an average of two children, suggesting a shift toward smaller families rather than an increase in childlessness.

    “Having children has become more contingent and more planned,” she said.

    Much of the decline since 2007 reflects women postponing births rather than forgoing them.

    “The average number of babies women are having in their whole lives has not fallen. It’s still more than 2.0 for women aged 45,” said Philip Cohen, a professor of sociology at the University of Maryland.

    Phillip Levine, an economist at Wellesley College, said the birth rate has declined due to shifts in how women approach work, leisure, and parenting. “Efforts to reverse those patterns would be more successful if they can make childbearing more desirable, not make it harder to prevent a pregnancy,” he said.

    Asked about the role of contraception in reducing maternal mortality and how the new funding notice advances that goal, HHS press secretary Emily Hilliard said in a statement: “Applicants for the 2027 Title X funding cycle will be expected to align with the administration’s stated priorities in the released Notice of Funding Opportunity. HHS, under the leadership of Secretary Kennedy and President Trump, will continue to support policies that support life, family well-being, maternal health, and address the chronic disease epidemic. HHS remains focused on improving maternal outcomes and ensuring programs are administered consistent with applicable law.”

    Marcella said the new funding notice is the product of two converging forces: the Make America Healthy Again movement, with its skepticism of conventional medicine and emphasis on lifestyle and behavioral interventions, and a pronatalist agenda that seeks to boost birth rates by steering policy toward family formation.

    The document’s language reflects both: It repeatedly invokes “optimal health” and “chronic disease” while sidelining the contraceptive services that have defined Title X for half a century.

    Clare Coleman, president and CEO of the National Family Planning & Reproductive Health Association, which represents health professionals focused on family planning, said tying Title X to birth-rate goals replaces individual decision-making with a government objective. The program “is designed to facilitate access to family planning services, including services to achieve and prevent pregnancy,” she said.

    Title X’s new focus

    The administration’s changes have been welcomed on the right.

    Emma Waters, a senior policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation, who has advocated for what she calls “restorative reproductive medicine,” said the new funding notice reflects overdue attention to neglected aspects of women’s health.

    “I was particularly encouraged to see language that spoke to the delays in diagnosis for conditions like endometriosis, the need for women to practically understand how their cycle and fertility works, and to ensure that real root-cause was promoted through Title X,” Waters said.

    She described the notice as an expansion, not a narrowing, of the program’s mission: “I see this iteration of Title X as the fulfillment of its purpose. The goal was never just ‘more contraception’ but a wholesale empowerment of women to govern their own fertility.”

    Waters also argued that untreated reproductive health problems may contribute to lower birth rates.

    “One of the interesting aspects of this debate, and one that is often overlooked, is the degree to which painful and unaddressed reproductive health problems may suppress or create ambivalence around a woman’s desire to have kids,” she said, pointing to endometriosis.

    An estimated 5% to 10% of women of reproductive age have endometriosis, and of those, 30%-50% experience infertility. Scientifically speaking, the relationship is an association, not a proven cause. Women aren’t screened for endometriosis if they don’t have symptoms, and the condition may be more prevalent than is recognized. Researchers still do not fully understand why some women with endometriosis struggle to conceive while others do not, and treating the disease does not reliably restore fertility.

    Infertility rates in the U.S., meanwhile, have not risen. An analysis of federal survey data found them essentially flat between 1995 and 2019, even as the national birth rate fell sharply — a divergence that points away from untreated reproductive disease as an explanation.

    Meanwhile, in February, the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists issued new clinical guidelines enabling earlier diagnosis of endometriosis without surgery, a step toward addressing the delays Waters described. But the first-line treatment ACOG recommends is hormonal therapy, part of the same category of care the funding notice dismisses as part of an “overreliance on pharmaceutical and surgical treatments.” The effect, reproductive health experts say, is a contradiction: Title X is now prioritizing diagnosis of endometriosis while deemphasizing the drugs clinicians use to treat it.

    Treatments that have been shown to improve fertility in women with endometriosis, such as laparoscopic surgery and in vitro fertilization, are not covered by Title X. When President Richard Nixon signed Title X into law in 1970, he described it as a way to expand access to family planning services — helping women determine the number and spacing of their children by making contraception and related preventive care more widely available, particularly for those who could not afford it. Medicaid, not Title X, is the primary government health insurance program covering health care for low-income women, but, like many commercial insurance plans, it does not cover IVF.

    Many of the conditions prioritized in the funding notice deserve attention, said Liz Romer, a former chief clinical adviser for the HHS Office of Population Affairs who helped write updated guidelines for the family planning program. But they fall outside the scope of what Title X can realistically provide.

    “There’s not even enough funding to support the core premise of contraception,” Romer said. “And so, if you want to expand Title X funding, you can expand the scope, but you can’t move away from the foundation.”

    The emergence of an anticontraception ideology within federal health policy is striking, she said, given how broadly the public supports access to birth control. Eight in 10 women of childbearing age surveyed by KFF in 2024 reported having used some form of contraception in the previous 12 months.

    Laura Lindberg, director of the Concentration in Sexual and Reproductive Health, Rights and Justice at Rutgers School of Public Health, said, “If contraception is sidelined in Title X, it won’t just change language on paper but will show up as fewer options and more barriers for patients.” Funding could move away from providers who offer a full range of contraceptive care, she added, “toward organizations that are ideologically opposed to contraception and don’t deliver the same standard of health care services.”

    The stakes are high

    The United States already has one of the highest maternal mortality rates among wealthy nations — 17.9 deaths per 100,000 live births as of 2024. According to the CDC, 4 in 5 pregnancy-related deaths in the U.S. may be preventable. Medical research shows that pregnancy carries substantially higher risks of blood clots, stroke, and cardiovascular complications than hormonal contraception.

    And since the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision in 2022, which overturned the constitutional right to abortion established by Roe v. Wade, access to abortion has been significantly curtailed across much of the country. While national abortion numbers have risen, driven largely by telehealth and interstate access, research shows births have increased in states with bans, with an estimated 32,000 additional births annually, disproportionately among young women and women of color.

    Dr. Christine Dehlendorf, who directs the Person-Centered Reproductive Health Program at the University of California-San Francisco, said “there is absolutely no evidence for any positive outcome of restricting access to contraception.” Restrictions would instead increase demand for abortion care and make it harder for women to prevent high-risk pregnancies.

    Since Mr. Trump returned to office, more than a dozen Title X grantees have had their grants frozen, forcing some health centers to stop delivering services, lay off staff, or close. During the first Trump administration, regulatory changes led to a decline in Title X participation from more than 4 million patients to 1.5 million. The program grew slowly under the Biden administration, reaching about 3 million clients, before the current round of disruptions began.

    The second Trump administration’s overhaul of the program, Marcella said, “directly undermines the public health intent of our nation’s family planning program and will potentially exclude millions of individuals from getting the care they have relied on for decades. It’s bad policy.”

    KFF Health News is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues and is one of the core operating programs at KFF — the independent source for health policy research, polling, and journalism.

  • 伊朗局势令部分共和党人担忧其保住众议院席位的希望愈发渺茫


    2026-04-16T08:00:55.187Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

    伊朗局势令部分共和党人担忧其保住众议院席位的希望愈发渺茫

    作者:亚当·坎ryn
    发布时间:2026年4月16日,美国东部时间凌晨4:00

    2026年4月1日,伊朗德黑兰,美伊冲突期间空袭后升起的烟雾
    马吉德·阿斯加里普尔/瓦纳通讯社/路透社

    白宫长期以来将纳税申报日定为一场关键中期选举的非正式启动节点,这场选举旨在凸显本届政府为选民口袋里“赚回”了多少钱。

    随后,唐纳德·特朗普总统发动了一场代价高昂的伊朗战争,推高了汽油价格,并彻底打乱了数月来精心策划的政治布局——这增加了共和党在选举中遭遇惨败、失去国会控制权的可能性。

    如今,特朗普政府官员正仓促地临时调整战略,希望仍能说服持怀疑态度的美国人,称他们在特朗普治下的生活比此前更好。白宫还在寻求应对物价上涨的新方案,例如指责加油站运营商利用战争之机在加油站榨取消费者。

    但距离中期选举仅剩七个月,许多共和党人私下承认,他们的选情正在恶化,保住众议院的希望愈发渺茫。11月国会选举中避免全面失利——甚至可能保住参议院多数席位——的任何可能性,首先都取决于特朗普能否迅速从伊朗局势中抽身,而这项任务显然对他来说极为棘手。

    “我们需要主动出击,我们需要明确的信息,”一名特朗普顾问表示,“但现在,一切都陷入停滞,直到战争结束。”

    共和党前景黯淡,这与特朗普及其高级顾问几个月前的设想相去甚远。当时他们一致计划,随着中期选举临近,将竞选重心大幅转向民生保障。这也凸显出特朗普在毫无明确撤军计划的情况下,突然将美国拖入与伊朗的战争,给其所在政党的选举前景造成了巨大破坏。

    六余名共和党议员告诉CNN,过去七周的冲突涟漪效应几乎抵消了共和党原本计划作为竞选筹码的所有经济进展——包括在降低油价、缓解通胀和增强美国人金融安全感方面取得的成果。

    2025年4月15日,美国华盛顿特区国会大厦台阶上,众议院议长迈克·约翰逊与众议院共和党领导层举行新闻发布会。约翰逊召开此次发布会,在纳税申报日当天讨论“工薪家庭减税”政策
    希瑟·迪尔/盖蒂图片社

    特朗普的高级助手曾承诺,他几乎每周都会外出巡回造势,宣传政绩并为众议院和参议院候选人助选。但如今他基本都留在华盛顿,专注于外交事务。他将于周四前往内华达州,这是一个多月来他首次在摇摆州举行集会。(共和党竞选团队仍认为,今年秋天他将大幅增加为参众两院候选人助选的行程。)

    这位总统抵达拉斯维加斯之际,正值其政治生涯最疲软的时期。近期民调显示,由于选民对经济和战争感到愤怒,他的支持率接近历史低点。

    “总统的支持率与本党中期选举表现之间存在直接关联,没那么复杂,”共和党民调专家惠特·艾尔斯表示,“选民感到沮丧和不满,这种情况已经存在一段时间,但现在尤为突出。”

    白宫发言人库什·德赛在一份声明中辩称,特朗普的经济政策将让美国民众长期受益,称其政绩“不止于一次性的退税支票”。

    “多亏了特朗普总统标志性的减税政策,数千万工薪美国人的口袋里更有钱了,”他补充道,这项议程正在“为更多历史性成就奠定基础”。

    国会共和党领导人坚称,他们也并未恐慌,他们认为共和党同时失去参众两院多数席位的末日预言尚未成真——而且共和党仍拥有筹款优势,如果特朗普动用其通过MAGA Inc.超级政治行动委员会掌控的巨额竞选资金,这一优势甚至可能进一步扩大。

    尽管如此,这一情况还是在共和党其他派系中引发了担忧,认为众议院乃至参议院的更多席位可能会陷入竞争——考虑到近期一系列惨烈的特别选举表现,这种焦虑已经十分尖锐。

    2025年3月9日,美国华盛顿特区,日落时分从华盛顿纪念碑基座视角拍摄的美国国会大厦
    塞缪尔·科勒姆/Sipa USA/美联社/资料图

    两名知情人士透露,最近几周,一些心怀不满的共和党议员私下抱怨,白宫低估了这场战争带来的挑战规模。目前尚不清楚这些抱怨是否已经直接传到特朗普耳中。

    “如果(这场战争)看起来不是我们能轻易脱身的局面,那么政府到某个时候就必须转变信息策略,”一名共和党竞选团队工作人员表示。

    尽管如此,这种担忧尚未转化为重大策略调整——很大程度上是因为特朗普反复宣称战事即将结束,让其所在政党陷入观望状态。这场战争已经拖过了特朗普最初预估的四至六周时长,而他支持的为期两周的停火协议也未能缓解经济困境。

    在本周早些时候的参议院共和党会议上,南卡罗来纳州参议员蒂姆·斯科特敦促同僚们强调,根据特朗普的政策,美国民众预计将从退税中每月额外获得250美元的实得工资。他还展示了内部民调数据,显示关键选民群体“压倒性地受生活成本担忧驱动”,CNN获取了这份民调副本。

    “这场冲突持续的时间越长,一切就越复杂,因为不确定性越来越大,”一名共和党竞选团队工作人员说,“但我们不能偏离既定计划,否则一切都会分崩离析。”

    对特朗普团队来说,至少有一个令人安心的迹象:密切追踪这场战争对民意影响的政治顾问发现,尽管选民对共和党好感度下降,但他们对民主党政党的看法并未有多少改善。两名熟悉内部讨论的人士表示,这让他们抱有一丝希望,即如果11月选举形势有所好转,对现状不满的选民仍可能被说服投票给共和党。

    特朗普的顾问们敦促共和党人借此强调两党政策纲领的差异,称议员们应宣传自身政策,同时将自己塑造成抵御民主党推行更激进议程的堡垒。

    “问题在于:谁将掌权?”这名特朗普顾问说,“我们最大的优势在于民主党更糟糕。”

    共和党人还将很快推出另一项主要论点。多名参与国会竞选的共和党人士透露,他们将辩称,如果共和党无法保住国会多数席位,特朗普将面临又一轮弹劾斗争——他们认为这一信息对于调动最忠诚的MAGA选民至关重要。

    不过,随着战争持续、关键成本上升,人们普遍承认,作为掌控白宫和国会的政党,仅仅攻击民主党只能算是部分回应。

    与此同时,特朗普政府一直在寻求新方法缓解民众对汽油价格的不满,这名特朗普顾问表示,其中包括公开指责加油站运营商在国际油价下跌时未能迅速下调零售价。

    财政部长斯科特·贝森特周三就暗示了这种施压策略,他警告政府将“紧盯加油站”。但在同一场活动中,他也承认此前有关油价将在夏季前恢复到战前水平的承诺过于乐观,如今的时间节点“将取决于与伊朗的谈判进展”。

    “他们原本指望退税来提振经济、控制通胀,但在这两方面,他们都存在一些担忧,”右翼智库美国行动论坛主席、长期担任共和党经济顾问的道格拉斯·霍尔茨-埃金说。

    共和党人士表示,对特朗普而言,本周重新踏上巡回造势之路、举行集会就是一个不错的开端。在内华达州之后,他定于周五前往亚利桑那州。

    但他抵达后能否保持信息一致性却毫无保障。周一,白宫安排特朗普与一名DoorDash外卖员会面,旨在推广广受民众欢迎的“小费不征税”政策。

    但这一减税政策可能获得的关注很快就被特朗普即兴发表的言论淹没:他详细阐述了刚刚对伊朗实施的封锁,并试图为一条将他描绘成耶稣形象的争议性深夜社交媒体帖子辩解。

    “海上封锁和总统的神性,”霍尔茨-埃金事后评论道,“这完全不是他们计划的内容。”

    萨拉·费里斯和阿莱娜·特里恩对本文亦有贡献。

    Iran war has some Republicans worried their chances of keeping the House are slipping away

    2026-04-16T08:00:55.187Z / CNN

    Iran war has some Republicans worried their chances of keeping the House are slipping away

    By Adam Cancryn

    PUBLISHED Apr 16, 2026, 4:00 AM ET

    Smoke rises following a strike, amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Tehran, Iran, on April 1.

    Majid Asgaripour/Wana News Agency/Reuters

    The White House had long circled Tax Day as the unofficial start to a critical midterm campaign meant to highlight how much money the administration was putting back in voters’ pockets.

    Then President Donald Trump launched a costly war in Iran, sent gas prices soaring and singlehandedly upended months of careful political planning — raising the odds of an electoral wipeout that could cost Republicans control of Congress.

    Now, Trump officials are scrambling to salvage their strategy on the fly, hoping they can still convince skeptical Americans that they’re doing better under Trump than before.The White House has also sought new ideas for taking on rising prices, such as accusing gas station operators of seizing on the war to gouge consumers at the pump.

    But seven months out from midterm elections, many Republicans privately concede their standing is deteriorating and chances of holding the House are slipping away. Any possibility of averting sweeping losses in the House — and possibly even the Senate — in November rests first on Trump quickly extracting himself from Iran, a task he’s clearly struggling mightily to accomplish.

    “We need to get on offense. We need a message,” said one Trump adviser. “But right now, everything’s on hold until the war’s over.”

    The darkening outlook for the Republican Party is far from what Trump and his top advisers envisioned only a few months ago, when they’d coalesced around a plan to pivot sharply toward affordability as the midterms drew closer. And it underscores the significant damage that Trump has done to his party’s chances by abruptly plunging the US into a war with Iran with no clear way out.

    The conflict’s ripple effects over the last seven weeks may have negated nearly all the economic progress that the GOP planned to run on, more than a half-dozen Republicans told CNN — including strides made toward lowering gas prices, easing inflation and bolstering Americans’ sense of financial security.

    US Speaker of the House Mike Johnson speaks alongside House Republican leadership during a news conference on the steps of the US Capitol in Washington, DC, on Wednesday, April 15. Johnson held the press conference to discuss Working Families Tax Cuts on Tax Day.

    Heather Diehl/Getty Images

    Trump, who senior aides once vowed would hit the road nearly every week to tout accomplishments and boost down-ballot candidates, has instead remained largely tethered to Washington and focused on foreign affairs. When he travels to Nevada on Thursday, it will mark his first swing-state rally in more than a month. (GOP operatives still believe he will significantly ramp up his travel for House and Senate candidates this fall.)

    The president will also arrive in Las Vegas at the weakest point in his political career, with recent polls putting his approval rating near historic lows amid voter anger over the economy and the war.

    “There’s direct correlation between presidential job approval and the party’s midterm performance. It’s not much more complicated than that,” said GOP pollster Whit Ayres. “They’re frustrated and unhappy, and that’s been the case for some time, but it’s especially the case now.”

    In a statement, White House spokesman Kush Desai argued that Trump’s economic policies would benefit Americans over the long term, arguing that his accomplishments “go beyond a one-time tax refund check.”

    “Tens of millions of working-class Americans have more money in their pockets thanks to President Trump’s signature provisions,” he said, adding that the agenda is “laying the groundwork for more historic success.”

    Congressional GOP leaders insist they’re not panicking either, arguing that doomsday scenarios where they could lose both the House and Senate aren’t yet materializing — and that Republicans still hold a fundraising advantage that could grow even larger if Trump deploys the massive war chest he controls through his MAGA Inc. super PAC.

    The situation has nevertheless fanned fears across other parts of the GOP that a wider swath of seats in both the House, and possibly the Senate, could now be in play — already an acute anxiety given a series of brutal recent special election performances.

    The US Capitol building is seen from the base of the Washington Monument during sunset on March 9, in Washington, DC.

    Samuel Corum/Sipa USA/AP/File

    In recent weeks, some frustrated Republican lawmakers have privately vented concerns that the White House is underestimating the sheer scale of the challenge created by the war, two people familiar with the discussions said. It’s unclear whether those complaints have reached Trump directly.

    “At a certain point, there’s going to have to be a message shift from the administration if (the war) doesn’t look like it’s something we can just get out of,” one GOP campaign operative said.

    Still, that worry hasn’t yet translated into any major shift in approach — in large part because Trump’s repeated assertions that the fight is nearly over have kept his party in a holding pattern. The war has already dragged past the president’s original estimate of four to six weeks, and Trump’s embrace of a two-week ceasefire has done nothing to relieve the economic pain.

    In a meeting of Senate Republicans earlier this week, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina urged his colleagues to amplify the average $250-per-month in extra take-home pay that Americans are estimated to see in their tax refund from Trump’s policies, presenting internal polling that showed key voting blocs were “overwhelmingly motivated by cost-of-living concerns,” according to a copy obtained by CNN.

    “Everything gets more complicated the longer this goes on because there’s more uncertainty,” said a GOP campaign operative. “But we can’t deviate from the plan because then everything will fall apart.”

    There’s at least one source of comfort for Trump’s orbit: political advisers closely tracking the war’s impact on public opinion are seeing little improvement in voters’ views of the Democratic Party, even as they’ve soured on the GOP. That’s given them some hope that voters unhappy with the current conditions might still be persuaded to turn out for Republicans if they see improvements in November, two people familiar with the internal discussions said.

    Trump advisers have urged Republicans to play up the contrast between the two parties’ platforms as a result, arguing that lawmakers should promote their own policies while also casting themselves as bulwarks against Democrats’ ability to advance a far more progressive agenda.

    “That’s the question: Who’s gonna be in charge?” the Trump adviser said. “The best thing we have going for us is that the Democrats are worse.”

    There’s another major argument the GOP will soon debut, too. If Republicans fail to protect their majorities in Congress, they’ll argue, Trump will face the threat of yet another impeachment battle — a message they believe will be crucial to turning out the MAGA most faithful, according to multiple Republicans involved in congressional campaigns.

    Still, with the war ongoing and key costs rising, though, there’s broad acknowledgment that attacking Democrats only amounts to a partial argument from the party that controls the White House and Congress.

    In the meantime, Trump officials have sought fresh ways for blunting the blowback over gas prices, including publicly taking gas station operators to task for failing to quickly lower their prices whenever the broader price of oil declines, the Trump adviser said.

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted at that jawboning tactic on Wednesday, warning that the administration would be “watching the gas stations.” Yet during that same appearance, he conceded that prior assurances that prices would return to pre-war levels by summer were too rosy, and that the timing was now “going to be up to how the negotiations go” with Iran.

    “They were counting on the tax refunds to power the economy and to have inflation under control, and on both fronts, they have some concerns,” said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the right-leaning American Action Forum and a longtime GOP economic adviser.

    As for Trump, simply getting him back on the road and holding rallies this week amount to a solid first step, Republicans said. After Nevada, he’s slated to make another stop in Arizona Friday.

    But there’s little guarantee he’ll end up on message once he gets there. On Monday, the White House staged an encounter between Trump and a DoorDash delivery driver meant to promote his largely popular “no tax on tips” policy.

    But any attention the tax provision may have gotten was soon swamped by Trump’s off-the-cuff decision to expound on the blockade he’d just imposed on Iran and try to explain away a controversial late night social media post depicting him as a Jesus-like figure.

    “Naval blockades and the president’s divinity,” Holtz-Eakin said afterward. “Not exactly what they had planned.”

    Sarah Ferris and Alayna Treene contributed to this report.

  • 特朗普前往关键摇摆州推销减税政策,为中期选举前的共和党造势


    2026年4月16日 美国东部时间凌晨5:00 / 福克斯新闻频道

    总统将到访内华达州与亚利桑那州,宣传《宏大美丽法案》中的减税政策
    作者:保罗·施坦豪泽 福克斯新闻

    唐纳德·特朗普总统本周将前往今年中期选举中的两个关键摇摆州,宣传国会共和党议员去年通过并由他签署生效的减税政策。

    他将于周四到访内华达州,周五到访亚利桑那州。此次行程安排在美国民众向国税局提交纳税申报表的周三截止日之后。

    特朗普的西部之行正值共和党努力在中期选举中保住其在众议院的微弱优势以及参议院的小幅多数席位之际。通常而言,在野党会在执政党的中期选举中遭遇政治逆风并丢失国会席位。此外,共和党还面临着由持续通胀、与伊朗的不得人心的战争推高的汽油价格(民调显示多数民众反对这场战争)以及总统低迷的支持率所共同造成的艰难政治环境。

    但数周以来,共和党一直将减税政策作为宣传重点,他们坚信这能在中期选举中获得选民的政治支持。

    特朗普启程推销经济政绩,共和党备战高风险中期选举对决

    2025年7月4日,在华盛顿白宫举行的与军人家庭的独立日野餐活动中,唐纳德·特朗普总统签署了被称为《宏大美丽法案》的全面支出与税收法案。(路透社/肯·塞德诺)

    在周三福克斯商业频道《玛丽亚晨间秀》的采访中,特朗普对减税政策大加赞赏,他告诉主持人玛丽亚·巴尔蒂罗莫:“退税金额非常可观,而且报税流程也变得更简单了,简单得多。”

    “民众拿到了5000、8000乃至11000美元的退税,他们之前根本不知道自己能拿到这笔钱。最终的效果比我当初承诺的还要好,至少也是不相上下。”总统强调道。

    减税政策是共和党大规模国内政策举措的核心组成部分,该法案在共和党掌控的参众两院几乎全票沿党派路线通过。

    福克斯新闻独家报道:共和党抨击民主党反对特朗普减税政策

    这项法案最初名为《宏大美丽法案》,后更名为《工薪家庭减税法案》,其中充斥着特朗普2024年竞选活动的承诺以及其第二任期的优先事项,包括延长总统标志性的2017年减税政策,以及取消小费和加班费的税收。

    2024年8月23日,在拉斯维加斯的“无小费税”倡议活动中,唐纳德·特朗普总统在抵达讲台时露出笑容。(丹尼尔·雅各比二世/拉斯维加斯评论报/论坛新闻服务 盖蒂图片社)

    特朗普将于周四在拉斯维加斯AC酒店的圆桌讨论会上重点介绍减税政策。这座以娱乐和博彩业闻名的城市拥有大量服务业从业人员,他们的收入主要依赖小费和加班费。

    独家报道:众议院共和党将“脆弱”民主党议员作为攻击目标,因其投票反对减税政策

    白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特表示,总统周五将在凤凰城梦想之城教堂举行的“转折点美国”活动上发表讲话。

    “总统届时将大量谈及他的政策如何惠及美国民众,”莱维特说道。

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6393151809112

    民主党人士批评了这项减税政策,称其过度惠及富人和企业。

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP

    “唐纳德·特朗普向美国民众承诺更低的物价、更低的税收和更多的退税,但他们实际得到了什么?特朗普和他的富豪朋友们获得了巨额税收减免,一场鲁莽的贸易战推高了物价,以及一场由纳税人买单、代价高昂且造成大量伤亡的伊朗战争,”民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁在一份声明中指责道。

    马丁指责“特朗普的‘宏大美丽法案’从养老院、乡村医院和贫困家庭手中掠夺资源,将意外之财送给了超级富豪”。他还声称“美国人银行账户到账的退税金额低于预期,甚至无法覆盖特朗普强加给他们的更高生活成本”。

    保罗·施坦豪泽是常驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州的政治记者,他全程报道横跨全美各地的竞选活动。

    Trump hits key battlegrounds to sell tax cuts, boost GOP ahead of midterms

    April 16, 2026 5:00am EDT / Fox News

    President will visit Nevada, Arizona to tout One Big Beautiful Bill tax cuts

    By Paul Steinhauser Fox News

    President Donald Trump is heading this week to two crucial swing states in this year’s midterm elections to highlight the tax cuts that Republicans in Congress passed, and which he signed into law, last year.

    He will visit Nevada on Thursday and Arizona on Friday. The stops follow Wednesday’s deadline for Americans to file their taxes with the IRS.

    Trump’s western swing comes as the GOP works to protect its razor-thin House and slim Senate majorities in the midterms, when the party in power typically faces political headwinds and loses congressional seats. The GOP also faces a challenging political climate fueled by persistent inflation, rising gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran, and the president’s low approval ratings.

    But Republicans have for weeks spotlighted the tax cuts, which they insist will give them a political boost with voters in the midterms.

    TRUMP HITS THE ROAD TO SELL ECONOMIC WINS, AS REPUBLICANS BRACE FOR HIGH-STAKES MIDTERM SHOWDOWN

    President Donald Trump signs sweeping spending and tax legislation, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, during a picnic with military families to mark Independence Day at the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2025.(Reuters/Ken Cedeno)

    In an interview Wednesday on FOX Business’ “Mornings with Maria,” Trump touted the tax cuts, telling host Maria Bartiromo that “the refunds are really significant, and it makes it less complicated to do your tax return. Much less complicated.”

    “People are getting refunds of $5,000, $8,000, $11,000 that they had no idea they were getting. It’s turned out to be better, as good or better than I said it would,” the president emphasized.

    The tax cuts were a key component of Republicans’ massive domestic policy measure, which passed almost entirely along party lines in the GOP-controlled House and Senate.

    FIRST ON FOX: GOP TAKES AIM AT DEMOCRATS FOR OPPOSING TRUMP TAX CUTS

    The law, originally titled the One Big Beautiful Bill Act but rebranded as the Working Families Tax Cuts, is stuffed full of Trump’s 2024 campaign trail promises and second-term priorities, including extending the president’s signature 2017 tax cuts and eliminating taxes on tips and overtime pay.

    President Donald Trump smiled as he arrived at the lectern during a “No Tax on Tips” initiative visit at Il Toro E La Capra on Aug. 23, 2024, in Las Vegas during his presidential campaign.(Daniel Jacobi II/Las Vegas Review-Journal/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

    Trump will spotlight the tax cuts on Thursday at a roundtable discussion at the AC Hotel in Las Vegas. The city, a popular entertainment and gaming mecca, has an outsized population of service industry workers who rely on tips and overtime pay.

    EXCLUSIVE: HOUSE REPUBLICANS TARGET ‘VULNERABLE’ DEMOCRATS FOR VOTING AGAINST TAX CUTS

    White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president on Friday will deliver remarks at a Turning Point USA event at Dream City Church in Phoenix.

    “You’ll hear a lot from the president about how his policies have benefited the American people,” Leavitt said.

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6393151809112

    Democrats have criticized the tax cuts, arguing they disproportionately benefit the wealthy and corporations.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    “Donald Trump promised Americans lower prices, lower taxes, and bigger refunds, and what have they gotten instead? Massive tax breaks for Trump and his wealthy friends, a reckless trade war that has hiked prices, and a deadly and costly taxpayer-funded war with Iran,” Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin argued in a statement.

    Martin charged that “Trump’s ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’ stole from nursing homes, rural hospitals, and hungry families to give a windfall to the ultra-rich.” And he claimed “Americans are seeing lower-than-promised refunds hit their bank accounts that won’t even cover the higher costs Trump has forced them to shoulder.”

    Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.

  • 伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知


    2026年4月16日 17:54 / 联合早报

    4月4日,社交媒体视频的截图显示,位于伊朗胡齐斯坦省马赫沙赫尔县的马赫沙赫尔石化区遭到袭击后,浓烟滚滚升起。 (路透社)

    据伊朗媒体报道,由于以色列袭击多个石化中心导致生产中断,伊朗已暂停所有石化产品出口,以优先保障国内供应并防止原材料短缺。

    伊朗报纸《经济世界》星期四(4月16日)报道,这项指令由伊朗国家石化公司负责下游行业的高级官员于星期四发布,要求石化企业暂停出口,直至另行通知。

    路透社报道,此次出口禁令的主要目的是稳定国内市场,确保在近期袭击造成损失后,各行业的原材料供应充足。

    尽管全球价格上涨,但伊朗国内石化产品及相关产品的价格仍维持在冲突前的水平。官员说,这些措施将继续实施,以支持当地产业和消费者。

    近几周,以色列袭击了阿萨卢耶(Asaluyeh)和马赫沙赫尔(Mahshahr)的主要石化生产中心,袭击目标包括为石化厂提供原料的公用事业公司,导致生产中断。

    延伸阅读

    以军空袭伊朗能源重镇 斩断逾八成石化出口
    伊朗西南部石化中心遇袭 以色列多地因伊朗打击受损

    本周,美国军方开始封锁伊朗港口的进出船只交通,此举旨在削减伊朗的出口收入,并在伊朗和美国外交官考虑举行第二轮和平谈判之际,向德黑兰施压。

    据法尔斯通讯社报道,伊朗每年出口约2900万吨石化产品,价值130亿美元(165亿2600万新元)。

    伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知

    2026年4月16日 17:54 / 联合早报

    4月4日,社交媒体视频的截图显示,位于伊朗胡齐斯坦省马赫沙赫尔县的马赫沙赫尔石化区遭到袭击后,浓烟滚滚升起。 (路透社)

    据伊朗媒体报道,由于以色列袭击多个石化中心导致生产中断,伊朗已暂停所有石化产品出口,以优先保障国内供应并防止原材料短缺。

    伊朗报纸《经济世界》星期四(4月16日)报道,这项指令由伊朗国家石化公司负责下游行业的高级官员于星期四发布,要求石化企业暂停出口,直至另行通知。

    路透社报道,此次出口禁令的主要目的是稳定国内市场,确保在近期袭击造成损失后,各行业的原材料供应充足。

    尽管全球价格上涨,但伊朗国内石化产品及相关产品的价格仍维持在冲突前的水平。官员说,这些措施将继续实施,以支持当地产业和消费者。

    近几周,以色列袭击了阿萨卢耶(Asaluyeh)和马赫沙赫尔(Mahshahr)的主要石化生产中心,袭击目标包括为石化厂提供原料的公用事业公司,导致生产中断。

    延伸阅读

    以军空袭伊朗能源重镇 斩断逾八成石化出口
    伊朗西南部石化中心遇袭 以色列多地因伊朗打击受损

    本周,美国军方开始封锁伊朗港口的进出船只交通,此举旨在削减伊朗的出口收入,并在伊朗和美国外交官考虑举行第二轮和平谈判之际,向德黑兰施压。

    据法尔斯通讯社报道,伊朗每年出口约2900万吨石化产品,价值130亿美元(165亿2600万新元)。

  • 伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知


    2026年4月16日 17:54 / 联合早报

    伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知

    4月4日,社交媒体视频的截图显示,位于伊朗胡齐斯坦省马赫沙赫尔县的马赫沙赫尔石化区遭到袭击后,浓烟滚滚升起。 (路透社)

    据伊朗媒体报道,由于以色列袭击多个石化中心导致生产中断,伊朗已暂停所有石化产品出口,以优先保障国内供应并防止原材料短缺。

    伊朗报纸《经济世界》星期四(4月16日)报道,这项指令由伊朗国家石化公司负责下游行业的高级官员于星期四发布,要求石化企业暂停出口,直至另行通知。

    路透社报道,此次出口禁令的主要目的是稳定国内市场,确保在近期袭击造成损失后,各行业的原材料供应充足。

    尽管全球价格上涨,但伊朗国内石化产品及相关产品的价格仍维持在冲突前的水平。官员说,这些措施将继续实施,以支持当地产业和消费者。

    近几周,以色列袭击了阿萨卢耶(Asaluyeh)和马赫沙赫尔(Mahshahr)的主要石化生产中心,袭击目标包括为石化厂提供原料的公用事业公司,导致生产中断。

    延伸阅读

    • 以军空袭伊朗能源重镇 斩断逾八成石化出口
    • 伊朗西南部石化中心遇袭 以色列多地因伊朗打击受损

    本周,美国军方开始封锁伊朗港口的进出船只交通,此举旨在削减伊朗的出口收入,并在伊朗和美国外交官考虑举行第二轮和平谈判之际,向德黑兰施压。

    据法尔斯通讯社报道,伊朗每年出口约2900万吨石化产品,价值130亿美元(165亿2600万新元)。

    伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知

    2026年4月16日 17:54 / 联合早报

    伊朗暂停石化产品出口 直至另行通知

    4月4日,社交媒体视频的截图显示,位于伊朗胡齐斯坦省马赫沙赫尔县的马赫沙赫尔石化区遭到袭击后,浓烟滚滚升起。 (路透社)

    据伊朗媒体报道,由于以色列袭击多个石化中心导致生产中断,伊朗已暂停所有石化产品出口,以优先保障国内供应并防止原材料短缺。

    伊朗报纸《经济世界》星期四(4月16日)报道,这项指令由伊朗国家石化公司负责下游行业的高级官员于星期四发布,要求石化企业暂停出口,直至另行通知。

    路透社报道,此次出口禁令的主要目的是稳定国内市场,确保在近期袭击造成损失后,各行业的原材料供应充足。

    尽管全球价格上涨,但伊朗国内石化产品及相关产品的价格仍维持在冲突前的水平。官员说,这些措施将继续实施,以支持当地产业和消费者。

    近几周,以色列袭击了阿萨卢耶(Asaluyeh)和马赫沙赫尔(Mahshahr)的主要石化生产中心,袭击目标包括为石化厂提供原料的公用事业公司,导致生产中断。

    延伸阅读

    以军空袭伊朗能源重镇 斩断逾八成石化出口
    伊朗西南部石化中心遇袭 以色列多地因伊朗打击受损

    本周,美国军方开始封锁伊朗港口的进出船只交通,此举旨在削减伊朗的出口收入,并在伊朗和美国外交官考虑举行第二轮和平谈判之际,向德黑兰施压。

    据法尔斯通讯社报道,伊朗每年出口约2900万吨石化产品,价值130亿美元(165亿2600万新元)。

  • 独家报道:殴打、拘禁与隔离:移民儿童收容所虐待指控引发联邦审查


    2026-04-16T09:00:55.312Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/16/politics/migrant-children-shelter-abuse-allegations

    纽约一家曾收容移民儿童的设施面临身体虐待指控,其中包括将部分儿童单独关押在所谓的“红色房间”内,据多名向CNN透露该收容所情况的消息人士透露。

    据其中两名消息人士透露,联邦消息人士和儿童福利专家的描述显示,近年来该机构对疑似行为问题采取了严厉的惩罚措施,促使卫生与公众服务部难民救援办公室(ORR)启动内部审查。该办公室负责照料移民儿童。

    这家名为“儿童村”的收容所在纽约州拥有多个校区,服务包括美国公民在内的儿童,不过虐待指控均涉及多布斯费里校区对移民儿童的待遇。儿童村自2004年起开始收容无人陪伴的移民儿童。

    一名熟悉相关情况的消息人士称,据称有儿童遭到一个“特殊”安保小队的殴打,有时甚至是在监控摄像头的盲区。他们还被违反安全规程地约束长达数分钟。儿童还曾被强行带至某房间作为惩罚。

    长期以来,联邦政府一直资助儿童村这类收容所,照料那些独自穿越美墨边境——或是近期在境内移民执法行动中被单独留下的——移民儿童,直到他们能与在美国的担保人(如父母)团聚。

    过去一年里,特朗普政府加大了父母和监护人从政府监护下接走子女的难度,并指示联邦探员询问移民青少年是否愿意自愿离境。

    然而,儿童村的问题似乎早在特朗普政府执政前就已存在,并在近几个月持续发酵。

    CNN援引了多份消息源,包括联邦机构内部文件、儿童福利专家、现任及前任HHS官员,以及熟悉儿童村情况的消息人士,以记录针对该收容所的指控。

    在向CNN发表的一份声明中,儿童村的一位发言人表示:“我们对任何形式的体罚零容忍。”

    “所有在我们照料下的青少年都应得到每一位负责其福祉的成年人提供的最高水准的照料、支持和专业服务。关于员工行为不端的指控令人深感不安,一旦收到此类举报,我们会立即向当局报告。我们将采取一切必要措施,确保任何被发现存在不当行为的员工都将受到适当且毫不迟疑的处理,”该发言人补充道。

    据CNN查阅的HHS内部文件显示,这家多年来收容了数百名12岁及以上移民儿童的收容所已于1月下旬停止接收儿童,原在其照料下的儿童已被转移至其他机构,原因是“严重的儿童福利问题”。

    一名被转至其他机构的青少年回忆称,他在一个自称“红色房间”的地方独自度过了四天,房间里有红灯,没有门。该说法是在1月初向一名收容所临床医生透露的,且已由CNN核实。

    在这四天里,该青少年表示他没有洗澡,仅被提供面包作为食物。这名男孩称,房间位于收容所安保人员办公室附近,因此工作人员在他被关押期间可以监视他。

    该青少年还回忆起一个所谓的“特殊”小队,会在发生斗殴或需要使用约束措施时介入。他说自己曾被推倒在地并遭到殴打,还被约束了近20次。

    在向CNN发表的声明中,HHS发言人安德鲁·尼克松表示,难民救援办公室“极其严肃地对待所有涉及其所照料儿童的不当行为指控”。

    “收到与该设施相关的指控后,ORR立即采取行动,将所有无人陪伴的儿童转移至其他地点,并将此事提交给适当的联邦调查机构。ORR照料下的儿童的安全和福祉是首要任务,任何可信的担忧都会得到迅速且彻底的处理,”尼克松补充道。

    据儿童福利专家透露,多名曾在该设施内的青少年分享了关于“特殊”小队的类似经历。两名消息人士称,近年来已就该小队涉嫌实施身体虐待的应对措施向纽约当局提出担忧。

    穿越南部边境的无人陪伴未成年人可能很快将失去关键的法律服务
    3:40 • 消息来源:CNN

    一名熟悉儿童村情况的消息人士称,该收容所去年从其他ORR服务机构接收了有严重行为问题的未成年人,他们有时需要采取身体干预措施,并称这是为了保护他们和其他人的安全。同一名消息人士表示,截至2025年底,审查儿童村其中一个移民项目的外部监督员报告称,孩子们感到安全且有保障。

    该收容所设有与儿童共事并监管他们的项目工作人员,以及在校区巡逻、在发生斗殴或争吵或儿童行为激进时被召集的安保人员。向CNN透露的指控主要针对安保人员,也就是所谓的“特殊”小队。

    另一名熟悉儿童村情况的消息人士称,其他儿童也曾被关押在孩子们称之为“红色房间”、工作人员则称之为“危机室”的地方,并被关押数小时作为行为惩罚。

    纽约州法规允许所谓的“降级室”“用于协助平息儿童升级的过激行为”,但不得作为惩罚手段。儿童必须同意才能被送入降级室。消息人士称,儿童村的“红色房间”并非自愿进入。

    消息人士将这个非正式被称为“红色房间”的空间描述为一个狭小的空间,因其红色地板和贴墙的红色地毯而得名。房间里仅有一盏顶灯,没有门,里面空无一物。

    “这听起来像是实实在在的虐待,”其中一名消息人士说。“如果一个孩子在家里被那样对待——不允许洗澡、被长时间关在密闭空间里——会被认定处于受虐待的处境。”

    全国青年法律中心儿童人权与尊严事务主管妮哈·德赛告诉CNN,她的团队在2019年曾与儿童村的儿童交谈过,这些儿童也举报了涉嫌的虐待、身体约束和使用“红色房间”的情况。

    “一名青少年描述了一个‘特殊单元’的男性,当孩子们‘表现不好’时就会进来。这名青少年告诉我们,他看到这个单元的人把孩子扔到墙上,”她说,并补充称另一名男孩描述了自己被“特殊单元”强行约束并带至“红色房间”的经历。

    据儿童福利专家透露,近年来已有投诉提交至纽约州正义中心,举报儿童村的状况。这些专家表示,近几周来,曾在该设施内居住的一些青少年已接到正义中心当局的联系。

    一名熟悉儿童村情况的消息人士同样告诉CNN,作为监督的一部分,该收容所会将员工针对儿童的不当行为指控上报给ORR和纽约州正义中心。

    纽约州正义中心负责接收虐待和忽视案件的举报,该中心拒绝具体评论其收到的举报,但在一份声明中告诉CNN,“儿童村属于正义中心的管辖范围”,但“关于调查结果的具体信息需要提出记录申请才能获取”。

    CNN也已提交了记录申请。

    根据其官网信息,儿童村成立于1851年,为纽约州有需要的儿童以及无监护人陪同抵达美国的移民儿童提供服务。

    该设施为移民儿童提供标准照料,包括为有心理健康问题的儿童设立的治疗性集体之家,以及一个名为“强化监管”的类别,该类别还包括那些有过往执法记录或当前行为需要工作人员额外监管的青少年男孩。

    多布斯费里校区布局如校园,拥有数十间小屋,服务各类项目和儿童,包括美国公民儿童。该校区设有娱乐中心、医疗诊所、教堂和学校。据熟悉儿童村情况的消息人士透露,有18间小屋分配给移民儿童,另有约17间小屋分配给美国公民儿童,这些儿童入住的原因多种多样,包括寄养儿童以及因过往经历需要安全居住环境的儿童。

    过去一年里,该设施内的移民儿童约有50名或更少。儿童村可容纳187名移民儿童。

    据ORR称,强化监管设施“比普通收容所采取更严格的安保措施,包括更密切的工作人员监管和额外支持”。针对儿童村青少年男孩待遇的指控似乎主要涉及他们在强化监管设施中的经历。

    该设施内的儿童既有独自抵达美墨边境的,也有因境内执法行动与担保人分离的——这种情况在特朗普政府最新的打击行动中愈发常见。

    这些儿童通常经历过某种创伤,且被关押的时间较长。

    “他们可能出于多种原因表现出过激行为,有时工作人员会将其解读为威胁,但实际上这可能是心理健康问题或对自身处境的沮丧,”一名前卫生与公众服务部官员告诉CNN。

    “从一开始情况就很复杂,甚至不清楚这些设施中的一些孩子是否应该被安置在这里,而这种更封闭的环境可能会引发潜在问题,”他们补充道。

    马克·格林伯格是前卫生与公众服务部高级官员,他表示,有一套核心要求应适用于所有移民儿童设施。

    “它们应具备行为管理策略,应符合创伤知情原则,不得使用或威胁使用体罚。不得使用隔离措施,除非在紧急情况下;不得使用人身约束,除非在紧急情况下,”他说。

    格林伯格指出,任何关于身体虐待的指控都尤其令人担忧。

    “任何情况下都不应发生殴打。这一点很明确,不会因设施性质的不同而改变,”格林伯格补充道。“这听起来极端且令人深感不安,本不应发生在儿童村的指控中,”格林伯格谈到儿童村的指控时说道。

    ORR在全美24个州资助了171个设施和项目,用于照料无人陪伴的儿童,直到他们被安置到担保人(如父母或亲属)处。这些设施并非为长期停留设计,但由于一系列新的限制措施使得儿童被释放给担保人的难度加大,儿童在收容所的停留时间从数周延长至数月。

    根据最新可获得的联邦数据,3月份HHS监管下的移民儿童人数为2173人。联邦数据显示,2025财年各收容所的平均停留时间为117天,较前一年增长了两倍。

    HHS2019年的一份监察长报告显示,在HHS进行审查期间,儿童村获得了1670万美元的联邦资金,用于照料和安置近500名儿童。

    该报告是对ORR设施全面审查的一部分,发现了“潜在有害的状况”,如部分浴室不卫生、儿童可接触到有害清洁用品,以及联邦资金使用方面的担忧。儿童村不同意监察长报告中的许多结论,但同意采取纠正措施。

    据一名熟悉相关情况的消息人士透露,联邦官员在1月份进行的临时监督访问发现了“严重的儿童福利问题”,并已上报给ORR。

    此次访问是由一名无人陪伴的未成年人引发的,该儿童在被转移至其他安置点后举报了虐待行为。

    据一名HHS官员透露,难民救援办公室官员已启动一个项目,以评估该设施内事件的严重程度。

    “作为其监督工作的一部分,ORR可以查看重大事件报告,以了解某一情况发生的频率以及涉及哪些服务机构。这取决于具体情况,但当收到针对特定服务机构的投诉时,肯定会开展此类调查,”曾在前总统拜登政府下担任ORR副主任的珍·斯迈尔斯说道。

    Exclusive: Beatings, restraints and isolation: Allegations of abuse at a migrant children’s shelter trigger federal review

    2026-04-16T09:00:55.312Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/16/politics/migrant-children-shelter-abuse-allegations

    A facility in New York that housed migrant children faces allegations of physical abuse, including placing some children in isolation in a so-called “red room,” according to multiple sources who spoke with CNN about what’s unfolded at the shelter.

    The accounts from federal sources and child welfare experts describe a heavy-handed approach to punishment for potential behavioral issues in recent years, prompting an internal review by the Health and Human Services Department’s Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR), which is charged with the care of migrant children, according to two of the sources.

    The shelter, called the Children’s Village, has multiple locations across New York serving kids, including US citizens, though the abuse allegations stem from their treatment of migrant children at the Dobbs Ferry location. The Children’s Village has served unaccompanied migrant children since 2004.

    Children were allegedly beaten by a “special” unit, akin to a security team, including at times, out of the view of cameras. They were also allegedly held in restraints for several minutes, beyond protocol in place to ensure safety. Children were also involuntarily taken to a room as punishment, according to a source familiar with the situation.

    The federal government has long funded shelters, like the Children’s Village to care for migrant children who crossed the US-Mexico border alone — or more recently, been swept up in an interior immigration enforcement operation — until they can be reunited with a US-based sponsor, like a parent.

    Over the last year, the Trump administration has made it harder for parents and guardians to retrieve their children from government custody and directed federal agents to ask migrant teens whether they want to voluntarily depart the country.

    Issues at the Children’s Village, however, appear to pre-date the Trump administration — and persisted in recent months.

    CNN relied on multiple sources, including internal federal agency documents, as well as child welfare experts, current and former HHS officials, and sources familiar with the Children’s Village to document the allegations levied against the shelter.

    In a statement to CNN, a spokesperson for the Children’s Village said: “We have zero tolerance for any form of punishment.”

    “All teens in our care deserve the highest level of care, support, and professionalism from every adult responsible for their well-being. Allegations of employee misconduct are deeply distressing, and if received, we make an immediate report to the authorities. We will take all necessary steps to ensure that any staff member found to have engaged in misconduct is addressed appropriately and without hesitation,” the spokesperson added.

    The shelter, which has housed hundreds of migrant children aged 12 and up over the years, stopped receiving kids in late January — and those who were in their care have been moved elsewhere — over “significant child welfare concerns,” according to an internal HHS document reviewed by CNN.

    One teen who was transferred to another facility recalled spending four days alone in what he described as a “red room” with a red light and no door, according to an account shared with a shelter clinician in early January and reviewed by CNN .

    Over those four days, the teen said he didn’t bathe and was only provided bread for food. The boy said the room was located near the shelter’s security staff office, so personnel could monitor him while he was confined to the room.

    The teen also recalled a so-called “special” unit that would swoop in when fights occurred or restraints were required. He said he was thrown to the floor and hit, as well as placed in restraints, nearly two dozen times.

    In a statement to CNN, HHS spokesman Andrew Nixon said the Office of Refugee Resettlement “takes all allegations of misconduct involving children in its care extremely seriously.”

    “Upon receiving an allegation related to this facility, ORR acted immediately to transfer all unaccompanied children to other locations and referred the matter to the appropriate federal investigative authorities. The safety and well-being of children in ORR care is a top priority, and any credible concerns are addressed swiftly and thoroughly,” Nixon added.

    According to child welfare experts, multiple teens housed in the facility have shared similar experiences about the “special” unit. Concerns over that team’s response — which allegedly involved physical abuse — were raised to New York authorities in recent years, two sources said.

    Unaccompanied minors who crossed the Southern border may soon lose critical legal service

    3:40 • Source: CNN

    A source familiar with the Children’s Village said that the shelter received minors last year with acute behavioral issues from other ORR providers, and they sometimes required physical interventions, arguing that it was for their safety and that of others. The same source said that as of late 2025, external monitors that reviewed one of the Children’s Village immigrant programs reported that kids felt safe and secure.

    The shelter has program staff who work with children and supervise them and separately security staff who roam the campus and are called in if there’s a fight or altercation or if a child is behaving in an aggressive manner. The allegations shared with CNN were primarily against the security staff, also referred to as the “special” team.

    Other children were also held in what kids called the “red room,” but was known among staff as the “crisis room,” and held there for hours as punishment for behavior, according to another source familiar with Children’s Village.

    New York regulations allow for so-called “de-escalation rooms” to “assist in calming a child’s escalating behavior” but not as a form of punishment. A child needs to consent in order to be placed in a de-escalation room. Sources say the “red room” at the Children’s Village was not voluntary.

    Sources described the “red room,” as it was informally known, as a tight space that got its name from the red floor and red carpet lining the walls. There is a singular overhead light and no door. There is nothing else in the room.

    “It sounds like real abuse,” one of the sources said. “If a kid was subjected to that in their home, not allowed to shower, kept in a confined space for that long, they’d be considered to be in an abusive situation.”

    Neha Desai, managing director of Children’s Human Rights & Dignity at the National Center for Youth Law, told CNN her team spoke with children at Children’s Village in 2019 who also reported alleged abuse, physical restraints and use of a “red room.”

    “One youth described a ‘special unit’ of men who came in when children were ‘behaving badly.’ The youth told us he saw the men in this unit throwing children against the wall,” she said, adding that another boy described “being physically restrained by the ‘special unit’” and taken to the “red room.”

    Complaints have been submitted with the New York State Justice Center over conditions at the Children’s Village in recent years, according to child welfare experts. Some of the teens who had been housed at the facility have been contacted by authorities with the Justice Center in recent weeks, according to those experts .

    One of the sources familiar with the Children’s Village similarly told CNN that as a form of oversight, the shelter reports allegations of staff misconduct toward kids to ORR and the New York State Justice Center.

    The New York State Justice Center, which receives reports of abuse and neglect, declined to comment specifically on what reports its received but told CNN in a statement that “The Children’s Village is within the Justice Center’s jurisdiction,” but that “specific information on investigation findings would require” a record request.

    CNN also submitted a record request.

    Founded in 1851, the Children’s Village provides services for children in need in New York as well as migrant children who arrived in the US without a guardian, according to its website.

    The facility offers standard care for migrant children, including a therapeutic group home for children struggling with mental health, as well as a category known as heightened supervision, which also includes teenage boys whose history, like a previous run in with law enforcement, or current behavior requires additional supervision by staff.

    The Dobbs Ferry location is laid out like a campus with dozens of cottages serving a variety of programs and children, including US citizen kids. The campus includes a recreation center, a medical clinic, a chapel and a school. There are 18 cottages assigned to migrant children and around 17 cottages assigned for US citizen kids who may be there for a number of reasons, including kids in foster care and those needing a secure residential setting given their history, according to the source familiar with the Children’s Village.

    There were around 50 migrant children or fewer at the facility over the last year. The Children’s Village can accommodate 187 migrant children.

    According to ORR, heightened supervision facilities “maintain stricter security measures than a shelter, include close staff supervision, and extra support.” The allegations about the treatment of teenage boys at the Children’s Village appear to largely be about their time in the heightened supervision facility.

    The kids at the facility are a mix of those who arrived at the US-Mexico border alone or as a result of an interior enforcement action where their sponsor was detained without them — a phenomenon that has happened more frequently under the Trump administration’s latest crackdown.

    The kids have usually experienced a type of trauma and are in custody for a prolonged period.

    “They might be acting out for a variety of reasons and sometimes staff will interpret it as threatening when in fact it could be mental health issues or frustration about their situation,” a former Health and Human Services official told CNN.

    “You start with a fraught position where it’s not even clear that some of the kids in those facilities should be in them and the more closed nature of it could create potential problems,” they added.

    Mark Greenberg, a former senior Health and Human Services official, said there are a set of core requirements that should apply to all child migrant facilities.

    “They have behavior management strategies, that they’re trauma informed, that they don’t use or threaten corporal punishment. That they do not use seclusion, except on an emergency basis and only that they don’t use personal restraints except on an emergency basis,” he said.

    Greenberg noted that any allegations of physical abuse are particularly concerning.

    “There should not be beatings under any circumstances. That’s clear and not going to vary on the nature of the facility,” Greenberg added. “This sounds extreme and deeply disturbing and not something that’s supposed to happen,” Greenberg said of the Children’s Village allegations.

    ORR funds 171 facilities and programs across 24 states for the care of unaccompanied children until they can be placed with a so-called sponsor, like a parent or relative. The facilities are not designed for long-term stays, but amid a spate of new restrictions that have made it harder for kids to be released to sponsors, children are remaining in custody for weeks, if not months.

    There were 2,173 migrant children in HHS custody in March, according to the latest available federal figures. The average length of stay at a facility in fiscal year 2025 was 117 days, according to federal data, up threefold from the year prior.

    A 2019 HHS inspector general report stated the Children’s Village received $16.7 million in federal funds for the care and placement of nearly 500 children when the HHS conducted its review.

    That report, which was part of a broader review of ORR facilities, found “potentially harmful conditions,” like unsanitary conditions in some bathrooms and accessibility to harmful cleaning products, and concerns over the use of federal funds. The Children’s Village disagreed with many of the findings in the inspector general’s report but agreed to take corrective actions.

    An ad-hoc monitoring visit conducted in January by federal officials revealed “significant child welfare concerns” that were elevated to ORR, according to a source familiar with the matter.

    The visit was prompted by an unaccompanied minor who, after being moved to another placement, reported abuse.

    The Office of Refugee Resettlement officials launched a project to assess the scope of incidents at the facility, according to an HHS official.

    “As part of its oversight work, ORR can run checks of significant incident reports to figure out how frequently a situation has happened and at which providers. It would be situation dependent, but certainly that would be done when there was a complaint about a specific provider,” said Jen Smyers, a former ORR deputy director who served under former President Joe Biden.

  • 随着伊朗战争推高燃油价格,各州迟迟不愿暂停汽油税。原因如下。


    2026年4月16日 / 美国东部时间早上6:00 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    华盛顿——随着伊朗战争的后续影响持续推高燃油价格,几乎没有州采取行动暂停汽油和柴油税。

    税务政策专家表示,暂停州级和联邦机动车燃油税并不像人们想象的那样能有效降低加油站油价,而且可能会损害驾驶员赖以生存的道路和桥梁。

    根据美国能源信息署的数据,各州平均汽油税为每加仑32.6美分。据美国汽车协会(AAA)数据,周三美国全国平均汽油价格为4.11美元,而哥伦比亚广播公司最近的一项民调显示,51%的受访者表示汽油价格给他们带来了经济困难或财务压力。

    自中东冲突爆发以来,只有少数几个州采取了措施减免机动车燃油税。佐治亚州上月成为首个暂停机动车燃油税的州,共和党州长布莱恩·坎普签署了一项为期60天的暂停令,暂停该州每加仑33美分的汽油税和每加仑37美分的柴油税。4月8日,印第安纳州共和党州长迈克·布劳恩发布行政命令,暂停该州7%的汽油销售税,为期30天。犹他州则暂时下调了州燃油税,但仅下调每加仑6美分,将该州2026年剩余时间的汽油税降至每加仑32美分。

    坎普将暂停汽油税作为向纳税人返还州所得税退税法案的一部分签署,他表示为佐治亚州民众“带来切实的税收减免”而感到自豪。佐治亚州众议院议长乔恩·伯恩斯表示,暂停汽油税将在未来60天内为驾驶员节省“近4亿美元”。

    但尽管驾驶员在加油站感受到的压力越来越大,大多数州仍不愿暂停征税。联邦政府也没有采取行动暂停联邦18.4美分的汽油税或24.3美分的柴油税,这需要国会通过法案才能实现。

    税务政策专家表示,议员和州长们之所以犹豫不决是有充分理由的。

    “归根结底,这是一种代价高昂的噱头,”税收与经济政策研究所研究主任卡尔·戴维斯说,“如果目标是将减税落到工薪阶层和中产阶级驾驶员手中,那么这一政策大多会落空。”

    本月早些时候在《与玛格丽特·布伦南面对面》节目中亮相时,马里兰州民主党州长韦斯·摩尔多次被问及是否愿意暂停该州每加仑47美分的汽油税,但他均未给出肯定答复。他认为真正的问题是战争及其带来的不确定性,并表示他预计战争结束后汽油价格仍将居高不下。

    “创可贴治不了坑洼,”税收基金会消费税政策主任亚当·霍弗说。对于担心高油价的驾驶员来说,“这解决不了任何问题,”他说。

    戴维斯解释说,汽油税不同于销售税——暂停征税并不会将所有节省的成本直接传递给消费者。

    “有证据表明,在这些短期汽油税调整中,一部分减税会惠及驾驶员,另一部分则不会,”戴维斯说,“其中一部分会被石油和燃油行业截留。”

    2022年宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院的一项研究分析了马里兰州、佐治亚州和康涅狄格州的临时燃油税假期,发现驾驶员获得了部分减税优惠——但并非全部。在马里兰州,72%的减税被转嫁给了消费者。在佐治亚州和康涅狄格州,这一比例分别为62%和71%。其余部分被向联邦政府缴纳汽油税的燃油批发商或分销商吸收。当税收暂停时,他们可以选择保留部分节省下来的资金,而不是降低加油站的油价。

    政策专家表示,汽油和柴油税本质上是道路的“使用者付费”——换句话说,使用道路的人缴税并从中受益。如果没有这些税收,最终受影响的还是驾驶员。戴维斯说,道路改善项目可能会被搁置或大幅推迟,坑洼可能得不到填补,驾驶员可能不得不意外前往修理厂修理轮胎。

    “汽油税是各州为交通基础设施买单的最重要方式,因此暂停这些税收将大幅削减各州用于保障桥梁安全和道路良好养护的资金,”戴维斯说,“这可不是驾驶员应该乐见的事情。”

    税收与经济政策研究所估计,佐治亚州在60天的暂停期内将损失约3.99亿美元的税收收入,而该州收入最低的60%人群每月仅能节省13美元。

    “汽油税以道路养护、桥梁维修、交通网络扩建等形式直接惠及民众,”戴维斯说,“汽油税资助的这些项目,才让驾驶成为可能,让出行更安全、高效、舒心。”

    霍弗表示,许多州已经在动用其他收入来源为道路项目提供资金,无法承担取消燃油税的损失。戴维斯说,各州可能不得不从其他领域抽调道路建设资金,比如学校拨款。

    “就目前情况而言,大多数州都无法仅靠交通使用者付费来全额资助其交通系统,”他说。

    “交通系统目前无法实现自给自足,”霍弗说,暂停汽油税“只会让这个问题变得更糟”。

    戴维斯进一步指出,州级汽油税假期还意味着无法向州外驾驶员征税。关注预算的各州并不愿意放弃税收收入,来帮助过路车辆和商业卡车司机。

    除了州外旅行者之外,暂停州级税收的这些考虑因素“在联邦层面也几乎完全一致”,霍弗说。联邦汽油税收入直接进入联邦公路信托基金,正如其他基金一样,该基金也在逐渐陷入资金不足的困境,霍弗说。

    “我认为这就是目前我们看不到联邦层面相关提案的原因,”霍弗说。

    前总统乔·拜登在2022年油价高企时曾提议暂停联邦汽油税,但国会民主党人否决了这一想法。2008年春季金融危机期间,时任总统候选人巴拉克·奥巴马驳回了竞争对手提出的暂停联邦汽油税的呼吁。

    “好吧,让我告诉你,这不是一个能帮你度过夏天的主意,而是一个帮他们度过选举的主意,”奥巴马当时说道。

    霍弗表示,即使税收被暂停,恢复征税也可能在不合时宜的时机打击驾驶员,而且没有人愿意看到税收再次上涨。

    “暂停期限的长短可能会导致非常糟糕的时机,”霍弗说,“真正繁忙的夏季旅游旺季即将到来。”

    高油价可能会成为一个更长期的问题。美国能源信息署预计,汽油和柴油价格将保持在此前预测的水平之上,直至2027年。今年1月,在伊朗战争爆发前,美国能源信息署曾预计2027年全国汽油平均价格为每加仑2.95美元。现在,该机构预计2027年汽油平均价格将达到每加仑3.46美元。

    “尽管反对汽油税的人希望取消它,但这本质上是一个两败俱伤的政策,”霍弗说。

    As Iran war drives up fuel prices, states are hesitant to suspend gas taxes. Here’s why.

    April 16, 2026 / 6:00 AM EDT / CBS News

    Washington— As fallout from the war with Iran keeps fuel prices high, few states are making moves to suspend their gas and diesel taxes.

    Tax policy experts say suspending the state and federal motor fuel taxes wouldn’t be as effective in lowering prices at the pump as one might think, and could come at a cost to the roads and bridges that drivers depend on.

    The average state gas tax is 32.6 cents per gallon, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The average gas price in the U.S. on Wednesday was $4.11, according to AAA, and 51% of respondents in a recent CBS News poll said gas prices have posed a financial hardship or been financially difficult for them.

    Only a few states have taken steps to mitigate their motor fuel taxes since the conflict in the Middle East began. Georgia became the first state to suspend its motor fuel tax last month, with Republican Gov. Brian Kemp signing a 60-day suspension on the state’s 33-cent-per-gallon gas tax and 37-cent-per-gallon diesel tax. On April 8, Indiana’s Republican Gov. Mike Braun issued an executive order for a 30-day suspension of that state’s 7% gasoline sales tax. And Utah temporarily reduced its state fuel tax, but only by 6 cents on the gallon, bringing its state gas tax to 32 cents on the gallon for the remainder of 2026.

    Kemp, who signed the gas tax suspension as a part of a bill sending state income tax refunds back to taxpayers, said he was proud to “deliver meaningful tax relief” to Georgians. Georgia House Speaker Jon Burns said the gas tax suspension would save drivers “nearly $400 million over the next 60 days.”

    But most states have been hesitant to suspend their taxes, even as drivers are feeling more pain at the pump. The federal government isn’t making moves to suspend the federal 18.4-cent gas tax or 24.3-cent diesel tax either, which would require an act of Congress.

    Lawmakers and governors have good reasons for being reluctant, tax policy experts said.

    “The bottom line is it’s an expensive gimmick,” said Carl Davis, research director at the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. “If the goal is to get tax cuts into the hands of working-class, middle-class drivers, it’s mostly going to miss the mark.”

    Appearing on “Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan” earlier this month, Maryland Democratic Gov. Wes Moore declined multiple opportunities to say he’s open to suspending the state’s 47-cent-per-gallon gas tax. He argued the real problem is the war and the uncertainty it brings, and said he expects gas prices to remain elevated once the war ends.

    “Band-Aids don’t fix potholes,” said Adam Hoffer, director of excise tax policy at the Tax Foundation. For drivers worried about high fuel prices, “this isn’t going to solve any of the problems,” he said.

    Davis explained that gas taxes aren’t like a sales tax — suspending them won’t directly pass all of the savings to the consumer.

    “The evidence suggests that with these short-term gas tax changes, some of the cut will get to drivers and some of it won’t,” Davis said. “Some of it will be retained along the way by the oil and fuel industries.”

    A 2022 Penn Wharton study analyzing temporary fuel tax holidays in Maryland, Georgia and Connecticut found that drivers saw a chunk of the tax cut — but not all of it. In Maryland, 72% of the tax cut was passed on to consumers. In Georgia and Connecticut, the figure was 62% and 71% respectively. The rest was presumed to be absorbed by fuel wholesalers or distributors who pay the gas tax to the federal government. When the tax is suspended, they can choose to keep some of the money they’re saving rather than lowering prices at the pump.

    Gas and diesel taxes are essentially a “user fee” for roadways, policy experts say — in other words, the people using the roads are the ones who pay the taxes and benefit from them. Without the taxes, it’s drivers who would ultimately see the downside. Road improvement projects could be placed on hold or significantly delayed. Potholes may go unfilled, Davis said, and drivers may have to make unplanned trips to the mechanic shop to fix their tires as a result.

    “Gas taxes are the single most important way that states pay for transportation infrastructure, so when those taxes are suspended that takes a huge bite out of the funds states use to keep our bridges safe and our roads in good repair,” Davis said. “That’s not something drivers should be excited about.”

    The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy estimates the state of Georgia will lose about $399 million in revenue over its 60-day suspension, and that the bottom 60% of earners in Georgia will save only $13 a month.

    “The gas tax is benefitting them very directly in the form of road maintenance, bridge repair, expansions of the transportation network and so on,” Davis said. “These things that the gas tax pays for are what make it possible to drive at all and have a safe, efficient, enjoyable drive.”

    Many states are already drawing upon other revenue sources to fund road projects and can’t afford to get rid of the tax, Hoffer said. States may have to pull resources for roads from other areas, like school funding, Davis said.

    “Most states aren’t able to fully fund their transportation systems with transportation user fees as it is,” he said.

    “The system isn’t fully supporting itself right now,” Hoffer said, and suspending the gas tax “is only going to make that problem worse.”

    Further, Davis said, state gas tax holidays also mean revenue is not collected from out-of-state drivers. States keeping an eye on their budgets aren’t keen to give up revenue to help passersby and commercial drivers.

    With the exception of out-of-state travelers, these considerations with suspending state taxes are “mirrored almost exactly to the federal level as well,” Hoffer said. The federal gas tax money goes directly into the federal Highway Trust Fund, which, just like others, is gradually becoming underfunded, Hoffer said.

    “I think that’s the reason why we’re not seeing a federal proposal at this time,” Hoffer said.

    Former President Joe Biden proposed a federal gas tax holiday in 2022 when gas prices were high, but congressional Democrats dismissed the idea. During the financial crisis in spring 2008, then-candidate Barack Obama dismissed his rivals’ calls for a federal gas tax suspension.

    “Well, let me tell you, this isn’t an idea designed to get you through the summer, it’s designed to get them through an election,” Obama said at the time.

    Even if the taxes were suspended, their reinstatement could hit drivers at a bad time, and no one likes to see taxes go up again, Hoffer said.

    “The timing could be really poor depending on how long the suspension lasts,” Hoffer said. “The really heavy summer travel season is ahead of us.”

    Higher gas prices will likely be a longer-term issue. The EIA expects gas and diesel prices to remain higher than previously projected into 2027. In January, before the war with Iran began, the EIA anticipated national gas prices to average $2.95 per gallon in 2027. Now, it projects gas prices will be $3.46 per gallon on average in 2027.

    “This is kind of a no-win policy, as much as opponents of the gas tax would like to see it go away,” Hoffer said.

  • 以色列部长:以总理将与黎巴嫩总统通电话


    2026年4月16日 18:39 / 联合早报

    加姆利尔接受以色列陆军电台采访时说,以色列总理内坦亚胡(右)将首次与黎巴嫩总统奥恩(左)通话。 (法新社 / 路透社)

    据以色列创新、科学与技术部长加姆利尔透露,以色列总理内坦亚胡定星期四(4月16日)与黎巴嫩总统奥恩通话。

    法新社报道,加姆利尔(Gila Gamliel)为内坦亚胡所属利库德集团的成员。她在接受以色列陆军电台采访时说:“在两国对话彻底破裂多年之后,总理将首次与黎巴嫩总统通话。”

    她补充道:“希望此举最终能为黎巴嫩带来繁荣昌盛。”

    新华社引述巴基斯坦外交部发言人说,黎巴嫩是美伊停火谈判进程的一部分。过去两天,黎巴嫩和以色列关系出现好转迹象,令人欣慰。黎巴嫩局势缓和有利于推进停火谈判进程。

    美国总统特朗普此前说,以色列和黎巴嫩的“领导人”将于星期四首次通话。

    然而,一名黎巴嫩官方消息人士告诉法新社:“我们并不知晓任何与以色列方面的接触计划,也没有通过官方渠道获悉任何相关信息。”

    特朗普星期三在社交媒体贴文中写道:“两国(以黎)领导人已经很长时间没有对话了,大概有34年。明天就会实现。”特朗普没有提及细节。

    黎巴嫩、以色列和美国星期二在华盛顿举行三方会谈,以黎同意将在双方商定的时间和地点正式启动两国直接谈判。以色列一直拒绝与黎巴嫩真主党直接谈判。

    以色列部长:以总理将与黎巴嫩总统通电话

    2026年4月16日 18:39 / 联合早报

    加姆利尔接受以色列陆军电台采访时说,以色列总理内坦亚胡(右)将首次与黎巴嫩总统奥恩(左)通话。 (法新社 / 路透社)

    据以色列创新、科学与技术部长加姆利尔透露,以色列总理内坦亚胡定星期四(4月16日)与黎巴嫩总统奥恩通话。

    法新社报道,加姆利尔(Gila Gamliel)为内坦亚胡所属利库德集团的成员。她在接受以色列陆军电台采访时说:“在两国对话彻底破裂多年之后,总理将首次与黎巴嫩总统通话。”

    她补充道:“希望此举最终能为黎巴嫩带来繁荣昌盛。”

    新华社引述巴基斯坦外交部发言人说,黎巴嫩是美伊停火谈判进程的一部分。过去两天,黎巴嫩和以色列关系出现好转迹象,令人欣慰。黎巴嫩局势缓和有利于推进停火谈判进程。

    美国总统特朗普此前说,以色列和黎巴嫩的“领导人”将于星期四首次通话。

    然而,一名黎巴嫩官方消息人士告诉法新社:“我们并不知晓任何与以色列方面的接触计划,也没有通过官方渠道获悉任何相关信息。”

    特朗普星期三在社交媒体贴文中写道:“两国(以黎)领导人已经很长时间没有对话了,大概有34年。明天就会实现。”特朗普没有提及细节。

    黎巴嫩、以色列和美国星期二在华盛顿举行三方会谈,以黎同意将在双方商定的时间和地点正式启动两国直接谈判。以色列一直拒绝与黎巴嫩真主党直接谈判。

  • 以色列部长:以总理将与黎巴嫩总统通电话


    2026年4月16日 18:39 / 联合早报

    加姆利尔接受以色列陆军电台采访时说,以色列总理内坦亚胡(右)将首次与黎巴嫩总统奥恩(左)通话。 (法新社 / 路透社)

    据以色列创新、科学与技术部长加姆利尔透露,以色列总理内坦亚胡定星期四(4月16日)与黎巴嫩总统奥恩通话。

    法新社报道,加姆利尔(Gila Gamliel)为内坦亚胡所属利库德集团的成员。她在接受以色列陆军电台采访时说:“在两国对话彻底破裂多年之后,总理将首次与黎巴嫩总统通话。”

    她补充道:“希望此举最终能为黎巴嫩带来繁荣昌盛。”

    新华社引述巴基斯坦外交部发言人说,黎巴嫩是美伊停火谈判进程的一部分。过去两天,黎巴嫩和以色列关系出现好转迹象,令人欣慰。黎巴嫩局势缓和有利于推进停火谈判进程。

    美国总统特朗普此前说,以色列和黎巴嫩的“领导人”将于星期四首次通话。

    然而,一名黎巴嫩官方消息人士告诉法新社:“我们并不知晓任何与以色列方面的接触计划,也没有通过官方渠道获悉任何相关信息。”

    特朗普星期三在社交媒体贴文中写道:“两国(以黎)领导人已经很长时间没有对话了,大概有34年。明天就会实现。”特朗普没有提及细节。

    黎巴嫩、以色列和美国星期二在华盛顿举行三方会谈,以黎同意将在双方商定的时间和地点正式启动两国直接谈判。以色列一直拒绝与黎巴嫩真主党直接谈判。

    以色列部长:以总理将与黎巴嫩总统通电话

    2026年4月16日 18:39 / 联合早报

    加姆利尔接受以色列陆军电台采访时说,以色列总理内坦亚胡(右)将首次与黎巴嫩总统奥恩(左)通话。 (法新社 / 路透社)

    据以色列创新、科学与技术部长加姆利尔透露,以色列总理内坦亚胡定星期四(4月16日)与黎巴嫩总统奥恩通话。

    法新社报道,加姆利尔(Gila Gamliel)为内坦亚胡所属利库德集团的成员。她在接受以色列陆军电台采访时说:“在两国对话彻底破裂多年之后,总理将首次与黎巴嫩总统通话。”

    她补充道:“希望此举最终能为黎巴嫩带来繁荣昌盛。”

    新华社引述巴基斯坦外交部发言人说,黎巴嫩是美伊停火谈判进程的一部分。过去两天,黎巴嫩和以色列关系出现好转迹象,令人欣慰。黎巴嫩局势缓和有利于推进停火谈判进程。

    美国总统特朗普此前说,以色列和黎巴嫩的“领导人”将于星期四首次通话。

    然而,一名黎巴嫩官方消息人士告诉法新社:“我们并不知晓任何与以色列方面的接触计划,也没有通过官方渠道获悉任何相关信息。”

    特朗普星期三在社交媒体贴文中写道:“两国(以黎)领导人已经很长时间没有对话了,大概有34年。明天就会实现。”特朗普没有提及细节。

    黎巴嫩、以色列和美国星期二在华盛顿举行三方会谈,以黎同意将在双方商定的时间和地点正式启动两国直接谈判。以色列一直拒绝与黎巴嫩真主党直接谈判。