2026年3月6日 / 美国东部时间上午11:01 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
周五，由于人们越来越担心伊朗战争将扰乱全球原油供应，油价继续飙升。
根据Factset的数据，美国石油基准西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）周五上午上涨6.8%，达到每桶86.57美元。国际基准布伦特原油价格跳涨4.7%，达到89.44美元。两者的交易价格均接近2024年4月以来的最高水平。
实质性中断
本周原油价格飙升，因为伊朗冲突导致通过战略要冲霍尔木兹海峡的石油和液化天然气运输中断。全球约20%的石油运输通常通过这条水道。
摩根大通分析师周五在一份报告中表示：”市场正在从为纯粹的地缘政治风险定价转向应对实质性的运营中断，因为炼油厂关闭和出口限制开始影响原油加工和区域供应流动。”
《金融时报》报道称，卡塔尔能源部长暗示，海湾所有能源出口国可能在几天内关闭生产，这可能推动布伦特原油价格达到每桶150美元。
牛津经济研究院在一份报告中表示：”西德克萨斯中质原油在回应《金融时报》文章后跳涨逾6%，盘中一度突破86美元，为2024年4月以来首次。自战争开始以来，西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨了近30%，较1月低点上涨了55%以上。”
根据一个追踪商业航运安全的国际组织——联合海事信息中心3月5日的声明，通常每24小时约有138艘船只通过霍尔木兹海峡，但最近几天这一数字已降至”个位数水平”。
道明证券高级大宗商品策略师瑞安·麦凯在一份报告中表示，如果油轮仍无法穿越霍尔木兹海峡，布伦特原油价格可能在下周突破每桶100美元。
汽油价格跳涨
在美国，油价飙升导致燃料成本急剧上升。GasBuddy的数据显示，截至周五，美国全国汽油平均价格在过去七天内上涨了32美分，达到约每加仑3.31美元——这是自2024年8月以来的最高水平。该追踪机构发现，柴油价格一周内飙升51美分，达到每加仑4.26美元，为2023年11月以来的最高水平。
GasBuddy石油分析师帕特里克·德汉在社交媒体上写道：”由于霍尔木兹海峡实际上继续处于关闭状态，不幸的是，价格上涨以这种速度持续到本周末似乎不可避免。”
由Alain Sherter编辑
美联社对本报告有贡献。
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/americans-likely-to-see-spike-in-gas-prices-due-to-iran-war/
Oil prices continue to climb, hitting their highest level in nearly 2 years
March 6, 2026 / 11:01 AM EST / CBS News
The price of oil continued to surge on Friday amid growing concerns that the Iran war will disrupt global crude supplies.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. oil benchmark, rose 6.8% to $86.57 per barrel on Friday morning, according to data from Factset. Brent crude, the international benchmark, jumped 4.7% to $89.44. Both were trading near their highest levels since April 2024.
Tangible disruption
Crude prices have surged this week as the Iran conflict halts shipments of oil and liquefied natural gas through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. About 20% of global oil shipments normally travel through the waterway.
“The market is shifting from pricing pure geopolitical risk to grappling with tangible operational disruption, as refinery shutdowns and export constraints begin to impair crude processing and regional supply flows,” JPMorgan analysts said in a report on Friday.
Qatar’s energy minister suggested that all Gulf energy exporters may shut down production within days, which could drive Brent crude to $150 a barrel, the Financial Times reported.
“WTI crude jumped more than 6% in response [to the FT article], briefly rising above $86 for the first time since April 2024,” Oxford Economics said in a report. “WTI crude is up close to 30% since the start of the war and up more than 55% from the January low.”
Typically, about 138 vessels travel through the Strait of Hormuz every 24 hours, but that has dropped to “single-digit levels” in recent days, according to a March 5 statement from the Joint Maritime Information Center, an international group that tracks commercial shipping safety.
Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, said in a report that the price of Brent crude could top $100 a barrel by next week if oil tankers remain unable to traverse the Strait of Hormuz.
Jump in gas prices
In the U.S., the spike in oil prices is leading to sharply higher fuel costs. As of Friday, the national average gas price has jumped 32 cents a gallon over the last seven days, to roughly $3.31 a gallon — the highest since August of 2024, according to GasBuddy. Diesel has soared 51 cents in a week to $4.26 a gallon, the highest since November of 2023, the tracking service found.
Because of “the continued de facto shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, unfortunately, price increases look to continue into this weekend at this pace,” GasBuddy petroleum analyst Patrick De Haan wrote on social media.
Edited by Alain Sherter
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/americans-likely-to-see-spike-in-gas-prices-due-to-iran-war/
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