2026年7月15日 上午10:00 美东夏令时 / 《华盛顿邮报》
一项最新民调显示，在密歇根州参议院民主党初选中，哈莉·史蒂文斯领先阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德。
密歇根州联邦参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德（左）与联邦众议员哈莉·史蒂文斯（密歇根州民主党人）于7月7日参加电视辩论。（克里斯汀·诺曼/美联社）
作者：马修·乔伊
根据底特律新闻/WDIV电视台周二发布的民调，密歇根州联邦参议院民主党初选中，联邦众议员哈莉·史蒂文斯以近7个百分点的优势领先阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德，这是民主党建制派与进步派之间的一次关键考验。
这项于上周开展的民调显示，48%的选民支持史蒂文斯，而埃尔赛义德的支持率为41%。史蒂文斯在黑人、未受过大学教育的选民以及底特律地区选民中拥有明显优势。埃尔赛义德则在受过大学教育的白人选民，尤其是自认为民主社会主义者的选民中占据优势。
此次民调发布于两位候选人首次一对一辩论一周之后。两人此前曾与州参议员马洛里·麦克莫罗一同参与辩论，麦克莫罗于本月早些时候退出竞选，目前尚未公开支持任何一位候选人。
史蒂文斯是连任四届的联邦众议员，2018年成功拿下一个竞争激烈的众议院席位。她获得了密歇根州多位民主党重量级人物的背书，其竞选活动获得了超过4900万美元的外部资金支持，其中大部分来自与美国以色列公共事务委员会相关的组织。
埃尔赛义德则得到了民主党进步派的支持，并强烈批评史蒂文斯对美以关系的支持立场。
密歇根州参议院席位的争夺将对明年参议院控制权的归属产生关键影响。
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Haley Stevens polls ahead of Abdul El-Sayed in key Michigan Senate test
July 15, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. EDT / The Washington Post
A new poll shows Haley Stevens ahead of Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate primary.
Michigan U.S. Senate candidates Abdul El-Sayed, left, and Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Michigan), during a TV debate on July 7. (Kristen Norman/AP)
By Matthew Choi
Rep. Haley Stevens leads by nearly seven percentage points over Abdul El-Sayed in the Democratic Senate primary in Michigan, a key test between the party’s establishment and progressive wings, according to a Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll released Tuesday.
The poll, conducted last week, showed 48 percent of voters supporting Stevens compared with 41 percent for El-Sayed. Stevens had a particular lead with Black, non-college-educated and Detroit-area voters. El-Sayed had the advantage with college-educated and White voters, especially those who consider themselves democratic socialists.
The poll was released one week after the two candidates partook in their first one-on-one debate. The candidates previously debated with state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, who dropped out of the race earlier this month. She has not endorsed either candidate.
Stevens is a four-term congresswoman who flipped a competitive House seat in 2018. She has the backing of several major Democratic figures in Michigan, and more than $49 million in outside spending on her behalf, much of it from a group related to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.
El-Sayed has the backing of the party’s progressive wing and is deeply critical of Stevens’s support for the U.S.-Israel relationship.
The Michigan Senate race will be crucial for determining who controls the Senate next year.
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