2026-06-23T17:48:35.023Z / 路透社
华盛顿特区白宫南草坪，2025年4月21日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普出席年度白宫复活节滚彩蛋活动。路透社/莉亚·米利斯 购买授权许可，打开新标签页
- 摘要
- 特朗普支持率跌至34%，重返其第二任期最低水平
- 63%的美国人认为与德黑兰的休战不太可能持久
- 仅23%的人认为美国在对伊战争后变得更强大
华盛顿6月23日路透电 – 路透社/益普索的一项民调显示，仅四分之一的美国人认为总统唐纳德·特朗普发动的对伊战争是值得的，多数民众担心与德黑兰的休战不太可能持久。
这项于周一结束的为期五天的民调还显示，战争严重影响了特朗普的支持率，其支持率降至34%，重返这位共和党人第二任期的最低水平，该低点曾在4月的民调中出现过。
订阅《路透社伊朗简报》新闻简报，获取最新事态发展和对伊朗战争的分析。在此注册。
民调发现，仅有23%的美国人——其中仅一半共和党人——认为美国如今在伊朗问题上的立场比战前更强。约35%的受访者认为美国立场变得更弱。其余受访者表示不确定或认为美国立场与战前大致相同。
特朗普与伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬于6月17日签署了一项初步协议，将重新开放因冲突而冻结的石油和天然气航运通道，同时缓解美国主导的对伊朗经济制裁。
该协议导致全球原油价格快速下跌，但对大多数美国人来说，汽油价格仍远高于2月28日美国和以色列发动袭击、引发这场战争前的水平。伊朗对最初的袭击作出回应，发动的袭击导致全球五分之一的石油贸易中断，并破坏了美国地区盟友的能源设施。
不值得付出代价
路透社/益普索的民调显示，仅有24%的美国人认为对伊战争值得付出代价。一半的受访者认为这场冲突不值得，其余受访者表示不确定。
约63%的美国人认为特朗普签署的协议不太可能为两国带来持久和平。约一半的共和党人和八成民主党人认为该协议不太可能实现和平。仅有18%的美国人——包括10%的民主党人和34%的共和党人——认为持久和平有望实现。
特朗普在2024年总统大选中获胜，当时他承诺降低通胀并让美国远离代价高昂的外国战争。长期以来，他的政治形象一直依托于其作为交易型房地产开发商和真人秀明星的背景。
特朗普在生活成本问题上的支持率为22%，接近其总统任期内的最低水平，低于其民主党前任乔·拜登在总统任期结束时的支持率。
中期选举临近
特朗普在本届任期伊始的支持率为47%，但由于高通胀以及他针对非法移民的强硬驱逐政策引发争议，其支持率有所下滑，这些政策包括与支持移民活动人士发生致命冲突。
他支持率的下滑可能会影响共和党盟友在11月3日中期选举中捍卫国会多数席位的努力。路透社/益普索的民调显示，如果今天举行选举，仅有17%的独立登记选民表示会投票给所在选区的共和党候选人，而34%的人表示会选择民主党候选人。
最新的路透社/益普索民调显示，仅有37%的美国人认可特朗普处理移民问题的方式，这是其任期内的最低水平，较此前的路透社/益普索民调的40%有所下降。
最新民调收集了全美1262名美国成年人的回应，其结果的误差幅度为正负3个百分点。
杰森·兰奇 华盛顿报道；斯科特·马龙与埃德蒙·克拉曼 编辑
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杰森·兰奇是专注于政治数据的华盛顿通讯员。可发送爆料至 jason.lange@thomsonreuters.com
Few in US say Iran war was worth it; Trump approval ties lowest of term, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
2026-06-23T17:48:35.023Z / Reuters
U.S. President Donald Trump attends the annual White House Easter Egg Roll, on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 21, 2025. REUTERS/Leah Millis Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
- Summary
- Trump’s approval rating falls to 34%, returning to lowest level of his second term
- 63% of Americans said a truce with Tehran was unlikely to last
- Only 23% said the US was stronger after the war with Iran
WASHINGTON, June 23 (Reuters) – Just one in four Americans believes President Donald Trump’s war with Iran was worth its costs and a majority worry that a truce with Tehran is unlikely to last, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
The five-day poll, which closed on Monday, also showed the war weighing heavily on Trump’s popularity, with his approval rating dropping to 34%, a return to the lowest level of the Republican’s second term that was last touched in an April survey.
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Only 23% of Americans — including just half of Republicans — think the U.S. is now in a stronger position with Iran compared with its position before the war, the poll found. Some 35% of respondents think it is in a weaker position. The rest said they were not sure or that the U.S. position was about the same as before.
Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a preliminary deal on June 17 that would reopen oil and gas shipping lanes that were frozen by the conflict, while easing U.S.-led economic pressure on Iran.
The deal has led to a rapid drop in global crude oil prices, although for most Americans the price of gasoline remains considerably higher than it was before the February 28 U.S.-Israeli strikes that started the war. Iran responded to the initial attack with strikes that shut down a fifth of the global oil trade and damaged energy facilities of U.S. regional allies.
NOT WORTH THE COSTS
Only 24% of Americans think the war with Iran was worth the costs, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed. Half of poll respondents said the conflict was not worth it and the rest were unsure.
Some 63% of Americans think it unlikely that the deal Trump signed will lead to lasting peace between the two countries. About half of Republicans and eight in 10 Democrats said the deal was unlikely to deliver peace. Just 18% of Americans — including 10% of Democrats and 34% of Republicans — see lasting peace as likely.
Trump won the 2024 presidential election after promising to reduce inflation and keep America out of costly foreign wars. His political brand has long leaned on his background as a deal-making real estate developer and reality television star.
Trump’s approval rating on the cost of living, at 22%, was near the lowest level of his presidency and below the rating of his Democratic predecessor in the White House, Joe Biden, at the end of his presidency.
MIDTERMS LOOM
Trump started his current term with a 47% approval rating, but his popularity has suffered amid high rates of inflation as well as controversy over his aggressive efforts to deport people in the country illegally, which have included deadly confrontations with pro-immigration activists.
His falling popularity could weigh on his Republican allies when they defend their congressional majorities in the November 3 midterm elections. The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that just 17% of independent registered voters said they would vote for the Republican in their district if the election were held today, compared with 34% who said they would pick the Democrat.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll showed just 37% of Americans approved of how Trump has handled immigration, the lowest of his term and down from 40% in the prior Reuters/Ipsos poll.
The latest poll gathered responses from 1,262 U.S. adults nationwide and its results had a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.
Reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Scott Malone and Edmund Klamann
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Jason Lange is a Washington correspondent focused on political data. Send tips to jason.lange@thomsonreuters.com
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