2026-06-18T18:00:01-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
约39%的美国人支持通过谈判达成解决方案，另有36%的美国人倾向于推翻伊朗现政府，换上一个对美国更友好的政权
作者：摩根·菲利普斯 福克斯新闻频道
发布于 2026年6月18日 美国东部时间下午6:00 | 更新于 2026年6月18日 美国东部时间下午6:53
特朗普政府因伊朗谅解备忘录同时遭共和党与民主党批评
福克斯新闻记者卢卡斯·汤姆林森就《特别报道》栏目中美伊和平谅解备忘录引发的反应带来最新报道。
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【福克斯新闻独家报道】 一项最新民调显示，美国民众在支持推翻伊朗现政权和支持美国与伊朗通过谈判达成解决方案这两个选项上几乎势均力敌。
里根研究所夏季民调的结果显示，39%的受访者支持在伊朗现政府保留执政地位的前提下，通过可核查的方式限制其核与导弹项目，达成谈判解决方案；另有36%的受访者支持推翻伊朗现政府，换上一个对美国更友好的政权。
另有16%的受访者支持保留伊朗现政府，但在军事和经济上大幅削弱其实力，还有8%的受访者表示不确定。
民调结果凸显了唐纳德·特朗普总统面临的政治挑战——其政府正推进与伊朗新签署的谅解备忘录。尽管该协议旨在通过谈判遏制伊朗的核野心，但美国民众在对伊朗伊斯兰共和国的美国政策最终目标上仍存在分歧。
Americans are nearly evenly split between favoring Iranian regime change and a negotiated U.S. settlement with Iran, according to a new survey.(曼德尔·恩甘 / 法新社 via 盖蒂图片社)
【民调：美国人认同特朗普的观点——伊朗对美国构成威胁】
接受民调的共和党人以2比1的比例更支持推翻伊朗现政府，而非通过外交协议解决问题。
共和党人比民主党人更倾向于对伊朗采取更强硬的举措。50%的共和党受访者表示，他们更希望看到伊朗现政府被替换为对美国更友好的政权，而仅有25%的受访者支持通过谈判达成解决方案，保留现政权并换取对其核与导弹项目的可核查限制。
在自称“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）的共和党人中，这一结果几乎一致：51%的人支持政权更迭，25%的人支持通过谈判达成解决方案。
【民调：针对伊朗 strike 与特朗普战略的党派分歧显著】
与此同时，民主党人大多支持外交途径。52%的多数民主党受访者表示，他们更倾向于与伊朗现政府达成谈判解决方案，而25%的人支持政权更迭。另有14%的人支持保留伊朗现政府，但在军事和经济上大幅削弱其实力。
里根研究所夏季民调于5月26日至6月3日期间开展，在全国范围内调查了1555名受访者，误差幅度为正负2.5个百分点。该民调采用混合调查方法，包括实时电话采访、在线面板调查和短信转网页问卷。
2026年3月2日，在美国和以色列对伊朗目标发动军事打击期间，德黑兰上空升起浓烟。(马吉德·赛义迪/盖蒂图片社)
民调结果凸显了唐纳德·特朗普总统面临的政治挑战——其政府正推进与伊朗新签署的谅解备忘录。(哈米德·福鲁坦 / ISNA / 法新社 via 盖蒂图片社)
共和党人比民主党人更倾向于对伊朗采取更强硬的举措。(通过瓦纳通讯社/路透社提供的泳池照片)
为了更准确反映美国人口结构，调查结果依据美国人口普查局2023年美国社区调查的人口统计基准进行了加权处理，包括年龄、性别、种族、地区和教育水平。该民调还额外抽样了331名30岁以下的MAGA共和党人，该群体的误差幅度为正负5个百分点。
里根研究所是一家位于华盛顿的政策组织，倡导里根政府“以实力求和平”以及美国在海外持续发挥领导作用的外交政策传统。
此次民调结果公布之际，特朗普正为新签署的美伊谅解备忘录辩护，称其为缓解紧张局势、为达成更广泛协议铺平道路的方式，该协议将解决德黑兰的核项目问题。
该谅解备忘录设定了60天的谈判期，美国和伊朗将在此期间尝试达成更全面的协议。协议还包含旨在恢复霍尔木兹海峡商业航运的条款，并提供与持续谈判相关的有限制裁豁免。几个最具争议的问题，包括伊朗核项目的长期未来，预计将在后续谈判中解决。
特朗普将这一安排描述为避免更广泛冲突的手段，同时他称将与德黑兰达成“伟大的协议”。他还辩称，该协议可以通过重新开放霍尔木兹海峡——一条关键的全球航运航线——帮助稳定能源市场，同时创造机会就限制伊朗的核活动进行更多谈判。
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总统补充道，他同意达成这项协议是为了避免“经济灾难”。
“我不想看到经济灾难。如果继续这样下去，这场灾难可能会发生，”他在法国举行的七国集团峰会上告诉记者。
New poll reveals where Americans stand after Trump agreement with Iran
2026-06-18T18:00:01-04:00 / Fox News
Some 39% favor a negotiated settlement while 36% prefer replacing Iran’s government with one more favorable to the US
By Morgan Phillips Fox News
Published June 18, 2026 6:00pm EDT | Updated June 18, 2026 6:53pm EDT
Trump administration weathers criticism from both Republicans, Dems over Iran MoU
Fox News correspondent Lucas Tomlinson has the latest on the reaction to the United States-Iran memorandum of understanding in peace deal on ‘Special Report.’
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FIRST ON FOX:Americans are nearly evenly split between favoring Iranian regime change and a negotiated U.S. settlement with Iran, according to a new survey.
Some 39% of respondents favor a negotiated settlement where Iran’s current government remains in place, with verifiable limits on its nuclear and missile programs, according to the findings of the Reagan Institute Summer Survey, while 36% favor replacing Iran’s current government with one more favorable to the U.S.
Another 16% favor a weakened regime where the current government stays in place but is significantly diminished militarily and economically, and 8% responded that they don’t know.
The findings underscore the political challenge facing President Donald Trump as his administration pursues a newly signed memorandum of understanding with Iran. While the agreement seeks to curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions through negotiations, Americans remain divided over the ultimate objective of U.S. policy toward the Islamic Republic.
Americans are nearly evenly split between favoring Iranian regime change and a negotiated U.S. settlement with Iran, according to a new survey.(Mandel NGAN / AFP via Getty Images)
AMERICANS AGREE WITH TRUMP THAT IRAN POSES THREAT TO UNITED STATES: POLL
Republicans who responded to the survey favored replacing Iran’s government by a 2-to-1 margin over a diplomatic deal.
Republicans were far more likely than Democrats to favor a more aggressive outcome in Iran. Half of Republican respondents said they would prefer to see Iran’s current government replaced with one more favorable to the United States, compared to 25% who said they would favor a negotiated settlement that leaves the regime in place in exchange for verifiable limits on its nuclear and missile programs.
The findings were nearly identical among self-identified MAGA Republicans, 51% of whom favored regime change while 25% backed a negotiated settlement.
SHARP PARTISAN DIVIDE EMERGES OVER IRAN STRIKE, TRUMP’S STRATEGY: POLLS
Democrats, meanwhile, largely favored diplomacy. A majority, 52%, said they would prefer a negotiated settlement with Iran’s current government, while 25% favored regime change. Another 14% favored leaving the regime in place but significantly weakened militarily and economically.
The Reagan Institute Summer Survey was conducted May 26 through June 3 among 1,555 respondents nationwide and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. The survey used a mixed-mode methodology that included live telephone interviews, an online panel and text-to-web responses.
Smoke rises over Tehran following an explosion amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets on March 2, 2026.(Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)
The findings underscore the political challenge facing President Donald Trump as his administration pursues a newly signed memorandum of understanding with Iran.(Hamid FOROUTAN / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images)
Republicans were far more likely than Democrats to favor a more aggressive outcome in Iran.(Pool via WANA/Reuters)
To better reflect the U.S. population, the results were weighted using demographic benchmarks from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2023 American Community Survey, including age, gender, race, region and education levels. The poll also included an oversample of 331 MAGA Republicans under age 30, a group with a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.
The Reagan Institute is a Washington-based policy organization that advocates the Reagan foreign-policy tradition of “peace through strength” and sustained American leadership abroad.
The findings come as Trump has defended a newly signed memorandum of understanding with Iran as a way to reduce tensions and create a pathway toward a broader agreement addressing Tehran’s nuclear program.
The memorandum establishes a 60-day negotiating period during which the United States and Iran will attempt to reach a more comprehensive deal. The agreement also includes provisions aimed at restoring commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and provides limited sanctions waivers tied to continued negotiations. Several of the most contentious issues, including the long-term future of Iran’s nuclear program, are expected to be addressed in subsequent talks.
Trump has described the arrangement as a means of avoiding a wider conflict while pursuing what he called a “great settlement” with Tehran. He has also argued that the agreement could help stabilize energy markets by reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping route, while creating an opportunity to negotiate additional restrictions on Iran’s nuclear activities.
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The president added that he agreed to a settlement to avoid “economic catastrophe.”
“I didn’t want to see economic catastrophe. If you kept this going, that could have happened,” he told reporters at the G7 Summit in France.
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