2026年6月9日 / 美国东部时间下午2:47 / 哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS News）
基辅电——数位美国退役将军和美国前情报机构负责人向哥伦比亚广播公司表示，乌克兰目前在对俄罗斯的战争中占据上风。
他们做出上述评估之际，乌克兰最高总司令亚历山大·瑟尔斯基本周表示，今年以来乌军已从俄军手中收复600平方公里土地——约合232平方英里。瑟尔斯基未透露收复区域的具体位置，但称战斗在该国东南部的亚历山德里夫卡和胡利亚伊波莱地区最为激烈。
“我会从作战角度评估，乌克兰正在取得胜利：他们正在挫败敌人的作战目标，为后续行动创造条件，并保留了行动自由，”美国国防情报局前局长、退役中将罗伯特·阿什利本周在邮件中告诉哥伦比亚广播公司。
另有两名将军同意阿什利的判断，强调在前线战场上，乌克兰正以战术机动击败俄军。
军事专家表示，推动乌克兰近期取得战果的关键因素是其中程无人机打击能力的升级。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基称，自2023年以来，乌克兰已打造出高效的短程第一人称视角（FPV）无人机武器库，这类无人机目前造成了俄军90%以上的伤亡。2024年起，乌克兰还有效部署了远程无人机和巡航导弹，最近一次打击目标是距离乌克兰边境600多英里的圣彼得堡军事基地。
直到不久前，可靠地使用无人机打击30至60英里范围内的目标仍是一道难题。乌克兰精锐“哈特里亚”旅的前线研发部门今年3月告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，将无人机的作战范围扩展至30英里以上，用于侦察和打击目标，是他们的“首要任务”。
驻扎乌克兰的军事分析师、前美国海军陆战队步兵军官罗布·李表示，乌克兰部队如今已基本解决了这一难题。
“乌克兰去年还不具备这种能力，无法打击前线50至100公里（30至60英里）外的目标，”李告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，“现在他们几乎每天都能做到这一点，而且使用的无人机数量还在持续增加。”
在这场俄乌双方都试图耗尽对方资源的消耗战中，这些中程打击能力对乌克兰而言可能愈发重要。通过瞄准后勤枢纽和资源储备库，乌克兰正在攻击支撑俄军攻势的系统。
“指挥中心、弹药仓库、车辆都成了打击目标，”李说，“长此以往，运抵前线的物资和装备将会大幅减少。”
不过，李和阿什利都告诫人们，不要将乌克兰的作战成功等同于必然会取得战略胜利。
“所有这一切都具有可逆性，充其量只是脆弱的优势，这取决于普京愿意多大程度上升级局势，”阿什利说。
“乌克兰的局势有所好转，但我认为我们不会看到战局出现突破，”李表示。
美国退役将军约瑟夫·拉尔森曾担任欧洲盟军最高指挥官，他表示自己仍认为双方都未赢得战争，因为“俄罗斯没有足够实力不使用核武器就夺取想要的全部领土，乌克兰也没有足够实力夺回全部失地”。
尽管如此，李和阿什利都认为，近期的战场趋势表明乌克兰占据了上风。
“双方都坚信能取得胜利，这意味着近期内没人会考虑停火，”阿什利说，“但时间未必站在普京这边。”
Ukraine winning war with Russia, retired U.S. generals say, as top Ukrainian commander says over 230 square miles retaken
June 9, 2026 / 2:47 PM EDT / CBS News
Kyiv — Several retired U.S. generals and the former director of a U.S. intelligence agency told CBS News they believe Ukraine now has the upper hand in the war with Russia.
They gave that assessment to CBS News as Ukraine’s top general Oleksandr Syrski said this week that his army has retaken 600 square kilometers — about 232 square miles — from Russia so far this year. Syrski did not say where the gains occurred but said the fighting was heaviest in the country’s southeast Oleksandrivka and Huliaipole areas.
“I would assess operationally Ukraine is winning in the context they are defeating enemy operational objectives, creating conditions for follow-on operations and preserving freedom of action,” retired Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley, former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said in an email this week.
Two generals agreed with Ashley’s characterization, stressing the view that on the front lines, Ukraine was outmaneuvering Russia.
Ukrainian soldiers fire artillery at Russian positions in the Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, May 31, 2026. Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu via Getty Images
Military experts say the key factor driving Ukraine’s recent successes is evolutions in its mid-range drone strike capabilities. Since 2023, Ukraine has developed an effective arsenal of short-range First Person View (FPV) drones that now cause more than 90% of Russian casualties, according to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. And beginning in 2024, Ukraine has also effectively deployed long-range drones and cruise missiles that have targeted, most recently, military bases in St. Petersburg, more than 600 miles from Ukraine’s borders.
Until recently, finding drones to hit targets reliably between 30-60 miles remained elusive. A front-line R&D unit of Ukraine’s elite Khartiia Brigade told CBS News in March that expanding their drones’ ranges to surveil and hit targets beyond 30 miles was their “top priority.”
Rob Lee, a Ukraine-based military analyst and former U.S. Marine Corps infantry officer, said Ukrainian units have now largely solved this problem.
“Ukraine just lacked this capacity last year, the ability to hit targets at 50 to 100 kilometers (30 to 60 miles) past the front line,” Lee told CBS News. “They’re doing that very often, basically every day now. And the quantities of these drones they’re using is only going to increase.”
In a war of attrition where both Ukraine and Russia are attempting to outlast one another’s resources, these mid-range strikes could prove increasingly important for Ukraine. By targeting logistics hubs and resource stockpiles, Ukraine is attacking the systems that sustain Russian offensives.
“Command posts are getting targeted, warehouses with ammunition, vehicles,” Lee said. “And so over time, it’s going to degrade what gets to the front line.”
However, both Lee and Ashley cautioned against conflating Ukraine’s operational successes with an inevitable strategic victory.
“All of this is reversible and fragile at best depending on how much Putin wants to escalate,” Ashley said.
“The situation has gotten better for Ukraine, but I don’t think we’re going to see a breakthrough,” Lee said.
Retired Gen. Joseph Ralston, a former supreme allied commander in Europe, said he still believed no one is winning the war because “Russia is not strong enough to take all the territory they want without using nukes and Ukraine is not strong enough to take back the territory they have lost.”
Still, both Lee and Ashley argued that recent battlefield trends suggest Ukraine has the upper hand.
“Both sides still see victory, which means no one will entertain a ceasefire anytime soon,” Ashley said. “But time is not necessarily on Putin’s side.”
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