2026年5月20日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
尽管认为美军正赢得对伊战争，反战情绪仍升温
作者：达纳·布兰特顿 福克斯新闻
前特朗普顾问史蒂夫·穆尔在《福克斯报道》中分析了2026年4月强劲的就业报告以及全国汽油价格上涨情况。
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选民对经济以及特朗普总统处理关键议题的表现越来越悲观，多数人反对美国继续在伊朗的军事行动，尽管大多数人认为美军正赢得这场战争。这是一项新的福克斯全国民调结果。
经济负担仍是政治领域的首要议题。
58%的选民将生活成本列为他们最担忧的经济问题，较2月份的50%有所上升。这一比例远超其他议题，比如政府开支（16%）、就业（8%）和关税（8%）。
福克斯新闻民调：选民认为人工智能对隐私和薪资构成威胁
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超过四分之三的选民认为美国经济形势糟糕（77%），高于上月的73%和一年前的71%。仅有23%的人对经济持积极评价，为一年多来的最低水平。
这种悲观情绪也体现在个人层面。微弱多数选民（51%）表示，他们家庭的财务状况比两年前更糟。2022年中期选举前，这一比例为44%。
福克斯新闻民调：56%的人质疑白宫管理政府的能力
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这一切都有助于解释特朗普在经济议题上的支持率下滑。一年前，56%的选民不认可他的表现，上月这一比例升至66%，如今达到71%。自4月以来的不支持率上升，主要源于共和党人中的不支持率上涨了7个百分点。
值得注意的是，非“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）共和党选民（36%）对特朗普经济政策的支持率更接近无党派选民（18%），而非MAGA共和党选民（74%）。总统在经济议题上的整体支持率仅为29%，较4月的34%有所下降。
特朗普在通胀问题上的支持率最低，仅有24%的人认可，较1月的35%下滑。通胀是一个罕见的议题，连微弱多数共和党选民（51%）都不认可特朗普在该问题上的表现。不认可率在无党派选民中达到85%，在民主党选民中更是高达96%。
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他的整体外交政策支持率也处于净负面区间（38%认可，62%不认可）。直到本月之前，边境安全是特朗普唯一获得正面评价的议题。如今选民对他的边境安全工作表现看法持平（49%认可，51%不认可），这是他本届任期内首次在该议题上支持率低于反对率。这一转变发生在45%的选民认为边境安全状况比两年前更好，而29%的选民认为更糟的背景下。
特朗普的整体工作表现支持率为39%，较上月下降3个百分点，较其第二任期就职时下降10个百分点——仅比他2017年10月的最低支持率高1个百分点。创下纪录新高的61%的选民不认可他的工作表现，其中48%的人“强烈不认可”。
自4月以来，他的支持率在一些关键选民群体中出现下滑，比如白人农村选民（下降6个百分点）、未获得大学学位的白人男性（下降5个百分点）以及共和党选民（下降3个百分点）。
特朗普的支持率在共和党选民（80%）、非MAGA共和党选民（54%）、白人选民（43%）和农村选民（43%）中均处于历史低点。
“尽管共和党选民的支持率始终强劲，但总统的支持率正在小幅下滑，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻民调。“毫无疑问，这一切都与经济负担有关。无党派选民在2025年就已倒戈，如今非MAGA共和党选民和其他核心选民群体也开始动摇。”
此外，从长期来看，更多选民认为特朗普的政策会损害美国（57%），而非帮助美国（34%）。认为“损害”的比例较去年4月上升了6个百分点。高达88%的MAGA共和党选民认为特朗普的政策会带来帮助，而仅有43%的非MAGA共和党选民表示认同。
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与此同时，汽油价格正在挤压选民的预算：86%的人认为油价上涨是个问题，其中51%的人将其称为“重大”问题。对更广泛经济层面的担忧几乎是普遍的，96%的人认为汽油价格是个问题，75%的人称之为“重大”问题。
在指责汽油价格上涨的责任方时，选民主要将矛头指向国内因素，约八成选民将其归咎于特朗普的政策、国内石油公司和政府监管。不过，他们压倒性地认为伊朗战争是主要推手，91%的人认为战争应对油价上涨负责。
伊朗
三分之二的选民认为美国正在赢得对伊战争，但反对美国军事行动的比例升至60%，较上月的55%有所上升。
一半的选民认为战争将持续一年（18%）或更久（33%），这一比例自3月以来未发生变化，而六成选民支持为美国在伊朗的军事行动设定有限时限，其中包括三成战争支持者和四成共和党选民。
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几乎所有共和党选民（89%）和三分之二的无党派选民都认为美国正在赢得战争，而超过一半的民主党选民认为伊朗会获胜（56%）。从代际角度看，30岁以下的选民最有可能认为美国正在获胜（79%），但他们也是最反对战争的群体之一（67%反对）。
在服过兵役的选民中，55%的人支持美国对伊朗采取军事行动，72%的人认为美国正在赢得战争。
去年夏天，选民对伊朗获得核弹的担忧率达到创纪录的78%。如今这一比例降至创纪录低点56%，较3月的66%有所下降。各党派选民的担忧率均出现下滑：民主党选民下降13个百分点，无党派选民下降11个百分点，共和党选民下降6个百分点。
民调杂谈
45%的选民认可特朗普处理美中峰会的方式，但有54%的多数选民不认可。
这与对峰会结果的看法一致：52%的人认为中国国家主席习近平获得了更多他想要的东西，而46%的人认为特朗普获得了更多。超过四分之一的共和党选民（27%）、绝大多数民主党选民（75%）和无党派选民（56%）认为习近平在峰会上占了上风，那些原本认可特朗普此次访问处理方式的选民中也有近四分之一（24%）持同样看法。
点击此处查看交叉制表数据和 topline 民调结果
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本次福克斯新闻民调于2026年5月15日至18日进行，由Beacon Research（民主党）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党）负责指导，调查样本为1002名从全国选民档案中随机抽取的登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（109人）、手机（635人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（258人）。基于全样本的调查误差幅度为±3个百分点。针对子群体的调查误差幅度更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保人口结构能够代表登记选民群体。加权目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析以及选民档案数据。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报告撰稿。
作为民调部门负责人，达纳·布兰特顿负责福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6395168974112
Fox News Poll: As economic pain deepens, disapproval of Trump hits new high
May 20, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
Opposition to Iran war grows despite belief US is winning
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
Former Trump advisor Steve Moore analyzes the strong April 2026 jobs report and rising national gas prices on ‘Fox Report.’
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Voters are increasingly pessimistic about the economy and President Trump’s handling of key issues, while a majority opposes continued U.S. military involvement in Iran even as most believe the U.S. is winning the war. That’s according to a new Fox News national survey.
Affordability continues to dominate the political landscape.
Fifty-eight percent flag the cost of living as their top economic worry, up from 50% in February. This eclipses other issues, such as government spending (16%), jobs (8%) and tariffs (8%).
FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS SEE AI AS A RISK TO PRIVACY AND PAYCHECKS
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More than three-quarters also say the economy is in bad shape (77%), worse than last month (73%) and a year ago (71%).Only 23% rate it positively, the lowest in more than a year.
The pessimism is personal too.A slim majority of voters (51%) say their family’s finances are worse now than two years ago.Before the 2022 midterm elections, 44% said the same.
FOX NEWS POLL: 56% DOUBT WHITE HOUSE’S COMPETENCE AT MANAGING GOVERNMENT
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All that helps explain the deterioration in Trump’s ratings on the economy. A year ago, 56% of voters disapproved and last month it was 66%; now, it’s 71%. The increase since April comes from a 7-point rise in disapproval among Republicans.
Notably, approval of Trump on the economy among non-MAGA Republicans (36%) is more in line with independents (18%) than with MAGA Republicans (74%). The president’s overall approval on handling the economy stands at just 29%, down from 34% in April.
Trump gets his lowest ratings on inflation, where only 24% approve — down from 35% in January. Inflation marks a rare issue where a slim majority of Republicans (51%) disapprove of Trump. It reaches 85% among independents and 96% among Democrats.
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His job numbers are also net negative on foreign policy (38-62%). Until this month, border security was the one issue where Trump received a positive rating. Now voters are split (49-51%) on his border security performance, pushing his ratings underwater for the first time this term. That shift comes even as 45% of voters say border security is better today than two years ago, while 29% say it’s worse.
Approval of Trump’s overall job performance is 39%, down 3 points since last month and 10 points since his second term started — and only 1 point above his lowest in October 2017. A record 61% disapprove of the job he’s doing, including 48% who strongly disapprove.
Since April, approval has declined among some of his key constituencies, such as rural Whites (-6 points), White men without a degree (-5), and Republicans (-3).
Trump approval is at all-time lows among Republicans (80%), non-MAGA Republicans (54%), Whites (43%) and rural voters (43%).
“Despite consistently strong GOP support, the president’s numbers are leaking a bit,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Make no mistake; it’s all about affordability. Independents jumped ship in 2025, and now non-MAGA Republicans and other core constituencies are wavering.”
Plus, in the long run, more voters think Trump’s policies will hurt the country (57%) than help it (34%). The share saying “hurt” is up 6 points since last April.Fully 88% of MAGA Republicans say his policies will help, while only 43% of non-MAGA Republicans agree.
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Meanwhile, gas prices are squeezing voter budgets: 86% call rising prices a problem, including 51% who label them a “major” problem. Concern is nearly universal for the broader economy, where 96% see gas prices as a problem and 75% call it “major.”
When assigning blame for gas prices, voters aimed heavily at domestic factors, with about 8 in 10 pointing to Trump’s policies, domestic oil companies, and government regulations. However, they overwhelmingly view the Iran war as the primary driver, with 91% saying it is responsible.
Iran
Two-thirds think the U.S. is winning the war in Iran, yet opposition to U.S. military action increased to 60%, up from 55% last month.
Half think the war will last a year (18%) or more (33%), unchanged since March, while 6 in 10 favor a limited timeframe for U.S. involvement in Iran, including 3 in 10 war supporters and 4 in 10 Republicans.
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Almost all Republicans (89%) and two-thirds of independents believe the U.S. is winning the war, while more than half of Democrats say Iran is winning (56%).Generationally, voters under age 30 are the most likely to believe the U.S. is winning (79%), yet they are also some of the most opposed to the war (67%).
Among voters who have served in the military, 55% support the U.S. action against Iran and 72% believe the U.S. is winning the war.
Last summer, voter concern about Iran getting a nuclear bomb was at a record high 78%. Today, it’s at a record low 56%, down from 66% in March. Concern since March is down among Democrats (-13 points), independents (-11), and Republicans (-6).
Poll-pourri
While 45% approve of Trump’s handling of the U.S.-China summit, a 54% majority disapproves.
That matches views of the negotiation’s outcome: 52% believe Chinese President Xi Jinping got more of what he wanted compared to 46% for Trump. More than a quarter of Republicans (27%) join majorities of Democrats (75%) and independents (56%) in thinking Xi won the summit, as do nearly a quarter of those who otherwise approve of Trump’s handling of the trip (24%).
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Conducted May 15-18, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (109) and cellphones (635) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (258). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6395168974112
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