2026-04-29T16:46:14.415Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
亚伦·布莱克 撰稿
3小时前
发布于 2026年4月29日 美国东部时间下午12:46
温·麦克纳利/盖蒂图片社/档案照片
特朗普政府对前联邦调查局局长詹姆斯·科米的第二次起诉似乎正站在一个极其危险的滑坡上。
科米被指控的刑事罪行是发布一张用贝壳排列成“86 47”字样的图片。“86”一词通常是俚语，意为丢弃或消除某样东西，而唐纳德·特朗普是第47任总统。特朗普政府从一开始就辩称，这是对特朗普的威胁。
但按照这种逻辑，很多美国人——包括一些知名特朗普盟友——都可能被起诉，或至少遭到调查。
同样具有讽刺意味的是，特朗普领导的司法部如今正在对听起来模糊不清的威胁性内容展开调查并提起公诉，而特朗普本人在这类言论方面有着漫长的历史。
理论上有可能存在某种决定性证据，表明科明明白白知道自己的帖子是真实的威胁（这也是司法部必须证明的）。但司法部长达三页的起诉书中并未详细说明。
今年5月，当政府最初提出这一问题时，科米表示他没有意识到“86”可能带有潜在的暴力含义，并迅速删除了该帖子。
但根据奥卡姆剃刀原则，这似乎更像是一起刻意编造的案件。特朗普此前明确表示希望起诉科米，当针对这位前联邦调查局局长的首次起诉未能成功时，总统和其他政府官员在实际调查开展之前就迅速宣称贝壳帖子是一种威胁。此外，这并非针对特朗普政敌的第一起薄弱案件。
就连一些保守派法律学者和特朗普盟友都对科米的指控持相当怀疑的态度。
政府面临的部分难题可能在于如何证明这并非选择性起诉。有很多其他人使用过“86”这种表述，但并未被解读为威胁。
最突出的例子或许是2022年亲特朗普的影响者杰克·波西比克发布了“86 46”。这和科米的帖子如出一辙，只是将特朗普（第47任总统）替换成了拜登（第46任总统）。（波西比克曾声称科米的帖子是在呼吁暗杀，但他针对拜登的帖子至今仍在网上。）
詹姆斯·科米/Instagram
两年后，另一位亲特朗普的影响者斯科特·亚当斯发帖称：“模拟结果显示是时候‘86’拜登了。”
没有证据表明这两人曾因潜在威胁遭到调查。亚当斯已于今年1月去世。
同样，也没有证据显示密歇根州民主党州长格蕾琴·惠特默遭到过类似调查。2020年，惠特默在电视节目中身旁就展示着“86 45”字样。（当然，特朗普也是第45任总统。）
其他特朗普盟友也曾在政治语境中使用“86”一词，显然并非明显的威胁。
佛罗里达州前共和党众议员马特·盖兹在2024年庆祝自己“86掉”了一系列被罢免领导职位的共和党人，而非被杀害的人。
和波西比克类似，福克斯新闻主持人杰西·沃特斯去年也曾断言，科米使用“86”意味着他“下令暗杀特朗普”。但数月后，沃特斯也用了同样的词来形容仅仅被罢免政治职务的两个人。
还有市面上数量庞大的“86”相关商品。多年来，亚马逊等在线零售商一直在销售印有“86 47”“86 46”“86 45”甚至“86 44”（针对前总统巴拉克·奥巴马）字样的商品。这些商品中有很多都被宣传为呼吁罢免总统，而非杀害总统，且至今仍在销售。
司法部会去调查销售和购买这类服饰的人吗？
当本周被问及其他例子——尤其是波西比克和惠特默的案例时，代理司法部长托德·布兰奇暗示科米的案件有所不同，但并未详细说明具体差异。
塔索斯·卡托波迪斯/盖蒂图片社
“仅仅有类似的照片发布或类似的言论发表——这种情况每天都在发生，”布兰奇周三对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示，并补充道：“并非所有这些情况都会被起诉。这取决于每个案件的具体事实。”
但布兰奇承认，他“不知道是否对其他发布过这类帖子的情况展开过调查，也不知道那些调查是否得出了不同的结果”。
这也并非特朗普领导的司法部首次被合理指控在追逐特朗普的报复行动中对朋友和政敌区别对待。
去年，政府审查了一系列特朗普政敌的潜在抵押贷款欺诈行为，包括加利福尼亚州参议员亚当·希夫、纽约州总检察长莉蒂西亚·詹姆斯（她在案件被驳回前曾被起诉）以及美联储理事莉萨·库克（特朗普曾试图以这些指控为由将她解职）。但没有证据表明政府对存在类似潜在抵押贷款问题的共和党人进行过类似审查，比如得克萨斯州总检察长、参议院候选人肯·帕克斯顿和一些特朗普内阁官员。
另一个关键点是，科米案的起诉标准对特朗普本人来说似乎也是一个麻烦的先例。
毕竟，特朗普经常发表或发布带有模糊威胁意味的言论。
- 2016年，特朗普提到“第二修正案支持者”可能会阻止当时的民主党总统候选人希拉里·克林顿任命法官。
- 2020年，他发布了一段视频，视频中一名支持者称：“死掉的民主党人才是好民主党人。”
- 2023年，特朗普转发了一篇新闻文章，配图是他手持棒球棒的画面，旁边是曼哈顿检察官阿尔文·布拉格的照片。特朗普自己的律师称这“欠考虑”。
- 2024年初，特朗普分享了一张卡车图片，车尾板被画成拜登被绑在卡车车厢里的样子。
- 2024年竞选后期，特朗普推测利兹·切尼会“站在那里，有九挺枪对着她”。
- 他还多次暗示他的对手应该被处决。
这只是特朗普暴力言论的一小部分，都集中在那些可以被合理认为是针对特定个人的威胁上——尤其是如果你套用新的科米案标准的话。
科米的起诉似乎不太可能导致定罪。但它能让我们充分了解政府在 targeting 特朗普政敌的过程中变得多么绝望。
北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯周三对美国有线电视新闻网表示：“我只是认为这是又一个我们会后悔的例子，因为我们设定的门槛太低了。”
James Comey’s ‘86 47’ indictment would seem to be bad news for lots of people — including Trump
2026-04-29T16:46:14.415Z / CNN
Analysis by
Aaron Blake
3 hr ago
PUBLISHED Apr 29, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Former FBI director James Comey answers questions during an interview forum at the Washington Post, on May 8, 2018.
Win McNamee/Getty Images/File
The Trump administration’s second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey appears to be perched on a very slippery slope.
Comey’s alleged criminal offense is posting an image of seashells arranged to spell out “86 47.” The “86” terminology is slang typically used to describe throwing out or eliminating something, and Donald Trump is the 47th president. The administration argued from the beginning that it was a threat against Trump.
Except many Americans, including some prominent Trump allies, could be charged or at least investigated under that logic.
It’s also ironic that Trump’s Justice Department is now investigating and issuing indictments over vaguely threatening-sounding content, given Trump’s own lengthy history with such rhetoric.
It is theoretically possible there is some damning piece of evidence showing Comey understood his post to be a true threat (which the DOJ must prove). The Justice Department’s three-page indictment doesn’t go into much detail.
Back in May, when the administration initially raised this issue, Comey said he didn’t realize “86” could have some potentially violent connotations and quicky deleted the post.
But Occam’s razor would seem to point to this being a thinly constructed case. Trump has previously made clear he wants Comey indicted and, when the first indictment against the former FBI director didn’t pan out, the president and other administration officials quickly declared the seashell post was a threat before any investigation was actually conducted. Plus, this isn’t the first thin case against a Trump foe.
Even some conservative legal scholars and Trump allies have been quite skeptical of the Comey charges.
Part of the government’s problem could be proving that this isn’t selective prosecution. Many others have used the “86” formulation without it being interpreted as a threat.
Perhaps the most prominent example is pro-Trump influencer Jack Posobiec in 2022 posting “86 46.” That’s the same thing Comey posted, except substituting Biden (the 46th president) for Trump. (Posobiec has claimed Comey’s post was a call for assassination, but his post about Biden remains live to this day.)
This now-deleted Instagram post from James Comey shows seashells spelling out the numbers “86 47.”
James Comey/Instagram
Two years later, fellow pro-Trump influencer Scott Adams posted, “The Simulation says it is time to ‘86’ Biden.”
There is no evidence either man has been investigated for potential threats. Adams died in January.
Nor is there evidence of a similar investigation of Democratic Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, who appeared on TV in 2020 with “86 45” displayed next to her. (Trump, of course, was also the 45th president.)
Other Trump allies have also used “86” in political contexts in ways that make clear it’s not an obvious threat.
Republican former Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida in 2024 celebrated having “86’d” a series of Republicans who had been removed from leadership positions, not killed.
And, similar to Posobiec, Fox News host Jesse Watters last year concluded that Comey’s use of “86” meant he had “put a hit out on Trump.” But months later, Watters used the same term for two different people who were merely ousted from their political jobs.
And then there is just the sheer volume of “86” merchandise that’s out there. Online retailers like Amazon have been selling things with “86 47,” “86 46,” “86 45” and even “86 44” (for former President Barack Obama) emblazoned on them for years. Those items — many of which are marketed as calls to remove presidents from office, not to kill them — remain available to this day.
Is the DOJ going to investigate the people who sold and purchased such apparel?
When pressed this week on the other examples — specifically the Posobiec and Whitmer ones — acting Attorney General Todd Blanche suggested Comey’s case is somehow different, without detailing how.
Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche speaks, as FBI Director Kash Patel listens, at a press conference regarding the investigation of former FBI Director James Comey’s social media photo, at the Department of Justice, on April 28.
Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images
“The mere fact there’s a similar photo posted or similar statement made — that’s true every day,” Blanche told CBS News on Wednesday, adding: “Every one of those are not indicted. It depends on the facts of every case.”
But Blanche conceded that he had “no idea whether there was an investigation into the other times that that post has been made and whether that investigation yielded different results.”
This is also not the first time the Trump Justice Department could plausibly be accused of treating friends and foes differently while pursuing Trump’s retribution campaign.
Last year, the administration scrutinized a series of Trump foes for potential mortgage fraud, including Sen. Adam Schiff of California, New York Attorney General Letitia James (who was indicted before the case was dismissed) and Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook (who Trump has tried to fire from her post over the allegations). But there is no evidence similar scrutiny has been applied to Republicans with very similar potential mortgage problems, like Texas Attorney General and Senate hopeful Ken Paxton and some Trump Cabinet officials.
The other key point here is that the Comey prosecution standard would seem to be a troubling one for Trump himself.
Trump, after all, has frequently said and posted vaguely threatening-sounding things.
- In 2016, Trump referenced how “Second Amendment people” might prevent then-Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton from appointing judges.
- In 2020, he posted a video of one of his supporters saying, “The only good Democrat is a dead Democrat.”
- In 2023, Trump posted a news article that featured an image of himself wielding a baseball bat, juxtaposed with an image of Manhattan prosecutor Alvin Bragg. Trump’s own lawyer called it “ill-advised.”
- In early 2024, Trump shared an image of a truck with a tailgate illustrated as if to show Biden hogtied in the truck bed.
- Late in the 2024 campaign, Trump mused about a circumstance in which Liz Cheney would be “standing there with nine barrels shooting at her”.
- And he has repeatedly suggested his opponents might deserve to be executed.
This is only a small portion of Trump’s violent rhetoric, focused on things that could plausibly be argued were threatening to specific people — particularly if you’re using the newfound Comey standard.
It seems unlikely the Comey prosecution will lead to a conviction. But it could tell us a lot about how desperate the administration is getting in its quest to target Trump’s foes.
As Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina told CNN on Wednesday: “I just think it’s another example of where we’re going to regret this, because we’re setting a fairly low bar.”
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