2026年4月20日 / 美国东部时间下午5:17 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻
唐纳德·特朗普总统提名的接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔担任美联储主席的凯文·沃尔什,将于周二出席参议院银行委员会听证会,接受有关他对通胀、利率及其他经济问题看法的质询。
这个由24名成员组成的委员会必须有多数票支持沃尔什的提名,才能将其提交至全院进行投票,而参议院全院批准也仅需简单多数票即可通过。
外界普遍预计沃尔什将顺利接任鲍威尔的职位,鲍威尔的任期将于5月15日届满。不过存在一个潜在障碍:北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯,他此前曾表示,在司法部完成对鲍威尔的调查之前,他不会批准这项提名。
周一在接受美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)采访时,美国国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特表达了对沃尔什的支持,并表示他预计这位前美联储理事会成员将获得确认。
布鲁金斯学会财政与货币政策哈钦斯中心主任戴维·韦塞尔在通过电子邮件向CBS新闻发表的评论中表示,他预计沃尔什会强调自己维持物价稳定的承诺,同时避免明确承诺调整利率。
以下是参议员们可能在定于美国东部时间上午10点开始的沃尔什确认听证会上重点关注的关键议题。
利率下调
2006年至2011年担任美联储理事会成员期间,沃尔什被视为通胀问题上的“鹰派”人士,总体上倾向于通过紧缩货币政策来控制通胀。相比之下,“鸽派”政策制定者则更倾向于维持低利率以提振经济增长。
不过近年来,沃尔什已经暗示支持降低利率,称人工智能可以通过提高经济生产率帮助抑制物价上涨。他在2025年11月《华尔街日报》的一篇专栏文章中写道:“人工智能将成为一股重要的反通胀力量。”
议员们可能会就今年通胀飙升之际,沃尔什是否仍支持放宽借贷成本向他施压。今年的通胀上涨是由伊朗冲突推高美国及全球能源成本所致。
“尽管沃尔什主张降低利率,但我们并不认为他在结构上属于鸽派,”德意志银行分析师上周在一份研究报告中写道,“相反,相较于其他官员,他的观点往往更偏向鹰派。”
特朗普总统曾多次呼吁美联储降息,一旦新任美联储主席宣誓就职,他很可能会继续推动这一诉求。上周在福克斯商业频道被问及是否预计利率会下降时,他表示:“等凯文上任后……利率应该会大幅降低。”
美联储的基准利率由联邦公开市场委员会12名成员以多数票表决决定。这意味着即便沃尔什获得确认,也无权单方面设定利率。与此同时,美国上月通胀率升至3.3%的年率,为近两年来最高水平,沃尔什可能难以说服其他美联储官员放宽利率政策。
美联储资产负债表
据Vital Knowledge的华尔街分析师亚当·克里萨富利透露,沃尔什还可能在周二的听证会上被问及他对缩减美联储资产负债表的支持立场。
德意志银行在报告中称,沃尔什此前曾辩称,缩减资产负债表的政策有助于抑制通胀,限制经济中的流通货币量,从而为进一步降息打开大门。缩减资产负债表通常会推高利率,而扩张资产负债表则通常会降低借贷成本。
沃尔什在去年秋季的《华尔街日报》专栏文章中写道,规模更小的美联储资产负债表还将为小企业和消费者提供更有利的贷款环境。
德意志银行分析师在上周的报告中表示,美联储官员似乎正逐渐达成共识,认为缩减资产负债表的过程将更为缓慢,需要美联储进行更根本性的改革。周二听证会的重点将是“沃尔什是否会确认这条更为渐进的资产负债表缩减路径”,分析师们写道。
据经济研究机构Trading Economics数据,截至4月中旬,美联储资产负债表规模为6.71万亿美元,高于12月的6.54万亿美元。2008-2009年金融危机后,美联储通过购买数万亿美元的政府和抵押贷款支持债券以降低利率、支持经济增长,资产负债表规模随之大幅膨胀。
沃尔什的个人财富
韦塞尔告诉CBS新闻,除了美联储相关计划之外,民主党参议员可能还会就沃尔什的个人财富向他提问,并补充称一些议员“对其财务披露的不透明性感到不满”。
沃尔什的财务披露显示其净资产远超1亿美元,远高于历任美联储主席的财富水平。他的妻子是化妆品继承人简·劳德,据《福布斯》估算,简·劳德的净资产达25亿美元。
上周公布的监管申报文件显示,如果沃尔什获任美联储主席,他将停止担任亿万富翁斯坦利·德鲁肯米勒旗下私人投资公司的顾问,并剥离部分所持资产。
阿兰·谢特编辑
美联社为本报道撰稿
Kevin Warsh set to face lawmakers in Fed chair confirmation hearing. Here’s what to expect.
April 20, 2026 / 5:17 PM EDT / CBS News
Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee to replace Jerome Powell as chair of the Federal Reserve, is set to face questions regarding his views on inflation, interest rates and other economic issues at a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Tuesday.
A majority on the 24-member panel must vote in favor of Warsh’s nomination to advance it to the full Senate for a vote, with approval in the chamber also requiring a simple majority.
Warsh is widely expected to be confirmed to succeed Powell, whose term expires on May 15. One potential roadblock is Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina who previously said he wouldn’t approve the nomination until the Department of Justice concludes an investigation into Powell.
In an interview with CNBC on Monday, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett expressed support for Warsh and said he expects the former Fed board governor to be confirmed.
David Wessel, director of the Brookings Institution’s Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy, told CBS News in an email that he expects Warsh to highlight his commitment to keeping prices stable while avoiding any explicit promises to adjust interest rates.
Here are key areas senators are likely to address during Warsh’s confirmation hearing, which is scheduled to start at 10 a.m. ET.
Interest rate cuts
Warsh was viewed as “hawkish” on inflation during his tenure as a Federal Reserve board governor from 2006 to 2011, generally prioritizing controlling inflation through tighter monetary policy. By contrast, “dovish” policymakers tend to favor keeping rates lower to boost economic growth.
More recently, however, Warsh has signaled support for lower rates, suggesting that AI could help keep prices down by accelerating economic productivity. In a November 2025 op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, he wrote that “AI will be a significant disinflationary force.”
Lawmakers are likely to press Warsh on whether he still favors easing borrowing costs amid a jump in inflation this year, as the Iran war drives up U.S. and global energy costs.
Kevin Warsh at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank spring meetings at the IMF headquarters in Washington, D.C., on April 25, 2025. Tierney L. Cross / Bloomberg via Getty Images
“Although Warsh has argued for lower rates, we do not view him as structurally dovish,” Deutsche Bank analysts said in a research note last week. “Instead, his views have tended to skew hawkish relative to others.”
President Trump has repeatedly called for the central bank to cut rates, something he’s likely to continue pushing for once the new Fed chair is sworn in. Asked last week on Fox Business whether he expects interest rates to decline, he said, “when Kevin gets in … interest rates should be much lower.”
The Fed’s benchmark interest rate is set by majority vote among the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee. That means Warsh won’t have unilateral power to set interest rates even if he wins confirmation. Meanwhile, with U.S. inflation rising last month to a 3.3% annual rate — the highest reading in nearly two years — Warsh could face resistance convincing other Fed officials to ease rates.
Fed balance sheet
Warsh is also likely to field questions at Tuesday’s hearing about his support for shrinking the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, according to Wall Street analyst Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.
Warsh has previously argued that such a policy could help temper inflation and limit the amount of money circulating in the economy, opening the door to additional rate cuts, Deutsche Bank said in its report. Reducing the balance sheet often leads to higher interest rates, while expanding usually lowers borrowing costs.
A smaller Fed balance sheet also would provide a better lending environment for small businesses and consumers, Warsh wrote in his Wall Street Journal op-ed last fall.
Deutsche Bank analysts said in the report last week that Fed officials seem to be coalescing around the idea that reducing the balance sheet will be a slower process that requires more fundamental changes at the central bank. The focus at Tuesday’s hearing will be on “whether Warsh confirms this more gradual pathway to balance-sheet reduction,” the analysts wrote.
As of mid-April, the Fed’s balance sheet was $6.71 trillion, according to Trading Economics, up from $6.54 trillion in December. The balance sheet ballooned after the 2008-09 financial crisis, when the Fed bought trillions of dollars of government and mortgage-backed bonds in a move to lower interest rates and support economic growth.
Warsh’s wealth
Outside of his plans for the Fed, Warsh could face questions from Democratic senators over his personal wealth, Wessel told CBS News, adding that some lawmakers are “unhappy with the opaqueness of his financial disclosures.”
Warsh’s financial disclosures put his net worth at well over $100 million, far exceeding the wealth of previous Fed chairs. He is married to cosmetics heiress Jane Lauder, whose net worth Forbes estimates at $2.5 billion.
The regulatory filing, released last week, states that Warsh would stop working as an adviser for the private investment firm of billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller and divest some of his holdings if he is confirmed as Fed chair.
Edited by Alain Sherter
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
发表回复