2026-04-20T20:20:24.947Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：丹尼尔·戴尔
发布于 2026年4月20日，美国东部时间下午4:20
温·麦克纳米/盖蒂图片社
周一上午，唐纳德·特朗普总统告诉《纽约邮报》，副总统J·D·万斯已经启程前往巴基斯坦，与伊朗进行谈判。“他们现在已经出发了，”《邮报》援引特朗普的话说，“按伊斯兰堡时间，他们今晚就能到。”
但事实并非如此。周一上午稍晚时候，了解万斯行程的人士告诉CNN的阿莱娜·特里尼，这位副总统预计将于周二启程前往巴基斯坦，谈判将于周三开始。人们很快就在白宫附近拍到了万斯的车队。
特朗普的不实言论或许可以被轻描淡写地一笔带过，毕竟一位忙碌的总统难免会搞错这类小事。但这只是过去一周愈发明显的模式的一部分——这位总统在与伊朗战争相关的最基本问题上都存在错误。
“当前美伊外交回合与此前回合的一大区别在于，本届政府，尤其是总统本人，是不可靠的消息来源，”前国家安全委员会反扩散官员埃里克·布鲁尔周五在社交媒体上发帖称，“多年来，伊朗问题观察人士已经很擅长解读双方的表态，但我们从未遇到过如此直言不讳、动辄夸大、捏造甚至彻头彻尾撒谎的美国总统。”
特朗普周一关于万斯行程的说法，只是他一系列关于这场战争的虚假、存疑或未经证实的言论中的最新一例。其中许多言论影响更为深远。
周五，伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉克奇宣布，在当前停火期间，霍尔木兹海峡将“完全对商业船只开放”，特朗普随即发帖称“霍尔木兹海峡局势已经结束”，并且“伊朗已经同意永远不再封锁霍尔木兹海峡”。
但局势显然并未结束：特朗普本人当天上午也曾发帖称，美国将继续对往返伊朗港口的船只实施封锁；阿拉克奇曾表示，海峡开放仅适用于伊朗海岸线附近的特定获批航道，而非船舶此前普遍使用的航道；一名伊朗官员当天晚些时候发帖称，船只必须获得伊朗革命卫队海军的批准并缴纳通行费。
至于所谓伊朗同意永远不再封锁海峡一事？伊朗在次日就宣布再次封锁了海峡。
特朗普的虚假言论接连不断
周四，特朗普对记者声称：“教皇发表了声明。他说，伊朗可以拥有核武器。” 明确反对核武器的利奥十四世教皇从未说过这番话。在周三播出的福克斯商业频道采访中，特朗普声称波斯湾国家“预计不会受到伊朗的打击”。但事实上，伊朗对这些国家发动报复性袭击是外界普遍预料之中的事。在上周日的福克斯新闻采访中，特朗普谈及伊朗时称：“他们的军队已经被消灭了，一切都不复存在了。” 但伊朗显然仍拥有具备破坏性战力的军队，尽管美国和以色列已经削弱了其军力。
特朗普周一关于万斯行程的说法，至少是他两天内第二次就自己副手的行程散布错误信息。周日，特朗普告诉MS NOW节目，出于安全原因，万斯不会加入前往巴基斯坦的代表团。但在特朗普发表上述言论后，“两名美国高级官员告诉MS NOW，万斯实际上将率领代表团前往伊斯兰堡，”该媒体报道称。
不排除特朗普发表上述言论后，政府的计划发生了变动。但即便如此，就连这么简单的问题，总统的说法也不能被当作事实。
特朗普在4月6日新闻发布会上的言论，堪称他有关这场战争的诸多言论脱离现实程度的典型写照。他说：“我们真正损失的飞机只有——也就是所谓的友军火力。” 他是在一场活动上发表这番言论的，此前他已经就伊朗击落美国战机后的情况详细谈过一番。
特朗普关于谈判的诸多胜利式声明有多少是真实的？目前尚无定论
特朗普多年来一直在就极其广泛的议题撒谎。无论他是故意误导公众，还是反复对伊朗战争不知情或被误导，他的虚假言论频发，使得人们根本无法相信他所谓的伊朗幕后表态。
上周在与记者的电话通话中，特朗普就伊朗据称做出的重大让步发表了一系列胜利式声明。这些让步包括“无限期”暂停核活动（据彭博新闻社报道）、停止支持包括哈马斯和真主党在内的所有代理组织（据哥伦比亚广播公司新闻报道），以及美国既移除伊朗的浓缩铀又将其据为己有（同样据哥伦比亚广播公司新闻报道）。
在哥伦比亚广播公司新闻记者江家仪询问特朗普伊朗是否同意永久停止浓缩铀 enrichment 时，他回应道：“他们同意了所有条件。”
专家们对伊朗是否如特朗普所称那样行事表示强烈质疑。伊朗官员很快也声明，他们并未同意特朗普所说的所有条件；伊朗外交部发言人发表声明称：“浓缩铀对我们而言如同伊朗领土一样神圣，在任何情况下都不会被转移到任何地方。”
“美国总统在一小时内发表了七项声明，所有七项都是虚假的，”伊朗议会议长、核心谈判代表穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫周五发帖称。
当然，伊朗的言论也不可信。其领导层在这场战争以及许多其他问题上多次撒谎。而且伊朗政府内部相互竞争的权力中心常常让人难以分辨哪位官员的表态最具权威性。
因此，如果最终达成美伊协议，特朗普的某些断言有可能被证明是准确的。但特朗普的过往记录意味着，在看到证据之前，我们不能想当然地认为美国总统关于谈判的说法比伊朗领导人的说法更正确——甚至不能认为这种情况有可能发生。
Even Trump’s most basic claims about the Iran war can’t be trusted
2026-04-20T20:20:24.947Z / CNN
Analysis by Daniel Dale
PUBLISHED Apr 20, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
President Donald Trump speaks to members of the press aboard Air Force One on April 17.
Win McNamee/Getty Images
On Monday morning, President Donald Trump told The New York Post that Vice President JD Vance was already on his way to Pakistan for negotiations with Iran. “They’re heading over now,” the Post quoted Trump as saying. “They’ll be there tonight, Islamabad time.”
Except that wasn’t true. A bit later on Monday morning, people familiar with Vance’s plans told CNN’s Alayna Treene that the vice president was expected to depart for Pakistan on Tuesday for talks beginning Wednesday. Vance’s motorcade was soon spotted at the White House.
Trump’s inaccurate remark might be shrugged off, the kind of little thing a busy president could understandably get wrong. But it’s part of a pattern that has accelerated over the past week – of this president being incorrect about even the most basic of matters related to the Iran war.
“One of the big differences between the current round of US-Iran diplomacy and prior rounds is that this administration and the President in particular are unreliable narrators,” Eric Brewer, a former National Security Council counterproliferation official, posted on social media on Friday. “Iran watchers have gotten pretty good at parsing statements from both sides over the years, but we’ve never had to contend with a US president that is so outspoken and prone to exaggeration, fabrication, and outright lies.”
Trump’s Monday claim about Vance’s travel was only the latest in a series of false, dubious or unproven comments about the war. Many of them were more substantive.
On Friday, after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi declared that the Strait of Hormuz would be “completely open” to commercial vessels during the ongoing ceasefire, Trump posted that “the Hormuz Strait situation is over” and that “Iran has agreed to never close the Strait of Hormuz again.”
But the situation very clearly wasn’t over: Trump himself had posted the same morning that the US would continue its blockade on ships heading to or from Iranian ports; Araghchi had said its opening of the strait only applied to a specific Iran-approved path near its coastline rather than the lanes ships had generally used before; and an Iranian official posted later in the day that ships had to get approval from the navy of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and pay tolls.
As for Iran’s supposed agreement to never close the strait again? Iran announced the very next day that it was closing the strait again.
False claim after false claim from Trump
On Thursday, Trump claimed to reporters: “The pope made a statement. He says, Iran can have a nuclear weapon.” Pope Leo XIV, an unequivocal opponent of nuclear weapons, had not said that. In a Fox Business interview that aired Wednesday, Trump claimed that Persian Gulf countries “were not expected to be hit” by Iran. In reality, retaliatory Iranian strikes on these countries was widely expected. In a Fox News interview the Sunday before last, Trump claimed of Iran: “Their military is gone, everything’s gone.” But Iran very obviously still had a military with destructive capabilities, though the US and Israel had degraded them.
Trump’s Monday claim about Vance was at least his second bit of misinformation about his own vice president in two days. On Sunday, Trump told MS NOW that Vance wouldn’t be part of the delegation to Pakistan for security reasons. But after the president said that, “two senior US officials told MS NOW that Vance would, in fact, lead the delegation to Islamabad,” the outlet reported.
It’s possible the administration’s plans had changed after Trump spoke. But here too, the president’s words about even this simple question couldn’t be taken as fact.
A claim Trump made at an April 6 press conference was emblematic of just how bewilderingly detached from reality many of his claims about the war have been. He said, “The only planes, really, that we lost were – friendly fire, they call it.” He said this at an event at which he had already spoken at length about what happened after Iran shot down a US fighter plane.
How many of Trump’s triumphant claims about the talks were true? We don’t know yet
Trump has a yearslong history of lying about a remarkably diverse range of subjects. Whether he has been deliberately deceiving the public about the Iran war or has been repeatedly uninformed or misinformed about it, the frequency of his falsehoods has made it impossible to rely on his statements about what Iran is supposedly saying behind the scenes.
In phone calls with journalists last week, Trump made a series of triumphant declarations about major concessions Iran had purportedly made. These included an “unlimited” moratorium on nuclear activities (per Bloomberg), an end to its support for all proxy groups including Hamas and Hezbollah (per CBS News), and the US both removing Iran’s enriched uranium and taking it (also per CBS News).
After CBS News correspondent Weijia Jiang asked Trump whether Iran had agreed to permanently cease enriching uranium, he responded: “They’ve agreed to everything.”
Experts expressed strong skepticism that Iran had done what Trump claimed. And Iranian officials soon declared that they had not agreed to everything Trump had said they had; a spokesperson for the foreign ministry issued a statement saying, “Enriched uranium is as sacred to us as Iranian soil and will not be transferred anywhere under any circumstances.”
“The President of the United States made seven claims in one hour, all seven of which were false,” Iranian parliamentary speaker and key negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf posted Friday.
Iran’s words can’t be trusted, of course. Its leadership has lied repeatedly about the war and many other matters. And the competing power centers within its government often make it hard to figure out which officials’ comments carry the most authority.
So, if a US-Iran deal is eventually reached, it’s possible some of Trump’s assertions will be proven accurate. But Trump’s history means we can’t take it for granted that the US president’s claims about the negotiations are more correct than the claims of Iranian leaders – or even assume this is likely – until we see that proof.
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