2026-04-01T20:00:14.803Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)
作者:阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维
更新于1小时48分钟前
2026年4月1日,美国东部时间下午6:12
发布于2026年4月1日,美国东部时间下午4:00
唐纳德·特朗普总统于3月27日在佛罗里达州迈阿密海滩举行的FII PRIORITY峰会上发表讲话。
内森·霍华德/盖蒂图片社/资料图
根据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)委托SSRS开展的最新民调,仅有三分之一的美国民众认为特朗普总统有明确方案应对伊朗局势,这凸显了在他周三晚间就这场战争发表白宫讲话前,公众普遍存在的怀疑态度。
民调显示,美国民众对美军在伊朗采取军事行动的反对率本已居高不下,且自战争爆发以来进一步上升。目前仅有34%的美国人至少在一定程度上认可美国对伊朗采取军事行动的决定,较战争爆发后不久的CNN民调下降了7个百分点。反对率升至66%,其中强烈反对的比例上升12个百分点,达到43%。
随着越来越多民众认为美伊之间爆发长期军事冲突至少有一定可能性,大多数美国人对深化军事介入持谨慎态度。71%的多数民众反对国会批准五角大楼提出的、为美军进一步在伊朗采取军事行动拨款2000亿美元的提案。同样有68%的民众反对向伊朗派遣地面部队。
民主党人和无党派人士总体上仍反对美国派遣地面部队,而共和党人对此也仅勉强持反对态度。即便自称属于“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动的共和党人也倾向于反对派遣地面部队:32%的人反对这一想法,仅有25%的人表示支持。在非MAGA共和党人中,56%的人反对派遣地面部队,仅20%的人表示支持。
特朗普在处理伊朗局势方面的支持率为33%,略低于他35%的整体支持率和36%的外交政策支持率。另有33%的民众认可他作为总司令的履职表现。这一数字较今年1月美国对委内瑞拉采取军事行动后不久开展的民调下降了8个百分点,也较他此前的总统任期最低支持率低5个百分点。约六成民众认为,他在扩大美国对其他国家影响力方面做得太过火,这一比例与1月相比几乎没有变化。
美国国务卿马可·卢比奥的支持率略高于特朗普,为41%,而国防部长皮特·赫格斯的支持率为35%。
共和党内部分歧加剧
对伊朗战争的看法仍存在明显的党派分歧,尽管并非完全对称:94%的民主党人和74%的无党派人士反对在伊朗采取军事行动,而仅有28%的共和党人持反对态度。
尽管民主党人几乎一致反对这场战争,但民调显示共和党内部分歧更为显著。
45岁以上的共和党人强烈认可特朗普对伊朗采取军事行动决定的比例,是年轻共和党人的两倍多。
尽管一些知名MAGA人士批评了这场伊朗战争,但在更广泛的公众中并未体现出这种分歧:自称MAGA成员的民众仍是特朗普最坚定的支持者。实际上,在共和党和倾向共和党的无党派人士中,分歧存在于MAGA运动与其他群体之间。自称MAGA成员的受访者认为特朗普有明确伊朗应对方案的比例,比其他共和党阵营人士高出40个百分点;强烈认可对伊军事行动决定的比例则高出27个百分点。
这场战争是否值得付出代价?
美国民众不愿进一步拨款或派遣部队的背后,是他们对这场冲突是否值得打的普遍怀疑。当被问及伊朗战争是否值得美国民众付出生命代价和政府承担财政负担时,仅有29%的人给出了肯定答案。
这与伊拉克战争初期的同类民调结果形成鲜明对比。2003年美国入侵伊拉克后不久,CNN/《时代》周刊的一项民调显示,59%的美国成年人认为那场战争值得美国民众付出生命和其他代价。尽管这一支持率在随后几个月内回落,但一年后该比例仍高于如今认为伊朗战争值得付出代价的民众占比。
对这场战争在财政和其他方面成本的担忧,正值美国国内经济焦虑加剧的背景之下。
大多数美国人表示至少在一定程度上密切关注伊朗局势的相关新闻。在开放式问题中被要求列出美国面临的最重要问题时,13%的受访者提到了伊朗战争——这一比例在所有外交政策相关议题中相当高。但这仍远落后于40%提及经济问题的受访者。
对一些人而言,这两个问题相互关联。
“我们卷入了一场本不该打的战争,而经济正在崩溃,”一名参与民调的爱达荷州共和党女性受访者写道。
本次CNN民调由SSRS于3月26日至30日通过线上和电话方式开展,受访者为随机抽取的1201名美国成年民众。全样本结果的抽样误差范围为正负3.2个百分点。
CNN的珍妮弗·阿吉耶斯塔和爱德华·吴为本报告撰稿。
What Americans think about Donald Trump’s Iran strategy ahead of his White House address
2026-04-01T20:00:14.803Z / CNN
By Ariel Edwards-Levy
Updated 1 hr 48 min ago
Updated Apr 1, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
PUBLISHED Apr 1, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
President Donald Trump speaks at the FII PRIORITY Summit in Miami Beach, Florida, on March 27.
Nathan Howard/Getty Images/File
Just one-third of the public believes President Donald Trump has a clear plan to handle the situation in Iran, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, underscoring the deep skepticism ahead of his Wednesday night White House address on the war.
Americans’ already broad disapproval of US military action in Iran has grown since the start of the war, the poll found. Just 34% of Americans now say they approve at least somewhat of the US decision to take military action in Iran, down 7 points from a CNN poll conducted just after the start of the war. Disapproval has risen to 66%, with strong opposition climbing 12 points to 43%.
With a growing share of the public now calling a long-term military conflict between the US and Iran at least somewhat likely, most Americans are wary of deepening involvement. A 71% majority say they’d oppose Congress authorizing spending $200 billion to fund further US military action in Iran, as the Pentagon has proposed. A similar 68% are opposed to sending ground troops into Iran.
Democrats and independents remain broadly opposed to the US deploying ground troops, but Republicans also break narrowly against the idea. Even Republicans identifying themselves as part of the “Make America Great Again” movement tilt against ground troops: 32% oppose the idea while 25% favor it. Among non-MAGA Republicans, 56% oppose it, with 20% in favor.
Trump’s approval rating for handling the situation in Iran sits at 33%, just below his overall 35% approval rating and his 36% rating for foreign policy. And 33% now say they approve of his handling of the role of commander in chief. That’s down 8 points from a January poll taken in the immediate aftermath of US military action in Venezuela and 5 points below his previous presidential low. About 6 in 10 say he has gone too far in trying to expand America’s power over other countries, little changed since January.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio fares slightly better than the president with a 41% job approval rating, while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s approval rating stands at 35%.
More division within the GOP
Views of the Iran war remain sharply, although not symmetrically, divided along partisan lines: 94% of Democrats and 74% of independents disapprove of military action in Iran, while 28% of Republicans disapprove.
While Democrats are nearly unanimous in their opposition, the poll shows more division within the GOP.
Republicans over the age of 45 are more than twice as likely as younger Republicans to say they strongly approve of Trump’s decision to take military action.
While some prominent MAGA voices have criticized the Iran war, that divide is less evident among the broader public, where those identifying as MAGA remain Trump’s staunchest supporters. Instead, among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, the gap is between the MAGA movement and everyone else. Those who describe themselves as members of the MAGA movement are 40 points likelier than others aligned with the GOP to believe that Trump has a clear plan for handling Iran and 27 points likelier to strongly approve of the decision to take military action.
Is the war worth the costs?
Underlying Americans’ reluctance to consider committing further funding or troops is a broader skepticism about whether the conflict is worthwhile. Asked whether the war in Iran has been worth the toll in American lives and the financial burden to the government, just 29% say yes.
That’s a marked contrast from similar polling taken in the initial days of the Iraq war. Just after the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, 59% of US adults said that the war had been worth the toll in American lives and other costs, a CNN/Time survey found. While that consensus fell away over the following months, that figure was still higher a year later than the share of the public now saying the Iran war was worth the toll.
Concerns about the war’s costs, financially and otherwise, come against a backdrop of heightened economic concerns at home.
Most Americans say they’re following news about the situation in Iran at least somewhat closely. And asked in an open-ended question to name the most important issue facing the US, 13% mentioned the Iran war – a notably high percentage for anything relating to foreign policy. But that still lags far behind the 40% who mentioned economic issues.
For some, the two issues are interlinked.
“We’re involved in a war we shouldn’t be and the economy is collapsing,” wrote one woman who took the survey, a Republican from Idaho.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS online and by phone from March 26-30 among a random national sample of 1,201 adults. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta and Edward Wu contributed to this report.
发表回复