拉姆·伊曼纽尔预计将在特拉维夫演讲中称以色列需要“重大变革与新方向”


2026-07-07 12:59:00 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻援引美联社报道

曾有望参选民主党总统候选人、长期为以色列辩护的拉姆·伊曼纽尔将于本周在特拉维夫抨击以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡,并传递一个令人警醒的信息:美以两国关系“正处于十字路口”。

据美联社获取的讲话文稿,伊曼纽尔将于周三在特拉维夫大学发表演讲时表示:“当前的模式无法持续,也无法存续。为维护我们两国关系的力量,我们需要进行重大变革,开辟新的方向。”

在此次演讲前接受美联社采访时,伊曼纽尔称以色列针对2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击事件持续开展的军事行动“在对待巴勒斯坦平民生命方面鲁莽且轻率——不仅是军事行动本身,还将粮食和药品作为实现军事目标的工具”。

当被问及以色列是否犯下种族灭绝罪时,伊曼纽尔表示,不应脱离乌克兰和苏丹的冲突孤立地看待这一问题。部分人权组织曾提出这一指控,但以色列和美国政府均予以否认。

“我准备好展开这场讨论,”他说,“但我认为不应将其政治化,否则会淡化种族灭绝一词的分量。”

作为民主党中间派的坚定成员,伊曼纽尔的此番采访与即将发表的演讲,进一步表明在加沙战争爆发近三年后,民主党已在多大程度上背离了其历史上对以色列的支持立场。

美联社-NORC公共事务研究中心的一项新民调显示,约58%的民主党人认为美国“对以色列支持过度”,这一比例高于2024年1月的45%。约一半的民主党人认为,以色列在与哈马斯的战争中对巴勒斯坦人犯下了种族灭绝罪。

伊曼纽尔的提案将包括对袭击巴勒斯坦平民和财产的以色列人实施制裁,同时制裁那些支持被国际社会多数成员视为非法的定居点的企业和银行。他还呼吁终止美国对以色列国防预算的补贴,辩称以色列“应当像其他所有遵守美国法律的可靠盟友一样,在相同的财务条款、相同的限制条件和相同的要求下购买美国武器”。

此外,伊曼纽尔将指责内塔尼亚胡将以色列推向“死胡同”,而美国领导人的拙劣决策助长了这一局面。

“长期以来,美国对以色列的政策基于这样一种假设:华盛顿为耶路撒冷所能做的最好的事,就是毫无条件、默默无言地支持你们的政府,当我们意见不合时也不提出任何条件、不提出任何要求、不施加任何后果,”他将在演讲中说道,“那是我们的错误。无条件的支持造就了一位总理,他认为即便无视美国的关切,其战略利益也不会付出任何代价。”

几乎没有先例表明,一位怀有总统抱负的美国人会前往另一个国家——更不用说以色列这样局势紧张的国家——对其政治领导层发表如此尖锐的谴责。近年来,像伊曼纽尔这样的中间派人士比民主党进步派基础更不愿质疑美国长期以来对以色列的支持。

曾是内塔尼亚胡坚定盟友的特朗普总统,近期在与伊朗的战争中也对其表示不满,因为美以两国的目标出现分歧。上个月,特朗普在接受记者采访时称,以色列在贝鲁特袭击伊朗支持的武装分子后,内塔尼亚胡“毫无判断力”。

“内塔尼亚胡为什么非要发动那场该死的袭击?”特朗普在接受Axios采访时说道,“我当时非常生气,已经跟他表明了态度。”

这番言论发表之前,副总统JD·万斯曾表示内塔尼亚胡“犯了一些错误”。

内塔尼亚胡会作何反应?

伊曼纽尔的言论可能引发内塔尼亚胡的激烈回应。内塔尼亚胡曾 famously 称曾有成为首位犹太裔众议院议长抱负的伊曼纽尔为“自恨的犹太人”。内塔尼亚胡将于10月面临连任竞选,这位资深领导人可能会利用与伊曼纽尔的对抗来谋取政治利益,摆出在国际批评面前坚定立场的姿态。

伊曼纽尔已于周日抵达特拉维夫,为周三的演讲做准备。他告诉美联社,他在访问期间故意避免与以色列民选官员接触,以免干扰该国即将举行的选举。他的行程包括参观一家同时为以色列人和巴勒斯坦人服务的医院,以及与一名10月7日人质的家属会面。

对于有望参选2028年民主党总统候选人的人士来说,他们正思考如何应对以色列加沙战争的余波以及内塔尼亚胡被认为向以特朗普为首的共和党倾斜的立场,伊曼纽尔的此次演讲代表了一种特别直接的策略。这场战争打乱了美国两大政党的政治联盟,年轻选民对以色列的冲突处理方式感到反感,迫使美国领导人采取更强硬的立场。这一问题在今年的一些民主党国会初选搅动了局势,并可能继续成为2028年民主党总统提名竞争中的分歧点。

伊曼纽尔将谴责内塔尼亚胡几乎没有为结束战争的外交努力推进工作,并指出“以色列的全球支持率正在暴跌”。

“你已经失去了欧洲,”他会说,“你的科学家面临被排除在国际研究网络之外的处境。你的艺术家和学者被排除在展览和会议之外。”

以色列的支持率下滑

尽管内塔尼亚胡与特朗普和共和党建立了总体牢固的关系,但近年来以色列在民主党人中的支持率有所下滑。但伊曼纽尔将以色列描绘为日益孤立的言论,与万斯近期的言论相呼应,这表明对以色列的批评在两党中都已站稳脚跟。在美国努力促成结束与伊朗战争的协议期间,万斯近日在白宫新闻发布会上表示,特朗普“是目前全世界唯一一个同情以色列的国家元首”。

尽管言辞尖锐,但身为犹太人且父亲出生在耶路撒冷的伊曼纽尔也会表达同情与理解。他承认2023年10月7日袭击事件造成的损失:哈马斯领导的武装分子对以色列发动空中和地面袭击,造成近1200人死亡,250多人被劫持为人质。他还提到了此前与巴勒斯坦领导人多轮和平谈判的失败。

“但即便承认这段历史,前进的道路也不能被仅仅以互相指责为定义的过去所束缚,”他将说道。

他将称两国方案“已失去信誉”,转而推动一项“23国解决方案”,即以色列、巴勒斯坦以及阿拉伯联盟的其他21个成员国达成和平协议。

“二十一个阿拉伯国家几十年来一直将巴勒斯坦权利作为口号利用,现在它们需要卷起袖子,建立一个能够接受犹太民族与这片土地的历史性联系的治理机构,”他将说道。

目前尚无知名民主党人正式宣布参加2028年总统竞选,但11月中期选举后情况可能很快改变,最终参选人数可能多达数十人。很少有人像伊曼纽尔那样公开表明自己的意向。这位曾任白宫办公厅主任、国会议员、芝加哥市长和美国大使的人士,过去三十多年的大部分时间都在担任各类公职。目前虽无公职在身,但他通过一系列政策提案、走访早期投票州新罕布什尔州、参加播客节目以及加大社交媒体存在感而受到关注。

Rahm Emanuel expected to say Israel needs “significant changes and a new direction” in Tel Aviv speech

2026-07-07 12:59:00 / CBS News via AP

Rahm Emanuel, a potential Democratic presidential candidate and longtime defender of Israel, will denounce Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Tel Aviv this week and deliver a bracing message that the country’s relationship with the United States is “at a crossroads.”

“It cannot stand or survive as it has been,” Emanuel will say at Tel Aviv University on Wednesday, according to remarks obtained by The Associated Press. “To maintain the strength of our ties, we need significant changes and a new direction.”

In an interview with the AP ahead of his speech, Emanuel said Israel’s continued military response to Hamas’ attack on Oct. 7, 2023, has been “reckless and careless in the treatment of Palestinian life — not only the military campaign but using food and medicine as an instrument of your military goals.”

Asked whether Israel had committed genocide, an accusation leveled by some human rights organizations and rejected by the Israeli and U.S. governments, Emanuel said the question should not be considered in isolation without also examining conflicts in Ukraine and Sudan.

“I’m ready to have that discussion,” he said, “but I don’t think it should be politicized, and then dilute the power of what genocide means.”

Taken together, the interview and upcoming speech from a stalwart of Democrats’ centrist wing are another demonstration of how far the party has shifted away from its historic support of Israel almost three years after the war in Gaza began.

About 58% of Democrats say the U.S. is “too supportive” of the Israelis, according to a new survey by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, up from 45% in January 2024. Roughly half of Democrats believe that Israel has committed genocide against Palestinians during the war with Hamas.

Emanuel’s proposals will include sanctions on Israelis who attack Palestinian civilians and property, along with companies and banks that support settlements considered illegal by most of the international community. He also wants to end U.S. subsidies to Israel’s defense budget, arguing the country “should be able to buy American arms under the same financial terms, the same restrictions, and the same requirements as every other trusted ally that abides by our laws.”

In addition, Emanuel will blame Netanyahu for driving Israel to a “dead end,” emboldened by poor decisions from American leaders.

“For too long, American policy toward Israel operated under the assumption that the best thing Washington could do for Jerusalem was to blindly and silently stand behind your government, without conditions, without demands, and without consequences when we disagreed,” he will say. “That has been our mistake. Unconditional support has produced a prime minister who has presumed that his strategic interests would incur no cost if he ignored America’s concerns.”

There’s little precedent for an American with presidential ambitions to travel to another country, much less one as fraught as Israel, to deliver such a stinging rebuke of its political leadership. Centrist figures like Emanuel have been more reluctant than Democrats’ progressive base to question longtime U.S. support for Israel in recent years.

President Trump, once a staunch ally of Netanyahu’s, has recently expressed frustration with him during the war with Iran, as U.S. and Israeli goals diverged. Last month, Mr. Trump told a reporter that Netanyahu has “no f*g judgment” after Israel launched an attack against Iran-backed militants in Beirut.

“Why did Bibi have to do a f*g attack?” Mr. Trump said to Axios. “I was so pissed off. I let him know.”

Those comments came after Vice President JD Vance said Netanyahu had “gotten some things wrong.”

How will Netanyahu react?

Emanuel’s remarks could prompt a fiery response from Netanyahu, who famously once called Emanuel, who harbored ambitions of being the first Jewish speaker of the House, a “self-hating Jew.” Netanyahu faces his own battle for reelection in October, and the veteran leader may try to use a confrontation with Emanuel for political gain by appearing to stand strong in the face of international criticism.

Emanuel, who arrived in Tel Aviv on Sunday ahead of the Wednesday speech, told the AP that he’s intentionally avoiding interactions with Israeli elected officials during his visit to avoid interfering with the country’s upcoming elections. Instead, his agenda includes visiting a hospital that serves Israelis and Palestinians and meeting with the family of an Oct. 7 hostage.

For possible Democratic presidential contenders gauging how to address the fallout from Israel’s war in Gaza and Netanyahu’s perceived tilt toward the Republican Party, led by Mr. Trump, the speech represents an especially frontal strategy. The war has disrupted political coalitions in both major political parties in the U.S., with younger voters recoiling at Israel’s approach to the conflict pressing American leaders to take a tougher stand. The issue has roiled some Democratic congressional primaries this year and could continue to be a dividing line in the contest for the party’s presidential nomination in 2028.

Castigating Netanyahu for doing little to advance diplomatic efforts to end the war, Emanuel will note that “support for Israel is plummeting around the world.”

“You’ve lost Europe,” he will say. “Your scientists face exclusion from international research networks. Your artists and academics are shut out of exhibits and conferences.”

Support for Israel has waned

While Netanyahu has forged generally strong ties with Mr. Trump and the Republican Party, Israel’s support among Democrats has slipped in recent years. But in portraying Israel as increasingly isolated, Emanuel’s comments have echoes of recent remarks from Vance, a sign of how criticism of the country is taking hold in both parties. Speaking recently from the White House briefing room as the U.S. worked to close a deal to end the war with Iran, Vance said Mr. Trump was “the only head of state in the entire world who is sympathetic to the nation of Israel at this moment in time.”

For all his tough words, Emanuel, who is Jewish and whose father was born in Jerusalem, will offer notes of sympathy and understanding. He acknowledged the toll of the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks in which Hamas-led militants launched air and ground strikes on Israel, killing nearly 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages. He noted disappointments from previous rounds of peace talks with Palestinian leaders.

“But even while acknowledging that history, the path forward cannot be held hostage to a past defined exclusively by recriminations,” he will say.

He will call the two-state solution “discredited” and instead push for a “23-state solution” that includes Israel, the Palestinians and the 21 other members of the Arab League in a peace deal.

“The 21 Arab nations that have exploited Palestinian rights as a slogan for decades now need to roll up their sleeves and stand up a governing authority capable of accepting the historic Jewish connection to this land,” he will say.

While no prominent Democrat has formally entered the 2028 contest, that could change soon after the November midterms with a field that could ultimately swell into the dozens. Few have been as open about their intentions as Emanuel, a former White House chief of staff, congressman, Chicago mayor and U.S. ambassador who has spent much of the past three decades holding one public office or another. Absent such a post now, he’s gained attention by releasing a string of policy proposals, biking through the early voting state of New Hampshire, appearing on podcasts and stepping up his social media presence.

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