民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫比共和党候选人迈克·柯林斯获得更多党派选民支持
2026年7月1日 下午6:00 美国东部夏令时 / 福克斯新闻
作者：维多利亚·巴拉拉 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年7月1日 下午6:00 美国东部夏令时
共和党参议院候选人抨击乔恩·奥索夫“脱离现实”
佐治亚州共和党参议院提名候选人众议员迈克·柯林斯批评参议员乔恩·奥索夫是“脱离现实的极左翼自由派”。
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佐治亚州民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫在2021年1月的决选中以微弱优势赢得参议院席位，仅以一个多百分点的差距击败共和党人大卫·珀杜。福克斯新闻的最新民调显示今年的形势有所不同，奥索夫在2026年佐治亚州参议院竞选中对共和党挑战者迈克·柯林斯保持两位数领先优势。
在6月共和党初选决选获得前总统特朗普的最后时刻背书后，柯林斯击败了获得佐治亚州州长布莱恩·坎普支持的德里克·杜利。特朗普在2024年以约2个百分点的优势拿下这个“桃子州”，此前2020年他以不到1个百分点的差距落败，2016年则以超过5个百分点的优势赢得该州。
周三发布的福克斯新闻民调显示，奥索夫获得56%的佐治亚州登记选民支持，而柯林斯的支持率为43%。
这位在任民主党议员获得黑人选民（87%）、30岁以下选民（68%）、无党派选民（68%）、温和派选民（66%）以及45岁以下女性选民（66%）的强力支持。在表示有动力投票的82%佐治亚州选民中，奥索夫以11个百分点的优势领先（55%对柯林斯的44%）。
柯林斯的最佳票仓群体包括白人福音派基督徒（79%）、未获得大学学位的白人男性（65%）以及农村选民（55%）。约一半的枪支拥有者家庭（53%）和退伍军人（50%）也支持他。
福克斯新闻民调：缅因州参议院竞选势均力敌，两名候选人均遭担忧
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奥索夫得益于更高的党派忠诚度，几乎所有民主党选民（96%）都支持他，且他超过80%的支持者表示投票是支持奥索夫本人，而非反对柯林斯。
对于柯林斯，90%的共和党选民支持他（89%），但只有56%的支持者表示投票是支持他本人，44%的人表示主要是为了反对奥索夫。
福克斯新闻民调：展望美国建国250周年
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值得注意的是，近四分之一的非“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）共和党选民表示会支持民主党人，而仅有4%的MAGA支持者会这样做。
奥索夫在多个人口群体中的支持率与2021年佐治亚州参议院决选的福克斯新闻选民分析（FNVA）民调结果基本持平，而柯林斯的表现则不及珀杜。
两名候选人的选民热情度相似。约80%的奥索夫支持者表示肯定会为他投票（81%），且极其或非常有动力参与投票（81%）。在柯林斯的支持者中，78%的人肯定会支持他，84%的人有动力投票。
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近60%的选民对奥索夫持正面看法（58%），远高于柯林斯的40%（44%）和特朗普的42%。特朗普的正面评价率比2024年佐治亚州FNVA民调的47%下降了5个百分点。
佐治亚州选民认为柯林斯与特朗普过从甚密的比例（53%）比认为奥索夫过于激进的比例（47%）高出6个百分点。
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通胀是选民最关注的问题，40%的人表示该问题将对他们的参议院投票产生最重要影响。医疗保健以微弱差距位居第二（13%），其次是政治分歧（11%）、移民（11%）以及就业与失业（11%）。仅有少数选民提及伊朗冲突（5%）、犯罪（5%）或堕胎（3%）。
奥索夫在最关注通胀（领先21个百分点）、医疗保健（领先40个百分点）和政治分歧（领先18个百分点）的选民群体中占据巨大优势，而柯林斯在关注移民的选民群体中拥有显著领先优势（领先45个百分点）。
“正如布鲁克林道奇队播音员雷德·巴伯常说的那样，奥索夫‘处于绝佳位置’”，与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同开展本次民调的共和党人达伦·肖表示。“我的直觉是这场竞选将变得更具竞争力，但柯林斯需要努力说服共和党人和无党派选民，让他们相信他和总统能让普通佐治亚民众的生活负担得起。”
尽管通胀问题令人担忧，但一半的选民表示他们的财务状况保持稳定（51%），35%的人表示他们的生活正在变得拮据，仅有14%的人认为自己的财务状况有所改善。
在佐治亚州州长竞选中，民主党人凯莎·兰斯·博顿斯以5个百分点的优势领先，支持率为52%，共和党人里克·杰克逊为47%。这一差距处于民调的误差范围内。
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结果显示存在一些选票拆分现象：11%的奥索夫支持者跨党派支持杰克逊竞选州长，而5%的柯林斯支持者支持兰斯·博顿斯。
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兰斯·博顿斯的支持者比杰克逊的支持者更肯定会投票（80%对75%）。
两名候选人的个人好感度均为净正面。兰斯·博顿斯的正面评价率为52%，负面评价率为38%；杰克逊的正面评价率为43%，负面评价率为38%。约十分之一的选民从未听说过这两名候选人。
[点击此处查看交叉制表表和原始数据]
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本次民调于2026年6月23日至27日开展，由Beacon Research（民主党团队）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党团队）联合指导，共采访了从全州选民档案中随机抽取的1002名佐治亚州登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（39%）、手机（71%）接受现场采访，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（25%）。基于全样本的结果抽样误差为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。人口加权目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。通常会针对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保受访者的人口结构与登记选民群体具有代表性。子群体结果仅在样本量至少为N=100时才会展示。
Fox News Poll: An early look at the Georgia Senate race
Democratic Sen Jon Ossoff benefits from more party loyalty than Republican Mike Collins
2026-07-01 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
By Victoria Balara Fox News
Published July 1, 2026 6:00pm EDT
Republican Senate nominee slams Jon Ossoff as ‘out of touch’
Rep. Mike Collins, the Republican Senate nominee for Georgia, criticizes Sen. Jon Ossoff as an ‘out of touch, far-left liberal.’
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Georgia Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff narrowly won his Senate seat in a January 2021 runoff, defeating Republican David Perdue by just over a percentage point. New Fox News polling suggests a different dynamic this time, as Ossoff holds a double-digit lead over GOP challenger Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race.
After receiving a last-minute endorsement from President Trump in the June GOP primary runoff, Collins defeated Derek Dooley, who was backed by Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp.Trump carried the Peach State by about 2 points in 2024 after losing it by less than a point in 2020. He won the state by more than 5 points in 2016.
The Fox News survey, released Wednesday, finds Ossoff receives 56% support from Georgia registered voters compared to 43% for Collins.
The incumbent Democrat enjoys strong support from Black voters (87%), those under age 30 (68%), independents (68%), moderates (66%), and women under 45 (66%). Among the 82% of Georgia voters who say they are motivated to vote, Ossoff leads by 11 points (55% vs. 44% Collins).
Collins’ best groups include White evangelical Christians (79%), White men without a college degree (65%), and rural voters (55%).About half of gun-owner households (53%) and veterans (50%) also favor him.
FOX NEWS POLL: MAINE SENATE RACE IS TIGHT, WITH CONCERNS ABOUT BOTH CANDIDATES
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Ossoff benefits from greater party loyalty, as nearly all Democrats (96%) back him and more than 8 in 10 of his supporters say their vote is for him rather than against Collins.
For Collins, 9 in 10 Republicans back him (89%) but only 56% of his supporters say their vote is for him, while 44% say it is primarily against Ossoff.
FOX NEWS POLL: LOOKING AHEAD TO AMERICA’S 250TH ANNIVERSARY
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Notably, nearly a quarter of non-MAGA Republicans say they will back the Democrat compared to just 4% of MAGA supporters.
Ossoff is mostly matching his numbers among demographics in the 2021 Georgia Senate Runoff Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA) election survey, while Collins is underperforming Perdue.
There are similar levels of enthusiasm for both candidates. About 8 in 10 Ossoff supporters say they are certain to vote for him (81%) and are extremely or very motivated to cast a ballot (81%). Among Collins supporters, 78% are certain to back him and 84% are motivated to vote.
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Nearly 6 in 10 voters have a favorable opinion of Ossoff (58%), much higher than the 4 in 10 for Collins (44%) and Trump (42%).Trump’s favorable rating is down 5 points from 47% in the 2024 Georgia FNVA.
Georgians are 6 points more likely to say they are extremely or very concerned that Collins is too close to Trump (53%) than that Ossoff is too liberal (47%).
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Inflation dominates voter concerns, with 40% saying the issue will be most important to their Senate vote. Healthcare ranks a distant second (13%), followed by political divisions (11%), immigration (11%), and jobs and unemployment (11%).Fewer say the Iran conflict (5%), crime (5%), or abortion (3%).
Ossoff holds large advantages among voters who are most concerned about inflation (+21), healthcare (+40), and political divisions (+18), while Collins has a significant lead among those focused on immigration (+45).
“As Brooklyn Dodgers’ announcer Red Barber used to say, Ossoff is ‘sitting in the Catbird seat’” says Daron Shaw, a Republican who conducts the survey with Democrat Chris Anderson. “My hunch is the race will become much more competitive, but Collins has work to do convincing Republicans and independents that he and the president can make things more affordable for rank-and-file Georgians.”
Despite concerns about inflation, half say their finances are holding steady (51%), while 35% say they are falling behind. Only 14% feel they are getting ahead financially.
In the Georgia governor’s race, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms has a 5-point edge, with 52% support compared to 47% for Republican Rick Jackson. That is within the poll’s margin of error.
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The results show some ticket splitting: 11% of Ossoff supporters cross party lines to back Jackson for governor, while 5% of Collins supporters back Lance Bottoms.
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Lance Bottoms’ supporters are more certain of their vote than Jackson’s (80% vs. 75%).
Both candidates have net-positive personal favorability ratings. Lance Bottoms is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 38%, while for Jackson it is 43% favorable and 38% unfavorable. Roughly 1 in 10 voters have never heard of each candidate.
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Conducted June 23-27, 2026 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 Georgia registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (39) and cellphones (710) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (253). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.
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