民调发现:美国年轻人与老年人对中国威胁的认知存在巨大分歧


2026年6月28日 美国东部时间上午9:00 / 福克斯新闻频道

仅62%的18至29岁成年人对中国的间谍活动表示担忧,而65岁及以上人群中这一比例高达93%

作者:摩根·菲利普斯 福克斯新闻频道

戈登·张:中国助长伊朗气焰,是“敌方战斗人员”
加特斯坦研究所高级研究员戈登·张在《生命、自由与莱文秀》节目中解释了中国与伊朗的联盟如何使其成为“敌方战斗人员”。

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【福克斯新闻独家报道】 一项新民调显示,美国年轻人远不如老一辈人将中国视为美国的重大威胁,这暴露了美国外交政策中最显著的代际分歧之一。

罗纳德·里根研究所夏季民调显示,约93%的65岁及以上美国成年人表示担忧中国监视美国的能力,而18至29岁人群中这一比例仅为62%。

在其他涉及中国的担忧议题上,年轻人同样普遍比老年人更不警惕:

  • 担忧中国可能对台动武的比例:56%对86%
  • 担忧中国技术盗窃的比例:61%对91%
  • 担忧中国收购美国土地的比例:68%对93%
  • 担忧中国在美国芬太尼流入问题中所扮演角色的比例:68%对92%

尽管存在代际分歧,但全国范围内对中国的担忧程度仍然较高。超过80%的美国人表示担忧中国在美国芬太尼流入问题中所扮演的角色、其监视美国民众的能力以及其收购美国土地的行为。66%的人认为台湾的安全与美国利益相关。

福克斯新闻民调:选民怀疑新协议无法阻止伊朗研发核武器

此次民调结果发布之际,美中两国正试图在多年升级的经济和军事紧张局势后,稳定这一全球最重要的双边关系之一。

特朗普政府上台伊始便对中国征收了三位数关税,随后总统唐纳德·特朗普于5月来华与中国国家主席习近平会晤,宣布了一系列贸易和投资协议,并承诺继续开展对话。

尽管全国上下对中国的担忧依然普遍,但民调显示,年轻美国人看待这位美国主要地缘政治对手的视角与老一辈截然不同,这引发了一个疑问:随着年轻选民在选民群体中占比不断扩大,公众态度将如何演变。

这一调查结果格外引人注目,因为它与许多国家安全专家的主流观点相悖。尽管美中两国正通过外交努力稳定双边关系,但这些专家仍将中国视为美国长期的主要竞争对手和对手。

“中国历史性的军事扩张以及在本地区乃至全球范围的军事活动增加,理应引发警惕,”战争部长皮特·赫格瑟斯5月在新加坡香格里拉对话会上说道。

但他补充道,美中关系“比多年来都要好”。

2026年5月14日,特朗普与习近平在北京举行高层会晤期间,共同参观了天坛。(布伦丹·斯米亚洛夫斯基 – 彭博社/盖蒂图片社)

特朗普与习近平5月会晤后,美国总统对记者表示:“我们解决了许多其他人无法解决的难题。”

他称习近平是“伟大的领导人”,称中国是“伟大的国家”。

其他近期研究也表明,Z世代对美国外交政策的看法存在更广泛的差异。

2025年卡内基国际和平基金会的一项民调发现,与老一辈相比,美国年轻人更不倾向于将维持美国对中国的技术优势作为优先事项,且普遍支持美国在海外采取更克制的领导角色。

里根研究所夏季民调是该机构每年一度的外交政策和国家安全民意调查,旨在评估美国人对全球参与、军事力量、中国、北约、中东和民主价值观等议题的看法。

民调还发现,两党在美国全球角色的定位上存在显著分歧:共和党人比民主党人更倾向于认为美国应更积极参与并在世界事务中发挥主导作用。

71%的共和党人表示美国应在国际事务中发挥主导作用,而民主党人中这一比例为55%。总体而言,61%的美国人认为美国应更深入地参与全球事务,27%的人则倾向于采取更不介入的态度。

民调发现:尽管特朗普多年来批评北约,但多数特朗普支持者仍支持北约

(注:此标题与前文重复,原文如此)
美国年轻人远不如老一辈人将中国视为美国的重大威胁,一项新民调显示,这暴露了美国外交政策中最显著的代际分歧之一。(李刚/新华社通过盖蒂图片社)

这一调查结果代表了近年来的显著转变。

在过去一年中,民主党人对美国加大全球参与度的支持率从65%降至55%,而共和党人的支持率则从69%升至71%,两党之间的党派差距从4个百分点扩大至16个百分点。民调还发现,43%的民主党人现在认为美国参与世界事务是有害的,一年前这一比例为22%。

此次民调于5月26日至6月3日期间进行,共采访了1555名美国成年人,误差幅度为正负2.5个百分点。研究人员采用了混合方法,包括现场电话采访、在线面板调查和短信转网页问卷。

节点运行失败

中央司令部分享了针对伊朗战争期间打击飞机的行动视频。(美国中央司令部在X平台上发布)

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为了更准确地反映美国人口结构,调查结果参照美国人口普查局2023年美国社区调查的人口统计基准进行了加权处理,包括年龄、性别、种族、地区和教育水平。此次调查还额外抽样了338名30岁以下自称支持“让美国再次伟大”的共和党人,该子样本的误差幅度为正负5个百分点。

此次调查结果发布之际,恰逢特朗普政府在海外采取了比一些预期更为强硬的姿态的一年。

除了下令对伊朗实施打击外,本届政府还扩大了针对西半球与贩毒集团有关目标的军事行动,并介入抓捕委内瑞拉前总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗,这些举措将美国实力和全球领导力的问题重新推回了公众辩论的中心。

Young Americans break sharply from older Americans on China threat, new poll finds

June 28, 2026 9:00am EDT / Fox News

Only 62% of adults ages 18 to 29 expressed concern about Chinese espionage compared with 93% of those 65 and older

By Morgan Phillips Fox News

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FIRST ON FOX:Young Americans are far less likely than older generations to see China as a major threat to the United States, according to a new poll, revealing one of the sharpest generational divides in U.S. foreign policy.

Some 93% of Americans age 65 and older said they are concerned about China’s ability to spy on the United States, compared with just 62% of those ages 18 to 29, according to the Ronald Reagan Institute Summer Survey.

Younger Americans also were consistently less likely than seniors to express concern about China’s potential use of force against Taiwan (56% versus 86%), technology theft (61% versus 91%), purchases of U.S. land (68% versus 93%) and China’s role in the flow of fentanyl into the United States (68% versus 92%).

Despite the generational divide, concern about China remained high nationally. More than 80% of Americans said they were concerned about China’s role in the flow of fentanyl into the United States, its ability to spy on Americans and its purchases of U.S. land. Sixty-six percent also said Taiwan’s security matters to the United States.

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The findings come as Washington and Beijing are trying to stabilize one of the world’s most consequential relationships after years of escalating economic and military tensions.

After imposing triple-digit tariffs on China at the start of his administration, President Donald Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in China in May and announced a series of trade and investment agreements and pledged to continue dialogue.

While concern about China remains widespread across the country, the survey suggests younger Americans view the U.S.’s chief geopolitical rival through a markedly different lens than older generations, raising questions about how public attitudes could evolve as younger voters make up a larger share of the electorate.

The findings stand out because they diverge from the prevailing view among many national security experts, who continue to characterize China as America’s principal long-term neer-pear competitor and adversary, even as Washington and Beijing seek to stabilize their relationship through diplomacy.

“There is rightful alarm regarding China’s historic military buildup and the expansion of its military activities in the region and beyond,” War Secretary Pete Hegseth at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore in May.

But, he added, U.S.–China relations are “better than they’ve been in many years.”

Chinese President Xi Jinping and President Donald Trump visited the Temple of Heaven on May 14, 2026, in Beijing, China, during a high-level summit between the two leaders.(Brendan Smialowski – Pool/Getty Images)

After the May summit between Trump and Xi, the U.S. president told reporters: “We settled a lot of different problems that other people wouldn’t have been able to solve.”

He called Xi a “great leader” and China a “great country.”

Other recent research points to broader differences in how Gen Z views U.S. foreign policy.

A 2025 Carnegie Endowment survey found younger Americans were less likely than older generations to prioritize maintaining U.S. technological dominance over China and generally favored a less expansive American leadership role abroad.

The Reagan Institute Summer Survey is the organization’s annual public opinion poll on foreign policy and national security, designed to gauge Americans’ views on issues ranging from global engagement and military strength to China, NATO, the Middle East and democratic values.

The poll also found broad shifts by party on what America’s role in the world should look like: Republicans were more likely than Democrats to say the United States should be more engaged and take the lead in world affairs.

Seventy-one percent of Republicans said the U.S. should take a leading role internationally, compared with 55% of Democrats. Overall, 61% of Americans said the U.S. should be more engaged in global affairs, while 27% preferred a less engaged approach.

MOST TRUMP SUPPORTERS STILL BACK NATO DESPITE YEARS OF TRUMP’S CRITICISM, NEW POLL FINDS

Young Americans are far less likely than older generations to see China as a major threat to the United States, according to a new poll, revealing one of the sharpest generational divides in U.S. foreign policy.(Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images)

The findings represent a notable shift from recent years.

Democratic support for greater U.S. engagement fell from 65% to 55% over the past year, while Republican support increased from 69% to 71%, widening the partisan gap from four percentage points to 16. The survey also found 43% of Democrats now say U.S. involvement in the world is harmful, up from 22% a year ago.

The survey was conducted May 26 through June 3 among 1,555 U.S. adults and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Researchers used a mixed-mode methodology that included live telephone interviews, an online panel and text-to-web responses.

节点运行失败

CENTCOM shared footage of strikes against airplanes amid Iran war.(U.S. Central Command on X)

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To better reflect the U.S. population, the results were weighted using demographic benchmarks from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2023 American Community Survey, including age, gender, race, region and education. The survey also included an oversample of 338 self-identified MAGA Republicans under age 30, which carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

The findings also come after a year in which the Trump administration has taken a more assertive posture overseas than some expected.

In addition to ordering strikes on Iran, the administration has expanded military operations against cartel-linked targets in the Western Hemisphere and intervened to capture former President Nicolas Maduro Venezuela, moves that have put questions of American power and global leadership back at the center of public debate.

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