特朗普平息了堕胎和婚姻之争。保守派活动人士希望在2028年重掀波澜


2026-06-27T10:30:25.553Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/27/politics/trump-conservatives-abortion-marriage

“保护生命”和强化“传统婚姻”仍是信仰与自由联盟明确的优先事项,这个组织已花费近二十年时间动员保守派基督教选民。

但在上周五该组织在华盛顿特区举办的集会中,堕胎和同性婚姻几乎未受关注,包括本次活动主讲人唐纳德·特朗普总统的长篇演讲也未提及这两个议题。

重返白宫以来,特朗普基本避开了曾帮助他重掌政权的保守派信仰运动长期倡导的议题,他私下认为,堕胎等问题对试图保住国会微弱多数席位的共和党来说是政治负担。尽管一些活动人士感到不满,但他们基本未公开施压特朗普采取行动,顾及到他对其支持者拥有无可比拟的影响力。

然而,越来越多迹象表明,随着共和党开始展望后特朗普时代,社会保守派正准备重掀这些争议,甚至开启新的论战。

美国领先反堕胎组织之一“SBA支持生命美国”已在策划如何塑造爱荷华州和南卡罗来纳州的早期初选格局,以接替特朗普,并迫使共和党总统候选人就设定全国范围内的堕胎孕周 cutoff 明确立场。该组织表示,计划在2028年总统选举中斥资8000万美元支持立场一致的候选人。

“SBA支持生命”发言人凯尔西·普里查德表示:“我们早早明确表态……如果你想在爱荷华州和南卡罗来纳州获胜,成为共和党提名候选人并当选总统,你必须在堕胎问题上持有明确且大胆的立场,并承诺保护生命。”

与此同时,多个团体组成的联盟今年早些时候发起一项倡议,旨在挑战同性婚姻的法律基础,阻止同性伴侣收养子女。自2015年最高法院将同性婚姻全国合法化以来,这个议题基本淡出了共和党竞选活动,也是特朗普在2024年赢得提名时完全从共和党纲领中移除的内容。

其他保守派则涉足新领域。越来越多共和党官员呼吁对代孕实施新限制,此举可能进一步限制 LGBTQ+ 伴侣的生育选择。众议院共和党议员提出了针对商业代孕的法案,佛罗里达州总检察长詹姆斯·尤特迈尔最近将代孕称为“现代奴隶制”,并表示必须“制止”这一行为。

保守派脱口秀主持人史蒂夫·迪尔斯表示,特朗普在共和党政治中占据着独一无二的主导地位,这让他能够搁置许多福音派活动人士看重的议题,而不会遭受政治后果。

“我们再也不会拥有像特朗普这样的人物——这种品牌效应与政治权力的结合永远不会再集中在一个人手中,”迪尔斯说,“特朗普曾压制的一些意识形态争端将在2028年前后浮出水面。”

鼓励共和党参与文化战争的组织“美国原则项目”主席特里·席林认为,共和党将以比近几十年来更有利的政治姿态介入这些辩论。

以同性婚姻支持率为例,盖洛普数据显示,该支持率从1996年稳步上升至2022年的峰值71%,但过去三年持续下滑。

盖洛普还发现,在其长期追踪的其他几项指标中,道德认可度也有所下降,比如非婚生子。尽管避孕药具仍广受支持,但支持率已降至15年前盖洛普开始此项调查以来的最低点。

席林表示,特朗普2024年竞选后期对跨性别议题的关注为共和党指明了道路,表明文化议题能够动员持观望态度的选民。

“共和党必须弄清楚如何在所有这些议题上主动出击,”席林说,“如果你不思考如何主动出击,那要么是懒惰,要么就是太过乏味。”

但在信仰与自由联盟年度“通往多数党之路”大会内部,几乎没有迹象表明活动人士急于向特朗普本人施压,或迫使他重新参与这个他在中期选举前基本搁置的议题。

在介绍特朗普时,信仰与自由联盟创始人兼主席拉尔夫·里德称赞特朗普塑造了“一个多世纪以来最保守的最高法院”,但未提及法院推翻罗伊诉韦德案的裁决。特朗普十年前曾向同一批听众承诺“捍卫生命的神圣性与尊严”,此次也同样未提及堕胎议题。

北卡罗来纳州吉尔福德县的马库斯·金德利在活动中告诉CNN,保守派应致力于说服民众。

“我们应该坚持自己的信念,坚持我们的宗教信仰,但我认为将观点强加于人行不通,”他说,“人们需要从内心改变观念。”

从佐治亚州杰克逊市专程赶来的帕姆·切斯特表示,特朗普事务繁忙,从外国冲突到国内议程,她很放心将堕胎政策交由各州制定。

不过,她表示共和党不应让该运动的传统优先议题淡出视野。

“我们绝对不能放松对这些议题的关注,因为如果我们完全漠视它们,这些政策很可能会被推翻或削弱,”她说。

这些未来辩论的初步迹象已经显现。

在最近接受保守派播客主持人爱丽·贝丝·斯塔基采访时,副总统JD·万斯被问及为何本届政府未采取措施限制通过邮寄配送的堕胎药物。万斯回应称,该问题仍在由食品药品监督管理局审议,同时告诫保守派不要操之过急,应顺应民意。

“我们必须务实,”万斯说,“我们必须赢得这场辩论,才能拯救众多未出生孩子的生命。”

这种做法可能无法取悦年轻一代保守派,迪尔斯称他们“在社会议题上比父辈更激进”。他预测,他们围绕社会议题的狂热能量将极大影响特朗普之后的共和党初选。

“如果你认为特朗普对你来说太过激进,如果你认为他在文化议题上太过对抗,那你还没见识过真正的场面,”迪尔斯说。

CNN的凯蒂·多兰为本报道贡献了内容。

Trump tamped down fights over abortion and marriage. Conservative activists want to bring them back in 2028

2026-06-27T10:30:25.553Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/27/politics/trump-conservatives-abortion-marriage

“Protecting life” and strengthening “traditional marriage” remain the stated priorities for the Faith and Freedom Coalition, an organization that has spent nearly two decades mobilizing conservative Christian voters.

But abortion and same-sex marriage received scant attention as the group gathered in the nation’s capital on Friday, including in the lengthy remarks from the event’s headline speaker: President Donald Trump.

Since returning to the White House, Trump has largely sidestepped causes long championed by the conservative faith movement that helped him propel him back to office, privately arguing that issues such as abortion are political liabilities for a Republican Party trying to protect its narrow majorities in Congress. Even as some activists have grown frustrated, they Activists have largely refrained from publicly pressuring Trump to act, mindful of his unparalleled influence over their voters.

Yet, there are growing signs that social conservatives are preparing to revive those fights — and open new ones — as Republicans begin looking forward to a post-Trump future.

SBA Pro-Life America, one of the nation’s leading anti-abortion groups, is already plotting how it can shape the early nominating fight to succeed Trump in Iowa and South Carolina and force Republican presidential candidates to take a stand on establishing a nationwide cutoff on abortions after a certain point in pregnancy. The group has said it plans to spend $80 million in the 2028 presidential election to back aligned candidates.

“We’re being clear early on … if you want to win in Iowa and South Carolina and to be the GOP nominee and become president, you have to have a bold and clear position on abortion and commitment to life,” said Kelsey Pritchard, spokeswoman for SBA Pro-Life.

Meanwhile, a coalition of groups launched an initiative earlier this year aimed at challenging the legal foundations of same-sex marriage and preventing gay and lesbian couples from adopting children. It’s a topic that has largely faded away from Republican campaigns since the Supreme Court legalized same-sex marriage nationwide in 2015 — and one Trump removed from the party platform entirely when he won the nomination in 2024.

Other conservatives are pressing into new territory. A growing number of Republican officials have called for new restrictions on surrogacy, a move that could further limit family-building options for LGBTQ+ couples. Republican House members introduced legislation targeting commercial surrogacy, while Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier recently described the practice as “modern day slavery” and said it “must be stopped.”

Steve Deace, a conservative talk show host, said Trump occupies a uniquely dominant place in Republican politics that allowed him to sideline issues important to many Evangelical activists without suffering political consequences.

“We’re never going to have a personality like Trump again — that combination of brand and political power will never rest in the hands of one figure ever again,” Deace said. “And some of the ideological skirmishes that Trump has kept at bay will come to the forefront as soon as 2028.”

Terry Schilling, the president of American Principles Project, an organization that has encouraged Republicans to engage in culture wars, believes Republicans will enter those debates from a stronger political position than they have in recent decades.

Take support for same-sex marriage, which rose steadily from 1996 to 2022 when it peaked at 71 percent of adults, according to Gallup. But it has dipped each of the past three years.

Gallup also found declining moral acceptance in a handful of other markers it has long tracked, like having a child out of wedlock. Birth control, while still overwhelmingly popular, is at its lowest point since Gallup started asking about it 15 years ago.

Trump’s late-campaign focus on transgender issues in 2024 offered Republicans a roadmap, Schilling said, showing that cultural issues could motivate persuadable voters.

“The Republican Party is going to have to figure out how to play offense on all of these issues,” said Schilling. “If you’re not figuring out how to go on offense, you’re either being lazy or boring.”

Inside the Faith and Freedom Coalition’s annual Road to Majority conference, though, there was little indication that activists were eager to pressure Trump himself – or force him to re-engage on a topic he has all but made off-limits leading up to the midterms.

Introducing Trump, Faith and Freedom Founder and Chairman Ralph Reed praised Trump for shaping “the most conservative Supreme Court in over a century” but didn’t mention the court’s decision overturning Roe v. Wade. Trump, who promised the same audience a decade ago he would “uphold the sanctity and dignity of life” — likewise made no mention of abortion.

Marcus Kindley of Guilford County, North Carolina, told CNN at the event that conservatives should work on persuasion.

“What we should do is stand up for our beliefs, our religious beliefs, but I think that forcing it down people’s throat is not going to work,” he said. “They need to have a change in heart.”

Pam Chester, who traveled to the event from Jackson, Georgia, said Trump had a full plate, from foreign conflicts to his domestic agenda, and she was comfortable leaving abortion policy to the states.

Still, she said Republicans should not allow the movement’s traditional priorities to fade.

“We still cannot take our finger off those issues because they could easily be reversed or undermined if we take our eyes completely off those issues,” she said.

The first signs of those future debates are emerging.

During a recent interview with conservative podcast host Allie Beth Stuckey, Vice President JD Vance was pressed on why the administration had not moved to restrict abortion medication sent through the mail. Vance responded that the issue remains under review by the Food and Drug Administration, while cautioning conservatives against moving faster than public opinion.

“We have to be pragmatic,” Vance said. “We have to win the argument and then we can save the lives of many unborn kids.”

That kind of approach may not appease younger generations of conservatives, who Deace said are “far more militant” on social issues than their parents. He predicted their zealous energy around social issues would significantly shape Republican primaries that follow Trump.

“If you thought Trump was too radical for you, if you thought he was too confrontational for you on cultural issues, you ain’t seen nothing yet,” Deace said.

CNN’s Katie Doran contributed to this report.

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注