曼达尼在纽约上演帽子戏法,特朗普在南卡罗来纳州押注摇摆不定,以及周二初选的其他关键结论


2026-06-24T04:10:05.328Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

纽约市市长佐赫兰·曼达尼周二取得完胜,由这位民主社会主义者市长支持的国会候选人赢得三场众议院初选——期间击败了两名现任民主党议员。

曼达尼展现的影响力是即将到来的意识形态斗争的最新预演,在11月中期选举中力争拿下国会控制权的民主党人,同时也在为2028年总统大选布局。

在第13国会选区,民主社会主义者达里亚利扎·阿维拉·谢瓦利尔击败了国会西班牙裔核心小组主席阿德里亚诺·埃斯帕利尔。和纽约州其他选区的竞选一样,此次选举的核心议题很大程度上围绕美国与以色列的关系展开。

另一位民主社会主义者、州议员克莱尔·巴尔德斯在第7选区接替即将卸任的议员妮迪亚·贝拉兹克斯的竞选中,击败了布鲁克林区长安东尼奥·雷亚索。

而在第10选区,曼达尼的盟友、前纽约市审计长布拉德·兰德击败了现任议员丹·戈德曼。

曼达尼在周二晚间与三位候选人一同庆祝,并在兰德的竞选集会上对人群表示,这位自己去年市长选举时的对手“带来的政治愿景,远超我们长久以来所见的一切”。

当日 primaries 日程密集,唐纳德·特朗普总统对南卡罗来纳州共和党选民的影响力被证明有限,马里兰州和犹他州选民也完成了投票。

以下是周二初选的关键结论:

曼达尼支持的纽约市进步派的胜利,发生在民主党动荡的时刻,这场动荡远超纽约五 boroughs 的范围。

在选民选举曼达尼和另一位民主社会主义者、西雅图的凯蒂·威尔逊一年后,美国另外两座大城市也可能选出类似的领导人。本月早些时候,贾尼丝·刘易斯·乔治赢得了华盛顿特区民主党市长初选,在这个压倒性支持民主党的城市里,她几乎锁定了11月的大选胜局。在洛杉矶,另一位民主社会主义者市议员妮提亚·拉曼进入了与现任市长凯伦·巴斯的对决——凯伦·巴斯是加州民主党建制派的长期代表人物。

这些选举结果以及其他动向反映出,民主党选民既强烈反对特朗普,也对本党的领导层感到不满,并寻求变革。

在华盛顿乃至全美各地,这一局面让民主党官员们纷纷试图弄清现状及其对政党未来的意义。与此同时,共和党人试图将进步派在蓝色重镇提出的最具争议的立场,转化为攻击摇摆州和选区温和派民主党人的竞选素材。

宾夕法尼亚州参议员约翰·费特曼周二对CNN表示:“左翼‘混蛋’正在崛起。”新泽西州参议员科里·布克则更为委婉,他告诉CNN的凯特兰·柯林斯:“我们的政党并非单一阵营。”

“民主党之所以伟大,原因之一在于它是一个大帐篷政党。我们需要保持这一点,”布克说道。

如果民主党在11月的中期选举中拿下众议院、参议院或两院多数席位,今年的动荡可能会对冬季民主党党团会议的领导层选举产生影响,推动党团进一步左倾。

众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯曾支持纽约州的现任民主党议员,他周二表示,自己和曼达尼在这些选举中“明确保留不同意见”。阿维拉·谢瓦利尔竞选集会上的人群在看到杰弗里斯出现在电视屏幕上时发出了嘘声。

但民主党初选的竞争结果并非都体现了向左翼的意识形态转向。

在纽约第12选区——这个曼哈顿选区拥有全美最古老、最富裕的选民群体之一——选民选择了获得建制派广泛支持的州议员迈卡·拉舍,而非另一位州议员、进步派宠儿亚历克斯·博雷斯,后者曾推动监管人工智能。试图将自己定位为党内变革力量的杰克·施洛斯堡以悬殊差距位列第三——选民在寻求新领导层的过程中,拒绝了复活其祖父的“卡米洛特神话”。

在民主党最有望翻转席位的犹他州,在重新划分后的第1选区初选中,选民选择了温和派前议员本·麦克亚当斯,击败了几位立场比他更左翼的竞争对手。

在全州范围的选举中,爱荷华州民主党参议员初选本月早些时候选择了以 electability 为竞选核心的温和派候选人、州议员乔希·图雷克,而非进步派州参议员扎克·瓦尔茨。

所有这些都为2028年民主党总统初选埋下了伏笔,中期选举后该初选将迅速升温。有意成为民主党下一任旗手的候选人,必须应对这样一个民主党选民群体:他们不仅渴望击败共和党,还表现出重塑本党的迫切意愿。

纽约州的选举凸显了民主党选民对美国支持以色列的态度快速转变——身为犹太人的兰德周二晚间就此发声。

“民主党在美以与巴以关系的分歧上痛苦分裂,我们必须直面这一问题,”兰德说道,他将前总统乔·拜登对以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的政策称为“灾难性失败”。

以色列问题是所有纽约州竞选的核心议题。阿维拉·谢瓦利尔尽管因在哈马斯2023年10月7日袭击次日出席亲巴勒斯坦集会而受到审查,但仍赢得了选举。戈德曼称,一家布鲁克林咖啡店在社交媒体上 viral 发帖吹嘘其咖啡“尝起来不像种族灭绝果汁”,并明显将他列入禁令,这是“可悲的事态”。

兰德的言论凸显了一条断层线,这很可能在2028年总统初选中发挥重要作用。他谴责以色列在加沙的军事行动及其对巴勒斯坦人的待遇,同时反思需要包容与理解。他还呼吁区分反犹太主义和对以色列政府的批评,因为围绕这一议题的辩论持续搅动着民主党政坛。

“你可以批评以色列,同时并非反犹太主义者。你可以是反犹太复国主义者,同时并非反犹太主义者。许多犹太人都是如此,许多非犹太人也是如此,”他说道。

他的胜利正值本届初选季,美国以色列公共事务委员会及其盟友的巨额开支在众多众议院竞选中占据显著位置。兰德呼吁民主党“远离由加密货币、华尔街、人工智能和美国以色列公共事务委员会资助的政治行动委员会”。

但兰德也警告民主党要警惕日益抬头的反犹太主义。

“但太多时候,人们开始将‘犹太复国主义者’用作针对犹太人的 slur。反犹太主义与法西斯主义和战争一同抬头——而我们如今正身处这两者之中。进步派必须站出来反对这一点,而非视而不见,”他说道。

特朗普在南卡罗来纳州州长共和党初选 runoff 中理论上选出了一位赢家。但州检察长艾伦·威尔逊的胜利显然是特朗普的又一次挫折。

我们究竟在讨论什么?

特朗普最初在本月早些时候的首轮初选前支持副州长帕姆·埃维特。埃维特以第一名收尾,但优势并不明显,随后与威尔逊进入决胜轮。特朗普最终在周五对两位候选人同时背书。

威尔逊周二以压倒性优势获胜,这清楚地表明了其中缘由:威尔逊本就即将胜出,特朗普只是不想支持失败者。(也就是说,在两人决胜轮中同时背书,确保了他会支持这场选举中的赢家和输家)。

但这无法改变一个事实:特朗普的背书显然对埃维特没有多少帮助。这位总统选定的候选人即将成为过去三周内第三位在党内初选中失利的特朗普背书的州长候选人。

(前两位分别是爱荷华州众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉和佐治亚州副州长伯特·琼斯。)

这三次失利追平了2022年创下的特朗普背书州长候选人在初选中落败的纪录,而且距离选举还有几个月的时间。

在路易斯安那州参议员比尔·卡西迪、德克萨斯州参议员约翰·科尼恩和肯塔基州众议员托马斯·马西等备受关注的初选中,共和党选民显然仍在追随特朗普的指引。但随着他的支持率创下新低,他们正前所未有地在其他选举中拒绝他的背书。

特朗普试图掩饰这一事实的做法不应掩盖这一点。

(不过特朗普在一场国会初选中取得了重大胜利,由他背书的商人安东尼·康斯坦丁诺在纽约上州击败了州共和党选定的候选人罗伯特·斯马伦。)

民主党可能比以往任何时候都更反特朗普,但他们似乎并不特别热衷于选举特朗普抵抗运动中的知名人物。

乔治·康威——反特朗普人士、2016年特朗普竞选团队经理凯莉安·康威的前夫——在纽约第12选区拥挤的初选中排名靠后。

领导追究2021年1月6日国会山骚乱者责任的前美国国会警察哈里·邓恩,在马里兰州争夺即将退休的众议员斯坦尼·霍耶席位的民主党初选中失利,周二晚间以悬殊差距位列第三。

戈德曼也一定程度上符合这一模式。尽管他是现任国会议员,但他强调了自己在2019年特朗普第一次弹劾案中担任首席法律顾问的经历,并承诺如果民主党掌控众议院,将再次追究特朗普的责任。

不过周二也有一个符合这一类别的成功案例。那就是南希·拉科尔,这位曾被国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯去年解职的前三星上将,赢得了南卡罗来纳州国会初选决胜轮。

但拉科尔并非知名的全国性人物。这类候选人大多还是会失利。

前佐治亚州副州长、共和党人杰夫·邓肯上个月以民主党身份参选州长,最终得票率个位数。佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯珀格在共和党阵营中的表现也好不到哪里去。前司法部律师瑞安·克罗斯韦尔因抗议司法部去年对前纽约市市长埃里克·亚当斯的起诉存在政治化处理而辞职,在宾夕法尼亚州民主党国会初选中位列第二。

乌克兰举报人亚历山大·温德曼仍在佛罗里达州民主党参议员初选中参选。

他的兄弟尤金是罕见的抵抗运动成功案例,2024年当选弗吉尼亚州国会议员。

Mamdani’s hat trick in New York, Trump’s hedged bet in South Carolina, and other takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries

2026-06-24T04:10:05.328Z / CNN

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani saw a clean sweep Tuesday, with House candidates backed by the democratic socialist mayor winning three congressional primaries — ousting two incumbent Democrats in the process.

Mamdani’s show of force were the latest preview of the ideological battles to come, as Democrats vying to win control on Capitol Hill in November’s midterm elections also look ahead to the 2028 presidential race.

In the 13th District, democratic socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier defeated Rep. Adriano Espaillat, the chairman of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, in a race that – like the other New York contests – focused largely on the United States’ relationship with Israel.

Another democratic socialist, Assemblywoman Claire Valdez, defeated Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso in the race to replace outgoing Rep. Nydia Velázquez in the 7th District.

And in the 10th District, Mamdani ally and former city comptroller Brad Lander defeated Rep. Dan Goldman.

Mamdani celebrated Tuesday night with all three candidates, telling the crowd at Lander’s party that his one-time rival in last year’s mayoral race “brings a vision of politics that is more than what we’ve seen for so long.”

It comes on a busy day of primaries in which President Donald Trump’s influence with South Carolina Republican voters proved limited, and Maryland and Utah voters cast their ballots.

Here are key takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries:

The victories by Mamdani-backed New York City progressives come in a moment of upheaval in the Democratic Party that stretches far beyond the five boroughs.

The year after voters elected Mamdani and another democratic socialist, Seattle’s Katie Wilson, two more of the country’s largest cities could choose similar leaders. Janeese Lewis George won the Democratic mayoral primary in Washington, DC, earlier this month, all but assuring she will win November’s general election in the overwhelmingly blue city. In Los Angeles, another democratic socialist city councilwoman, Nithya Raman, advanced to a head-to-head race against incumbent Mayor Karen Bass — a longtime figure of California’s Democratic establishment.

Those outcomes and more reflect a Democratic electorate that remains deeply opposed to Trump — but that is dissatisfied with its own party’s leadership, as well, and looking for change.

In Washington and beyond, it’s left Democratic officials scrambling to figure out what’s happening and what it means for the party’s future. Meanwhile, Republicans look to parlay the most controversial positions taken by progressives in blue strongholds into campaign fodder against more moderate Democrats in battleground states and districts.

Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman told CNN on Tuesday that “the dirtbag left is surging.” New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker was more diplomatic, telling CNN’s Kaitlan Collins that “our party’s not homogenous.”

“One of the things that make the Democratic Party great is it’s a big tent party. We need to stay that way,” Booker said.

If Democrats win majorities in the House, the Senate or both in November’s midterm elections, this year’s upheaval could have ramifications for leadership races over the winter in caucuses shifting to the left.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who supported the Democratic incumbents in New York, said Tuesday that he and Mamdani had “agreed to strongly disagree” on those races. The crowd at Avila Chevalier’s party Tuesday night booed Jeffries when he appeared on television.

But the outcomes of competitive Democratic primaries don’t all reflect an ideological shift to the left.

In New York’s 12th District – a Manhattan seat covering one of the nation’s oldest and wealthiest electorates – voters opted for Micah Lasher, a state assemblyman with broad establishment backing, over another state assemblyman, progressive favorite Alex Bores, who has pushed to regulate artificial intelligence. Jack Schlossberg, who tried to position himself as a force for change in the party, finished a distant third — with voters rejecting the resurrection of his grandfather’s Camelot in their search for new leadership.

And in Democrats’ best shot at flipping a seat in Utah, voters backed moderate former Rep. Ben McAdams on Tuesday over several rivals running to his left in the newly redrawn 1st District.

At the statewide level, Democratic voters in a US Senate primary in Iowa earlier this month chose the more moderate candidate who made electability a centerpiece of his campaign, state Rep. Josh Turek, over progressive state Sen. Zach Wahls.

It all sets the stage for a 2028 Democratic presidential primary that will accelerate rapidly after the midterm elections. Candidates seeking to become the party’s next standard-bearer will have to navigate a Democratic electorate that isn’t just hungry for victory against Republicans, but has shown an eagerness to remake its own party.

The New York races underscored the rapid shift in how Democratic voters feel about the United States’ support for Israel – an issue Lander, who is Jewish himself, gave voice to Tuesday night.

“Democrats are painfully divided by our differences over the US relationship to Israel and Palestine, and we have to face up to it squarely,” Lander said, calling former President Joe Biden’s policy toward Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “a catastrophic failure.”

Israel was central to all of the New York races. Avila Chevalier won despite drawing scrutiny over her attendance at a pro-Palestinian rally the day after Hamas’ October 7, 2023, attacks. Goldman said it was a “sad state of affairs” that a Brooklyn coffee shop apparently banned him with a viral social media post in which the shop bragged its coffee “doesn’t taste like genocide juice.”

Lander’s comments highlighted a fault line that’s likely to play a significant role in the 2028 presidential primary. He condemned Israel’s military conduct in Gaza and its treatment of Palestinians, while reflecting on the need for tolerance and understanding. He also called for a distinction between antisemitism and the criticism of Israel’s government, as debates over the subject continue to roil Democratic politics.

“You can criticize Israel and not be antisemitic. You can be an anti-Zionist and not be antisemitic. Many Jews are, and many non-Jews also,” he said.

His win Tuesday came in a primary season in which a deluge of spending by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee and its allies have featured prominently in many House contests. Lander urged the Democratic Party to “walk away from PACs funded by crypto, Wall Street, AI and AIPAC.”

But Lander also warned his party to stay vigilant against rising antisemitism.

“Too often, though, people have started using Zionist as a slur for Jews,” he said. “And antisemitism, it rises with fascism and with war — and we’re amidst both right now. Progressives need to be the people who are standing against this, not looking away from it.”

Trump technically picked a winner in the GOP primary runoff for South Carolina governor. But state Attorney General Alan Wilson’s victory is clearly another setback for Trump.

What are we talking about?

Well, Trump initially endorsed Lt. Gov. Pam Evette ahead of the first round of the primary earlier this month. Evette finished first but not resoundingly so, and she faced a runoff with Wilson. Trump ultimately issued a dual endorsement of both candidates on Friday.

Tuesday’s landslide win for Wilson makes pretty clear what this was about: Wilson was about to win, and Trump wanted to avoid backing a loser. (That said, the dual endorsement in a two- person runoff guaranteed that he would back both a winner and a loser in the race).

And it doesn’t change the fact that Trump’s endorsement clearly didn’t do Evette much good. The president picked a candidate, and she was about to become the third Trump-endorsed gubernatorial candidate to lose her party’s nomination in just the last three weeks.

(The previous two were Iowa Rep. Randy Feenstra and Georgia Lt. Gov. Burt Jones.)

The three losses tie the record for primary defeats by Trump-backed candidates for governor, set in 2022. And there are still a few months to go.

Republican voters are clearly taking their cues from Trump in high-profile primaries like those involving Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy, Texas Sen. John Cornyn and Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie. But with his popularity hitting new lows, they’re snubbing his endorsement like they rarely have before in other races.

And Trump’s effort to cover his backside shouldn’t obscure that fact.

(Though Trump did notch a significant win in a congressional primary, with Trump-backed businessman Anthony Constantino’s win over Robert Smullen, the state GOP’s pick, in upstate New York.)

Democrats might be more anti-Trump than ever. But they don’t seem especially keen on electing prominent figures from the Trump resistance.

George Conway, the anti-Trump former husband of Trump 2016 campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, finished far down in the crowded primary in New York’s 12th.

Former US Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, who led the charge to hold January 6, 2021, rioters accountable, lost the Democratic primary for retiring Rep. Steny Hoyer’s seat in Maryland, trailing Tuesday night in a distant third.

And Goldman also fit the pattern somewhat. While he is an incumbent congressman, he played up his role as lead counsel during Trump’s first impeachment in 2019, vowing to hold Trump accountable again if Democrats take the House.

There was one success story that kind of fits in this category on Tuesday, though. That would be Nancy Lacore, the former three-star admiral who was among those purged by Defense Secretary Pete Hegsth last year. She won a congressional primary runoff in South Carolina.

But Lacore isn’t a widely known national figure. And mostly these kinds of candidates are losing.

Former Republican Georgia Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan finished in the single digits last month after running for governor as a Democrat. Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger did little better on the Republican side. And former Justice Department attorney Ryan Crosswell, who resigned in protest of the department’s politicized handling of former New York Mayor Eric Adams’ indictment last year, finished second in a Democratic congressional primary in Pennsylvania.

Ukraine whistleblower Alexander Vindman is still running in the Democratic primary for US Senate in Florida.

His brother, Eugene, is the rare resistance success story, elected to Congress in Virginia in 2024.

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