特朗普的伊朗协议未能实现诸多目标


2026-06-18T16:01:59.228Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

  • 唐纳德·特朗普总统已大幅缩减或搁置了几乎所有他针对伊朗战争提出的重大目标。
  • 例如,特朗普最初曾誓言要摧毁伊朗的导弹项目。但在周三,他暗示伊朗将被允许保留部分导弹。
  • 这份谅解备忘录向伊朗做出了大量让步,却似乎几乎未能实现特朗普最初的诸多目标。

本文由AI生成摘要,并经CNN编辑审核。

2月28日伊朗战争爆发时,唐纳德·特朗普总统宣称美国军方将“摧毁他们的导弹,将伊朗的导弹工业夷为平地”。

“这将被彻底、再次彻底摧毁,”特朗普在一段视频中宣称。

在随后的几天里,他的政府将摧毁伊朗的导弹项目列为这场战争的首要目标,理由是他们称伊朗导弹对美国在该地区的基地和盟友构成了威胁。

但如今特朗普与伊朗达成了初步协议,他的态度却发生了极大转变。周三在法国七国集团峰会结束后的新闻发布会上,特朗普表示伊朗被允许保留部分导弹才公平。

“他们必须拥有一些,因为其他国家也有,”特朗普说道。他还补充称“导弹不是问题”,因为“它们不会炸掉整个地球”。

总统随后再次强调:“相对而言,我认为这没问题。”

这是特朗普在这场战争中曾公开的最大目标之一上做出的显著转变。而这并非唯一的立场反转。

显然是急于达成协议结束战争,特朗普已大幅缩减、搁置或放弃了几乎所有他提出的重大目标。

特朗普的目标向来飘忽不定。他的政府曾常列出四项目标,但这四项目标时常变化,取决于讲话者和时间。而且在想要达成何种目标上,特朗普本人似乎也并无明确的核心方向。

以下是他设定的部分重大目标,以及根据他最新表态和与伊朗达成的14点谅解备忘录(MOU)的最新进展,该备忘录对德黑兰做出的让步远多于对等让步。

目标:“我们将摧毁他们的导弹,将伊朗的导弹工业夷为平地。这将被彻底、再次彻底摧毁。”——特朗普,2月28日

最新进展:到3月底,该目标已缩减为“大幅削减”伊朗的导弹项目。

如今,谅解备忘录甚至根本未提及导弹——伊朗曾将导弹问题列为谈判红线。而特朗普周三也暗示伊朗将被允许保留部分导弹。

目标:“除非伊朗无条件投降,否则美国不会与其达成任何协议!”——特朗普,3月6日社交媒体发文

最新进展:不久后,特朗普似乎放弃了这一目标,转而推动谈判。如今已达成的初步协议向伊朗做出了大量让步——包括许多右翼人士在内的众多人士认为,这更像是美国向伊朗投降,而非伊朗投降。

目标:“当我们结束行动时,你们的政府将由我们接管”;“这片土地将归我们所有”;“这是行动的时刻。不要错失良机。”——特朗普,2月28日

最新进展:当伊朗民众并未响应特朗普的号召时,这一目标很快便不了了之。总统偶尔会坚称,战争中伊朗领导人被击毙一事就是某种形式的政权更迭,但新任最高领袖是前最高领袖的儿子。而特朗普周三声称:“我发动这场战争并非为了政权更迭。”

目标:“我们将确保伊朗不会获得核武器。这是一个非常简单的信息:他们永远不会拥有核武器。”——特朗普,2月28日

最新进展:这一点仍未确定。谅解备忘录宣称伊朗“重申其不会获取或研发核武器”。但德黑兰方面始终坚称本国并未寻求研发核武器。而且目前几乎没有迹象表明,双方可能达成何种条款,以真正永久消除这一威胁。

目标:“伊朗绝不能进行铀浓缩”——特朗普,4月8日社交媒体发文。“我们不允许任何铀浓缩活动”——特朗普,3月23日

最新进展:与导弹相关的目标类似,特朗普似乎也在这一问题上退让了。他暗示伊朗将被允许为民用目的进行铀浓缩。“当其他国家、其他邻国都拥有铀浓缩能力,却不让伊朗为电力等类似用途进行时,这有点说不过去,”他周三说道。“我们得用点常识。”

本月早些时候,他曾告诉《纽约时报》,伊朗可以进行低水平浓缩,但“绝不能用于军事目的”。

目标:“我们还想要那些浓缩铀……我们会亲自去取回来。”——特朗普,3月23日

最新进展:这又是一个未知项,但谅解备忘录似乎并未达到特朗普的目标。备忘录称,双方“同意通过双方商定的机制,解决已储存的浓缩铀的处置问题”。但文件同时表明,这些铀将被“稀释”而非被没收——即“在国际原子能机构的监督下在现场进行稀释”。

周三,特朗普告诉记者,摧毁伊朗的核储备“远不如阻止伊朗拥有核武器重要”。

“这没那么重要,因为要拿到那些东西非常困难,”他说。

目标:“‘史诗怒火’行动的目标极为明确……(包括)摧毁他们的海军和其他安全基础设施”——美国国防部长皮特·赫格斯,3月2日

最新进展:伊朗海军在战争初期基本被歼灭。不过,伊朗仍保留了控制霍尔木兹海峡的重要不对称作战能力,包括使用无人机、水雷和被称为“快速艇”的小型攻击艇。

阻止伊朗为真主党、哈马斯等代理团体提供资金

目标:“最后,我们将确保伊朗政权无法继续在境外武装、资助和指挥恐怖军队。”——特朗普,3月2日

最新进展:美国政府曾有一段时间基本不再提及这一目标,谅解备忘录中也未包含任何有关伊朗支持真主党、哈马斯或其他代理团体的内容。事实上,该备忘录似乎还让真主党受益,因为它 purportedly 结束了黎巴嫩境内的战斗,而以色列当时正在黎巴嫩打击真主党。特朗普周三表示,在后续谈判中,“我们也会谈到他们拥有的恐怖代理团体问题”。值得一提的是,谅解备忘录立即解除了伊朗的石油销售限制,而美国国务院曾将伊朗的石油销售与该政权资助这些团体联系在一起。

目标:“我们希望航道开放、自由,不收取通行费。这是国际航道。他们不应收取通行费。”——特朗普,3月21日。“永久免通行费”——特朗普周日对《纽约时报》表示

最新进展:谅解备忘录称,伊朗将“尽最大努力”确保“60天内,从波斯湾到阿曼海以及往返的商业船舶安全通行,且不收取费用”。

但这一条款“仅限60天”显然未达到特朗普的目标,至少目前是如此。而伊朗方面也表示打算收取“服务费”。

据半岛电视台报道,伊朗议会发言人、核心谈判代表穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫本周表示:“伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡拥有主权,自然会为相关服务收取费用。”

How Trump’s Iran agreement fails to achieve many of his goals

2026-06-18T16:01:59.228Z / CNN

  • President Donald Trump has scaled back or set aside nearly all of his biggest goals for the war with Iran.
  • Trump, for example, initially vowed to obliterate Iran’s missile program. But on Wednesday, he signaled Iran would be allowed to have some missiles.
  • The memorandum of understanding makes extensive concessions to Iran while seeming to achieve few of Trump’s original objectives.

AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.

When the Iran war began on February 28, President Donald Trump proclaimed that the US military would “destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground.”

“It will be totally, again, obliterated,” Trump declared in a video.

In the days that followed, his administration cast the obliteration of Iran’s missile program as a paramount goal for the war, given the threat that they said it posed to US bases and allies in the region.

But now that Trump has a preliminary agreement with Iran, he’s sounding a very different note. Appearing at a press conference Wednesday at the end of the G7 summit in France, Trump suggested it was only fair that Iran be allowed some missiles.

“They have to have some, because other people have some,” Trump said. He added that “missiles aren’t the problem” because “they don’t blow up the planet.”

The president doubled down later, saying: “In relative proportion, I think it’s OK.”

It was a remarkable about-face from Trump on what had been one of his biggest stated goals for the war. And it was far from the only reversal.

In his apparent desperation to cut a deal to get out of the war, Trump has scaled back, set aside or abandoned nearly all of his biggest goals.

Trump’s goals have long been a moving target. His administration often listed four goals, but those four goal regularly varied, depending on who was talking and when. And Trump often didn’t seem to have a true north star when it came to what he wanted to accomplish.

Here are some of the biggest goals he set and where they stand, according to his latest comments and the 14-point memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Iran, which includes significantly more concessions to Tehran than vice versa.

The goal:“We’re going to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground. It will be totally, again, obliterated.” – Trump on February 28_

The latest: By late March, the goal was scaled back to “dramatically reduce” Iran’s missile program.

Today, the MOU doesn’t even mention missiles, which Iran declared to be a red line in negotiations. And Trump signaled Wednesday that Iran would be allowed to have some.

The goal:“There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!” – Trump on social media on March 6_

The latest: Soon after, Trump appeared to give up on this goal by pushing for negotiations. Now there is an initial agreement that makes extensive concessions to Iran — and many, including on the right, say it’s more of a US surrender than an Iranian one.

The goal:“When we’re finished, take over your government”; “It’ll be yours to take”; “This is the moment for action. Do not let it pass.” – Trump on February 28_

The latest: This goal also quickly subsided, when it became clear the Iranian people were not taking Trump’s cue. The president has occasionally insisted that the fact that Iranian leaders were killed in the war represents a form of regime change, but the new supreme leader is the former supreme leader’s son. And Trump claimed Wednesday, “I didn’t do this for regime change.”

The goal:“We will ensure that Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon. It’s a very simple message: They will never have a nuclear weapon.” – Trump on February 28_

The latest:This one is very much to be determined. The MOU declares that Iran “reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons.” But Tehran has always maintained it is not pursuing them. And there is very little indication about what kind of terms might be agreed to that would truly stamp out the threat forevermore.

The goal:“There will be no enrichment of Uranium” – Trump on social media on April 8_. “We want no enrichment” – Trump_ on March 23_

The latest: Very similarly to the missile-related goal, Trump has also seemed to back off this. He has indicated Iran would be allowed to enrich uranium for civilian purposes. “It’s a little hard when other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for purposes of electricity and things like that,” he said Wednesday. “You have to use a little common sense.”

He had told the New York Times earlier this month that Iran could enrich at low levels but that it “could never be used by the military.”

The goal:“We also want the enriched uranium. … We’re going down, and we’ll take it ourselves.” – Trump on March 23_

The latest: This is another unknown, but the MOU appears to come up shy of Trump’s goal. The MOU says that the two sides “agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpiled enriched material pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon.” But it also indicates the uranium will be “down blended” rather than seized — i.e. “be down blended on site under the supervision of the” International Atomic Energy Agency.

And on Wednesday, Trump told reporters that destroying Iran’s nuclear stockpile is “much less important” than preventing Iran from having a nuclear weapon.

“It’s much less important, because it’s very hard to get at that,” he said.

The goal:“The mission of Operation Epic Fury is laser-focused … (including) destroy their navy and other security infrastructure” – Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on March 2

The latest: Iran’s Navy was largely wiped out in the war’s early days. Iran does, however, retain significant asymmetric capabilities to control the Strait of Hormuz, including via drones, mines and small attack boats known as “fast boats.”

Preventing funding of proxy groups like Hezbollah and Hamas

The goal:“And finally, we’re ensuring that the Iranian regime cannot continue to arm, fund and direct terrorist armies outside of their borders.” – Trump on March 2_

The latest:The administration largely stopped talking about this for a while, and the MOU contains no language about Iran’s support for Hezbollah, Hamas or other proxy groups. In fact, the MOU appears to benefit Hezbollah by purporting to end fighting in Lebanon, where Israel is striking Hezbollah. Trump said Wednesday that in further negotiations, “we’ll talk also about the terrorist proxies that they have.” It’s also worth noting that the MOU immediately frees up Iran to sell oil, which Trump’s State Department has linked to Iran’s financing of these groups.

The goal:“We want it open. We want it free. We don’t want tolls. It’s an international waterway. They’re not charging tolls.” – Trump on March 21_. “Permanently toll-free” – Trump_ to the New York Times on Sunday_

The latest: The MOU says Iran will use “its best efforts” to ensure “the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge, for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa.”

But that clause “for 60 days only” clearly comes up shy of Trump’s goal, at least for now. And Iran is signaling it intends to charge “fees.”

“Iran has sovereign rights in the Strait of Hormuz, and naturally, we will charge for the services,” Iran’s parliament speaker and key negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said this week, according to Al Jazeera.

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