2026-06-14T10:10:00.516Z / 路透社
摘要
对特朗普的农村 disapproval（不认可度）上升，背后是民众对生活成本和经济的担忧
民调显示，仅有31%的农村受访者认可特朗普对经济问题的处理方式
农民面临更高的燃油、化肥成本和低迷的农产品价格，这正在影响农村地区的支持率
华盛顿6月14日路透电 —— 布莱恩·劳奇在蒙大拿州农村史蒂文斯维尔的家到医生诊所的30英里（50公里）车程，让他切实感受到了油价上涨带来的压力。他还注意到食品价格上涨，而且作为一名空军退伍军人，他认为美国对以色列针对伊朗的战争毫无道理。
这些都是这位42岁男子越来越不认可总统唐纳德·特朗普执政表现的部分原因，他曾在过去三届总统选举中都投票给特朗普，这让他成为越来越多对华盛顿特朗普领导感到失望的美国农村民众中的一员。
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根据6月3日至8日进行的路透社/益普索民调，特朗普在农村美国人中的支持率在6月降至50%的新低。这一数据对比2025年2月特朗普就职后不久的60%支持率。
这项针对全美4531名成年人的民调显示，农村地区对特朗普执政表现的不认可度从2025年2月的34%升至48%。该民调通过线上开展，农村地区受访者的误差幅度为3个百分点，全美整体受访者的误差幅度为2个百分点。
这个曾在特朗普总统竞选期间坚定支持他的选民群体出现不满情绪，这一情况值得关注，或将对特朗普所在的共和党在11月的中期选举产生影响，届时共和党将捍卫其在美国国会中微弱的多数席位优势。
根据皮尤研究中心的出口民调分析，特朗普在2024年大选中以40个百分点的优势赢得农村选民支持，高于2020年的31个百分点和2016年的25个百分点。
高油价带来压力
路透社/益普索的最新民调显示，特朗普的整体支持率为35%，也接近其政治生涯最低水平，多数美国人担忧伊朗战争推高油价并持续上涨。
62岁的布莱恩·谢弗是密西西比州哈蒂斯堡的一名保险代理人，他在2024年大选中投票给特朗普，但表示自己对持续高企的食品价格感到沮丧。
谢弗称自己长期支持共和党政客，曾在密西西比州参议员罗杰·威克担任众议员时为其工作，现在他担心高物价将让共和党在中期选举中受损。
“我有种预感，11月我们会陷入大麻烦，”他说。
生活成本问题
民调数据显示，农村支持率下滑的核心原因是民众不认可特朗普对生活成本和美国经济的管理。
仅有31%的农村受访者表示认可特朗普对这些问题的处理方式，61%的人表示不认可。2025年2月，约45%的农村受访者认可特朗普对生活成本问题的处理，43%的人表示不认可。
劳奇在一家帮助退伍军人适应平民生活的非营利机构工作，他表示自2016年特朗普首次竞选总统以来，自己一直支持他。但他表示，特朗普本届任期内愈发反复无常的行为可能会疏远贸易伙伴，进一步推高美国民众的日常开支。
他还对蒙大拿州数据中心的快速扩张感到担忧，这可能会影响水资源供应。
“我们在人工智能领域陷入了更激烈的水资源争夺，大家的食品杂货支出和汽油支出都在增加，”劳奇说。“我的日常生活受到了负面影响，却没看到这些所谓的其他好处。”
根据联邦数据，美国农村民众的日均驾车里程比城市居民更多，因此受高油价的影响也更大。
美国交通部国家家庭出行调查2022年的最新数据显示，农村居民日均驾车里程平均为30英里，而城市居民为17英里（27公里）。
影响美国农村地区的其他因素还包括农民迎来艰难一年：伊朗战争加剧了化肥成本上涨，农产品价格低迷，以及特朗普发起的贸易战导致出口受限。
美国多个州的柴油价格也创下历史新高，不仅威胁到农民的微薄利润，还让渔民宁愿将船停泊在码头，也不愿花费数万美元额外采购燃料。
莉亚·道格拉斯和杰森·兰格华盛顿报道；斯科特·马龙和迪帕·巴宾顿编辑
Trump’s support in rural America slips as fuel and food prices climb, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
2026-06-14T10:10:00.516Z / Reuters
Summary
Rural disapproval of Trump rises, driven by concerns over cost of living and economy
Poll shows only 31% of rural respondents approve Trump’s handling of economic issues
Farmers face higher fuel, fertilizer costs and low crop prices, impacting rural support
WASHINGTON, June 14 (Reuters) – Brian Rauch has felt the squeeze of higher gas prices on his 30-mile (50-km) drives from his home in rural Stevensville, Montana, to the doctor’s office. He has also noticed food prices going up and, as an Air Force veteran, sees little rationale for the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
These are among the reasons the 42-year-old increasingly disapproves of the performance of President Donald Trump, the man he voted for in the last three presidential elections, putting him among a growing portion of rural Americans disappointed by his leadership in Washington.
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Trump’s approval rating among rural Americans dropped in June to a new low of 50%, according to the June 3-8 Reuters/Ipsos poll. That compares with 60% approval in February 2025 shortly after Trump took office.
Rural disapproval of Trump’s performance meanwhile rose to 48% from 34% in February 2025, according to the poll of 4,531 U.S. adults nationwide. The poll, which was conducted online, had a margin of error of 3 percentage points for people in rural areas and 2 points for Americans overall.
The discontent is notable for a voting bloc that has strongly supported Trump in his presidential campaigns, and could have implications for Trump’s Republican party in November’s midterm elections, where they will defend slim majorities in the U.S. Congress.
Trump won rural voters by 40 points in the 2024 election, up from 31 points in the 2020 election and 25 points in the 2016, according to an exit poll analysis by Pew Research Center.
GAS PRICES WEIGH
Trump’s overall approval rate of 35% is also near the lowest of his political career, as most Americans fear a continued rise in gas prices fueled by the Iran war, the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll showed.
Bryan Shaver, 62, an insurance agent in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, voted for Trump in the 2024 election but said he is frustrated by persistently high food prices.
Shaver, who said he has long supported Republican politicians and once worked for Mississippi Senator Roger Wicker when he was a congressman, is now concerned that high prices will hurt the party in the midterms.
“I have a feeling we’re going to be in big trouble in November,” he said.
COST OF LIVING
Driving the decline in rural support is disapproval of Trump’s stewardship over the cost of living and the U.S. economy, the polling data showed.
Just 31% of rural respondents said they approve of Trump’s handling of those issues, while 61% disapproved. In February 2025, about 45% of rural respondents approved of Trump’s handling of cost of living issues, and 43% disapproved.
Rauch, who works at a non-profit that helps military veterans adjust to civilian life, said he backed Trump consistently since his first run for the White House in 2016. But he said that Trump’s more erratic behavior this term risks alienating trading partners and further driving up everyday costs for Americans.
He is also concerned about the rapid expansion of data centers in Montana that could compromise water access.
“We’re in bigger water fights with AI, we’re all paying more for groceries and we’re all paying more for gas,” Rauch said. “My day to day is negatively impacted and I haven’t seen these other benefits.”
Rural Americans may be more exposed to higher gas prices because they drive more on average than urban Americans, according to federal data.
Those living in rural places travel an average of 30 miles daily in a vehicle, compared to 17 miles (27 km) for urban residents, according to 2022 data from the Department of Transportation’s National Household Travel Survey, the most recent available.
Other factors affecting rural America include a difficult year for farmers, saddled by rising fertilizer costs aggravated by the Iran war, low crop prices, and curbed exports due to Trump’s trade war.
Diesel prices in several states have also hit all-time highs, threatening slim margins for farmers as well as fishermen opting to keep their boats docked rather than spend tens of thousands more on fuel.
Reporting by Leah Douglas and Jason Lange in Washington; editing by Scott Malone and Deepa Babington
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