2026年6月2日 / 美国东部时间晚上9:48 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻（CBS News）
作者：凯亚·哈伯德（Kaia Hubbard）
凯亚·哈伯德是哥伦比亚广播公司新闻数字部驻华盛顿特区的政治记者。
华盛顿——哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预估，共和党联邦众议员阿什利·辛森与民主党州众议员乔希·图雷克已于周二晚间赢得各自党派的联邦参议院席位初选，将在11月的大选中对决。
辛森与图雷克将角逐接替共和党参议员乔尼·恩斯特的席位，后者已宣布不寻求连任。共和党方面迅速团结在辛森身后，她自2021年起代表爱荷华州出任联邦众议员，并获得前总统特朗普的背书，因此在初选前就已是事实上的共和党候选人。现年42岁的辛森周二预估击败了前州参议员吉姆·卡林。
民主党方面，47岁的州众议员、前轮椅篮球残奥会选手图雷克预估击败了州参议员扎克·瓦尔兹。
图雷克以跨党派合作的政绩作为竞选纲领，并宣扬自己曾代表爱荷华州最保守的选区当选州议员，以此证明自己能为民主党拿下该州联邦参议院席位。初选前，他获得了包括内华达州参议员凯瑟琳·科尔特斯·马斯特斯在内的温和派议员，以及加州众议员罗·卡纳等部分进步派议员的背书。他始终将这场竞选定位为在这个倾向共和的州能否成功当选的关键博弈。
爱荷华州自2008年以来就未选出过民主党籍联邦参议员，2024年特朗普在该州以13个百分点的优势获胜，从纸面来看，民主党要拿下这个席位难度极大。但近几个月来，由于民众对生活成本高涨感到不满，民主党对胜选前景愈发乐观。
周二民主党初选的结果，也体现了民主党内部就党派发展方向存在的分歧。
瓦尔兹是州参议员，也是更进步的候选人，获得了参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦等进步派人士以及多个工会的背书。他在19岁时就因倡导同性婚姻而受到关注，曾在州议会作证讲述自己成长于有两位母亲的家庭，之后成为爱荷华州参议院民主党最年轻的领袖。
blob:https://www.cbsnews.com/a9c980f5-b37b-4ba2-bc2b-b8701d6127ea
图雷克将竞选重点放在经济议题上，将自己塑造成最有可能在11月击败辛森的候选人，而瓦尔兹则打出反建制旗号，批评参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默。瓦尔兹多次抨击图雷克，称其受到全国民主党团体的支持，而图雷克获得了“退伍军人投票组织”（VoteVets）近1000万美元的经费支持。
展望大选，民主党能否在这个已被共和党掌控十余年的州翻转参议院席位仍未可知。但民主党方面认为，曾誓言要成为总统在参议院最坚定盟友的辛森，可能会因特朗普政府部分不受欢迎的政策（如关税政策）而在投票中失利。与此同时，民主党人表示，州审计员罗布·桑德在州长竞选中的出色表现，或将助力参议院选举的选情。
参议院领导层基金——美国参议院共和党领先的超级政治行动委员会——已宣布为这场竞选预留2900万美元的广告预算，而民主党参议院多数党政治行动委员会则宣布初始投入1340万美元用于电视广告投放。《库克政治报告》将这场选举评级为“大概率共和党获胜”，同时承认若图雷克成为民主党候选人，该评级有可能调整为更具竞争性。
Iowa Senate race set between Democrat Josh Turek, Republican Ashley Hinson after projected primary wins
June 2, 2026 / 9:48 PM EDT / CBS News
By Kaia Hubbard
Kaia Hubbard is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital, based in Washington, D.C.
Washington —_ GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek will face off in November after winning their primaries for U.S. Senate on Tuesday night, CBS News projects.
Hinson and Turek are vying to replace GOP Sen. Joni Ernst, who opted not to seek reelection. Republicans quickly lined up behind Hinson, who’s represented Iowa in the House since 2021 and is endorsed by President Trump, making her the de facto GOP nominee heading into the primary. Hinson, 42, was projected to defeat former state Sen. Jim Carlin on Tuesday.
On the Democratic side, Turek, a 47-year-old state representative and former wheelchair basketball Paralympian, is projected to defeat state Sen. Zach Wahls.
Turek has run on his record of working across the aisle and has touted representing the most conservative district in Iowa to send a Democrat to the state legislature. Ahead of the primary, he racked up a number of endorsements from moderates, like Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada, along with some progressive lawmakers like Rep. Ro Khanna of California. And he continuously framed the contest as boiling down to electability in the red-leaning state.
The Hawkeye State hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2008, and President Trump won the state by 13 points in 2024, making the race an uphill battle for the party on paper. But Democrats have been increasingly bullish about their chances in recent months amid frustration with the cost of living.
The outcome of Tuesday’s Democratic primary represents the latest example of the divide among Democrats over the party’s direction.
Wahls, a state senator and the more progressive candidate, had the endorsement of progressives like Sen. Elizabeth Warren and a slew of labor unions. He gained recognition when at 19 he advocated for same-sex marriage, testifying about growing up with two moms before the state legislature, and would go on to become the youngest Iowa Senate Democratic leader.
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While Turek focused his message on the economy and pitched himself as the most likely candidate to defeat Hinson in November, Wahls leaned into an anti-establishment message that included criticism of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. Wahls repeatedly criticized Turek, who received nearly $10 million in spending from VoteVets, for being supported by national Democratic groups.
Looking to the general election, whether a Democrat can flip the Senate seat in a state that’s been a GOP stronghold for more than a decade remains to be seen. But the party is hopeful that Hinson, who’s vowed to be the president’s top ally in the Senate, may struggle at the ballot box amid some unpopular Trump administration policies, like tariffs. Meanwhile, Democrats say the Senate race could be buoyed by Auditor Rob Sand’s strong gubernatorial bid.
The Senate Leadership Fund, the leading Senate GOP super PAC, has announced a $29 million advertising reservation in the race, while the Democratic Senate Majority PAC announced a $13.4 million initial investment in television ad reservations. The Cook Political Report rates the race as likely Republican, while acknowledging that its rating could shift to become more competitive with Turek as the nominee.
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