2026年5月16日 美国东部时间上午10:00 / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：埃里克·布拉德纳
斯宾塞·普拉特在纽约福克斯新闻总部参加《福克斯与朋友们》节目录制时发言，2025年1月28日。
安迪·克罗帕/因视通讯社/美联社
斯宾塞·普拉特或许是一位格外契合当下时代的候选人：这位千禧一代前真人秀明星深谙社交媒体全天候曝光之道，直言不讳地指出洛杉矶在无家可归、犯罪和治理不善方面的困境，并将矛头直指根深蒂固的民主党当权派。
这位42岁的前真人秀明星愿意展现直率且极具煽动性的一面，他赌定真实感是当今政坛的硬通货。这也解释了为何他的竞选活动愈发受到关注——尤其是在共和党群体中，他们认为普拉特身上具备两次助唐纳德·特朗普入主白宫的特质，而他即将在6月名义上无党派的初选中挑战不受欢迎的洛杉矶市长凯伦·巴斯。
但这也可能严重限制这位注册共和党人的胜选机会，一旦选民将候选人范围缩小至两人，他将很难在大选中获胜。这也解释了为何72岁的巴斯及其盟友正试图将11月的对决对手设定为普拉特，而非直面她主要的进步派竞争对手、44岁的市议员妮西娅·拉曼。
“声势浩大未必意味着他在洛杉矶获得了真正的支持，”民主党战略家迈克尔·特鲁希略说道。
普拉特的异军突起打乱了这场原本更可能是巴斯与左翼挑战者对决的选举节奏。如今选票已开始寄送给选民，而普拉特将全美目光聚焦于洛杉矶，选民需要回答的问题是：他所利用的不满情绪能否抵消这座城市根深蒂固的深蓝倾向。
“无论斯宾塞·普拉特的竞选多么富有创意、多么有趣，若能进入 runoff，到6月3日他们将面临一个现实的数学难题，”特鲁希略说道。“斯宾塞仍是注册共和党人这一点，将是民主党人拒绝他的第一、第二、第三大理由。”
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/16/politics/spencer-pratt-karen-bass-los-angeles-mayor
斯宾塞·普拉特为何走红
1:46 • 来源：CNN
特朗普与普拉特的相似之处
将普拉特与特朗普相提并论是自然而然的：两人均为前真人秀明星，几乎没有政治经验，且都擅长在选举中占据绝对舆论焦点。他们说话直截了当，时常带有攻击性，在辩论舞台上往往语出惊人，还声称能为那些存在数十年的棘手问题提供简单而全面的解决方案。战略分析师们通过民调与选民登记数据分析发现，两人的支持群体都存在硬性上限——特朗普曾多次突破这种上限，而普拉特如今正试图打破这一天花板。
然而，特朗普在2016年、2020年和2024年的选举中，在洛杉矶县（包含洛杉矶市）的得票率分别落后对手49个、44个和33个百分点，而洛杉矶市的蓝营倾向比全县更甚。洛杉矶市注册民主党人与共和党人的比例约为4比1。2022年洛杉矶市长选举中，从独立选民转投民主党人的亿万富翁房地产开发商里克·卡鲁索曾从中左翼向巴斯发起挑战，最终以10个百分点的差距落败。
在这张2022年11月的照片中，洛杉矶市长候选人里克·卡鲁索抵达洛杉矶的选举之夜派对现场。
大卫·麦克纽/盖蒂图片社
作为《好莱坞女孩》中的反派角色，普拉特必须争取更广泛的选民支持，才有机会实现他成为洛杉矶“救世主”的愿望。
而他必须在两极分化的全国选民背景下开展竞选，民主党人似乎有动力在各级选举中投票，以制衡特朗普。
他的竞选活动之所以看起来势头强劲，部分得益于全国范围内的关注度——其中最直观的体现莫过于网友对 filmmaker 查尔斯·柯兰制作的AI生成视频的反响，该视频将普拉特塑造成蝙蝠侠。
在视频中，普拉特正奋力拯救洛杉矶，对抗被塑造成小丑的巴斯、州长加文·纽瑟姆、卡玛拉·哈里斯——这位加州前总检察长、参议员，后来当选副总统——以及美国民主社会主义者组织成员。三名知名民主党人被投掷番茄。普拉特在自己的社交媒体账号上分享了这段视频。
“这或许是今年最佳的政治广告，”佛罗里达州前州长杰布·布什在X平台上说道。
“你怎么可能不投给他？”得克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹问道。
这段视频在与特朗普“让美国再次伟大”运动立场一致的社交媒体影响者中传播，获得了广泛赞誉。
这正是普拉特面临的两难境地：在全国范围内提升他知名度的反响，或许能为他的筹款活动带来利好，也能激发人们对他竞选活动的兴趣。但这也可能在决定洛杉矶选举结果的选民中适得其反——其中大多数是民主党人，他们大概率仍认可纽瑟姆和哈里斯这类人物。目前尚不清楚普拉特在西区和圣费尔南多谷的白人选民中取得的支持，能否延伸至这座城市更广泛、更多元的选民群体。
“他最大的挑战在于，他是共和党人，而围绕他的全国关注度大多与‘让美国再次伟大’运动绑定，”南加州大学政治学教授克里斯蒂安·格罗斯说道。
“他与‘让美国再次伟大’的共和党主义绑定得越深，就会输得越惨，”他说。“如果他能稍微疏远共和党，他或许仍会落败，但胜算会更大一些。”
普拉特为何抨击“垃圾市长”
普拉特于1月7日宣布参选市长——这一天正是烧毁他的住宅和数千套其他房屋的帕利塞兹大火一周年纪念日。
普拉特指责巴斯——她此前曾承诺不会出国旅行，但火灾发生时正在加纳——导致了他的住宅被毁。早已拥有庞大社交媒体粉丝群的普拉特，随即在自己的账号上猛烈抨击巴斯及其对火灾的应对措施。
斯宾塞·普拉特在洛杉矶太平洋帕利塞兹社区举行的“他们任由我们燃烧！”居民集会上发言，这场集会是致命的帕利塞兹大火一周年纪念活动，2025年1月。
丹尼尔·科尔/路透社
“她本该在1月7日辞职，当时她在加纳，一切都在燃烧，”普拉特在上个月接受《好人》播客采访时说道。“她却执意继续这场摧毁洛杉矶的行动。我个人希望我的孩子能在我长大的那个洛杉矶长大——一个美丽的洛杉矶；一个充满希望和梦想的洛杉矶。”
这番言论在洛杉矶颇具吸引力，一些居民戴着写有“让洛杉矶重回《明星伙伴》时代”的帽子，呼应了2004年至2011年HBO剧集播出期间洛杉矶的氛围。
普拉特的社交媒体 feed 持续不断地展示公共秩序混乱的案例——这也是他广告宣传的核心主题，其中包括广告牌。
“受够了混乱？准备好获得安全感？”其中一块广告牌上写道，画面中一名推着婴儿车的女子正穿过一片“僵尸之地”般的火海。
另一块广告牌将普拉特塑造成一名擦窗工人，并配文：“让我们一起清洁洛杉矶！”
更复杂的是，普拉特时常提及的那些问题其实很难解决：无家可归、毒品成瘾、心理健康、应急管理、阻碍发展的监管环境等等。
在播客采访中，普拉特表示解决这座城市的挑战“很简单”，但根深蒂固的利益集团从中作梗。
他经常称巴斯为“垃圾市长”（西班牙语中“垃圾”的意思）。普拉特的支持者也对将他塑造成蝙蝠侠的AI视频产生了共鸣，这位超级英雄能够对抗他们眼中的城市反派。
但巴斯表示，对普拉特的这种刻画“是在利用人们的绝望情绪”。
“我认为很多时候我们都在寻找某个超人来拯救我们，”巴斯在接受CNN记者埃利克斯·迈克埃尔森采访时说道。“但现实是，这种事永远不会发生。”
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/16/politics/spencer-pratt-karen-bass-los-angeles-mayor
洛杉矶市长回应斯宾塞·普拉特分享AI视频
洛杉矶市长凯伦·巴斯在接受CNN记者埃利克斯·迈克埃尔森采访时，谈到了社交媒体上针对她的AI生成视频，包括竞争对手斯宾塞·普拉特转发的相关帖子。
2:03 • 来源：CNN
尽管如此，加州共和党战略家马特·舒佩认为，在这座长期由民主党掌控的城市中，普拉特的竞选代表着“一个真正千载难逢的机会”。
他将普拉特与纽约市的民主党激进派——市长佐赫兰·曼达尼和众议员亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科特兹——相提并论，认为普拉特能够创造病毒式传播的时刻，运用其他候选人未曾使用的竞选策略，且极具镜头感。
“政党登记并不在选票上，”舒佩说道。“这会迫使人们真正思考自己要投票给谁，而非只看名字旁边的党派字母。我认为这对他有利。”
辩论揭示的真相
美国全国广播公司4频道近期举办的一场辩论生动展现了这场市长选举的态势。
有一点显而易见：没有任何一位候选人认为自己能在初选中获得超过50%的选票，这意味着决赛将由得票前两名的候选人在11月展开对决。
同样明确的是，巴斯和普拉特都希望与对方对决——尽管他们并未明说。两人多次攻击进步派议员拉曼，拉曼随后向观众指出，“他们两人都认为与对方对决有助于自己获胜”。
普拉特反驳称，他更愿意与拉曼对决。
“你觉得与坐拥所有工会资源的现任市长对战更容易，还是与一位任职六年却一无所成的随机市议员对战更容易？”他说道。
拉曼嘲讽普拉特“有着‘让美国再次伟大’共和党人对洛杉矶的刻板印象”。
与此同时，普拉特指责巴斯和拉曼对公共安全和社会秩序毫不重视。他批评拉曼提出的一项计划，即向无家可归者营地派遣治疗团队，以减少营地数量。
“我明天就可以和她一起去 Harbor 高速公路下方，我们能找到一些她打算提供治疗的人。她会被人割破脖子，”普拉特说道。“这些人根本不需要床位，他们想要的是芬太尼或超级冰毒。”
初选将检验选民对普拉特言论的反应：他们是寻求与洛杉矶现任领导层和政策彻底决裂，还是会因普拉特的言论而疏远，毕竟这座城市近期刚刚投票批准提高销售税以资助反无家可归项目。
格罗斯表示，普拉特的最佳胜算在于，选民将他视为“某种全新的替代选择”，能够吸引主流民主党人和无党派人士组成的多元化群体。
“对凯伦·巴斯来说，最大的礼物，”他说道，“就是在大选中面对共和党人斯宾塞·普拉特。”
CNN记者景·拉为本报道贡献了内容。
Can Spencer Pratt ride viral videos to victory in the race for LA mayor?
2026-05-16 10:00 AM ET / CNN
By Eric Bradner
Spencer Pratt speaks during an appearance on “Fox & Friends” at Fox News headquarters on January 28 in New York.
Andy Kropa/Invision/AP
Spencer Pratt might be a candidate uniquely suited for the moment: An elder millennial with everywhere-all-the-time social media instincts, bluntly spelling out Los Angeles’ challenges with homelessness, crime and mismanagement and laying blame at the feet of its entrenched Democratic establishment.
The 42-year-old former reality television star’s willingness to be raw and provocative, on the bet that authenticity is the coin of today’s political realm, helps explain the growing buzz — particularly among Republicans who see in Pratt traits similar to those that catapulted Donald Trump into the White House twice — around his run against unpopular Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass ahead of the nominally nonpartisan June 2 primary.
But it also might severely limit the ability of Pratt, a registered Republican, to win a general election once voters narrow the field to two candidates. And it explains why 72-year-old Bass and her allies are trying to set up a head-to-head race in November against Pratt, rather than facing a more nuanced campaign against her chief progressive rival, 44-year-old city councilwoman Nithya Raman.
“Being louder doesn’t necessarily mean that there’s actual support for him in the city of L.A.,” said Democratic strategist Michael Trujillo.
Pratt’s emergence has jolted a race that long looked much more likely to pit Bass against a challenger from her left. But with ballots already mailed to voters and Pratt drawing the nation’s eyes to Los Angeles, the question voters will answer is whether the strains of dissatisfaction he is tapping into can overcome the reality of the city’s deep-blue bent.
“For as creative and as imaginative and as fun as Spencer Pratt’s campaign is, they run into a real math equation come June 3, if they make the runoff,” Trujillo said. “The fact that Spencer is still a registered Republican will be reasons one, two and three for Democrats to reject him.”
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/16/politics/spencer-pratt-karen-bass-los-angeles-mayor
Why Spencer Pratt is trending
1:46 • Source: CNN
Why Spencer Pratt is trending
1:46
The Trump-Pratt parallels
Comparisons of Pratt and Trump are natural: Former reality television stars with scant political experience and penchants for sucking up most of the oxygen in an election. Plain-spoken, often combative language that can be jarring on the debate stage. Claims of simple and sweeping solutions to decades-old, intractable problems. Strategists analyzing polling and voter registration data and sensing a hard cap on their support — ceilings that Trump repeatedly broke through, and that Pratt is now attempting to shatter.
However, Trump lost the county of Los Angeles, which encompasses the city, by 49 percentage points in 2016, 44 points in 2020 and 33 points in 2024 — and the city is bluer than the county. Registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans in the city of Los Angeles by about a four-to-one margin. Billionaire real estate developer Rick Caruso, an independent-turned-Democrat, tried to challenge Bass from the center in the 2022 mayoral election, and lost that race by 10 points.
In this November 2022 photo, Los Angeles mayoral candidate Rick Caruso arrives for an election night party in Los Angeles.
David McNew/Getty Images
Pratt, the villain of “The Hills,” will have to appeal much more broadly for voters to give him the opportunity he wants to become Los Angeles’ hero.
And he’ll have to do so against the backdrop of a polarized national electorate, with Democrats seemingly motivated to vote in races up and down the ballot as a counter to Trump.
The sense of momentum behind his campaign is driven in part by national buzz — seen most vividly in the reaction to an AI-generated video created by filmmaker Charles Curran portraying Pratt as Batman.
In the video, Pratt is fighting to save Los Angeles from the likes of Bass (portrayed as the Joker), Gov. Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, the state’s former attorney general and senator before being elected vice president, and Democratic Socialists of America members. The three prominent Democrats are pelted with tomatoes. Pratt shared the video on his social media accounts.
“Maybe the best political ad of the year,” former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said on X.
“How could you not vote for this guy?” asked Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.
The video spread among social media influencers aligned with Trump’s “Make America Great Again” movement, where it was widely praised.
That’s the Catch-22 for Pratt. The reaction raising Pratt’s profile nationally might be a boon for his fundraising and could fuel interest in his campaign. But it could also backfire among the voters who decide elections in Los Angeles — the majority of whom are Democrats who are still likely to approve of figures like Newsom and Harris. It’s not clear whether the inroads Pratt has made with White voters on the Westside and in the San Fernando Valley extend to the city’s broader, more diverse electorate.
“His most challenging problem is the fact that he’s a Republican and so much of the national attention around him has been leaning into the MAGA movement,” said Christian Grose, a University of Southern California political science professor.
“The more he’s associated with MAGA Republicanism, he will lose,” he said. “If he could lean a little bit away from the Republican Party, he still would probably lose, but he’s got a better chance.”
Why Pratt is taking on ‘Mayor Basura’
Pratt launched his mayoral bid on January 7 — the one-year anniversary of the Palisades fire that destroyed his home and thousands of others.
Pratt has blamed Bass — who had broken a pledge not to travel overseas as mayor and was in Ghana at the time the fire broke out — for his home’s destruction. Pratt, who had already built a massive social media following, immediately took to his channels to lambast Bass and her response to the fire.
Spencer Pratt speaks during the “They Let Us Burn!” residents’ rally on the first anniversary of the deadly Palisades Fire, in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles, in January.
Daniel Cole/Reuters
“She should have resigned on January 7, when she was in Ghana and everything was burning,” Pratt said in an interview on the “Good Guys” podcast last month. “She decided to continue on this quest of destroying Los Angeles. And I personally would like my children to be able to grow up in an L.A. that I grew up in — a beautiful L.A.; an L.A. that had hopes and dreams.”
It’s a message with some appeal in a city where some residents wear hats that say “Make LA Entourage Again,” harkening back to the vibes of Los Angeles between 2004 and 2011, when the HBO show aired.
Pratt’s social media feeds are a constant stream of examples of public disorder — a theme that’s the focus of his advertising, too, including billboards.
“Sick of the chaos? Ready to feel safe?” says one billboard portraying a woman pushing a stroller through a burning “Zombieland.”
Another portrays Pratt as a window washer and says: “Let’s clean LA together!”
What’s more complicated is solving the problems Pratt often highlights: homelessness, drug addiction, mental health, management of emergencies, a regulatory environment that stalls progress and more.
In the podcast interview, Pratt said that solving the city’s challenges is “easy,” but said entrenched interests stand in the way.
He often calls Bass “Mayor Basura,” the Spanish word for trash. And Pratt’s supporters have picked up on the AI portrayal of him as Batman, a superhero who can take on who they see as the city’s villains.
But Bass said that portrayal of Pratt “plays into people’s desperation.”
“I think oftentimes we look for somebody superhuman to save us,” Bass said in an interview with CNN’s Elex Michaelson. “The reality is it never happens.”
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/16/politics/spencer-pratt-karen-bass-los-angeles-mayor
LA Mayor Responds to Spencer Pratt Sharing AI Videos
LA Mayor Karen Bass discusses AI-generated videos targeting her on social media, including posts amplified by rival candidate Spencer Pratt, in an interview with CNN’s Elex Michaelson.
2:03 • Source: CNN
LA Mayor Responds to Spencer Pratt Sharing AI …
2:03
Still, California Republican strategist Matt Shupe argued that Pratt’s campaign represents a “real sort of lightning in a bottle opportunity” in a city long controlled by Democrats.
He compared Pratt to Democratic insurgents in New York City — Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — in his ability to create viral moments, his use of campaign tactics that other candidates aren’t using and his talent on camera.
“The party registration is not on the ballot,” Shupe said. “And so, that forces people to actually think about who they’re voting for, rather than voting for the letter next to their name. And I think that will work in his favor.”
What the debate revealed
A recent debate hosted by NBC4 offered a vivid window into the mayoral race’s dynamics.
What was immediately clear: No candidate believes they are likely to top 50% in the primary, which means a runoff featuring the top two finishers in November will be necessary.
Also clear was that Bass and Pratt want to run against each other — even though they won’t say so. The two attacked Raman, the progressive councilwoman, repeatedly — which Raman noted, telling the crowd that “each of them thinks that running against each other is what’s going to help them win.”
Pratt shot back that he’d rather run against Raman.
“You think it’s easier to run against the incumbent mayor with all the unions, or a random city council member who’s been a failure for six years?” he said.
Raman mocked Pratt for having “a MAGA Republican’s idea of what Los Angeles looks like.”
Pratt, meanwhile, cast Bass and Raman as unserious about public safety and order. He chided Raman over a plan to deploy treatment teams to homeless encampments as part of an effort to reduce those encampments.
“I will go below the Harbor Freeway tomorrow with her, and we can find some of these people she’s going to offer treatment for. She’s going to get stabbed in the neck,” Pratt said. “These people do not want a bed. They want fentanyl or super-meth.”
What the primary will test is how voters are responding to Pratt’s message: whether they are seeking a dramatic break from Los Angeles’ leadership and policies, or whether he alienates those in a city that voted recently to approve a sales tax hike to fund anti-homelessness efforts.
Pratt’s best bet, Grose said, is if voters view him as “some kind of fresh alternative” who can appeal to a diverse cross-section of mainstream Democrats and independents.
“The biggest gift to Karen Bass,” he said, “would be Spencer Pratt, Republican, in the general election.”
CNN’s Kyung Lah contributed to this report.
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