沃什获参议院批准出任美联储下任主席,通胀形势加剧之际监管政策引争议


2026年5月13日 美国东部时间下午5:06 / 路透社

作者:诺兰·D·麦卡斯克尔与安·萨菲尔
2026年5月13日 美国东部时间下午5:06 更新于15分钟前

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凯文·沃什,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普提名的下一任美联储主席,于2026年4月21日在华盛顿国会山出席参议院银行委员会确认听证会并作证。路透社/伊丽莎白·弗朗茨 获取授权许可,打开新标签页

  • 内容摘要
  • 企业新闻
  • 沃什将接任美联储主席一职,通胀抬头引发加息辩论
  • 4月生产者价格指数同比上涨6%,加剧市场对通胀压力扩散的担忧
  • 特朗普提名沃什的预期是其将推动降息
  • 沃什的确认投票几乎完全沿党派路线进行

华盛顿5月13日电(路透社)——美国参议院周三批准凯文·沃什出任美联储主席,这位56岁的律师兼金融家将执掌这家美国央行,而当前央行正面临日益严峻的通胀压力,这可能使其难以兑现特朗普总统要求的降息承诺。

本次投票结果为54票赞成、45票反对,是美国参议院历史上党派分歧最严重的美联储主席提名确认投票。仅有来自宾夕法尼亚州的民主党参议员约翰·费特曼投下了支持共和党多数派的赞成票。

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沃什将在等待白宫签署参议院提交的相关文件后,正式宣誓就职四年的美联储主席任期,同时他还将获得参议院此前批准的14年美联储理事任期。白宫尚未回应有关特朗普何时完成最终文件签署以及沃什宣誓就职时间的问询。

沃什将从美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔手中接过领导权,鲍威尔的主席任期将于本周五结束,但他仍将留任美联储理事。现任美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰——目前央行内部最大的降息倡导者——将辞去理事职务,为沃什腾出位置。

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沃什预计将在6月16日至17日的美联储下次会议上主持工作,他所加入的央行正就利率走向展开激烈辩论。

多名央行官员主张美联储应考虑加息,他们担忧通胀正不断扩散,其影响范围已超出特朗普政府关税政策以及伊朗冲突推高油价带来的冲击。

美国劳工部周三公布的数据显示,作为整体通胀关键组成部分的生产者价格指数4月同比上涨6%,创下自2022年12月以来的最快增速。当时美联储正通过大幅加息应对40年来最严重的物价飙升问题。

分析师预计,美国个人消费支出价格指数上月上涨3.8%,进一步偏离美联储2%的通胀目标。

生产者价格指数分项构成

在首次主持美联储会议之前,沃什可能需要在政策分歧的决策者之间进行协调:目前越来越多的人支持使用更鹰派的措辞,表明未来几个月加息与降息的可能性不相上下。截至4月,美联储19名政策制定者中至少有5人呼吁做出这一调整。

同样在6月,美联储政策制定者将发布最新的利率路径预测。3月份预计今年仅降息一次的预测正逐渐过时,当前失业率维持在4.3%左右,表明劳动力市场可能并不需要降息来提供支撑。不过通胀仍在持续升温:周二公布的政府报告显示,4月消费者价格指数达到三年来最快增速。

金融市场目前预计美联储今年不会调整3.5%-3.75%的政策利率区间,最早可能在明年1月加息。

沃什对美联储内部的分歧并不陌生。在本·伯南克担任美联储主席期间,他曾担任美联储理事,对货币政策表达过保留意见,但他在2011年离开美联储理事会,从未投下过反对票。

在确认听证会上,他对参议员们表示,他欢迎美联储内部出现这种“家庭内部争论”,因为政策制定者会就应对经济形势的正确货币政策展开讨论。

与沃什首次在美联储任职时不同,现任总统一直在催促央行降息。特朗普还对美联储采取了鲍威尔所称的“一系列法律攻击”,包括去年试图解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克。特朗普领导的司法部还对鲍威尔启动了刑事调查,目前已暂停,但不排除重启的可能。

鲍威尔和其他官员表示,这些攻击威胁到美联储根据经济基本面制定利率的独立性。鲍威尔打破惯例,选择在主席任期结束后继续留任美联储理事,至少要等到司法部的调查正式结束。

沃什所面临的通胀背景也与他上次担任美联储理事时截然不同。当时通胀大多低于美联储2%的目标,但沃什曾主张政策制定者应通过缩减资产负债表收紧金融环境。

特朗普期待沃什倡导降息,沃什也公开表示支持特朗普的观点。不过他在上月的确认听证会上对参议员们表示,他并未做出任何承诺。

霍华德·施奈德、诺兰·麦卡斯克尔、安·萨菲尔、南迪塔·博斯 报道
大卫·格雷戈里奥 编辑

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Warsh clinches Senate approval to be Fed’s next chair as inflation intensifies

May 13, 2026 5:06 PM UTC / Reuters

By Nolan D. McCaskill and Ann Saphir

May 13, 2026 5:06 PM UTC Updated 15 mins ago

Kevin Warsh, U.S. President Donald Trump’s nominee to be next chair of the Federal Reserve, attends a Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing to testify, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 21, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

  • Summary
  • Companies
  • Warsh to take Fed chair role as rising inflation ignites rate-hike debate
  • Producer prices rose 6% in April, stoking concern about broadening price pressures
  • Trump picked Warsh with the expectation he would cut rates
  • Warsh confirmation almost completely along partisan lines

WASHINGTON, May 13 (Reuters) – The U.S. ​Senate on Wednesday approved Kevin Warsh as chair of the Federal Reserve, putting the 56-year-old lawyer and financier at the helm as the U.S. central bank ‌grapples with intensifying inflation that may make it hard to push through the interest-rate cuts that President Donald Trump has demanded.

The vote was 54-45 in the most-partisan-ever U.S. Senate confirmation of a Fed chair. A single Democrat, John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, voted with the Republican majority.

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His swearing-in to the four-year Fed chair term and a concurrent 14-year term as a Fed governor approved by the Senate on Tuesday awaits final White House signatures on paperwork sent ​by the Senate. The White House did not respond to questions about when Trump would complete the final paperwork or the timing of his swearing in.

Warsh will take the ​leadership baton from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends on Friday but who will remain a Fed governor. Fed Governor Stephen Miran, currently ⁠the central bank’s biggest advocate of rate cuts, will vacate his spot on the board to make room for Warsh.

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Expected to be in place to chair the Fed’s next meeting June ​16 to 17, Warsh joins a central bank whose policymakers are engaged in a vigorous debate on the direction of interest rates.

Several central bankers have argued that the Fed should consider rate hikes, concerned that inflation ​is broadening even beyond the impact of the Trump administration’s tariffs and the spike in oil prices from the Iran war.

An index of producer prices, a key component of overall inflation, jumped 6% in April from a year earlier, the Labor Department reported on Wednesday. That’s the fastest pace since December 2022 when the Fed was battling a 40-year record surge in prices with sharp rate hikes.

Analysts expect the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index ​to have risen 3.8% last month, moving further from the Fed’s target of 2%.

Producer prices breakdown

In the run-up to his first meeting, Warsh may have to navigate a divided group of policymakers with growing ​support for more hawkish language indicating that a rate increase is as likely as a rate cut in coming months. At least five of the Fed’s 19 policymakers have said they wanted that change as ‌of April.

Also in ⁠June, Fed policymakers are scheduled to release fresh rate-path forecasts. March’s projections for a single rate cut this year look increasingly stale as the unemployment rate hovers around 4.3%, indicating the labor market may not need the support of a rate cut. However, inflation has continued to gain steam: a government report on Tuesday showed consumer prices rose in April at the fastest pace in three years.

Financial markets now expect no change to the Fed’s 3.5%-3.75% policy rate target this year, with a rate hike as soon as January.

Warsh is no stranger to discord within the Fed. As a ​Fed governor during Ben Bernanke’s tenure as chair, ​he expressed reservations about policy, though he ⁠left the Board in 2011 before ever casting a dissenting vote.

At his confirmation hearing he told senators he welcomes a “family fight” at the Fed as policymakers hammer out the right monetary policy response to economic conditions.

Unlike during Warsh’s first stint at the Fed, the current president has been badgering ​the central bank for rate cuts. Trump has also undertaken what Powell calls a “series of legal attacks” on the central bank, including ​an attempt to fire Fed ⁠Governor Lisa Cook last year. Trump’s Department of Justice also launched a criminal investigation of Powell which it has dropped for now but has left the door open to reviving.

Powell and others have said those attacks threaten the Fed’s ability to set interest rates according to economic fundamentals. Powell has opted to buck tradition and stay on at the Fed beyond the end of his chair term, at least until ⁠the DOJ ​probe is definitively closed.

Warsh also faces a different inflation backdrop than he did the last time he was a ​Fed governor. Then, inflation was mostly running below the Fed’s 2% target, yet Warsh argued that policymakers should tighten financial conditions with a smaller balance sheet.

Trump expects Warsh to advocate for lower rates, and Warsh had expressed support for Trump’s ​view. Still, he told senators at his confirmation hearing last month that he had not made any promises.

Reporting by Howard Schneider, Nolan McCaskill, Ann Saphir, Nandita Bose; Editing by David Gregorio

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