2026-05-04T13:52:50-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
共和党人准备应对中期选举逆风，特朗普支持率徘徊在40%附近，油价飙升
作者：保罗·施坦豪泽 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年5月4日美国东部时间下午1:52
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6394544697112
两党在重划选区争议中备战中期选举大战
共和党全国委员会高级顾问丹妮尔·阿尔瓦雷斯分析两党之间愈演愈烈的中期选举斗争。她指出了民主党对重划选区的担忧，以及阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德等进步派候选人影响力的上升。阿尔瓦雷斯谈及艾奥瓦州正成为政治战场，并提到福克斯新闻民调显示民主党在经济议题上占据优势，同时强调共和党人的应对策略。
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距离中期选举还有六个月，唐纳德·特朗普总统的民调支持率仍处于负值区间。
这场持续两个月的对伊战争——民调显示其不受众多美国人欢迎——以及战争直接导致的油价飙升，令特朗普今年春季的支持率进一步下滑。
总统的民调困境给其所在政党带来了政治拖累，而共和党正努力在今年的选举中捍卫其微弱的参议院优势和极其微弱的众议院多数席位。这是因为总统支持率长期以来一直是衡量总统影响力以及其所在政党在随后中期选举中表现的重要晴雨表。
但这些令人沮丧的数据并非特朗普独有——他最近的几位前任总统在中期选举对决中也都因负面民调拖累了本党。
我们最新的福克斯全国民调结果
唐纳德·特朗普总统的支持率仍处于负值区间，距离2026年中期选举还有六个月。(乔纳森·恩斯特/路透社)
在4月17日至20日进行的最新福克斯全国民调中，特朗普的支持率为42%，反对率为51%。其他一些近期民调显示，总统的支持率处于30%中段至上段区间，反对率达到或超过60%。
根据RealClearPolitics的汇总数据，在所有最新的全国民调平均值中，总统的支持率略高于40%，反对率则高于56%。
距离中期选举还有六个月：决定参议院控制权的十大竞选
“这或许对白宫来说是一丝冰冷的安慰，但选民往往会对所有总统都持严苛态度，”协助民主党人克里斯·安德森开展福克斯新闻民调的共和党民调专家达伦·肖指出。
他所言非虚。
时任总统乔·拜登的支持率在其任期大部分时间里都处于负值区间。(索尔·勒奥/法新社)
四年前，在面临2022年中期选举时，时任总统乔·拜登同样面临着高企的油价。在2022年4月底至5月初进行的福克斯新闻民调中，他的支持率为45%，反对率为53%。而当时RealClearPolitics的全国民调平均值显示拜登的支持率为42%，反对率为53%。
民主党积累中期选举势头，但共和党仍在参议院控制权争夺战中占据主动
特朗普最近的两位连任前任总统在第二次中期选举前六个月时的支持率也远低于荣枯线。
时任总统巴拉克·奥巴马在2014年中期选举前一年多的时间里支持率都处于负值区间。(凯文·拉马克/路透社)
2014年5月初，时任总统巴拉克·奥巴马的支持率为43%，反对率为52%；而同一时期的2006年，前总统乔治·W·布什的支持率深陷负值区间，为35%，反对率为59%。
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共和党在2006年中期选举中遭遇重创，民主党则在2014年中期选举中被狠狠打击。
尽管拜登疲软的支持率在2022年对民主党不利，但该党最终超出预期守住了众议院多数席位，部分原因是最高法院保守派多数在当年夏天作出重磅裁决，废除了具有半个世纪历史的全国堕胎合法化标志性判例《罗伊诉韦德案》，堕胎议题因此被大幅凸显。
保罗·施坦豪泽是驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州的政治记者，他全程报道全国范围的竞选活动。
Trump vs History: How president’s poll numbers compare to Biden, Obama, Bush ahead of midterms
2026-05-04T13:52:50-04:00 / Fox News
Republicans brace for midterm headwinds as Trump’s approval hovers near 40% with gas prices soaring
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Published May 4, 2026 1:52pm EDT
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6394544697112
GOP, Democrats gearing up for midterm battle amid redistricting fights
RNC senior advisor Danielle Alvarez analyzes the escalating midterm election battle between Democrats and Republicans. She highlights Democratic concerns over redistricting and the rising influence of progressive candidates like Abdul El-Sayed. Alvarez discusses Iowa becoming a political battleground and addresses a Fox News poll indicating Democrats’ economic edge, emphasizing GOP strategies to counter.
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With six months to go until the midterm elections, President Donald Trump’s poll numbers remain underwater.
The two-month-long war with Iran, which public opinion surveys indicate is unpopular with many Americans, and a surge in gas prices as a direct result of the fighting have triggered a further slide in Trump’s approval ratings this spring.
The president’s polling woes are a political drag on his party as Republicans work to defend their slim Senate and razor-thin House majorities in this year’s elections. That’s because the presidential approval rating has long been a much-watched barometer of a president’s clout and how well his party may perform in the ensuing midterms.
But the frustrating figures are not a problem unique to Trump — his most recent predecessors in the White House also saw their negative numbers weigh down their parties in midterm showdowns.
WHAT OUR LATEST FOX NEWS NATIONAL POLL SHOWS
President Donald Trump’s approval ratings remain in negative territory with six months to go until the 2026 midterm elections.(Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)
Trump stood at 42% approval and 51% disapproval in the latest Fox News national poll, which was conducted April 17–20. Some more recent surveys put the president’s approval rating in the mid to upper 30s, with his disapproval reaching or topping 60%.
The president’s approval is hovering just above 40%, with his disapproval above 56%, in an average of all the most recent national polls, according to a compilation from RealClearPolitics.
SIX MONTHS TILL MIDTERMS: THE TEN RACES THAT WILL DETERMINE THE SENATE’S MAJORITY
“It may come as cold comfort to the White House, but there’s a tendency for voters to be harsh toward all presidents,” Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps conduct Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson, noted.
He’s not kidding.
Then-President Joe Biden’s approval ratings were underwater for most of his presidency.(Saul Loeb/AFP)
Four years ago, as he faced the 2022 midterm elections, then-President Joe Biden was also dealing with sky-high gas prices. His approval rating stood at 45%, with 53% disapproval, in a Fox News poll conducted in late April and early May 2022. And a RealClearPolitics average of all the national polls at that time put Biden’s numbers at 42%-53%.
DEMOCRATS BUILD MIDTERM MOMENTUM BUT REPUBLICANS STILL IN DRIVER’S SEAT IN SENATE MAJORITY BATTLE
Trump’s two most recent two-term predecessors were also well below water six months out from their second midterm elections.
Then-President Barack Obama’s approval ratings were underwater for well over a year leading up to the 2014 midterm elections.(Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)
Then-President Barack Obama stood at 43%-52% in early May 2014, and former President George W. Bush was deep into negative territory at 35%-59% at the same time in 2006.
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Republicans were shellacked in the 2006 midterms and Democrats were pummeled in the 2014 midterms.
While Biden’s anemic numbers did Democrats no favors in 2022, the party was able to beat expectations and hold their House majority thanks in part to the outsized emphasis on the issue of abortion, following a blockbuster opinion that summer by the Supreme Court’s conservative majority that scrapped the landmark Roe v. Wade ruling, which had legalized abortion nationwide for a half century.
Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.
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