美国参议院禁止议员及工作人员参与预测市场交易


2026年4月30日 7:24 世界协调时 1小时前更新 / 路透社
作者:理查德·考恩

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[1/3]2026年3月20日摄于美国华盛顿特区美国国会大厦。路透社/肯·塞德诺 购买授权,打开新标签页

  • 此次禁令出台前,一名士兵因涉嫌对委内瑞拉军事行动下注而面临欺诈指控
  • 参议院敦促众议院、行政和司法分支也实施类似禁令
  • 禁止或限制众议院议员股票交易的法案仍处于搁置状态

华盛顿4月30日(路透社)——美国参议院周四全票通过一项即时禁令,禁止现任参议员、工作人员及其他公职人员参与针对现实世界事件的赌博性质预测市场交易。

这项修改参议院规则的议员禁令由俄亥俄州共和党参议员伯尼·莫雷诺牵头推动,民主党参议员亚历克斯·帕迪拉提出的一项将禁令范围扩大至参议院工作人员的修正案被纳入该议案。

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参议员们还敦促众议院以及政府行政和司法分支也效仿出台类似禁令。

“美国参议员在领取纳税人薪酬的同时,不应从事预测市场这类投机活动,”莫雷诺在参议院发表演讲时表示,他当时呼吁就这项规则修改进行即刻投票。

参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默支持这项举措,他说:“我们绝不能让国会变成赌场,让代表公众的议员能够对战争或经济危机下注。”

周二,一名美国陆军士兵对欺诈指控拒不认罪。去年年底,他涉嫌利用机密信息押注委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗即将下台,因此获利40万美元。

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这一活动发生在美国1月3日军事行动导致马杜罗下台前不久。

多年来,国会一直在辩论是否应该禁止议员进行股票交易,支持者称此类交易属于内幕交易。例如,国会议员能够获得有关潜在军事事务的闭门简报,并且提前知晓影响企业的立法推进至表决的时间。

一项两党支持的股票交易禁令法案去年年底曾在众议院推进。但随后不了了之,负责相关事务的委员会转而推进了一项共和党党派议案,该议案尚未在众议院全院进行表决。

2012年,国会通过立法要求对股票交易进行新的披露,但议员们有时会无视规定,或远超截止日期后才提交文件。

全面禁止议员股票交易的支持者估计,仅在2024年,就有113名国会议员进行了9261笔交易,涉及7.06亿股股票。

2025年4月,唐纳德·特朗普总统在其Truth Social平台上发文称“现在是买入的绝佳时机!!!”,数小时后他宣布暂停此前实施的关税。这一发帖引发担忧,被指促使大量股票交易产生。

理查德·考恩 报道;阿利斯泰尔·贝尔 编辑

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US Senate bans its members, staff from betting in prediction markets

April 30, 2026 7:24 PM UTC Updated 1 hour ago / Reuters

By Richard Cowan

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[1/3]The U.S. Capitol building in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 20, 2026. REUTERS/Ken Cedeno Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

  • Move follows fraud case over soldier who allegedly placed bet on operation in Venezuela
  • Senate urges House, executive, and judicial branches to adopt similar bans
  • Bills that would ban or curtail House members from trading stocks ​remain stalled

WASHINGTON, April 30 (Reuters) – The U.S. Senate on Thursday unanimously approved an immediate ‌prohibition on incumbent senators, staff and other officers from using prediction markets that provide a form of gambling on real-world events.

The change in Senate rules to impose the senators’ ban was spearheaded by Republican Senator Bernie Moreno of Ohio, and an ​amendment by Democratic Senator Alex Padilla broadening the ban to Senate staff was included in ​the measure.

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Senators also urged the House of Representatives and the executive and judicial branches ⁠of government to do the same.

“United States senators have no business engaging in speculative activities like prediction ​markets while collecting a taxpayer-funded paycheck,” Moreno said in a Senate speech in which he called for an ​immediate vote on the rules change.

Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer endorsed the effort, saying, “We must never allow Congress to turn into a casino where members representing the public can gamble on wars or economic crises.”

On Tuesday, a U.S. Army soldier pleaded not guilty ​to fraud charges stemming from his $400,000 in wins after allegedly using confidential information late last year for ​a bet that Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro would soon be out of office.

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The activity occurred just before the U.S. military ‌operation on ⁠January 3 that resulted in his removal.

For years, Congress has been debating whether to impose a ban on lawmakers’ stock trades, which proponents characterize as insider trading. Members of Congress get closed briefings on possible military matters, for example, and know in advance the timing of legislation impacting companies might advance toward enactment.

A bipartisan ​stock trading ban bill ​had been moving ahead ⁠in the House late last year. It fell apart, however, when a committee that oversees such efforts instead advanced a partisan Republican measure that has not yet ​been put to a vote in the full House.

In 2012, Congress passed ​legislation imposing new ⁠disclosures on stock trades, which sometimes are ignored by lawmakers or filed long after deadlines.

Backers of a full ban on lawmaker stock trades estimate that 113 members of Congress made 9,261 trades involving 706 million shares during ⁠2024 ​alone.

In April 2025, President Donald Trump wrote on his Truth Social ​platform that “This is a great time to buy!!!” hours before he announced a pause on tariffs he had imposed. The posting raised ​concerns that it prompted a high volume of stock market trades.

Reporting by Richard Cowan; Editing by Alistair Bell

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