2026年4月23日 凌晨2:10 UTC / 路透社
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芝加哥4月22日电(路透社)——美国农业部统计部门官员在周三的公开数据用户会议上表示,由于3月31日种植报告的回复率下降,美国农业部计划针对其部分关键美国作物报告调查更多农户。
美国农业部在1月份对2025年作物的玉米种植面积预估进行了前所未有的上调后,其数据可靠性遭到了批评。
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美国农业部国家农业统计服务局表示,上月,该局3月31日种植意向报告的回复率为37.6%,低于去年的44.3%,为该调查有记录以来的最低值。
若获得美国管理和预算办公室的批准,美国农业部希望将6月30日种植面积调查的受访农户样本量增加约35%,并将9月、12月和3月的后续调查样本量增加10%。
美国农业部统计服务局局长约瑟夫·帕森斯在此次数据会议上表示:“这将大幅提升我们可用报告的数量,并提高主要大田作物预估的精准度。”
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帕森斯还表示,此外,美国农业部计划在其报告中增加更多“通俗语言”说明,解释关键统计数据相关的不确定性程度。
美国农业部副部长斯蒂芬·瓦登在会议上透露,此外,美国农业部计划从今年秋季开始发布年度报告,内容为其主要作物预估与营销年度结束后最终总产量的对比情况。
帕森斯及其他与会官员表示,该局在2月23日至4月9日期间通过“信息征求”调查公开征集了公众对其统计项目的意见,目前仍在研究调查结果。
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USDA to expand acreage surveys to more US farmers
April 23, 2026 2:10 AM UTC / Reuters
By Julie Ingwersen
Updated 1 hour ago
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Corn stalks are seen on a corn and soybean farm in Woodburn, Indiana, U.S., October 16, 2020. Picture taken October 16, 2020. REUTERS/Bing Guan Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
CHICAGO, April 22 (Reuters) – The U.S. Department of Agriculture plans to survey more farmers for some of its key U.S. crop reports following a drop in the response rate for its March 31 plantings report, officials with the agency’s statistical arm said in a public data users’ meeting on Wednesday.
The USDA faced criticism over the reliability of its data after making unprecedented increases in January to corn acreage estimates for the 2025 crop.
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Last month, the response rate for the USDA’s March 31 planting intentions report was 37.6%, down from 44.3% last year and the lowest on record for that survey, the agency’s National Agricultural Statistics Service said.
Pending approval from the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, the USDA wants to increase the sample size of farmers surveyed for its June 30 acreage report by about 35%, and by 10% for subsequent reports in September, December and March.
“This should substantially boost our usable reports and increase the precision for major field crop estimates,” Joseph Parsons, administrator of the USDA’s statistics service, said at the data meeting.
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In addition, the USDA plans to add more “plain language” information to its reports about the level of uncertainty associated with key statistics, Parsons said.
Separately, the USDA plans to launch a yearly report, possibly starting this autumn, on how its forecasts for major crops compared to final totals determined after the end of the marketing year, Deputy Secretary Stephen Vaden told the meeting.
The agency sought public comments on its statistical programs in a “Request for Information” survey between February 23 and April 9 and is still studying the findings, said Parsons and other officials at the meeting.
Reporting by Julie Ingwersen in Chicago; Editing by Eileen Soreng
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