生活成本担忧持续存在；选民在哪个政党能解决这些问题上存在分歧
2026年4月22日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
作者：达娜·布兰顿
参议院约翰·肯尼迪就中期选举前的共和党担忧发表讲话
路易斯安那州共和党参议员约翰·肯尼迪在中期选举前就共和党担忧发表讲话，在《周末大秀》节目中强调市场势头以及唐纳德·特朗普总统对油价的预测。
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距离11月的选举还有六个月，选民对经济的悲观情绪正给民主党带来优势。
一项新的福克斯新闻民调显示，当前环境有利于美国众议院更换多数党，总统和经济的负面评级正在塑造选举格局。
约四分之三的选民继续对经济给出负面评价（73%），这一比例至少与过去两年持平。
此外，60%的人对自己的个人财务状况评价负面，70%的人认为经济正在恶化，较去年4月的55%上升了15个百分点，与历史最高纪录持平。
福克斯新闻民调：对人工智能的广泛焦虑并未波及就业
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这些经济观点存在强烈的党派分歧：认为经济状况良好的共和党人是民主党人的三倍，认为经济状况正在改善的共和党人是民主党人的四倍。但这种乐观情绪存在上限，超过一半的共和党人认为经济状况（56%）和个人财务（52%）不佳。
“撇开实际经济状况不谈，如今的极化现象如此普遍，很难想象能有转机让民主党人相信特朗普的政策正在奏效，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻的民调工作。
总体而言，认为特朗普总统的政策正在损害经济的选民（56%）是认为政策有助于经济的选民（28%）的两倍。在党派人士中，只有共和党人认为政策有所帮助：57%的共和党人持此观点，在“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）共和党人中这一比例升至70%，但在非MAGA共和党人中仅为30%。
福克斯新闻民调：创纪录人数称税收过高；政府支出被视为浪费
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日常经济压力依然高企，多数选民认为食品杂货（62%）、汽油（60%）、医疗保健（55%）和住房（52%）的价格对其家庭来说是“重大”问题。汽油价格是突出问题，认为这些燃油成本是“重大”问题的比例跃升至60%，几乎是2025年9月33%的两倍，认为这是重大或次要问题的比例达到89%。
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最多的选民（43%）将通胀（26%）和经济整体状况（17%）等经济问题列为当今国家面临的最重要议题。
其他议题的排名明显靠后，约十分之一的选民将政治领导力/腐败（13%）、与伊朗的战争（11%）、国内政治分歧（9%）和移民（8%）列为首要关切。除了伊朗战争，这些优先议题自去年以来基本没有变化。
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民主党人更有可能将通胀/经济（41%）和政治领导力/腐败（22%）列为首要关切，而共和党人则优先考虑通胀/经济（42%）、移民/边境安全（14%）和伊朗战争（14%）。
当被问及哪个政党能更好地处理各类议题时，民调显示共和党在边境安全（领先16个百分点）、犯罪（领先8个百分点）、移民（领先8个百分点）和国家安全（领先6个百分点）上具有优势。民主党则在气候变化（领先29个百分点）、医疗保健（领先21个百分点）、堕胎（领先18个百分点）、跨性别议题（领先13个百分点）、通胀（领先8个百分点）和外交政策（领先6个百分点）上更受青睐。两党在处理经济问题（民主党领先4个百分点）或人工智能（民主党领先5个百分点）上均无明显优势。
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在测试的12个议题中，独立选民仅在四个议题上更倾向于共和党，且在通用议会席位投票问题上以57%比41%的优势支持民主党候选人。
民调显示，如果今天举行选举，52%的选民表示会支持其所在众议院选区的民主党候选人，47%的选民支持共和党候选人。这一5个百分点的优势处于民调的误差范围内。民主党在1月的民调中领先6个百分点（52%比46%）。
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“尽管这些结果对民主党来说是好消息，但在看待通用议会席位投票结果时，有两个重要因素需要牢记，”肖说道。“首先，由于民主党选票更多集中在深蓝选区，他们可能需要在全国得票率上领先1至3个百分点才能赢得众议院多数席位。其次，在选举前的夏末之前，民调结果并不会特别能预测实际选举结果。”
截至目前，表示自己“极其”有动力参加今年选举的民主党选民（68%）多于共和党选民（60%）。2024年选民中也存在类似差距，卡玛拉·哈里斯的支持者（72%）的投票积极性高于唐纳德·特朗普的支持者（59%）。
与此同时，选民认为民主党（61%）和共和党（61%）如今都在关注“错误”的议题。独立人士对共和党（76%认为其聚焦错误）的批评比对民主党（66%认为其聚焦错误）多10个百分点。
当被问及希望各政党少谈论哪个议题时，无论哪个政党提出，选民最反感的都是文化和身份认同议题。他们表示民主党应该少谈论跨性别议题和多元化、公平性与包容性（DEI）（19%）、特朗普（16%）以及移民与海关执法局（ICE）和边境安全（11%）。对于共和党，选民希望其减少对ICE和驱逐出境（16%）、伊朗与以色列及战争（10%）以及文化战争/跨性别议题（9%）的关注。
特朗普总统的总体工作支持率为42%批准，58%不批准。上个月这一比例为41%批准，59%不批准。特朗普唯一一次获得净正面工作支持率是在首次就职后不久，2017年2月的支持率为48%批准，47%不批准。他的最低支持率纪录是2017年10月的38%批准，57%不批准。
特朗普的最高支持率来自MAGA共和党人（96%）、非常保守的选民（85%）和特朗普选民（83%），而最低支持率来自45岁以下女性（28%）、黑人选民（19%）和民主党人（5%）。
尽管总统就伊朗战争与利奥十四世教皇来回交涉，但天主教徒整体（51%）和白人天主教徒（57%）对特朗普的支持率保持稳定或小幅上升了几个百分点。
46%的人对第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普持正面看法。这使她比丈夫（40%正面看法）受欢迎6个百分点，也比民主党（42%）和共和党（42%）各自受欢迎4个百分点。
尽管梅拉尼娅的正面支持率较一年前上升了1个百分点，但她的负面支持率跃升了13个百分点——从2025年4月的39%升至如今的52%。对于总统来说，60%的人对他持负面看法，高于去年的55%。
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民调杂谈
以4个百分点的优势，更多选民对移民与海关执法局（ICE）持正面看法（42%正面评价），高于对庇护城市的看法（38%正面评价）。
对边境安全的看法发生了巨大转变，如今45%的人认为边境安全状况“恰到好处”，31%的人认为不够严格，23%的人认为过于严格。这与2023年相比发生了重大变化，当时七成选民认为边境安全不够严格。
自2023年以来，认为边境安全“过于严格”的民主党人比例从17%跃升至如今的41%，而认为边境安全“不够严格”的共和党人比例从91%降至如今的46%。
本次民调于2026年4月17日至20日进行，由Beacon Research（民主党）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党）指导，该福克斯新闻民调从全国选民档案中随机抽取1001名登记选民进行采访。受访者通过固定电话（116人）、手机（635人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（250人）。基于全样本的结果抽样误差为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序可能会影响结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保人口统计数据能代表登记选民群体。权重目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报告做出了贡献。
*作为民调部门负责人，达娜·布兰顿负责福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
Fox News Poll: Economic gloom, Trump ratings signal tough GOP midterm path
Cost-of-living concerns persist; voters split on which party can address them
April 22, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
By Dana Blanton
Sen John Kennedy addresses GOP concerns ahead of midterms
Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., addresses GOP concerns ahead of the midterm elections, highlighting market momentum and President Donald Trump’s gas price predictions on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’
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The electorate’s economic pessimism is giving the Democratic Party an edge six months out from the November election.
A new Fox News survey points to an environment conducive to a change in the majority party in the U.S. House, with negative ratings for both the president and the economy shaping the landscape.
About three-quarters of voters continue to give the economy negative ratings (73%), consistent with at least the last two years.
In addition, 60% rate their personal financial situation negatively, and 70% say it feels like the economy is getting worse, up 15 points compared to 55% last April and matching a record high.
FOX NEWS POLL: BROAD ANXIETY ABOUT AI DOESN’T EXTEND TO JOBS
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There is a strong partisan aspect to these economic views, with three times as many Republicans as Democrats rating the economy positively and four times as many Republicans saying it feels like conditions are getting better. Yet that optimism has limits, as more than half of Republicans say economic conditions (56%) and their personal finances (52%) are bad.
“Setting aside actual economic conditions, polarization is so pervasive now that it’s difficult to imagine a turnaround that could convince Democrats that Trump’s policies are working,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who works with Democrat Chris Anderson on Fox News polls.
Overall, twice as many say President Trump’s policies are hurting (56%) rather than helping (28%) the economy. Among partisans, only Republicans think they are helping: 57% say so, and that climbs to 70% among MAGA Republicans but drops to 30% among non-MAGA Republicans.
FOX NEWS POLL: RECORD NUMBER SAY TAXES ARE TOO HIGH; GOVERNMENT SPENDING SEEN AS WASTEFUL
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Pocketbook pressure remains high, with majorities calling prices for groceries (62%), gas (60%), healthcare (55%), and housing (52%) a “major” problem for their families. Gas is the standout, as the share calling those costs a “major” problem jumped to 60%, nearly double the 33% in September 2025 and bringing the number saying it’s a major or minor problem to 89%.
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The largest number of voters, 43%, cite economic issues such as inflation (26%) and the economy generally (17%) as the most important issues facing the country today.
Other issues rank significantly lower, with around one in 10 naming political leadership/corruption (13%), the war with Iran (11%), political divisions within the country (9%), and immigration (8%) as the top concern. Aside from the Iran war, these priorities are mostly unchanged since last year.
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Democrats are more likely to cite inflation/economy (41%) and political leadership/corruption (22%), while Republicans prioritize inflation/economy (42%), immigration/border security (14%), and the Iran war (14%).
When asked which political party would do a better job handling issues, the poll finds Republicans have the advantage on border security (+16 points), crime (+8), immigration (+8) and national security (+6). Democrats are favored on climate change (+29 points), healthcare (+21), abortion (+18), transgender issues (+13), inflation (+8 points) and foreign policy (+6). Neither party has a significant edge on handling the economy (D +4) or artificial intelligence (D +5).
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Independents prefer Republicans more than Democrats on only four of the 12 issues tested and back the Democratic candidate on the generic ballot question by a 57-41% margin.
The poll shows if the election were today, 52% of voters say they would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 47% the Republican. That’s a five-point edge, within the poll’s margin of error. Democrats were up by six points in January (52-46).
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“Although these results are good news for the Democrats, there are two important factors to keep in mind when looking at the generic ballot results,” Shaw said. “First, because more of the Democratic vote is stacked in heavily Democratic districts, they probably need to win the national vote by one to three points to win a majority in the House. Second, poll results don’t become particularly predictive of the actual vote until late summer before the election.”
At this point, more Democrats (68%) than Republicans (60%) say they are “extremely” motivated to vote this year. There’s a similar gap among 2024 voters, with more supporters of Kamala Harris (72%) than Donald Trump (59%) feeling motivated.
Meanwhile, voters say both the Democratic Party (61%) and the Republican Party (61%) are focused on the “wrong” issues these days. Independents are 10 points more critical of Republicans (76% wrong focus) than the Democratic Party (66% wrong).
When asked what one issue they want the party to talk about less, voters are most fatigued by cultural and identity issues, regardless of which party raises them. They say Democrats should stop talking about transgender and DEI (19%), Trump (16%) and ICE and border security (11%). For Republicans, voters want less focus on ICE and deportations (16%), Iran and Israel and the war (10%) and culture wars/transgender issues (9%).
President Trump’s overall job rating stands at 42% approval, while 58% disapprove. Last month, it was 41-59%. The only time the president has had a net positive job rating was soon after taking office the first time, when 48% approved and 47% disapproved in February 2017. His lowest rating ever was 38-57 in October 2017.
Some of the president’s highest approval comes from MAGA Republicans (96%), very conservative voters (85%) and Trump voters (83%), while some of the lowest approval comes from women under age 45 (28%), Black voters (19%) and Democrats (5%).
Approval of Trump among Catholics overall (51%) and White Catholics (57%) held steady or ticked up a couple of points this month despite the president’s back-and-forth about the Iran war with Pope Leo XIV.
Forty-six percent have a favorable view of first lady Melania Trump. That makes her more popular than her husband by six points (40% favorable) and both the Democratic (42%) and Republican Parties (42%) by 4 points.
While Melania’s favorable rating is up one point compared to a year ago, her unfavorable rating has jumped 13 points — from 39% in April 2025 to 52% today. For the president, 60% have a negative view of him, up from 55% last year.
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Poll-pourri
By a four-point margin, more voters have a positive view of ICE (42% favorable) than sanctuary cities (38%).
Views on border security have shifted sharply, with 45% now saying conditions are “about right,” while 31% say they are not strict enough and 23% too strict. That marks a significant change since 2023, when seven in 10 said border security was not strict enough.
Since 2023, the number of Democrats saying “too strict” jumped from 17% to 41% today, while Republicans saying “not strict enough” dropped from 91% to 46% now.
Conducted April 17-20, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,001 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (116) and cellphones (635) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (250). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
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