2026年4月21日 / 美国东部时间上午7:22 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
弗吉尼亚州选民将于周二就是否批准一项公投做出决定,该公投提议重新划分该州国会选区,使民主党以10比1的比例占据优势。这是两党在全国范围内争夺众议院控制权的最新一场博弈。
周二 polls 开放时间至美国东部时间晚上7点。提前投票已于3月6日启动,截至目前投票率颇高,尤其是对于一场特别选举而言。据弗吉尼亚公共访问项目数据,截至周一,已有超过135万人提前投票,几乎与去年秋季全州选举的总投票人数(148万)持平。
此次公投旨在修改州宪法,允许在任期内进行重新区划,采用民主党控制的州议会重新绘制的国会选区地图。新地图将使民主党在该州11个众议院席位中占据10个,仅留1个给共和党。
根据公投内容,这套地图仅在2030年选举前有效,之后将恢复标准的重划流程。通常情况下,各州会每十年根据十年一次的人口普查结果重新绘制国会选区地图。
民主党目前掌控该州11个众议院席位中的6个,现行地图由两党委员会绘制。新地图将拆分该州北部地区——包括华盛顿特区郊区,该地区近年来民主党支持率持续攀升——将其划分为多个延伸至该州南部和西部更保守地区的选区。新地图还将重点倾斜民主党票仓里士满和弗吉尼亚海滩。
弗吉尼亚州拟议国会选区地图 弗吉尼亚州立法信息系统
前总统特朗普于周一和周二敦促共和党人投票反对此次公投,他在社交媒体上发帖称:“投‘反对票’以拯救你的国家!”
特朗普周一在约翰·弗里德里克斯电台节目中表示:“民主党人甚至都说这不公平。他们说‘哦,他们只会做这一次,之后或许会恢复原状’。这整件事都荒谬至极。”
去年,由加州州长加文·纽瑟姆推动的类似 ballot 措施在该州顺利通过,将5个共和党掌控的选区转向民主党。在特朗普下令德克萨斯州共和党议员重新绘制国会选区地图,为共和党增加至多5个席位后,纽瑟姆和弗吉尼亚州州长阿比盖尔·斯潘伯格正致力于平衡两党的重划选区优势。密苏里州和北卡罗来纳州也重新绘制了地图,各自排挤掉1名民主党议员。
弗吉尼亚州民主党在2025年全州选举取得胜利后,于2026年立法会议期间推进了新地图的制定。去年11月,斯潘伯格以15个百分点的优势获胜,民主党州检察长杰伊·琼斯凭借现有文本信息击败在任者杰森·米亚雷斯,民主党同时拿下州众议院和州参议院的多数席位。
尽管取得了这些胜绩,3月份《华盛顿邮报》与乔治·梅森大学联合开展的民调显示,支持公投的“赞成票”仅领先5个百分点。
弗吉尼亚公平投票组织的布莱恩·坎农自称25年党龄的民主党人,但他公开反对此次重划选区公投。他曾参与创建两党委员会,负责绘制该州国会选区地图。他表示,尽管他和共和党人一样反对此次公投,但共和党整体“不愿承认特朗普在德克萨斯州挑起这场争端是错误的”。他说自己正与两党中反对这项公投的弗吉尼亚人合作。
坎农称,民主党本应在去年11月乘势而上,“考虑到阿比盖尔·斯潘伯格以15个百分点的优势赢得全州选举——他们完全可以凭借现有公平地图堂堂正正地再多赢2个席位,这太荒谬了”。
但坎农表示,他如今发现共和党人“士气高涨,这是去年11月选举时从未有过的景象,提前投票的数据也印证了这一点,哪怕是在深红选区”。另一方面,他也接触过一些民主党选民,他们表示:“我讨厌特朗普,也讨厌操纵选区划分,但我真的很纠结,干脆不投票了。”
弗吉尼亚州的情况更为复杂的是,此次公投要求选民实质上推翻仅在5年前通过、当时由民主党推动的一项宪法修正案。
尽管全美一些民主党人因抵制特朗普在共和党州推动的重划选区行动而士气高涨,但乔治·梅森大学沙尔政策与政府学院的马克·罗泽尔指出,对于弗吉尼亚州民主党而言,这更像是一场“高风险的赌博”,因为“这开创了先例,而弗吉尼亚州更像是一个紫色州”。
但民主党试图将弗吉尼亚州的重划选区行动包装成一场全国性公投,投放的广告中出现了前总统巴拉克·奥巴马为赞成票背书的画面。奥巴马时期的司法部长埃里克·霍尔德是全国民主党重划选区委员会主席,此前曾反对党派操纵选区划分。他周日在《与玛格丽特·布伦南会面》节目中表示,此次公投并非“仅关乎弗吉尼亚州的斗争”。
“我们需要应对当前的危机,找到应对危机的方法,然后回到加州和弗吉尼亚州的重划选区委员会议题上来,”霍尔德说,“我认为有一点非常重要,那就是弗吉尼亚州的民众有权自行做出决定,正如他们在加州所做的那样,而不是……像在德克萨斯州、密苏里州和北卡罗来纳州那样由他人强加。那些州的重划方案极不受欢迎,但共和党政客无视当地民众的意愿,强行推行了这些机制。”
尽管共和党在2021年刚拿下弗吉尼亚州州长职位,但该州共和党人因与特朗普和联邦政府的关联而处境艰难,尤其是在该地区持续承受特朗普政府联邦岗位削减、汽油价格飙升和高通胀带来的余波之际。
据弗吉尼亚公共访问项目数据,此次竞选已投入近1亿美元资金,其中95%来自匿名捐款团体。支持公投的组织“弗吉尼亚人公平选举”已捐款6400万美元,而反对重划选区的团体“弗吉尼亚人公平地图”则投入了近2000万美元。
有迹象显示,去年夏天始于德克萨斯州的重划选区争夺战开始降温。去年12月,尽管特朗普试图干预,但一项本可让共和党在印第安纳州获得9比0优势的地图方案在共和党控制的州参议院未能通过。本月早些时候,马里兰州立法会议未就民主党州长韦斯·摩尔支持的地图进行投票,该地图旨在排挤该州唯一的共和党联邦众议员。
但弗吉尼亚大学政治中心萨巴托水晶球执行主编凯尔·康迪克表示,“截至目前,尽管有众多州重新绘制了选区地图,但整体众议院选区格局并未明显向某一方倾斜”。
佛罗里达州共和党人仍可能在特别会议上重新推进重划选区工作。但康迪克指出,如果共和党无法在其他州通过新的选区地图,而弗吉尼亚州民主党公投成功,那么从全国范围来看,“民主党实际上将在重划选区议题上占据上风”。
“有趣的是,双方都能以‘拯救民主’和所谓‘公平’为说辞,而且听起来都合情合理,”康迪克说,“所以在某种程度上,这有点混乱。我的意思是,弗吉尼亚州的这套地图能称之为‘公平’吗?当然不能。但从当前正在进行的这场重划选区战争的大背景来看,公平的说法或许更站得住脚。”
Virginia takes redistricting wars to the voters as Democrats seek 10-1 congressional map
April 21, 2026 / 7:22 AM EDT / CBS News
Virginia voters are deciding Tuesday whether to approve a referendum to redraw their state’s congressional districts to favor Democrats by a 10-1 margin, the latest battle in the nationwide scramble by both parties to increase their chances of winning control of the House.
Polls will be open on Tuesday until 7 p.m. ET. Early voting began on March 6, and turnout so far has been high, especially for a special election. As of Monday, more than 1.35 million people had voted early, almost as many as the total 1.48 million who voted in last fall’s statewide races, according to Virginia Public Access Project.
The referendum is seeking to amend the state constitution to allow a mid-decade redistricting using the Democratic-controlled Assembly’s redrawn congressional maps, which will give Democrats an advantage in all but one of the state’s 11 House seats.
According to the referendum, the maps would only be in place until the 2030 election, after which the standard redistricting process will resume. Normally, states redraw their congressional maps once every 10 years, following the decennial Census.
Democrats currently control six of the state’s 11 House seats, and the current map was drawn by a bipartisan commission. The new map would break up the northern part of the state, which includes the D.C. suburbs and has trended more and more Democratic over the years, into several districts that extend into the more conservative southern and western parts of the state. It would also emphasize Democratic Richmond and Virginia Beach.
Proposed Virginia congressional district map Virginia State Legislative Information System
President Trump on Monday and Tuesday urged Republicans to vote against the referendum, posting on social media, “VOTE ‘NO’TO SAVE YOUR COUNTRY!”
Democrats “even say it’s unfair,” Mr. Trump said Monday on the John Fredericks radio show. “They say, ‘oh, they’ll do it once, and maybe they’ll go back to what it was.’ It’s — the whole thing is ridiculous.”
A similar ballot measure shepherded by California Gov. Gavin Newsom sailed through that state last year, shifting five GOP-held seats toward Democrats. Newsom and Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger are seeking to even out the redistricting balance sheet after Mr. Trump ordered Texas’ GOP lawmakers to redraw their congressional maps to give Republicans up to five more seats. Missouri and North Carolina also redrew their maps to edge out one Democratic lawmaker apiece.
Virginia Democrats pushed forward with the new maps in the 2026 legislative session, buoyed by the party’s statewide successes in 2025. Last November, Spanberger won by 15 points, Democratic Attorney General Jay Jones defeated incumbent Jason Miyares despite violent text messages that emerged and Democrats swept both the House of Delegates and the state Senate.
But despite those victory margins, a Washington Post/George Mason University poll in March had the yes vote only leading by five points.
Brian Cannon of Fair Vote Virginia said he has been a Democrat for 25 years. But he is publicly opposed to the redistricting referendum, pointing to the work he did previously to create a bipartisan commission to draw the state’s congressional maps. He said that although he agrees with Republicans against the referendum, the party as a whole is “not willing to say Trump was wrong to start this fight in Texas.” He said he is working with Virginians from both parties who are opposed to this measure.
Cannon said he believes that Democrats would have had the momentum in November, and “it’s ridiculous, given that Abigail Spanberger won the state by 15 points — they can just win fair and square two more seats under the fair maps that we have.”
But now Cannon said he has seen that Republicans are “fired up, in a way they certainly were not in November of last year, and that’s evident in the early voting, even in deep-red spots.” He said he has spoken to Democrats, on the other hand, who say: “I hate Trump and I hate gerrymandering, and I really am torn and I’m just not going to vote.”
Complicating matters in Virginia is that the referendum is asking voters to essentially overturn a constitutional amendment that was enacted only five years ago and was pushed by Democrats at the time.
While some Democrats nationwide have been fired up by countering Mr. Trump’s redistricting push in red states, Mark Rozell of George Mason’s Schar School of Policy and Government noted that it’s more of a “risky gamble” for Virginia Democrats because it “sets a precedent. And Virginia is more of a purple state.”
But Democrats have sought to cast the Virginia redistricting as a nationwide referendum, with ads featuring former President Barack Obama for the yes vote. Obama’s Attorney General Eric Holder, the chairman of the National Democratic Redistricting Committee who previously had advocated against partisan gerrymandering, told “Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan” on Sunday that the referendum is not a “fight only about Virginia.”
“We need to deal with the crisis that we have right now, come up with a way in which we deal with that crisis, and then get back to the redistricting commissions in California and in Virginia,” Holder said. “And one thing I think it’s really important to understand is that the people have the ability to make this decision in Virginia, as they did in California, as opposed to …being imposed upon them in Texas and in Missouri and in North Carolina, which proved to be wildly unpopular, but Republican politicians ignored the will of the people in those states and put in place these mechanisms.”
Although the GOP won the Virginia governor’s mansion as recently as 2021, the state’s Republicans have suffered from connections to Mr. Trump and the federal government, especially as the region continues to deal with the fallout from the Trump administration’s federal jobs cuts, soaring gas prices and high inflation.
Nearly $100 million has been poured into the race already, with 95% of that money donated coming from dark money groups. Virginians for Fair Elections, a group supporting the referendum, has donated $64 million, while an anti-redistricing group Virginians for Fair Maps has poured in nearly $20 million, according to data from the Virginia Public Access Project.
There are some signs that the redistricting scramble that started last summer in Texas is starting to cool. In December, despite Mr. Trump’s attempts to intervene, a map that would have given Indiana Republicans a 9-0 advantage failed in the GOP-controlled state Senate. And earlier this month, the Maryland legislative session ended without a vote on a map backed by Democratic Gov. Wes Moore to try to edge out the state’s lone Republican member of Congress.
But Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at University of Virginia Center for Politics, said that “basically, as of right now, the overall House map hasn’t really changed all that much in favor of one side or the other” despite so many states redrawing their maps.
Florida Republicans could still take up redistricting in a special session. But if Republicans aren’t able to push through new maps in any other states and Virginia Democrats succeed, nationally, “Democrats can actually come out ahead on redistricting,” according to Kondik.
“It’s funny, the themes about saving democracy and quote-unquote fairness, like both sides could make that point and make it in a valid way,” Kondik said. “And so in some ways, it’s kind of a muddle. I mean, is it a quote-unquote fair map in Virginia? Of course it’s not. But in the broader context of this redistricting war that’s going on, then maybe the fairness argument makes more sense.”
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