一场本应必胜的密歇根参议院选举为何让民主党陷入混乱


2026-04-19T11:00:56.891Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

作者:马努·拉朱、艾莉森·梅因
发布时间:2026年4月19日,美国东部时间上午7:00

2026年3月14日,阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德在密歇根州庞蒂亚克举行竞选活动

坐在家乡安阿伯的一家咖啡馆里,阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德正准备驳斥“他无法当选”的说法。

这位41岁的埃及移民之子持鲜明的进步主义立场,与参议员伯尼·桑德斯的观点一致。华盛顿的许多民主党人将他视为他们担忧的那种候选人:赢得初选却在11月的大选中失利,让他们失去夺回参议院多数席位的机会。

埃尔赛义德对此嗤之以鼻。
“我认为有种观点认为,当选的关键是做到最不惹人反感,”他告诉CNN,“如果真是这样,唐纳德·特朗普怎么能两次当选总统?”

他是否正确,可能对参议院的控制权产生重大影响。

密歇根州的开放参议院席位如今正成为共和党对冲民主党可能接管局面的筹码。民主党需要净夺四个席位才能翻转参议院多数,若失去密歇根州,民主党几乎不可能完成目标。这也是一个主要共和党外部团体刚刚宣布计划向该州投入4500万美元——比任何其他夺席机会都多——以支持有望成为共和党候选人的前众议员迈克·罗杰斯的原因。

相关报道:2026年中期选举竞争最激烈的9场参议院角逐 阅读时长:18分钟
2026年3月27日拍摄的美国国会大厦资料图

共和党希望,8月4日初选产生的最终民主党候选人会因竞选受损且资金短缺,从而让罗杰斯占据上风。

“如果他赢得这个席位,如果他们成功买下这个席位,那么民主党将完全没有途径控制美国参议院,”州参议员马洛里·麦克莫罗说道,她是争夺民主党提名的三位候选人之一。

但民主党首先必须解决自身的内部矛盾。

代表底特律郊区选区的42岁众议员黑利·史蒂文斯是党内许多建制派人士的宠儿,他们认为她是最具 electability(当选可能性)的人选。39岁的麦克莫罗则试图将自己塑造成既能吸引传统民主党人,又能迎合渴望改革政党领导层的进步派人士的候选人。

曾担任公共卫生官员、撰写过《全民医保》一书的埃尔赛义德,在几个关键议题上立场更偏向左翼。

民主党选民面临的棘手问题是:他们应该支持肯定能动员进步派基础的候选人?还是应该追随党内建制派,选择可能更能吸引摇摆选民的人选?

“任何致力于击败特朗普和MAGA运动的人,”底特律郊区坎顿市一名尚未做出决定的民主党选民杰夫·奥尔布赖特在被问及最重要的议题时说道,“这都是头号大事。”

党内分歧

迄今为止的竞选已经暴露了密歇根民主党人在重大议题上的巨大分歧——包括移民执法、医疗保健、对以色列的支持以及政党领导层的现状。

埃尔赛义德呼吁废除美国移民与海关执法局(ICE),而史蒂文斯和麦克莫罗则希望改革ICE的运作方式。埃尔赛义德发誓不接受任何企业政治行动委员会(PAC)的资金,尽管史蒂文斯呼吁推翻最高法院的“联合公民案”裁决,但她仍在接受PAC的资助。

尽管麦克莫罗如今禁止企业向她的竞选活动捐款,但这与她竞选州参议员时接受企业捐款的立场相悖。她表示,这表明她“愿意成长”,并且现在学会了“以不同的方式”开展竞选活动。
“我们不能变成轻量版共和党,”麦克莫罗在底特律郊区一家啤酒厂接受采访时说道。

2025年12月10日,密歇根州参议员马洛里·麦克莫罗在密歇根州伯克利拍摄肖像照

埃尔赛义德抨击麦克莫罗在立场上“反复无常”。
“问题不只是你的立场,还在于你是否真正、坚定地坚守这些立场,”埃尔赛义德说道,随后他提到宾夕法尼亚州民主党参议员约翰·费特曼——这位曾与本党决裂、成为左翼眼中的反派人物。“我们很多人都对约翰·费特曼这类人感到沮丧,他竞选时说要对抗沼泽政治,结果却变成了住在沼泽里的恶魔。”

埃尔赛义德抨击他的两位民主党对手“缺乏勇气”。
“民主党人正是以这种缺乏勇气的态度,辩称他们应该接受企业的捐款,或者辩称他们应该在诸如废除ICE或通过全民医保保障医疗保健等明确、显而易见的政策上持观望态度,”他说,“你现在在这场竞选中看到的是,人们已经厌倦了这种缺乏勇气的老牌民主党人。”

麦克莫罗表示,埃尔赛义德的很多竞选活动都只是空谈。
“空谈固然不错,但结果更重要,”身为州参议院民主党党鞭的麦克莫罗说道,“只是四处走访、谈论议题,空谈却不知道如何真正落实这些政策,根本不会带来任何改变。那只是从外部扔炸弹而已。”

当被问及是否认为埃尔赛义德会在大选中被共和党打得惨败时,史蒂文斯转而聚焦于自己的竞选活动和经济主张,称她是“能够击败迈克·罗杰斯的最佳人选,甚至是唯一人选”。

他们将如何与本党参议院领袖合作,也是一个引发争议的焦点。

史蒂文斯过去曾称赞参议员查克·舒默是“伟大的领袖”,当被CNN问及是否仍坚持这些评价时,她拒绝表态,称这是“圈内人的琐事”。

2026年3月17日,众议员黑利·史蒂文斯在华盛顿特区参加DC区块链峰会

埃尔赛义德表示,马里兰州参议员克里斯·范·霍伦应该成为下一任民主党领袖,并抨击舒默对以色列提供援助的立场。

麦克莫罗也表示,是时候做出改变了。“我们需要新的领导层,”她说。
“看看民调就知道,唯一比唐纳德·特朗普更不受欢迎的就是民主党,”麦克莫罗说,“这太糟糕了。所以我们需要推出截然不同的民主党候选人。”

以色列问题的分歧

在密歇根州乃至全国民主党政治中,可能没有比以色列问题更大的分歧线了。底特律及其周边地区拥有庞大的阿拉伯裔和犹太裔选民群体。2024年11月特朗普翻转密歇根州,部分原因是他吸引了因前总统乔·拜登对以哈战争处理方式感到不满的穆斯林和犹太选民。

埃尔赛义德毫不掩饰自己的观点,他抨击美国以色列公共事务委员会(AIPAC),称以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡是“战争罪犯”,并将哈马斯10月7日袭击后以色列在加沙的军事行动称为“种族灭绝”。

当被问及是否认为以色列和哈马斯一样邪恶时,埃尔赛义德说:“是的。杀害数万人会让你变得极其邪恶,”他说,“问题不在于这一方和那一方谁更邪恶:哈马斯邪恶,以色列政府邪恶。你可以两者都谴责。”

2026年3月25日,以色列空袭加沙中部代尔拜拉赫一处安置流离失所者的帐篷营地后,升起火球

史蒂文斯得到了AIPAC的支持,埃尔赛义德称这“对我们的政治来说是一场灾难”。
“我们是在密歇根州竞选参议员,作为密歇根州的参议员,你应该更关心密歇根州发生的事情,而不是特拉维夫发生的事情,”埃尔赛义德说道。

当被问及是否欣然接受AIPAC的支持时,史蒂文斯拒绝回应。
“我正在以草根方式开展竞选活动,与大量积极参与的密歇根选民站在一起,”她在被问及AIPAC时说道,称选民一直在向她询问高能源成本问题。

去年,联合国一项调查得出结论称,以色列在加沙对巴勒斯坦人犯下了种族灭绝罪——以色列政府和史蒂文斯都坚决否认这一指控。
“我不同意这个说法,”当被问及是否属于种族灭绝时,史蒂文斯说道。

麦克莫罗去年秋天在一场竞选活动中被追问时,首次明确将以色列在加沙的军事行动称为“种族灭绝”,但她告诉选民,冲突的定义不如达成“解决方案”重要。她还明确表示不会寻求AIPAC的支持,此前有“Drop Site News”的报道称,她曾为这个亲以色列团体撰写过候选人立场文件,这让她面临审查,据一次与捐赠者的竞选电话透露。周五,麦克莫罗在X平台上发文称:“我从未、现在不会、将来也不会接受AIPAC的捐款。”

当被CNN问及是否认为内塔尼亚胡是战争罪犯时,麦克莫罗说:“目睹这场破坏,我相信战争罪行确实发生了。”

皮克的集会

麦克莫罗和史蒂文斯都批评埃尔赛义德与左翼主播哈桑·皮克一起在大学校园巡回演讲。皮克曾发表过诸多煽动性言论,包括称哈马斯“比以色列好一千倍”,以及“美国活该遭受9·11袭击”。

皮克已经收回了关于9月11日的言论,但史蒂文斯抓住了这一点。
“那不是我会一起竞选的人,”史蒂文斯说,“因为说美国活该遭受9·11袭击是不爱国的,我们不应该这么说。这关乎为密歇根州赢得胜利。”

2026年4月7日,哈桑·皮克(左)在密歇根州安阿伯市密歇根大学的竞选集会前的休息室里聆听阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德演讲

埃尔赛义德对史蒂文斯的批评感到不快。
“我对美国的理解是,这是一个我们愿意与持不同意见的人展开对话的地方,”埃尔赛义德说道。

埃尔赛义德补充道:“我认为人们厌恶民主党正是因为这种‘取消文化’倾向。我们高高在上,然后指责人们可以和谁交谈、不可以和谁交谈。”

兰辛市的一名民主党选民表示,如果埃尔赛义德成为候选人,她不会投票给他,特别是因为他在以色列问题上的立场。
“我不想看到有人迎合当下所谓的‘万能事业’,”支持史蒂文斯的罗宾·吉利斯说道,“我希望有人处事正常。我是一个普通的民主党人,我想为一个正常的民主党人投票。”

摇摆选民是“神话”吗?

本月早些时候在密歇根州立大学,数百名学生排队等候聆听皮克和埃尔赛义德的演讲,许多大学生选民称赞这位候选人坚定的进步主义和反以色列立场。

兰辛市的民主党选民尼克·科芬-卡利斯提到了埃尔赛义德对全民医保和免费育儿的支持,以及他对以色列的反对。这些观点即使能帮助他赢得初选,也可能成为罗杰斯及其资金充裕的盟友发起攻击广告的素材,而这正是全国民主党人所担忧的。

但当被问及埃尔赛义德的观点是否会让这个紫色州的摇摆选民反感时,科芬-卡利斯的回应道出了进步派基础当前的情绪。
“我认为这些中间的摇摆选民是神话般的生物,”科芬-卡利斯说,“我认为他们不一定存在。”

How a must-win Michigan Senate race turned messy for Democrats

2026-04-19T11:00:56.891Z / CNN

By Manu Raju, Alison Main

PUBLISHED Apr 19, 2026, 7:00 AM ET

Abdul El-Sayed holds a campaign event in Pontiac, Michigan, on March 14.

Jim West/UCG/Universal Images Group/Getty Images

Sitting in a coffee shop in his hometown of Ann Arbor, Abdul El-Sayed is ready to dispel the notion that he’s unelectable.

The 41-year-old son of Egyptian immigrants whose sharply progressive views align with those of Sen. Bernie Sanders, El-Sayed is seen by many Democrats in Washington as the kind of candidate they fear: someone who wins a primary and loses in November, costing them a shot at the Senate majority.

El-Sayed scoffs at that.

“I think there is this notion that electability is about being the least offensive,” he told CNN. “If that were true, why would Donald Trump have won the presidency twice?”

Whether he’s right could have enormous ramifications for control of the Senate.

Michigan’s open Senate seat is now emerging as a GOP hedge against a potential takeover for Democrats, who need to net four seats to flip the chamber. Losing Michigan would make the Democrats’ task almost impossible, a major reason why a leading Republican outside group just announced plans to pour $45 million into the state – more than any other pickup opportunity – to boost former Rep. Mike Rogers, the likely GOP nominee.

Related article The US Capitol building is seen on March 27. Samuel Corum/Getty Images/File The 9 most competitive Senate races of the 2026 midterms 18 min read

Republicans are hoping that the ultimate Democratic nominee emerging from the August 4 primary emerges battered and cash-strapped, giving Rogers a leg up.

“If he wins this seat, if they are successful in trying to buy this seat, then there is no path at all for Democrats to take control of the US Senate,” said state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, one of the three Democrats vying for the party’s nomination.

Yet Democrats have to resolve their own internal struggles first.

Rep. Haley Stevens, a 42-year-old who represents a district in the Detroit suburbs, is a favorite among many in the party establishment who see her as the most electable. The 39-year-old McMorrow is trying to brand herself as a candidate who can woo both traditional Democrats and progressives hungry for a shakeup of their party’s leadership.

El-Sayed, a former public health official who wrote a book on Medicare for All, is pushing to the left on several key issues.

The thorny questions facing Democratic voters: Should they back a candidate certain to energize their progressive base? Or should they fall in line behind the party establishment and pick someone who might better woo swing voters?

“Anybody committed to shutting down Trump and the MAGA movement,” said Jeff Albright, an undecided Democratic voter in the Detroit suburb of Canton, when asked about his most important issue. “That’s No. 1.”

The splits within the party

The fight so far has revealed huge splits among Michigan Democrats over major issues – on immigration enforcement, health care, support for Israel and the state of their party’s leadership.

El-Sayed has called to abolish US Immigration and Customs Enforcement while Stevens and McMorrow want changes to ICE’s practices instead. El-Sayed has sworn off any corporate PAC money while Stevens continues to accept PAC funding, despite her calls to overturn the Supreme Court’s Citizens United ruling.

While McMorrow now bans corporate donations to her campaign, it’s a shift from her position accepting them when running for state Senate, something she says shows she’s “willing to be someone who evolves” and has now learned how to campaign “differently.”

“We can’t be Republican-light,” McMorrow said in an interview at a brewery in the Detroit suburbs.

Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow poses for a portrait in Berkley, Michigan, on December 10, 2025.

Emily Elconin/Reuters

El-Sayed attacked McMorrow for “a flip” in positions.

“It’s not just your positions, it’s about whether or not you truly and deeply hold on to them,” El-Sayed said before pointing to Sen. John Fetterman, the Pennsylvania Democrat who has broken with his party and become a villain on the left. “I think so many of us are frustrated by the likes of John Fetterman, a guy who campaigned saying that he was going to take on the swamp, only to become the ogre who lives in the swamp.”

El-Sayed bashed both his Democratic foes for a “lack of courage.”

“It’s just the same lack of courage that Democrats deploy to argue as to why they should be taking money from corporations, or why they should be hedging their bets on clear, obvious policies like abolishing ICE or guaranteeing health care through Medicare for All,” he said. “What you’re seeing in this race right now is that people are sick and tired of the same old Democrats who lack courage.”

McMorrow said a lot of El-Sayed’s campaign is just rhetoric.

“Rhetoric is nice, but results are better,” said McMorrow, who is the state Senate Democratic whip. “Just doing rounds and talking about issues and having rhetoric without knowing how to actually implement those things is not going to shake it up at all. That’s just lobbing bombs from the outside.”

Asked if she thought El-Sayed would get trounced by Republicans in a general election, Stevens instead focused on her own campaign and her economic message, arguing that she’s “the best person or the only person that can beat Mike Rogers.”

How they’d work with their party’s Senate leader also is a flashpoint.

Stevens, who has praised Sen. Chuck Schumer as a “great leader” in the past, wouldn’t say if she stood by those comments when asked by CNN, calling it “inside baseball.”

Rep. Haley Stevens attends the DC Blockchain Summit in Washington, DC, on March 17.

Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty Images

El-Sayed said Sen. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland should be the next Democratic leader, as he bashed Schumer over his stance of providing aid to Israel.

McMorrow also said it’s time for a change. “We need new leadership,” she said.

“Because if you look at polling, the only thing less popular than Donald Trump is the Democratic Party,” McMorrow said. “That’s rough. So we need to run very different Democrats.”

The Israel divide

There’s perhaps no bigger dividing line in Michigan or national Democratic politics than Israel. There are sizable Arab American and Jewish voter blocs in and around Detroit. Trump flipped Michigan in November 2024 in part by appealing to both Muslims and Jews disaffected by former President Joe Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war.

El-Sayed makes no bones about his views, attacking the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, calling Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a “war criminal,” and referring to Israel’s military campaign in Gaza after Hamas’ October 7 attacks as a “genocide.”

Asked if he thinks Israel is as evil as Hamas, El-Sayed said: “Yes. Killing tens of thousands of people makes you pretty damn evil,” he said. “It’s not how evil is this one versus that one: Hamas evil, Israeli government evil. You can say both.”

A fireball erupts following an Israeli strike near a tent encampment sheltering displaced people, in Deir el-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip on March 25.

Eyad Baba/AFP/Getty Images

Stevens has the backing of AIPAC, something El-Sayed says is “disastrous for our politics.”

“We’re running for Senate for Michigan, and as a senator from Michigan, you should be more interested in what’s happening in Michigan than you are interested in what’s happening in Tel Aviv,” El-Sayed said.

Stevens wouldn’t say when asked if she embraced AIPAC’s support.

“I’m campaigning in a grassroots way alongside a ton of engaged Michiganders,” she said when asked about AIPAC, saying voters were asking her about their high energy costs.

Last year, a United Nations inquiry concluded that Israel had committed genocide against Palestinians in Gaza – an accusation the Israeli government firmly rejects, as does Stevens.

“I don’t agree with that,” Stevens said when asked if it were a genocide.

McMorrow first notably characterized the Israeli military action in Gaza as a “genocide” when pressed on the issue at a campaign event last fall, though she told voters that the definition of the conflict matters less than reaching a “solution.” She also made clear she would not seek the support of AIPAC, as she faced scrutiny for a Drop Site News report saying she had produced a candidate position paper for the pro-Israel group, according to a campaign call with donors. And on Friday, McMorrow posted on X: “I have not, am not, and will not take money from AIPAC.”

Asked by CNN if she believes Netanyahu is a war criminal, McMorrow said: “Watching the devastation, I do believe that war crimes were committed.”

The Piker rallies

Both McMorrow and Stevens criticized El-Sayed for barnstorming college campuses with left-wing streamer Hasan Piker, who has a history of inflammatory comments, including saying Hamas is “a thousand times better” than Israel and saying “America deserved 9/11.”

Piker has walked back the remarks about September 11, but Stevens seized upon them.

“That’s not someone I’d be campaigning with,” Stevens said. “Because it’s un-American and we shouldn’t say that America deserved 9/11. This is about winning for Michigan.”

Hasan Piker, left, listens as Abdul El-Sayed speaks in a green room before a campaign rally at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, Michigan, on April 7.

Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP

El-Sayed took umbrage at Stevens’ criticism.

“My understanding of America is, it’s a place where we’re willing to have conversations with folks with whom we disagree,” El-Sayed said.

El-Sayed added: “It’s that penchant for cancel culture that I think people hate about Democrats. We sit here from on high and then scold people about who they’re allowed to talk to and who they’re not.”

One Democratic voter in Lansing says she would not vote for El-Sayed if he became the nominee, citing in particular his position on Israel.

“I don’t want somebody who’s going to pander to whatever is the ‘omnicause’ of the day,” said Robin Gillis, a Stevens supporter. “I want someone who is normal about it. I’m a normal Democrat. I want to vote for a normal Democrat.”

Are swing voters ‘mythical’?

Earlier this month at Michigan State University, hundreds of students lined up for a chance to hear from both Piker and El-Sayed, with many college-age voters citing the candidate’s staunchly progressive and anti-Israel views.

Nick Coffin-Callis, a Democratic voter in Lansing, noted El-Sayed’s support for Medicare for All and free childcare as well as his opposition to Israel. Those views, even if they propel him to a primary victory, could give Rogers and his well-funded allies material for attack ads that national Democrats fear.

But when asked if El-Sayed’s ideas would put off swing voters in this purple state, Coffin-Callis demurred in a way that captures the progressive base’s current mood.

“I think these swing voters in the center are mythical creatures,” Coffin-Callis said. “I don’t think they necessarily exist.”

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