2026-04-13T12:14:01-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
周一，北卡罗来纳州、佐治亚州、俄亥俄州和内布拉斯加州的选情均向有利于民主党方向倾斜
作者：保罗·斯坦豪瑟 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年4月13日美国东部时间下午12:14
参议院共和党竞选委员会主席蒂姆·斯科特对扩大多数席位“极为乐观”，但坦言形势“艰难”
美国全国共和党参议员竞选委员会主席、南卡罗来纳州参议员蒂姆·斯科特接受福克斯新闻数字频道独家专访，谈论共和党在中期选举中的胜算。
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一家顶尖无党派政治预测机构预测，由于共和党面临不利的政治环境，民主党在今年中期选举中夺回参议院多数席位的通道正在拓宽，但掌控参议院仍为“一项艰巨任务”。
《库克政治报告》周一将四个关键参议院席位的评级调整为有利于民主党，但补充称，共和党“仍是保住参议院多数席位的热门候选人，胜算收窄”。
共和党目前以53席比47席掌控参议院，但正面临强劲的政治逆风，因为在野党通常会在中期选举中失利。共和党面临的不利政治环境源于持续通胀引发的经济担忧、与伊朗不受欢迎的战争推高的油价，以及唐纳德·特朗普总统低迷的支持率。
“目前我们认为最有可能的结果是民主党拿下1至3个席位——仍未达到该党夺回多数席位所需的4个席位，”《库克政治报告》参议院与州长事务编辑杰西卡·泰勒在一份声明中表示。
被特朗普冷落的这些共和党候选人，却仿佛已获得他的背书
2026年1月12日，美国国会山参议院一侧外景。（保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻）
《库克政治报告》将即将退休的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯留下的北卡罗来纳州摇摆选区席位评级从“势均力敌”调整为“倾向民主党”。前两届任期民主党州长罗伊·库珀将对阵前共和党全国委员会主席迈克尔·沃特利，这场竞选预计将成为今年秋季全美花费最高、竞争最激烈的参议院对决之一。
在佐治亚州摇摆选区，民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫正寻求连任第二个六年任期，《库克政治报告》也将该州选情从“势均力敌”调整为“倾向民主党”。共和党将奥索夫视为今年寻求连任的民主党参议员中最脆弱的一位，但奥索夫已筹集了巨额竞选资金，而共和党则面临一场三方党内初选争夺提名。
战略会议：特朗普团队就中期选举信息传递展开闭门磋商
在倾向共和党的俄亥俄州，任命参议员乔恩·赫斯特德将在11月对阵前长期任职民主党参议员谢罗德·布朗，《库克政治报告》将该州评级从“倾向共和党”调整为“势均力敌”，并指出“即便共和党近期民调也显示这场竞争已陷入胶着”。
《库克政治报告》还将共和党参议员皮特·里基茨将面临独立候选人丹·奥斯本挑战的红色州内布拉斯加州的评级从“稳固共和党”调整为“倾向共和党”。
唐纳德·特朗普总统因伊朗冲突和油价上涨面临民调低迷。（塔索斯·卡托波德/盖蒂图片社）
“我们承认，此次评级调整正值特朗普民调跌至新低，且仍在处理尚未解决的伊朗战争问题。因此，他的政党有可能反弹，或是找到动员其基础选民在11月投票的口号——夏季最高法院大法官退休当然不会有坏处，”泰勒指出。
她还指出，“民主党仍在缅因州、密歇根州、明尼苏达州和艾奥瓦州面临混乱的初选斗争，而共和党正坐等出现有缺陷或受损的候选人。此外，共和党将拥有显著的机构资金优势。”
福克斯新闻民调：2026年中期选举前瞻
全国共和党参议员竞选委员会（NRSC）主席蒂姆·斯科特上个月在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时承认，“毫无疑问，政治环境似乎一天比一天艰难，有时确实如此”。
但斯科特补充道，他仍然“极为乐观”，共和党不仅能守住当前多数席位，还能进一步扩大优势。
民主党参议员竞选委员会（DSCC）在发给支持者的题为《四项评级转向民主党，民主党拿下参议院的几率上升》的邮件中，着重提及了《库克政治报告》的评级调整。
点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP
今年早些时候，民主党参议员竞选委员会主席、参议员柯尔斯滕·吉利布兰德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，她“非常乐观，凭借我们提名的优质候选人、共和党招募失败和推出的糟糕候选人，以及特朗普总统制造的极其不利的政治环境，我们完全具备掀起蓝色浪潮的条件”。
保罗·斯坦豪瑟是驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州的政治记者，全程报道全美各地的竞选活动。
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6387712668112
Democrats build midterm momentum, but Republicans still in driver’s seat in Senate majority battle
2026-04-13T12:14:01-04:00 / Fox News
Races in North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio and Nebraska all shifted in Democrats’ favor on Monday
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Published April 13, 2026 12:14pm EDT
Senate Republican campaign chair Tim Scott ‘extremely optimistic’ about expanding majority but spotlights ‘difficult’ climate
National Republican Senatorial Committee chair Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina speaks exclusively with Fox News Digital about the GOP’s chances in the midterm elections.
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A leading nonpartisan political handicapper predicts that the Democrats’ path to winning back the Senate majority in this year’s midterm elections is getting wider thanks to a rough political climate for the GOP, but that capturing control of the chamber remains a “tall order.”
The Cook Political Report on Monday shifted the ratings in four key Senate races in favor of the Democrats, but added that Republicans “remain the narrowing favorites to retain the upper chamber.”
Republicans currently control the Senate 53-47 but are battling stiff political headwinds, as the party in power in the nation’s capital traditionally loses seats in the midterms. The GOP faces a rough political climate fueled by economic concerns amid persistent inflation, as well as rising gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and President Donald Trump’s underwater approval ratings.
“Right now, we see the likeliest outcome is a one to three seat Democratic pickup — still just out of reach of the four seats the party needs to reclaim the majority,” Cook Report Senate and Governors Editor Jessica Taylor said in a release.
SNUBBED BY TRUMP, THESE GOP CANDIDATES ACT LIKE THEY HAVE HIS ENDORSEMENT ANYWAY
An exterior view of the Senate side of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 12, 2026.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
The Cook Report shifted the race to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis in battleground North Carolina from toss-up to lean Democrat. Former two-term Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper is facing off against former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley in what will likely be one of the most expensive and competitive Senate showdowns in the nation this autumn.
In battleground Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff is running for a second six-year term, the Cook Report also moved the race from toss-up to lean Democrat. Republicans view Ossoff as the most vulnerable Senate Democrat seeking re-election this year, but he has built a massive war chest while the GOP faces a three-way primary battle for its nomination.
STRATEGY SESSION: TRUMP TEAM HUDDLES ON MIDTERM MESSAGING
In red-leaning Ohio, where appointed Republican Sen. Jon Husted will face off in November against former longtime Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Cook Report shifted their ranking from lean Republican to toss up, noting that “even recent GOP polling” has indicated the race is all knotted up.
The Cook Report also shifted Nebraska, a red state where GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts will face a general election challenge from independent candidate Dan Osborn, from solid Republican to likely Republican.
President Donald Trump is facing low polling numbers in the wake of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices.(Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)
“We concede that these ratings changes are coming as Trump is at a new polling low and still navigating a yet-to-be-resolved war in Iran. So it’s possible things could rebound for his party or that they could find a rallying cry to get his base out in November — a summer Supreme Court retirement certainly wouldn’t hurt,” Taylor noted.
And she pointed out that “Democrats are still contending with messy primary fights in Maine, Michigan, Minnesota and Iowa, where Republicans are rooting for flawed or bruised nominees to emerge. And Republicans will have a significant institutional financial advantage.”
FOX NEWS POLL: AN EARLY LOOK AT THE 2026 MIDTERMS
National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chair Sen. Tim Scott acknowledged in a Fox News Digital interview last month that “there’s no doubt the climate has gotten more and more difficult by the day, it seems like at times.”
But Scott added that he remains “incredibly optimistic” the GOP can not only hold but expand its current majority.
The rival Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), in an email to supporters titled “Democratic Odds of Taking the Senate Increase as Four Ratings Shift in Their Favor,” spotlighted the Cook Report’s ratings shift.
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Earlier this year, DSCC Chair Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand told Fox News Digital she was “very optimistic that with the quality of candidates that we have, with the recruiting failures and the poor candidates the Republicans have, and this very harmful climate that President Trump is creating, we have all the makings of a blue wave.”
Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6387712668112
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