多数美国人尚未看到美国在伊朗的目标达成;CBS新闻民调显示美国人表达担忧与压力


2026年4月12日 / 美国东部时间上午9:01 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻

在多轮谈判与停火背景下,许多美国人认为伊朗战争仍是一桩未竟之事。

原因在于,他们认为美国需要完成几项重要目标——包括确保霍尔木兹海峡的石油通航、保障伊朗人民获得自由,以及永久终止伊朗的核计划——但目前他们觉得这些目标都尚未实现。

因此,在描述近期对这场冲突的感受时,美国人选择“担忧”“压力”和“愤怒”的比例远高于“安全”或“安心”。

两党绝大多数民众都认为,美国落实这些目标至关重要:

但绝大多数人表示,这些目标要么尚未完成,要么现在判断为时过早,其中就包括部分核心事项。

在谈判期间,大多数美国人也明确表达了不希望看到的局面——保留现伊朗政权是不可接受的,而允许伊朗在国际监督下保留核计划同样不可接受。

总而言之,大多数美国人仍认为这场局势进展不顺。这一观点在最近几周并未得到改善。

同样地,如果冲突就此结束,目前几乎没人认为这场战争在军事目标或美国战略利益层面已经取得成功。对许多人而言,现在判断胜负还为时过早——这进一步表明,他们尚未看到美国的目标得以实现。

特朗普总统

这种不确定性部分源于多数民众认为特朗普总统并未制定清晰的整体方案。

不过,大多数共和党人认为他有清晰方案,并且仍对他在伊朗问题上的决策抱有信心。

民众对此的看法存在强烈的党派分歧,但也与人们是否认为本届政府解释过相关目标有关——多数人仍认为政府并未解释清楚目标。在那些觉得目标不明确的人群中,大多数人认为目标不清晰源于美国不断调整目标清单。

当被问及总统的完整声明时,绝大多数美国人表示,他们已经或多或少看过或了解过特朗普近期在Truth Social上发布的、提及伊朗文明是其最后期限的相关帖子。多数人表示至少在一定程度上不喜欢这条帖子。非“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)派共和党人对该帖子的不好感也超过了好感。

MAGA共和党人对这条帖子的支持度相对更高——尽管仍未达到广泛支持的程度。他们倾向于认为特朗普的帖子至少和其真实意图一样,属于谈判策略。相对而言,更少的MAGA共和党人认为这些帖子仅反映了总统的真实意图。

特朗普的民调支持率

汽油价格左右着美国人对经济、特朗普对经济的处理方式以及伊朗问题的看法。

先来看伊朗问题:特朗普在该问题上的支持率略有下滑。年轻美国人是给他在伊朗问题上打分最低的年龄群体。

不过他仍在共和党选民中获得了对伊朗问题的高支持率。(尽管这并非他在党内支持率最高的议题——移民问题仍是他在党内支持率最高的议题。)

美国人仍在持续抱怨高油价。对国家经济的评价依然低迷,而当被问及是什么因素最影响他们对经济的看法时,汽油价格是比今年早些时候影响更大的因素。

这导致特朗普在经济和通胀问题上的支持率,以及他的整体工作支持率都略有下滑;这些支持率已经连续数月处于负面区间,目前达到其本届任期内的最低点。

其中包括共和党选民对他处理通胀问题的支持率小幅下降。作为参照,共和党选民对他在移民问题上的支持率比对通胀问题的支持率高出20个百分点。

那些认为汽油价格给自己造成经济困难的民众,对总统处理通胀和经济问题的评价尤其负面。

关于这场战争,共和党人表达出的是自信和自豪,这与民主党人和无党派人士表达的担忧、愤怒等更负面的情绪形成鲜明对比。

国会

展望未来,随着国会复会,大多数民主党人和无党派人士希望国会投票反对授权任何进一步的军事行动进入伊朗。

而普遍支持这场战争的共和党人则更倾向于就战争本身进行明确的授权投票,或者干脆将决策全权交给特朗普总统。


本次哥伦比亚广播公司/YouGov民调于2026年4月8日至10日进行,受访样本为具有全国代表性的2387名美国成年人。该样本根据性别、年龄、种族、教育程度进行加权,以匹配全国成年人口结构,数据依据美国人口普查局美国社区调查和当前人口调查,以及2024年总统选举投票结果。本次民调的误差幅度为±2.4个百分点。

Few see U.S. goals being met in Iran yet; Americans voice worry and stress in CBS News poll

April 12, 2026 / 9:01 AM EDT / CBS News

Amid talks and a ceasefire, the Iran war looks like unfinished business to many Americans.

That’s because there are things they call important for the U.S. to do — including opening the Strait of Hormuz for oil access, ensuring the Iranian people are free and permanently stopping Iran’s nuclear programs — that they don’t feel have been done yet.

So, in describing their feelings about the conflict of late, Americans pick worry, stress and anger far more than feeling safe or confident.

Big and bipartisan majorities feel it’s important for the U.S. to do these things:

But huge majorities say either that they aren’t done, or it’s too soon to know, including for some of those top items.

Amid talks, a majority also expresses what they don’t want to happen — that it would be unacceptable to leave the current Iranian regime in place — and also unacceptable to allow a nuclear program under international supervision.

In summary, most Americans continue to say the conflict is not going well. That view hasn’t improved in recent weeks.

And in a similar vein, if it were to end now, relatively few call the war a success so far, either in terms of military objectives or U.S. strategic interests. For many, it’s too soon to say — another indication that they aren’t seeing the goals met yet.

President Trump

And there’s uncertainty in part because most don’t think President Trump has a clear plan for it all.

That said, most Republicans think he does, and most continue to have confidence in his decisions on Iran.

Views on this are highly partisan, but also related to whether people think the administration has explained the goals or not — which most still don’t think has happened.

Among those who don’t feel it’s clear, most think the lack of clarity comes from changing the list of goals.

When presented with the president’s full statement, a big majority of Americans said they’d already seen or read at least something about Mr. Trump’s recent Truth Social post that mentioned Iran’s civilization as his deadline approached. Most said they disliked it, at least somewhat. Non-MAGA Republicans disliked it more than liked it, too.

It gets relatively more favor — though hardly widespread — from MAGA Republicans. They tend to say Mr. Trump’s posts involve negotiating strategy at least as much as any actual intentions. Relatively fewer MAGA Republicans say they solely reflect what the president really intended to do.

Trump’s job ratings

Gas prices loom over Americans’ views of the economy, Mr. Trump’s handling of it, and Iran as well.

Start with Iran: Mr. Trump’s approval on it has ticked a bit lower now. Young Americans are the age group giving him the lowest marks on Iran.

He does still get strong ratings on Iran from Republicans. (Though not his strongest within the party — that issue is still immigration.)

Americans continue to note higher gas prices. Ratings of thenation’s economy remain low, and when asked what’s most shaping their views on it, gas prices are an even bigger factor than earlier this year.

That’s led to Mr. Trump’s approval numbers for the economy and inflation, as well as his overall job approval, ticking down slightly; they have been negative for months and are now at the lowest levels of this term.

That includes a slight drop among Republicans for his handling of inflation, specifically. For context, among Republicans, that approval is 20 points lower than how they rate him on immigration.

People for whom gas prices are a financial difficulty are especially negative about the president’s handling of inflation and the economy.

Regarding the war, Republicans do voice feelings like confident and proud, in contrast to those other more negative feelings — like worried and angry — expressed by Democrats and independents.

Congress

Looking ahead, as Congress returns, most Democrats and independents want Congress to take a vote against authorizing any further military action in Iran.

Republicans, who widely approve of the war, would prefer either to see an outright authorization vote on the war, or to simply leave decisions to Mr. Trump.


This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of 2,387 U.S. adults interviewed between April 8-10, 2026. The sample was weighted to be representative of adults nationwide according to gender, age, race, and education, based on the U.S. Census American Community Survey and Current Population Survey, as well as 2024 presidential vote. The margin of error is ±2.4 points.

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