2026-04-24 10:06:35 UTC / 路透社
作者：博·埃里克森与杰森·朗格
2026年4月24日 美国东部时间上午10:06 更新于1小时前
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[1/2]2022年3月10日，美国加利福尼亚州西好莱坞贝弗利大道的美孚加油站内，一名工作人员将加油枪插入一辆奥迪汽车油箱。路透社/宾·关 资料图
- 内容摘要
- 路透社/益普索民调显示：多数美国人将油价上涨归咎于特朗普
- 燃油成本上涨与伊朗冲突威胁共和党中期选举选情
- 民调发现共和党在经济议题上的优势大幅收窄
华盛顿4月24日路透电 — 路透社/益普索的一项民调显示，绝大多数美国人将汽油价格飙升归咎于唐纳德·特朗普总统，而这一议题正给其所在的共和党在11月国会中期选举前的选情带来负面影响。
这项于本周初结束的民调中，约77%的登记选民表示，特朗普应为近期的汽油价格上涨承担至少相当程度的责任，此次油价上涨的导火索是他决定与美国盟友以色列一道对伊朗发动战争。
《路透伊朗简报》新闻通讯将为您提供伊朗战争的最新动态与分析。点击此处订阅。
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这一观点在各政治阵营中都得到广泛认同：55%的共和党选民、82%的无党派人士以及95%的民主党选民都将高油价归咎于这位总统。
约58%的选民表示，他们不太会支持在11月3日中期选举中支持特朗普对伊冲突政策的候选人，其中包括五分之一的共和党选民和三分之二的无党派人士。
美国与以色列于2月对伊朗发动突袭，造成该国领导人及数千名伊朗人死亡。德黑兰随后对美国在该地区的盟友发动反击，破坏了石油出口设施，并导致全球约五分之一的石油贸易被迫中断。美国汽油价格已上涨至每加仑约4美元，比战争爆发前高出1美元。
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这场战争正在侵蚀家庭财务状况，并给共和党在中期选举前的选情带来压力。届时特朗普所在的共和党将面临保住美国众议院多数席位的艰难挑战，外界普遍认为这一任务难度极大。他们失去参议院控制权的风险也在上升。
“民众怨声载道”
“现在情况很糟。民众都很不满，”倡导保守派议员的共和党主流联盟主席、战略家萨拉·钱伯林说道。
“共和党人显然非常担心保住众议院席位，但如果我们能在夏季前解决伊朗问题，并且汽油价格回落——至少回落至战争前的水平——那么我认为我们胜算很大。”
路透社/益普索的民调显示，约77%的美国人认为燃油价格是非常重大的担忧议题，受访者预计未来一年燃油价格上涨的可能性是预计下跌的两倍多。
特朗普在2024年总统大选中获胜，此前他曾承诺解决困扰其民主党前任乔·拜登的高通胀问题。他多次宣称美国经济“蓬勃发展”，包括在4月16日拉斯维加斯的讲话中也提到了这一点。白宫官网向访客宣称：“欢迎来到黄金时代！”
通胀焦虑
但路透社/益普索民调中70%的受访者不认同“经济正在蓬勃发展”的说法。82%的受访者表示通胀是重大担忧议题。
“特朗普将负担得起生活成本与降低物价作为‘让美国再次伟大’运动的基石，但随着国内物价上涨，从宣传角度来说，这很难自圆其说，”共和党战略家艾琳·马奎尔说道。
马奎尔表示，共和党候选人在谈论对伊战争的同时，必须谨慎地强调本届政府在减税方面做出的努力。
路透社/益普索的民调还显示，共和党长期以来在经济议题上的优势出现显著下滑。这项于4月15日至20日开展的最新民调显示，38%的美国选民更青睐共和党在经济问题上的政策，而37%的选民认为民主党在这一议题上表现更优。共和党仅领先1个百分点，而2025年1月特朗普连任就职后不久，该党在这一议题上的领先优势为14个百分点。
此次民调共收集了全美4557名美国成年人的反馈，其中包括3577名登记选民。误差幅度为2个百分点。
杰森·朗格、博·埃里克森华盛顿报道；雅各布·博加奇补充报道；斯科特·马龙与迪帕·巴宾顿编辑
本社报道遵循路透社信托原则。
Americans blame Trump for gas price surge in midterm election year, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
2026-04-24 10:06:35 UTC / Reuters
By Bo Erickson and Jason Lange
April 24, 2026 10:06 AM UTC Updated 1 hour ago
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[1/2]A gas pump is inserted inside an Audi vehicle at a Mobil gas station on Beverly Boulevard in West Hollywood, California, U.S., March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
- Majority blame Trump for gas price surge, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
- Rising fuel costs and Iran conflict threaten Republican prospects in midterms
- Republican economic advantage narrows sharply, poll finds
WASHINGTON, April 24 (Reuters) – A clear majority of Americans blame President Donald Trump for surging gasoline prices, which is weighing on his Republican Party ahead of November’s congressional midterm elections, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Some 77% of registered voters in the poll, which concluded early this week, said Trump bears at least a fair amount of responsibility for the recent rise in gas prices, which was sparked by his decision to launch a war on Iran along with U.S. ally Israel.
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The view was widely shared across the political spectrum, with 55% of Republican voters, 82% of independents and 95% of Democrats pinning blame on the president for the higher costs.
Some 58% of voters, including one in five Republicans and two-thirds of independents, said they would be less likely to support candidates in the November 3 midterms who support Trump’s approach to the conflict with Iran.
The U.S. and Israel launched surprise attacks on Iran in February that killed the country’s leader and thousands of Iranians. Tehran responded with attacks on U.S. allies in the region, damaging oil export facilities and shutting down roughly a fifth of the global oil trade. U.S. gasoline prices have risen to about $4 a gallon, a dollar more than before the war started.
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The war is grinding on household finances and weighing on Republicans ahead of the midterm elections, when Trump’s party faces what many see as an uphill battle to keep their U.S. House of Representatives majority. Risks are also rising that they lose control of the Senate.
‘PEOPLE ARE UPSET’
“Right now, it’s bad. People are upset,” said Sarah Chamberlain, strategist and president of the Republican Main Street Partnership that advocates for conservative lawmakers.
”Republicans are obviously very concerned about maintaining the House, but if we can get through the Iran situation by summertime and gas prices drop back down, or at least go down maybe not to quite the level they were prior to the war, then I think we have a really good shot.”
Some 77% of Americans see fuel prices as a very big concern, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed, and respondents were more than twice as likely to expect an increase in fuel prices over the next year than they were to expect a decrease.
Trump won the 2024 presidential election after pledging to fix the high rates of inflation that bedeviled his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden. He has repeatedly claimed the U.S. economy is “booming,” including in remarks in Las Vegas on April 16. The White House website proclaims to visitors: “WELCOME TO THE GOLDEN AGE!”
INFLATION WORRIES
But 70% of respondents in the Reuters/Ipsos poll disagreed with a statement that the economy was booming. Some 82% said inflation was a big concern.
“Trump has made affordability and bringing down prices a cornerstone of the Make America Great Again movement, and with costs going up in the country, that is a hard circle to square, messaging wise,” said Erin Maguire, a Republican strategist.
Maguire said Republican candidates have to be careful how they talk about the war with Iran while highlighting the effort the administration has put into cutting taxes.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll also showed significant erosion in the Republican Party’s longstanding advantage on the economy. The latest survey, conducted April 15-20, showed 38% of U.S. voters prefer the Republican approach to the economy compared to 37% who said Democrats are better on the issue. That one-point advantage for Republicans compares to a 14-point advantage the party had immediately after Trump started his second term in January 2025.
The poll gathered responses from 4,557 U.S. adults nationwide, including 3,577 registered voters. It had a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
Reporting by Jason Lange, Bo Erickson in Washington; Additional reporting by Jacob Bogage; editing by Scott Malone and Deepa Babington
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.