作者: root

  • 得克萨斯州和北卡罗来纳州初选要点分析


    作者:艾伦·布雷克 | 4分钟前 | 发布于 2026年3月4日,美国东部时间凌晨2:33

    image 2026年3月3日,得克萨斯州奥斯汀,得克萨斯州参议院候选人詹姆斯·塔拉利科(D-TX)在选举夜向支持者发表讲话。

    约翰·摩尔/盖蒂图片社

    周二,2026年中期选举的首个初选日,三个州的选民前往投票站投票,其中最大的看点是得克萨斯州的两场参议院初选,这两场初选似乎都对民主党巩固多数席位的希望非常有利。

    州议员詹姆斯·塔拉利科在民主党初选中击败美国众议员贾斯敏·克罗克特,为民主党选出了一位看起来最具竞争力的候选人。而身负争议的得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿则迫使共和党参议员约翰·科宁进入了决选。

    除了得克萨斯州,周二还举行了北卡罗来纳州和阿肯色州的初选。

    以下是这些竞选以及周二其他初选中的一些要点分析。

    克罗克特错失机会

    image 2026年3月3日,星期二,在达拉斯的初选观察派对上,得克萨斯州民主党参议员候选人、众议员贾斯敏·克罗克特发表讲话。托尼·古铁雷斯/美联社

    得克萨斯州民主党参议院初选的主要故事,很大程度上是克罗克特错失了机会。

    这位国会议员在参选时备受关注,也有一些实实在在的固有优势。但她的竞选活动似乎从未做过那些补充这些优势所需的传统工作——也就是所谓的基础工作。

    • 关键竞选

    参议院:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 詹姆斯·塔拉利科 民主党 | 53.2% | 1,078,129 领先155,807票 |
    | 贾斯敏·克罗克特 民主党 | 45.5% | 922,322 |
    | 艾哈迈德·哈桑 民主党 | 1.3% | 26,573 |

    估计 83% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    预计获胜者

    她三个月前才在最后时刻(11小时前)参加了初选。她的竞选广告非常少。(事实上,得克萨斯州共和党州长格雷格·雅培为她花费了大量资金,因为他试图提高她的候选资格,希望以此打击民主党人。)

    她的信息有时似乎更侧重于流程和不满,而不是谈论她作为参议员会做什么。在竞选的最后几天,她的工作人员甚至让《大西洋月刊》的一名记者离开活动现场。

    这些都表明她还没有准备好应对重要场合,而这一点在初选日得到了体现。尽管大多数民调显示她领先,但从早期情况来看,这显然是塔拉利科的夜晚。

    一种看法是,民主党初选选民做出了更务实的选择,而不是选择那位“煽动者”。但另一方面——这位“煽动者”的竞选活动确实没有竞争力。

    得克萨斯州参议院可能将迎来一场残酷的12周决选

    image 得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿(左)和参议员约翰·科宁在周二各自的初选夜观察活动中。美联社/盖蒂图片社

    共和党初选的结果大体符合预期,科宁和帕克斯顿将进入决选,决选将于5月26日举行。

    在正常情况下,你会认为科宁在决选中明显处于劣势。通常,这些初选中的选民会在支持现任议员和反对现任议员之间做出选择。而多数初选选民选择了反对现任议员。

    但帕克斯顿的“包袱”——包括过去的起诉和他妻子关于不忠的指控——表明,对一些支持众议员韦斯利·亨特的选民来说,投票支持他可能是一个障碍。亨特在初选中排名第三,这些选民可能会投票给科宁,或者在决选中弃权。

    • 关键竞选

    参议院:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 约翰·科宁* 共和党 | 42.0% | 846,975 领先22,238票 |
    | 肯·帕克斯顿 共和党 | 40.9% | 824,737 |
    | 韦斯利·亨特 共和党 | 13.2% | 265,847 |

    估计 85% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    现任议员
    进入决选

    除此之外,塔拉利科在民主党初选中的胜利可能会让共和党人更倾向于推出更具竞争力的候选人,而看起来这位候选人就是科宁。人们预计会有大量讨论,探讨曾称赞所有三位候选人的唐纳德·特朗普总统是否会以保住席位为名,在决选中支持科宁而非帕克斯顿。

    考虑到帕克斯顿比科宁更符合“特朗普主义”(MAGA),这对特朗普来说可能是一个难以接受的决定。但特朗普也会担心保住共和党的国会多数席位。

    (美国有线电视新闻网的达娜·巴什周二晚上在节目中报道称,特朗普“很可能”会从观望状态中走出来,在决选中表态支持。)

    塔拉利科无论面对哪一位共和党人都会处于劣势,而且自1994年以来,民主党在得克萨斯州的任何州级选举中都没有获胜。但让这场竞选进入决选对他们的多数席位计算来说将是巨大的进展。

    目前可以明确的是,一场耗资巨大且日益激烈的共和党竞选活动将延长12周。这对共和党人来说并非最优选择。

    特德·克鲁兹助力击败一名共和党现任议员

    image 2025年12月15日,参议员特德·克鲁兹在美国国会大厦举行新闻发布会。希瑟·迪尔/盖蒂图片社

    说到那些没有得到党内关键人物支持的现任议员,众议员丹·克伦肖就遭到了特朗普、雅培和参议员特德·克鲁兹的冷遇。现在他成了“跛脚鸭”议员。

    克伦肖输给了州议员史蒂夫·托特。而且差距似乎相当明显。

    • 关键竞选

    众议院2区:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 史蒂夫·托特 共和党 | 57.3% | 31,964 领先10,045票 |
    | 丹·克伦肖* 共和党 | 39.3% | 21,919 |
    | 马丁·埃特沃普 共和党 | 1.8% | 1,024 |
    | N.李·普伦布 共和党 | 1.5% | 860 |

    估计 78% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    预计获胜者

    现任议员

    克鲁兹在击败克伦肖的过程中扮演了特别重要的角色,甚至制作了一条支持托特的广告——对于一位现任参议员来说,这是一个非常不寻常的举动。

    至于为什么会发生这种情况?克伦肖无疑因为多年来偶尔表现出对特朗普的独立性,而让一些“MAGA运动”人士感到不满。但同样重要的是,得克萨斯州新的选区划分对他不利,新的选区将他划入了更多有利于托特的地区。

    其他现任议员遭遇危机

    image 2024年2月14日,丹·克伦肖在华盛顿的美国国会大厦发表讲话。凯文·迪特施/盖蒂图片社

    克伦肖是现任议员中表现最差的,而科宁显然也遇到了一些麻烦。

    但他们并不是周二唯一遭遇危机的现任议员。

    截至周二深夜,长期任职的民主党众议员阿尔·格林与最近赢得休斯顿地区席位特别选举的众议员克里斯蒂安·梅内菲之间展开了一场激烈的角逐。(两人在新的选区划分下互相竞争。)

    在北卡罗来纳州,民主党众议员瓦莱丽·富西与达勒姆县专员尼达·阿拉姆展开了激烈的竞争。阿拉姆是一位资金充足的挑战者,在一个非常倾向民主党的选区中向富西的左侧发起挑战。

    • 关键竞选

    众议院18区:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 克里斯蒂安·梅内菲* 民主党 | 46.0% | 31,280 领先305票 |
    | 阿尔·格林* 民主党 | 45.6% | 30,975 |

    估计 67% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    现任议员

    • 关键竞选

    众议院4区:北卡罗来纳州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 瓦莱丽·富西* 民主党 | 49.2% | 61,537 领先1,202票 |
    | 尼达·阿拉姆 民主党 | 48.2% | 60,335 |
    | 玛丽·帕特森 民主党 | 2.6% | 3,253 |

    估计 99% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    现任议员

    托尼·冈萨雷斯的风波持续

    image 2024年7月22日,托尼·冈萨雷斯议员在华盛顿特区美国国会大厦外接受媒体采访。格雷姆·斯隆/西帕美国/美联社/档案

    但对一位现任议员来说,进入决选实际上是一个不错的结果。

    得克萨斯州共和党众议员托尼·冈萨雷斯与布兰登·埃雷拉进行了一场重赛。2024年初选时,冈萨雷斯以微弱优势击败了埃雷拉。而最近,冈萨雷斯曝出一系列关于他与一名工作人员有染,该工作人员后来自杀身亡的残酷披露。这些消息甚至让一些共和党人呼吁他辞职。

    • 关键竞选

    众议院23区:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 布兰登·埃雷拉 共和党 | 43.4% | 23,548 领先905票 |
    | 托尼·冈萨雷斯* 共和党 | 41.7% | 22,643 |

    估计 87% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    现任议员
    进入决选

    他仍然有可能在决选中失利。但就目前而言,他有理由不辞职,而是继续战斗。

    这对共和党人来说可能是个好消息,因为这意味着他们可能不会看到本已微弱的多数席位进一步缩减。但这也可能是个坏消息,因为他们必须继续处理这个非常棘手的局面。

    野心勃勃的众议院议员表现不佳

    image 2026年1月14日,众议员奇普·罗伊在华盛顿特区国会大厦的新闻发布会上发言。内森·霍华德/路透社

    部分原因是对众议院立法现状的失望,有大量议员(事实上超过24人)正在竞选州级职位。

    他们开局并不顺利。

    尽管克罗克特和亨特都在参议院初选中失利,但共和党众议员奇普·罗伊在得克萨斯州总检察长共和党初选中以相当大的差距屈居第二。

    他原本有望与州参议员梅斯·米德尔顿进入决选,但罗伊看起来明显处于劣势。

    总检察长:得克萨斯州
    | 候选人 | 百分比 | 票数 |
    | — | — | — |
    | 梅斯·米德尔顿 共和党 | 39.4% | 758,127 领先149,285票 |
    | 奇普·罗伊 共和党 | 31.6% | 608,842 |

    估计 84% 选票已统计

    刚刚更新
    进入决选

    Takeaways from the Texas and North Carolina primaries

    Analysis by Aaron Blake | 4 min ago | PUBLISHED Mar 4, 2026, 2:33 AM ET

    Texas Senate candidate James Talarico (D-TX) addresses supporters on election night on March 03, 2026 in Austin, Texas.
    John Moore/Getty Images

    Voters in three states headed to the polls for the first primary day of the 2026 midterm elections on Tuesday, with the big story being a pair of Texas Senate primaries that both seemed to break quite well for Democrats’ majority hopes.

    State Rep. James Talarico’s win over US Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary gave Democrats what appears to be their most electable nominee, while baggage-laden Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton forced a runoff with GOP Sen. John Cornyn.

    Primaries were held Tuesday not just in Texas but also in North Carolina and Arkansas.

    Below are some takeaways from those races and other primaries on Tuesday.

    Crockett misses her opportunity


    Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Texas, a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, speaks during a primary election watch party Tuesday, March 3, 2026, in Dallas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
    Tony Gutierrez/AP

    The story of the Texas Democratic Senate primary wound up being largely about a missed opportunity for Crockett.

    The congresswoman came into the race with buzz around her name and some real built-in advantages. But her campaign never seemed to do the kinds of traditional things – the blocking and tackling – that you need to do to complement that.

    • Key Race

    Senate: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | James Talarico Democratic | 53.2% | 1,078,129 155,807 ahead |
    | Jasmine Crockett Democratic | 45.5% | 922,322 |
    | Ahmad Hassan Democratic | 1.3% | 26,573 |

    Est.

    83%
    votes in

    Updated just now

    Projected Winner

    She got in the primary at the 11th hour just three months ago. Her campaign advertising was scant. (In fact, Texas GOP Gov. Greg Abbott accounted for a large share of the money spent on her behalf as he sought to elevate her candidacy in hopes of hurting Democrats.)

    Her message at times seemed to be more focused on process and grievances rather than talking about what she would do as a senator. In the closing days of the campaign, her staff made a reporter from The Atlantic leave an event.

    None of it suggested she was ready for primetime, and that showed on primary day. Despite most of the polling having shown her leading, it was pretty clear early on that this was Talarico’s night.

    One way to look at that is that Democratic primary voters made a more pragmatic choice rather than picking the firebrand. But also — the firebrand’s campaign just didn’t stack up.

    A potentially brutal 12-week Texas Senate runoff looms


    Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, left, and Sen. John Cornyn at their respective primary election night watch events on Tuesday.
    AP/Getty Images

    The GOP primary went about as expected, with Cornyn and Paxton headed for a runoff that will conclude on May 26.

    Under normal circumstances, you’d say Cornyn is the clear underdog in the runoff. Usually these primaries break down between the incumbent vote and the anti-incumbent vote. And a majority of primary voters voted against the incumbent.

    But Paxton’s baggage — including a past indictment and allegations of infidelity from his wife — suggests voting for him could be a hurdle for some Rep. Wesley Hunt supporters, who could either vote for Cornyn or sit out the runoff after Hunt finished third.

    • Key Race

    Senate: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | John Cornyn* Republican | 42.0% | 846,975 22,238 ahead |
    | Ken Paxton Republican | 40.9% | 824,737 |
    | Wesley Hunt Republican | 13.2% | 265,847 |

    Est.

    85%
    votes in

    Updated just now

    Incumbent

    Advances to runoff

    And beyond that, Talarico’s win in the Democratic primary could put a premium on Republicans putting forward the more electable candidate, which would seem to be Cornyn. Expect to see plenty of talk about whether President Donald Trump, who praised all three candidates in the primary, might join the national GOP in picking Cornyn over Paxton in the name of holding the seat.

    That might be a tough pill for Trump to swallow, given Paxton is more MAGA than Cornyn. But Trump will also be concerned about keeping the GOP’s congressional majorities.

    (CNN’s Dana Bash reported on the air Tuesday night that it was “very likely” Trump would come off the sidelines and endorse in the runoff.)

    Talarico would be the underdog against either Republican, and Democrats haven’t won any statewide race in Texas since 1994. But putting this one in play would be huge for their majority math.

    What’s clear for now is that a massively expensive and increasingly ugly GOP campaign just got extended for 12 weeks. And that’s suboptimal for Republicans.

    Ted Cruz helps take down an incumbent Republican


    Sen. Ted Cruz holds a press conference at the U.S. Capitol on December 15, 2025 .
    Heather Diehl/Getty Images

    Speaking of incumbents not getting love from key figures in their national party, Rep. Dan Crenshaw got the cold shoulder from Trump, Abbott and Sen. Ted Cruz. Now he’s a lame duck.

    Crenshaw lost to state Rep. Steve Toth. And it doesn’t appear to have been particularly close.

    • Key Race

    House 2: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | Steve Toth Republican | 57.3% | 31,964 10,045 ahead |
    | Dan Crenshaw* Republican | 39.3% | 21,919 |
    | Martin Etwop Republican | 1.8% | 1,024 |
    | N. Lee Plumb Republican | 1.5% | 860 |

    Est.

    78%
    votes in

    Updated 2:18 a.m. ET, Mar. 4

    Projected Winner

    Incumbent

    Cruz played an especially large role in taking down Crenshaw, including even cutting an ad supporting Toth – a highly unusual move for an incumbent senator.

    As for why it happened? Crenshaw undoubtedly rubbed some of the MAGA movement the wrong way by occasionally showing some independence from Trump over the years. But it’s also true that Texas’s new map worked against him by moving in lots of Toth-friendly territory.

    Other incumbents get scares


    Rep. Dan Crenshaw speaks at a the US Capitol on February 14, 2024.
    Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

    Crenshaw had the worst day for an incumbent, and Cornyn is clearly in some trouble.

    But they’re not the only incumbents getting scares on Tuesday.

    As of late Tuesday night, longtime Democratic Rep. Al Green was locked in a tight contest with Rep. Christian Menefee, who recently won a special election for his Houston-area seat. (The two are running against each other under the new map.)

    And in North Carolina, Democratic Rep. Valerie Foushee was in a tight contest with Durham County Commissioner Nida Allam, a well-funded challenger running to Foushee’s left in a very blue district.

    • Key Race

    House 18: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | Christian Menefee* Democratic | 46.0% | 31,280 305 ahead |
    | Al Green* Democratic | 45.6% | 30,975 |

    Est.

    67%
    votes in

    Updated 2:23 a.m. ET, Mar. 4

    Incumbent

    • Key Race

    House 4: North Carolina


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | Valerie Foushee* Democratic | 49.2% | 61,537 1,202 ahead |
    | Nida Allam Democratic | 48.2% | 60,335 |
    | Mary Patterson Democratic | 2.6% | 3,253 |

    Est.

    99%
    votes in

    Updated 11:48 p.m. ET, Mar. 3

    Incumbent

    The Tony Gonzales saga goes on


    Rep. Tony Gonzales speaks to media outside the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, D.C., on July 22, 2024.
    Graeme Sloan/Sipa USA/AP/File

    But for one incumbent, facing a runoff was actually a good outcome.

    GOP Rep. Tony Gonzales of Texas faced a rematch with Brandon Herrera, whom he narrowly defeated in his 2024 primary. Gonzales has faced a series of brutal recent disclosures about an alleged affair with a staffer who later died by suicide. The news has led even some Republicans to call for him to resign.

    • Key Race

    House 23: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | Brandon Herrera Republican | 43.4% | 23,548 905 ahead |
    | Tony Gonzales* Republican | 41.7% | 22,643 |

    Est.

    87%
    votes in

    Updated just now

    Incumbent

    Advances to runoff

    He could still lose a runoff. But for now, he’s got reason not to resign and to keep fighting.

    That could be good for Republicans in that it means they might not see their already slim majority shrink. But it could be bad in that they have to keep dealing with a really ugly situation.

    A not-so-good day for ambitious House members


    Rep. Chip Roy attends a press conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., on January 14, 2026.
    Nathan Howard/Reuters

    In part thanks to disillusionment with the state of legislating in the House, there are an extraordinary number of House members running for statewide office – more than two dozen of them, in fact.

    They are not off to a good start.

    While both Crockett and Hunt lost their Senate primaries, Republican Rep. Chip Roy finished a pretty distant second in the Republican primary for Texas attorney general.

    He was in line for a runoff with state Sen. Mayes Middleton, but Roy is looking like a distinct underdog.

    Attorney General: Texas


    | CANDIDATE | PERCENT | VOTES |
    | — | — | — |
    | Mayes Middleton Republican | 39.4% | 758,127 149,285 ahead |
    | Chip Roy Republican | 31.6% | 608,842 |

    Est.

    84%
    votes in

    Updated 2:36 a.m. ET, Mar. 4

    Advances to runoff

  • 美国共和党议员丹·克伦肖在得克萨斯州初选中不敌州议员史蒂夫·托特,哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测


    更新于:2026年3月4日 / 美国东部时间凌晨1:38 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,共和党众议员丹·克伦肖在得克萨斯州第二国会选区的共和党初选中输给了得克萨斯州州议员史蒂夫·托特。

    自2019年起在众议院任职的克伦肖,是得克萨斯州唯一一位未获得前总统特朗普支持的在职共和党众议员。

    65岁的托特是一名拥有建筑和商业咨询背景的小企业主。他是总统的狂热支持者,在竞选活动中声称克伦肖对该选区而言不够忠诚或保守。

    GOP Rep. Dan Crenshaw loses primary race in Texas to state Rep. Steve Toth, CBS News projects

    Updated on: March 4, 2026 / 1:38 AM EST / CBS News

    Republican Rep. Dan Crenshaw has lost the GOP primary race in Texas’ 2nd Congressional District to Texas state Rep. Steve Toth, CBS News projects.

    Crenshaw, who has served in the House since 2019, is the only sitting House Republican in Texas who did not receive President Trump’s endorsement.

    Toth, 65, is a small business owner with a background in construction and business consulting. He’s an avid supporter of the president, and on the campaign trail, argued that Crenshaw wasn’t loyal or conservative enough for the

  • 巴格达美方设施遭无人机袭击 疑为美使馆营地


    2026-03-04T06:20:18.000Z / 联合早报

    3月2日晚,在美国大使馆所在的巴格达绿区的入口处,一名抗议者举着一面伊朗国旗。 (法新社)

    据多家中东媒体报道,位于伊拉克巴格达国际机场附近的美国设施遭无人机袭击。

    新华社报道,黎巴嫩“广场”电视台称,巴格达机场附近的“美军基地”发生爆炸。

    另据卡塔尔半岛电视台报道,遭袭击的设施为美国大使馆后勤保障营地。

    目前,美方尚未公布相关信息。

    巴格达美方设施遭无人机袭击 疑为美使馆营地

    2026-03-04T06:20:18.000Z / 联合早报

    3月2日晚,在美国大使馆所在的巴格达绿区的入口处,一名抗议者举着一面伊朗国旗。 (法新社)

    据多家中东媒体报道,位于伊拉克巴格达国际机场附近的美国设施遭无人机袭击。

    新华社报道,黎巴嫩“广场”电视台称,巴格达机场附近的“美军基地”发生爆炸。

    另据卡塔尔半岛电视台报道,遭袭击的设施为美国大使馆后勤保障营地。

    目前,美方尚未公布相关信息。

  • 巴格达美方设施遭无人机袭击 疑为美使馆营地


    2026年3月4日 14:20 / 联合早报

    3月2日晚,在美国大使馆所在的巴格达绿区的入口处,一名抗议者举着一面伊朗国旗。 (法新社)

    据多家中东媒体报道,位于伊拉克巴格达国际机场附近的美国设施遭无人机袭击。

    新华社报道,黎巴嫩“广场”电视台称,巴格达机场附近的“美军基地”发生爆炸。

    另据卡塔尔半岛电视台报道,遭袭击的设施为美国大使馆后勤保障营地。

    目前,美方尚未公布相关信息。

    巴格达美方设施遭无人机袭击 疑为美使馆营地

    2026年3月4日 14:20 / 联合早报

    3月2日晚,在美国大使馆所在的巴格达绿区的入口处,一名抗议者举着一面伊朗国旗。 (法新社)

    据多家中东媒体报道,位于伊拉克巴格达国际机场附近的美国设施遭无人机袭击。

    新华社报道,黎巴嫩“广场”电视台称,巴格达机场附近的“美军基地”发生爆炸。

    另据卡塔尔半岛电视台报道,遭袭击的设施为美国大使馆后勤保障营地。

    目前,美方尚未公布相关信息。

  • 共和党众议员托尼·冈萨雷斯因婚外情指控引发的竞选动荡被迫进入初选决选,哥伦比亚广播公司新闻项目预测


    更新于:2026年3月4日 / 美国东部时间凌晨2:11 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,共和党众议员托尼·冈萨雷斯被迫与极右翼枪支活动家布兰登·埃雷拉进入重复的初选决选,此前冈萨雷斯被指控与一名助手发生婚外情,该助手后来自杀身亡——这引发了要求他辞职的呼声。

    冈萨雷斯和埃雷拉陷入一场势均力敌的竞争,预计两名候选人都无法在5月26日的决选中突破50%的门槛以避免进入决选。

    冈萨雷斯于2020年首次当选,并自称为温和派。在2024年来自埃雷拉的初选挑战中,冈萨雷斯仅以400票的优势胜出。此后,冈萨雷斯一直向右翼转变,并吹嘘自己获得了特朗普总统的支持,但特朗普在周五的一份支持名单中删除了自己的名字。

    然而,上个月,冈萨雷斯与前助手雷吉娜·桑托斯-阿维莱斯的短信被曝光,之后他面临两党成员要求其辞职的呼声。据乌瓦尔德警方称,桑托斯-阿维莱斯于9月自焚身亡。

    根据哥伦比亚广播公司新闻获得的短信内容,2024年5月,冈萨雷斯向桑托斯-阿维莱斯索要“性感照片”。经过一番来回,桑托斯-阿维莱斯表示她不喜欢自拍。他回复了两条短信:“我只是一个视觉型的人”和“抱歉。”

    随后,国会议员问桑托斯-阿维莱斯她的“最喜欢的姿势是什么”。她让他先回答,他照做了。

    助手随后发短信说:“老板,这太过分了。那么你觉得我有多迷人?”

    经过一番来回,桑托斯-阿维莱斯再次表示:“这太过分了,托尼。”

    冈萨雷斯此前否认有婚外情,他已婚并育有六个孩子。桑托斯-阿维莱斯也已婚,有一个8岁的儿子。

    得克萨斯州第23国会选区绵延美国-墨西哥边境800多英里,长期以来被认为是摇摆选区,但在2021年重新划界后变得更有利于共和党,冈萨雷斯在2024年选举中以超过20个百分点的优势获胜。在得克萨斯州2025年重新划分选区后,该选区仍被视为安全的共和党席位。

    GOP Rep. Tony Gonzales forced into primary runoff after affair allegations shake up race, CBS News projects

    Updated on: March 4, 2026 / 2:11 AM EST / CBS News

    Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales has been forced into a repeat primary runoff with far-right gun activist Brandon Herrera, CBS News projects, weeks after Gonzales was accused of having an affair with an aide who later died by suicide — drawing calls for him to resign.

    Gonzales and Herrera are locked in a tight contest, with neither candidate expected to clear the 50% threshold required to avoid a runoff on May 26.

    Gonzales was first elected in 2020, and had branded himself as a moderate. In a primary challenge from Herrera in 2024, Gonzales only prevailed by 400 votes. Gonzales has since pursued a rightward shift and touted his endorsement by President Trump in this race, although Mr. Trump left his name off a list of endorsements on Friday.

    But Gonzales had been facing calls to resign from members of both parties after texts were revealed last month between him and former aide Regina Santos-Aviles, who died in September after setting herself on fire, according to the Uvalde police.

    According to texts obtained by CBS News, Gonzales asked Santos-Aviles for a “sexy pic” in May 2024. After a back-and-forth, Santos-Aviles said she didn’t like taking photos of herself. He responded in a pair of texts: “I’m just such a visual person” and “Sorry.”

    The congressman then asked Santos-Aviles what her “favorite position” is. She asked him to answer first, and he did.

    The aide then texted: “This is going too far boss. So how long have you thought I was this hot?”

    After another back-and-forth, Santos-Aviles said again: “This is too far, Tony.”

    Gonzales, who has previously denied having an affair, is married and has six children. Santos-Aviles was also married and had an 8-year-old son.

    Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, which encompasses more than 800 miles of the U.S.-Mexico border, had long been considered a swing district, but was redrawn in 2021 to be more safely Republican, and Gonzales won by more than 20 percentage points in the 2024 election. The district is still considered safe Republican after Texas’ 2025 redistricting.

  • 东京高院维持解散令 统一教清算将启动


    发布时间 / 来源:2026年3月4日 14:52 / 联合早报

    1月13日,人们走过位于奈良市近铁大和西大寺站前十字路口的一处花坛纪念地。此处是日本前首相安倍晋三在发表竞选演讲时遭枪击身亡的地点。 (法新社)

    日本东京高等法院星期三(3月4日)作出决定,维持去年3月东京地方法院对宗教团体“世界和平统一家庭联合会”(原“统一教会”)下达的解散命令。

    日本放送协会(NHK)报道,对世界和平统一家庭联合会的清算程序将启动。解散命令生效后,世界和平统一家庭联合会失去宗教法人资格,不再享受宗教活动所得免税等优惠政策。接下来,清算人员将处置该宗教团体的资产,并推进对受害者的赔偿工作。

    世界和平统一家庭联合会被指迫使信众进行巨额捐款。相关问题因2022年7月日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺事件而引发社会关注。刺杀安倍的山上彻也供认,他母亲受该教会洗脑,将几乎全部家当供奉给教会,他为报复而刺杀与该教关系密切的安倍。

    日本文部科学省2023年10月向东京地方法院提交约5000份证据,申请对世界和平统一家庭联合会下达解散令。日本东京地方法院去年3月以世界和平统一家庭联合会“长期进行有组织高额募捐活动,并造成巨大损失”为由对其下达解散命令。世界和平统一家庭联合会随即提起上诉。

    东京高院维持解散令 统一教清算将启动

    发布时间 / 来源:2026年3月4日 14:52 / 联合早报

    1月13日,人们走过位于奈良市近铁大和西大寺站前十字路口的一处花坛纪念地。此处是日本前首相安倍晋三在发表竞选演讲时遭枪击身亡的地点。 (法新社)

    日本东京高等法院星期三(3月4日)作出决定,维持去年3月东京地方法院对宗教团体“世界和平统一家庭联合会”(原“统一教会”)下达的解散命令。

    日本放送协会(NHK)报道,对世界和平统一家庭联合会的清算程序将启动。解散命令生效后,世界和平统一家庭联合会失去宗教法人资格,不再享受宗教活动所得免税等优惠政策。接下来,清算人员将处置该宗教团体的资产,并推进对受害者的赔偿工作。

    世界和平统一家庭联合会被指迫使信众进行巨额捐款。相关问题因2022年7月日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺事件而引发社会关注。刺杀安倍的山上彻也供认,他母亲受该教会洗脑,将几乎全部家当供奉给教会,他为报复而刺杀与该教关系密切的安倍。

    日本文部科学省2023年10月向东京地方法院提交约5000份证据,申请对世界和平统一家庭联合会下达解散令。日本东京地方法院去年3月以世界和平统一家庭联合会“长期进行有组织高额募捐活动,并造成巨大损失”为由对其下达解散命令。世界和平统一家庭联合会随即提起上诉。

  • 东京高院维持解散令 统一教清算将启动


    2026年3月4日 14:52 联合早报

    1月13日,人们走过位于奈良市近铁大和西大寺站前十字路口的一处花坛纪念地。此处是日本前首相安倍晋三在发表竞选演讲时遭枪击身亡的地点。 (法新社)

    日本东京高等法院星期三(3月4日)作出决定,维持去年3月东京地方法院对宗教团体“世界和平统一家庭联合会”(原“统一教会”)下达的解散命令。

    日本放送协会(NHK)报道,对世界和平统一家庭联合会的清算程序将启动。解散命令生效后,世界和平统一家庭联合会失去宗教法人资格,不再享受宗教活动所得免税等优惠政策。接下来,清算人员将处置该宗教团体的资产,并推进对受害者的赔偿工作。

    世界和平统一家庭联合会被指迫使信众进行巨额捐款。相关问题因2022年7月日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺事件而引发社会关注。刺杀安倍的山上彻也供认,他母亲受该教会洗脑,将几乎全部家当供奉给教会,他为报复而刺杀与该教关系密切的安倍。

    日本文部科学省2023年10月向东京地方法院提交约5000份证据,申请对世界和平统一家庭联合会下达解散令。日本东京地方法院去年3月以世界和平统一家庭联合会“长期进行有组织高额募捐活动,并造成巨大损失”为由对其下达解散命令。世界和平统一家庭联合会随即提起上诉。

    东京高院维持解散令 统一教清算将启动

    2026年3月4日 14:52 联合早报

    1月13日,人们走过位于奈良市近铁大和西大寺站前十字路口的一处花坛纪念地。此处是日本前首相安倍晋三在发表竞选演讲时遭枪击身亡的地点。 (法新社)

    日本东京高等法院星期三(3月4日)作出决定,维持去年3月东京地方法院对宗教团体“世界和平统一家庭联合会”(原“统一教会”)下达的解散命令。

    日本放送协会(NHK)报道,对世界和平统一家庭联合会的清算程序将启动。解散命令生效后,世界和平统一家庭联合会失去宗教法人资格,不再享受宗教活动所得免税等优惠政策。接下来,清算人员将处置该宗教团体的资产,并推进对受害者的赔偿工作。

    世界和平统一家庭联合会被指迫使信众进行巨额捐款。相关问题因2022年7月日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺事件而引发社会关注。刺杀安倍的山上彻也供认,他母亲受该教会洗脑,将几乎全部家当供奉给教会,他为报复而刺杀与该教关系密切的安倍。

    日本文部科学省2023年10月向东京地方法院提交约5000份证据,申请对世界和平统一家庭联合会下达解散令。日本东京地方法院去年3月以世界和平统一家庭联合会“长期进行有组织高额募捐活动,并造成巨大损失”为由对其下达解散命令。世界和平统一家庭联合会随即提起上诉。

  • 伊朗战争中令人不安的导弹数学问题


    发布时间:2026年3月4日,美国东部时间上午12:00 | 作者:肖恩·林加斯、凯莉·阿特伍德、伊莎贝尔·胡尔舒迪安

    与伊朗开战四天后,美国在海湾地区的至少一个盟友已经因防御伊朗导弹和无人机袭击而急需关键拦截弹,两名消息人士向美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)透露。

    “还没到恐慌的地步,但越早拿到这些拦截弹越好,”一位地区消息人士向CNN表示,其政府正请求美国提供更多拦截弹。

    这反映了该地区(包括以色列)对防御伊朗袭击所需武器储备的担忧,尤其是在唐纳德·特朗普总统提出延长军事行动时间线的情况下。特朗普周一在白宫发表讲话时称,这场战争最初“预计”持续“四到五周”,但补充说美军有能力“远超这个时间”。

    一位卡塔尔消息人士向CNN透露,卡塔尔目前有足够的拦截弹维持较长时间,但仍与美军中央司令部保持联系,以防需要进一步请求支援,不过未具体说明“较长时间”的定义。

    据多位熟悉内情的消息人士称,战争爆发前,美军参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩将军和其他军事领导人就警告特朗普,长期军事行动可能会影响美国武器储备——尤其是那些支持以色列和乌克兰的武器。

    据一位知情人士透露,过去几天,美国一直在“消耗”大量远程精确制导弹药。

    随着战争升级,这已成为一个数量问题:美国及其地区盟友需要多少拦截弹才能持续击落伊朗导弹和无人机?是否需要从为太平洋地区美军预留的其他库存中重新调配?美国的竞争对手如中国正密切关注这一情况。

    “每次拦截都需要数百小时的训练、战备状态和技术的整合,才能按设计要求发挥作用,”凯恩周一在关于美国-以色列对伊朗军事行动的新闻发布会上表示。

    当天晚些时候,国务卿马尔科·卢比奥称,“据估计,伊朗每月生产超过100枚此类导弹,而我们每月只能制造6到7枚拦截弹。”他补充说,摧毁伊朗的导弹能力是美军行动的目标。

    特朗普周一晚间在Truth Social平台上发文回应对弹药储备减少的担忧,称美军“中高等级弹药储备从未如此充足或优质”,并强调美国拥有“几乎无限的此类武器供应”。

    “仅靠这些储备,战争可以‘无限期’且非常成功地持续下去,”特朗普继续说道,但未具体说明指的是哪些弹药。

    “在最高端武器方面,我们储备充足,但尚未达到理想水平,”特朗普批评拜登政府“向乌克兰输送了过多高端武器”以支持其抵御俄罗斯的攻击。拜登政府官员常以担心耗尽美国库存为由,最初犹豫是否向乌克兰提供某些远程防空和打击弹药。

    特朗普周二接受《政客》采访时表示:“国防公司正快速生产我们所需的各种装备,他们正处于紧急订单状态。”

    美军中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将周二晚间发布视频声明称,美军已使用超过2000枚弹药打击了近2000个伊朗目标。

    “我们严重削弱了伊朗的防空能力,摧毁了数百枚伊朗弹道导弹、发射装置和无人机,”库珀补充道。他承认伊朗军方在反击中发射了超过500枚弹道导弹和2000多架无人机。

    “我们看到伊朗打击我们及其盟友的能力正在下降,而我们的战斗力却在增强,”库珀声称。

    国会山方面,民主党议员对已使用的弹药数量及其对美国中东及其他地区国防的影响日益担忧。

    “伊朗确实有能力制造大量Shahed无人机、弹道导弹(中短程),并且库存巨大,”亚利桑那州民主党参议员马克·凯利表示,“因此,这最终会成为一个补给问题——如何重新供应防空弹药?这些弹药从哪里来?”

    民主党人认为,持续的冲突可能迫使政府更早向国会寻求补充资金,以解决弹药消耗问题。

    海湾盟友的防御物资

    目前的担忧焦点是海湾盟友而非美国的防御武器库存。

    战争初期,巴林、卡塔尔、阿联酋和沙特等海湾国家几乎拦截了所有伊朗发射的导弹和无人机,但仍有部分漏网。一枚伊朗无人机击中了巴林的一栋高层住宅楼,引发爆炸;阿联酋两家亚马逊云服务数据中心也遭到伊朗无人机袭击受损。

    彭博经济研究公司的国防负责人贝卡·瓦瑟指出,弹药短缺可能迫使海湾国家改变战术,最终可能需要“更有选择性地拦截目标”,例如重点打击无人机群或短程弹道导弹。

    英国高级官员本周向CNN透露,英国正从塞浦路斯和卡塔尔派遣飞机拦截无人机和导弹。拦截弹、发射装置和拦截器的库存将是决定这场战争持续时间的关键因素。

    据CNN此前报道,即使是相对短暂的战争也会显著消耗美国导弹库存:去年6月以色列与伊朗12天冲突中,美军消耗了约四分之一的高端“末段高空区域防御系统(THAAD)”拦截弹,其拦截速度远超生产速度。THAAD是美国制造的机动反导系统,每辆发射车配备8枚拦截弹。

    华盛顿智库战略与国际研究中心导弹防御项目估计,2025年美军发射了其预期库存中高达20%的标准导弹-3(SM-3)拦截弹,以及20%-50%的THAAD导弹。报告补充称,THAAD的消耗速度“令人担忧”,因为交付数据显示美军发射速度远超生产增速。

    “超前准备”还是“为时已晚”?

    在周末对伊朗发动袭击前,特朗普政府对美国弹药库存限制的最大担忧之一来自乌克兰。去年7月,国防部长彼得·赫格斯暂停了对乌克兰的武器运输,当时美国正在审查军事援助。赫格斯是根据国防部政策副部长埃尔布里奇·科尔比的备忘录行事,科尔比此前曾推动保留更多库存以应对未来与中国的战争。

    科尔比周二在国会听证会上回应关于弹药储备消耗的担忧时称:“我认为我们需要努力推动国防工业复合体,但不要误解——我们正领先于问题本身。”

    然而,美国传统基金会的一项1月份研究发现,“初始库存”的弹药将在与中国的高强度冲突开始后25天内耗尽。报告称:“美军几乎肯定会在第30天左右在后勤退化状态下进入主要战斗阶段,最终因平台损失、燃料瓶颈和弹药需求激增而导致系统性作战失败。”

    不过,美军在与伊朗的冲突中拥有空中优势,“因此不需要大量高端远程武器,”前轰炸机飞行员、米切尔航空航天研究所未来概念与能力评估主任马克·冈辛格上校表示。

    “我们可以使用JDAM(联合直接攻击弹药)从较近的距离打击目标,”冈辛格解释道,“我们拥有数万枚JDAM和小直径炸弹的库存——规模非常大。这些精确制导弹药射程可达40英里。”

    冈辛格指出,防空弹药的消耗更令人担忧,因为它们“数十年来一直资源不足”。“我们有足够的吗?我认为有,但我更担心爱国者导弹、THAAD等防空系统的库存。”他补充说,美军持续的进攻行动可以限制伊朗导弹发射能力,从而减少防空弹药的消耗压力。

    美军及其盟友还可以通过使用低成本替代品击落伊朗无人机来节省高端防空弹药。

    拜登政府时期的空军部长弗兰克·肯德尔表示,目前对美军弹药储备的担忧尚不严重。“我们可以调整武器使用策略,确保太平洋地区的关键武器库存充足,”肯德尔向CNN表示,“五角大楼会监控所有情况,并根据其他地区的需求限制弹药使用。”

    但肯德尔警告,如果战争拖延或美军地面部队介入(特朗普周一未排除这种可能性),弹药短缺问题可能会加剧。

    “这些高端复杂武器的库存本就有限,过度消耗将增加其他战区的风险,”肯德尔补充道。

    美国近年来对伊朗及胡塞武装的军事行动已消耗大量弹药,“重建库存以应对全球行动消耗的努力才刚刚开始,”美国企业研究所高级研究员麦肯齐·伊格尔表示,“会有一些快速见效的措施,但总体而言,要扭转弹药消耗的趋势并实现快速补充,需要1-3年时间。”

    CNN记者娜塔莎·伯特兰、劳伦·福克斯和扎卡里·科恩对此报道有贡献。

    https://www.cnn.com/world/video/bahrain-iran-drone-strike-high-rise-building-digvid

    The Iran war’s troubling missile math

    Published Mar 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET | By Sean Lyngaas, Kylie Atwood, Isabelle Khurshudyan

    Four days into war with Iran, at least one of the United States’ Gulf allies is already running low on crucial interceptor munitions used to defend against Iranian missile and drone attacks, two sources told CNN.

    “It’s not panic yet, but the sooner they get here the better,” one regional source told CNN, referring to a request their government made to the US for more interceptors.

    That mirrors concern across the region, including in Israel, about the stockpile of weapons needed to defend against Iranian attacks, especially as President Donald Trump has floated an extended timeline for the campaign. Speaking at the White House on Monday, Trump said the war was initially “projected” to last “four to five weeks” but added the US military has the “capability to go far longer than that.”

    Qatar has enough interceptors for a long period of time but is still in touch with the US military’s Central Command in case the Qataris need to ask for more interceptors, a Qatari source told CNN, declining to specify what that time period was.

    Before the war began, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Dan Caine and other military leaders warned Trump that a protracted military campaign could impact US weapons stockpiles – particularly those that support Israel and Ukraine, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter.

    The US has been “burning” through long-range precision-guided missiles over the last several days, according to a person familiar with the matter.

    Now that the war is expanding, it’s a numbers game: How many interceptors will the US and its regional allies need to continuously shoot down Iranian missiles and how many, if any, of those weapons will need to be redirected from other stockpiles earmarked for US forces in the Pacific? US rivals like China will be watching closely.

    “Each intercept represents hundreds of hours of training, readiness, and technology all coming together to work as designed,” Caine said at a press briefing on Monday on the US-Israel military operation against Iran.

    Later that day, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Iran is “producing, by some estimates, over 100 of these missiles a month. Compare that to the six or seven interceptors that can be built a month.” He added that destroying Iran’s missile capacity is the goal of the US campaign.

    In a post on Truth Social Monday night, Trump appeared to respond to concerns over dwindling stockpiles. He wrote that US munitions stockpiles “at the medium and upper medium grade” have “never been higher or better,” adding that the US has a “virtually unlimited supply of these weapons.”

    “Wars can be fought ‘forever,’ and very successfully, using just these supplies,” Trump continued. He didn’t specify exactly which munitions he was referring to.

    “At the highest end, we have a good supply, but are not where we want to be,” Trump said. He then criticized President Joe Biden for “giving” away “so much of the high end” to Ukraine in support of the country’s defense against Russian attacks. Biden administration officials often cited concern over depleting US stockpiles as a reason for their initial hesitancy in providing Ukraine with certain long-range air defense and strike munitions.

    Trump told Politico in an interview Tuesday that “The defense companies are on a rapid tear to build the various things we need. They’re under emergency orders.”

    Adm. Brad Cooper, the head of US Central Command, released a video statement on Tuesday evening, saying in part that the US military had struck nearly 2,000 Iranian targets with more than 2,000 munitions.

    “We have severely degraded Iran’s air defenses and destroyed hundreds of Iran’s ballistic missiles, launchers and drones,” Cooper added.

    He acknowledged that the Iranian military had launched more than 500 ballistic missiles and over 2,000 drones in response to the US and Israeli attacks.

    “We are seeing Iran’s ability to hit us and our partners is declining, while our combat power, on the other hand, is building,” Cooper claimed.

    On Capitol Hill, Democrats are growing increasingly uneasy about the amount of munitions that have already been used and what it could mean for US defense in the Middle East and beyond.

    “The Iranians do have the ability to make a lot of Shahed drones, ballistic missiles, medium range, short range and they’ve got a huge stockpile,” said Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly. “So at some point … this becomes a math problem and how can we resupply air defense munitions. Where are they going to come from?”

    Democrats believe the ongoing conflict raises the stakes that sooner rather than later, the administration will need to come to Congress to ask for supplemental funding.

    Defensive supplies for Gulf allies

    The immediate concern is the stock of defensive weapons held by Gulf allies, not the US.

    In the war’s early days, Gulf countries such as Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE and Saudi Arabia have in general tried to shoot down every missile or drone from Iran. Still, some have gotten through. An Iranian drone struck a high-rise residential building in Bahrain, causing a fiery explosion. Other Iranian drone strikes damaged two Amazon Web Services data centers in the UAE.

    The munitions crunch might force a change in tactics for Gulf countries, according to Becca Wasser, defense lead for Bloomberg Economics, who said that eventually they may have to become “more selective” in what they target, potentially focusing on shooting down things like large swarms of drones or short-range ballistic missiles.

    The potential strain on Gulf countries’ defenses is prompting other US allies to step in.

    The UK is flying aircraft from Cyprus and Qatar to intercept drones and missiles, a senior British official told CNN this week. The stock of missiles, launchers and interceptors will be a critical factor determining the length of this war, the official added.

    Even a relatively short war can significantly deplete the American missile supplies: The US blew through about a quarter of its supply of high-end Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, missile interceptors during Israel’s 12-day war with Iran last June, thwarting attacks at a rate that vastly outpaces production, CNN previously reported. The American-made THAAD mobile antimissile system launches from a vehicle, with eight interceptors per launcher vehicle.

    The Missile Defense Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank, estimated that in 2025, the US fired up to 20% of the Standard Missile-3 (SM-3) interceptors it was expected to have on hand, and between 20% to 50% of THAAD missiles.

    The report added that THAAD expenditures were “concerning,” as delivery data suggests that the US is firing THAAD missiles at a higher rate without increasing production to match.

    ‘Ahead of the problem’

    Before launching the attack on Iran over the weekend, one of the Trump administration’s biggest reckonings with the limits of US munition stockpiles involved Ukraine. Last July, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth paused a weapons shipment to Ukraine amid a US review of military aid. Hegseth was acting on a memo from Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Elbridge Colby, who has previously pushed to preserve more of the US stockpiles for a potential future war with China.

    Colby, during a hearing with lawmakers Tuesday, responded to concerns about depleting weapons stockpiles for other potential conflicts. “I think we need to work hard on the defense-industrial complex, but nobody should get the wrong impression – we’re ahead of the problem,” Colby said.

    Any potential sustained US war with China faces daunting math. A study released in January by the Heritage Foundation, another think tank, found that the “initial stock” of US munitions would run out within 25 days of a high-intensity conflict with China.

    “U.S. forces will almost certainly be forced to enter the main phase of combat around Day 30 in a logistically degraded state, ultimately leading to systemic operational failure as platform losses, fuel bottlenecks, and munitions demand converge,” the report says.

    But now that the US has air superiority in its conflict with Iran, “There’s not quite such a need for the higher end, very high-end long-range standoff weapons,” said retired Col. Mark Gunzinger, the director of future concepts and capability assessments at the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies think tank and a former bomber pilot.

    “We can use JDAMs, Joint Direct Attack Munitions, against targets from much shorter ranges,” Gunzinger said. “We have a much, much larger stockpile – tens of thousands certainly – of JDAMs and small diameter bombs.” The precision-guided munitions have a range of up to 40 miles.

    Gunzinger said there was greater concern for air-defense munitions running low because they have been “under-resourced for decades.”

    “Do we have enough? I think we do,” Gunzinger said of the conflict with Iran. “But I would be more concerned with some of our inventories of Patriot missiles, THAADs and others.”

    Gunzinger added that ongoing offensive operations by the US could continue to limit Iran’s ability to fire its own missiles, and therefore, reduce the tax on air defense munitions.

    The US and its allies could also save some of their more high-end air defense munitions by taking down Iranian drones with less expensive alternatives, Gunzinger said.

    Frank Kendall, the Air Force secretary under Biden, said that, in general, he wasn’t yet worried about depleting US munitions in the current conflict with Iran.

    “We can throttle which weapons we use to try to keep the ones that are more critical to us in the Pacific in suitable quantities,” Kendall told CNN. “The Pentagon will monitor all that and they’ll limit what gets used because of other considerations.”

    But Kendall said concerns about US munitions could mount if the war drags on or involves American troops on the ground – an option that Trump wouldn’t rule out on Monday.

    Longer-range precision weapons can be effective in a war like the one with Iran, Kendall said.

    “These are the more expensive sophisticated weapons we don’t have as large a stockpile of,” he added. “Drawing these down substantially would increase risk in other theaters.”

    The current conflict follows American military operations against the Houthis and Iran last year. Taken together, the bombing campaigns are taking a toll on the arsenal of US munitions.

    The effort to build up supplies of interceptors for air defenses – known in Pentagon speak as “US magazine depth” – is “a nascent effort only just now getting underway,” said Mackenzie Eaglen, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. “There will be a few quick wins, but for the most part, the effort to arrest the overall decline in munitions and rebuild stocks faster than they’re being expended in global operations will take one to three years.”

    CNN’s Natasha Bertrand, Lauren Fox and Zachary Cohen contributed to this report.

    https://www.cnn.com/world/video/bahrain-iran-drone-strike-high-rise-building-digvid

  • 詹姆斯·塔拉利科预计将赢得得克萨斯州民主党参议院初选,击败贾丝明·克罗克特


    更新时间:2026年3月4日 / 美国东部时间上午2:51 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,得克萨斯州众议员詹姆斯·塔拉利科(James Talarico)将赢得得克萨斯州美国参议院民主党初选,击败众议员贾丝明·克罗克特(Jasmine Crockett),并获得足够选票以避免进入决选,这场竞争可能是今年中期选举中最受关注的竞选之一。

    他将在11月面临现任共和党参议员约翰·科宁(John Cornyn)或保守派总检察长肯·帕克斯顿(Ken Paxton),后者将在5月26日的共和党初选决选中对决。

    该州的参议院初选已成为历史上最昂贵的初选。对于共和党人和民主党人而言,这些竞选凸显了党内的深刻分歧。

    对民主党人来说,前公设辩护律师克罗克特因抨击总统特朗普和其他共和党人而登上全国头条,她自称为斗士并吸引党内核心支持者。塔拉利科曾是中学教师和一名正在接受培训的长老会牧师,他将自己的竞选信息重点放在“爱的政治”和包容性上。

    自1994年以来,民主党人尚未在得州赢得过全州范围的选举,但自2018年贝托·奥罗克(Beto O’Rourke)以3个百分点的差距险些击败共和党参议员泰德·克鲁兹(Ted Cruz)以来,该党一直瞄准夺取参议院席位。民主党人认为,鉴于长期参议员约翰·科宁和州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿之间昂贵且激烈的共和党初选,今年共和党人在得州更为脆弱。

    但民主党人难以在单一候选人背后达成统一。据报道,包括奥罗克、众议员华金·卡斯特罗(Joaquin Castro)和前众议员科林·奥尔雷德(Colin Allred)在内的几位知名民主党人都在考虑参选。2024年曾挑战克鲁兹的奥尔雷德于7月加入竞选,随后塔拉利科在9月参选。

    得州的这场竞选发生在得州立法机构在特朗普总统鼓励下重新划分该州38个众议院选区后的几个月,导致民主党人逃离该州以阻止他们达到法定人数对新选区地图进行投票。民主党人的努力引起了全国关注,他们筹集了数百万美元,使参议院竞选更加引人注目。

    克罗克特在众议院代表的达拉斯地区第30选区正是被重新划分的选区之一。在12月的登记截止日,奥尔雷德退出参议院竞选,选择在新划分的第33选区参选众议院议员,而克罗克特则进入参议院竞选,与塔拉利科展开对决。共和党人对克罗克特参选表示欢迎,认为她是11月更易击败的候选人。

    由于塔拉利科和克罗克特在许多问题上立场一致,这场竞选最终演变为一场个性冲突。两人都在全州奔波竞选,尽管风格迥异,并且都针对对方投放了攻击性广告。

    今年2月,塔拉利科因计划参加哥伦比亚广播公司的《斯蒂芬·科尔伯特深夜秀》(The Late Show with Stephen Colbert)而登上全国头条,但由于新的联邦通信委员会(FCC)指导方针,该采访未在哥伦比亚广播公司的广播网络播出。科尔伯特抨击了这一决定,转而在节目YouTube频道完整播出了采访内容,而该频道无需遵循相同的FCC指导方针。科尔伯特争议事件后,塔拉利科在随后24小时内筹集了250万美元。

    根据VoteHub的数据,在11天的提前投票期间,民主党初选中已有150万张选票被投出,是四年前计票总数的两倍多。

    James Talarico projected to win Texas Democratic Senate primary, defeating Jasmine Crockett

    Updated on: March 4, 2026 / 2:51 AM EST / CBS News

    Texas Rep. James Talarico will win the U.S. Senate Democratic primary in Texas, CBS News projects, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and securing enough votes to avoid a runoff in what could be one of the most closely watched races in this year’s midterms.

    He will face either incumbent GOP Sen. John Cornyn or conservative Attorney General Ken Paxton, who will face off in a May 26 Republican primary runoff.

    The state’s Senate primary is already the most expensive primary in history. For both Republicans and Democrats, the races are highlighting deep divisions within the party.

    For Democrats, Crockett, a former public defender, has made national headlines for taking on President Trump and other Republicans, branding herself a fighter and appealing to the party’s base. Talarico, a former middle school teacher and a Presbyterian minister-in-training, has focused his message on “politics of love” and inclusivity.

    Democrats have not won a statewide race in Texas since 1994, but the party has been eyeing flipping the Senate seat since Beto O’Rourke came within three points of defeating GOP Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018. Democrats feel Republicans this year are even more vulnerable in Texas given the expensive and nasty GOP primary between longtime Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton.

    But Democrats have struggled to unify behind a single candidate. Several high-profile Democrats were rumored to be considering a bid, including O’Rourke, Rep. Joaquin Castro and former Rep. Colin Allred. Allred, who challenged Cruz in 2024, jumped in the race in July, followed by Talarico in September.

    The race in Texas is coming just months after Republicans in the state legislature redraw the state’s 38 House districts under President Trump’s encouragement, leading Democrats to flee the state to deny them a quorum to vote on the new map. The Democrats’ efforts garnered national attention and they raised millions, putting an extra spotlight on the Senate race.

    The Dallas-area district Crockett represented in the House, the 30th, was one of the ones that was redrawn. On the December filing deadline, Allred dropped out of the Senate race, opting to run in the newly-redrawn House District 33, and Crockett entered the Senate race, setting up a showdown with Talarico. Republicans cheered Crockett’s entry in the race, believing her to be the more beatable candidate in November.

    With Talarico and Crockett agreeing on many of the issues, the race had come down to a personality clash. They have both been barnstorming the state, although with very different styles, and both have run combative ads against the other.

    Talarico made national headlines in February when he was scheduled to appear on CBS’ “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert,” but the interview didn’t air on the CBS broadcast network due to new FCC guidance. Colbert slammed the decision and instead ran the interview in full on the show’s YouTube channel, which does not have to follow the same FCC guidance. Following the Colbert controversy, Talarico raised $2.5 million in the 24 hours afterward.

    According to VoteHub, 1.5 million votes had been cast in the Democratic primary during the 11-day early voting period, more than double the number that were tallied four years ago.

  • 新闻


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    伊朗将为哈梅内伊举行三天告别式 | 联合早报

    发布/2026年3月4日 15:50

    伊朗将为已故最高领导人哈梅内伊举行告别仪式,预计持续三天。

    伊通社引述伊斯兰发展协调委员会的声明称,从星期三(3月4日)晚上10时(新加坡时间星期四凌晨2时30分)开始,民众可以前往德黑兰的伊玛目霍梅尼大清真寺,向这名殉难的民族领袖的遗体致以最后的敬意。”

    哈梅内伊遇难时享年86岁。他之后将被安葬于伊朗东北部圣城马什哈德,这也是他的家乡。

    哈梅内伊上周六(2月28日)在美国和以色列发动的袭击中身亡。葬礼流程的安排正在进行中,稍后将公布。