2026年4月8日 美国东部时间下午4:48 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
能源专家和经济学家表示，尽管美伊之间最后一刻达成的休战协议立即缓解了两国交战的紧张局势，但美国人要看到飙升的燃油成本带来的缓解可能还需要一段时间，此前汽油价格已升至多年来的最高水平。
GasBuddy石油专家帕特里克·德哈恩表示，加油站的油价最早可能在本周末开始下跌，不过最初每加仑的降幅可能仅为几美分。
他说：“如果局势保持稳定且没有恶化，全国平均油价有足够空间回落至每加仑4美元以下。但我们可能需要几周时间才能实现这一目标。”
就目前而言，燃油成本依然高得令人痛苦。根据美国汽车协会（AAA）的数据，周三全国普通汽油平均价格升至4.16美元，较2月底美以袭击伊朗前的2.98美元上涨，同比上涨91美分。部分州的油价飙升至每加仑5美元以上，而柴油均价为5.67美元。
德哈恩还警告称，如果停火协议破裂，油价的任何下跌都可能迅速逆转。“如果局势突然停滞或再次升级，降价将会停止，价格可能会再次回升。”
全球油价周三跌至每桶95美元以下，低于两周停火前的水平，但仍远高于2月底冲突爆发前几天的65至75美元原油价格区间。
投资研究公司牛津经济研究院的美国首席经济学家伯纳德·雅罗斯表示：“如果停火协议得以维持，我预计汽油价格至少会趋于稳定，即便不会下跌。但同样，这将真正取决于全球能源市场对霍尔木兹海峡航行安全的看法。”
这条至关重要的波斯湾水道通常负责全球五分之一的石油和液化天然气运输，目前局势依然脆弱。
伊朗媒体称，德黑兰正在暂停通过该海峡的油轮运输，并考虑因以色列在黎巴嫩的袭击而退出与华盛顿达成的协议。白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特表示，特朗普总统已获悉有关该航道已关闭的报道，但称这些报道“不实”。
金融研究公司穆迪分析的首席经济学家马克·赞迪预测，如果未来几周油价稳定在每桶90美元左右，汽油价格将继续回落，稳定在每加仑3.75美元左右。他预计到今年年底，油价将跌至每桶80美元左右，美国汽油价格将徘徊在每加仑3.50美元左右。
他对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示：“我认为短期内无法回到每加仑3美元以下的水平。油价上涨像火箭，下跌则像羽毛。”
Will the Iran ceasefire quickly ease U.S. gas prices? Here’s what experts think.
April 8, 2026 4:48 PM EDT / CBS News
Although an eleventh-hour truce between the U.S. and Iran immediately eased tensions between the warring countries, it could take some time for Americans to see relief from the soaring fuel costs that have pushed gasoline prices to their highest level in years, energy experts and economists said.
Patrick De Haan, a petroleum expert at GasBuddy, said prices at the pump could start dropping as soon as this weekend, although the decline could initially amount to only a few cents per gallon.
“If the situation holds and it doesn’t worsen, the national average probably has enough room to make a run at falling back below the $4 gallon mark,” he said. “But it would probably take a couple of weeks for us to get there.”
For now, fuel costs remain painfully high. The national average for a gallon of regular gas rose on Wednesday to $4.16, up from $2.98 just before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February and up 91 cents from a year ago, according to data from AAA. In some states, prices soared above $5 a gallon, while diesel averaged $5.67.
De Haan also warned that any drop in gas prices could quickly reverse if the ceasefire deal unravels. “If there’s an abrupt halt or re-escalation, the decreases will stop, and prices could start to trend back up again.”
Global oil prices fell below $95 a barrel on Wednesday, down from their levels before the two-week ceasefire but still sharply elevated from the $65 to $75 range for crude in the days leading up to the conflict in late February.
“The cease fire, if it sticks, I would anticipate that gas prices at least stabilize, if not go lower,” said Bernard Yaros, lead U.S. economist at investment research firm Oxford Economics. “But again, it’s going to really depend on the global energy market’s perception of the safety of going through the Strait of Hormuz.”
The situation in the vital Persian Gulf waterway, which normally facilitates one-fifth of the world’s oil and liquified natural gas shipments, remains tenuous.
Iranian media outlets say Tehran is suspending tanker traffic through the strait and considering withdrawing from the deal with Washington over Israeli attacks in Lebanon. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said President Trump is aware of reports saying the conduit has been closed, but said the reports “are false.”
Mark Zandi, chief economist at financial research firm Moody’s Analytics, predicts that if oil prices stabilize at around $90 per barrel over the next few weeks, gas will continue to retreat and settle around $3.75 a gallon. By the end of the year, he expects oil to drop to around $80 a barrel and for U.S. gas prices to hover around $3.50 a gallon.
“I don’t think there is any going back to sub-$3 gallon for a while,” he told CBS News. “Prices go up like a rocket, and they come down like a feather,”
